1998
2008
2018
Internet Trends
Most used browser
Your fast access to the web
A good Dutch search engine
The Untoppable search engine
A startup in 1998
There were virtual worlds
Mobile internet
Portals/Pods - predecessors of social netwerks
2008 - 2018
2006
2004
2003
2001
20001998
1997 1995
Engines of growth
Moore’s Law Metcalfe’s Law
The web:
...will be 10.000 x more powerful
...is everywhere: macro, micro & virtueal
...gets other (remote) controls
...allows for easier participation
...amplifies human networking
.. will be 10.000 x more powerful
audio/video: faster & more
Normal qualityHD-quality
You save data on your computer,or the web ( “in the cloud”)
The semantic web: When computers understand language on
a page - and can use it
The Grid: 10.000 x faster than broadband
http://gridcafe.web.cern.ch/gridcafe/
....is everywhere: macro, micro & “virtueal”
http://www.nrmedical.biz/teleradiology
Macro : MRI-scans from Europe are analysed by a radiologist
in India
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2005/05/09/AR2005050901158.html
Macro : He has an office in the US.His secretary is in....Pakistan
Micro : internet becomes morepersonal, more targeted
Micro: and more personal
Marcro/micro: do we want to get this close ?
“Virtueal”: Virtual worlds
Virtueal : the Real World on the Web
Virtueal: the Web on (top of) the Real World
The web....... gets other (remote) controls
Voice recognition (perhaps in 2020?)
It used to work for him
Touch : control your computer with your hands
The Web allows for easier participation
Open Source-software:no costs, good quality
enabling you to make a $100,- laptop(www.olpc.com)
Easier participation : free tools to publicise, discuss, find, buy..
Easier participation: Everyone can program a computer
...or combine data (with Google Maps, e.g.)
“Every desktop is now a printing press, a broadcasting station,
a community or a marketplace”- Howard Rheingold
The Web amplifies human networking
http://h10068.www1.hp.com/blogpost/ripples_1.gif
Social networks
even in a business environment
Network-effect: viral spread
Network-effect: distance cooperation
Communicating traffic jams via your TomTom
Giving a loan togehter to these Paraguyan entrepreneurs
Innovate together: individuals help companies solve their problems
Group buying
Group buying in China(and work up a crowd)
..or get a discount together
The web:
...will be 10.000 x more powerful
...is everywhere: macro, micro & virtueal
...gets another (remote) control
...allows for easier participation
...amplifies human networking
Sources :
http://h10068.www1.hp.com/blogpost/ripples_1.gif
www.scienceparameter.com/