© Anastassios Marneris, 2012
How to identifybusiness risk:A new tool for board members
Anastassios Marneris
www.PESTLEWeb.com
© Anastassios Marneris, 2012
The Basis for yourEnterprise Risk Analysis
To perform your assessment of corporate risk you need: A strong awareness of your external
business environments.
A strong understanding of how external events can affect your business in the long term.
A clear, logical and compelling argument that you can present to your executive team and board members.
Use ‘PESTLEWeb’ to frame those issues and qualify your arguments.
© Anastassios Marneris, 2012
The view shared by experts…
Your business needs a ‘radar’ to scan your current environment for threats and opportunities
Day, G.S. and Schoemaker, P.J.H“Peripheral Vision: Detecting the weak signals
that make or break your company”
Your strategic success depends on a deep understanding of future scenarios
Van Der Heijden, (1996)
“Scenarios: The art of Strategic Conversation”
© Anastassios Marneris, 2012
PESTLE Issues
Global Business Environment
Specific Industry
Specific Business
Your Strategy
The PESTLEWeb Risk Analysis Method
1. Identify macro issues:
• What is changing?
• What are the causes/ consequences?
2. Evaluate their impact:
• What is important?
• What represents an opportunity?
• What represents a threat?
© Anastassios Marneris, 2012
Building your first
PESTLEWebTM
Model using www.PESTLEWeb.com
© Anastassios Marneris, 2012
Brainstorm initial issues ..
Use the editor at www.PESTLEWeb.com to brainstorm and organise your set of issues
© Anastassios Marneris, 2012
Issues...
Common symbols to represent issues in your business
environment
© Anastassios Marneris, 2012
Critically Review each Issue
What is changing?
What is important? More causes? More consequences? What represents a risk? What represents an opportunity? More information needed?
© Anastassios Marneris, 2012
Link your Issues...
Create links to show causes and consequences
© Anastassios Marneris, 2012
Form Your Arguments...
Predict and explain risk impactson your business
© Anastassios Marneris, 2012
Strengthen Your Analysis...
Strengthen the analysis with comments, references and arguments
© Anastassios Marneris, 2012
Enhance Your Analysis...
Add rich supporting information to each issue about risks, confidence and time-scales etc.
© Anastassios Marneris, 2012
Tabulate Your Findings
Use PESTLEWeb Editor to automatically create tables for documents
© Anastassios Marneris, 2012
Extract Your Work Into Reports
Use PESTLEWeb Editor to generate 'narrative' output that can be used in essays and
reports
© Anastassios Marneris, 2012
PESTLEWebTM
turns a list of unrelated facts into a:
– Convincing,– Relevant, and– Well-structured ..
…argument !
© Anastassios Marneris, 2012
Further Information..
Join us at www.PESTLEWeb.com
Use the PESTLEWeb editor to model your business environment
Read about our current research
Learn more advanced PESTLEWebTM
methods
© Anastassios Marneris, 2012
PESTLEWebTM
Picture your Business Environmentwww.PESTLEWeb.com