Education Education and and
technologtechnology: stories y: stories
of the of the futurefuture3er. Congreso
Internacional de Innovación Educativa
https://www.flickr.com/photos/dweekly/64221580
Greetings from Greetings from AmericaAmerica
Choices are before usChoices are before us
The US context is… chaotic, maybe dire
How can we grapple with the future?
•Trends•Futures•Choices
Monthly environmental scan report
Trends identified, tested, projected
TrendlinesTrendlines
Technology trendsTechnology trends
Rise of the stacksYet hardware + networks = multiple ecosystems
The post-Snowden world
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Edward_Snowden
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kevin_Kelly_(editor)
ScreeningFlowing AccessingSharing
Cognifying
FilteringRemixingInteracting
ScreeningFlowing AccessingSharing
Cognifying
FilteringRemixingInteracting
Automation on the rise
Automation on the rise
http://www.cnet.com/news/and-heres-a-drone-with-a-chainsaw-attached/
Design for mobile *first *
New device ecosystemNew device ecosystem
VR
VR + AR = MR
New device ecosystemNew device ecosystemAndroid battles iOSDisintegrated computing:WearablesVery small cameras and computers…
New device ecosystemNew device ecosystem
Android battles iOSDisintegrated computing:
WearablesVery small cameras and computers
Leading to…Leading to…
https://www.reddit.com/r/IllBeYourGuide/
https://www.flickr.com/photos/collegeofsanmateolibrary/15373589050/
Globalization of higher Globalization of higher educationeducation
International higher ed systems building up
More international students heading to other nations
US campuses expanding overseas presence
Education trendsEducation trendsReform movements Alternative certification pilots
Alternative business models and schools
DemographicsDemographics
Youth population shrinkage
Expanding senior population…
31
32
MEXICOMEXICO
Macroeconomic changesMacroeconomic changes
Labor transformations•manufacturing->service•1 job/career->many
gigs•declining participation•automation
Student Student population population changeschanges
Near-majority adult
Increasing first-generation students
Veterans Learning
disabilities 12https://www.flickr.com/photos/un_photo/6708914025/
Adjunctification rising
Defunding public Defunding public universitiesuniversities
A new finance modelA new finance model
Teaching and learning and Teaching and learning and techtech
blended/flipped /hybridclassroom
Teaching and learning and Teaching and learning and techtech
distance learning grows
generational gaps gaming in education
Changes in the LMS world?
http://i0.wp.com/mfeldstein.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/09/walledgarden5.jpg
Uses of social media
Uses of Web video
OERThe rise of the Maker movement
MOOCs on the moveMOOCs on the move
Credit for MOOCs? STEM vs humanities Sustainability? New forms Multinational
Technology-mediated research
Simulations
http://web.archive.org/web/20150418162758/http://www.futurict.eu/
Computational *•Computational genomics•Computational life sciences •Bioinformatics•Computational molecular science•New media practice and studies•Predictive policing•High frequency trading (finance)
Textual researchLaw: e-discovery
http://criminalintent.org/
Textual researchDigital humanities
The new community of scholars*
*Credit to Dan Cohen for this formulation
What happens to the library?
•Shift from collection development
to digital literacy consultation•Open scholarship•Transforms to research
entrepreneurship
National Science Library at the Chinese Academy of Sciences
Which of these trends are the most powerful?
Which of these trends are the
most unpredicatble?
All of these are in the present.
So what’s next?So what’s next?
Extrapolations: Transnational
campuses Average
student age: 40
Hourly faculty
Privatizing public universities
Hogwarts vs poor campuses
What comes next?What comes next?
• Rich multimedia environment
• Some gamification
• Student as producer
Disintegrated computing as a service
Extensive data analysis, surveillance, creativity
Campus of networked things
A higher education bubble?A higher education bubble?
A higher education bubble?A higher education bubble?
Continued cost/quality anxiety
Student and parent anxieties about debt
Grad school crises Political pressure
The Queen sacrifice gambit
Yet the college premium Yet the college premium persistspersists
Will universities fight Trump?Will universities fight Trump?
Campuses defending immigrants
https://www.insidehighered.com/news/2016/12/02/outlining-commitments-undocumented-immigrant-students-some-presidents-avoid-term
What do campuses do during civil unrest?
We’re so not sustainablePolitical dysfunction
“ unrest
Failure of the elites
Resentment “ “ “
https://www.flickr.com/photos/suxsie_q/27261718274/
We’re not sustainableWhat happens when these combine?
• Environmental stresses trigger political unrest
• Political unrest meets tottering leadership
• Distrust and friction escalate
• Repeat, reiterate: vicious cycle
Taking automation seriouslyTaking automation seriously
Curriculum and life: is school for unemployment or working with AIs?
Post-AI educationPost-AI education
Curriculum and life: what does it mean to be human when machines exceed us?
Post-AI educationPost-AI education
Pedagogy:• Apps instead of
classes• Computer-assisted
creativity• Cyborg teaching and
becoming
Post-AI educationPost-AI education
What if we take digital literacy What if we take digital literacy seriously?seriously?
It might be insurgent
https://www.flickr.com/photos/77688862@N02/20014884218/
The best digital literacy
storytelling
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W6yVCgoBn-I
What comes next?What comes next?
Choices:• Reinvest in public academics or
privatize further?
What comes next?What comes next?
Choices:• Reinvest in public academics or
privatize further?• Turn away the world or embrace
increasing globalism
What comes next?What comes next?
Choices:• Reinvest in public academics or
privatize further?• Turn away the world or embrace
increasing globalism• Become open or erect walled
gardens
What comes next?What comes next?
Choices:• Embrace social media or retreat
to silos?
What comes next?What comes next?
Choices:• Embrace social media or retreat
to silos• Rebuild authorities or
encourage democratic digital literacy?
What comes next?What comes next?
Choices:• Embrace social media or retreat
to silos?• Rebuild authorities or encourage
democratic digital literacy?• Prepare for automation now or be
caught by surprise?
What comes next?What comes next?
Collaborate with each other, across institutions, sectors, nations, populations, professions
What can we do now?What can we do now?
Use social media
Use social media
Use and be open
Rethink everything in terms of automation’s possibilities
Imagine different worlds and inhabiting them - yourselves, your institution, your children and the generation to come
http://bryanalexander.orghttp://bryanalexander.org
http://ftte.ushttp://ftte.ushttp://twitter.com/http://twitter.com/bryanalexanderbryanalexander