___________________________________________________________________________
2010/TEL41/LSG/RR/002 Session 1
Digital Dividend Overview - Spectrum Considerations
Purpose: Information
Submitted by: Ericsson
Regulatory RoundtableChinese Taipei
7 May 2010
Digital Dividend Overview
SpectrumConsiderations
Michael BjarhovDirector, Government & Industry Relations Asia Pacific
2
A World Bank econometrics analysis of 120 countries estimated that for every 10-percentage-point increase in the penetration of broadband services, there is an increase in economic growth of 1.3 percentage points (Qiang 2009).
broadband subscriptions3 billion mobile broadband subscriptions – redefines the market
0500
1,0001,5002,0002,5003,0003,5004,0004,500
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Sub
scrip
tions
(milli
on)
Mobile
Fixed
Source: Internal EricssonMobile Broadband includes: CDMA2000 EV-DO, HSPA, LTE, Mobile WiMAX & TDSCDMA.It includes handsets, USB dongles, embedded modules etc. The vast majority is handsets. Fixed broadband includes DSL, Cable and Fiber
Fixed and mobile broadband subscriptionsM2M connections to be added on top
3
Traffic growth in mobile networksThis slide contains forward looking statements
Source: Ericsson
Mobile traffic forecast
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Yea
rly E
xaby
tes
Data
Voice
M2M traffic to be added on top
Behavior as in fixed – high Definition video streams – 50 b. devices 2020
4
Spectrum needs When evolving from voice to broadband
1987-2010
450-600 MHz in each market
1987-2010
450-600 MHz in each market
X3
Regulators are allocating more band width and eliminating or redefining spectrum caps as they realize broadband requires more spectrum
Regulators are allocating more band width and eliminating or redefining spectrum caps as they realize broadband requires more spectrum
According to the ITU-R Report M.2078 by the year 2020 mobile services (IMT-2000) will need: 1.280 MHz for low market demand (rural areas)1.720 MHz for high market demand (urban areas)
Aggregated Band Width
2010-20201.3GHz-1.7GHz
in each market
2010-20201.3GHz-1.7GHz
in each market
Chairman Genachowski of the FCC – the regulator - stated in October 2009: “In fact, I believe that that the biggest threat to the future of mobile in America is the looming spectrum crisis.”
US broadband plan of March 2010: Make 500 MHz of spectrum available for broadband within 10 years, of which 300 MHz should be made available for mobile use within five years
5
Analog TV:1 program/1 frequency
Move to digital TV
Terrestrial TV:Up to 14 SDTV
programs/frequency
Some part of TV spectrum freed (digital dividend)
Mobile’s booming:> 4.8 billion subscriptions
Move to broadband mobile
Need for wider carriersNeed for more spectrum
Digital dividend may be transferred
to mobile
Terrestrial TV Cellular mobile
Creating the Digital Dividend
6
Spectrum Demand for DTT
Numbers of programs transmitted over DTT
Technical requirements: MPEG-2/-4, SDTV/HDTV, SFN/MFN, 3D,
Coverage
Growth of alternatives: DTH, cable TV, IPTV, Mobile TV
Factors determining the am
ount
of spectrum to release
7
Terrestrial TV digitalization around the world
2006 2008 2012 2015 2020
Analog TV Switch-Off Date
HollandLuxembourg
Germany, Belgium
EU, Japan, Korea
ASEAN: 2015-2020
Finland, Andorra, Sweden, Switzerland
2007 2009
USA
8
Harmonized spectrum and standards
› Economy of scale (based on a mass market)
› Easy cross-border coordination
› Cross-border operation (between countries)
› Global roaming capabilities
› Interoperability choice and convenience
› Efficient use of spectrum (also in border areas)
Harmonized spectrum is necessary and key for the public mobile broadband access developments; as for the industry to be able to successfully respond to national policy goals by providing standardized products
economy of scale
harmonized spectrum
standards
spec
trum
effi
cien
cyProviding affordable services to all
9
The band 698-960 MHz in ITU
698 MHz
790 MHz 862 MHz
IMT-2000GSM/WCDMA
Region 2 (Americas)
Region 1 (EMEA)
Region 3 (APAC)
894 MHzIMT-2000
cdma2000/WCDMA
BROADCASTING
880 MHz
824 MHz806 MHz
960 MHz
894 MHz
IMT-2000cdma2000/WCDMA
824 MHz
IMT-2000GSM/WCDMA
880 MHz 960 MHz
698 MHz 790 MHz 862 MHz
MOBILE & IMT
MOBILE & IMT
MOBILE & IMT (9 countries) MOBILE & IMT
Momentum
10
Effect of frequency on range and capexCoverage of rural areas at about 30% of the cost of 2100 MHz
X3 more investments needed for 2.1 GHz compared with 700 MHz
11
700 MHz BAND IN US
Block Freq (MHz) Bandwidth Type Result Remark
Lower
A 698~704, 728~734 12 (2 ×6) MHz EA (176) Verizon
Wireless etc. LTE
B 704~710, 734~740 12 (2 ×6) MHz CMA (734) Verizon, AT&T etc. LTE
C 710-716,740-746 12 (2 x 6) MHz CMA(734) AT&T (purchase from Aloha) etc. LTE
D 716-722 6 MHz EAG(6) Qualcomm(5), Aloha(1) Media FLO
E 722~728 6 MHz EA (176) FrontierWireless etc.
Upper
C 746~757, 776~787 22 (2 ×11) MHz REAG (12) Verizon
Wireless etc. Open platform
D 758~763, 788~793 10 (2×5) MHz Nationwide No successful bidder Public/Private
Partnership
698 704 710 716 722 728 734 740 746 752 758 764 770 776 782 788 794 800 806
757 763 775 787 793 805
A B C D E A B C C A D Public Safety A C A D Public Safety A
CH.52
CH.53
CH.54
CH.55
CH.56
CH.57
CH.58
CH.59
CH.60
CH.61
CH.62
CH.63
CH.64
CH.65
CH.66
CH.67
CH.68
CH.69
LOWER 700MHz BAND(TV CHANNELS 52-59)
UPPER 700MHz BAND(TV CHANNELS 60-69)
12
ECC Decision for Mobile Networks band 790-862 MHz
30 MHz (6 blocks of 5 MHz)11 MHz30 MHz (6 blocks of 5 MHz)
UplinkDuplexgap Downlink
857- 862852- 857847- 852842- 847837- 842832- 837821 - 832816- 821811-816806- 811801-806 796- 801791-796
“Preferred Harmonised frequency arrangement”
65 MHz (13 blocks of 5 MHz)7 MHz
UnpairedGuardband
857-862852-857847-852842–847837–842832–837827-832822-827817-822812-817807-812802-807797-802790-797
“Guidance for administrations not implementing the preferred channelling arrangements” (specific national circumstances)
Note 1: Guardband of 1 MHz between Broadcasting below 790 and mobile DL starting at 791 MHzNote 2: Sweden, Germany, France; have announced auctions of the band to happen late 2009 or during 2010
ECC Decision June 2009 ; EC Recommendation end 2009
13
the UHF band for mobile broadband
824 849 869 894
The band 850 MHzThe band 700 MHz (USA)
716 746 768 798698 728 777
806 824 844 869 890
The band 850 MHz889 915
935
960The band 900 MHz
698
The band 700 MHz (proposed)
Americas130 MHz
APAC/Africa190 MHz
2x45 MHz
787/8
2x18+2x10+2x10 MHz
Momentum
880 915 925 960791 862
The band 900 MHzThe band 800 MHz (DD1)
EME/Africa130 MHz
832821
Historic opportunity to enable broadband for all
= Downlink= Uplink
14
The 700 band in Asia PacificThe optimised 2 x 45 MHz option
806698
10-11MHz?
2 x 45 MHz
• Result from the APT Wireless Forum meetings in Tokyo in March 2010: FDD mobile band plan of 2X45 MHz
• Band edges 698 MHz and 806 MHz but more work to be done before concluding on where to have any guardbands to adjacent services
• Final decision on duplex gap to be made when ongoing studies arefinalized but it will most likely be 10 or 11 MHz
• Duplex directions still discussed
• In parallel a TDD only option based on a 5 MHz raster is also evaluated
10-11MHz?
Broadcasting
PPDR
15
› The Digital Dividend (UHF) band has extremely good propagation characteristics for rural as well as in-building coverage
› The over 50 year old allocation for analogue TV can finally be reallocated for alternative usage to accelerate economic growth
› Legacy situation makes the US 700 MHz band plan very fragmented and devices unnecessary complex
› Strong Broadcasting foothold in combination with no 850 band usage resulted in a new 800 MHz band plan for Europe
› APAC has a unique possibility to design its own ”best in class”band plan maximizing the economic benefits
› Many countries in Africa and ME have the opportunity to follow APAC
Conclusions