Climate Variability and Change:
A Challenge for Sustainable Agricultural Production
COAG 2001COAG 2001
• Scope and issues • Impacts and remedial action• Negotiation process and COP 6• Role of FAO
Overview
Scope and issues•Variability of weather variability of agricultural production•Climate change exacerbates
impact •Frequency of extremes increases
Major Greenhouse Gases
Other 15%CO2 60%
N2O 5%CH4 20%
Likely impacts
•Carbon dioxide and warming + -
•Changing production patterns, crop and animal distribution and yields
• Increased vulnerability
Remedial Action in Agriculture
• Reduction of agricultural emissions• Carbon storage in vegetation and
soils; conservation agriculture• More energy efficiency• Substitution of fossil fuels by
biofuels• Adaptation to foreseen changes
Kyoto Protocol CoP 3 Kyoto, 12/1997
Objective: Reduction of GHG
in 39 countries by at least 5 % (level 1990)
in 2008-2012
Flexible mechanisms
Emission trading
Joint implementationClean development mechanism
After COP 6
Compliance Flexible Mechanisms
Financing
After COP 6Inclusion of LULUCF
Forests and soils as sinks
Supplementarity
Next steps ?Informal Talks
COP 7 in November COP 6/2 in July
Rio + 10 in 2002
Role of FAO
• Repository of data• Information and advice• Custodian of methods, models
• Neutral forum