Transcript
Page 1: 陆面水文模型发展、参数标定与移植 及其模拟研究

陆面水文模型发展、参数标定与移植陆面水文模型发展、参数标定与移植

及其模拟研究及其模拟研究

ECCE Summer School for Advanced Study in Climate and Environment

2006 年 7月 30-8 月 12, 北京

谢正辉,及其研究小组

中国科学院大气物理研究所http://web.lasg.ac.cn/staff/xie/xie.htm

Page 2: 陆面水文模型发展、参数标定与移植 及其模拟研究

相关研究小组人员• 田向军 , 梁妙玲 , 张生雷 , 袁 飞 , 师春

香• 郑 婧 , 宋丽叶• 袁 星 , 陈 锋• 苏凤阁 , 杨宏伟 (USA)

Page 3: 陆面水文模型发展、参数标定与移植 及其模拟研究

陆面过程 陆面过程是能够影响气候变化的发生在陆地表面的土壤中控制陆地与大气之间动量、热量及水分交换的那些过程;

Page 4: 陆面水文模型发展、参数标定与移植 及其模拟研究

• 陆面水文模型发展、参数标定与移植陆面水文模型发展、参数标定与移植

及其耦合、模拟研究及其耦合、模拟研究;;• 基于全国基于全国 50 kmX50 km50 kmX50 km 大尺度陆面水文模大尺度陆面水文模型;型;• 陆面模型的参数标定、移植与模拟;陆面模型的参数标定、移植与模拟;• 讨论讨论

提 纲

Page 5: 陆面水文模型发展、参数标定与移植 及其模拟研究

陆面过程中地下水位的动态表示及其与气候模式的耦合 .– Xie Zhenghui, Zeng Qingcun, Dai Yongjiu, and Wang Bin, Numerical simula

tion of an unsaturated flow equation, Sciences in China(Series D), 4(14),429-436, 1998.

– Xie Zhenghui, Zeng Qingcun, Dai Yongjiu, An unsaturated soil flow problem and its numerical simulation, Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 16(2), 183-198,1999

– Xie Zhenghui, Liang Xu, Zeng qingcun, A parameterization of groundwater table in a land surfacee model and its applications, Chinese Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, 28(4),331-342, 2004.

– Liang Xu, Xie Zhenghui, A new parameterization for surface and groundwater interac -tions and its impact on water budgets with the variable infiltration capacity(VIC) land surface model, Journal of Geophysics Research,108(D16), 8613,doi:10.1029/2002-JD003090, 2003.

– Yang Hongwei, Xie Zhenghui, A new method to dynamically simulate groundwater table in land surface model VIC, Progress in Natural Progress,13(11), 819-825, 2003.

– Yeh et al 2005 JC.– Maxwell et al 2005, JHM.– Xie Zhenghui, Xiangjun Tian, Hongwei Yang, A land surface parameterizati

on scheme with a groundwater model for climate models and its applications,2006.

– Tian xiangjun, Xie Zhenghui, Coupling a Groundwater Component to the NCAR Community Atmosphere Model,2006.

Page 6: 陆面水文模型发展、参数标定与移植 及其模拟研究

地表地下陆面水文机制– Liang Xu, Xie Zhenghui, 2001, A New Surface Runoff Parameteriza

tion with Subgrid -Scale Soil Heterogeneity for Land Surface Models, Advances in Water Resources, 24(9-10), 1173-1193, 2001.

– Xie Zhenghui, Su Fengge, Liang Xu, Zeng Qingcun, et al,Applications of a surface runoff model with Horton and Dunne runoff for VIC, Advances in Atmospheric Sciences. 20(2), 165-172, 2003.

– Liang Xu, Xie Zhenghui, Important factors in land-atmosphere interactions: surface runoff generactions and interactions between surface and groundwater, Global Planetary Change, 38,101-114,2003.

– Tian Xiangjun, Xie Zhenghui, Zhang Shengle, Liang Miaoling, A subsurface ruoff parameterization with water storage and recharge based on the Boussinesq-Storage Equation for a Land Surface Model,

Science in China (Series D), 2006.

Page 7: 陆面水文模型发展、参数标定与移植 及其模拟研究

陆面水文生态模拟– Xie Zhenghui, Liu Qian, Su Fengge, An application of the VIC-3L la

nd surface model with the new surface runoff model in simulating streamflow for the Yellow River basin, IAHS Publiction No.289, 241-248, 2004.

– 谢正辉,刘谦,袁飞,杨宏伟,基于全国 50km×50km网格的大尺度陆面水文模型框架 ,水利学报, (5),76-82,2004.

– Yuan Fei, Xie Zhenghui, Liu Qian, Yang Hongwei, Su Fengge,et al, An application of the VIC-3L land surface model and remote sensing data in simulating streamflow for the Hanjiang River Basin, Canadian Journal of Remote Sensing, 30(5), 680-690,2004.

– Su Fengge, Xie Zhenghui, A model for assessing effects of climate change on runoff in China, Progress in Natural Progress, 13(9), 701-707,2003.

– 梁妙玲 ,谢正辉 ,我国气候对植被分布和净初级生产力影响的数值模拟 ,气候与环境研究 , 已接受 ,2006.

– Yuan Fei, Xie Zhenghui, Liu Qian, Xia Jun, Simulating Hydrologic Changes with Climate Change Scenarios in the Haihe River Basin, Pedosphere, 15(5): 595-600, 2005.

Page 8: 陆面水文模型发展、参数标定与移植 及其模拟研究

• 水文过程研究需要深入;• 生态过程机制( C,N 循环)需要发展,植被动态演替;

• 各种非均匀性问题;• 陆面模型的参数标定与移植;• 陆面数据同化问题,全球土壤湿度等陆面分量的时空分布;

• 与区域与全球气候模式的耦合;• 各种应用问题;• 雪盖、冻土和旱土、大面积水面作用的描述简单,冻土、雪盖占陆面面积都远大于 1/4 ,沙漠区占 1/4 。

陆面过程研究前沿问题陆面过程研究前沿问题

Page 9: 陆面水文模型发展、参数标定与移植 及其模拟研究

基于全国 50 kmX50 km 网格大尺度陆面水文模型

Page 10: 陆面水文模型发展、参数标定与移植 及其模拟研究

水分收支过程

能量收支过程

陆面过程模式(V

IC

基于全国 50 kmX50 km 网格大尺度陆面水文模型

Page 11: 陆面水文模型发展、参数标定与移植 及其模拟研究

Eb

Et

Ec L S RL

RsRL

Qd

Layer 1

Layer 2

Layer 3

Canopy

i

WsW3

c W3

c

Bas

eflo

w,B

DsD

mD

mBaseflow Curve

Ds/Ws=1

Ds/Ws<1

0

W0

WR

s Fraction of Area

Infi

ltra

tion

Cap

acit

y

i0+PP

i=im[1-(1-A)1/b]im

Variable Infiltration Curve

Th

ree-Layer V

ariable In

filtration C

apacity

(VIC

-3L) M

odel

Grid Cell Energy and Moisture Fluxes

P

11

...

NN+1

Grid Cell Vegetation Coverage

2

Qd

i

Layer 3 Soil Moisture,W3

Qb

R

i0

Qb

Page 12: 陆面水文模型发展、参数标定与移植 及其模拟研究

水分收支过程 植被蒸散、裸土蒸发、土壤水传输、排

水和径流决定了陆面过程中的水分收支,也是 VIC 中所考虑的主要水文过程。

蒸 散 发 ( evaporation and transpiration )

冠层截流( canopy interception )土壤水模型( soil hydrological model )径流和排水( runoff and drainage )

Page 13: 陆面水文模型发展、参数标定与移植 及其模拟研究

蒸 散 发

陆面过程模式V

IC

中的蒸

冠层湿部蒸发 Ew ( wet canopy evaporation )冠层蒸腾 Etr ( dry canopy transpiration )裸土蒸发 Eg ( bare soil surface evaporation )

pEE

)/1(

/)(

as

aapnp rrs

rdcGRsE

Page 14: 陆面水文模型发展、参数标定与移植 及其模拟研究

冠层水量平衡

冠层持水量 Mc 的平衡方程可由下式表达:

P- 降水率;Ew - 土壤湿部蒸发;Dc- 大于叶片最大持水量而滴落到地面的部分。

cwc DEP

t

M

Page 15: 陆面水文模型发展、参数标定与移植 及其模拟研究

  用一维 Richard’s 方程来描述土层间的传导和扩散过程 :

各土层的控制方程为:

土壤水模型

z

K

zD

zt

)(

))((

11)()(. 1

1zz z

DKERPzt

22)()(. 2

2zz z

DKERPzt

bzz Qz

DKzzt

22)()().( 23

3

ER P

K2

K1

D2

D1

Qb

z=-z3

z=-z1

z=0

z=-z2

Page 16: 陆面水文模型发展、参数标定与移植 及其模拟研究

WsW3

c W3

c

Bas

eflo

w,B

DsD

mD

m

Baseflow Curve

Ds/Ws=1

Ds/Ws<1

0

Layer 3 Soil Moisture,W3

径流和排水

W0

WR

s Fraction of Area

Infi

ltra

tion

Cap

acit

y

i0+PP

i=im[1-(1-A)1/b]im

Variable Infiltration Curve

i0

m

b

mss

ms

iPii

PizzP

ipizP

R0

1

0222

022

,1..).(

),.(

Page 17: 陆面水文模型发展、参数标定与移植 及其模拟研究

能量平衡方程GEHRn

z

TkzG

)(

)(z

Tk

zt

TCs

Rn - net radiation;

H - the sensible heat flux;

E -the latent heat flux;

G - the ground heat flux.

Page 18: 陆面水文模型发展、参数标定与移植 及其模拟研究

VIC 模型结构的简单介绍

土壤、植被参数源程序及控制文件土壤、植被参数

源程序及控制文件Forcing data Flux data

Page 19: 陆面水文模型发展、参数标定与移植 及其模拟研究

运行 VIC 模式所需的子目录

• ../SOURCE/ 存放源程序及 global

• ../PARAMETER/ 存放土壤及植被参数

• ../FORCING/ 存放 forcing data 数据

• ../RESULTS/ 存放输出的结果

控制文件

Page 20: 陆面水文模型发展、参数标定与移植 及其模拟研究

../Source/global 控制文件

• 在 global 控制文件中包含了运行 VIC 模式所需的三个参数文件:

1 、植被参数文件 2 、土壤参数文件 3 、植被参数库文件 其中,土壤和植被参数文件中存放研究

区域内,每个网格中所包含的土壤、植被的相关的统计数据。植被参数库文件存放各种植被类型的一些固定参数。

Page 21: 陆面水文模型发展、参数标定与移植 及其模拟研究

../Source/global 控制文件

• 在 global 控制文件中包含了运行 VIC 模式所需的三个参数文件:

1 、植被参数文件 2 、土壤参数文件 3 、植被参数库文件

Page 22: 陆面水文模型发展、参数标定与移植 及其模拟研究

统计结果如下:

Page 23: 陆面水文模型发展、参数标定与移植 及其模拟研究

植被参数文件的结构

Page 24: 陆面水文模型发展、参数标定与移植 及其模拟研究

../Source/global 控制文件

• 在 global 控制文件中包含了运行 VIC 模式所需的三个参数文件:

1 、植被参数文件 2 、土壤参数文件 3 、植被参数库文件

Page 25: 陆面水文模型发展、参数标定与移植 及其模拟研究

统计结果如下:

Page 26: 陆面水文模型发展、参数标定与移植 及其模拟研究

土壤参数文件的结构

Page 27: 陆面水文模型发展、参数标定与移植 及其模拟研究

../Source/global 控制文件

• 在 global 控制文件中包含了运行 VIC 模式所需的三个参数文件:

1 、植被参数文件 2 、土壤参数文件 3 、植被参数库文件

Page 28: 陆面水文模型发展、参数标定与移植 及其模拟研究

../Parameter/ 参数文件• 将生成的参数文件放在 ../Parameter/ 目

录下,然后在 global 控制文件中指定它们所在的目录即可:SOIL ../Parameter/ 土壤参数文件VEGPARAM ../Parameter/ 植被参数文件VEGLIB ../Parameter/ 植被参数库文件

Page 29: 陆面水文模型发展、参数标定与移植 及其模拟研究

../Forcing/forcing data 数据• Forcing data 文件中存放一定时间范围内,

每个网格内的日降水量、最高及最低气温。

• 在生成 forcing data 数据时,选取全国 700 多个站点数据,通过距离权重法,确定每个网格所需的数据。

• 最后将生成的文件放在 ../Forcing/ 目录下即可。

Page 30: 陆面水文模型发展、参数标定与移植 及其模拟研究

Regional Parameter Estimation of the VIC Land Surface Model: Methodology and Application to

River Basins in China

Zhenghui Xie, Fei YuanInstitute of Atmospheric Physics

Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029, China

Qingyun DuanUniversity of California/Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory,

Livermore, CA 94550, USA

Jing Zheng, Miaoling Liang, Feng Chen

accepted by Journal of Hydrometeorology  

Page 31: 陆面水文模型发展、参数标定与移植 及其模拟研究

Model and DataCalibration and transferSimulationConclusions

Page 32: 陆面水文模型发展、参数标定与移植 及其模拟研究

Model and DataLiang et al. (1994) developed the VIC-2L model which i

ncludes two different time scales (fast and slow) for runoff to capture the dynamics of runoff generation.

To better represent quick bare soil evaporation following small summer rainfall events, a thin soil layer is included in VIC-2L, and VIC-2L becomes VIC-3L.

Liang and Xie (2001) developed a new parameterization to represent the Horton runoff mechanism in VIC-3L and combined it effectively with the original representation of the Dunne runoff mechanism(Xie et al., 2003).

Page 33: 陆面水文模型发展、参数标定与移植 及其模拟研究

WR1

Fraction of studied area

Soi

l moi

stur

e ca

paci

ty [

L]

i=i m[1-(1-A)1/b]i m

R2

y

Fraction of the area (1-As)

f = f m[1-(1-C)]1/B]f m

f

Pot

enti

al in

filt

rati

on r

ate

[L/T

]

PR2 /t

W/t

C

i

As

wp

Wt

A

i 0

(a) (b)

Runoff and drainage

R=R1(y)+R2(y)

Page 34: 陆面水文模型发展、参数标定与移植 及其模拟研究

Saturation excess runoff R1(y)

where

i0 -- the point soil moisture capacity

im -- maximum soil moisture capacity

b -- shape parameter(soil moisture capacity)

P --precipitation

.,)(

;0,)1()1(1)(

0001

01010

1

PyiiiiyiiR

iiyi

yi

i

i

b

iy

yR

mmm

mb

m

b

m

m

Page 35: 陆面水文模型发展、参数标定与移植 及其模拟研究

where fmm -- the average potential infiltration rate

fm – the maximum potential infiltration rate

B -- shape parameter(potential infiltration rate)

P --precipitation

∆t--time step

;1,

;1,)1(1

)(1

1

1111

2

tf

RPtfRP

tf

RP

tf

RPtfRP

yR

mmm

m

B

mmm

Infiltration excess runoff R2(y)

Page 36: 陆面水文模型发展、参数标定与移植 及其模拟研究

Precitation P

P+i0<im

W0

s Fraction of Area

Sso

il m

oist

ure

Cap

acit

y i0 +P

P

im

Solve YInfiltration excess runoff R1

Saturation excess runoff R2

W0

R1

s Fraction of Area

i0

P

im

R1Y

R2

Y

WW

Stop

Begin

yesno

i0 +Pi0

Last time step ?

Yes

No

ii

R2

NSRM

计算示意图

Sso

il m

oist

ure

Cap

acit

y

Page 37: 陆面水文模型发展、参数标定与移植 及其模拟研究

How to estimate fm

From

ΔW;0

t f Wf(t)dt0

We get tf, then fmm

);1)f(t(Bf

);f(tf

f

f

m

mm

Page 38: 陆面水文模型发展、参数标定与移植 及其模拟研究

Time (hour) Infi

ltra

tion

Rat

e (m

m/h

)

f(t)

f0

ttf

W0ΔW

;KtSf(t) pp 2/1

Example: Philip Infiltration Curve

where

f(t) ---- the infiltration capacity[L/T]

Kp---- the final capacity[L/T]

Sp---- an empirical constant

pp KtSf(t) 2/1

Page 39: 陆面水文模型发展、参数标定与移植 及其模拟研究

Coupling of VIC and NSRM

VIC

NSRM

VIC

Precipitation

Upper layer soil moisture

Surface runoff

Next step

Page 40: 陆面水文模型发展、参数标定与移植 及其模拟研究

Data and model parameters

Vegetation data Soil dataForcing data

50 × 50 km2 resolution

Page 41: 陆面水文模型发展、参数标定与移植 及其模拟研究

长江流域

黄河流域

淮河流域

海河流域

Page 42: 陆面水文模型发展、参数标定与移植 及其模拟研究

Vegetation related parameters

Page 43: 陆面水文模型发展、参数标定与移植 及其模拟研究

Soil classification is based on global 5-min soil data provided by the NOAA hydrology office

Soil parameters are derived based on the work of Cosby et al. (1993) and Rawls et al. (1993).

Page 44: 陆面水文模型发展、参数标定与移植 及其模拟研究

Three depths of three soil layers The exponent of the VIC-3L soil moisture

capacity curve B The parameters in the ARNO subsurface

flow parameterization

Model parameters of VIC-3L

to be calibrated

Page 45: 陆面水文模型发展、参数标定与移植 及其模拟研究

Forcing data are based on 740 meteorological stations in China, which contain 11 years of daily precipitation and air temperature data from 1980 to 1990. Such station information is mapped to the resolution of 50 × 50 km2 grids by combining interpolation methods

Page 46: 陆面水文模型发展、参数标定与移植 及其模拟研究

Calibration and transfer

Classification of climate zones - Köppen Classification

Climatic characteristics for the transfer of calibrated parameters under the premise that hydrological processes and the parameters used to describe them are similar within than between different climate zones

Method

Page 47: 陆面水文模型发展、参数标定与移植 及其模拟研究

Grouping of Köppen climate zones into parameter transfer zones

Page 48: 陆面水文模型发展、参数标定与移植 及其模拟研究

 

The climate zones of China according to Köppen classification

Page 49: 陆面水文模型发展、参数标定与移植 及其模拟研究

Locations of the selected basins in China for calibration and verifications

Page 50: 陆面水文模型发展、参数标定与移植 及其模拟研究
Page 51: 陆面水文模型发展、参数标定与移植 及其模拟研究

Schematic representation of the parameter regionalization scheme

Page 52: 陆面水文模型发展、参数标定与移植 及其模拟研究

Selected river basins

Page 53: 陆面水文模型发展、参数标定与移植 及其模拟研究

Parameter calibration

Calibration was performed and focused on matching the total annual flow volume and the shape of the monthly hydrograph according to the following procedures:

Set the estimated values for the depths of the three soil layers, with deeper depths for arid and semi-arid regions and lower depths for humid regions;

Calibrate the ARNO model parameters to fit the low flow; Calibrate the infiltration parameter to match the observed flo

w peaks, with a higher value to increase the peak and a lower value to lower the peak;

Make a fine adjustment on these parameters to get best simulation results.

Page 54: 陆面水文模型发展、参数标定与移植 及其模拟研究

Parameter transfer scheme

Parameters to be transferred

Transfer scheme Transferred from the primary to the secondary

catchments based on climate zone

Page 55: 陆面水文模型发展、参数标定与移植 及其模拟研究

Three depths of three soil layers The exponent of the VIC-3L soil moisture

capacity curve B The parameters in the ARNO subsurface

flow parameterization

Model parameters of VIC-3L

to be transferred

Page 56: 陆面水文模型发展、参数标定与移植 及其模拟研究

Parameter transfer

(1) Those for two catchments in the Yellow River Basin are calibrated, the parameters for the two catchments are averaged respectively as the corresponding parameters for the zone of continental climate with cool summer.

(2) Those for two catchments in the Haihe River Basin are calibrated, and the parameters for the two catchments are averaged respectively as the corresponding parameters for the zone of continental climate with hot summer.

Page 57: 陆面水文模型发展、参数标定与移植 及其模拟研究

(3) Those for one catchment in the Heihe River Basin are calibrated, and the parameters for the catchment are set to those corresponding parameters for the zone of continental climate with short cool summer.

(4) Most of area in the Huaihe River Basin and the Yangtze River

Basin belongs to the zone of rainy, mid latitude climate. The parameters for two catchments in the Huaihe River Basin

are calibrated, and those for the two catchments are averaged respectively as the corresponding parameters for the zone of rainy and mid latitude climate located in the Huaihe River Basin.

Those for two catchments in the Yangtze River Basin are calibrated, and the parameters for the two catchments are averaged respectively as the corresponding parameters for the zone of rainy and mid latitude climate located in the Yangtze River Basin.

Page 58: 陆面水文模型发展、参数标定与移植 及其模拟研究

Parameters for the rainy and mid latitude climate zone north of the Huaihe River Basin and the Yangtze River Basin are set to that for the Huaihe River Basin; parameter values for the climate zone south of these two river basins are equivalent to that for the Yangtze River Basin.

(5) The zone of tropical climate has similar climatic char

acteristics as those in rainy and mid latitude climate zone. Therefore, the parameters for the zone of tropical climate are set to be the corresponding parameters for the Yangtze River Basin.

(6) Since streamflow data for the zone of dry and cold cli

mate is not available, default values of B, D1, D2, Dm, Ds and Ws for the area are set to be 0.3, 0.1, 0.5, 2.0, 0.02, 8.0, and 0.8 respectively.

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Simulation

Primary Catchments

The VIC model also provides a default parameter

set, namely the parameter set for base case.Comparisons were made between the results for

the base case and calibration.

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Mean monthly hydrographs of observed and simulated flow for the primary basins  

Page 61: 陆面水文模型发展、参数标定与移植 及其模拟研究

Monthly hydrographs of observed and simulated flow for the primary

basin  

Page 62: 陆面水文模型发展、参数标定与移植 及其模拟研究

Mean monthly hydrographs of observed and simulated flow for the primary basins  

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Primary Catchments

• The model performance was considerably better for the calibrated parameters than those without calibration. In general, calibration improve the results in all instances compared those with no calibration.

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Secondary Catchments

The parameters were transferred to secondary catchments and runoff simulation with the transferred parameters was performed.

Runoff simulation with the recalibrated parameters was performed.

Results were compared for the base case, the transferred case and the recalibration case.

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Mean monthly hydrographs of observed and simulated flow for the secondary basins  

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Monthly hydrographs of observed and simulated flow for the secondary basins  

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Secondary Catchments

• The parameter transfer scheme improved the streamflow simulation. Subsequent recalibration of all basins further enhanced the modeling performance.

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Calibration and parameter transfer statistics

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Summary &Conclusions

A parameter estimation is given to simulate streamflow for river basins in China, which is represented by 4355 cells with a resolution of 50 × 50 km2 for each cell. The land area in China was grouped by climate zone, and model parameters were transferred within zones.

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The transferred parameters were used to simulate the water balance in river basins in China. The simulated daily runoff of VIC-3L with transferred parameters and un-calibrated parameters was routed to the outlets of the river basins, and compared to the monthly-observed streamflow at the related catchments.

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Results show that the model for the transferred parameters can simulate the observations well

The parameter transfer scheme improved the streamflow simulation. Subsequent recalibration of all basins further enhanced the modeling performance and the proposed parameter transfer method is promising in estimating the VIC model parameters for data-sparse areas in China.

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Discussions

• 1) what are differences between remote sensed data and model simulated data?

• 2) why? • 3) what is your plan to use

the remote sensed data to initialize your model? • 4) how can we be coupled? • 5)what we do next.

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谢谢各位! [email protected]

Thank You for your attention!