30
Appendix Figure S1 partial Abies alba 0 500 1000 1500 2000 Intermediate Abies homolepis 0 500 1000 1500 2000 Intermediate Acer barbinerve 0 500 1000 1500 2000 None Acer campestre 0 500 1000 1500 2000 High Acer ginnala 0 500 1000 1500 2000 None Acer negundo 0 500 1000 1500 2000 Intermediate Acer platanoides 0 500 1000 1500 2000 Intermediate Acer pseudoplatanus 0 500 1000 1500 2000 High Acer rubrum 0 500 1000 1500 2000 High Acer saccharinum 0 500 1000 1500 2000 High Acer saccharum 0 500 1000 1500 2000 High Acer tataricum 0 500 1000 1500 2000 Intermediate Aesculus flava 0 500 1000 1500 2000 High Aesculus hippocastanum 0 500 1000 1500 2000 Intermediate Aesculus parviflora 0 500 1000 1500 2000 High Alnus incana 0 500 1000 1500 2000 Intermediate Alnus maximowiczii 0 500 1000 1500 2000 None Alnus serrulata 0 500 1000 1500 2000 High Amelanchier alnifolia 0 500 1000 1500 2000 Intermediate Amelanchier florida 0 500 1000 1500 2000 Intermediate Amelanchier laevis 0 500 1000 1500 2000 Intermediate Amorpha fruticosa 0 500 1000 1500 2000 None Aronia arbutifolia 0 500 1000 1500 2000 High Aronia melanocarpa 0 500 1000 1500 2000 None Berberis dielsiana 0 500 1000 1500 2000 None Berberis thunbergii 0 500 1000 1500 2000 Intermediate Berberis vulgaris 0 500 1000 1500 2000 None Betula lenta 0 500 1000 1500 2000 High Betula nana 0 500 1000 1500 2000 High Betula papyrifera 0 500 1000 1500 2000 High C1 C2 C3 C1 C2 C3 C1 C2 C3 C1 C2 C3 C1 C2 C3 NL NL NL NL NL NL NL NL v v v v v v

Zohner et al EcolLett supporting inforenners/Zohner_Spring_predictability_Ecol_Lett2017... · Appendix Figure S1 partial 132" 133" Figure S11 partial 134" 135" 136" Abies alba 0 500

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Appendix

Figure S1 partial

132"Figure S11 partial 133" 134" 135" 136"

Abies alba

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Laube et al. 2014

Intermediate

● ●

Abies homolepis

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Laube et al. 2014

Intermediate

●●

Acer barbinerve

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

Acer campestre

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

High

● ●●

Acer ginnala

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

● ●

Acer negundo

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Laube et al. 2014

Intermediate

●●

Acer platanoides

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

Intermediate

Acer pseudoplatanus

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Laube et al. 2014

High

Acer rubrum

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Polgar 2014

High

Acer saccharinum

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Polgar 2014

High

Acer saccharum

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Laube et al. 2014

High

● ●

Acer tataricum

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Laube et al. 2014

Intermediate

Aesculus flava

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

High

●●

Aesculus hippocastanum

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

Intermediate

Aesculus parviflora

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

High

●●

Alnus incana

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

Intermediate

●●

Alnus maximowiczii

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

Alnus serrulata

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Polgar 2014

High

●●

Amelanchier alnifolia

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

Intermediate

Amelanchier florida

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

Intermediate

●●

Amelanchier laevis

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

Intermediate

● ●

Amorpha fruticosa

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Laube et al. 2014

None

Aronia arbutifolia

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Polgar 2014

High

● ●●

Aronia melanocarpa

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

● ●

Berberis dielsiana

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

●●

Berberis thunbergii

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Polgar 2014

Intermediate

●●

Berberis vulgaris

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Polgar 2014

None

Betula lenta

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

High

● ●

Betula nana

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

High

Betula papyrifera

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Polgar 2014

High

C1 C2 C3 C1 C2 C3 C1 C2 C3 C1 C2 C3 C1 C2 C3

NL

NL NL

NL NL

NL

NL NL

v

v

v

v

v

v

Figure S1 continued

137"Figure S11 continued 138" 139" 140" 141"

● ●

Betula pendula

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Laube et al. 2014

Intermediate

● ● ●

Betula populifolia

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

Buddleja albiflora

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

●●

Buddleja alternifolia

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

NoneBuddleja davidii

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

● ●

Caragana pygmaea

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

●●

Carpinus betulus

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

Intermediate

●●

Carpinus laxiflora

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

Intermediate

Carpinus monbeigiana

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

● ●

Carya cordiformis

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

High

Carya glabra

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Polgar 2014

High

Carya laciniosa

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

High●

Carya ovata

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

High

●● ●

Castanea sativa

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

● ●●

Cedrus libani

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

Intermediate

●●

Celastrus orbiculatus

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Polgar 2014

Intermediate

●●

Celtis caucasica

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

Intermediate

Celtis laevigata

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

High

Celtis occidentalis

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

High

● ●

Cephalanthus occidentalis

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

Intermediate

● ●

Cercidiphyllum japonicum

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

Intermediate

Cercidiphyllum magnificum

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

High

●●

Cercis canadensis

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

High

Cercis chinensis

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

Cladrastis lutea

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

High

Clethra alnifolia

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Polgar 2014

High

Comptonia peregrina

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Polgar 2014

High

Cornus alba

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

Intermediate

●●

Cornus amomum

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Polgar 2014

Intermediate

● ●●

Cornus kousa

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

C1 C2 C3 C1 C2 C3 C1 C2 C3 C1 C2 C3 C1 C2 C3

NL NL

● ●

Betula pendula

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Laube et al. 2014

Intermediate

● ● ●

Betula populifolia

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

Buddleja albiflora

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

●●

Buddleja alternifolia

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

Buddleja davidii

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

● ●

Caragana pygmaea

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

●●

Carpinus betulus

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

Intermediate

●●

Carpinus laxiflora

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

Intermediate

Carpinus monbeigiana

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

● ●

Carya cordiformis

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

High

Carya glabra

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Polgar 2014

High

Carya laciniosa

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

High●

Carya ovata

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

High

●● ●

Castanea sativa

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

● ●●

Cedrus libani

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

Intermediate

●●

Celastrus orbiculatus

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Polgar 2014

Intermediate

●●

Celtis caucasica

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

Intermediate

Celtis laevigata

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

High

Celtis occidentalis

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

High

● ●

Cephalanthus occidentalis

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

Intermediate

● ●

Cercidiphyllum japonicum

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

Intermediate

Cercidiphyllum magnificum

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

High

●●

Cercis canadensis

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

High

Cercis chinensis

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

Cladrastis lutea

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

High

Clethra alnifolia

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Polgar 2014

High

Comptonia peregrina

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Polgar 2014

High

Cornus alba

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

Intermediate

●●

Cornus amomum

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Polgar 2014

Intermediate

● ●●

Cornus kousa

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

NL NL

v

v

v

v

Figure S1 continued

142"Figure S11 continued 143" 144" 145" 146"

●● ●

Cornus mas

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Laube et al. 2014

None

●●

Corylopsis sinensis

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

●●

Corylopsis spicata

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

● ●

Corylus americana

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Polgar 2014

Intermediate

●● ●

Corylus avellana

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

●●

Corylus heterophylla

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

Intermediate

● ●

Corylus sieboldiana

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

Intermediate

●●

Decaisnea fargesii

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

Intermediate

●●

Deutzia gracilis

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

Deutzia scabra

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

●● ●

Elaeagnus umbellata

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Polgar 2014

None

● ●●

Elaeagnus ebbingei

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

● ● ●

Eleutherococcus senticosus

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

● ●●

Eleutherococcus setchuensis

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

●●

Eleutherococcus sieboldianus

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

●●

Euonymus alatus

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Polgar 2014

Intermediate

● ●

Euonymus europaeus

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

Intermediate

Euonymus latifolius

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

High

●●

Fagus crenata

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

High

Fagus engleriana

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

High

Fagus grandifolia

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Polgar 2014

High

Fagus orientalis

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

High

Fagus sylvatica

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

High

●●

Forsythia ovata

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

●●

Forsythia suspensa

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

Fraxinus americana

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Polgar 2014

Intermediate

●●

Fraxinus chinensis

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Laube et al. 2014

Intermediate

●●

Fraxinus excelsior

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Laube et al. 2014

None

●●

Fraxinus latifolia

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

Intermediate●

Fraxinus ornus

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

High

C1 C2 C3 C1 C2 C3 C1 C2 C3 C1 C2 C3 C1 C2 C3

NL NL

NL

NL

Figure S1 continued

147"Figure S11 continued 148" 149" 150" 151"

● ●●

Fraxinus pensylvanica

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Laube et al. 2014

None

●●

Gaylussacia baccata

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Polgar 2014

High

● ●

Ginkgo biloba

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

Intermediate

● ●

Hamamelis japonica

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

Intermediate

Hamamelis vernalis

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

High

●●

Hamamelis viginiana

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Polgar 2014

High

●●

Heptacodium miconioides

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

Hibiscus syriacus

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

●●

Hydrangea arborescens

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

Intermediate

●●

Hydrangea involucrata

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

Intermediate

Hydrangea serrata

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

Intermediate

●●

Juglans ailantifolia

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Laube et al. 2014

Intermediate

●●

Juglans cinerea

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Laube et al. 2014

Intermediate

●●

Juglans regia

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Laube et al. 2014

Intermediate

Kalmia angustifolia

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Polgar 2014

Intermediate

Kalmia latifolia

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Polgar 2014

High

●● ●

Larix decidua

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Laube et al. 2014

None

●●

Larix gmelinii

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

Intermediate

Larix kaempferi

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

Intermediate

●● ●

Ligustrum compactum

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Polgar 2014

None

●● ●

Ligustrum ibota

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Polgar 2014

None

Ligustrum tschonoskii

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

Lindera benzoin

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Polgar 2014

High

Liquidambar orientalis

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

●●

Liquidambar styraciflua

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

Intermediate

● ●

Liriodendron tulipifera

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

Intermediate

● ● ●

Lonicera alpigena

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

●● ●

Lonicera caerulea

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

●● ●

Lonicera maackii

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Polgar 2014

None

●● ●

Lonicera maximowiczii

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

C1 C2 C3 C1 C2 C3 C1 C2 C3 C1 C2 C3 C1 C2 C3

NL NL

NL NL

NL

Figure S1 continued

152"Figure S11 continued 153" 154" 155" 156" 157"

●● ●

Lonicera subsesillis

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Polgar 2014

None

●●

Malus domestica

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Polgar 2014

Intermediate

●●

Metasequoia glyptostroboides

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

●●

Myrica pensylvanica

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Polgar 2014

High

●●

Nothofagus antarctica

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

Intermediate

Nyssa sylvatica

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Polgar 2014

High

●● ●

Oemleria cerasiformis

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

●●

Orixa japonica

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

Intermediate

● ●

Ostrya carpinifolia

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

Ostrya virginiana

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

High

● ● ●

Paeonia rockii

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

Parrotia persica

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

Parrotiopsis jaquemontiana

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

●●

Photinia villosa

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

● ●

Picea abies

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

Intermediate

Pinus nigra

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Laube et al. 2014

None

Pinus strobus

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Laube et al. 2014

None

●●

Pinus sylvestris

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Laube et al. 2014

Intermediate

●●

Pinus wallichiana

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Laube et al. 2014

None

Populus grandidentata

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Polgar 2014

High

● ●●

Populus koreana

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

●●

Populus tremula

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Laube et al. 2014

High

● ● ●

Prinsepia sinensis

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

● ● ●

Prinsepia uniflora

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

●●

Prunus avium

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Laube et al. 2014

Intermediate

● ●

Prunus cerasifera

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

● ● ●

Prunus padus

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

● ●

Prunus serotina

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Laube et al. 2014

Intermediate

●●

Prunus serrulata

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

Intermediate

● ●

Prunus tenella

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

C1 C2 C3 C1 C2 C3 C1 C2 C3 C1 C2 C3 C1 C2 C3

NL NL

NL NL

Figure S1 continued

158"Figure S11 continued 159" 160" 161" 162" 163"

● ●

Pseudotsuga menziesii

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Laube et al. 2014

Intermediate

Ptelea trifoliata

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

● ●

Pyrus elaeagnifolia

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

Intermediate

● ●

Pyrus pyrifolia

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

●●

Pyrus ussuriensis

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

Quercus alba

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Polgar 2014

High

Quercus bicolor

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Laube et al. 2014

High

●●

Quercus robur

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

Intermediate

Quercus rubra

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Laube et al. 2014

High

●●

Quercus shumardii

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

Intermediate

Rhamnus alpina

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

High

● ●

Rhamnus cathartica

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

Intermediate

Rhamnus frangula

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Polgar 2014

High

Rhododendron canadense

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

●●

Rhododendron dauricum

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

●● ●

Rhododendron mucronulatum

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

Rhus typhina

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Polgar 2014

High

Ribes alpinum

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

Intermediate

● ●

Ribes divaricatum

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

Intermediate

● ● ●

Ribes glaciale

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

Robinia pseudoacacia

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Laube et al. 2014

Intermediate

● ●●

Rosa hugonis

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

● ●●

Rosa majalis

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

●●

Rosa multiflora

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Polgar 2014

Intermediate

● ●●

Salix gracilistyla

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

Salix repens

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

High

●●

Sambucus nigra

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

Sambucus pubens

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

Intermediate

●●

Sambucus tigranii

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

Intermediate

Sassafras albidum

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Polgar 2014

High

C1 C2 C3 C1 C2 C3 C1 C2 C3 C1 C2 C3 C1 C2 C3

NL NL

NL NL

NL

Figure S1 continued

164"Figure S11 continued 165" 166" 167" 168" 169"

●●

Sinowilsonia henryi

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

Smilax rotundifolia

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Polgar 2014

High

Sorbus aria

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

High

● ●

Sorbus commixta

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

Intermediate

●●

Sorbus decora

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

Intermediate

●●

Spiraea canescens

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

Spiraea chamaedryfolia

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

●●

Spiraea japonica

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

Spiraea latifolia

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Polgar 2014

High

● ●

Stachyurus praecox

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

● ●

Stachyurus sinensis

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

Intermediate

● ●

Symphoricarpos albus

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Laube et al. 2014

Intermediate

Syringa josikaea

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

●●

Syringa reticulata

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

● ●

Syringa villosa

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

●●

Syringa vulgaris

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Laube et al. 2014

None

Tilia dasystyla

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

High

● ●●

Tilia japonica

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

●●

Tilia platyphyllos

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

Intermediate

●●

Toona sinensis

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

Ulmus amerciana

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

High

Ulmus laevis

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

High

● ●

Vaccinium angustifolium

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Polgar 2014

Intermediate

Vaccinium corymbosum

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Polgar 2014

High

●●

Vaccinium pallidum

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Polgar 2014

High

● ●

Viburnum betulifolium

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

Intermediate

Viburnum buddleifolium

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

High

●●

Viburnum carlesii

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

● ●

Viburnum opulus

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

Intermediate

●●

Viburnum plicatum

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

Intermediate

C1 C2 C3 C1 C2 C3 C1 C2 C3 C1 C2 C3 C1 C2 C3

NL NL

NL

Figure S1 Results of twig cutting experiments to study the effect of chilling on forcing

requirements until leaf-out in 215 temperate woody species, conducted in Laube et al. (2014),

Polgar et al. (2014), and Zohner et al. (2016) (see Appendix Table S1 and S2). Graphs show

median growing degree days >0°C outdoors and in climate chamber (± SD) until leaf-out in

215 woody species at three different cutting dates (C1, C2, C3): Zohner et al. (2016), C1 = 21

Dec 2013, C2 = 10 Feb 2014, C3 = 21 March 2014; Laube et al. (2014), C1 = 14 Dec 2011,

C2 = 30 Jan 2012, C3 = 14 March 2012; Polgar et al. (2014), C1 = 8 Jan 2013, C2 = 14 Feb

2013, C3 = 20 March 2013). Lines in dark blue: species assigned to the category high chilling

requirements; blue: species assigned to the category intermediate chilling requirements; light

blue: species assigned to the category no chilling requirements (see Material and Methods for

classification rules). NL: no leaf-out within study period. Some species leafed out before the

last cutting date (C3), and in this case we show the degree days required until leaf-out in the

field for the same individuals.

170" 171"

Figure S11 | Chilling requirements of 215 temperate woody species. The importance of 172"chilling for subsequent bud development (none, intermediate, or high chilling requirements) 173"was inferred from twig cutting experiments conducted in Zohner & Renner 2016, Laube et al., 174"and Polgar et al. 2014 (see label below each graph). Graphs show forcing requirements 175"(median growing degree days >0°C outdoors and in climate chamber ± SD) until leaf-out in 176"215 woody species at three different cutting dates (Zohner & Renner 2016: C1 = 21 Dec 177"2013, C2 = 10 Feb 2014, C3 = 21 March 2014; Laube et al. 2014: C1 = 14 Dec 2011, C2 = 30 178"Jan 2012, C3 = 14 March 2012; Polgar et al. 2014; C1 = 9 Jan 2013, C2 = 17 Feb 2013, C3 = 179"22 March 2013). Lines in dark blue: species assigned to the category high chilling 180"requirements; blue: species assigned to the category intermediate chilling requirements; light 181"blue: species assigned to the category no chilling requirements. NL indicates that no leaf-out 182"occurred at the repective cutting date. Some species leafed out before the last cutting date 183"(C3), and in this case we show the degree days required until leaf-out in the field for the same 184"individuals. 185" 186" 187" 188" 189" 190" 191" 192" 193" 194" 195" 196" 197" 198" 199" 200"

●●

Viburnum recognitum

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Polgar 2014

High

Vitis aestivalis

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Polgar 2014

High

●●

Weigela coraeensis

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

● ●

Weigela florida

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

● ●

Weigela maximowiczii

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

Intermediate

●●

Spiraea canescens

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

Spiraea chamaedryfolia

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

●●

Spiraea japonica

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

Spiraea latifolia

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Polgar 2014

High

● ●

Stachyurus praecox

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

● ●

Stachyurus sinensis

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

Intermediate

● ●

Symphoricarpos albus

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Laube et al. 2014

Intermediate

Syringa josikaea

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

●●

Syringa reticulata

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

● ●

Syringa villosa

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

●●

Syringa vulgaris

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Laube et al. 2014

None

Tilia dasystyla

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

High

● ●●

Tilia japonica

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

●●

Tilia platyphyllos

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

Intermediate

●●

Toona sinensis

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

Ulmus amerciana

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

High

Ulmus laevis

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

High

● ●

Vaccinium angustifolium

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Polgar 2014

Intermediate

Vaccinium corymbosum

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Polgar 2014

High

●●

Vaccinium pallidum

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Polgar 2014

High

● ●

Viburnum betulifolium

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

Intermediate

Viburnum buddleifolium

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

High

●●

Viburnum carlesii

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

● ●

Viburnum opulus

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

Intermediate

●●

Viburnum plicatum

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

Intermediate

●●

Viburnum recognitum

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Polgar 2014

High

Vitis aestivalis

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Polgar 2014

High

●●

Weigela coraeensis

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

● ●

Weigela florida

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

● ●

Weigela maximowiczii

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

Intermediate

●●

Spiraea canescens

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

Spiraea chamaedryfolia

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

●●

Spiraea japonica

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

Spiraea latifolia

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Polgar 2014

High

● ●

Stachyurus praecox

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

● ●

Stachyurus sinensis

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

Intermediate

● ●

Symphoricarpos albus

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Laube et al. 2014

Intermediate

Syringa josikaea

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

●●

Syringa reticulata

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

● ●

Syringa villosa

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

●●

Syringa vulgaris

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Laube et al. 2014

None

Tilia dasystyla

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

High

● ●●

Tilia japonica

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

●●

Tilia platyphyllos

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

Intermediate

●●

Toona sinensis

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

Ulmus amerciana

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

High

Ulmus laevis

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

High

● ●

Vaccinium angustifolium

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Polgar 2014

Intermediate

Vaccinium corymbosum

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Polgar 2014

High

●●

Vaccinium pallidum

0

500

1000

1500

2000

Polgar 2014

High

● ●

Viburnum betulifolium

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

Intermediate

Viburnum buddleifolium

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

High

●●

Viburnum carlesii

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

None

● ●

Viburnum opulus

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

Intermediate

●●

Viburnum plicatum

0

500

1000

1500

2000

This study

Intermediate

C1 C2 C3 C1 C2 C3 C1 C2 C3 C1 C2 C3 C1 C2 C3

Figure S2 Phylogeny of 374 temperate woody species with mean leaf-out dates observed in

the Munich Botanical Garden (between 2012 and 2015) indicated by colours and the

outermost bars. Pagel’s λ = 0.81, P < 0.001; Blomberg’s K = 0.06, P < 0.001.

10" 11"

12"Extended Data Figure 2 | Phylogeny of 374 woody temperate species with average leaf-13"out dates in Munich (2012 to 2015) indicated by colours and the outermost bars. The tree 14"was built with MEGAPTERA (46) and BEAST (47) and is based on sequence information 15"from four plastid loci (atpB, ndhF, matK, rbcL). Pagel’s λ = 0.81, P < 0.001; Blomberg’s K = 16"0.06, P < 0.001. 17" 18"

19"

Taxus baccata Sequoiadendron giganteum Metasequoia glyptostroboides Juniperus sabina Juniperus communis Thuja plicata Larix kaempferi Larix decidua Larix gmelinii Picea glehnii Picea omorika Picea asperata Picea abies Pinus armandii Pinus ponderosa Pinus banksiana Cedrus libani Abies alba Tsuga canadensis

Ginkgo biloba Decaisnea fargesii Akebia quinata

Berberis thunbergii

Berberis vulgaris Berberis amurensis

Berberis vernae Berberis concinna

Berberis actinacantha

Berberis koreana

Clematis ligusticifolia

Menispermum dauricum

Philadelphus sericanthus

Philadelphus satsumi

Philadelphus pekinensis

Philadelphus subcanus

Philadelphus coronarius

Philadelphus lewisii

Philadelphus pubesce

ns

Hydrangea macrophylla

Hydrangea serra

ta

Hydrangea anomala

Hydrangea involucra

ta

Hydrangea heteromalla

Hydran

gea p

anicu

lata

Hydran

gea a

rbores

cens

Deutzia

scab

ra

Deutzia

corym

bosa

Deutzia

grac

ilis

Davidia

invo

lucrat

a

Nys

sa sy

lvatic

a

Corn

us al

ternif

olia

Corn

us co

ntrov

ersa

Corn

us fo

emina

Corn

us ra

cemos

a

Corn

us se

ricea

Cor

nus a

lba

Cor

nus b

retsc

hneid

eri

Cor

nus s

angu

inea

Cor

nus w

alter

i

Cor

nus m

as

Cor

nus o

fficina

lis

Cor

nus k

ousa

Cor

nus f

lorida

Vac

cinium

angu

stifol

ium

Vac

cinium

ulig

inosu

m

Rho

dode

ndro

n ye

doen

se

Rho

dode

ndro

n ca

nade

nse

Rho

dode

ndro

n m

ucro

nulat

um

Rho

dode

ndro

n sc

hlipp

enba

chii

Enk

ianth

us ca

mpa

nulat

us

Ste

warti

a ps

eudo

cam

ellia

Ste

warti

a m

onad

elpha

Dios

pyro

s virg

inian

a

Per

iploc

a gr

aeca

Cep

hala

nthu

s oc

ciden

talis

Abe

lioph

yllum

dist

ichum

For

syth

ia s

uspe

nsa

For

syth

ia o

vata

Syr

inga

villo

sa

Syr

inga

pub

esce

ns

Syr

inga

pat

ula

Syr

inga

am

uren

sis

Syr

inga

retic

ulat

a

Lig

ustru

m v

ulga

re

Syr

inga

vul

garis

Syr

inga

obl

ata

Jas

min

um n

udiflo

rum

Fra

xinus

exc

elsio

r

Fra

xinus

ang

ustif

olia

Fra

xinus

chi

nens

is F

raxin

us o

rnus

Fra

xinus

latif

olia

Fra

xinus

tom

ento

sa

Fraxinus americana

Fraxinus longicuspis Buddleja alternifolia

Buddleja davidii Catalpa fargesii

Eucomm

ia ulmoides

Viburnum lentago

Viburnum burejaeticum

Viburnum carlesii

Viburnum prunifolium

Viburnum nudum

Viburnum farreri

Viburnum plicatum

Viburnum m

olle

Viburnum setigerum

Viburnum dentatum

Viburnum betulifolium

Viburnum erubescens

Viburnum lantana

Viburnum opulus

Viburnum buddleifolium

Sambucus pubens

Sambucus racem

osa

Sambucus nigra

Weigela praecox

Weigela florida

Symphoricarpos rotundifolius

Symphoricarpos oreophilus

Lonicera tangutica

Lonicera periclymenum

Lonicera maackii

Lonicera xylosteum

Lonicera caerulea

Lonicera maximowiczii

Lonicera webbiana

Heptacodium miconioides

Abelia mosanensis

Kolkwitzia amabilis

Eleutherococcus senticosus

Eleutherococcus sieboldianus

Kalopanax septemlobus

Staphylea colchica

Staphylea pinnata

Staphylea trifoliata

Stachyurus chinensis

Stachyurus praecox

Daphne laureola

Hibiscus syriacus

Tilia platyphyllos

Toona sinensis

Orixa japonica

Phellodendron amurense

Tetradium daniellii

Zanthoxylum simulans

Ptelea trifoliata

Poncirus trifoliata

Picrasma quassioides

Aesculus parviflora

Aesculus glabra

Aesculus flava

Aesculus hippocastanum

Acer saccharinum Acer rubrum

Acer shirasawanum

Acer palmatum Acer negundo

Acer diabolicum Acer tataricum

Acer tegmentosum Acer saccharum

Acer griseum

Acer pensylvanicum Acer crataegifolium Acer davidii Acer campestre

Acer platanoides Acer henryi Acer barbinerve Euonymus macropterus

Euonymus oxyphyllus Euonymus latifolius Euonymus fortunei Euonymus verrucosus Euonymus alatus Euonymus europaeus Euonymus hamiltonianus Idesia polycarpa Salix gracilistyla Salix magnifica Salix caprea Salix repens

Salix rosmarinifolia Salix alba

Populus koreana Flueggea suffruticosa

Rhamnus frangula Rhamnus cathartica

Broussonetia papyrifera

Celtis occidentalis

Celtis laevigata

Ulmus laevis

Ulmus americana

Ulmus glabra

Zelkova serrata

Zelkova schneideriana

Elaeagnus pungens

Elaeagnus umbellata

Elaeagnus ebbingei

Hippophae rhamnoides

Shepherdia argentea

Prunus serrulata

Prunus subhirtella

Prunus padus

Prunus virginiana

Prunus serotina

Prunus grayana

Prunus angustifolia

Prunus tenella

Prunus cerasifera

Prunus spinosa

Malus sieboldii

Malus halliana

Malus hupehensis

Malus prattii

Malus floribunda

Malus spectabilis

Malus prunifolia

Malus baccata

Malus fusca

Malus orientalis

Malus ioensis

Sorbus decora

Sorbus aucuparia

Cydonia oblonga

Pyracantha co

ccinea

Crataegus monogyna

Crataegus laevi

gata

Cratae

gus p

ersimilis

Cratae

gus m

ollis

Cratae

gus s

ubmolli

s

Cratae

gus c

hryso

carpa

Cratae

gus c

rus−g

alli

Mespilu

s germ

anica

Photin

ia vill

osa

Amelanc

hier a

lnifol

ia

Amelanc

hier la

evis

Chaen

omele

s cath

ayen

sis

Chaen

omele

s spe

ciosa

Chaen

omele

s jap

onica

Aron

ia mela

noca

rpa

Pyru

s call

erya

na

Pyru

s pyri

folia

Pyru

s uss

urien

sis

Pyru

s elae

agnif

olia

Coton

easte

r acu

tifoliu

s

Coton

easte

r nige

r

Coton

easte

r fov

eolat

us

Coton

easte

r fra

nche

tii

Coto

neas

ter m

ultiflo

rus

Coto

neas

ter d

ivaric

atus

Coto

neas

ter d

ielsia

nus

Coto

neas

ter a

cum

inatu

s

Coto

neas

ter h

orizo

ntali

s

Coto

neas

ter a

dpre

ssus

Coto

neas

ter m

oupin

ensis

Coto

neas

ter s

imon

sii

Coto

neas

ter h

arry

smith

ii

Oem

leria

cera

sifor

mis

Exoc

hord

a ra

cem

osa

Prin

sepi

a un

iflora

Pr

inse

pia

sinen

sis

Sorb

aria

sor

bifo

lia

Sorb

aria

arb

orea

Ne

illia

thib

etica

Ke

rria

japo

nica

Sp

iraea

sal

icifo

lia

Spira

ea m

iyabe

i Sp

iraea

cha

mae

dryf

olia

Sp

iraea

trich

ocar

pa

Rosa

alb

a Ro

sa b

land

a Ro

sa s

erice

a Ro

sa m

ultif

lora

Ro

sa c

entif

olia

Ro

sa w

illmot

tiae

Rosa

car

olin

a Ro

sa ru

gosa

Rosa spinosissima

Rosa acicularis Rubus allegheniensis Rubus parvifolius Alnus incana Alnus glutinosa Alnus firm

a Betula pendula Betula nana Betula dahurica Betula m

aximowicziana

Betula ermanii

Betula lenta Betula populifolia

Corylus avellana Corylus heterophylla

Corylus sieboldiana Corylus colurna

Corylus americana

Ostrya carpinifolia Ostrya virginiana

Carpinus betulus Carpinus m

onbeigiana

Carpinus laxiflora Carya ovata

Carya laciniosa Carya cordiform

is

Juglans nigra Juglans regia

Juglans ailanthifolia

Juglans mandshurica

Juglans microcarpa

Quercus rubra

Quercus bicolor

Quercus alba

Quercus macrocarpa

Quercus robur

Quercus mongolica

Quercus variabilis

Quercus cerris

Castanea sativa

Fagus engleriana

Fagus crenata

Fagus sylvatica

Fagus orientalis

Nothofagus antarctica

Cercis canadensis

Cercis chinensis

Cladrastis lutea

Cytisophyllum sessilifolium

Petteria ramentacea

Spartium junceum

Robinia pseudoacacia

Caragana pygmaea

Caragana aurantiaca

Amorpha fruticosa

Gymnocladus dioicus

Gleditsia caspica

Gleditsia sinensis

Gleditsia japonica

Paeonia rockii

Ribes glaciale

Ribes alpinum

Ribes himalense

Ribes uva−crispa

Liquidambar orientalis

Liquidambar styraciflua

Cercidiphyllum magnificum

Cercidiphyllum japonicum

Sinowilsonia henryi

Parrotia persica

Hamamelis virginiana

Hamamelis mollis

Hamamelis vernalis

Hamamelis japonica

Parrotiopsis jacquemontiana

Corylopsis spicata

Corylopsis sinensis

Asimina triloba

Schisandra chinensis

Liriodendron tulipifera

Magnolia macrophylla

Magnolia denudata

Magnolia salicifolia

Magnolia zenii

Magnolia kobus

Magnolia tripetala

Magnolia sieboldii

Magnolia acuminata

Aristolochia macrophylla

Sassafras albidum Lindera benzoin Calycanthus floridus Chimonanthus praecox

24 Feb

5 May

Leaf-out date 24 Feb 31 March 5 May

0

Fagales

Faba

les

Saxi

fraga

les

Mag

nolii

ds

Gym

nosperms

Ranunculales

Cornales

Ericales

Gentianales

Lamiales

Dipsacales

Crossoso

matales M

alvale

s

Sapi

ndal

es

Cel

astra

les

Mal

pgig

hial

es

Rosales

Figure S3 Phylogeny of 180 temperate woody species with their chilling requirements

indicated by the colours.

20"

21"

22"

23"

24"

25"

26"

27"

28"

29"

30"

31"

32"

33"

34"

35"

36"

37"

38"

39"

40"

41"

42"

Extended Data Figure 3 | Phylogeny of 180 woody temperate species with their chilling 43"requirements indicated by the colours. The tree was built with MEGAPTERA (46) and 44"BEAST (47) and is based on sequence information from four plastid loci (atpB, matK, ndhF, 45"rbcL). 46"

Sassafras_albidumLindera_benzoin

Liriodendron_tulipifera

Stachyurus_praecoxStachyurus_chinensisTilia_platyphyllosHibiscus_syriacus

Toona_sinensisOrixa_japonicaPtelea_trifoliata

Rhus_typhina

Acer_campestreAcer_barbinerveAcer_rubrumAcer_saccharinum

Acer_pseudoplatanusAcer_negundo

Aesculus_hippocastanumAesculus_flava

Aesculus_parviflora

Oemleria_cerasiformisPrinsepia_sinensisPrinsepia_uniflora

Prunus_serotinaPrunus_padusPrunus_tenellaPrunus_cerasiferaPrunus_serrulataPrunus_avium

Spiraea_chamaedryfolia

Pyrus_ussuriensisPyrus_pyrifolia

Pyrus_elaeagnifolia

Amelanchier_alnifoliaAmelanchier_laevisAronia_melanocarpa

Sorbus_decoraSorbus_aria

Photinia_villosa

Rosa_multiflora

Elaeagnus_umbellataElaeagnus_ebbingei

Rhamnus_catharticaRhamnus_frangula

Rhamnus_alpina

Ulmus_laevisUlmus_americanaCeltis_occidentalisCeltis_laevigata

Nothofagus_antarctica

Myrica_pensylvanicaComptonia_peregrinaJuglans_cinereaJuglans_regia

Carya_glabraCarya_cordiformisCarya_ovata

Carya_laciniosa

Betula_populifoliaBetula_lentaBetula_papyrifera

Betula_pendulaBetula_nana

Alnus_serrulataAlnus_incana

Carpinus_monbeigianaCarpinus_laxifloraCarpinus_betulus

Ostrya_virginianaOstrya_carpinifolia

Corylus_sieboldianaCorylus_heterophylla

Corylus_avellanaCorylus_americana

Fagus_grandifolia

Fagus_englerianaFagus_crenata

Fagus_orientalisFagus_sylvatica

Quercus_bicolorQuercus_alba

Castanea_sativa

Quercus_rubraQuercus_robur

Amorpha_fruticosaRobinia_pseudoacaciaCaragana_pygmaea

Cladrastis_lutea

Cercis_canadensisCercis_chinensis

Celastrus_orbiculatusEuonymus_europaeusEuonymus_alatusEuonymus_latifoliusSalix_gracilistylaSalix_repens

Populus_grandidentataPopulus_tremula

Populus_koreana

Liquidambar_orientalisLiquidambar_styracifluaCercidiphyllum_japonicumCercidiphyllum_magnificum

Hamamelis_vernalisHamamelis_japonica

Hamamelis_virginianaParrotia_persicaSinowilsonia_henryi

Corylopsis_sinensisCorylopsis_spicata

Ribes_alpinumRibes_glaciale

Paeonia_rockii

Cornus_masCornus_amomumCornus_alba

Cornus_kousa

Hydrangea_involucrataHydrangea_arborescens

Hydrangea_serrata

Deutzia_scabraDeutzia_gracilis

Nyssa_sylvatica

Lonicera_caeruleaLonicera_maackii

Lonicera_maximowicziiSymphoricarpos_albusHeptacodium_miconioidesWeigela_florida

Viburnum_carlesiiEleutherococcus_sieboldianusEleutherococcus_senticosusSambucus_nigraSambucus_racemosa

Viburnum_plicatum

Viburnum_buddleifoliumViburnum_betulifoliumViburnum_opulus

Cephalanthus_occidentalis

Buddleja_davidiiBuddleja_alternifolia

Buddleja_albiflora

Ligustrum_compactum

Syringa_villosaSyringa_reticulata

Syringa_vulgaris

Forsythia_suspensaForsythia_ovata

Fraxinus_chinensisFraxinus_ornus

Fraxinus_excelsior

Fraxinus_latifoliaFraxinus_americanaFraxinus_pennsylvanica

Clethra_alnifolia

Rhododendron_canadenseRhododendron_mucronulatumKalmia_latifoliaKalmia_angustifolia

Vaccinium_angustifoliumGaylussacia_baccata

Vaccinium_corymbosum

Berberis_thunbergiiBerberis_vulgaris

Decaisnea_fargesiiSmilax_rotundifolia

Ginkgo_biloba

Pinus_wallichianaPinus_strobusPinus_nigraPinus_sylvestris

Picea_abies

Larix_gmeliniiLarix_kaempferiLarix_decidua

Pseudotsuga_menziesii

Cedrus_libaniAbies_albaAbies_homolepis

Metasequoia_glyptostroboides

Chilling requirements High

Intermediate

None

200 mya 100 mya 0

Fagales Rosales Fabales

Malpighiales Celastrales Sapindales Malvales Crossosomatales Saxifragales Lamiales Dipsacales Cornales Ericales Ranunculales Magnoliids Coniferales

Figure S4 PHYLOMATIC tree modified from Panchen et al. (2014) containing 1630 species.

4.0

Viburnum_dilatatum

Rhamnus_pentapomica

Oxydendrum_arboreum

Ligustrum_ovalifolium

Lonicera_elisae

Cotoneaster_nummularius

Euonymus_sieboldianus

Potentilla_phyllocalyx

Abies_veitchii

Rosa_caesia

Prunus_ramburii

Viburnum_m

olle

Castanea_cre

nata

Celtis_bungeana

Paeonia

_rockii

Ilex_ma

ximowi

cziana

Rubus_allegheniensis

Acer_micranthum

Berberis_sp

haerocarpa

Lonicera_demissa

Cytisus_supinus

Quercus_ro

tundifolia

Syringa_oblata

Betula_ermanii

Kalmia_angustifolia

Pieris_floribunda

Populus_tomentosa

Berberis_wils

onae

Rosa_palustris

Betula_pendula

Taxodium_distichum

Acer_velutinum

Sorbaria_kirilowii

Berberis_

chinensis

Crataegus_monogyna

Rhododendron_obtusum

Lonicera_hirsuta

Firmia

na_sim

plex

Crataegus_harbisonii

Styphnolobium_japonica

Ribes_

cynosb

ati

Fraxinus_mandshurica

Berberis_d

ielsiana

Andromeda_glaucophylla

Diospyros_cathayensis

Euonymus_maackii

Sorbus_yuana

Liquidam

bar_aca

lycina

Alnus_japonica

Rosa_blanda

Cornus_ebulos

Salix_pentandra

Enkianthus_campanulatus

Spiraea_fritschiana

Cephalotaxus_diveri

Berberis_po

iretii

Abies_cilicica

Malus_malifolia

Diospyros_virginiana

Philadelphus_pekinensis

Deutzia_myriantha

Caragana_pygmaea

Chosenia_arbutifolia

Rhododendron_caroliniuanum

Crataegus_poliophylla

Quercus

_fabri

Cotoneaster_franchetii

Ribes_

americ

anum

Berberis_

amurens

is

Crataegus_lucorum

Picea_sitchensis

Tilia_t

oment

osa

Cotoneaster_adpressus

Eucommia_ulmoides

Rosa_oxyodon

Sorbus_decora

Malus_sylvestris

Stachy

urus_p

raecox

Quercus_

marilandic

a

Celtis_jessoensis

Syringa_pubescens

Cornus_rugosa

Crataegus_persimilis

Berberis_

candidula

Ilex_op

aca

Euonymus_macropterus

Elaeagnus_angustifolia

Viburnum_hupehense

Syringa_josikaea

Rhododendron_alabam

ense

Picea_obovata

Callicarpa_americana

Ulmus_laciniata

Physocarpus_opulifolius

Pyrus_nipponica

Juglans_regia

Ulmus_pumila

Paliurus_spinachristi

Quercus

_falcata

Rhus_coriaria

Pistacia_terebinthus

Sorbus_pohuashanensis

Picea_crassifolia

Buxus_m

icrophyl

la

Celtis_occidentalis

Pseudolarix_amabilis

Pinus_banksiana

Betula_grossa

Hypericum_buckleyi

Malus_sieversii

Carpinus_fargesiana

Prunus_tomentosa

Sinowils

onia_he

nryi

Fallopia

_aubert

ii

Weigela_praecox

Sinojackia_sinensis

Fraxinus_baroniana

Idesia_polycarpa

Deutzia_am

urensis

Rhododendron_maximum

Ribes_

aureum

Euonymus_fortunei

Hydrangea_anom

ala

Malus_tschonoskii

Rhus_chinensis

Ligustrum_vulgare

Quercus

_cerris

Clematis_vitalba

Aescu

lus_turbinata

Cotoneaster_mongolicus

Gleditsia_caspica

Ilex_pe

rnyi

Carpinus_laxiflora

Morus_rubra

Pinus_henryi

Pistacia_chinensis

Ptelea_trifoliata

Lonicera_xylosteum

Quercus_

libani

Rhus_glabra

Ulmus_thomasii

Leitneria_

floridana

Carya_glabra

Picea_meyerii

Juniperus_virginiana

Betula_insignis

Aronia_melanocarpa

Berberis_ju

lianae

Prunus_lanata

Forsythia_viridissima

Crataegus_dahurica

Rhododendron_prinophyllum

Staphy

lea_ho

locarpa

Dirca_o

ccident

alis

Cotoneaster_dielsianus

Berberis_

dictyophy

lla

Pyrus_betulifolia

Cotoneaster_microphyllus

Vitis_betulifolia

Eleutherococcus_seoulensis

Corylus_chinensis

Lonicera_orientalis

Vitis_piasez

kii

Syringa_persica

Cytisus_scoparius

Tilia_m

andshu

rica

Ribes_

maxim

owiczi

i

Rosa_inodora

Rosa_henryi

Buddleja_davidii

Lindera_neesiana

Campsis_radicans

Lonicera_ferdinandi

Weigela_subsessilis

Rubus_phoenicolasius

Ligustrum_compactum

Pyxidanthera_barbulata

Cocculus_trilobus

Crataegus_chrysocarpa

Rhododendron_viscosum

Rosa_glauca

Maackia_floribunda

Maackia_amurensis

Forestiera_neomexicana

Gleditsia_aquatica

Acer_elegantulum

Neillia_affinis

Flueggea_suffruticosa

Ribes_

sachalinense

Berberis_vire

scens

Clematis_apii

folia

Picea_likiangensis

Exochorda_racemosa

Rosa_pendulina

Vaccinium_vitis-idaea

Crataegus_crus-galli

Ulmus_crassifolia

Malus_toringoides

Neillia_thibetica

Cephalotaxus_harringtonia

Rhododendron_luteum

Lonicera_myrtillus

Acer_wuyuanense

Salix_repens

Vaccinium_m

acrocarpon

Sorbus_aucuparia

Rhamnus_davurica

Symphoricarpos_occidentalis

Acer_olivaceum

Weigela_coraeensis

Sorbus_commixta

Sorbus_wilfordii

Crataegus_paucispina

Hydrangea_macrophylla

Malus_robusta

Populus_koreana

Exochorda_serratifolia

Rosa_xanthina

Weigela_hortensis

Quercus_

ilicifolia

Cyclocarya_paliurus

Cytisophyllum_sessilifolium

Syringa_tomentella

Aralia_spinosaLeptodermis_oblonga

Stranvaesia_davidiana

Acer_platanoides

Ilex_ma

crocarpa

Viburnum_bitchiuense

Sophora_davidii

Jasminum_nudiflorum

Rhododendron_minus

Spiraea_tomentosa

Pyrus_bretschneideri

Fraxinus_crimensis

Fagus_engleri

ana

Spiraea_latifolia

Berberis_

angulosa

Syringa_vulgaris

Hypericum_frondosum

Ilex_ve

rticillata

Rosa_macrophylla

Spiraea_crenata

Clematis_ligus

ticifolia

Mespilus_germanica

Salix_candida

Salix_caprea

Orixa_

japonica

Lonicera_bracteolaris

Philadelphus_incanus

Sarcococ

ca_humil

is

Cytisus_villosus

Partheno

cissus

_inserta

Fraxinus_pennsylvanica

Ilex_sh

ennong

jiaensis

Ulmus_davidiana

Betula_turkestanica

Zelkova_schneiderianaBerbe

ris_hispan

ica

Pinus_monticola

Fraxinus_chinensis

Betula_uber

Taxus_mairei

Deutzia_carnea

Dirca_p

alustris

Celtis_sinensis

Carpinus_orientalis

Thuja_plicata

Salix_aurita

Halesia_diptera

Calluna_vulgaris

Rhododendron_auriculatum

Rhododendron_searsiae

Philadelphus_subcanus

Lonicera_gracilipes

Broussonetia_kazinoki

Malus_prattii

Abelia_zanderi

Halesia_carolina

Quercus_

imbricaria

Betula_tatewakiana

Cotoneaster_acutifolius

Larix_kaempferi

Sorbaria_arborea

Fagus_orienta

lis

Corylus_cornuta

Rhamnus_cathartica

Cercis_chinensis

Weigela_m

aximowiczii

Pinus_ponderosa

Spiraea_japonica

Crataegus_nitida

Spiraea_chinensis

Clematis_viticella

Cornus_m

as

Rhododendron_catawbiense

Clethra_alnifolia

Ligustrum_tschonoskii

Taxus_floridana

Lonicera_maxim

owiczii

Ribes_

succiru

brum

Tilia_m

ongolic

a

Viburnum_m

elanocarpum

Actinidia_arguta

Decumaria_barbara

Heptacodium_miconioides

Pinus_sibirica

Viburnum_cassinoides

Cotoneaster_racemiflorus

Rhododendron_calendulaceum

Nyssa_aquatica

Forsythia_girrauldiana

Daphne

_girald

ii

Elaeagnus_umbellata

Rosa_pteragonisExochorda_tianschanica

Asimina_triloba

Eleutherococcus_sessiliflorus

Abies_holophylla

Abies_sibirica

Euonymus_oxyphyllus

Fraxinus_americana

Spiraea_myrtilloides

Lonicera_chaetocarpaDipelta_floribunda

Lonicera_graebneri

Helw

ingia_japonica

Berberis_

concinna

Cistus_laurif

olius

Betula_platyphylla

Indigofera_decora

Amelanchier_florida

Gardenia_jasminoides

Viburnum_lanatoides

Fraxinus_nigra

Lonicera_iberica

Carya_ovalis

Crataegus_fastosa

Rhododendron_japonicum

Sinojackia_xylocarpa

Rosa_virginiana

Celastrus_rosthornianus

Crataegus_uniflora

Rosa_gallica

Quercus_

hartwissia

na

Rosa_schrenkiana

Rosa_roxburghii

Fagus_grandif

olia

Fraxinus_excelsior

Aesculus_flava

Pinus_mugo

Carpinus_monbeigiana

Populus_tremula

Pinus_lambertiana

Itea_virginica

Lembotropis_nigricans

Rhododendron_praevernum

Picea_asperata

Elaeagnus_ebbingei

Aescu

lus_hippocastanum

Parrotio

psis_jac

quemon

tiana

Crataegus_succulenta

Cedrus_atlantica

Deutzia_grandiflora

Pinus_bungeana

Crataegus_mollis

Symphoricarpos_hesperius

Pinus_cembra

Picea_glehnii

Berberis_

aggregat

a

Salix_purpurea

Crataegus_flavida

Cotinus_coggygria

Caragana_frutex

Picea_koyamai

Lonicera_reticulata

Morus_alba

Celastrus_orbiculatus

Salix_

pierotti

Berberis_ko

reana

Magnolia_sieboldii

Lonicera_fragrantissima

Tilia_h

eterop

hylla

Betula_procurva

Lonicera_lanata

Fallugia_paradoxa

Corylus_sieboldiana

Ephedra_minuta

Vitis_ripa

ria

Albizia_julibrissin

Betula_chichibuensi

s

Fraxinus_tomentosa

Lycium_chinense

Populus_bolleana

Acer_macrophyllum

Euonymus_lanceifolius

Cotoneaster_procumbens

Abies_pinsapo

Colutea_persica

Fagus_sylvatic

a

Salix_nigra

Rosa_setigera

Chionanthus_retusus

Prunus_pumila

Viburnum_flavescens

Salix_aegyptica

Cornus_sericea

Cornus_poliophylla

Acer_griseum

Crataegus_praecoqua

Pieris_japonica

Crataegus_phaenopyrum

Amelanchier_ovalis

Ligustrum_japonicum

Picea_omorika

Corem

a_conradii

Epigaea_repens

Vaccinium_stamineum

Berberis_

ottawensis

Rosa_transmorrisonensis

Sorbus_sitchensis

Tsuga_canadensis

Larix_gmelinii

Cotoneaster_salicifolius

Callicarpa_kwantungensis

Forsythia_ovata

Populus_canadensis

Lindera_praecox

Viburnum_burejaeticum

Quercus_sh

umardii

Viburnum_rufidulum

Liquidam

bar_orie

ntalis

Rhododendron_arborescens

Clethra_m

onostachya

Acer_flabellatum

Carpinus_betulus

Ribes_

sanguineu

m

Sorbus_alnifolia

Acer_spicatum

Crataegus_pinnatifida

Berberis_th

unbergii

Viburnum_utile

Crataegus_coccinoides

Magnolia_zenii

Cotoneaster_moupinensis

Pyrus_calleryana

Prunus_ssiori

Euonymus_alatus

Clematis_obscu

ra

Magnolia_virginiana

Crataegus_kansuensis

Clerodendrum_trichotomum

Cornus_drum

mondii

Rosa_nutkana

Cotoneaster_perpusillus

Symplocos_paniculata

Salix_glauca

Myrica_heterophylla

Disanth

us_cerc

idifolius

Berchemia_scandens

Philadelphus_insignis

Acer_longipes

Hamame

lis_ova

lis

Lonicera_tangutica

Pinus_sylvestris

Fraxinus_sieboldiana

Quercus_ru

bra Picea_abies

Cornus_paucinervis

Euonymus_latifolius

Cyrilla_racem

iflora

Leiophyllum_buxifolium

Spiraea_nipponica

Prunus_angustifolia

Akebia_quinata

Pyrus_amygdaliform

is

Celtis_tournefortii

Philadelphus_inodorus

Spiraea_henryii

Lonicera_canadensis

Rosa_rugosa

Menispermum_da

uricum

Acer_erianthum

Prunus_armeniaca

Aralia_elata

Acer_miyabei

Spiraea_lenneana

Chaenomeles_sinensis

Clematis_japo

nica

Jamesia_americana

Malus_sargentii

Poliothyrsis_sinensis

Viburnum_erubescens

Viburnum_w

rightii

Cotinus_obovatus

Acer_pseudosieboldianum

Malus_ioensis

Styrax_confusus

Euonymus_sachalinensis

Philadelphus_keteleerei

Euonymus_prezwalskii

Prunus_alabamensis

Tilia_japo

nica

Sambucus_racem

osa

Viburnum_prunifolium

Malus_sikkimensis

Aesculus_chinensis

Rhododendron_periclymenoides

Malus_prunifolia

Acer_crataegifolium

Crataegus_pringlei

Sassafras_albidum

Berberis_tis

chleri

Rosa_am

blyotis

Viburnum_plicatum

Betula_pubescens

Rosa_nitidula

Ziziphus_jujuba

Cotoneaster_hebephyllus

Prunus_pennsylvanica

Rhamnus_alaternus

Philadelphus_schrenkii

Aesculus_pavia

Carpinus_tschonoskii

Vaccinium_m

yrtilloides

Staphylea_bumalda

Alnus_firma

Potentilla_tridentata

Juglans_microcarpa

Rosa_serafinii

Callicarpa_cathayana

Jasminum_keskyi

Quercus

_castane

ifolia

Spiraea_bella

Physocarpus_bracteatus

Rhododendron_kaem

pferi

Cephalanthus_occidentalis

Philadelphus_edsonii

Tamarix

_chinen

sis

Torreya_grandis

Cotoneaster_dammeri

Magnolia_liliiflora

Deutzia_coreana

Fraxinus_longicuspis

Corylus_avellana

Euptelea_polyandra

Pinus_strobus

Acer_rufinerve

Hydrangea_radiata

Tsuga_diversifolia

Lyonia_ligustrina

Euonymus_carnosus

Diervilla_sessilifolia

Prunus_cyclamina

Boehmeria_biloba

Populus_alba

Corylus_ferox

Gym

nocladus_chinensis

Gaultheria_procum

bens

Malus_coronaria

Quercus_

macrocarp

a

Clethra_barbinervis

Prunus_hortulana

Myrica_gale

Sorbaria_sorbifolia

Ostrya_japonica

Ribes_

uva-cri

spa

Cercis_griffithii

Populus_trichocarpa

Indigofera_amblyantha

Ligustrum_massalongianum

Juniperus_sabina

Lindera_erythrocarpa

Pyrus_elaeagnifolia

Quercus_ro

bur

Viburnum_erosum

Cercis_canadensis

Sorbaria_stellipila

Franklinia_alatamaha

Pinus_armandii

Quercus_

lyrata

Prunus_serrulata

Aristolochia_manshuriensis

Prunus_mahaleb

Ilex_aq

uifolium

Syringa_komarowii

Fagus_crenata

Physocarpus_amurensis

Euonymus_oresbius

Chaenomeles_japonica

Photinia_villosa

Salix_apoda

Philadelphus_tenuifolius

Ribes_

odoratu

m

Carpinus_turczaninowii

Carya_laciniosa

Paulownia_tomentosa

Zanthoxy

lum_bungeanum

Tapiscia_sinen

sis

Cupressus_arizonica

Picea_wilsonii

Leucothoe_fontanesiana

Acer_caudatum

Deutzia_mollis

Rhamnus_utilis

Ulmus_chenmoui

Viburnum_dentatumActinidia_coriacea

Prunus_incana

Hydrangea_acum

inata

Cornus_florida

Pinus_nigra

Rhododendron_canadense

Rosa_luciae

Calycanthus_chinensis

Ledum_palustre

Hydrangea_serrata

Rosa_iberica

Cotoneaster_reticulatus

Corylus_fargesii

Crataegus_laevigata

Spiraea_douglasii

Lonicera_morrowii

Platanus

_occiden

talis

Berberis_nu

mmularia

Pyrus_caucasica

Lespedeza_bicolor

Mahonia_repe

ns

Aescu

lus_wangii

Magnolia_stellata

Leucothoe_recurva

Magnolia_salicifolia

Ribes_

triste

Salix_integra

Parrotia

_subae

qualis

Neillia_sinensis

Cornus_am

omum

Deutzia_corymbosa

Berberis_m

andhurica

Ilex_mu

cronata

Betula_litwinowii

Physocarpus_capitatus

Viburnum_schensianum

Trachelospermum_asiaticum

Pinus_resinosa

Viburnum_nudum

Tilia_a

muren

sis

Malus_sieboldiiQuer

cus_mong

olica

Berberis_vir

getorum

Lonicera_gynochlamydea

Ulmus_parvifolia

Cercid

iphyllu

m_japonicum

Berberis_

crataegina

Hydrangea_paniculata

Magnolia_fraseri

Berberis_sib

irica

Fagus_lucida

Fraxinus_latifolia

Ribes_

fascicu

latum

Berberis_

asiatica

Quercus_p

etraea

Buxus_s

inica

Stephanandra_tanakae

Neillia_ribesioides

Acer_diabolicum

Castanea_sat

iva

Fraxinus_potamophila

Rhodotypos_scandens

Euonymus_nanus

Abies_concolor

Vaccinium_arctostaphylos

Deutzia_maliflora

Wisteria_sinensis

Crataegus_heldreichii

Cornus_controversa

Quercus_va

riabilis

Cotoneaster_watereri

Magnolia_amoena

Symphoricarpos_albus

Celastrus_angulatus

Picea_engelmanii

Rosa_pisocarpa

Betula_albosinens

is

Salix_

viminalis

Rhododendron_sm

irnow

ii

Sorbus_aria

Gym

nocladus_dioicus

Maclura_pomifera

Rhus_copallina

Rosa_arkansana

Juniperus_squamata

Crataegus_almaatensis

Zanthoxy

lum_piperitu

m

Betula_humilis

Lonicera_purpurascens

Acer_triflorum

Rhamnus_purshiana

Cephalotaxus_fortunei

Hydrangea_arborescens

Ulmus_alata

Torreya_nucifera

Viburnum_bracteatum

Quercus_pr

inus

Deutzia_gracilis

Rosa_albertii

Alnus_maximowi

czii

Alnus_hirsuta

Spiraea_pumila

Acer_tegmentosum

Erica_spiculifolia

Viburnum_setigerum

Myripnois_dioica

Cercid

iphyllu

m_magnificu

m

Corylop

sis_got

oana

Pyrus_ussuriensis

Salix_rorida

Toona_sinensis

Hovenia_dulcis

Rosa_moyesii

Rosa_scabriuscala

Berberis_

chitria

Mahonia_aqu

ifolium

Quercus_pu

bescens

Magnolia_bohuashensi

s

Rhododendron_fortu

nei

Prunus_subhirtella

Quercus

_coccine

a

Spiraea_mollifolia

Cotoneaster_lucidus

Colutea_orientalis

Quercus

_bicolor

Salix_udensis

Pyrus_cossonii

Berberis_

pekinensis

Spiraea_inflexa

Salix_bebbiana

Cornus_w

alteri

Carpinus_cordata

Euonymus_pauciflorus

Amelanchier_alnifolia

Castanea_pu

mila

Hypericum_kalm

ianum

Viburnum_buddleifolium

Potentilla_fruticosa

Rubus_biflorus

Abies_lasiocarpa

Salix_myrsinifolia

Aristolochia_macrophylla

Malus_fusca

Viburnum_acerifolium

Acer_palmatum

Larix_principisrupprechtii

Quercus_vir

giniana

Lonicera_conjugialis

Thuja_occidentalis

Crataegus_irrasa

Rosa_tomentella

Betula_globispicata

Cudrania_tricuspidata

Amelanchier_interior

Abies_koreana

Zanthoxy

lum_simulans

Chionanthus_virginicus

Viburnum_rhytidophyllum

Pinus_flexilis

Ilex_rug

osa

Betula_populifolia

Rhus_trilobata

Wisteria_frutescens

Berberis_

mentoren

sis

Philadelphus_purpurascens

Cotoneaster_multiflorus

Styrax_japonicus

Decaisnea_fargesii

Enkianthus_chinesis

Cotoneaster_wardii

Prunus_nipponica

Eusca

phis_japonica

Pterocarya_rhoifolia

Fother

gilla_ma

jor

Acer_monspessulanum

Carya_myristiciformis

Broussonetia_papyrifera

Cedrus_deodora

Lonicera_sovetkiniae

Rosa_gymnocarpa

Sorbus_rufoferruginea

Buddleja_albiflora

Crataegus_pratensis

Malus_zumi

Crataegus_sanguinea

Hamame

lis_mol

lis

Acer_heldreichii

Larix_laricina

Spiraea_betulifolia

Hippophae_rhamnoides

Erica_vagans

Philadelphus_delavayi

Rosa_bella

Zelkova_sinica

Pterostyrax_hispidus

Berberis_

canadens

is

Magnolia_kobus

Betula_nana

Aesculus_sylvatica

Salix_miyabeana

Chamaecyparis_pisifera

Spiraea_arguta

Philadelphus_sericanthus

Neillia_uekii R

osa_caroliniana

Rosa_stylosa

Cotoneaster_tenuipes

Prunus_apetala

Spiraea_canescens

Betula_luminifera

Picea_pungens

Sorbus_prattii

Exochorda_giraldii

Caragana_franchetiana

Berberis_

francisci-f

erdinandi

Rosa_spinosissima

Lindera_umbellata

Rhus_typhina

Spiraea_trilobata

Neviusia_alabam

ensis

Forsythia_suspensa

Tilia_c

ordata

Sinocalycanthus_chinensis

Gleditsia_ferox

Magnolia_denudata

Corylop

sis_spic

ata

Malus_hupehensis

Deutzia_rosea

Taxus_baccata

Lonicera_pyrenaica

Ulmus_glabra

Crataegus_brainerdii

Symphoricarpos_rotundifolius

Cotoneaster_falconeri

Rosa_macrocarpa

Rubus_idaeus

Gleditsia_triacanthos

Rhododendron_cam

panulatum

Nem

opanthes_mucronata

Rhamnus_macrocarpa

Prunus_cerasifera

Actinidia_macrosperm

a

Quercus_se

rrata

Quercus_

muehlenbe

rgii

Larix_occidentalis

Cotoneaster_divaricatus

Cornus_alternifolia

Spiraea_trichocarpa

Buddleja_japonica

Viburnum_betulifolium

Amelanchier_canadensis

Lonicera_notha

Microbiota_decussata

Salix_matsudona

Magnolia_cylindrica

Crataegus_holmesiana

Acer_campestre

Betula_alleghanien

sis

Exochorda_albertii

Pyrus_pyrifolia

Viburnum_recognitum

Betula_raddeana

Pinus_contorta

Pinus_pumila

Cladrastis_lutea

Adenocarpus_complicatus

Hamame

lis_japo

nica

Cornus_racem

osa

Liquidam

bar_styr

aciflua

Paeonia

_suffrut

icosa

Elaeagnus_lanceolata

Amorpha_fruticosa

Cotoneaster_foveolatus

Quercus_ve

lutina

Caragana_decorticans

Abies_fargesii

Juglans_major

Rhus_aromatica

Grewia

_biloba

Juglans_nigra

Acer_caudatifolium

Cotoneaster_harrysmithii

Ilex_mo

ntana

Ligustrum_quihoui

Malus_orientalis

Corylop

sis_sine

nsis

Acer_negundo

Actinidia_polygama

Cotoneaster_insignis

Acer_nigrum

Amygdalus_triloba

Sorbus_tamam

schjanae

Cercis_racemosa

Pinus_peuce

Philadelphus_zhejiangensis

Catalpa_ovata

Robinia_viscosa

Ehretia_ovalifolia

Picea_koraiensis

Betula_lenta

Daphne

_cneor

um

Abies_nephrolepis

Catalpa_fargesii

Cham

aebatiaria_millefolium

Stachy

urus_c

hinensis

Caragana_rosea

Acer_sinense

Spiraea_salicifolia

Genista_tinctoria

Rhododendron_micranthus

Ilex_pe

dunculo

sa

Liriodendron_chinens

is

Catalpa_bignonioides

Tilia_insu

laris

Cornus_officinalis

Salix_humilis

Ilex_far

gesii

Ligustrum_acutissimum

Lonicera_caprifolium

Lonicera_ramosissim

a

Chaenomeles_speciosa

Magnolia_sargentiana

Poncirus_trifoliata

Rhododendron_micranthemum

Rhamnus_frangula

Lonicera_tatarica

Corylop

sis_glab

rescen

s

Elaeagnus_pungens

Rubus_crataegifolius

Forsythia_japonica

Dasiphora_floribunda

Celtis_caucasica

Hamame

lis_vern

alis

Lonicera_alpigena

Spiraea_chamaedryfolia

Lonicera_caerulea

Sorbus_hemsleyi

Euonymus_bungeanus

Nothofagus_antarctica

Cercis_gigantea

Vaccinium_pallidum

Carya_illinoinensis

Cham

aedaphne_calyculata

Spiraea_billiardii

Malus_halliana

Chamaecyparis_obtusaPlatycladus_orientalis

Quercus

_betulina

Crataegus_pseudoambigua

Cotoneaster_glabratus

Malus_bretschneideri

Eleutherococcus_sieboldianus

Celtis_australis

Lonicera_etrusca

Rosa_zalana

Rubus_parvifolius

Caragana_arborescens

Ulmus_laevis

Lonicera_webbiana

Philadelphus_hirsustus

Ilex_co

llina

Prinsepia_unifloraRosa_mollis

Rubus_corchorifolius

Spiraea_pubescens

Picea_torano

Zenobia_pulverulenta

Prunus_sargentii

Juglans_macrocarpa

Quercus_

michauxii

Rosa_majalis

Malus_mandshurica

Spiraea_fastigiata

Cornus_kousa

Daphne

_tangu

tica

Cotoneaster_roseus

Aescu

lus_parviflora

Malus_honanensis

Picea_jezoensis

Viburnum_m

ongolicum

Alnus_viridis

Prunus_munsoniana

Rosa_villosa

Quercus_p

alustris

Rhododendron_hippophaeoides

Juniperus_rigida

Prunus_spinosa

Aronia_prunifolia

Kalopanax_septemlobus

Rosa_om

eiensis

Viburnum_lantana

Carpinus_coreana

Caragana_m

icrophylla

Ginkgo_biloba

Crataegus_korolkowii

Vitis_coigne

tiae

Spiraea_veitchii

Tetradium_ruticarpu

m

Alnus_glutinosa

Amorpha_ouachitensis

Picea_orientalis

Diospyros_lotus

Leucothoe_axillaris

Berberis_ve

rnae

Callicarpa_japonica

Quercus

_arkansa

na

Ulmus_americana

Ulmus_castaneifolia

Lavandula_angustifolia

Viburnum_lobophyllum

Malus_spectabilis

Crataegus_keepii

Populus_tremuloides

Caryopteris_clandonensis

Juniperus_communis

Lonicera_maackii

Robinia_pseudoacacia

Philadelphus_coronarius

Salix_daphnoides

Tetradium_daniellii

Campsis_grandifolia

Syringa_chinensis

Acer_barbinerve

Viburnum_bodnantense

Populus_nigra

Sequoiadendron_giganteum

Gleditsia_m

acrocarpa

Stew

artia_sinensis

Abelia_chinensis

Celtis_choseniana

Cornus_australis

Acer_henryi

Abelia_mosanensis

Daphne

_laureo

la

Rubus_m

esogaeus

Sapindus_drumm

ondii

Crataegus_laurentiana

Spiraea_conspicua

Wisteria_venusta

Platycarya_strobilacea

Magnolia_macrophylla

Colutea_buhsei

Prunus_tenella

Betula_fruticosa

Caragana_aurantiaca

Picrasma_qu

assioid

es

Bupleurum_spinosum

Prunus_avium

Rosa_acicularis

Hedera_colchica

Sorbus_scopulina

Callicarpa_dichotoma

Baccharis_halimifolia

Fraxinus_syriaca

Abies_homolepis

Viburnum_rafinesqueanum

Acer_oliverianum

Amorpha_nana

Clematis_hexa

petala

Pinus_pungens

Crataegus_lanuginosa

Cotoneaster_frigidus

Lindera_obtusiloba

Partheno

cissus

_henryana

Buddleja_alternifolia

Hibiscus_

syriacus

Maddenia_hypoleuca

Viburnum_opulus

Acer_buergerianum

Viburnum_carlesii

Rosa_arvensis

Carya_ovata

Euonymus_hamiltonianus

Philadelphus_pubescens

Hydrangea_bretschneideri

Cotoneaster_ambiguus

Weigela_florida

Clethra_acum

inata

Spiraea_wilsonii

Quercus_

macrolepi

s

Spiraea_alba

Robinia_kelseyi

Alnus_mandshur

ica

Fontanesia_fortunei

Lagerstroemia

_limii

Aesculus_glabra

Quercus

_glandul

ifera

Acer_ginnala

Metasequoia_glyptostroboides

Prunus_salicina

Crataegus_submollis

Phello

dendron_c

hinens

e

Salix_petiolaris

Schisandra_chinensis

Rosa_pulverulenta

Berberis_ja

eschkeana

Chamaecyparis_thyoides

Juniperus_pinchotii

Salix_glabra

Rhododendron_fargesii

Lonicera_periclymenum

Cydonia_oblonga

Ostrya_carpinifolia

Betula_maximowicziana

Amelanchier_pumila

Betula_chinensis

Petteria_ramentacea

Cephalotaxus_sinensis

Vitex_negundo

Deutzia_discolor

Tilia_p

aucicos

tata

Caragana_boisii

Tsuga_chinensis

Euptelea_pleiosperm

a

Clematis_maxim

owicziana

Cam

ellia_japonica

Spiraea_conferta

Rhododendron_kiyosumense

Sambucus_pubens

Betula_papyrifera

Clematis_alpi

na

Hamame

lis_virg

iniana

Leucothoe_racemosa

Elaeagnus_multiflora

Diervilla_rivularis

Hydrangea_quercifolia

Cotoneaster_submultiflorus

Prunus_mum

e

Tilia_b

egonifo

lia

Carpinus_caroliniana

Syringa_reticulata

Crataegus_viridis

Viburnum_sargentii

Philadelphus_satsumanus

Morus_bombycis

Corylus_heterophylla

Salix_magnifica

Rosa_rubiginosa

Populus_deltoides

Abies_cephalonica

Weigela_japonica

Sciadopitys_verticillata

Rosa_davurica

Nyssa_sylvatica

Salix_gracilistyla

Acer_davidii

Weigela_decora

Populus_maximowiczii

Ostrya_rehderiana

Celastrus_scandens

Malus_pumila

Prunus_glandulosa

Pinus_tabuliformis

Euonymus_japonicus

Stephanandra_incisa

Deutzia_rubens

Spiraea_virginiana

Salix_

triandra

Ulmus_lamellosa

Amelanchier_stolonifera

Liriodendron_tulipifera

Akebia_trifoliata

Picea_alba

Rosa_britzensis

Cornus_macrophylla

Cornus_bretschneideri

Prunus_brigantina

Zelkova_serrata

Sorbus_domestica

Abelia_biflora

Prunus_laurocerasus

Gleditsia_sinensis

Acer_sterculiaceum

Rhododendron_atlanticum

Crataegus_compacta

Quercus

_accutiss

ima

Picea_jenuensis

Sorbus_latifolia

Lonicera_japonica

Tilia_laet

eviren

s

Euonymus_verrucosus

Cedrela_sinensis

Melia_

azedarach

Xanthoceras_sorbifolium

Pinus_koraiensis

Pueraria_lobata

Styrax_obassia

Betula_davurica

Elsholtzia_stauntonii

Amelanchier_arborea

Clematis_orient

alis

Calycanthus_floridus

Spiraea_miyabei

Rosa_primula

Periploca_graeca

Rubus_lasiostylus

Trochode

ndron_ar

alioides

Pinus_taiwanensis

Abies_fabri

Malus_baccata

Malus_brevipes

Quercus

_frainetto

Rubus_thibetanus

Gaylussacia_brachycera

Abies_sachalinensis

Lonicera_korolkowii

Magnolia_acuminata

Prunus_serotina

Ligustrum_ibota

Ilex_cil

iospinos

a

Eleutherococcus_henryi

Juglans_ailanthifolia

Viburnum_koreanum

Lonicera_salicifolia

Quercus

_faginea

Prunus_incisa

Rosa_jakutica

Vaccinium_corym

bosum

Vitis_aes

tivalis

Sorbus_hupehensis

Euonymus_europaeus

Abies_alba

Viburnum_sieboldii

Dipelta_yunnanensis

Ligustrum_salicinum

Corylus_colurna

Jasminum_fruticans

Prunus_grayana

Lonicera_standishiiAcer_carpinifolium

Prunus_virginiana

Fagus_japonic

a

Lonicera_pekinensis

Prunus_padus

Deutzia_ningpoensis

Pinus_rigida

Celtis_laevigata

Ulmus_rubra

Malus_hartwigii

Carpinus_japonica

Ailanthus

_altiss

ima

Ribes_

alpinum

Symphoricarpos_oreophilus

Enkianthus_perulatus

Phello

dendron_a

murense

Partheno

cissus

_quinquefolia

Fraxinus_angustifolia

Salix_alba

Acer_pseudoplatanus

Pinus_densiflora

Kalmia_latifolia

Acer_caesium

Cotoneaster_obscurus

Rosa_alba

Catalpa_bungei

Philadelphus_lewisii

Euonymus_phellomanus

Eleutherococcus_senticosus

Amelanchier_laevis

Crataegus_exclusa

Rosa_willmottiae

Wisteria_floribunda

Chimonanthus_yunnanensis

Larix_decidua

Syringa_sweginzowii

Photinia_beauverdiana

Rhododendron_degronianum

Rhododendron_brachycarpum

Crataegus_macauleya

Crataegus_pennsylvanica

Acer_stenolobum

Rhododendron_cumberlandense

Daphne

_genkw

a

Lindera_benzoin

Acer_tataricum

Rhododendron_occidentale

Pinus_thunbergeri

Deutzia_parviflora

Crataegus_pedicellata

Halesia_tetraptera

Fraxinus_bungeana

Catalpa_speciosa

Rosa_californica

Crataegus_macrosperma

Forsythia_mandshurica

Acer_hyrcanum

Amorpha_canescens

Clematis_colu

mbiana

Rhododendron_ledebourii

Ribes_

diacan

thum

Pyrus_communis

Acer_shirasawanum

Ilex_serr

ata

Pinus_aristata

Malus_toringo

Lonicera_sempervirens

Cornus_sanguinea

Viburnum_rudifolium

Prunus_maxim

owiczii

Lagerstroemia

_indica

Buxus_s

empervir

ens

Bignonia_capreolata

Actinidia_kolomikta

Eleutherococcus_setchuenensis

Crataegus_maximowiczii

Spiraea_nervosa

Aristolochia_tomentosa

Rosa_micrantha

Humulus_lupulus

Viburnum_lentago

Amelanchier_nantucketensis

Acer_stachyophyllum

Castanea_mo

llisima

Salix_

rosmarinifolia

Sorbus_wilsoniana

Tilia_p

latyphy

llos

Betula_mandshurica

Malus_floribunda

Celtis_tenuifolia

Salix_sch

werinii

Betula_utilis

Rhododendron_vaseyii

Populus_beijingensis

Syringa_pekinensis

Laburnum_anagyroides

Acer_mandshuricum

Ulmus_macrocarpa

Stew

artia_rostrata

Rhamnus_pallasii

Cotoneaster_splendens

Quercus_

laevis

Sambucus_canadensis

Lonicera_henryi

Paeonia

_ostii

Staphy

lea_pinna

ta

Quercus

_ellipsoi

dalis

Andromeda_polifolia

Betula_jacquemontii

Malus_kansuensis

Acer_saccharum

Crataegus_songorica

Kolkwitzia_amabilis

Crataegus_wilsonii

Betula_costata

Symphoricarpos_orbiculatus

Prunus_prostrata

Carya_texana

Rosa_woodsii

Abies_balsamea

Shepherdia_argentea

Pyracantha_coccinea

Alnus_kamschat

ica

Juglans_cinerea

Corylop

sis_gla

ndulifera

Crataegus_oxyacantha

Calycanthus_sinensis

Aristolochia_contorta

Juglans_cathayensis

Juglans_mandshurica

Phello

dendro

n_piriform

e

Taiwania_cryptomeroides

Malvaviscus

_arbor

eus

Berberis_vulg

aris

Malus_platycarpa

Davidia_involucrata

Ilex_gla

bra

Enkianthus_deflexus

Tilia_k

iusiana

Paeonia

_ludlowi

i

Vaccinium_uliginosum

Holodiscus_discolor

Taxus_cuspidata

Staphy

lea_trifolia

Philadelphus_satsumi

Acer_rubrum

Fraxinus_insularis

Deutzia_elegantissima

Cotoneaster_atropurpureus

Spiraea_martinii

Populus_ussuriensis

Corylus_jaquemontii

Viburnum_farreri

Gleditsia_japonica

Xanthorhiza_simp

licissima

Euonymus_fimbriatus

Fraxinus_ornus

Acer_opalus

Pinus_virginiana

Actinidia_eriantha

Callicarpa_mollis

Rosa_hugonis

Lonicera_quinquelocularis

Sorbaria_tomentosa

Magnolia_tripetala

Rhododendron_dauricum

Ulmus_minor

Tripterygium

_wilfordii

Quercus_py

renaica

Pteroceltis_tatarinowii

Crataegus_douglasii

Acer_pensylvanicum

Philadelphus_triflorus

Spiraea_media

Juniperus_chinensis

Populus_candicans

Rosa_prattii

Celtis_spinosa

Rhododendron_yedoense

Lonicera_chrysantha

Cedrus_libani

Euonymus_grandiflorus

Betula_nigra

Diervilla_lonicera

Euonymus_yedoensis

Erica_carnea

Fother

gilla_ga

rdenii

Berberis_

actinacan

tha

Cotoneaster_scandinavicus

Andrachne_colchica

Buddleja_lindleyana

Platanus_

orientalis

Betula_schmidtii

Carya_cordiformis

Decumaria_sinensisDe

utzia_scabra

Parrotia

_persic

a

Cotoneaster_niger

Rhododendron_schlippenbachii

Hydrangea_involucrata

Pinus_jeffreyi

Rhododendron_makinoi

Celtis_iguanaea

Pyrus_nivalis

Adina_rubella

Cotoneaster_simonsii

Arctostaphylos_uvaursi

Rhamnus_alpina

Prunus_allegheniensis

Salix_lapponum

Crataegus_hillii

Picea_glauca

Syringa_patula

Cotoneaster_melanocarpus

Aucuba_japonica

Platanus

_acerifoli

a

Vaccinium_angustifolium

Acer_truncatum

Erica_darleyensis

Zelkova_abelicea

Cladrastis_platycarpa

Tilia_d

asystyla

Rhododendron_prunifolium

Acer_sieboldianum

Berberis_

aetnensi

s

Abies_firma

Spiraea_prunifolia

Sambucus_tigranii

Cotoneaster_tomentosus

Acer_ukurunduense

Staphy

lea_co

lchica

Pinus_wallichiana

Cotoneaster_sikangensis

Myrica_pennsylvanica

Clethra_fargesii

Betula_costa

Forestiera_acuminata

Lonicera_ruprechtiana

Hydrangea_cinerea

Acer_tschonoskii

Spiraea_sargentiana

Pyrus_phaeocarpa

Syringa_meyeri

Sambucus_nigra

Chimonanthus_praecox

Berberis_th

ibetica

Cotoneaster_horizontalis

Vitis_vinifer

a

Quercus_sa

licina

Callicarpa_bodinieri

Juniperus_procumbens

Rostrinucula_dependens

Rubus_cockburnianus

Rosa_nitida

Sorbus_forestii

Platanus_

hispanic

a

Styrax_americana

Rosa_wichuraiana

Ostrya_virginiana

Cornus_pumila

Viburnum_trilobum

Tsuga_caroliniana

Salix_babylonica

Rhododendron_greenlandieum

Deutzia_glabrata

Crataegus_coleae

Juniperus_horizontalis

Alnus_incana

Tilia_a

merica

na

Betula_dahurica

Magnolia_grandiflora

Zanthoxy

lum_americanum

Berberis_ja

mesiana

Koelreuteria_paniculata

Betula_celtiberica

Hedera_helix

Berberis_ko

ehneana

Cotoneaster_zabelii

Crataegus_erythropoda

Salix_

waldsteiniana

Quercus

_aliena

Ternstroem

ia_gym

nanthera

Alnus_sieboldian

a

Kalmia_cuneata

Rosa_eglanteria

Deutzia_schneideriana

Rosa_corymbifera

Hippocrepis_em

urus

Rosa_centifolia

Ribes_

divaric

atum

Crataegus_vulsa

Fraxinus_quadrangulata

Ilex_de

cidua

Wikstro

emia_t

richoto

ma

Ampelops

is_megaloph

ylla

Cryptomeria_japonica

Empetrum

_nigrum

Corylus_americana

Rosa_sericea

Rosa_sweginzowii

Rosa_multiflora

Rosa_carolina

Cercis_siliquastrum

Daphne

_meze

reum

Crataegus_punctata

Lonicera_subsessilis

Spartium_junceum

Betula_pumila

Stew

artia_m

onadelpha

Acer_mono

Rosa_sherardii

Actinidia_chinensis

Kerria_japonica

Castanea_de

ntata

Prinsepia_sinensis

Fraxinus_xanthoxyloides

Clematis_monta

na

Acer_cissifolium

Acer_japonicum

Diospyros_kaki

Crataegus_cuneiformis

Chaenomeles_cathayensis

Persea_borbonia

Quercus

_dentata

Quercus_p

hellos

Alnus_serrulata

Cephalotaxus_koreanea

Indigofera_kirilowii

Skimm

ia_japonica

Cotoneaster_taoensis

Caragana_brevispina

Adenorachis_arbutifolia

Staphy

lea_trifoliata

Vaccinium_oldhamii

Oem

leria_cerasiformis

Cotoneaster_armenus

Ephedra_intermedia

Hydrangea_heteromalla

Syringa_amurensis

Rosa_cinnam

omea

Hamame

lis_inte

rmedia

Kalmia_buxifolia

Rhododendron_austrinum

Acer_saccharinum

Stephanandra_chinensis

Prunus_maackii

Stew

artia_pseudocam

ellia

Rhododendron_sichotense

Spiraea_longigemmis

Acer_maximowiczianum

Clematis_macr

opetala

Salix_discolor

Abeliophyllum_distichum

Coriaria_japonica

Cornus_alba

Lonicera_purpusii

Menispermum_can

adense

Lonicera_floribunda

Malus_argentea

Ilex_am

elanchie

r

Ribes_

glacial

e

Sorbus_koheneana

Betula_caerulea

Cotoneaster_apiculatus

Morus_australis

Quercus

_alba

Prunus_maritim

a

Ligustrum_obtusifolium

Ribes_

himalense

Gleditsia_m

acracantha

Tetrapanax_papyrifer

Spiraea_cantoniensis

Larix_sibirica

Vitex_rotundifolia

Acer_argutum

Elaeagnus_mollis

Crataegus_compta

Sibiraea_laevigata

Rosa_dumalis

Syringa_robusta

Acer_cappadocicum

Syringa_villosa

Osmanthus_americanus

Cornus_foem

ina

Hemiptelea_davidii

Viburnum_veitchii

Pseudotsuga_menziesii

Lycium_barbarum

Cotoneaster_acuminatus

Rhododendron_mucronulatum

Salix_caspica

Pinus_parviflora

Laburnum

_alpinum

Rosa_canina

Figure S5 The effect of growth habit and leaf persistence on species-specific chilling

requirements and leaf-out times. a, b, Coefficient values (means and 95% CIs) for the effect

of growth habit (shrubs vs. trees) and leaf persistence (deciduous vs. evergreen species) on

species-specific (a) chilling requirements and (b) leaf-out dates (Munich data) estimated from

HB models including phylogenetic autocorrelation. Chilling data (a): 108 shrubs and 107

trees, 202 deciduous and 13 evergreen species; Leaf-out data (b): 295 shrubs and 203 trees,

470 deciduous and 28 evergreen species. Values reflect standardized data and can be

interpreted as relative effect sizes. c, d, Median forcing requirements until leaf-out

(accumulated degree days >0°C outdoors and in a climate chamber) ± 95% CI (c) and median

days until leaf-out in a climate chamber ± 95% CI (d) under three chilling treatments for trees

(red curve, n = 107 species) and shrubs (blue curve, n = 108 species).

Extended Data Figure 9 | Days to leaf-out for North American (NA), European (EU), 154"and eastern Asian (EA) species under three different chilling levels. a, Median days until 155"leaf-out in a climate chamber ± 95% CI under different chilling levels for NA (N = 72 156"species), EU (N = 48), and EA (N = 88) species. b–d, Leaf-out probability curves for NA, 157"EU, and EA species calculated as the number of days required in climate chamber until 158"budburst under different chilling treatments: (b) long chilling, (c) intermediate chilling, and 159"(d) short chilling. Dashed lines indicate median forcing requirements for NA, EU, and EA 160"species. 161" 162" 163" 164" 165"

166"

167" 168" 169"Extended Data Figure x | The effect of growth habit and leaf persistence on species’ leaf-170"out strategies. a, Coefficient values (effective posterior means and 95% credible intervals) 171"for differences in chilling requirements between trees and shrubs (growth habit) and 172"evergreen and deciduous species (leaf persistence). Sample sizes: Growth habit: 108 shrubs 173"and 107 trees, leaf persistence: 202 deciduous and 13 evergreen species. b, Coefficient values 174"

−4

−2

0

2

4

Growth habit Leaf persistenceVariable

Coe

ffici

ent e

stim

ate

−0.4

−0.2

0.0

0.2

0.4

Growth habit Leaf persistenceVariable

Coef

ficie

nt e

stim

ate

0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5

300

500

700

900

Chilling

GD

D (>

0°C

)

0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5

010

2030

4050

Chilling

Day

s to

leaf

-out

a b c d

Long (C3) Intermediate (C2) Short (C1)

Chilling Long (C3) Intermediate (C2) Short (C1)

Chilling

Growth habit: Shrubs Trees

Chilling requirements Leaf-out times

Figure S6 Linear regression between spring temperature variability (STV) and winter

temperature variability (WTV), using the median (0.5 quantile) STV and WTV in a species’

native range for 1198 of our study species.

0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

phenology$SD_min_spring_median

phenology$SD

_min_m

edian

r = 0.85 p < 0.001

Median STV

Med

ian

WTV

Figure S7 The STV experienced by species native to North America (NA, n = 317), Europe

(EU, n = 202), or East Asia (EA, n = 619) when controlling for MAT and TS. Boxplots show

species’ median (0.5 quantiles) STV when they are grouped according to the median MAT

(<5°C / 5°C–10°C / 10°C–15°C / >15°C) and TS (<31.5°C / ≥31.5°C) they experience in their

native ranges. Box width proportional to sample size.

205"Extended Data Figure xxx | The STV experienced by species native to North America 206"

(NA, N = 317), Europe (EU, n= 202), or East Asia (EA, n = 619) when controlling for 207"

MAT and TS. Boxplots show median (50% quantiles) of species’ spring temperature 208"

variability (STV) when species are grouped according to the median MAT (<5°C, 5°C–10°C, 209"

10°C–15°C, >15°C) and TS (<31.5°C, ≥31.5°C) they experience in their native ranges. STV 210"

as standard deviation of minimum spring temperatures from 1901 to 2013, MAT in °C 211"

196" 197"

Extended Data Figure xxx | The STV experienced by species native to North America 198"

(NA, N = 317), Europe (EU, n= 202), or East Asia (EA, n = 619) when controlling for 199"

MAT and TS. Boxplots show median (50% quantiles) of species’ spring temperature 200"

variability (STV) when species are grouped according to the median MAT (<5°C, 5°C–10°C, 201"

10°C–15°C, >15°C) and TS (<31.5°C, ≥31.5°C) they experience in their native ranges. STV 202"

NAmerica EU EA

0.8

1.2

1.6

2.0

NAmerica EU EA

0.8

1.2

1.6

2.0

NAmerica EU EA

0.8

1.2

1.6

2.0

NAmerica EU EA

0.8

1.2

1.6

2.0

NAmerica EU EA

0.8

1.2

1.6

2.0

NAmerica EU EA

0.8

1.2

1.6

2.0

NAmerica EU EA

0.8

1.2

1.6

2.0

NAmerica EU EA

0.8

1.2

1.6

2.0

0.8

1.2

1.6

2.0

0.8

1.2

1.6

2.0

TS <31.5°C ≥ 31.5°C

<5°C 5°C – 10°C 10°C – 15° >15°C

NA EU EA NA EU EA

Sprin

g te

mpe

ratu

re v

aria

bilit

y (S

TV)

MAT (°C) "

n = 21 n = 62

n = 198 n = 208

n = 194 n = 303

n = 154 n = 58

C

Figure S8 Contrasting leaf-out strategies in North America (NA), Europe (EU), and East Asia

(EA). a, Effect of continental origin on species-specific chilling requirements. Number of

species with available data shown in brackets. b, c, Coefficient values (means and 95% CIs)

for differences in (b) chilling requirements and (c) Munich leaf-out times between NA, EU,

and EA species estimated from HB models including phylogenetic autocorrelation. To control

for species’ life history strategy and native climate (MAT), both models (b and c) additionally

include fixed effects for growth habit (shrubs vs. trees), leaf persistence (evergreens vs.

deciduous species), and median MAT in their native ranges. Values reflect standardized data

and can be interpreted as relative effect sizes. Sample sizes: (b) n = 66 NA, 43 EU, and 68 EA

species; (c) n = 100 ENA, 74 EU, and 173 EA species.

64" 65" 66" 67" 68" 69" 70" 71" 72" 73" 74" 75" 76" 77" 78" 79" 80" 81" 82" 83"Extended Data Figure 4 | Effect of continental origin on species-specific chilling 84"requirements and leaf-out times. a, Number of species with available data shown in 85"brackets. See Fig. S11 for species-specific results of twig-cutting experiment 86" 87"Extended Data Figure 5 | Contrasting leaf-out strategies in North America (NA), Europe 88"(EU), and eastern Asia (EA) estimated from phylogenetic models. a, Estimated coefficient 89"values (effective posterior means and 95% credible intervals) for differences in chilling 90"

47"

48" 49" 50"Extended Data Figure 4 | Effect of continental origin on species-specific chilling 51"requirements and leaf-out times. a, Number of species with available data shown in 52"brackets. See Fig. S11 for species-specific results of twig-cutting experiment 53" 54" 55" 56" 57" 58" 59" 60" 61" 62" 63" 64" 65" 66" 67" 68" 69" 70" 71" 72" 73" 74"Extended Data Figure 5 | Contrasting leaf-out strategies in North America (NA), Europe 75"

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

AM EU AS

Chi

lling

requ

irem

ents

per

con

tinen

t (%

)

Group

A

B

C

-4

-2

0

2

4

NA EU ASLocation

Coe

ffici

ent e

stim

ate

Coe

ffici

ent e

stim

ate

Coe

ffici

ent e

stim

ate

NA EU EA

a b

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

AM EU AS

Chi

lling

requ

irem

ents

per

con

tinen

t (%

)

Group

A

B

C

None

Intermediate

High

Chilling requirements

NA (72) EU (48) EA (88)

-10

-8

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

10

NA EU ASLocation

Coe

ffici

ent e

stim

ate

Chilling Leaf-out

a b c

67" 68" 69" 70" 71" 72" 73" 74" 75" 76" 77" 78" 79" 80" 81" 82" 83" 84" 85" 86"Extended Data Figure 5 | Contrasting leaf-out strategies in North America (NA), Europe 87"(EU), and eastern Asia (EA) estimated from phylogenetic models. a, Estimated coefficient 88"values (effective posterior means and 95% credible intervals) for differences in chilling 89"requirements between NA, EU, and EA species (N = 66 NA, 43 EU, and 68 EA species). 90"Model includes genus and family random effects to account for shared evolutionary history of 91"species. b, Estimated coefficient values including phylogenetic autocorrelation for differences 92"in Munich leaf-out times between NA, EU, and EA species (N = 100 ENA, 74 EU, and 173 93"EA species). To control for species’ life history strategy and native climate (mean annual 94"temperature), both models (a + b) include fixed effects for growth habit (shrubs vs. trees), 95"leaf persistence (evergreens vs. deciduous species), and species’ 0.5 quantiles for mean 96"annual temperature in their native ranges. Values reflect standardized data and can be 97"interpreted as relative effect sizes. Species from NA leaf out later and have higher chilling 98"

47"

48" 49" 50"Extended Data Figure 4 | Effect of continental origin on species-specific chilling 51"requirements and leaf-out times. a, Number of species with available data shown in 52"brackets. See Fig. S11 for species-specific results of twig-cutting experiment 53" 54" 55" 56" 57" 58" 59" 60" 61" 62" 63" 64" 65" 66" 67" 68" 69" 70" 71" 72" 73" 74"Extended Data Figure 5 | Contrasting leaf-out strategies in North America (NA), Europe 75"

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

AM EU AS

Chi

lling

requ

irem

ents

per

con

tinen

t (%

)Group

A

B

C

-4

-2

0

2

4

NA EU ASLocation

Coe

ffici

ent e

stim

ate

Coe

ffici

ent e

stim

ate

Coe

ffici

ent e

stim

ate

NA EU EA

a b

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

AM EU AS

Chi

lling

requ

irem

ents

per

con

tinen

t (%

)Group

A

B

C

None

Intermediate

High

Chilling requirements

NA (72) EU (48) EA (88)

-10

-8

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

10

NA EU ASLocation

Coe

ffici

ent e

stim

ate

Chilling Leaf-out

-4

-2

0

2

4

NA EU ASLocation

Coe

ffici

ent e

stim

ate

Coe

ffici

ent e

stim

ate

Coe

ffici

ent e

stim

ate

NA EU EA

a b

-10

-8

-6

-4

-2

0

2

4

6

8

10

NA EU ASLocation

Coe

ffici

ent e

stim

ate

Chilling

Leaf-out

Figure S9 Days to leaf-out for North American (NA), European (EU), and East Asian (EA)

species under different chilling levels. a, Median days until leaf-out in a climate chamber ±

95% CI under three chilling treatments for NA (n = 72 species), EU (n = 48), and EA (n = 88)

species. b–d, Leaf-out probability for NA, EU, and EA species as a function of the number of

days twigs were kept in a climate chamber under the three chilling treatments: (b) long

chilling, (c) intermediate chilling, and (d) short chilling. Dashed lines indicate median forcing

requirements for NA, EU, and EA species, i.e., the number of days after twig collection when

50% of species had leafed out.

Values reflect standardized data and can be interpreted as relative effect sizes. 142" 143" 144" 145" 146" 147" 148" 149" 150" 151"

152" 153"

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

0 20 40 60 80

Pro

babi

lity

of b

udbu

rst

Days until budburst

Long chilling (C3)

Intermediatechilling (C2)

Short chilling (C1)

!"# $"! $"# %"! %"# &"! &"#Long (C3) Intermediate (C2) Short (C1)Chilling

A

B

C

D

Day

s to

leaf

-out

NAEUAS

50

40

30

20

10 0

a

b

c d P

ropo

rtion

of l

eafe

d ou

t spe

cies

Figure S10 Family- and genus-level differences in chilling requirements between North

America (NA), East Asia (EA), and Europe (EU). a, b, Heat maps showing mean chilling

requirements per family (a) and genus (b) for NA, EU, and EA species. c, d, Mean within-

family (c) and within-genus (d) differences in chilling requirements (± 95% CIs) between NA

and EA species (left bar), NA and EU (middle), and EU and EA species (right). Note that, for

the calculation, the chilling categories were treated as numerical characters (no chilling

requirements = 0, intermediate = 1, high = 2). Numbers of within-family / within-genus

contrasts are shown above bars.

214" 215" 216"

""217" 218"Extended Data Figure | Family- and genus-level differences in chilling requirements 219"between North America (NA), eastern Asia (EA), and Europe (EU). a, b Heat maps 220"showing mean chilling requirements per family (a) and genus (b) for ENA, EU, and EA 221"species. c, d, Mean within-family (c) and within-genus (d) differences in chilling 222"requirements (± confidence intervals) between NA and EA species (left bar), NA and EU 223"(middle), and EU and EA species (right). Note that for the calculation the chilling categories 224"

10

20

30

40

0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5continent_num

family_num

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0chilling

Adoxaceae Altingiaceae

Anacardiaceae Araliaceae

Berberidaceae Betulaceae

Cannabaceae Caprifoliaceae Celastraceae

Cercidiphyllaceae Clethraceae Coniferales Cornaceae

Cupressaceae Elaeagnaceae

Ericaceae Ericaeae

Fabaceae Fagaceae

Ginkgoaceae Grossulariaceae

Hamamelidaceae Hydrangeaceae

Juglandaceae Lardizabalaceae

Lauraceae Magnoliaceae

Malvaceae Meliaceae

Myricaceae Oleaceae

Paeoniceae Pinaceae

Rhamnaceae Rosaceae Rubiaceae Rutaceae

Salicaceae Salicaeae

Sapindaceae Scrophulariaceae

Smilacaceae Stachyuraceae

Ulmaceae Vitaceae

High Interm

ediate Low

NA EU EA

20

40

60

80

0.51.01.52.02.53.03.5continent_num

Genus_num

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0chilling

Abies Acer

Aesculus Alnus

Amelanchier Amorpha

Aronia Berberis

Betula Buddleja

Caragana Carpinus

Carya Castanea Celastrus

Celtis Cephalanthus

Cercidiphyllum Cercis

Cladrastis Clethra

Comptonia Cornus

Corylopsis Corylus

Decaisnea Deutzia

Elaeagnus Eleutherococcus

Euonymus Fagus

Forsythia Fraxinus

Gaylussacia Ginkgo

Hamamelis Heptacodium

Hibiscus Hydrangea

Juglans Kalmia

Larix Ligustrum

Lindera Liquidambar Liriodendron

Lonicera Malus

Metasequoia Myrica Nyssa Orixa

Ostrya Paeonia

Parrotiopsis Photinia

Picea Pinus

Populus Prinsepia

Prunus Ptelea Pyrus

Quercus Rhamnus

Rhododendron Rhus Ribes

Robinia Rosa Salix

Sambucus Sassafras

Sinowilsonia Smilax Sorbus Spiraea

Stachyurus Symphoricarpos

Syringa Tilia

Toona Ulmus

Vaccinium Viburnum

Vitis Weigela

NA EU EA

−1.5

−1.0

−0.5

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5Continent contrast

Mea

n ch

illing

diff

eren

ce p

er fa

mily

−1.5

−1.0

−0.5

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5Continent contrast

Mea

n ch

illing

diff

eren

ce p

er fa

mily

a b c

Chilling requirem

ents

d

NA vs. EA

Mea

n ch

illin

g di

ffere

nce

per f

amily

M

ean

chill

ing

diffe

renc

e pe

r gen

us

17 19 24

16 13 16

No species

NA vs. EU

EU vs. EA

NA vs. EA

NA vs. EU

EU vs. EA

Figure S11 Region-specific responses to reduced chilling are not sensitive to photoperiod

treatment. Contrasting responses of North American (NA), European (EU), and East Asian

(EA) species to experimentally reduced winter chilling under short (left panel) and long day

conditions (right panel). We show the median forcing requirements (accumulated degree days

>0°C outdoors and in a climate chamber) ± 95% CIs until leaf-out under three different

chilling levels for NA (n = 49 species), EU (n = 34), and EA (n = 78) species, when twigs

were exposed to 8h (left panel) or 16 h day length (right panel) in the climate chamber. Data

from Laube et al. (2014) and Zohner et al. (2016).

226" 227"Extended Data Figure x | Region-specific responses to reduced chilling are not sensitive 228"to photoperiod treatment. Contrasting responses of North American (NA), European (EU), 229"and East Asian (EA) species to experimentally reduced winter chilling under short (left panel) 230"and long day conditions (right panel). We show the median forcing requirements 231"(accumulated degree days >0°C outdoors and in a climate chamber) ± 95% CI until leaf-out 232"under three different chilling levels for NA (N = 49 species), EU (N = 34), and EA (N = 78) 233"species, when twigs were exposed to 8h (left panel) or 16 h day length (right panel) in the 234"climate chamber. 235" 236" 237" 238" 239" 240" 241" 242" 243" 244" 245" 246" 247" 248" 249" 250" 251"

0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5

300

500

700

900

Chilling

GD

D (>

0°C

)

0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5

300

500

700

900

ChillingG

DD

(>0°

C)

Deg

ree

days

>0°

C

NA EU EA

Long (C3) Intermediate (C2) Short (C1) Long (C3) Intermediate (C2) Short (C1)

Short days (8-h) Long days (16-h)

Figure S12 Family-level differences in the timing of spring leaf unfolding between North

America (NA), East Asia (EA), and Europe (EU). a, Heat maps showing mean within-family

differences in leaf out times monitored at six gardens (see Figure 3) between NA and EA

species (left panel), NA and EU (middle panel), and EU and EA species (right panel). Each

contrast contains at least two species per continent. b, Mean within-family differences in leaf-

out dates (± 95% CIs) between NA and EA species (left panel), NA and EU (middle panel),

and EU and EA species (right panel). Number of within-family contrasts available for each

garden shown above garden names.

201" 202" 203" 204" 205" 206" 207" 208" 209" 210" 211" 212" 213" 214" 215" 216" 217" 218" 219" 220" 221" 222" 223" 224" 225" 226" 227" 228" 229" 230" 231" 232" 233"

543" 544" 545" 546" 547" 548"

549" 550" 551" 552" 553" 554"

10

20

305 10 15

garden_num

family_num

-20

-10

0

10

20

leafout

Anacardiaceae

Aquifoliaceae

Aristolochiaceae

Berberidaceae

Betulaceae

Bignoniaceae

Caprifoliaceae

Cornaceae

Cupressaceae

Ericaceae

Fabaceae

Fagaceae

Hamamelidaceae

Hydrangeaceae

Juglandaceae

Lauraceae

Magnoliaceae

Moraceae

Oleaceae

Pinaceae

Ranunculaceae

Rosaceae

Rutaceae

Salicaceae

Sapindaceae

Saxifragaceae

Styracaceae

Tilaceae

Ulmaceae

Vitaceae

Adoxaceae

AA Berlin Mort. Mun. Ott. USNA

Leaf-out difference ENA

-EA

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

5 10 15Location

Coe

ffici

ent e

stim

ate

10

20

305 10 15

garden_num

family_num

-20

-10

0

10

20

leafout

Adoxaceae

Anacardiaceae Berberidaceae

Betulaceae Bignoniaceae

Caprifoliaceae

Celastraceae Cornaceae

Cupressaceae Ericaceae

Fabaceae

Fagaceae Grossulariaceae

Hamamelidaceae Hydrangeaceae

Juglandaceae Lauraceae

Magnoliaceae

Malvaceae Moraceae

Oleaceae Pinaceae

Ranunculaceae Rosaceae

Rutaceae

Salicaceae Sapindaceae

Saxifragaceae Ulmaceae

Vitaceae

Leaf-out difference (days)

AA

Ber

lin

Mor

ton

Mun

ich

Otta

wa

US

NA

AA

Ber

lin

Mor

ton

Mun

ich

Otta

wa

US

NA

AA

Ber

lin

Mor

ton

Mun

ich

Otta

wa

US

NA

Mea

n le

af-o

ut d

iffer

ence

(day

s)

26 23 15 15 8 4 13 13 10 10 5 14 14 11 15

543" 544" 545" 546" 547" 548"

549" 550" 551" 552" 553" 554"

10

20

305 10 15

garden_num

family_num

-20

-10

0

10

20

leafout

Anacardiaceae

Aquifoliaceae

Aristolochiaceae

Berberidaceae

Betulaceae

Bignoniaceae

Caprifoliaceae

Cornaceae

Cupressaceae

Ericaceae

Fabaceae

Fagaceae

Hamamelidaceae

Hydrangeaceae

Juglandaceae

Lauraceae

Magnoliaceae

Moraceae

Oleaceae

Pinaceae

Ranunculaceae

Rosaceae

Rutaceae

Salicaceae

Sapindaceae

Saxifragaceae

Styracaceae

Tilaceae

Ulmaceae

Vitaceae

Adoxaceae

AA Berlin Mort. Mun. Ott. USNA

Leaf-out difference ENA

-EA

-15

-10

-5

0

5

10

15

5 10 15Location

Coe

ffici

ent e

stim

ate

NA - EA NA - EU EU - EA

No shared species

a b

Figure S13 The effect of climate (STV, MAT, TS) on species-specific leaf-out times. a,

Recursive partitioning tree for the relationship between climate parameters and species-

specific leaf-out dates (day-of-year, DOY) observed in Munich in 366 temperate woody

species. Median STV, MAT, and TS in a species’ native range, growth habit (shrub/tree), and

leaf persistence (deciduous/evergreen) were evaluated as potential split points. Number of

species contained in each terminal node shown below boxplots. b, Coefficient values (means

and 95% CIs) for the relationship between three climate parameters and leaf-out times

monitored at four gardens estimated from HB models including phylogenetic autocorrelation

and fixed tree and evergreen effects. Values reflect standardized data and can be interpreted

as relative effect sizes. Sample sizes: Arnold Arboretum (AA), 822 species; Berlin Botanical

Garden (Berlin), 627 species; Morton Arboretum (Morton), 354 species; Munich Botanical

Garden (Munich), 366 species.

94"

95"Extended Data Figure 10 | The effect of climate on species-specific leaf-out times. a, 96"

Recursive partitioning tree for the relationship between climate parameters and species-97"

specific leaf-out dates (day-of-year, DOY) observed in Munich in 366 temperate woody 98"

species. Sprig temperature variability (STV), mean annual temperature (MAT), temperature 99"

seasonality (TS), growth habit, and leaf persistence were evaluated as potential split points. 100"

Number of species contained in each terminal node shown below boxplots. b, Coefficient 101"

values (effective posterior means and 95% credible intervals) for the relationship between 102"

three climate parameters and leaf-out times monitored at four gardens. Sample sizes: Arnold 103"

Arboretum (AA), 822 species; Berlin Botanical Garden (Berlin), 627 species; Morton 104"

Arboretum (Morton), 354 species; Munich Botanical Garden (Munich), 366 species. Models 105"

include phylogenetic autocorrelation and fixed tree and evergreen effects. Values reflect 106"

standardized data and can be interpreted as relative effect sizes. 107"

94"

95" 96"Extended Data Figure 10 | The effect of climate on species-specific leaf-out times. a, 97"

Recursive partitioning tree for the relationship between three climate parameters and species-98"

specific leaf-out times (Munich data) in 366 temperate woody species. Sprig temperature 99"

variability (STV), mean annual temperature (MAT), temperature seasonality (TS), growth 100"

habit, and leaf persistence were evaluated as potential split points. Number of species 101"

contained in each terminal node shown below graphs. b, Coefficient values (effective 102"

posterior means and 95% credible intervals) for the relationship between three climate 103"

parameters and leaf-out times monitored at four gardens. Sample sizes: Arnold Arboretum 104"

(AA), 822 species; Berlin Botanical Garden (Berlin), 627 species; Morton Arboretum 105"

(Morton), 354 species; Munich Botanical Garden (Munich), 366 species. Models include 106"

phylogenetic autocorrelation and fixed tree and evergreen effects. Values reflect standardized 107"

data and can be interpreted as relative effect sizes. 108"

Growth habit

Shrub Tree

STV

MAT

60

80

100

120

140

STV

MAT

8

6

4

2

0

2

4

6

8

STV WT TS

AA

Coe

ffici

ent e

stim

ate

8

6

4

2

0

2

4

6

8

STV WT TS

Berlin

8

6

4

2

0

2

4

6

8

STV WT TS

Morton

8

6

4

2

0

2

4

6

8

STV WT TS

Munich

Growth habit

Shrub Tree

STV

MAT

60

80

100

120

140

STV

MAT

8

6

4

2

0

2

4

6

8

STV WT TS

AA

Coe

ffici

ent e

stim

ate

8

6

4

2

0

2

4

6

8

STV WT TS

Berlin

8

6

4

2

0

2

4

6

8

STV WT TS

Morton

8

6

4

2

0

2

4

6

8

STV WT TS

Munich

Leaf

-out

(DO

Y)

< 1.4 ≥ 1.4 < 1.2 ≥ 1.2

< 9.7°C ≥ 9.7°C < 13.2°C ≥ 13.2°C

N = 60 88 44 41 37 96

< 13.2°C ≥ 13.2°C

a b

STV MAT TS STV MAT TS STV MAT TS STV MAT TS

Figure S14 Leaf-out contrasts between western North American (WNA) and eastern North

American (ENA), European (EU), and East Asian (EA) species. a, Heat maps for the

difference in species-level leaf-out dates between WNA and ENA species (left panel), WNA

and EU species (middle panel), and WNA and EA species (right panel) monitored at two

gardens when all species, or only shrubs / deciduous species were included (see Appendix

Table S5). Sample sizes for each continent at the respective garden are shown below garden

names. Contrasts with sample sizes below 10 species per continent (trees and evergreen

species) are not shown (grey fields in heat map). Leaf-out dates were observed in 2012. Data

available from Panchen et al. (2014). AA: Arnold Arboretum, Boston, MA, USA; Berlin:

Botanic Garden and Botanical Museum Berlin-Dahlem, Berlin, Germany. b, Coefficient

values (means and 95% CIs) for differences in leaf-out dates between WNA and ENA

species, WNA and EU species, and WNA and EA species estimated from HB models

including phylogenetic autocorrelation and fixed tree, evergreen, and gymnosperm effects.

Values reflect standardized data and can be interpreted as relative effect sizes.

61"Extended Data Figure 7 | Leaf-out contrasts between western North American (WNA) 62"and eastern North American (ENA), European (EU), and Asian (AS) species. a, Heat 63"maps for the difference in species-level leaf-out dates between WNA and ENA species (left 64"panel), WNA and EU species (middle panel), and WNA and AS species (right panel) 65"monitored at two gardens when all species, or only shrubs / deciduous species were included. 66"Sample sizes for each continent at the respective garden are shown below garden names. 67"Contrasts with sample sizes below 10 species per continent (trees and evergreen species) are 68"not shown (grey fields in heat map). Leaf-out dates were observed in 2012 and came from 69"Panchen et al. (2014) (see Table S3). AA: Arnold Arboretum, Boston, MA, USA; Berlin: 70"Botanic Garden and Botanical Museum Berlin-Dahlem, Berlin, Germany. b, Coefficient 71"values (effective posterior means and 95% credible intervals) for differences in leaf-out dates 72"between WNA and ENA species, WNA and EU species, and WNA and AS species. Models 73"include phylogenetic autocorrelation and fixed tree, evergreen, and gymnosperm effects. 74"Values reflect standardized data and can be interpreted as relative effect sizes. 75" 76" 77" 78" 79" 80" 81" 82" 83" 84"

Fig. S6. Leaf-out contrasts between Western North American (WNA) and Eastern North

American (ENA), European (EU), and Asian (AS) species. (A) Heat maps for the difference

in species-level leaf-out dates between WNA and ENA species (left panel), WNA and EU

species (middle panel), and WNA and AS species (right panel) monitored at two gardens

when all species, or only shrubs / deciduous species were included. Sample sizes for each

continent at the respective garden are shown below garden names. Contrasts with sample

sizes below 10 species per continent (trees and evergreen species) are not shown (grey fields

in heat map). Leaf-out dates were observed in 2012 and came from Panchen et al. 2014 (see

Table Sx). AA: Arnold Arboretum, Boston, MA, USA; Berlin: Botanic Garden and Botanical

Museum Berlin-Dahlem, Berlin, Germany. (B) Coefficient values (effective posterior means

[EPM] and 95% credible intervals) for differences in leaf-out dates between WNA and ENA

species, WNA and EU species, and WNA and AS species. Models include phylogenetic

autocorrelation and fixed tree, evergreen, and gymnosperm effects. Values reflect

standardized data and can be interpreted as relative effect sizes.

WNA - ENA WNA - EU WNA - AS

All

Trees

Shrubs

Deciduous

Evergreen

Leaf-out difference (days)AA Berlin AA Berlin AA Berlin

1

2

3

4

5

0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5x

y

-10

-5

0

5

10

fill

1

2

3

4

5

0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5x

y

-10

-5

0

5

10

fill

1

2

3

4

5

0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5x

y

-10

-5

0

5

10

fill

18/211 23/126 18/148 23/95 18/610 23/401

10

5

0

-5

-10

a b

Coe

ffici

ent e

stim

ate

16

12

8

4

0

-4

-8

-12

-16

-12.0 -12.4 -6.7 -8.0 -6.3 -4.8

-12.9 -6.2 -3.3 -0.2 -5.7 1.5

-10.6 -12.5 -3.0 -6.0 -3.7 -3.3

EA

Figure S15 The temperature regimes experienced by species native to North America (NA, n

= 317), Europe (EU, n = 202), or East Asia (EA, n = 619), using the median (0.5 quantile)

STV, MAT, and TS in a species’ native range.  

America EU EA

0.8

1.0

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

2.0

Continent

STV

(sta

ndar

d de

viat

ion)

America EU EA

05

1015

20

Continent

MAT

(°C

)

America EU EA

2530

3540

45

Continent

TS (°

C)

Table S1 Results of twig cutting experiments to study the effect of chilling on forcing

requirements until leaf-out in 215 temperate woody species. Continent: continent a species is

native to (NA = North America, SA = South America, EU = Europe, EA = East Asia, WA =

West Asia). Chilling: classification of species according to chilling requirements (see

Material and Methods section for classification rules). Superscripts indicate the study from

which data was taken: (1) Laube et al. (2014), (2) Polgar et al. (2014), and (3) Zohner et al.

(2016). C1 / C2 / C3: median forcing requirements (growing degree days >0°C outdoors and

in climate chamber) until leaf-out for the three different chilling treatments C1 (short

chilling), C2 (intermediate chilling), and C3 (long chilling). NL: no leaf-out within study

period. For graphic representation see Appendix Figure S1.

Genus Species Continent Chilling C1 / C2 / C3 Abies alba EU Intermediate1 510 / 300 / 375 Abies homolepis EA Intermediate1 NL / 360 / 375 Acer barbinerve EA None3 307 / 272 / 309 Acer campestre EU High3 757 / 476 / 377 Acer ginnala EA None3 368 / 393 / 429 Acer negundo NA Intermediate1 610 / 210 / 200 Acer platanoides EU Intermediate3 809 / 527 / 483 Acer pseudoplatanus EU High1 665 / 480 / 340 Acer rubrum NA High2 NL / NL / 430 Acer saccharinum NA High2 NL / NL / 1046 Acer saccharum NA High1 NL / 690 / 360 Acer tataricum EA Intermediate1 340 / 240 / 250 Aesculus flava NA High3 1421 / 1132 / 622 Aesculus hippocastanum EU Intermediate3 587 / 527 / 498 Aesculus parviflora NA High3 737 / 604 / 514 Alnus incana EU Intermediate3 700 / 511 / 454 Alnus maximowiczii EA None3 700 / 665 / 638 Alnus serrulata NA High2 NL / NL / 540 Amelanchier alnifolia NA Intermediate3 632 / 445 / 392 Amelanchier florida NA Intermediate3 586 / 445 / 377 Amelanchier laevis NA Intermediate3 1240 / 509 / 482 Amorpha fruticosa NA None1 350 / 550 / 525 Aronia arbutifolia NA High3 660 / 402 / 298 Aronia melanocarpa NA None3 327 / 314 / 368 Berberis dielsiana EA None3 188 / 285 / 306 Berberis thunbergii EA Intermediate2 374 / 314 / 276 Berberis vulgaris EU None2 352 / 402 / 452 Betula lenta NA High3 737 / 618 / 498 Betula nana EU High3 719 / 716 / 604 Betula papyrifera NA High2 660 / 446 / 298 Betula pendula EU Intermediate1 300 / 210 / 190 Betula populifolia NA None3 368 / 391 / 412 Buddleja albiflora EA None3 150 / 225 / 300 Buddleja alternifolia EA None3 150 / 299 / 355 Buddleja davidii EA None3 155 / 300 / 354 Caragana pygmaea EA None3 111 / 225 / 207 Carpinus betulus EU Intermediate3 719 / 435 / 407 Carpinus laxiflora EA Intermediate3 527 / 376 / 424 Carpinus monbeigiana EA None3 527 / 450 / 549 Carya cordiformis NA High3 1059 / 1040 / 718 Carya glabra NA High2 NL / NL / 452 Carya laciniosa NA High3 1455 / 1203 / 709 Carya ovata NA High3 1793 / 1552 / 777 Castanea sativa EU None3 606 / 556 / 567 Cedrus libani WA Intermediate3 574 / 558 / 498 Celastrus orbiculatus EA Intermediate2 682 / 534 / 584 Celtis caucasica EU Intermediate3 820 / 492 / 443 Celtis laevigata NA High3 898 / 781 / 509 Celtis occidentalis NA High3 779 / 922 / 622 Cephalanthus occidentalis NA Intermediate3 700 / 604 / 624 Cercidiphyllum japonicum EA Intermediate3 645 / 423 / 420

   

Table S1 Continued Genus Species Continent Chilling C1 / C2 / C3 Cercidiphyllum magnificum EA High3 617 / 445 / 344 Cercis canadensis NA High3 827 / 699 / 638 Cercis chinensis EA None3 488 / 558 / 704 Cladrastis lutea NA High3 941 / 683 / 585 Clethra alnifolia NA High2 NL / 688 / 430 Comptonia peregrina NA High2 NL / 534 / 430 Cornus alba EA Intermediate3 606 / 481 / 409 Cornus amomum NA Intermediate2 682 / 490 /430 Cornus kousa EA None3 448 / 452 / 498 Cornus mas EU None1 280 / 230 / 230 Corylopsis sinensis EA None3 448 / 393 / 459 Corylopsis spicata EA None3 547 / 466 / 496 Corylus americana NA Intermediate2 748 / 402 / 386 Corylus avellana EU None3 254 / 190 / 194 Corylus heterophylla EA Intermediate3 725 / 398 / 358 Corylus sieboldiana EA Intermediate3 601 / 319 / 328 Decaisnea fargesii EA Intermediate3 568 / 393 / 420 Deutzia gracilis EA None3 167 / 209 / 262 Deutzia scabra EA None3 345 / 429 / 358 Elaeagnus ebbingei EA None3 141 / 146 / 198 Elaeagnus umbellata EA None3 352 / 314 / 298 Eleutherococcus senticosus EA None3 300 / 302 / 297 Eleutherococcus setchuenenis EA None3 408 / 393 / 420 Eleutherococcus sieboldianus EA None3 316 / 256 / 328 Euonymus alatus EA Intermediate2 682 / 380 / 430 Euonymus europaeus EU Intermediate3 468 / 452 / 381 Euonymus latifolius EU High3 NL / 525 / 377 Fagus crenata EA High3 663 / 607 / 377 Fagus engleriana EA High3 663 / 492 / 377 Fagus grandifolia NA High2 NL / NL / 1024 Fagus orientalis EU High3 1079 / 766 / 508 Fagus sylvatica EU High3 900 / 570 / 330 Forsythia ovata EA None3 227 / 316 / 371 Forsythia suspensa EA None3 330 / 256 / 297 Fraxinus americana NA Intermediate2 NL / 754 / 826 Fraxinus chinensis EA Intermediate1 490 / 450 / 390 Fraxinus excelsior EU None1 510 / 400 / 450 Fraxinus latifolia NA Intermediate3 896 / 850 / 782 Fraxinus ornus EU High3 1887 / 1381 / 689 Fraxinus pennsylvanica NA None1 360 / 375 / 430 Gaylussacia baccata NA High2 814 / 842 / 430 Ginkgo biloba EA Intermediate3 809 / 604 / 585 Hamamelis japonica EA Intermediate3 617 / 382 / 377 Hamamelis vernalis NA High3 976 / 509 / 344 Hamamelis virginiana NA High2 792 / 842 / 430 Heptacodium miconioides EA None3 227 / 316 / 345 Hibiscus syriacus EA None3 347 / 452 / 622 Hydrangea arborescens NA Intermediate3 709 / 350 / 377 Hydrangea involucrata EA Intermediate3 601 / 382 / 344 Hydrangea serrata EA Intermediate3 488 / 301 / 394 Juglans ailantifolia EA Intermediate1 625 / 400 / 335 Juglans cinerea NA Intermediate1 624 / 440 / 390 Juglans regia EU Intermediate1 580 / 550 /426 Kalmia angustifolia NA Intermediate2 NL / 424 / 584 Kalmia latifolia NA High2 NL / NL / 826 Larix decidua EU None1 250 / 200 / 190 Larix gmelinii EA Intermediate3 267 / 209 / 176 Larix kaempferi EA Intermediate3 663 / 461 / 392 Ligustrum compactum EA None2 352 / 314 / 298 Ligustrum ibota EA None2 352 / 314 / 298 Ligustrum tschonoskii EA None3 130 / 242 / 317 Lindera benzoin NA High2 NL / NL / 900 Liquidambar orientalis WA None3 247 / 393 / 498 Liquidambar styraciflua NA Intermediate3 881 / 604 / 567 Liriodendron tulipifera NA Intermediate3 737 / 332 / 317 Lonicera alpigena EU None3 267 / 257 / 238 Lonicera caerulea EU None3 111 / 151 / 151 Lonicera maackii EA None2 352 / 314 / 298 Lonicera maximowiczii EA None3 130 / 183 / 177 Lonicera subsessilis EA None2 352 / 292 / 298 Malus domestica - Intermediate2 374 / 314 / 276 Metasequoia glyptostroboides EA None3 307 / 362 / 408 Myrica pensylvanica NA High2 660 / 600 / 452

Table S1 Continued Genus Species Continent Chilling C1 / C2 / C3 Nothofagus antarctica SA Intermediate3 587 / 452 / 409 Nyssa sylvatica NA High2 NL / NL / 730 Oemleria cerasiformis NA None3 327 / 301 / 317 Orixa japonica EA Intermediate3 606 / 527 / 498 Ostrya carpinifolia EU None3 327 / 332 / 440 Ostrya virginiana NA High3 867 / 525 / 297 Paeonia rockii EA None3 347 / 347 / 358 Parrotia persica WA None3 468 / 289 / 394 Parrotiopsis jacquemontiana EA None3 468 / 362 / 454 Photinia villosa EA None3 347 / 378 / 468 Picea abies EU Intermediate3 1226 / 885 / 908 Pinus nigra EU None1 490 / 300 / 515 Pinus strobus NA None1 350 / 225 / 300 Pinus sylvestris EU Intermediate1 510 / 295 / 325 Pinus wallichiana EA None1 300 / 225 / 260 Populus grandidentata NA High2 NL / NL / 804 Populus koreana EA None3 287 / 287 / 336 Populus tremula EU High1 460 / 400 / 305 Prinsepia sinensis EA None3 73 / 74 / 74 Prinsepia uniflora EA None3 141 / 162 / 161 Prunus avium EU Intermediate1 365 / 230 / 195 Prunus cerasifera WA None3 227 / 301 / 317 Prunus padus EU None3 347 / 332 / 336 Prunus serotina NA Intermediate1 460 / 200 / 195 Prunus serrulata EA Intermediate3 508 / 466 / 420 Prunus tenella EU None3 307 / 393 / 394 Pseudotsuga menziesii NA Intermediate1 510 / 355 / 360 Ptelea trifoliata NA None3 663 / 542 / 622 Pyrus elaeagnifolia EU Intermediate3 601 / 335 / 344 Pyrus pyrifolia EA None3 287 / 423 / 420 Pyrus ussuriensis EA None3 267 / 209 / 237 Quercus alba NA High2 NL / NL / 584 Quercus bicolor NA High1 510 / 440 / 310 Quercus robur EU Intermediate3 509 / 430 / 374 Quercus rubra NA High1 NL / 540 / 340 Quercus shumardii NA Intermediate3 985 / 604 / 549 Rhamnus alpina EU High3 1040 / 623 / 427 Rhamnus cathartica EU Intermediate3 694 / 461 / 474 Rhamnus frangula EU High2 814 / 688 / 430 Rhododendron canadense NA None3 428 / 496 / 604 Rhododendron dauricum EA None3 448 / 496 / 423 Rhododendron mucronulatum EA None3 141 / 194 / 198 Rhus typhina NA High2 814 / 600 / 430 Ribes alpinum EU Intermediate3 345 / 162 / 95 Ribes divaricatum NA Intermediate3 663 / 256 / 237 Ribes glaciale EA None3 167 / 162 / 147 Robinia pseudoacacia NA Intermediate1 375 / 225 / 290 Rosa hugonis EA None3 224 / 209 / 237 Rosa majalis EU None3 195 / 209 / 266 Rosa multiflora EA Intermediate2 374 / 314 / 276 Salix gracilistyla EA None3 307 / 287 / 317 Salix repens EU High3 820 / 557 / 377 Sambucus nigra EU None3 327 / 242 / 293 Sambucus pubens NA Intermediate3 450 / 209 / 286 Sambucus tigranii EU Intermediate3 450 / 225 / 286 Sassafras albidum NA High2 NL / NL / 980 Sinowilsonia henryi EA None3 428 / 393 / 498 Smilax rotundifolia NA High2 NL / NL / 1024 Sorbus aria EU High3 1087 / 638 / 509 Sorbus commixta EA Intermediate3 420 / 302 / 311 Sorbus decora NA Intermediate3 632 / 382 / 410 Spiraea canescens EA None3 300 / 225 / 276 Spiraea chamaedryfolia EA None3 330 / 194 / 297 Spiraea japonica EA None3 360 / 303 / 344 Spiraea latifolia NA High2 792 / 446 / 298 Stachyurus chinensis EA Intermediate3 773 / 573 / 585 Stachyurus praecox EA None3 307 / 301 / 394 Symphoricarpos albus NA Intermediate1 415 / 190 / 190 Syringa josikaea EU None3 287 / 378 / 293 Syringa reticulata EA None3 227 / 287 / 370 Syringa villosa EA None3 227 / 227 / 293 Syringa vulgaris EU None1 190 / 150 / 190 Tilia dasystyla WA High3 836 / 509 / 392

Table S1 Continued Genus Species Continent Chilling C1 / C2 / C3 Tilia japonica EA None3 388 / 409 / 468 Tilia platyphyllos EU Intermediate3 587 / 437 / 468 Toona sinensis EA None3 488 / 635 / 585 Ulmus americana NA High3 617 / 461 / 328 Ulmus laevis EU High3 1040 / 735 / 377 Vaccinium angustifolium NA Intermediate2 792 / 446 / 452 Vaccinium corymbosum NA High2 682 / 490 / 276 Vaccinium pallidum NA High2 814 / 754 / 584 Viburnum betulifolium EA Intermediate3 587 / 481 / 459 Viburnum buddleifolium EA High3 NL / 466 / 317 Viburnum carlesii EA None3 347 / 301 / 327 Viburnum opulus EU Intermediate3 663 / 496 / 514 Viburnum plicatum EA Intermediate3 1059 / 466 / 498 Viburnum recognitum NA High2 616 / 556 / 386 Vitis aestivalis NA High2 814 / 534 / 430 Weigela coraeensis EA None3 375 / 287 / 328 Weigela florida EA None3 327 / 316 / 526 Weigela maximowiczii EA Intermediate3 632 / 382 / 377

Table S2 Experimental setup of twig cutting experiments to study the effect of chilling on

forcing requirements until leaf-out in 215 temperate woody species. C1, C2, C3 = Different

collection dates of twigs resulting in different levels of chilling. We show the collection dates

and (in brackets) the number of chill days that accumulated before collection for the three

studies from which data was taken (Laube et al. 2014; Polgar et al. 2014; Zohner et al. 2016).

Chill days were calculated as days with a mean air temperature below 5°C between 1

November and the respective collection date.

 Study C1 C2 C3

Zohner et al. 2016

(144 species studied)

Laube et al. 2014 (29 species)

Polgar et al. 2014

(42 species)

21 Dec

(40)

14 Dec (33)

8 Jan (52)

11 Feb

(79)

30 Jan (73)

14 Feb

(86)

21 March

(96)

14 March (110)

20 March

(115)

Table S3 ANCOVA for the relationships between forcing requirements until leaf-out

(growing degree days >0°C outdoors and in climate chamber) and continent (North America,

Europe, East Asia), chilling treatment (C1 – C3), and habit (shrub, tree) [see Figure 2 and

Appendix Figure S5c]. *P < 0.05, **P < 0.01, ***P < 0.001.

N = 208 species F-value

Continent F(2) = 86.4***

Chilling F(1) = 65.8***

Habit F(1) = 23.1***

Continent x chilling F(2) = 12.4***

Continent x habit F(2) = 0.4

Chilling x habit F(1) = 1.4

Table S4 Mean leaf-out times monitored at six gardens of species restricted to NA, EU, and

EA, when all species or only trees / shrubs / deciduous / evergreen species were included.

95% confidence intervals and sample sizes shown in brackets, respectively. AA: Arnold

Arboretum, Boston, MA, USA; Berlin: Botanical Garden and Botanical Museum Berlin-

Dahlem, Berlin, Germany; Morton: Morton Arboretum, Lisle, IL, USA; Munich: Munich

Botanical Garden, Munich, Germany; Ottawa: Ottawa Arboretum, Ottawa, Canada; USNA:

US National Arboretum, Washington, DC and Beltsville, MD, USA.

Extended Data Table 2 | Mean leaf-out dates monitored at six gardens of species restricted 238"

to North America (NA), Europe (EU), and Eastern Asia (EA), when all species or only trees / 239"

shrubs / deciduous / evergreen species were included. 95% confidence intervals and sample 240"

sizes shown in brackets, respectively. 241"

AA Berlin Morton Munich Ottawa USNA All 106.1

(1.6) (291)

106.8 (2.4) (190)

92.5 (2.2) (137)

105.5 (2.2) (106)

126.7 (2.7)

(90)

89.6 (3.9)

(22) Trees 109.9

(1.9) (166)

113.1 (2.7) (106)

94.8 (2.9)

(96)

110.1 (2.6)

(63)

128.4 (2.8)

(73)

92.8 (4.7)

(12) NA Shrubs 101.3

(2.8) (125)

98.8 (3.6)

(84)

87.1 (2.5)

(41)

98.7 (2.9)

(43)

119.6 (7.2)

(17)

85.8 (6.0)

(10) Deciduous 103.0

(1.4) (249)

105.4 (2.3) (175)

91.1 (2.0) (125)

104.7 (2.1) (101)

125.0 (2.7)

(78)

89.7 (4.1)

(21) Evergreen 125.2

(5.2) (42)

126.5 (11.4)

(14)

106.8 (11.5)

(12)

121.8 3.9 (5)

141.7 (3.1)

(11)

89.0 (-) (1)

All 99.8 (3.1) (148)

102.6 (3.3)

(95)

92.2 (3.6)

(38)

98.5 (2.8)

(85)

122.0 (8.1)

(21)

91.9 (5.2)

(10) Trees 106.0

(4.4) (46)

109.9 (4.3)

(51)

95.7 (4.4)

(26)

106.0 (2.9)

(38)

126.6 (7.3)

(17)

93.5 (5.9)

(8) EU Shrubs 93.4

(3.6) (45)

94.0 (4.0)

(44)

84.5 (3.6)

(12)

92.4 (3.7)

(47)

102.2 (21.7)

(4)

85.5 (6.8)

(2) Deciduous 96.1

(2.7) (74)

100.6 (3.5)

(81)

90.5 (3.6)

(32)

97.5 (2.8)

(78)

115.6 (8.5)

(16)

91.9 (5.2)

(10) Evergreen 115.8

(8.2) (17)

114.0 (8.6)

(14)

101.0 (10.6)

(6)

110.3 (10.0)

(7)

142.2 (3.5)

(5)

- (-) (0)

All 99.4 (1.2) (610)

99.4 (1.7) (401)

86.4 (1.5) (206)

94.4 1.4 (295)

116.0 (4.4)

(57)

82.4 (1.7) (139)

Trees 103.7 (1.7) (283)

107.0 (2.2) (193)

89.4 (2.4) (115)

103.3 (2.0) (100)

116.9 (4.8)

(48)

83.9 (2.2)

(81) EA Shrubs 95.8

(1.7) (327)

92.3 (2.1) (208)

82.6 (1.1)

(91)

89.8 (1.6) (195)

111.0 (11.4)

(9)

80.3 (2.7)

(58) Deciduous 96.8

(1.2) (525)

97.9 (1.6) (367)

85.0 (1.2) (190)

94.0 (1.4) (279)

114.2 (4.4)

(53)

81.6 (1.7) (132)

Evergreen 116.4 (3.5)

(85)

115.3 (7.9)

(34)

103.5 (10.4)

(16)

100.2 (7.7)

(16)

140.2 (8.0)

(4)

97.0 (9.1)

(7)

242"

Table S5 Mean leaf-out times monitored at two gardens of species restricted to western North

America and eastern North America, when all species or only trees / shrubs / deciduous /

evergreen species were included. 95% confidence intervals and sample sizes shown in

brackets, respectively. AA: Arnold Arboretum, Boston, MA, USA; Berlin: Botanical Garden

and Botanical Museum Berlin-Dahlem, Berlin, Germany.

AA Berlin Western North America

All 93.1 (5.5)

(18)

94.6 (6.1)

(23) Trees 103.5

(7.7) (4)

97.8 (12.7)

(5) Shrubs 90.1

(5.9) (14)

93.8 (7.1)

(18) Deciduous 93.1

(5.5) (18)

94.6 (6.1)

(23) Evergreen -

(-) (0)

- (-) (0)

Eastern North America

All 105.1 (1.7) (211)

107.0 (2.6) (126)

Trees 106.8 (1.7) (115)

112.8 (2.5)

(70) Shrubs 103.0

(3.1) (96)

100.0 (4.4)

(56) Deciduous 103.7

(1.5) (194)

107.1 (2.7) (124)

Evergreen 121.2 (9.5)

(17)

105.5 (48.1)

(2)