YouGov poll tracking report, 11.15.11

8/3/2019 YouGov poll tracking report, 11.15.11

http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/yougov-poll-tracking-report-111511 1/17

Interviewing: November 12-15, 2011

Sample: 1000 Adults nationwide online

714 registered voters nationwide online806 D Street, SE

Washington, DC 20003

Contact:

Thomas Riehle

Ph: (202) 544-2550

The Economist /YouGov Poll

2011 Weekly Tracking

For immediate release



The Economist /YouGov PollNovember 12-15, 2011

1. Approval of Obama as President – Historical

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?

All Adults

Total Total Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly Not

Approve Disapprove Approve Approve Disapprove Disapprove Sure

November 12-15, 2011 43% 51% 14% 29% 17% 34% 6%

November 5-8, 2011 42% 52% 14% 28% 15% 37% 7%

October 29-November 1, 2011 41% 52% 16% 25% 15% 37% 8%

October 22-25, 2011 42% 49% 16% 26% 14% 35% 9%

October 15-18, 2011 38% 53% 14% 24% 15% 38% 8%

October 8-11, 2011 39% 53% 14% 25% 12% 41% 8%

October 1-4, 2011 39% 53% 14% 25% 17% 36% 8%

September 24-27, 2011 39% 53% 14% 25% 15% 38% 8%

September 17-20, 2011 36% 56% 14% 22% 16% 40% 9%

September 10-13, 2011 40% 53% 14% 26% 15% 38% 7%

July 23-26, 2011 42% 48% 16% 26% 14% 34% 10%

One Year Ago 40% 55% 13% 27% 17% 38% 5%

Registered Voters


Approve Disapprove Approve Approve Disapprove Disapprove Sure

November 12-15, 2011 47% 50% 15% 32% 16% 34% 3%

November 5-8, 2011 44% 53% 18% 26% 15% 38% 3%

October 29-November 1, 2011 44% 52% 19% 25% 13% 39% 4%

October 22-25, 2011 44% 53% 18% 26% 12% 41% 3%

October 15-18, 2011 42% 54% 17% 25% 11% 43% 4%

October 8-11, 2011 44% 53% 18% 26% 10% 43% 4%

October 1-4, 2011 43% 53% 17% 26% 14% 39% 4%

September 24-27, 2011 41% 57% 15% 26% 15% 42% 2%

September 17-20, 2011 38% 58% 16% 22% 14% 44% 3%

September 10-13, 2011 42% 56% 16% 26% 13% 43% 3%

July 23-26, 2011 44% 52% 17% 27% 12% 40% 4%

One Year Ago 40% 57% 14% 26% 15% 42% 3%

2




P e r c e n t o f R e s p o n d e n t s

"Do you approve or disapprove of the wayBarack Obama is handling his job as President?"

Obama Approval

Approve: 43%

Disapprove: 51%

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

2009 2010 2011

Figure 1: Obama Approval – All Adults

3




P e r c e n t o f R e g i s t e r e d V o t e r s

"Do you approve or disapprove of the wayBarack Obama is handling his job as President?"

Obama Approval

Approve: 47%

Disapprove: 50%

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

2009 2010 2011

Figure 2: Obama Approval – Registered Voters

4




2. Approval of Obama as President – This Week

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?

Age Race Gender EducationTotal 18-29 30-64 65+ White Black Hispanic Male Female HS or Less Some College College Grad

Strongly Approve 13.5% 9.9% 13.5% 19.4% 8.9% 48.9% 11.2% 11.5% 15.1% 14.0% 12.8% 13.7%

Somewhat

Approve 29.2% 40.4% 25.3% 26.4% 29.9% 25.6% 25.5% 28.3% 29.9% 23.9% 31.7% 34.6%

Somewhat

Disapprove 17.4% 13.1% 19.6% 15.5% 19.1% 10.2% 9.0% 16.0% 18.6% 18.3% 13.1% 21.6%

Strongly

Disapprove 34.0% 26.7% 36.1% 37.1% 37.6% 1.7% 43.3% 41.4% 27.9% 34.3% 36.9% 29.5%

Not Sure 6.0% 9.9% 5.4% 1.6% 4.5% 13.5% 10.9% 2.8% 8.5% 9.4% 5.6% 0.6%

Totals 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

(Unweighted) (529) (95) (355) (79) (427) (67) (35) (219) (310) (200) (194) (135)

Party ID Ideology Region Family Income

Total Dem Rep Ind Lib Mod Con Northeast Midwest South West Under 40 40-100 100+

Strongly Approve 13.5% 29.1% 1.7% 9.2% 21.1% 19.9% 5.2% 17.6% 16.0% 12.2% 10.8% 12.9% 14.9% 12.1%

Somewhat

Approve 29.2% 46.0% 9.9% 30.8% 58.2% 34.8% 10.8% 28.1% 30.1% 29.1% 28.9% 29.8% 30.7% 30.5%

Somewhat

Disapprove 17.4% 10.7% 17.0% 20.4% 11.3% 22.3% 13.0% 19.7% 12.9% 19.7% 16.7% 18.4% 18.9% 14.4%

Strongly

Disapprove 34.0% 9.5% 69.4% 32.7% 6.2% 18.5% 66.7% 30.7% 32.9% 34.3% 36.6% 28.4% 33.9% 41.7%Not Sure 6.0% 4.6% 2.0% 6.8% 3.1% 4.5% 4.2% 4.0% 8.1% 4.8% 7.0% 10.4% 1.5% 1.4%

Totals 100 .0% 1 00. 0% 10 0. 0% 10 0. 0% 1 00 .0 % 1 00. 0% 10 0. 0% 100 .0% 1 00. 0% 100 .0% 1 00 .0 % 1 00. 0% 10 0. 0% 10 0. 0%

(Unweighted) (529) (192) (130) (152) (98) (204) (167) (75) (124) (219) (111) (211) (207) (68)

5




3. Approval of U.S. Congress – Historical

Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way that the United States Congress is handling its job?

All Adults


Approve Disapprove Approve Approve Neutral Disapprove Disapprove Sure

November 12-15, 2011 7% 69% 2% 5% 14% 26% 43% 9%

November 5-8, 2011 10% 65% 1% 9% 16% 22% 43% 10%

October 29-November 1, 2011 9% 68% 2% 7% 11% 22% 46% 12%

October 22-25, 2011 8% 67% 1% 7% 14% 24% 43% 10%

October 15-18, 2011 7% 68% 1% 6% 16% 24% 44% 9%

October 8-11, 2011 7% 71% 2% 5% 11% 22% 49% 11%

October 1-4, 2011 8% 69% 1% 7% 16% 24% 45% 8%

September 24-27, 2011 7% 70% 1% 6% 13% 23% 47% 9%

September 17-20, 2011 11% 65% 2% 9% 16% 21% 44% 9%

September 10-13, 2011 9% 69% 1% 8% 12% 22% 47% 10%

July 23-26, 2011 13% 63% 3% 10% 14% 26% 37% 9%

One Year Ago 8% 70% 2% 6% 13% 24% 46% 10%

Registered Voters


Approve Disapprove Approve Approve Neutral Disapprove Disapprove Sure

November 12-15, 2011 7% 76% 1% 6% 12% 27% 49% 5%

November 5-8, 2011 10% 72% 2% 8% 13% 25% 47% 6%

October 29-November 1, 2011 8% 76% 2% 6% 10% 24% 52% 6%

October 22-25, 2011 10% 75% 1% 9% 10% 24% 51% 5%

October 15-18, 2011 8% 75% 1% 7% 11% 26% 49% 5%

October 8-11, 2011 8% 79% 3% 5% 8% 25% 54% 6%

October 1-4, 2011 9% 74% 1% 8% 12% 23% 51% 4%

September 24-27, 2011 10% 75% 2% 8% 11% 24% 51% 4%

September 17-20, 2011 12% 71% 2% 10% 12% 22% 49% 5%

September 10-13, 2011 10% 77% 1% 9% 10% 23% 54% 4%

July 23-26, 2011 12% 70% 1% 11% 14% 29% 41% 5%

One Year Ago 8% 74% 2% 6% 13% 25% 49% 5%

6





"Do you approve of the way theU.S. Congress is handling its job?"

Congress Approval

Approve: 7%

Disapprove: 69%

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

2009 2010 2011

Figure 3: Congress Approval – All Adults

7





"Do you approve of the way theU.S. Congress is handling its job?"

Congress Approval

Approve: 7%

Disapprove: 76%

0

10

20

30

40

50

6070

80

90

2009 2010 2011

Figure 4: Congress Approval – Registered Voters

8




4. Approval of U.S. Congress – This Week

Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way that the United States Congress is handling its job?


Strongly approve 1.8% 2.4% 1.5% 1.6% 1.4% 1.8% 6.5% 1.3% 2.2% 1.5% 1.4% 2.6%

Somewhat

approve 5.4% 6.2% 4.8% 6.3% 3.9% 11.4% 14.1% 6.9% 4.0% 5.9% 4.1% 5.9%

Neither approve

nor disapprove 14.4% 17.1% 14.2% 10.5% 13.3% 18.5% 21.1% 12.2% 16.4% 18.4% 11.8% 10.5%

Somewhat

disapprove 25.8% 27.3% 26.2% 21.6% 27.3% 19.7% 18.1% 22.6% 28.7% 24.2% 25.7% 28.6%

Strongly

disapprove 43.4% 31.9% 44.4% 58.3% 46.0% 30.5% 32.6% 49.2% 37.9% 35.5% 48.2% 51.1%

Not sure 9.3% 15.2% 8.8% 1.7% 8.3% 18.1% 7.7% 7.7% 10.8% 14.5% 8.6% 1.3%

Totals 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

(Unweighted) (996) (180) (666) (150) (811) (117) (68) (449) (547) (394) (329) (273)



Strongly approve 1.8% 2.0% 3.1% 1.3% 0.9% 2.2% 2.5% 4.8% 0.8% 0.9% 1.9% 1.9% 1.1% 4.3%

Somewhat

approve 5.4% 5.2% 9.1% 3.8% 6.5% 2.5% 8.7% 6.9% 5.6% 5.0% 4.6% 5.6% 5.6% 3.6%

Neither approve

nor disapprove 14.4% 14.0% 16.4% 10.4% 4.2% 15.5% 16.0% 10.0% 15.2% 17.0% 12.2% 17.0% 14.7% 6.4%Somewhat

disapprove 25.8% 23.3% 32.7% 26.1% 29.3% 22.6% 30.3% 24.4% 31.7% 23.3% 25.9% 25.0% 29.1% 27.1%

Strongly

disapprove 43.4% 47.8% 34.6% 52.2% 54.5% 51.4% 37.9% 43.0% 37.0% 44.4% 47.8% 35.7% 46.7% 54.6%

Not sure 9.3% 7.6% 4.1% 6.2% 4.6% 5.8% 4.6% 10.8% 9.8% 9.3% 7.6% 14.9% 2.9% 3.9%

Totals 100 .0% 1 00. 0% 10 0. 0% 10 0. 0% 1 00 .0 % 1 00. 0% 10 0. 0% 100 .0% 1 00. 0% 100 .0% 1 00 .0 % 1 00. 0% 10 0. 0% 10 0. 0%

(Unweighted) (996) (341) (248) (296) (182) (375) (315) (169) (219) (395) (213) (382) (386) (125)

9




7. Direction of country – Historical

Would you say things in this country today are...

All Adults

Right Wrong Not

Track Direction Sure

November 12-15, 2011 17% 68% 15%

November 5-8, 2011 15% 72% 13%

October 29-November 1, 2011 13% 71% 16%

October 22-25, 2011 17% 68% 15%

October 15-18, 2011 14% 72% 14%

October 8-11, 2011 13% 72% 15%

October 1-4, 2011 15% 70% 14%

September 24-27, 2011 12% 72% 15%

September 17-20, 2011 14% 72% 15%

September 10-13, 2011 12% 73% 15%

July 23-26, 2011 16% 70% 15%

One Year Ago 23% 61% 15%

Registered Voters

Right Wrong Not

Track Direction Sure

November 12-15, 2011 17% 73% 10%

November 5-8, 2011 15% 74% 10%

October 29-November 1, 2011 16% 73% 11%

October 22-25, 2011 18% 70% 12%

October 15-18, 2011 16% 72% 12%

October 8-11, 2011 15% 72% 13%

October 1-4, 2011 16% 73% 10%

September 24-27, 2011 12% 76% 12%

September 17-20, 2011 14% 76% 10%

September 10-13, 2011 13% 77% 10%

July 23-26, 2011 14% 73% 13%

One Year Ago 25% 63% 12%

10





"Would you say things in this country today aregenerally headed in the right direction

or off on the wrong track?"

Direction of Country

Right: 17%

Wrong: 68%

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

2009 2010 2011

Figure 5: Direction of Country – All Adults

11





"Would you say things in this country today aregenerally headed in the right direction

or off on the wrong track?"

Direction of Country

Right: 17%

Wrong: 73%

0

10

20

30

40

50

6070

80

90

2009 2010 2011

Figure 6: Direction of Country – Registered Voters

12




8. Direction of Country – This Week

Would you say things in this country today are...


Generally

headed in the

right direction 16.9% 19.1% 16.2% 16.1% 11.9% 49.2% 25.6% 17.4% 16.5% 19.7% 15.3% 14.3%

Off on the wrong

track 68.3% 56.0% 72.6% 71.5% 74.8% 24.4% 60.8% 69.6% 67.1% 64.3% 68.9% 74.6%

Not sure 14.7% 24.9% 11.1% 12.4% 13.3% 26.4% 13.5% 13.0% 16.4% 16.1% 15.9% 11.2%

Totals 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

(Unweighted) (995) (179) (666) (150) (808) (117) (70) (450) (545) (393) (330) (272)



Generally

headed in the

right direction 16.9% 34.5% 8.7% 11.0% 21.8% 20.8% 11.3% 14.7% 15.7% 18.8% 16.4% 22.0% 15.9% 9.8%

Off on the wrong

track 68.3% 48.8% 86.9% 76.2% 58.8% 65.0% 81.9% 70.6% 69.1% 68.1% 66.2% 63.4% 72.3% 74.4%

Not sure 14.7% 16.6% 4.3% 12.9% 19.3% 14.2% 6.7% 14.7% 15.2% 13.1% 17.4% 14.6% 11.7% 15.8%

Totals 100 .0% 1 00. 0% 10 0. 0% 10 0. 0% 1 00 .0 % 1 00. 0% 10 0. 0% 100 .0% 1 00. 0% 100 .0% 1 00 .0 % 1 00. 0% 10 0. 0% 10 0. 0%

(Unweighted) (995) (341) (247) (296) (183) (375) (314) (167) (219) (394) (215) (380) (387) (125)

13




7. Congressional Vote Intention – Historical

If an election for U.S. Congress were being held today, who would you vote for in the district where you live?

Registered Voters

The Democratic

Party candidate

The Republican

Party candidateOther Not sure I would not vote

November 12-15, 2011 40% 37% 2% 20% 1%

November 5-8, 2011 41% 39% 1% 17% 3%

October 29-November 1, 2011 39% 36% 2% 19% 4%

October 22-25, 2011 40% 39% 2% 17% 3%

October 15-18, 2011 41% 37% 2% 17% 3%

October 8-11, 2011 40% 38% 2% 17% 2%

October 1-4, 2011 40% 38% 2% 18% 2%

September 24-27, 2011 38% 39% 4% 16% 3%

September 17-20, 2011 40% 41% 3% 13% 3%

September 10-13, 2011 41% 38% 2% 18% 1%

14





"If an election for U.S. Congress were being held today,who would you vote for in the district where you live?"

2012 Congressional Vote Intention

Democratic candidate: 40%

Republican candidate: 37%

August

2011

September

2011

October

2011

November

2011

30

40

50

Figure 7: Congressional Vote Intention – Registered Voters

15




10. Congressional Vote Intention – This WeekIf an election for U.S. Congress were being held today, who would you vote for in the district where you live?Asked of registered voters

Age Race Gender Education

Total 18-29 30-64 65+ White Black Hispanic Male Female HS or Less Some College College Grad

The Democratic

Party candidate 39.9% 40.6% 41.9% 32.3% 34.1% 80.6% 47.5% 34.2% 45.0% 37.2% 38.7% 44.0%

The Republican

Party candidate 36.6% 32.0% 37.5% 37.7% 41.5% 3.1% 29.3% 45.8% 28.5% 37.8% 35.1% 36.7%

Other 1.8% 1.7% 2.0% 1.5% 2.2% − − 2.8% 1.0% 1.7% 2.3% 1.5%

Not sure 20.2% 23.0% 17.4% 27.4% 21.2% 13.5% 18.5% 15.9% 24.0% 20.9% 22.4% 17.4%

I would not vote 1.4% 2.7% 1.2% 1.2% 1.0% 2.9% 4.7% 1.3% 1.6% 2.4% 1.5% 0.4%

Totals 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

(Unweighted) (823) (115) (568) (140) (668) (101) (54) (383) (440) (280) (286) (257)



The Democratic

Party candidate 39.9% 79.9% 4.4% 33.4% 85.3% 46.1% 11.5% 43.6% 41.9% 36.5% 41.3% 43.4% 39.8% 35.0%

The Republican

Party candidate 36.6% 4.1% 82.9% 30.8% 3.6% 21.5% 72.5% 30.9% 38.8% 35.0% 41.1% 31.4% 37.2% 47.5%

Other 1.8% 0.7% 1.3% 3.5% 1.2% 2.0% 1.7% 0.8% 1.4% 2.4% 2.1% 2.3% 1.4% 2.2%

Not sure 20.2% 14.8% 11.0% 29.9% 9.5% 28.7% 14.2% 22.5% 16.4% 24.8% 14.5% 20.4% 21.0% 15.3%

I would not vote 1.4% 0.6% 0.4% 2.5% 0.4% 1.8% − 2.1% 1.5% 1.4% 1.0% 2.4% 0.7% −

Totals 100 .0% 1 00. 0% 10 0. 0% 10 0. 0% 1 00 .0 % 1 00. 0% 10 0. 0% 100 .0% 1 00. 0% 100 .0% 1 00 .0 % 1 00. 0% 10 0. 0% 10 0. 0%

(Unweighted) (823) (307) (229) (245) (162) (328) (288) (132) (188) (323) (180) (285) (341) (114)

16




Sponsorship The Economist

Fieldwork YouGov

Interviewing Dates November 12-15, 2011

Target population U.S. citizens, aged 18 and over.

Sampling method Respondents were selected from YouGov’s PollingPoint panel using

sample matching. A random sample (stratified by age, gender, race,

education, and region) was selected from the 2005–2007 American

Community Study. Voter registration, turnout, religion, news interest,

minor party identification, and non-placement on an ideology scale,

were imputed from the 2008 Current Population Survey Registration

and Voting Supplement and the Pew Religion in American Life Survey.

Matching respondents were selected from the PollingPoint panel, an

opt-in Internet panel.

Weighting The sample was weighted using propensity scores based on age,

gender, race, education, news interest, voter registration, and non-

placement on an ideology scale. The weights range from 0.47 to 3.7,

with a mean of one and a standard deviation of 0.6.

Number of respondents 1,000

Margin of error ± 3.7% (adjusted for weighting)

Margin of error (Registered Voters) ± 4.1% (adjusted for weighting)

Survey mode Web-based interviews

Full results Available online at

http://today.yougov.com/news/categories/economist/.

http://today.yougov.com/news/categories/economist/

http://today.yougov.com/news/categories/economist/

Documents

YouGov poll tracking report, 11.15.11