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CompanyName:WynnResortsLtdCompanyTicker:WYNNSector:Services
Industry:LeisureEventDescription:Q32014 EarningsCall
©2014TheStreet,Inc.AllRightsReserved Page1of 16
WynnResorts(WYNN)EarningsReport:Q32014ConferenceCallTranscriptThefollowingWynnResortsconferencecalltookplaceonOctober28,2014,04:30PMET.Thisisatranscriptofthatearningscall:
CompanyPart icipants
LewisFanger;WynnResorts;VP-IRSteveWynn;WynnResorts;CEOFeliciaHendrix;BarclaysCapital;AnalystIanCoughlan;WynnResortsMacau;PresidentGamalAziz;WynnMacau;PresidentLindaChen;WynnInternationalMarketing;PresidentMattMaddox;WynnResorts;PresidentandCFO
OtherPart icipants
JoeGreff;JPMorgan;AnalystCarloSantarelli;DeutscheBank;AnalystShaunKelley;BofAMerrillLynch;AnalystHarryCurtis;NomuraSecurities;AnalystThomasAllen;MorganStanley;AnalystRobinFarley;UBS;Analyst
MANAGEMENTDISCUSSIONSECTION
Operator:
WelcometotheWynnResortthird-quarter2014earningscall.IwillnowturntheconferenceovertoMr.LewisFanger,VicePresidentofWynnResorts.Pleasegoahead.
LewisFanger(VP-IR):
Goodafternoon,everyone.WelcometotheWynnResorts'third-quarter2014earningscall.JoiningthecallonbehalfoftheCompanytodayareSteveWynn,MattMaddox,JohnStrzemp,SteveCootey,MauriceWooden,andScottPetersonhereinLasVegas,aswellasGamalAziz,IanCoughlan,FredericLuvisutto,LindaChen,RobertGansmo,andFrankCasselladialinginfromWynnMacau.
Andwiththatsaid,letmeturnitovertoMatt.
Matt Maddox(PresidentandCFO):
Okay.Thanks,everyone.Beforewegetstarted,Ijustneedtoremindeverybodythatwewillbemakingforward-lookingstatementsonthiscall.Andthosestatementsmayormaynotcometrue.
Withthat,IamgoingtoturnitovertoMr.Wynn.
SteveWynn(CEO):
Generallyspeaking,wewerehappywiththethird-quarter.Basically--withthelastquarter,rather--wemade
CompanyName:WynnResortsLtdCompanyTicker:WYNNSector:Services
Industry:LeisureEventDescription:Q32014 EarningsCall
©2014TheStreet,Inc.AllRightsReserved Page2of 16
upintheslotmachinesinthegeneralcasinoinMacauinmasswhatwe--whatwe're--whatwelostinVIP.And,so,itseemstome,aswelookatOctober,thatwearedefinitely--youknow,you'vegottoloveMacao.Wedo,inthisCompany.Andwehavegreat,greatconfidenceandgratitudetobeinvolvedwiththeplace.
Butit'salwaysbeengovernment-sensitive.AndtheturmoilinHongKong,thesmoking--thenewregulationsofsmoking,theturmoilinHongKonglately,inthemonthofOctober,andofcourse,thepolicyofthecentralgovernment,andbeingaggressiveaboutwhatappearedtobemisconductandcorruptioninthegovernment,hasputalotofthewealthybusinessmeninthefoxholes.Everybodyisbeingveryconservativeatthispointoverthere--IthinktakingthecuefromPresidentZ ,whoisaveryconservativeman.
AndithashadanimpactonMacauinOctober.Wehaveallnoticedit.AndIdon'tknowwhetheritisasquallorweareintherainyseasonorhowlongitwilllast,butwearestillvery,verybullishonMacau.And,asusual,inthepast,whenpeopleusedtoaskuswhenareyougoingtogetapprovaltostartconstruction?Whenwillyougetyourlandconcession?You--thingshappeninChinaattheirownpaceandintheirowntime.
Andforthoseofuswhoareluckyenoughtobeinbusinessthere,youhavetositthereandgoalongwiththeprogram,andadjusttoitasbestyoucan.Andthat'swhatwedo.Andasfarasconstructiongoes,Gamalisonthecall,ifanybodywantstoaskhimaboutit.Butwe'reontarget,we'reonbudget,we'reontime.AndWynnPalaceisproceeding.WethinkthatitisgoingtobeaverywonderfuladditiontothemarketintermsofattractingpeopletoMacau.
Like--asinthecaseofourcompetitors,everythingthatisbeingbuiltlatelyisevenbetterthanwhathasbeenbuiltbefore.Thecommunity'ssocialprofileisbeinglifted;thequalityoftheproductsthatarebeingofferedintermsofhospitality;non-gaming,food,beverage,entertainment,andmeetingandconventions,alltherest,getbetterandbetterasthattowntakesadvantageofitscompetitivesuperiority.
WithregardtoLasVegas,wewereveryhappywiththisquarter.Itisacontinuationofwhatwehaveseeninthepast.Allofourmetricshaveimprovedfortheprevious--fortherunning12months.IthinkourEBITDAwas520-odd-million-dollars.Andifwecanholdonduringfourthquarter,weoughttobeabletogettothefiveIhopeinthecalendaryearthisyear.
Thatisprettymuchmycommentsaboutthestatusofourbusiness.Wedidincrease--ifyou'venoticed,wehaveincreasedourregulardividendeffectiveimmediatelyto$1.50aquarter.Wewanttostayveryconservative.Youknowwehaveatremendousfocusonourbalancesheet.Andwehavemadeourspecialdividend$1.00andelectedinsteadtoincreasetheregulardividendbyanother$1.00ayear.
Andfinally,inBoston,justfinishedthecasinodesigns,themoremeticulousandmoredetailedaspects.WeintendtopresentaproductinMassachusettsthathasneverbeenseenbeforeinanycityoranycountry,includinginourownbuildings.WehavetakenanapproachtoBostonthatisdramaticallydifferentthananycasinopresentationthathasbeenseeninourindustryhistorically.
Idon'tthinkinmy40-oddyearsthatIhaveeverbeenasexcitedaboutaprojectasweareaboutBoston.Hopefully,theelectionaweekfromtonightwillconfirmthatthelegislationstandsandthevotersofMassachusettswillvotenoonquestionthree.
IhadtheunusualexperienceoftalkingtoformerCongressmanBarneyFranktodayandcongratulatinghimonhisop-edpieceintheBostonGlobe,inwhichheexplainedthatpeopleshouldbeallowedtospendmoneyastheyseefit.
Andwiththat,we'lltakequestions.
QUESTIONS&ANSWERS
CompanyName:WynnResortsLtdCompanyTicker:WYNNSector:Services
Industry:LeisureEventDescription:Q32014 EarningsCall
©2014TheStreet,Inc.AllRightsReserved Page3of 16
Operator:
(OperatorInstructions)FeliciaHendrix,Barclays.
FeliciaHendrix(Analyst):
Steve,asyoustartedyourpreparedremarks,youmentionedabout--youweretalkingaboutMacau,andhowit'sinterestingbecausethere'sapoliticalinfluencethere.
AndyouweretalkingabouthowsomeoftheVIP'swerelyinglowinthequarter.GivenyourviewofhowthingswereperhapsstabilizinginJulywhenyoutalkedtouslast,wasthatwhatsurprisedyoumostaboutthemarket?Orwerethereotherthingsthatsurprisedyouinthequarter?
SteveWynn(CEO):
Well,youknow,it'sinterestingtoseethebusinesscommunityrespondtothetempoofthecentralgovernment.ThebusinessmenthatwetalkedtoinMacauareverysensitivetothemoodofthecentralgovernment.
AndIguess--youknow,Idon'tknowhowtosayitanydifferentlythanthat--youcompoundthatwiththedisturbancesinHongKong,whichhascertainlyputthecentralgovernmenttothetestononeofitsmostbasicperksorprerogativesinthemodernworld,withthespecialadministrativeregionofHongKong,andthatis,youknow,who'sgoingtonominatethecandidates?
OrwhatisthenominatingprocessforcandidatesforChiefExecutiveOfficer?
Thesearevery,veryinterestingissues.Andasyouutterlyobserveonthemedia,there'sstrongfeelingsinthecommunity.Andmyguessisthat,atsomepoint,thematterwillberesolvedandeverythingwillsettledown.ThebusinessinterruptionsinHongKongaredisturbingtothebusinesscommunityandtothecommunityatlargeinHongKong.AndI'msurethey'redisturbingtothecentralgovernment.
It'shardtobelievethatbothsideswillremainattractable,butitis,afterall,People'sRepublicofChina,andHongKongispartofit.Soitwillbeinterestingtowatchitplayout.TheonlythingI'dsharewithyouisafrontrowseattotheprocess.Andhopethatitplaysoutinanorderlyfashion.Weexperienced,inOctober,aperfectstorm.Wehadthelowestholdpercentageforanumberofweeksthanwe'veeverexperiencedinChina.
WhenIsawit'saperfectstorm,it'sunusual--it'sastatisticalanomalytohold0.9%orsomethinglikethatina2.7%or2.9%game.Butontheotherhand,we'veheld4%onoccasion.So,it'sagatethatswingsbothways.Thosethingsstraightenthemselvesout.Wedon'tpayreallyanyattentiontothat.Adjusted,ourwholepercentagewouldputusinamarketshareofabout10%again.Butevenat10%,wesufferthesamefateastherestofthemarketwhenitexperiencesadecline.
SoIdon'tknowifsurpriseistherightword.Disappointmentcertainlyisaword.
FeliciaHendrix(Analyst):
Itrynottousethatword,soIusesurprise.Youknow,youwould(multiplespeakers)--
SteveWynn(CEO):
Disappointment.
FeliciaHendrix(Analyst):
Youused--youtalkedaboutholdsontheVIPside.ItdoeslooklikeyouheldalittlebithighonthemasssideaswellonMacau,justrelativetothepastfewquarters,wherewe'vereallybeenseeingtheimpactof--ortheincreasedpurchasesatTheCage.
CompanyName:WynnResortsLtdCompanyTicker:WYNNSector:Services
Industry:LeisureEventDescription:Q32014 EarningsCall
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Howshouldwelookat--justsinceit'snot--somewhatofanewphenomenon,seeingtheholds,seeingthekindofmid-40percentages,Iknowitwas50-and-changethisquarter.Howshouldwethinkaboutanormalizedholdforyourmasssegment?
SteveWynn(CEO):
Greatquestion.Idon'thaveanymorecluesthanyoudoonthisone.Ithinkwhatyoushoulddoispayattentiontothewins.Imeanattheendoftheday,casinorevenuebeforeexpensesismeasuredbyhowmuchisleft.ThepurchaseofthesechipsatTheCagerepresentsamovingtarget,andIdon'tknowhowtoexplainitortonormalizeit.BecauseIhavewatcheditfluctuateasyouhave.
Andyouknow,Idon'tthinkitreallymattersverymuch,really,whenwegetrightdowntoit.Idon'tthinkitreallymatters.Itistherevenue.Itisthatwinfigurethatweareallfocusedon.Andthatistheonethatcounts.
FeliciaHendrix(Analyst):
Okay,that'shelpful.Andjustfinally,again,regardingthemarket--andI' lluseyourworddisappointed--doyouthinkanyaspectofthatiscomingfromthesmokingban?
SteveWynn(CEO):
Youknow--wethink--Iaskedthatquestionofmycolleagues.Ianisonthecall,andIthinkitwouldbeagreatthingforhimtoaddress.
IanCoughlan(President):
Well,we'vejusthadacoupleofweekstogaugeit,andacoupleofweeksafterGoldenWeek,soIstillthinkitisearlydays.Thereisnodoubtgoingtobeaneffect,butIthinkitistheleastofourconcernsintermsofrevenuedrop-off.
Weareallstillengagedwiththedifferentdepartmentsofgovernmentinfinalizinghowoursmokingareasandnon-smokingareasaredivided.Itisstilladiscussionthatisongoing.Theplayershavereactedverywelltoit.
Thesmokingroomsthatwe'veestablishedatWynnMacauhavebeenverysuccessful.Weareintheprocessofestablishinganadditionalsmokingroombasedonlocation.Butoverall,Iwouldn'tsaythatthathashadahugeeffectonbusiness.Therehasbeensomeaffect,butithasbeenmarginal.
SteveWynn(CEO):
Also,Ithinkthattechnology,aswegoforward,isgoingtoplayapartinthis.Rightnow,theairintheWynnCasinobeforetheystoppedthesmokingwasbetterthantheairoutsidetheWynnCasinointhestreet,intermsofgeneralpublichealth.
AndIthinkthatwithinthecasino,whetherpeoplearesmokingornot--inVIProoms,forexample--weareable,withadvancedairexchangemethodologyandtechnology,tokeeptheemployeesfreeofanypotentialimpactofsecondarysmoke.
Whatisinterestinginthisconversationisthat,inconversationswiththeCulinaryUnionthatensuresallofthepeoplethatworkinthesecasinoswouldhavesmoking,thereisnoevidencewhatsoeverofanyincreaseinemphysema,lungcancer,oranyotherrespiratorycomplicationassociatedwithworkinginacasinocomparedtothegeneralpublic.
So,thethreatrepresentedthatsmokinginourbuildings,wherewehaveveryadvancedairexchange
CompanyName:WynnResortsLtdCompanyTicker:WYNNSector:Services
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technology,maybeitisbecauseeverybodyknowsthattheairiscleaneratWynnLasVegasthanitisanywhereelse.
I'msorry,it'smydogbarkinginthebackground.Ibegyourpardon.Anyway,theairexchangesystemsweusekeepourcasinossmoke-free.
Andalthoughthathasn'tbeenparticularlyimportanttothegovernmentintheirdeterminations,astimegoesby,Iamhopingthatwewillgetaverymatureandsophisticatedlookatthisproblem,keepingfirstandforemostthehealthofouremployeesastheprincipalconsideration.
FeliciaHendrix(Analyst):
Thankyouverymuch.
Operator:
JoeGreff,JPMorgan.
JoeGref f (Analyst-JPMorgan):
YoudidanicejoboutperformingthemarketandMacauonthemassside.Steve,orIan,maybecanyoutalkalittlebitaboutwhatyouaredoingthere?AnddoyouactuallythinkmaybetheclientandVIParegivingyousortofthisindirectbenefit,inthatitfreesupsomeroomsandtablecapacitiestogoafterthepremiummasscustomer?
Andthen,obviously,whenLasVegasSandsreportedearningslastweek,theytalkedaboutcompetitioninthemassorthepremiummasssegmentthatledtotheirhavingsomemargindegradationonthosesegments.Canyoutalkaboutthatonyoursideaswell?Thankyou.
SteveWynn(CEO):
Thefirstquestionis,isthereanincreaseinthemassbecauseofthepressureontheVIP?Ithinktheanswertothatisyes.IstheremarginpressureinMacau?Yes.Thecompetition,asIhavesaidonpreviouscalls,isextremelyintenseand,ifanything,inhibitsmarketgrowth.Then,ofcourse,youseethiseitheralossofmarketshareoralossofmargin;oneofthosetwothingshastohappen.
AndwehavegotnewfacilitiescomingoninMacauinthenexttwoyears,includingourselves.WehavegotcapacityincreasescominginJanuaryintheexistingMacauhotel.Verydramaticcapacityincrease,intermsofthese--thejunketroomswe'rebuilding,thesetwogorgeousVIPareas.Andthatisgoingtoallowustoincreaseourmassalittlebitagain.
Soit's--everybodyismovingtheirfloors.Theyareusingtheirtablesandtheirspacesintelligentlytryingtoprotecttheirmargins,andtodedicatethetablesthatareavailabletothemostprofitableusage.Wearedoingthesamething.ButIamnotsurprisedtohearthatthere'smarginsqueezeatthemassmarket.
Havewenoticedthat,too?
Matt Maddox(PresidentandCFO):
Inourmassmarketarea,ourmarginshavebeenconstantoverthelastthreequarters.So,giveortake100basispoints.Sojustinourmassarea,inpremiummassarea,wehaveseenourmarginsstabilize.
SteveWynn(CEO):
Whichisnoindicationthatthatwillcontinue.
CompanyName:WynnResortsLtdCompanyTicker:WYNNSector:Services
Industry:LeisureEventDescription:Q32014 EarningsCall
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Matt Maddox(PresidentandCFO):
Yes.
JoeGref f (Analyst-JPMorgan):
Great.Andwhenyoulookbackatthe3Q,Matt,wasthereanythinginterestingfromamarginorexpenseperspective?Obviously,34.5%marginsintheenvironmentthatwearein,inMacau,isagreatresult.Isthereanythingthat,absentmassivemixchanges,thatthatisnotagoodleveltolookatgoingforward?
Matt Maddox(PresidentandCFO):
Well,Joe,the(multiplespeakers)--
SteveWynn(CEO):
(multiplespeakers)October.
Matt Maddox(PresidentandCFO):
Yes.Ourmassinslotsmadeupforitinthethirdquarter,buteverybodyisseeingtheOctoberresultsforthemarketaredownover20%.Soclearly,thereisgoingtobemoremarginpressuregoingforward.
JoeGref f (Analyst-JPMorgan):
AndwhenyoulookattheOctober-to-dateresults,howmuchmassmarketgrowthaccelerationisthere?Andthat'sthebigquestionalotofusarewonderingrightnow.
SteveWynn(CEO):
RobertGansmoisonandsoisFrank.Idon'tknowwhatourholdisenmasse--Imeanwhatourrevenue.Iguesswecanforgetabouttheholdbecauseofthechipissue.ButIreallyhatetodescribethisquarterbaseduponthreeweeks.I'mverytentativeaboutansweringthatone,Joe.
JoeGref f (Analyst-JPMorgan):
Okay.
SteveWynn(CEO):
IjustthinkifIamtoopreemptiveandpremature,thenIgiveyouthewronglead.AndIknowthatyou'reaskingthequestionforalltherightreasons,butIwishIhadananswerthatIcouldleanon.
AndIamnotcomfortableontheshortstrength--notwithalltheotherthingsthataregoingoninHongKongandsmoking.I'mconfusedatthemoment,Joe.ItwasJoethataskedthequestion.Joe,I'mconfusedatthemoment.
JoeGref f (Analyst-JPMorgan):
Youarenotalone.Thankyouverymuch.
Matt Maddox(PresidentandCFO):
And,Joe,theotherpointthatisobviousisOctoberlastyearwasup25%or30%ineverysegment.Sothecompisalsoverydifficult.
SteveWynn(CEO):
CompanyName:WynnResortsLtdCompanyTicker:WYNNSector:Services
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©2014TheStreet,Inc.AllRightsReserved Page7of 16
Andweareallalittlelow.AndtheyarerisinginHongKong.Imean,really,andthegovernmentsaysnomoresmokinghereandthere,andsomanyofourcustomersaresmokers.There'sjusttoomanymovingpartsforanintelligentresponse,Ithink.
JoeGref f (Analyst-JPMorgan):
Thankyouverymuch.
SteveWynn(CEO):
Ithinkyouareinthesamespotwithyourclienteleaswearewithourselves.
Operator:
CarloSantarelli,DeutscheBank.
Carlo Santarelli(Analyst-DeutscheBank):
JusttoturnovertoCotaialittlebitandthedevelopmentthere.Andobviously,itlookslikemaybethere'sanincremental$100millionofspendassociatedwithit.AndIdidn'tseealotofcoloronPhase2.Couldyouguyskindofwalkthroughhowyouarethinkingaboutthatprojecttoday,maybewiththeincreasing$100millionis,aswellashowyouarethinkingaboutPhase2?
SteveWynn(CEO):
Well,certainchangeshadtobemadeinordertoaccommodatePhase2.Wedidn'twanttogetaheadofourselvestoofarwithregardtothatuntilthegovernmenthadrespondedandgivenustheappropriatekindofpermission.ButsomeofithascreptintoourWynnPalacebudget.
Butbasically,ourbudgetsarewithin1%ofwhatwehadexpected.AndI'mveryhappywiththeplanningthatwentintothatjob,andtheattentionthatisbeinggiventoGamalandhisteamandMikeHarveyandeverybodyinsupervisingthatconstruction.Thegovernmenthasbeencooperatinganditismovingverynicelywiththelatentconstructionfolkswhobuiltourotherbuildings.
IfIamnotbeingresponsive,maybeyoucouldredirectyourquestion.
Carlo Santarelli(Analyst-DeutscheBank):
No,Ithinkthatwasit.Andmoreorless,Iamassumingthen,basedonyouranswer,maybethat$100millionisforsomepilingandfoundationworkthatwouldbeassociatedwithPhase2?
Matt Maddox(PresidentandCFO):
Yes,Carlo,it'sMattMaddox.So,halfofitwasactuallyforecastedpreopeningexpense,whichreportandothercompaniesdonotbecauseoftheincrementalpayrollandotherHumanResourceprogramsthathavebeengoingon.Anditisnot$100million,itisjustrounding.Soit'smuchlessthan$100million.
Thesecond(multiplespeakers)--
SteveWynn(CEO):
Ithinkit's$60million.
Matt Maddox(PresidentandCFO):
That'sright.It's$56million.Thesecondthingis,weprotectedallofourcontingencyinourconstructionbudget.Sowearegoingtobeabletoutilizethatgoingforward,ifthereareanyotherissues.Andourcurrent
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GMPisat85%boughtoutorlet.Sowearefeelinggoodontheconstructionside.
Carlo Santarelli(Analyst-DeutscheBank):
Great.That'shelpful.Andthen,ifIcould,justafollow-up.Obviously,Steve,asyounotedearlierandIthinkwe'vetalkedaboutonpriorcalls,thatthemassholdpercentageat51%inMacautoday.
Otherthanreadingintoitthatyourpremiummassbusinessobviouslyisbecomingamuchbiggercomponentofyouroverallmass,isthereanythingthatyoucouldsayaroundthatpremiummassbusinessthatyouguyshavestarteddoingdifferentlytogrowthatbusiness?Orareyoukindof--becauseitappearsasthoughyouaremeaningfullybuckingthetrendofthemarket,especiallyinthepremiummass.
SteveWynn(CEO):
Hereisoneofthethingsthatwedid.Iguessinbusinessandlifeyouhavetobelucky,evenbetterthansmart.WemadeadecisioninthebuildingofthePalacewhichwasaveryimportantdecision.
Ifyouarehavingalakeof8acres,likeBellagio,infrontofthehotel,withallkindsofnewadvancedwaterattractions,includingaDoppelmayrgondolathatgoesthroughthefountainsandintothehotel,yousay,okay,whatarewegoingtodowiththelakesideproperty,whichrings180degreesofthislake?Areyougoingtodostores?Areyougoingtodolobbies,restaurantsorwhat?
Well,wemadeadecision,Mr.ButlerandI--D.Butler,mydesignpartnerandI,severalyearsago--andImeanweinhaledandsaid,okay,wearegoingtoputallofourpremiumVIPbusinessofeverydescriptiononthewater,everyoneofwhich,everychamber,everyroomfromoneendofthebuildingtotheother,willbeonthewaterlookingatthefountainsandthewatershow.
Andeveryoneofthemwillhavebathrooms,food,andsmokingbalconies.AndourentirehotelhasgotbalconiesallaroundthelakeonalloftheVIPandmassrooms.
Thisisgoingtoturnouttobeawindfallkindofevent.Becausefolksaregoingtobeabletogambleandstepoutside8or10feet,lookatthewater;andiftheyhavegotayentocontinuetosmoke,theywillbeabletodosooutside.
WeareveryadvantagedbythebasicplanofthePalace,whichputsalloftheimportantgamblingwithterraces--allofit.Itisquite--itturnsouttobequitefortuitous.
AndImustsayIwishIcouldtakecreditforhavingthoughtofitinadvance,butitjustworkedoutright.Wedidn'texpectthatthegovernmentwouldactasaggressivelyanddynamicallyastheyhaveonthesmokingissue.Buthavingdoneso,wefindourselvesinapositionthatwehaveaccommodateditinournewhotel.
Carlo Santarelli(Analyst-DeutscheBank):
Gotit.Thankyou.
Operator:
ShaunKelley,BankofAmericaMerrillLynch.
ShaunKelley(Analyst-BofAMerrillLynch):
We'vespentalotoftimetalkingaboutthemassbusiness,soIfiguredIwouldswitchgearsandjustaskaboutVIP.Couldyoujustgiveusyourkindoflatestthoughtsonwhatyouarehearingfromsomeofyourjunketpartners?
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Thereisobviouslyalwaysdiscussioninthemarketaboutthis,butjustmaybeanupdateoncreditsettlement,andyourkindofgeneralviewonmaybewhensomeofthosehigher-endVIPsstarttotakealittlebitmoreriskandstepbackintothemarket?
SteveWynn(CEO):
Don'tknow.Whatwearegivingthemissympathy.We--whatcanwesaytothem?Imeantheyhavetotakethebusinessthewaytheyfinditandassesstheirownrisk.Ourpolicyisrather--we'vegotashortstringonallthisstuff.Andtheyhaverespectedthat.Maybesomeofthecompetitorshavelengthenedthestring;wehaven'thadtodothat.
ShaunKelley(Analyst-BofAMerrillLynch):
MaybeIcanaskyouthisway.Justanysense--obviously,Ithinkeveryone--boththejunkets,thecasinos,lending--everyonehasprobablytakenastepback,andtowaitandsee--doyouthinkthingsaregettingworseatthismoment,Steve?Ordoyouthinkitisfairlylikethingsarestartingtosettledown,andnoweverybodyisjustinawait-and-seemode?
SteveWynn(CEO):
Well,thatisaneasyquestion.ItisworseinOctoberthanitwasbeforeOctober.So,ifyouareaskingwhatisthenadirofourexperience,itiscurrent.
ShaunKelley(Analyst-BofAMerrillLynch):
Okay.Thatisveryhelpful.AndthentheotherquestionIhavewasjustifyoucouldgiveusaquickkindofreviewofyourlatestthoughtsontheWestCasinozonerenovation?Becauseyoudidmention,Ithink,insomeofyourremarksthatyougotsomeinterestingfeaturestherethatmighthelpoutwhenthatopensfor--IbelieveinJanuary.
SteveWynn(CEO):
ItisgoingtoopeninJanuary.Andwearegettingreadytoinstallwallcoveringandstufflikethat.Thewallsareup.Itisonschedule.Itwasavery,verycomplicatedconstructionjobbecausewehadtoreplumbanddothingsinthefloorandotherthingslikethat.
It'saverydynamic--it'sprobablythefanciesthigh-limitgamblingplacethatwecoulduseinourexperienceforanycustomer,whetheritisourowncustomerorajunketoperator.Andbybeingabletohavethese--thiswholefabulousinnforthem,itfreesupsomeoftherestoftheplaceforustouseinotherways.
Italsoallowedus,intermsofthegeneralflowofthecasino,tocompress--toofferthe--toputthesejunketandthesehigh-limitgamblingareasrightnexttoMGM,andhaveaccessfromtheoutsideforpedestriansdirectlyintothespacewithouthavingtonavigatethewholefloorofthebuilding.Andyouknow,thesebuildingsareratherlarge.That--itisabigconvenienceissue.
AnditalsoallowedustocompressandtoimprovethegeneralflowofWynnMacau,sothatitwouldsupportandenhancetheusageofthemasstables.Thewholeproject,whichwaswell-considered,long-consideredbeforetheteaminMacau,beforeIanandLindaandeverybodyfinallysignedoffonit,wehadmanyiterationstotryandcatchupwithallofthethingswewishwehaddonewhenwebuilttheplaceinthefirstplace.
Youknow,everyoneoftheseresorts,nomatterhowcarefullyconsidered,takeonalifeoftheirownaftertheyopen.Andthenyoufindyourselfsaying,wow,Ididn'tknowthatthepeoplewouldgothereinsteadofhere.Ididn'tknowthatthatwouldworkthewayitisworking.Andthenyousay,well,howcanweadjust?
Someofitisreallyhardtogetto.Youwishthatyoucouldmakeachangethatisclearlybeneficial,butit
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involvesinterruptionofbusinessandsomebasicreconfiguration.Well,wedecidedtotakethatstep,afterseveralyearsofoperation,inviewofthefactthatwearegoingtocompetewithourselvesatWynnPalace.WewantedtomakesurethatWynnLasVegashelditspositionasapremierstopforallofthetopplayers.
Andthethingsthatwehavedoneinthepast18monthstoreconfiguretheWynnCasino,Ithink--weallbelieve.atleast--doexactlythat.And,so,wecan'twaittoseetheimpact,whichwillshowupinthefirstquarter.I'mhopingwe'llbeabletotalkaboutthatwithyouinApril.
ShaunKelley(Analyst-BofAMerrillLynch):
Thankyouverymuch.
Operator:
HarryCurtis,Nomura.
HarryCurt is (Analyst-NomuraSecurities):
QuestiongoingbacktothePalace.Onthelastcall,Steve,youtalkedabouttakingdeliveryin--IthinkitwasDecemberof2015,whenyoucommentedit'sstillontime.Isit--doyoustillexpectDecember2015delivery?
SteveWynn(CEO):
Yes.Webegantogetthespacesturnedovertousforstockingthekitchensandcleaning,preparingalltherooms;housekeepingisonthejob.Andthenweturnedtheplace,inlateDecemberandinJanuary,intoacampus.Anditisourpracticetofirsttakethestaffandgivethemthebuildingforthemselvesforacoupleofweekstopracticein,whichwebreakallthesystems,wegotoallourbackups.Wehaveallofouremployeesstayintherooms.
Wetesteverythingoverandoveragain,becausewehaveaverystrongopinionthatyouonlyhaveonechanceataGrandOpeningtomakethatwonderfulinitialimpression.AndconsideringthatwearegoingagainstsuchwonderfulcompetitionatGalaxyandCityofDreamsandtheSandsCompany,withalltheproductsthatSheldonandPackerandLawrenceHoandFrancisLouishavedone,wewanttomakesurethatwhenweopenthePalacethateverybodyisimpressed.
Sowearegoingtohaverehearsals.AndthatcampusthatIreferredto,thetrainingfacility,wehopewilltakeplaceinJanuarywhenwe'vehadachancetomoveinandgetthedrawersfilledwithpencilsandpapers,andthelinenputaway,thecarpetsvacuumed;thefreezerboxesandwalk-incoolersstocked,andwestartcookinginthekitchens.Andallthechefstellusthatwedidalousyjobdesigningthekitchens,astheyalwaysdo.(laughter)
Wealsohaveadoptedapolicyofentertainment.WeknowthatinMacau,peoplegambleandshopandeat.Andwhatwesaidwas,inthatcase,let'staketheentertainmentaspectofthehotelintotherestaurants,wheretheycan--wherethey'llsurelybeenjoyed.Sowehavedonethingswehaveneverdonebeforeinrestaurants.
Oneparticularrestaurantisacontinuousseriesofentertainmentvignettes.Wallsopenanditisastage.Andsomeveryfancifulanduniquethingstakeplace.Inotherrestaurants,otherthingsofthatsort.Everyoneofourrestaurantshasanentertainmentquotienttoit.
Wehavedecentralizedentertainmentineachoftherestaurants,andofcourse,inthefrontyard.Andinotherplacesinthehotel,thelobbies,theentrances,areallanimated--animated,expensiveentertainmentattractions.Wearespendinghundredsofmillionsofdollarsonentertainmentinthisfacilitysothat,literally,thehotelitselfistheshow.
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HarryCurt is (Analyst-NomuraSecurities):
Steve,justasaquickfollow-up,inthelastquarter,youmadeapredictiononanumberoftablesthatyouthoughtyouwouldbegetting.Andthere'salotofdebatearoundthat,anditisprobablyfairlyopaque.Butcanyougiveusanupdateonyourlevelofconfidencethatyoucanstillgetover550tables?
SteveWynn(CEO):
Well,theonlyreasonIsaidthatisbecauseIdiscusseditwiththegovernment,andIwasgivenpermissionforit.But,again,inChina,thefinalproofisinthe--inwhathappenswhenyouopen.Andthegovernmenthasfullcontrolofthosesortsofthings.Idon'thaveanyreasontobelievethatwewouldbeallowedtobuildabuildingthatwasverycarefullyreviewedandexaminedbythegovernment,andthenbesurprised.Isupposeitispossible,butIdon'thaveanyhistoryinMacauthatwouldsuggestthatthat'sprobable.
Iknowthatourcompetitorsallhave,andofferfreely,theiropinionofwhatisgoingtohappentous,butcompetitorshavealwaysdonethat.RememberthattwoweeksbeforeweopenedtheMirage,anunnamedcompetitor--asForbesmagazinesaidtome,anunnamedinsider--gaminginsidershavesaidthatyoucan'tmakeit,thatyouroverheadistoohighandthattheMirageisgoingtogobroke.
Ourcompetitorsalwaysseemtohaveaveryconfidentviewofwhatisgoingtohappentous.Idon'tmuchpayattentiontothat.Idopayattentiontowhatthegovernmentsaystous.AndofcourseIpayattentiontoourownhistorythere.Andthegovernmenthasbeenverysteadfastinthewaytheyhavehandledtheirrelationshipswithus.They'vetolduswhattheyexpect.They'vetakentheirtimetoapprovewhatwehavesuggestedwewanttobuild.Theyhaveexaminedourprogramscarefully,madesuggestions.Andthen,whenappropriate,they'vegivenusthegreenlighttogoaheadandbuildtheseplaces.
Youknow,thatistheframeofmindIamin.MaybeIamaPollyanna,butIthinkthatIamtakingtheonlypracticalapproach.
HarryCurt is (Analyst-NomuraSecurities):
Thatdoesitforme,Steve.Thanks.
SteveWynn(CEO):
Sure.
Operator:
ThomasAllen,MorganStanley.
ThomasAllen(Analyst-MorganStanley):
OnMacaumassmarketmargins,youtalkedabouttheriskstomarginsasrevenueslows.Ithinkweallknowaboutlaborandoperatingcostinflation.ButintermsofpromotionalspendingontheVIPside,youhavealwaysbeenabletokeepyourcommissionsteadywhenwehaveseenincreasesinmarket.Doyouthinkyoucandothesameonthemassmarketsidewithpromotionsasthepremiummasscustomers?Thanks.
SteveWynn(CEO):
Whathappensinourbusinessisthat,attheendoftheday,thecriticaldecisionofwheretogambleismadebythecustomer.Hoteloperatorsandhosts,andmarketingpeople,whatevertheirparticulartitlesmaybe,theyservicethosecustomers.
So,whenyouareinourposition,whenyouareonoursideofthisdiscussion,it'stheproductthatyouputout
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thatdeterminesthestrengthofyourcompetitiveposture.
Thereasonthattheobservationyoumadeisaccurateisbecausetheproductthatweproducedwasalwaysalittlebitbetter,andtheservicealittlebitbetter,atleastintheeyesofthecustomers,thanwhattheycouldfindelsewhere.WhenwetookuptheideaofbuildingahotelinCotai,werecognizedthequalityofthecompetition.Andthatsharpenedoursensesandmadeusevenmoreself-criticalthanwehaveeverbeenbefore.
Sothatwecametotheconclusionthatwehadtore-examineeverypartofthehotel,andeverythingthatweweregoingtosaytotheclienteleintermsofservice,foodandbeverage,entertainment,and,ofcourse,user-friendlinessinthegamingareasofthebuilding,withafirmbelief,baseduponourownhistorythat,intheend,thatwouldgiveuswhateverleveragewasavailableunderthecircumstances.
Ifyouweretochangeplaceswithus,Iamsurethatyouwouldcometothesameconclusion.Noweverytimethatyouoperateonanypremise,realitysetsinandthefactsexposethemselvesoveraperiodoftime.IhavetoldyouhowcarefulwewereatWynnPalaceandthegreatrespectthatwehadforourneighbors.Andweactedaccordinglyinconceivingofthehotel.Itisthebestjobwehavedone,Ithink,inmycareer.
Iamoperatingwithagroupofthemosttalented,mostexperiencedpeoplethathaveeverworkedinthegamingindustry--fromGamalAziz,LindaChen,andthestaffofpeoplethatworkfortheminmarketing,toIanCoughlan'sexperienceinthehospitalityindustryandtheexperiencehehasgainedovertheyearsasagamingpresident--allofthishascometobear.Andeveryoneofthesepeoplehavereallyfocusedhardoneverythingthatwearedoing.
Inthelongrun,itwillbetheHumanResourcesoftheleadershipofthisCompanyandthestaffthatdeterminetheoutcome.AndIgotobedeverynightwithafirmconvictionofthattruth--andnoother.Andthen,Ileavetheguessworktootherpeople.
Idon'tknowifI'mbeinghelpfultoyou.AllIcandoissharewithyouthementalityofourmanagement.Andforinvestors,thatis,ofcourse,attheendoftheconversation,theonlythingthatmatters.
ThomasAllen(Analyst-MorganStanley):
That'shelpful.So,justImean,slightlyshorter-term,though,ifwedoseesomekindofpromotionalspendingmoreinthenear-term,doyouthinkthatyouhavetocompetethere?OrdoyouthinkthatthequalityofyourproductbeforePalaceopensisstrongenoughthatyouwouldn'treallyhavetogetintothatgame?
SteveWynn(CEO):
WecoulddoallofthethingsIjustmentioned,butattheendoftheday,wehavetodealwiththesituationaswefindit.Andeachcompanytendstogiveaway,intermsofpromotionalallowancestoitscustomers,aboutasmuchastheycanwithoutbeingself-destructive.Thatnumberissubjecttochangefromtimetotime.
Incidentally,itissubjecttochangedownaswellasup.Sometimespeopleoverspendinpromotionalallowancesanditbecomesanexerciseinfutility--inwhichcaseyoubackoff;ortheexecutivesgetschangedandsomebodynewcomesintoruntheplace.Oneofthetwothingshappens.
Ifyoufindyourselfinanadvantageousposition,andyouthinkthatbyincreasingpromotionalallowancesyoucanhavemoremoneytothebottomline,evenifitmeansthemarginpercentageisless,well,thenyougoforthat.IknowthatmyfriendSheldonAdelsonhasthatkindofmentalitywithhisbusiness.
Andso,marginpercentagematters,butwhataboutthemoney?Attheendoftheday,thatistheonlythingthatmattersis--you'llexcusethecliche,attheendoftheday;everybodysaysthat.Butinthefinalanalysis,it'sthemoney,isn'tit?Andyou'vegottotakethemarketmonthbymonth,Ithink.
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ThomasAllen(Analyst-MorganStanley):
Thankyou.Andjusttwoquickfollow-upsonVegas.One,youreportreallystrongRevPARgrowthofaround--up8%thisquarter.Canyoutalkaboutforwardbookingsalittlebit?There'sobviouslythereallyhardcompin1QwithConAg.Dothingslookliketheyarejustgettingkindofbuildingstrengthgoingfromstrengthtostrength?Orcouldthingsslowalittlebit?
SteveWynn(CEO):
Well,lastmonth,Iraisedtheratesby18%ofourhotelsinLasVegastoonlinebookingagentsandtoeverybodyelse.Andwebenefitedfromit.ThatiswhyourRevPARisup.Thatisoneofthefunthingsyougettodowhenyouhavegotabettermousetrap.Ithinkthatisprobablyapoorchoiceofwordsforthatfacility.Theseplacesarehardlymousetrapsat$5billion[roughly]theycost.
ThomasAllen(Analyst-MorganStanley):
And,Steve,theVegaspropertyEBITDApeakedlastcyclearound$420million.Youhave75%moreroomstoday.CouldyouseethatkindofincreaseintermsofEBITDAdoeskindofthiscycle?(multiplespeakers)AndthenI'mdone,Ipromise.
SteveWynn(CEO):
Wehavepassed$420millionalready.
Matt Maddox(PresidentandCFO):
$486millionlastyear.
SteveWynn(CEO):
Pardonme?
Matt Maddox(PresidentandCFO):
$486millionlastyear.
SteveWynn(CEO):
Wedid$486millionlastyear.Andwe'vegot$520millionforthelast--forthe12--ofrecent12months,$526million,Ithink.AndIamhopingthatthefourthquarterwillgetusover$500millionforthiscalendaryear.ItwillbeacountdownsortofthinginDecember.Becauseallthemoneycomesattheend.
Butseemsokay.But,again,weareaninternationalplace,andwegetalotofChineseandLatinbusiness.Andthingsgoingonintheworldaffectusalotinourplace.ButwewillhavethemostprofitablehotelinLasVegaswithoutadoubt.Therewillbenoquestionaboutthat.
CondeNastTravelmadeustheleadinghotellastweekinLasVegasagain,baseduponvisitorvoting,whichwassatisfyingtoustogetthatdistinction.AndsoI'mhappyaboutthat.Youtakecareofyourbuilding,youkeepworkingwithyouremployeestomakethemmoreeffective,moreself-conscious,moreawareoftheirpersonalresponsibilityinthebuilding,andinthelongrun,it'saslow--youknow,it'sthehareandtheturtle.Itreallyisamarathon,notasprint.Andweareenjoyingthebenefitsofour--ofbeingsteadfasthere.
ThomasAllen(Analyst-MorganStanley):
Great.Thankyou.
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SteveWynn(CEO):
Sure.
Operator:
RobinFarley,UBS.
RobinFarley(Analyst-UBS):
Twoquestions.Oneis,canyoutalkalittlebitaboutyourownexperiencewithcollectionstothedegreethatwhereyoudohavedirectVIPbusiness?Iknowothershaveaskedaboutjunketcollections.ButIwonderifyoucouldtalkalittlebitaboutyourexperiencewiththatonthedirectVIP?
AndthenunrelatedtoMacau,canyoujustshareanythoughtsonyourinterestinJapanpotentially,ifJapandoesn'tallowresortstobeopentolocals,howthatwouldaffectyourinterests?Thanks.
SteveWynn(CEO):
IwilltakethelastpartandIwillletMattdothefirstpart,Robin.Idon'tknowwhatisgoingtohappeninJapan.IthinkspeculatingonJapanatthismomentisreally,really,fromourpointofview,notproductive.Thesituationthereisundefined--byanymeasureofclosescrutiny,undefined.IdofeelthatanyinterestinbroadeningtheabilityforpeopletogambleinJapanisbaseduponemployment,increasingtourism,andthatsortofthing.
AndIthinkthattheJapanesegovernmentiswellenoughinformedtheycouldunderstandaforeigner-owner--aforeigner'sonlycasinowouldnotgetthatjobdoneforthem.Iamprettyconfidentthattheywouldcometothatconclusion.AndIthinktheywanttokeepthemoneyathome,iftheydothisatall.SoIdon'tthinkitisgoingtoturnoutthatway--ifitturnsoutatall.
Ithinkprobablythemoreimportantquestionisaretheygoingtodoitatall,Robin.AndIdon'tthink--andIthinkthat'sundefinedatthemoment.
Withregardtoourcollections,IwillturnthatovertoMatthew.
Matt Maddox(PresidentandCFO):
So,Robin,inthethirdquarterinourdirectprogram,turnoverwasrelativelyflatwithlastyear.ThedeclineofVIPwaslargelyinthejunketarea.Andourcollections,inourindividualprogram,havebeenverysteady.Wehaven'tseenaslowdowninthat,becauseweremaincautiousinwhoweissuethecreditto,andweknowourcustomerswell.
RobinFarley(Analyst-UBS):
Okay,great.Thankyou.
SteveWynn(CEO):
Arethereanyotherquestions?
Operator:
Therearenofurtherquestionstoday.Arethereanyclosingremarks?
SteveWynn(CEO):
Matt?Gamal,doyouhaveany--Gamal,youwerequietonthiscall.Doyouhaveanycomments?
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GamalAz iz (President):
Justthatweareontrack,Steve,andwearefeelingprettygoodandveryconfidentabouttheopeningdates,abouttheinterestinemploymentforourproperty.Wearegettingearlysignsoftremendousbalance,wantingtobepartofWynnPalaceinthefuture.So,wefeelprettygoodandveryconfidentaboutWynnPalaceatthispoint.
SteveWynn(CEO):
Linda,doyouwanttomakeanyprojections?Orgiveeverybodywhoissocuriousaboutthejunketoperators,youaretheclosestoneinthefamilytoallofthat.Youwanttogooutonalimbandmakeanypredictions?Ordoyouwanttostaysafe?
LindaChen(President):
Idon'twanttomakeanypredictions,butIthinkitisnosecrettoanyonethatthejunketsarebeingcautiousandtheyarebeingconservative.Sonodifferentthantheretailsensitivityfornotspendinglavishlyduringamarkettimelikethis.(multiplespeakers)
SteveWynn(CEO):
Yes,youdon't--
LindaChen(President):
So,onthe(multiplespeakers)--goahead.
SteveWynn(CEO):
Yes.LouisVuitton,ChristianDior,andfolkslikethat,andCartierandChanelarenoticingallthroughChinathesamethingthatwearetalkingabouttoday.
LindaChen(President):
Yes,butIthinktheyarebeingveryresponsive,beingconcertive.Andthey'realsotakingthisslowtimeto,ifyoumay,reorganize.So,themodeofthemarketwastoexpandandexpandunlimited.Nowtheyareactuallyconsolidating.
Sonodifferentthananyothermajorindustrythatwhentheyfaceafinancialdifferenceinbanking,whatever.Sonowthetimeisforthemtobere-lookingattheirfuture,whichIactuallythinkisaverypositiveoutlook,iftheyarebeingresponsibleaboutit.
SteveWynn(CEO):
Well,therearethebestthoughtsofallofustothefolksonthecall.Ourcompetitors,ofcourse,arelistening;toallofthem,Isayhiandwishthemwell.Andwe'llspeaktoyouagaininthreemonthsorso.Byebye,everybody.
Operator:
Thankyouforyourparticipationintoday'sconferencecall.Youmaynowdisconnectyourlines.
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