World Military Unmanned Aerial Systems 2020-2021tealgroup.com/images/TGCTOC/202021WMUAS_TOC_EO.pdfNavy MQ-4C Triton MTS-B & AN/DAS-X Sensor Suite .....231 Table of Contents Page iv

World Military Unmanned Aerial Systems

MARKET PROFILE

AND FORECAST

2020/2021

World Military Unmanned Aerial Systems

Market Profile & Forecast

Steven J. Zaloga, Senior Analyst - Missiles & UAVs (410) 676-7698 email: [email protected] Dr. David Rockwell, Senior Analyst – Military Electronics (703) 385-1992 ext. 106 email: [email protected] Philip Finnegan, Senior Analyst - Defense & Aerospace Companies (703) 385-1992 ext. 105 email: [email protected] homepage: www.tealgroup.com

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Eastern Region Doug Cornell

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Mid-Western Region

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Western Region & Asia-Pacific

Pravin Parmar 2618 E. First St. Long Beach, CA 90803 (562) 434-7159 [email protected]

Europe & Middle East

Monika Cornell 2503 Carol Place Falls Church, VA 22046 (703) 573-0559 [email protected]

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©Teal Group Corporation World Military UAS Market Profile & Forecast 2020/21 Edition

Executive Overview.................................................................................................. 1

The Market Outlook ................................................................................................................................................ 1

World UAS Budget Forecast (excluding US classified budget) ....................................................................... 3 World UAS Budget Forecast (including provisional US classified budget) ..................................................... 3 World Production Forecast by Type ................................................................................................................. 4 World UAV Production Forecast by Region .................................................................................................... 4 Study Parameters .............................................................................................................................................. 4 Forecast Assumptions ....................................................................................................................................... 5 Cost Evaluation ................................................................................................................................................. 6

Military UAS Profile................................................................................................................................................ 8 Civil UAVs .............................................................................................................................................................. 13 The Numbers .......................................................................................................................................................... 15

Mini-UAV Production Forecast by Region .................................................................................................... 15 Small Tactical UAV Production Forecast by Region ..................................................................................... 15 Tactical UAV Production Forecast Summary by Region ............................................................................... 16 Naval UAVs Production Forecast Summary by Region ................................................................................. 16 MALE UAV Production Forecast Summary by Region ................................................................................. 16 HALE UAV Production Forecast Summary by Region ................................................................................. 17 UCAV Production Forecast Summary by Region .......................................................................................... 17 Civil Government, Commercial & Consumer UAVs ..................................................................................... 17

The US UAV Market .............................................................................................19

The Market Outlook .............................................................................................................................................. 19

Past as Prologue .............................................................................................................................................. 20 US Department of Defense UAV Funding History ........................................................................................ 23 DoD UAV Categories ..................................................................................................................................... 24 US Military UAV Inventory Trends ............................................................................................................... 24 US UAV Inventory (FY17) ............................................................................................................................ 24 US DoD UAV Budget Forecast ...................................................................................................................... 27 US UAV Production Forecast ......................................................................................................................... 27

Program Profiles .................................................................................................................................................... 28

US Micro/Mini UAVs..................................................................................................................................... 28 US Navy/Marine Corps RQ-21 Blackjack STUAS ........................................................................................ 35 RQ-7A Shadow/Future Tactical UAS ............................................................................................................. 38 RQ-8 Fire Scout VTUAV ............................................................................................................................... 41 US Navy/Marine UAV Programs ................................................................................................................... 44 RQ-1 Predator /MQ-9 Reaper ......................................................................................................................... 45 Air Force Next Generation UAS (NGUAS) ................................................................................................... 51 MQ-25 Stingray (CBARS) ............................................................................................................................. 51 RQ-4 Global Hawk ......................................................................................................................................... 53 UCAVs ........................................................................................................................................................... 57

European UAV Market .........................................................................................63

Market Overview ................................................................................................................................................... 63

Current European Military Programs .............................................................................................................. 63 European UAV Production Forecast by Type ................................................................................................ 64

Country Profiles ..................................................................................................................................................... 65

Armenia .......................................................................................................................................................... 65 Austria ............................................................................................................................................................. 65 Azerbaijan ....................................................................................................................................................... 66

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Belgium ........................................................................................................................................................... 66 Belarus ............................................................................................................................................................ 67 Bulgaria ........................................................................................................................................................... 68 Croatia ............................................................................................................................................................. 69 Czech Republic ............................................................................................................................................... 69 Denmark ......................................................................................................................................................... 70 Estonia ............................................................................................................................................................ 71 European Union/NATO .................................................................................................................................. 71 Finland ............................................................................................................................................................ 73 France ............................................................................................................................................................. 74 Georgia ........................................................................................................................................................... 84 Germany ......................................................................................................................................................... 84 Greece ............................................................................................................................................................. 90 Hungary .......................................................................................................................................................... 91 Ireland ............................................................................................................................................................. 92 Italy ................................................................................................................................................................. 92 Latvia .............................................................................................................................................................. 96 Lithuania ......................................................................................................................................................... 97 Netherlands ..................................................................................................................................................... 97 Norway ........................................................................................................................................................... 98 Poland ............................................................................................................................................................. 99 Portugal ......................................................................................................................................................... 101 Romania ........................................................................................................................................................ 102 Russia ............................................................................................................................................................ 102 Serbia ............................................................................................................................................................ 109 Slovakia ........................................................................................................................................................ 110 Slovenia ........................................................................................................................................................ 111 Spain ............................................................................................................................................................. 111 Sweden .......................................................................................................................................................... 112 Switzerland ................................................................................................................................................... 115 Turkey ........................................................................................................................................................... 116 Ukraine ......................................................................................................................................................... 120 United Kingdom ........................................................................................................................................... 121

Rest of the World UAV Market ..........................................................................127

Market Overview ................................................................................................................................................. 127 Middle East .......................................................................................................................................................... 129

Middle East UAV Production Forecast by Type .......................................................................................... 129 Bahrain .......................................................................................................................................................... 130 Egypt ............................................................................................................................................................. 130 Iran ................................................................................................................................................................ 131 Iraq ................................................................................................................................................................ 133 Israel ............................................................................................................................................................. 134 Jordan ............................................................................................................................................................ 141 Kuwait ........................................................................................................................................................... 141 Lebanon ........................................................................................................................................................ 142 Qatar ............................................................................................................................................................. 142 Saudi Arabia ................................................................................................................................................. 143 Syria .............................................................................................................................................................. 145 United Arab Emirates ................................................................................................................................... 145

Africa .................................................................................................................................................................... 148

African UAV Production Forecast by Type .................................................................................................. 148 Algeria .......................................................................................................................................................... 149 Angola ........................................................................................................................................................... 149 Botswana ....................................................................................................................................................... 149

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Ethiopia ......................................................................................................................................................... 150 Ivory Coast .................................................................................................................................................... 150 Kenya ............................................................................................................................................................ 150 Libya ............................................................................................................................................................. 151 Morocco ........................................................................................................................................................ 151 Nigeria .......................................................................................................................................................... 152 South Africa .................................................................................................................................................. 152 Sudan ............................................................................................................................................................ 154 Tunisia .......................................................................................................................................................... 155 Yemen ........................................................................................................................................................... 155

Asia-Pacific ........................................................................................................................................................... 156

Asia-Pacific UAV Production Forecast by Type .......................................................................................... 156 Australia ........................................................................................................................................................ 157 Bangladesh .................................................................................................................................................... 160 China ............................................................................................................................................................. 160 India .............................................................................................................................................................. 168 Indonesia ....................................................................................................................................................... 171 Japan ............................................................................................................................................................. 172 Kazakhstan .................................................................................................................................................... 175 Korea, North ................................................................................................................................................. 175 Korea, South ................................................................................................................................................. 175 Malaysia ........................................................................................................................................................ 178 Myanmar ....................................................................................................................................................... 179 New Zealand ................................................................................................................................................. 180 Pakistan ......................................................................................................................................................... 180 Philippines .................................................................................................................................................... 183 Singapore ...................................................................................................................................................... 183 Sri Lanka ....................................................................................................................................................... 185 Taiwan .......................................................................................................................................................... 185 Thailand ........................................................................................................................................................ 187 Vietnam ......................................................................................................................................................... 188

The Americas ....................................................................................................................................................... 189

Americas UAV Production Forecast by Type .............................................................................................. 189 Argentina ...................................................................................................................................................... 190 Brazil............................................................................................................................................................. 190 Canada .......................................................................................................................................................... 192 Chile .............................................................................................................................................................. 195 Colombia ....................................................................................................................................................... 196 Dominican Republic ..................................................................................................................................... 196 Ecuador ......................................................................................................................................................... 197 Mexico .......................................................................................................................................................... 197 Panama .......................................................................................................................................................... 198 Venezuela ..................................................................................................................................................... 198

UAV Munitions ....................................................................................................199

Overview ............................................................................................................................................................... 199

Electro-Optical/Infrared Sensors .......................................................................207

Market Overview ................................................................................................................................................. 207 High Altitude Endurance (HALE) EO/IR Sensors ........................................................................................... 212

USAF Global Hawk Basic and Enhanced Integrated Sensor Suite (EISS) ................................................... 212 USAF Global Hawk Follow-On EO/IR Sensors ........................................................................................... 222 USAF Next-Generation HALE EO/IR Sensor Suite ..................................................................................... 230 Navy MQ-4C Triton MTS-B & AN/DAS-X Sensor Suite ........................................................................... 231

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USAF Classified Stealthy ISR UAV EO/IR Sensors (RQ-170 & RQ-180 & TR-X) ................................... 234 Coast Guard Deepwater Endurance UAV EO/IR Sensor ............................................................................. 236

Medium Altitude Long Endurance (MALE) EO/IR Sensors .......................................................................... 236

Predator & Predator B/Reaper AN/AAS-52 MTS-A & AN/DAS-1/4 MTS-B & Future MALE Sensor ..... 236 US CBP/USCG Guardian/Predator B AN/DAS-1(V) MTS-B (Multi-Spectral Targeting System) ............. 248 L3 WESCAM MX-20 MQ-9B SkyGuardian/MQ-9 Reaper EO/IR Sensor ................................................. 250 USAF MQ-X/Next Generation MALE UAV EO/IR Sensor ........................................................................ 251 MDA Airborne Tracking and Targeting System (ATTS) ............................................................................. 255 US Army Next Generation Airborne ISR Sensors and Platforms ................................................................. 255 US Army Gray Eagle AN/DAS-2(V) Common Sensor Payload (CSP) ....................................................... 256 Predator XP EO/IR Sensors .......................................................................................................................... 261 FLIR Systems, Inc. (FSI) Star SAFIRE 380HD ........................................................................................... 262 Lockheed Martin INFIRNO .......................................................................................................................... 264 UTC Aerospace (UTAS) DB-110 & MS-110 EO/IR Pods ........................................................................... 265 Rafael RecceLite & Recce-U EO/IR Pods .................................................................................................... 267 US Navy MALE TERN (Tactically Exploited Reconnaissance Node) Sensors ........................................... 269 US Marine Corps Marine Air-Ground Task Force (MAGTF) UAS Expeditionary (MUX) EO/IR Sensors 270

Wide FOV (WFOV) EO/IR Sensors .................................................................................................................. 272

USAF Reaper Gorgon Stare & Classified WFOV EO/IR Sensors ............................................................... 272 US Army/USAF UAV ARGUS-IS ............................................................................................................... 278 USAF ARGUS-IR ........................................................................................................................................ 280 Predator C Avenger Wide Field of View (WFOV) Sensor ........................................................................... 280 Logos Technologies Redkite & LEAPS & Kestrel & WAMI Sensors ......................................................... 280 Sentient Vision Systems ViDAR WAMI Systems ....................................................................................... 281 US Marine Corps RQ-21A Blackjack Group III UAS Wide Area Persistent Surveillance (WAS) Sensors 282 US Marine Corps RQ-7 Shadow Wide Focal Plane Array Camera (WFPAC “Wolfpack”) ........................ 283 US Marine Corps RQ-7 Shadow WASPS (Wide Area Surgical and Persistent Surveillance) ..................... 283 AWARE (Advanced WFOV Architectures for Image Reconstruction and Exploitation) ............................ 284

Hyperspectral EO Sensors .................................................................................................................................. 285

Global Hawk SPIRITT & USAF Hyperspectral Systems ............................................................................. 285 USAF Predator ACES Hy Hyperspectral Imager ......................................................................................... 287 USAF Reaper CERBERUS Hyperspectral Imager ....................................................................................... 289 US Army RQ-7 Shadow AURORA & Navy/Army Hyperspectral Systems ................................................ 290 US Marine Corps RQ-21A Blackjack Group III UAS Hyperspectral Sensors ............................................. 292

UCAV EO/IR Sensors ......................................................................................................................................... 294

USAF Classified Stealthy SEAD/Strike UCAV EO/IR Sensors .................................................................. 294 US Navy MQ-25A Stingray CBARS & UCLASS & UCAS-D EO/IR Sensors ........................................... 295

Tactical UAV EO/IR Sensors.............................................................................................................................. 301

US Navy/US Coast Guard MQ-8B/C Fire Scout EO/IR Sensors ................................................................. 301 US Army/USMC RQ-7 Shadow V2 MX-10 EO/IR Sensors ........................................................................ 305 US Army/USMC RQ-7 Shadow V1 POP 200/300 ....................................................................................... 310 US Army Hunter Raven Eye II/MOSP ......................................................................................................... 311 United Technologies (UTAS) SWIR (Short-Wave IR) Sensors ................................................................... 313 US Navy & Army MRMUAS & MRMP EO/IR Sensors ............................................................................. 313

Small Tactical UAV EO/IR Sensors ................................................................................................................... 314

US Navy/USMC RQ-21A Blackjack/Integrator Alticam EO/IR Sensors .................................................... 314 ScanEagle Alticam EO and IR Sensors ........................................................................................................ 318 ScanEagle ViDAR “Optical Radar”.............................................................................................................. 321 FLIR Systems, Inc. (FSI) StormCaster EO/IR Sensor (SkyRaider & SkyRanger UAVs) ............................ 322 FLIR Systems, Inc. (FSI) Cooled Neutrino MWIR Thermal Camera Cores ................................................ 323 Gremlins and “Swarming” Small UAV EO/IR Sensors ............................................................................... 324

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US Special Operations Command NightEagle EO/IR Sensor ...................................................................... 326

Mini-UAV EO/IR Sensors ................................................................................................................................... 326

AeroVironment Raven & Wasp & Puma Mantis EO/IR Sensors ................................................................. 326 FLIR Systems, Inc. (FSI) Lepton EO/IR Cameras........................................................................................ 329 US & Available International Mini-UAV EO/IR Sensors ............................................................................ 332 Air Force Desert Hawk (was Sentry Owl) EO Sensors ................................................................................ 333 RQ-11 Raven Photon IR Sensor ................................................................................................................... 334 US Marine Corps Dragon Eye ThermoVision Micron IR Sensor ................................................................. 335 US Navy & US Army FCS Class I RQ-16A T-Hawk MAV EO and IR Sensors ......................................... 336

Nano Air Vehicle (NAV) EO/IR Sensors ........................................................................................................... 337

Nano Air Vehicle (NAV) EO/IR Sensors ..................................................................................................... 337

Synthetic Aperture Radars .................................................................................343

Market Overview ................................................................................................................................................. 343

SAR Technology ........................................................................................................................................... 343 SAR Market .................................................................................................................................................. 344 SAR Program Forecasts ................................................................................................................................ 344 Market Shares ............................................................................................................................................... 346 SAR Funding Forecast .................................................................................................................................. 347 SAR Market Shares by Company ................................................................................................................. 347

High Altitude Endurance (HALE) UAV Radars .............................................................................................. 348

USAF Global Hawk AN/ZPY-2 MP-RTIP ................................................................................................... 348 NATO Global Hawk AGS/MP-RTIP ........................................................................................................... 353 USAF Global Hawk “HISAR” ..................................................................................................................... 359 USAF Global Hawk Follow-On SAR ........................................................................................................... 364 Next-Generation HALE UAV SAR .............................................................................................................. 367 US Navy MQ-4C Triton AN/ZPY-3 Multi-Function Active Sensor (MFAS) .............................................. 367 USAF Classified Stealthy UAV SARs (RQ-170 & RQ-180 & TR-X & B-21) ............................................ 378 USCG Deepwater Endurance UAV ISAR .................................................................................................... 383

Medium Altitude Endurance (MALE) UAV Radars ........................................................................................ 383

USAF Reaper & Predator XP AN/APY-8 Lynx SAR & Future MALE SAR .............................................. 383 US CBP Predator B AN/APY-8 Lynx SAR ................................................................................................. 391 USAF Reaper (Lynx Upgrade) Dismount Detection Radar (DR) ................................................................ 392 US CBP/USCG Guardian SeaVue SAR ....................................................................................................... 393 Predator B/Guardian Future MALE Maritime Radar ................................................................................... 394 USAF MQ-X/Next-Generation Stealthy MALE UAV Radar ...................................................................... 396 US Army Next Generation Airborne ISR Sensors and Platforms ................................................................. 397 US Army Gray Eagle JADO SAR/GMTI ..................................................................................................... 398 US Army Gray Eagle AN/ZPY-1 Starlite SAR ............................................................................................ 398 US Army Predator/Sky Warrior ER/MP Lynx II SAR ................................................................................. 403 US Army Gray Eagle ER/MP VADER Radar .............................................................................................. 404 US Marine Corps Marine Air-Ground Task Force (MAGTF) UAS Expeditionary (MUX) Radar Sensors . 405 Leonardo/UTC Aerospace (UTAS) “TacSAR” Pod (UAV) ......................................................................... 406 “ASARS-3” (Advanced Synthetic Aperture Radar System) ......................................................................... 408 USAF Reaper Dismount Detection Radar (DDR) ........................................................................................ 409 US Army Gray Eagle TRACER ................................................................................................................... 410 MB SAR (Multi-Band Synthetic Aperture Radar) ........................................................................................ 410

UCAV Programs .................................................................................................................................................. 411

US Air Force Classified Stealthy SEAD/Strike UCAV Radars .................................................................... 411 US Navy MQ-25A Stingray CBARS & UCLASS & UCAS-D Radars ....................................................... 411

Airborne Sense-And-Avoid Radars (ABSAAs) ................................................................................................. 413

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US Navy Triton Air-to-Air Radar Sub-System (AARSS) ............................................................................ 414 USAF Common Airborne Sense & Avoid (C-ABSAA) ............................................................................... 416 Predator B Due Regard Radar (DRR) & Detect and Avoid (DAA) Avionics System.................................. 419 US Army Ground-Based Sense & Avoid (GBSAA) .................................................................................... 422 European Defense Agency (EDA) MIDCAS Sense-and-Avoid Radar ........................................................ 424

Tactical UAV Programs ...................................................................................................................................... 426

US Navy/US Coast Guard MQ-8B/C Fire Scout SARs ................................................................................ 426 US Army MQ-8B FCS Class 4A (Fire Scout) Lynx II SAR ........................................................................ 432 US Army RQ-7 Shadow SAR ....................................................................................................................... 432 Army A160 FORESTER FOPEN SAR ........................................................................................................ 434

Magnetic Anomaly Detectors (MADs) ............................................................................................................... 436

MAD-XR (Magnetic Anomaly Detection Extended Role) ........................................................................... 436

Small Tactical/Mini/Nano UAV Programs ........................................................................................................ 436

US Navy/Marine Corps RQ-21A Blackjack/Integrator Group III SPLIT ACES Nano-SAR/MTI .............. 436 US Navy/Marine Corps RQ-21A Blackjack/Integrator Group III SAR/MTI ............................................... 437 ScanEagle NanoSAR & Leonardo ................................................................................................................ 438 miniSAR ....................................................................................................................................................... 439 microSAR ..................................................................................................................................................... 439 PicoSAR ....................................................................................................................................................... 440 MiniSAR ....................................................................................................................................................... 440

SIGINT & Electronic Attack (EA) Systems ......................................................441

Market Overview ................................................................................................................................................. 441

SIGINT & EA Systems Funding Forecast .................................................................................................... 446 SIGINT & EA Systems Market Shares by Company ................................................................................... 446

Endurance UAV SIGINT & EA Programs ....................................................................................................... 447

USAF Global Hawk/HALE & Predator/Reaper/MALE ASIP (Airborne Signals Intelligence Payload) ..... 447 USAF Global Hawk Hyperwide COMINT ................................................................................................... 453 USAF Global Hawk LR-100 RWR/ESM/ELINT ......................................................................................... 454 Navy MQ-4C Triton AN/ZLQ-1 ESM System & Follow-On SIGINT & Future Triton SIGINT Suite ....... 454 USAF Classified Stealthy UAV ESM/EA Systems (RQ-170 & RQ-180 & TR-X & B-21) ........................ 461 US Marine Corps Marine Air-Ground Task Force (MAGTF) UAS Expeditionary (MUX) EW/SIGINT

Sensors ............................................................................................................................................................... 461 Army Tactical SIGINT Payload (TSP) & Follow-On & Future MALE UAV SIGINT System................... 462 Reaper Advanced Radar Detection System (ARDS) ELINT Pod ................................................................ 469 Reaper/Gray Eagle AN/ALR-69A Radar Warning Receiver (RWR)/ESM Pod .......................................... 470 US Army Next Generation Airborne ISR Sensors and Platforms ................................................................. 471 Army MQ-1C Gray Eagle JADO SIGINT (ELINT & COMINT & RWR) .................................................. 471 Army MQ-1C Gray Eagle Modular Multi-Function Electronic Warfare (MFEW) Pod ............................... 472 Army MQ-1C Gray Eagle CEASAR/NERO COMINT Electronic Attack Pods .......................................... 473 US Army MQ-5B Hunter Green Dart SIGINT System ................................................................................ 474 Pandora Electronic Warfare (EW) System (MALE) ..................................................................................... 474 USAF DEACON Electronic Attack Pod....................................................................................................... 475

UCAV SIGINT & EA Programs ........................................................................................................................ 476

USAF Classified Stealthy SEAD/Strike UCAV Electronic Attack (EA) System ......................................... 476 USMC UCAV Electronic Attack (EA) ......................................................................................................... 476 USMC UAV Electronic Attack (EA) Standoff Jammers (AN/ALQ-99 & NGJ) .......................................... 477 US Navy MQ-25A Stingray CBARS & UCLASS SIGINT & Electronic Attack (EA) ............................... 482 Navy UCAS-D SIGINT ................................................................................................................................ 484 Early US Air Force/Navy UCAV Electronic Warfare Systems .................................................................... 484

Tactical/Mini/Nano UAV SIGINT & EA Programs ......................................................................................... 484

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Overview ....................................................................................................................................................... 484 US Army RQ-7 Shadow SIGINT Systems ................................................................................................... 485 USMC RQ-7 Shadow Software Reprogrammable Payload (SRP) ............................................................... 485 RQ-7B Shadow SIGINT Pod ........................................................................................................................ 486 US Navy MQ-8C Fire Scout SIGINT/EW Pod ............................................................................................ 486 DARPA CONCERTO (CONverged Collaborative Elements for RF Task Operations) ............................... 487 US Special Operations Forces (SOF) Tactical/Mini-UAV SIGINT Sensor ................................................. 488 Pandora Electronic Warfare (EW) System (Small UAV) ............................................................................. 489 “NanoSIGINT” (Tactical/Small Tactical UAV) ........................................................................................... 489 USMC AN/ALQ-231(V) Intrepid Tiger Electronic Warfare (EW) Pod ....................................................... 490 US Navy/Marine Corps RQ-21A Blackjack/Integrator Group III Spectral Bat SIGINT Payload ................ 490 US Special Operations Command (SOCOM) MEUAS III Small Tactical SIGINT/ELINT Sensors ........... 492 US Army RQ-20 Puma Mini-UAV SIGINT Sensors ................................................................................... 492 US Marine Corps Raven/Puma Group I Mini-UAV SIGINT Payloads........................................................ 493

International UAV SIGINT & EA Programs ................................................................................................... 493

Euro Hawk ISIS/Pegasus Wide Area SIGINT System ................................................................................. 493 Ultra Electronics Australia Predator B Electronic Warfare (EW) Payloads ................................................. 497 UK Watchkeeper SIGINT: Soothsayer ......................................................................................................... 497 Xtender/FlyingFish Satellite Phone SIGINT System .................................................................................... 498 TRC 274 & TRC 6200 .................................................................................................................................. 499 Top Scan ....................................................................................................................................................... 499 Skyfix SIGINT Suite..................................................................................................................................... 499 EL/K-7071 COMINT/DF & EL/L-8385 ESM/ELINT ................................................................................. 500 SPS-65V5 Modular EW/SIGINT Suite ........................................................................................................ 500 Skyfix COMINT/DF ..................................................................................................................................... 500

C4I Systems ..........................................................................................................501

Market Overview ................................................................................................................................................. 501

System Types ................................................................................................................................................ 501 Teal Group Evaluation .................................................................................................................................. 502

Data Link Programs ............................................................................................................................................ 503

Global Hawk (EQ-4) Battlefield Airborne Communications Node (BACN) ............................................... 503 Global Hawk Block 30/40 C4I Systems ....................................................................................................... 505 Predator B Agile Condor Artificial Intelligence Computing Architecture .................................................... 507 Predator B/MALE Network Centric Communications Pod (NCCP) ............................................................ 507 US Marine Corps Marine Air-Ground Task Force (MAGTF) UAS Expeditionary (MUX) C4I Sensors .... 508 MUM-T (Manned-Unmanned Teaming) & VUIT-2 .................................................................................... 508 NATO Mode 5 IFF for UAVs....................................................................................................................... 511 USMC RQ-7 Shadow Software Reprogrammable Payload (SRP) ............................................................... 512 RQ-7 Shadow Forward Airborne Secure Transmissions and Communications (FASTCOM) ..................... 512 US Marine Corps Raven/Puma Group I Mobile Ad-Hoc Network (MANET) ............................................. 513 Next-Generation Scalable UA Mission Command System .......................................................................... 514 Tactical Control System (TCS) & UAV Operating Systems ........................................................................ 514 Warfighter Information Network-Tactical (WIN-T) ..................................................................................... 517 JTIDS and MIDS .......................................................................................................................................... 524 Joint Tactical Radio System (JTRS) ............................................................................................................. 528 USAF Tactical Data Links (TDL)/Link-16 ................................................................................................... 531 US Navy Tactical Data Links (TDL)/Link-16 .............................................................................................. 533 US Army Tactical Data Links (TDL)/Link-16 ............................................................................................. 535 EPLRS & SADL ........................................................................................................................................... 536 Improved Data Modem (IDM) ...................................................................................................................... 538 CEC (Cooperative Engagement Capability) ................................................................................................. 539 Common Data Link (CDL) & Tactical Common Data Link (TCDL) .......................................................... 544 Network Tactical Common Data Link-Network (TCDL-N) ........................................................................ 549

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Tactical Common Data Link-Network (TCDL-N) ....................................................................................... 550 Communications Data Link System (CDLS) ................................................................................................ 550

UAS Company Profiles ........................................................................................551

Overview ............................................................................................................................................................... 551 Company Profiles ................................................................................................................................................ 557

Aeronautics Ltd. ............................................................................................................................................ 557 AeroVironment Inc. ...................................................................................................................................... 560 Aeryon Labs Inc. ........................................................................................................................................... 573 Arcturus UAV ............................................................................................................................................... 575 Altavian Inc................................................................................................................................................... 575 Airbus Defence & Space (formerly European Defence and Space Co.) ....................................................... 576 Aurora Flight Sciences .................................................................................................................................. 582 Aviation Industry Corp of China (AVIC) ..................................................................................................... 585 BAE Systems ................................................................................................................................................ 586 Baykar Makina .............................................................................................................................................. 589 Bell Textron .................................................................................................................................................. 590 The Boeing Co. ............................................................................................................................................. 592 CAE Inc. ....................................................................................................................................................... 597 China Aerospace Science and Technology Corp. ......................................................................................... 600 Dassault Aviation .......................................................................................................................................... 601 Denel Pty. Ltd. .............................................................................................................................................. 603 Diehl Defence GmbH & Co. KG .................................................................................................................. 604 DJI Innovations ............................................................................................................................................. 605 Elbit Systems Ltd. ......................................................................................................................................... 606 EMT Ingenieurgesellschaft ........................................................................................................................... 612 FLIR Systems, Inc. ....................................................................................................................................... 615 General Atomics Aeronautical Systems, Inc. ............................................................................................... 617 Griffon Aerospace ......................................................................................................................................... 624 Honeywell International Inc.......................................................................................................................... 625 Insitu Inc. ...................................................................................................................................................... 626 Intra Defense Technologies .......................................................................................................................... 634 Israel Aerospace Industries Ltd..................................................................................................................... 634 Kaman Corp. ................................................................................................................................................. 639 Korea Aerospace Industries Ltd. ................................................................................................................... 641 Korean Air Aerospace Business Division ..................................................................................................... 642 Korean Aviation Technologies ..................................................................................................................... 643 Kratos Defense and Security Solutions Inc. .................................................................................................. 644 L3Harris Technologies.................................................................................................................................. 646 Leidos Holdings Inc. ..................................................................................................................................... 649 Leonardo (formerly Finmeccanica) .............................................................................................................. 650 Lockheed Martin Corp. ................................................................................................................................. 654 MacDonald, Dettwiler, and Associates (MDA) Ltd. .................................................................................... 659 Northrop Grumman Corp. ............................................................................................................................. 661 Parrot SA ...................................................................................................................................................... 668 Piaggio Aerospace ........................................................................................................................................ 668 Raytheon Technologies Corp. ....................................................................................................................... 670 Rheinmetall AG ............................................................................................................................................ 673 Rolls-Royce .................................................................................................................................................. 674 Safran ............................................................................................................................................................ 675 Saudi Arabian Military Industries ................................................................................................................. 677 Schiebel Elektronische Geraete GmbH ......................................................................................................... 678 Sikorsky Aircraft Corporation ...................................................................................................................... 680 Skydio ........................................................................................................................................................... 682 Stark Aerospace, Inc. .................................................................................................................................... 682 Swift Engineering, Inc. ................................................................................................................................. 683

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Teledyne Technologies Inc. .......................................................................................................................... 685 Textron Systems Unmanned Systems ........................................................................................................... 687 Thales ............................................................................................................................................................ 696 Turkish Aerospace Industries........................................................................................................................ 698 Uconsystem Co. Ltd...................................................................................................................................... 699 UMS Skeldar................................................................................................................................................. 700 VTG .............................................................................................................................................................. 702

Appendix 1 ............................................................................................................705

US DoD 10-Year UAV Funding History Summary .......................................................................................... 705 RDT&E by Service .............................................................................................................................................. 705

Army RDT&E............................................................................................................................................... 705 Navy RDT&E ............................................................................................................................................... 714 Marine Corps RDT&E .................................................................................................................................. 718 Air Force RDT&E ........................................................................................................................................ 720 DoD RDT&E ................................................................................................................................................ 723

Procurement by Service ...................................................................................................................................... 728

Army Procurement ........................................................................................................................................ 728 Navy Procurement ........................................................................................................................................ 728 Air Force Procurement .................................................................................................................................. 729 DoD Procurement ......................................................................................................................................... 730

Appendix 2 ............................................................................................................733

US DoD Prime Contracts .................................................................................................................................... 733


Executive Overview

The Market Outlook

In terms of worldwide military

budgets, the unmanned aircraft sys-

tems (UAS) segment continues to be

a very dynamic sector, although an-

nual growth has moderated when

compared to previous 10-year fore-

cast periods. The unclassified sector

will continue to increase over the

next decade, by about 33%, from cur-

rent annual spending on RDT&E and

procurement of almost $11 billion in

FY20 to about $14.6 billion in FY29

(a CAGR of 3.2%). If operations and

maintenance expenditures were to be

added, these totals would be greater.

This growth is being driven by the

continued adoption of unmanned aer-

ial vehicles (UAVs) worldwide. Over

the next decade, US procurement will

grow modestly. Growth will increas-

ingly shift towards international mar-

kets as more militaries adopt the les-

sons of Iraq, Afghanistan, Syria,

Libya and Nagorno-Karabakh and in-

corporate UAVs into their forces (see

Figure 1). The introduction of spe-

cially-built unmanned combat air ve-

hicles (UCAVs) also promises to

drive growth over the next decade.

Now, for the fifth year Teal Group

has separated all civil government

and commercial UAVs into a sepa-

rate study in recognition of the strong

potential for the future as airspace be-

gins to open worldwide. We have in-

cluded a brief summary of those find-

ings, however, at the end of this Ex-

ecutive Overview.

Please note that in our tables and

charts “procurement” and “produc-

tion value” are two different, but re-

lated numbers. Procurement, covered

in the budget forecasts here, repre-

sents the annual amount of produc-

tion funding included in a country’s

annual defense budget, usually on a

fiscal-year basis. Production value,

covered in the numerous tables in this

study, represents the value of UAV

systems delivered during a calendar

year. In rough terms, the funds “pro-

cured” during one-year result in “de-

livered" units the following year or

after.

The most significant catalyst to

this market has been the enormous

growth of interest in UAVs by the US

military, tied to operations in Iraq

and Afghanistan, as well as the gen-

eral trend towards information war-

fare and net-centric systems. UAVs

are a key element in the intelligence,

surveillance and reconnaissance

(ISR) portion of this revolution, and

they are expanding into other mis-

sions as well with the advent of

hunter-killer UAVs.

Our research finds that the US will

account for 69% of the unclassified

Figure 1

Executive Overview Page 2


R&D spending on UAV technology

over the next decade, and about 20%

of the unclassified procurement

through the forecast decade. These

US UAV funding shares for R&D

and procurement represent smaller

shares of the market compared to de-

fense spending in general. The US

accounts for about 64% of total

worldwide R&D spending and 38%

of procurement spending, according

to Teal Group’s International De-

fense Briefing forecasts.

These percentages change signifi-

cantly when adjustments are made

for US classified UAV development

and procurement funding (see Figure

2). The value of these “black” pro-

grams can only be surmised, with our

estimates serving as a likely upper

end of the range of potential secret

monies. With these assumptions, the

US accounts for 80% of the world

R&D on UAVs and 40% of the pro-

curement.

This difference is due to the heav-

ier US investment in cutting-edge

technologies and the marked lag-

time in such research and procure-

ment elsewhere, especially major

aerospace centers such as Europe.

This follows trends in other cutting-

edge technologies observed over the

past decade by Teal Group analysts

in such areas as precision-guided

weapons, information and sensor

technology, and military application

of space systems.

A tangible example of the “black”

UAV budget in the US is the RQ-170

Sentinel program which only came to

light when one of the stealth drones

came down in Iranian territory. Re-

cent revelations about the RQ-180

provide another example.

Teal Group expects that the sales

of UAVs will follow recent patterns

of high-tech arms procurement

worldwide, with the Asia-Pacific

area representing the second largest

market, followed by Europe. Indeed,

the Asia-Pacific region may repre-

sent an even larger segment of the

market, but several significant play-

ers in the region, namely Japan and

China are not especially transparent

about their plans compared to Eu-

rope. As in the case of many cutting-

edge aerospace products, Africa and

Latin America are expected to be

very modest markets for UAVs.

Some warnings are needed when

viewing the summary tables and

charts here. There appear to be wide

swings and dips in unit acquisition

over the forecast decade, that is not

matched by similar swings in the pro-

duction value. This is primarily due

to the volatile mini-UAV market,

which represents exceptionally large

numbers of air vehicles even though

unit costs are extremely low com-

pared to other UAVs, especially the

endurance types. This forecast ex-

pects a drop in US mini-UAV acqui-

sition as combat operations wind

down in Iraq and Afghanistan, which

Figure 2

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