2
Business Summary Woodside Petroleum Limited (WPL) is an Australian oil and gas company involved in hydrocarbon exploration, evaluation, development, production and marketing. WPL also has a portfolio of offshore platforms, oil floating production storage and off-loading vessels. WPL also holds operating assets both in Australia and internationally. North West Shelf (NWS) Australia: The project is located in the Carnarvon Basin about 190km NW of Karratha, WA. This is a standalone deep water LNG development. NWS pipeline gas was 12.9 MMboe and, from mid-2017, our equity share of NWS pipeline gas will reduce from 50% under the Domestic Gas Joint Venture to 16.67% Pluto Australia: The project is located in the Carnarvon Basin about 190km NW of Karratha, WA. Plutos average annualised capacity has increased from 4.3 Mtpa to 4.7 Mtpa. In 2016, Pluto produced 5.0 mt at a production cost of $3.3/boe. Australia Oil: WPL owns and operates a number of oil developments offshore WA and in the Timor Sea. These projects include Enfield which is planning for cessation potentially from Q4 2017.Vincent for which the annual production were down due to low reliability and natural reservoir decline. Acquisition: WPL exploration continues to grow in Australia, Asia-Pacific,Atlantic Margins and Africa. Latest Research Model Update This model update focuses on capital expenditure revisions and depreciation modeling for Pluto T-2. For more information see research 16 Sept 2020. GICS - Energy Woodside Petroleum Limited ASX Code: WPL Price: $18.38 12 Mth Target Price: $21.64 Rating: Neutral - High Important Disclaimer - This may affect your legal rights: Because this document has been prepared without consideration of any specific client's financial situation, particular needs and investment objectives, a Bell Potter Securities Limited investment adviser (or the financial services licensee, or the proper authority of such licensee, who has provided you with this report by arrangement with Bell Potter Securities Limited) should be consulted before any investment decision is made. While this document is based on the information from sources which are considered reliable, Bell Potter Securities Limited, its directors, employees and consultants do not represent, warrant or guarantee, expressly or impliedly, that the information contained in this document is complete or accurate. Nor does Bell Potter Securities Limited accept any responsibility to inform you of any matter that subsequently comes to its notice, which may affect any of the information contained in this document. This document is a private communication to clients and is not intended for public circulation or for the use of any third party, without the prior approval of Bell Potter Securities Limited. This is general investment advice only and does not constitute advice to any person. Disclosure of Interest: Bell Potter Securities Limited receives commission from dealing in securities and its authorised representatives, or introducers of business, may directly share in this commission. Bell Potter Securities and its associates may hold shares in the companies recommended. Snapshot Date Market Cap. Shares on issue 12 Month High 12 Month Low 11 October 2020 $17,686m 962.2m $36.28 $14.93 Rating Rating 12 Mth Target Price Capital Gain Gross Yield Implied Total Return Neutral - High Risk $21.64 18.4% 6.6% 25.0% Investment Fundamentals FYE 31 Dec 2019A 2020F 2021F 2022F Profit $m 1,529.0 896.0 1,442.0 1,068.0 Profit (norm)* $m 1,529.0 896.0 1,442.0 1,068.0 EPS* ¢ 162.0 94.0 150.0 110.0 EPS Growth % -22.1 -42.0 59.6 -26.7 P/E* x 11.3 19.4 12.2 16.6 P/E Relative % 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 DPS ¢ 131.0 76.0 120.0 87.0 Yield % 7.2 4.2 6.6 4.8 Franking % 100.0 100.0 0.0 100.0 * Adjusted for goodwill and unusual items Source: Based on Citi estimates Share Price Chart Total Return on $10,000 Investment

Woodside Petroleum Limited ASX Code: WPL Price: $20.53 12 ... · WPL also has a portfolio of offshore platforms, oil floating ... Bell Potter Securities Limited) should be consulted

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Page 1: Woodside Petroleum Limited ASX Code: WPL Price: $20.53 12 ... · WPL also has a portfolio of offshore platforms, oil floating ... Bell Potter Securities Limited) should be consulted

Business SummaryWoodside Petroleum Limited (WPL) is an Australian oil and gas companyinvolved in hydrocarbon exploration, evaluation, development, production andmarketing. WPL also has a portfolio of offshore platforms, oil floatingproduction storage and off-loading vessels. WPL also holds operating assetsboth in Australia and internationally.

North West Shelf (NWS) Australia: The project is located in the CarnarvonBasin about 190km NW of Karratha, WA. This is a standalone deep waterLNG development. NWS pipeline gas was 12.9 MMboe and, from mid-2017,our equity share of NWS pipeline gas will reduce from 50% under theDomestic Gas Joint Venture to 16.67%

Pluto Australia: The project is located in the Carnarvon Basin about 190kmNW of Karratha, WA. Plutos average annualised capacity has increased from4.3 Mtpa to 4.7 Mtpa. In 2016, Pluto produced 5.0 mt at a production cost of$3.3/boe.

Australia Oil: WPL owns and operates a number of oil developmentsoffshore WA and in the Timor Sea. These projects include Enfield which isplanning for cessation potentially from Q4 2017.Vincent for which the annualproduction were down due to low reliability and natural reservoir decline.

Acquisition: WPL exploration continues to grow in Australia,Asia-Pacific,Atlantic Margins and Africa.

Latest ResearchModel Update

This model update focuses on capital expenditure revisions anddepreciation

modeling for Pluto T-2.

For more information see research 16 Sept 2020.

GICS - Energy

Woodside Petroleum Limited

ASX Code: WPL Price: $18.38 12 Mth Target Price: $21.64 Rating: Neutral - High

Important Disclaimer - This may affect your legal rights: Because this document has been prepared without consideration of any specific client's financial situation, particular needs and investmentobjectives, a Bell Potter Securities Limited investment adviser (or the financial services licensee, or the proper authority of such licensee, who has provided you with this report by arrangement withBell Potter Securities Limited) should be consulted before any investment decision is made. While this document is based on the information from sources which are considered reliable, Bell PotterSecurities Limited, its directors, employees and consultants do not represent, warrant or guarantee, expressly or impliedly, that the information contained in this document is complete or accurate.Nor does Bell Potter Securities Limited accept any responsibility to inform you of any matter that subsequently comes to its notice, which may affect any of the information contained in this document.This document is a private communication to clients and is not intended for public circulation or for the use of any third party, without the prior approval of Bell Potter Securities Limited. This is generalinvestment advice only and does not constitute advice to any person.Disclosure of Interest: Bell Potter Securities Limited receives commission from dealing in securities and its authorised representatives, or introducers of business, may directly share in thiscommission. Bell Potter Securities and its associates may hold shares in the companies recommended.

Snapshot

DateMarket Cap.Shares on issue12 Month High12 Month Low

11 October 2020$17,686m962.2m$36.28$14.93

RatingRating12 Mth Target Price

Capital GainGross Yield

Implied Total Return

Neutral - High Risk$21.6418.4%6.6%25.0%

Investment FundamentalsFYE 31 Dec 2019A 2020F 2021F 2022F

Profit $m 1,529.0 896.0 1,442.0 1,068.0Profit (norm)* $m 1,529.0 896.0 1,442.0 1,068.0

EPS* ¢ 162.0 94.0 150.0 110.0EPS Growth % -22.1 -42.0 59.6 -26.7P/E* x 11.3 19.4 12.2 16.6P/E Relative % 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0

DPS ¢ 131.0 76.0 120.0 87.0Yield % 7.2 4.2 6.6 4.8Franking % 100.0 100.0 0.0 100.0* Adjusted for goodwill and unusual itemsSource: Based on Citi estimates

Share Price Chart

Total Return on $10,000 Investment

Page 2: Woodside Petroleum Limited ASX Code: WPL Price: $20.53 12 ... · WPL also has a portfolio of offshore platforms, oil floating ... Bell Potter Securities Limited) should be consulted

Profit & Loss ($M)2015A 2016A 2017A 2018A 2019A

Sales Revenue 6,885 5,716 5,050 7,536 7,141Total Revenue ex. Int. 6,935 5,716 5,050 7,536 7,141EBITDA 2,680 3,742 3,638 5,341 3,991Depreciation & Amort. -2,076 -1,824 -1,523 -2,056 -2,409Goodwill Amortisation -- -- -- -- --EBIT 604 1,918 2,115 3,286 1,582Net Interest -116 -66 -108 -259 -327Profit Before Tax 487 1,852 2,008 3,026 1,255Income Tax -333 -507 -572 -890 -685Outside Equity Int. -119 -145 -123 -146 -56Profit after Tax 36 1,200 1,313 1,991 514Significant Items after Tax -- -- -- -58 -24Reported Profit after Tax 36 1,200 1,313 1,933 490Preferred Dividends -- -- -- -- --

Cash Flow ($M)2015A 2016A 2017A 2018A 2019A

Receipts from Customers -- -- -- -- --Funds from Operations -- -- -- -- --Net Operating Cashflow 3,252 3,575 3,077 4,670 4,717Capex -2,490 -2,242 -1,782 -2,519 -1,731Acquisitions & Investments -4,978 -965 -- -- --Sale of Invest. & Subsid. -- -- -- -- --Net Investing Cashflow -7,468 -3,418 -2,010 -2,511 -1,767Proceeds from Issues -- -- -- 2,761 --Dividends Paid -2,368 -391 -1,059 -1,288 -1,516Net Financing Cashflow -79 70 -1,032 -225 452Net Increase Cash -4,295 228 35 1,934 3,403Cash at Beginning 4,473 169 365 451 2,389Exchange Rate Adjust. -11 -3 8 -13 --Cash at End 167 394 408 2,372 5,792

Ratios and Substantial Shareholders2015A 2016A 2017A 2018A 2019A

Profitability RatiosEBITDA Margin % 38.93 65.47 72.05 70.88 55.89EBIT Margin % 8.77 33.56 41.89 43.60 22.15Net Profit Margin % 0.52 20.99 26.00 26.41 7.20Return on Equity % 0.18 5.85 6.80 8.03 2.17Return on Assets % 0.38 3.79 4.44 5.93 2.04

Debt/Safety RatiosNet Debt/Equity % 28.75 29.93 29.89 13.45 16.19Interest Cover x 5.19 28.92 19.64 12.67 4.84

Top 5 Substantial ShareholdersBlackRock Group 6.1%Vanguard Group 6.0%

Balance Sheet ($M)2015A 2016A 2017A 2018A 2019A

Cash & Equivalent 167 394 408 2,372 5,792Receivables 669 616 618 690 490Inventories 233 206 238 220 251Other Current Assets 209 28 35 120 100Current Assets 1,477 1,244 1,299 3,416 6,633Prop. Plant & Equipment 26,433 26,873 25,050 27,009 27,723Intangibles -- -- -- -- --Other Non-Current Assets 337 265 233 415 450Non-Current Assets 31,152 32,964 31,267 34,963 35,264Total Assets 32,629 34,208 32,565 38,379 41,897Interest Bearing Debt 6,079 6,873 6,494 5,864 9,814Other Liabilities 5,985 5,691 5,713 6,556 7,234Total Liabilities 12,064 12,564 12,206 12,420 17,048Net Assets 20,565 21,645 20,359 25,959 24,849Share Capital 8,961 9,562 8,871 12,581 12,860Reserves 1,281 1,311 1,233 1,352 1,360Retained Earnings 9,229 9,634 9,191 10,846 9,498Outside Equity Int. 1,094 1,137 1,064 1,180 1,130Total Shareholders Equity 20,565 21,645 20,359 25,959 24,849

Current Analyst Recommendations *

* Source: Morningstar. This chart shows the spread of recommendations from thosebroker analyst's in Australia with research coverage of this stock.

Principals & DirectorsPrincipals

Company Secretary Mr Andrew CoxMr Warren Baillie

Directors

Mr Christopher (Chris) Michael Haynes(Non-Executive Director)Mr Gene Thomas Tilbrook(Non-Executive Director)Mr Richard James Barr Goyder(Non-ExecutiveDirector,Non-Executive Chairman)Mr Frank Charles Cooper(Non-Executive Director)Mr Peter John Coleman(Chief Executive Officer,Managing Director)Ms Ann Darlene Pickard(Non-Executive Director)Dr Sarah Elizabeth Ryan(Non-Executive Director)Mr Ian Elgin Macfarlane(Non-Executive Director)Mr Larry Archibald(Non-Executive Director)Ms Swee Chen Goh(Non-Executive Director)

To access further Research or for information regarding our recommendations and ratings please seewww.bellpotter.com.au

© 2020 Morningstar, Inc. All rights reserved. Neither Morningstar, its affiliates, nor the content providers guarantee the data or content contained herein to be accurate, complete or timely nor will they have any liabilityfor its use or distribution. Any Morningstar ratings/recommendations contained in this report are based on the full research report available from Morningstar or your adviser. Any general advice or ‘class service’ havebeen prepared by Morningstar Australasia Pty Ltd (ABN: 95 090 665 544, AFSL: 240892) and/or Morningstar Research Ltd, subsidiaries of Morningstar, Inc, without reference to your objectives, financial situation orneeds. Refer to our Financial Services Guide (FSG) for more information at www.morningstar.com.au/s/fsg.pdf. You should consider the advice in light of these matters and if applicable, the relevant ProductDisclosure Statement before making any decision to invest. Our publications, ratings and products should be viewed as an additional investment resource, not as your sole source of information. Past performancedoes not necessarily indicate a financial product’s future performance. To obtain advice tailored to your situation, contact a professional financial adviser. Some material is copyright and published under licence fromASX Operations Pty Ltd ACN 004 523 782.

Woodside Petroleum Limited

Bell Potter Securities Research

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Email [email protected]

Website www.bellpotter.com.au