WINNING IN THE TOUGH

DISTRICTS

Building a Bigger Majority

WINNING IN THE TOUGH DISTRICTS

Hillary has won far more competitive House districts than Sen. Obama.

Hillary is the strongest candidate to top the Democratic ticket in tough districts in November.

In 2006, the Democrats retook Congress by picking up 31 new seats.

WINNING IN THE TOUGH DISTRICTS

20 of those freshman Democrats are in Republican-leaning districts that voted for President Bush in 2004.

These freshmen need a nominee who can compete in their tough districts.

'06 Pickups in Bush Districts

Obama: 4Clinton: 16

Of those 20 districts, Hillary has now won 16, most by large margins.

WINNING IN THE TOUGH DISTRICTS

District Member

AZ-5 Mitchell

AZ-8 Giffords

CA-11 McNerney

FL-16 Mahoney

IN-2 Donnelly

IN-8 Ellsworth

IN-9 Hill

KS-2 Boyda

MN-1 Walz

NC-11 Shuler

District Member

NH-1Shea-Porter

NY-19 Hall

NY-20 Gillibrand

NY-24 Arcuri

OH-18 Space

PA-10 Carney

PA-4 Altmire

TX-22 Lampson

TX-23 Rodriguez

WI-8 Kagen

The Senior Vote in '08 Primaries

58%

34%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Clinton Obama

Nationally, Hillary has won seniors by 24 points (58-34).

WINNING IN THE TOUGH DISTRICTS

13 of these 20 districts have more than the national average of seniors (65+).

In Indiana, she won by 44 points. (72-28).

District Member %65+

AZ-8 Giffords 16.8%

FL-16 Mahoney 25.5%

IN-2 Donnelly 13.3%

IN-8 Ellsworth 14.4%

KS-2 Boyda 13.5%

MN-1 Walz 15.1%

NC-11 Shuler 17.8%

District Member %65+

NY-20Gillibrand 13.7%

NY-24 Arcuri 15.1%

OH-18 Space 13.7%

PA-10 Carney 16.6%

PA-4 Altmire 17.3%

WI-8 Kagen 13.5%

WINNING IN THE TOUGH DISTRICTS

Nationally, Hillary has won rural voters by 8 points (50-42).

These districts are heavily rural. Half of them are more than 40% rural.

The Rural Vote in '08 Primaries

50%

42%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Clinton Obama

In Indiana, she won by 40 points (70-30).

District Member % Rural

IN-8 Ellsworth 41.9%

IN-9 Hill 47.7%

KS-2 Boyda 40.2%

MN-1 Walz 43.5%

NC-11 Shuler 56.1%

NY-20 Gillibrand 55.1%

NY-24 Arcuri 49.5%

OH-18 Space 56.7%

PA-10 Carney 55.4%

WI-8 Kagen 44.0%

WINNING IN THE TOUGH DISTRICTS

Nationally, Hillary has won Hispanic voters by 30 points (64-34).

Hispanics make up more than 10% of the voters in 6 of the districts The Hispanic Vote in '08

Primaries

64%

34%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

Clinton Obama

In Texas, she won by 34 points (66-32).

District Member % Hispanic

AZ-5 Mitchell 13.3%

AZ-8 Giffords 18.2%

CA-11 McNerney 19.7%

FL-16 Mahoney 10.1%

TX-22 Lampson 20.3%

TX-23 Rodriguez 65.1%

Excluding caucus victories, where turn out is significantly lower than in primaries or general elections, Sen. Obama has won only 23.

'Toss Up' Districts

Clinton: 10

Not Voted: 1

Obama: 4

Hillary has also won 10 of the 15 districts rated “toss up” for 2008 by the Cook Political Report. Sen. Obama has won only 4.

WINNING IN THE TOUGH DISTRICTS

Of Cook’s 80 “competitive” districts, Hillary has won 40 to Sen. Obama’s 31.

District Member

AL-05 Cramer

OR-05 Hooley

PA-10 Carney

TX-22 Lampson

AZ-01 Renzi

MN-03 Ramstad

MS-01 Wicker

NJ-03 Saxton

District Member

NJ-07 Ferguson

NM-01 Wilson

NY-25 Walsh

NY-26 Reynolds

OH-15 Pryce

OH-16 Regula

VA-11 Davis

WINNING IN THE TOUGH DISTRICTS

Hillary is the candidate who will win in tough districts.

Paid for by Hillary Clinton for President