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Winning Exhibition Strategies through 2015 and Beyond
Webinar – May 10, 2012 at 12PM EST
Richard Mead
Managing Director
The Jordan, Edmiston Group, Inc.
Denzil Rankine
Executive Chairman
AMR International
EVENT INDUSTRY GROWING, ACQUIRING
AND TRANSFORMING
Richard DW Mead
The Jordan, Edmiston Group, Inc.
May 10, 2012
3
You Can’t Shake Hands on the Internet
Historically, print magazines were the leading medium in B2B marketing spend in the U.S.,
providing a regular monthly link between buyers and sellers
In 2000, B2B print and online advertising represented over 60% of total B2B media spending
Today, we are at an inflection point, with trade show revenues surpassing print magazine
revenues, but ahead even further in profitability
Trade Shows – at the Heart of Commerce
Exhibitors, attendees and
investors in most industries
now perceive trade shows as
being at the heart of
international and domestic
commerce
Multi-billion dollar transactions
are consummated on show
floors every year, many with
just a handshake
Source: The Veronis Suhler Stevenson Communications Industry Forecast, 25th Edition, 2011-2015
4
Exhibition Industry Performance and Growth
AMR International’s authoritative global
industry forecast shows 4-9% growth
annually to 2015, with the US forecast at
5% CAGR
US Exhibition Industry Grew 2.7% in 2011; Forecast 5% CAGR to 2015
The US industry outpaced real GDP growth
by 1% in 2011, according to CEIR (Center
for Exhibition Industry Research)
The industry saw gains in all four key
metrics for the year – NSF, Revenue,
Number of Exhibitors and Attendance
US Brazil Germany
5%
China
4%
8% 9%
5%
World
EXHIBITION INDUSTRY CAGR, 2011-2015F
5
Strong Increase in M&A Activity in Events Market
Q1 2012 saw a large increase in number of deals,
although deal value was down slightly from Q1 2011
M&A activity led by corporations looking for strategic
tuck-in acquisitions, with PE firms increasing their
participation
Credit markets are rebounding, with leverage available
for healthy, growing, profitable businesses
Industry SectorNo. of
Deals
Value
(millions)
No. of
Deals
Value
(millions)
No. of
DealsValue
B2B Online Media & Technology 17 $182 23 $2,838 (26%) (94%)
B2C Online Media & Technology 70 $1,540 78 $3,357 (10%) (54%)
Business-to-Business Media 9 $63 4 $15 125% nm
Consumer Magazines 16 $83 7 $1,421 129% (94%)
Database & Information Services 20 $3,862 11 $564 82% nm
Education Information, Technology & Training 12 $516 12 $463 0% 12%
Exhibitions & Conferences 14 $258 6 $34 133% nm
Marketing & Interactive Services 145 $3,081 57 $1,922 154% 60%
Mobile Media & Technology 30 $682 23 $469 30% 46%
Total 333 $10,267 221 $11,081 51% (7%)
Source: JEGI Transaction Database
Media, Information, Marketing Services & Technology M&A Activity
2012 2011
January -March January - March % Change
Events market saw a large
increase in both number of
deals and value in Q1 2012
UBM led the way with five
deals in Q1, primarily in
emerging markets (China
and India), as well as
Yankee Group’s 4G World,
a US-based telecom and
wireless tradeshow
6
Trade Shows in the Limelight
Trade shows are long established as the preeminent marketplace where buyers
and sellers meet face-to-face to do business
Trade shows performed better than ad-driven media during the recession, and
most are now fully recovered, with growth in 2011 and beyond
Trade shows have strong EBITDA margins and cash flow characteristics,
having provided quality services to their served communities for decades
Trade show formats can be “geo-cloned”, making it easier for operators to replicate
this marketing channel wherever their customers want to do business
Trade shows have deep, trusted relationships with their communities
Consequently, trade shows are uniquely positioned to expand those relationships
through new, online initiatives, leading to more effective, timely lead generation
year round, and ultimately to the Holy Grail of e-commerce
How Have Trade Shows Taken “Center Stage” in the B2B Marketing Mix?
7
The Future is Bright for Trade Shows
Trade shows are evolving from single events serving their markets for a few days
annually into core components of multi-platform, year-round marketing engines
Trade shows have a golden opportunity to utilize the Internet, software and other B2B
marketing products to create a more fully integrated marketing platform
Broadening their geographic reach and increasing their percentage of marketing budgets
These efforts will only strengthen barriers to entry as well as making trade show
business more fully integrated with their customers’ marketing plans
To achieve this, we expect trade show companies will continue to acquire event
businesses to extend their reach in current and new markets, as well as investing in
technology and talent
Investors will increasingly see this new trade show model as meeting their key
investment criteria, leading to superior ROI and valuations
Capital will flow into the trade show industry. Everyone will be happy.
Trade Show Companies Will Continue to Acquire and
Operators Will Continue to Innovate
8
JEGI Welcomes the AMR Initiative on Trade Shows
JEGI has had the good fortune to be deeply involved in the B2B media and
marketing sector for 25 years
Participating in the major trade show organizations – SISO, IAEE and CEIR
The firm is proud to have represented clients in many of the signature B2B media
M&A transactions, particularly those involving trade shows
We are delighted to support Denzil Rankine and his colleagues at AMR
International and applaud the work that they have undertaken in the B2B media
and trade show industry
AMR International has provided strategic support to most of the top 20 trade show
organizers globally over the past 20 years, as well as numerous PE funds
Now for the Big Show…
Winning exhibitions strategies to 2015 and beyond Denzil Rankine
Webinar May 10, 2012
10
Source: Globex 2011, AMR International analysis
Exhibitions market growth by geography 2010-15F, $bn
Region CAGR
2010-15F
8%
4%
6%
4
6
17
4
21
5
2015F
32
2010
25
ROW
High growth
Mature
Brazil China GCC India Russia Turkey Hong Kong
USA France Germany Italy Spain UK
Exhibitions markets have substantially differing growth rates
11
To succeed in 2015, organizers need a dual strategy
Winning exhibitions strategy in 2015
Mature markets
Address challenge of delivering value
Emerging markets
Determine most suitable options for market entry and
growth
12
Seven most important measures to gauge marketing success by 2015*
Marketing ROI
Customer experience
Conversion rate/ new customers
63%
Marketing- influenced sales
48%
Revenue per customer
Social media metrics
Overall sales
58%
45%
42%
42%
38%
Note: *N=1,734, CMOs across B2B and B2C brands, in 19 industries and 64 countries Source: IBM CMO Report 2011
CMOs’ focus on ROI is sharper than ever. By 2015 it will be the single most important measure of marketing success
“Today’s CMOs are in much the same position as CFOs were a decade ago, when their role was evolving from guardian of the purse strings to strategic business adviser.” (IBM)
13
Exhibitor value proposition
Exhibitions are about delivering quality attendees. Total Attendee Time (TAT) is fundamental to the value proposition
Exhibitor $
Attendee quality
Time with quality attendees
TAT
Total Attendee Time is calculated as the number of attendees attending the trade show multiplied by
the hours they spend at the show
What do organizers offer exhibitors?
Number of attendees
Attendee time at show
x x
Source: AMR International analysis
14
Exhibitor value through access to attendee time, US
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
$b
n
12
11
10
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0 2010
9.1
2009
9.7
2008
11.1
2007
11.0
2006
10.3
2005
9.7
2004
8.9
2003
8.7
2002
8.5
2001
8.6
2000
8.9
Note: *Defined as total attendee time (TAT) per exhibitor $ spent. Includes spend on exhibitor rented space, fees, sponsorship and advertising Source: VSS, Exhibit Surveys, AMR International analysis
Total exhibitor spend (LHS)
Exhibitor value (RHS) *
Ind
ex 20
00
= 10
0
TAT per $ declined by 28% between 2000-2008; in 2010, it was still 16% below 2000 levels
15
CAGR, Total Attendee Time (TAT) spent at trade shows
Source: Exhibit Surveys, VSS, FKM, AMR International analysis
-0.7%
-2.8%
-1.3%
-1.2%
-3.6%
-1.3% 2000-08
2008-10
2010-15F
US Germany
2002-08
2008-10
2010-15F
AMR expects the structural decline in TAT to continue to 2015
16
B2B media spend, US (2005-2015F)
Source: VSS, AMR International analysis
Category Share
gain/loss 2010-15F
CAGR 2010-15F
+1% 8%
+7% 13%
-7% 0
+3% 21%
0 6%
-3% 4%
Overall B2B media spend - 6%
While trade shows will continue to grow, CMOs will increasingly dedicate share of budget to digital
2005
2
$27bn
11
3
2010
2
4
2007
5
8
$27bn
2
2015F
$31bn
11
10 11
3 2
8
2
3
11
$36bn
1 2
9
3
9
E-Media
B2B Magazines
B2B Outsourced Custom Publishing
Webinars & other online live events
Seminars & conferences
Tradeshows
17
Three levers to increase share of attendee time – detail
Source: AMR International analysis
Organizers have three levers to increase their share of attendee time within and beyond the show
Increase attendee retention and time at show
Increase
attendee productivity
Increase value
Better inter-
actions
Reduce ineffective
time
Must-have
content
Better Network-
ing
Increase Attendee Return on Time
Increase attendee time beyond trade
show dates
Maximize share of attendee time
Optimized marketing strategy
Quality online content, tools and
resources
Content and delivery tailored to audience
Tailored message
Segment audience
Targeted delivery
365 targeted
resources
Under-stand needs
18
203
142
2015F 2010
161
42
18
100
124
93
2005
7
Absolute growth
Category 2005-10 2010-15F
Mobile 157% 133%
Online 33% 30%
Ind
ex 2
00
5 =
10
0
*Note: US, Europe & Asia Source: VSS, Toolbox/PJA Social Media index, AMR International analysis
US growth in professional online and mobile consumption, hours
With growth in B2B mobile and online usage continuing apace, organizers will increasingly use digital and interactive media to reach their audience
Mobile has increased its share of B2B internet usage, growing 133% between 2010-15
Interactive media is also seeing steep growth; B2B social media usage grew by 81% between 2008 and 2011*
19
Keep up to date
Learn / Problem-
solve
Find Evaluate Transact Network
Trade shows can meet a broad range of attendee needs. Organizers must understand what attendee need(s) each show meets
Attendee workflow
Sourcing
“In the know”
? ? ? ?
Where are we?
Attendee workflow
20
Pre-show
Post-show
Keep up to date
Learn / Problem-solve
Find Evaluate Transact Network
Trade show
Att
end
ee c
on
tact
dat
es
Attendee workflow
Note: Contact during trade show dates, Website access pre and post-show Source: AMR International analysis
Show dates
Trade show organizers then have the opportunity to extend their audience contact beyond the confines of the trade show dates
Extending trade shows’ share of time within the attendee workflow
21
Keep up to date
Learn / Problem-solve
Find Evaluate Transact Network
Att
en
de
e c
on
tact
Attendee workflow
Source: AMR International analysis
Trade shows can extend their attendee contact through a range of digital and face-to-face products and services
Attendee resources
Webinars
Online expert forums
Email newsletters
White papers
E-magazines
Conferences
Online directories
E-commerce Awards, dinners
Industry portals
F2F Online
22
Percentage of respondents who see F2F meetings as more effective than online/virtual
Source: Oxford Economics USA, Meeting Professionals International, 2009
82%
56%
Meetings with prospective customers
Meetings with current
customers
Digital interaction helps extend and expand commercial relationships, but is not a substitute for F2F
Online is not as a substitute for face-to-face, in particular for establishing new client relationships
23
To succeed in 2015, organizers need a dual strategy
Winning exhibitions strategy in 2015
Mature markets
Address challenge of delivering value
Emerging markets
Determine most suitable options for market entry and
growth
24
Tier 1 markets offer high growth, but are increasingly competitive; Tier 2 markets can be good alternatives
Tier Countries Market size 2011 ($m)
CAGR
2010-2015F Key challenges
1 China 1,300 9%
High level of competition for large attractive independent targets Brazil 500 10%
2
Hong Kong*
200-700
6% Limited venue capacity
Russia 7% Corruption / red tape
Turkey 8% Market is centered on Istanbul Strength of position of incumbent venue owners and organizers
GCC 9% Limited opportunity outside Dubai
India 10% Limited venue capacity
Mexico 10% High association ownership of top 20 shows High crime rate Limited venue capacity in Mexico City
*While Hong Kong is a relatively established market, it offers a potential entry point to the Chinese market Source: Globex 2011, AMR International analysis
High growth markets
25
A variety of approaches are available to gain a foothold and achieve growth in emerging markets
Source: AMR International analysis
Emerging markets – potential approaches and key considerations
Growth markets exposure
Partnering
Relationships and execution
capability of partner
Set up country office
Relationships with venues, associations, authorities &
market
Acquisition
Price
Competition for targets
Due diligence
Joint venture
Constrained decision making
power
Clone
Cloneable exhibitor
relationships
Competitive position
Pote
nti
al
app
roac
h
Key
co
nsi
de
rati
on
s
26
In Summary
Trade shows continue to offer attractive growth opportunities
In mature markets, two factors combine to mount a structural challenge to exhibitor value: the decline in total attendee time at events; and the steady increase in prices per square foot
Organizers need to compete more effectively for share of attendee time, both during and after the show
Trade shows need to get smarter with digital tools, to understand and track exhibitor value, to support exhibitors with their broader marketing efforts and to better understand and meet the needs of the attendee base
Organizers should increasingly develop revenue generating opportunities outside the traditional show format (e.g., matchmaking, sponsorship or user fees)
Emerging markets continue to offer strong underlying growth and organizers should consider a range of options to increase their portfolio exposure to these markets, and select the approach best suited to their capability and needs
27
Questions?
Frankfurt ■ London ■ New York ■ Paris ■
AMR International Consulting Inc. 655 Third Avenue
Suite 2500-05 New York NY 10017
United States of America
Tel: +1 (646) 465 5970 Fax: +1 (646) 465 5988
www.amrinternational.com
Tel: +1 (646) 465 5970 Email: [email protected]
Denzil Rankine Executive Chairman
The Jordan, Edmiston Group, Inc. 150 East 52nd Street, 18th Floor New York, NY 10022 United States Tel: +212-754-0710 Fax: +212-754-0337 www.jegi.com
Tel: +212-754-0710 Email: [email protected]
Richard Mead Managing Director