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Why we are here: purpose of the workshop

Jiang Kejun

Energy Research InstitutePeking University

Japan-China Climate Policy Research Workshop 2017

Beijing , 6-7 Sep. 2017,

ERI, ChinaERI, China

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2016 2030

No action

Current policies

NDCs

2°C

1.5°C

Past action

Promises from Paris

Additional action needed

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2

4

6

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2000 2005 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

Billi

on t

CO2

CO2 Emission

BAU

LC

ELC

2度1

2度2

1.5度

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What we want to do here?

• A internal workshop, for participants to discuss about key issues for the pathway of 2℃

• What is the direction to move?

• Can we do it? Key policy options

• Can we work together?

• In 2017, China’s low carbon energy policy is in the strongest period, what is the future?

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What we want to do here?

• Can we get some consensus?

• Should we make a paper?

• What is the next policy demand?

Carbon pricingLeadershipLinkage with SDGs

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+24.5GW from Jan. to June 2017

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NASA images show stunning progress of China’s vast 850 MW Longyangxia Solar Park

2013 2017

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0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

1.2

2005 2010 2020 2030 2050

Inde

x, 2

005=

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Year

Technology learning curve

Fuel Cell IGCC

Hydrogen Car

Poly-Generation

Solar Thermal Power

PV

4th Generation Nuclear

Off shore wind

on shore wind

Biomass Power

Advanced NGCC

Electic Car

CCS

Solar 2010

Wind 2010

CCS-PostC

CCS-Enduse

LED Lighting

Price: US$38000Subsidy: US$15000(Shanghai), no need to apply number plate(cost US$10000) US$18000(Beijing), no need to apply number plate(By Oct. 2012, 1.1 million people apply for 20000number plates per month),

By 2020, Wind 200GW to 250GW, Solar 50WG

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Scenario Analysis:JapanKoreaChinaIndiaThailandMalaysiaIndonesiaNepalVietnamCambodiaLaosPhilippine

A 2 degree Asia: A good way to understand the global target

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China’s FDI and ODI，1995-2014，US$100million

Low Carbon/Green Strategy for China’s Oversea Investment

ODI FDI