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n What Neutrino Experiments Need to Know Kevin McFarland University of Rochester ECT* 16 May 2012

What Neutrino Experiments Need to Know Kevin McFarland University of Rochester ECT* 16 May 2012

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Interactions of Neutrinos

What Neutrino ExperimentsNeed to KnowKevin McFarlandUniversity of RochesterECT*16 May 2012nnOutlineNeutrino scattering vs. electron scattering Goals of neutrino oscillation experimentsNarrow and Broad Beam ExperimentsWhat Needs to be ModeledCurrent PracticesPossible Paths to Progress16 May 2012K. McFarland, Needs for Neutrinos2n16 May 2012K. McFarland, Needs for Neutrinos3Neutrinos vs. Electronsn16 May 2012K. McFarland, Needs for Neutrinos4Neutrino Dictionary for Parity ViolatorsElectronPhysics ConceptAPV~10-6s|APC|2+2ReAPC*APV+negligiblePolbeama limiting systematicTargetDetector

Ebeama number you choosen16 May 2012K. McFarland, Needs for Neutrinos5Neutrino Dictionary for Parity ViolatorsElectronNeutrinoPhysics ConceptAPV~10-61s|APC|2+2ReAPC*APV+negligiblenegligiblePolbeama limiting systematic1-mn2/En2TargetDetector(see Target)

Ebeama number you choosea distribution you barely knownNeutrino Facts of LifeNeutrino experiments require massive targets to carry out goalsFew 104 or 105 kg of target material of current and near future experimentsWe only know what we see in the final stateTargets are large nucleiCarbon, Oxygen, Argon, Iron are all being used in current or near future experimentsDetectors have severe limitationsNeed to measure interactions throughout targetMust balance expense vs. capability

16 May 2012K. McFarland, Needs for Neutrinos6n16 May 2012K. McFarland, Needs for Neutrinos7Neutrino Oscillation Goals(at lightening speed)n

Neutrino FlavorNeutrinos were discovered by

the final state positron is no accident! weve seen neutrinosproduce all three charged leptons in weak interactionsThe Z boson decays into three (and only three) neutrino states16 May 2012K. McFarland, Needs for Neutrinos8

nNeutrino Flavor MixingThe defining question of the field today turns out to be from an unusual conjecture (Pontecorvo)Are these neutrinos of definite flavorthe eigenstates of the neutrino mass matrix Or are we looking at neutrino puree?

16 May 2012K. McFarland, Needs for Neutrinos9

nNeutrino Flavor Mixing (contd)If neutrinos mass states mixto form flavors

and the masses are differentflavors of neutrinos can change in flightExplains Davis solar neutrino puzzlesince only electron flavor neutrinos aredetected +np+e-16 May 2012K. McFarland, Needs for Neutrinos10

nNeutrino Flavor OscillationEach neutrino wavefunctionhas a time-varying phase in its rest frame,Now, imagine you produce a neutrino of definite momentum but is a mixture of two masses, m1, m2

so pick up a phase difference in lab frame

16 May 2012K. McFarland, Needs for Neutrinos11

nNeutrino Oscillation (contd)Phase difference leads to interference effect, just like with sound waves of two frequenciesfrequency difference sets period of beats

16 May 2012K. McFarland, Needs for Neutrinos12

23

n

Phase differenceAnalog of volume disappearing in beats is original neutrino flavor disappearingand appearance of a new flavor

more generally, mixing need not be maximal Neutrino Oscillation (contd)16 May 2012K. McFarland, Needs for Neutrinos13

only two generations for now!

n16 May 2012K. McFarland, Needs for Neutrinos14Neutrino Oscillation (contd)For two generations

Oscillations require mass differencesOscillation parameters are mass-squared differences, dm2, and mixing angles, q.One correction to this is matter changes q, L dep.

Wolfenstein, PRD (1978)

e- density

appropriate units give the usual numerical factor 1.27 GeV/km-eV2n14standard oscillation formula when you put in hbars and cs get the usual formulas that push you to long baselines. 10^3 eV^2 means L/E 1000km/GeV

matter effects modify this picture somewhat significantly if electrons are dense in matter16 May 2012K. McFarland, Needs for Neutrinos15Solar Neutrinos: SNOD2O target uniquely observed:charged-currentneutral-currentThe former is onlyobserved for ne(lepton mass)The latter for all typesSolar flux is consistentwith modelsbut not all ne at earth

n15SNO added a new capability see all active neutrino flavors. and in fact they find they can account for all neutrinos we think should originate from the sun its just that few remain as electron flavor neutrinos!16 May 2012K. McFarland, Needs for Neutrinos16KAMLAND

Sources wereJapanesereactors150-200 kmfor most offlux. Rate uncertainty ~6%1 kTon scint. detector inold Kamiokande cavernoverwhelming confirmationthat neutrinos change flavorin the sun via mattereffectsn16now, fits suggested that dm2 was not from naive L/E (earth-sun distance)/(energy of neutrinos), but rather that matter effects in sun were important. therefore dm2 big enough to see oscillations if L~200km, E~2 MeV

16 May 2012K. McFarland, Needs for Neutrinos17

Atmospheric NeutrinosNeutrino energy: few 100 MeV few GeVFlavor ratio robustly predictedDistance in flight: ~20km (down) to 12700 km (up)n17atmospheric neutrinos. nature provides another generous source ~GeV neutrinos, well understood flavor ratiocan compare upward going (produced far away) against downward (produced nearby)

16 May 2012K. McFarland, Needs for Neutrinos18Super-KamiokandeSuper-Kdetector hasexcellent e/mseparationUp / down difference: L/E

Muons distorted, electrons not; so mostly

old, but good data!2004 Super-K analysis

n18Super-K has the gold standard data. Note the muon sample deficit at upward going zenith angles and fit to oscillations.

16 May 2012K. McFarland, Needs for Neutrinos19MINOS

735km baseline5.4kton Far Det.1 kton Near Det.Running since early 2005

Precise measurement ofnm disappearance energygives dm223

n19MINOS has as its primary goal high statistics disappearance, and therefore precise delta-m23.key for future experiments optimization16 May 2012K. McFarland, Needs for Neutrinos20CNGS

Goal: nt appearance 0.15 MWatt source high energy nm beam & 732 km baseline handfuls of events/yr

e-, 9.5 GeV, pT=0.47 GeV/c interaction, E=19 GeV

fiugres courtesy A. Bueno3kton

PbEmulsion layersnt1 mm

1.8kTonfigures courtesy D. Autieron20CNGS is (primarily) checking that neutrinos do go to taus as expected, at low statistics16 May 2012K. McFarland, Needs for Neutrinos21

Two Mass Splitings: Three GenerationsOscillations have told us the splittings in m2, but nothing about the hierarchyThe electron neutrino potential (matter effects) can resolve this in oscillations, however.figures courtesy B. Kayserdmsol2 dm1228x10-5eV2dmatm2 dm2322.5x10-3eV2

n21two splittings very different. implies three generations worth of neutrinosthe hierarchy is not defined though. two heavy and one light (inverted) or vice versa?matter effects at accelerator beams can resolve16 May 2012K. McFarland, Needs for Neutrinos22Three Generation MixingNote the new mixing in middle, and the phase, d

slide courtesy D. Harrisn22those three generations mix. heres a decomposition of the matrix. note that one element, Ue3 has its size set by s13 parameter with the phase delta.

16 May 2012K. McFarland, Needs for Neutrinos23Are Two Paths Open to Us?If reactor mixing, q13, is small, but not too small, there is an interesting possibility

At atmospheric L/E, nmdm232, q13 dm122, q12 ne

SMALLLARGESMALLLARGEn23so why not keep rolling the dice?heres a winner. if mixing is small (but not zero!) then we see the following two competing pathsupper suppressed by angle, lower by dm2 L/E

16 May 2012K. McFarland, Needs for Neutrinos24Implication of two pathsTwo amplitudes

If both small,but not too small,both can contribute ~ equallyRelative phase, d, between them can lead toCP violation (neutrinos and anti-neutrinos differ) in oscillations!nmdm232, q13 dm122, q12 nen24if both non zero and not small, and if have a relative phase, delta, can see CP violation in oscillationsq13 in 2011T2K, an accelerator experiment, showed a signal of 6 events1.5 expected if q13=0

Consistent, but less significant, indication from MINOS shortly after16 May 2012K. McFarland, Needs for Neutrinos25

nq13 in 2012Two reactor experiments recently showed overwhelming evidence for large q13.Both place detectors near and far (~1km) from reactorsLook for a smallrate differencebetween twolocations 16 May 2012K. McFarland, Needs for Neutrinos26

nq13 in 2012: Daya Bay16 May 2012K. McFarland, Needs for Neutrinos27

Figures from K. Heeger

nq13 in 2012: RENO16 May 2012K. McFarland, Needs for Neutrinos28Figures from S.B. Kim

nImplications of Large q13If q13 is large, then one of the two paths

is larger than the other.This implies large signals, but small CP asymmetries16 May 2012K. McFarland, Needs for Neutrinos29nmdm232, q13 dm122, q12 nenImplications of Large q13Quantitative analysis to illustrate this expected behaviorFractional asymmetry decreases as q13 increasesWe live hereStatistics are (relatively) high, so the challenge will be controlling systematic uncertainties.16 May 2012K. McFarland, Needs for Neutrinos30

n16 May 2012K. McFarland, Needs for Neutrinos31Current and Future Experimentsn16 May 2012K. McFarland, Needs for Neutrinos32

Narrow Band BeamCP violation (interference term) and matter effects lead to a complicated mixSimplest case:first oscillationmaximum, neutrinos andanti-neutrinosCP violation gives ellipsebut matter effects shiftthe ellipse in along-baseline acceleratorexperiment

Minakata & Nunokawa JHEP 2001n32this is the old wonder of the quark sectora complication naively want to compare just nu and nubar oscillations, but different matter effects mean you have to know about and correct for that.

16 May 2012K. McFarland, Needs for Neutrinos33Broadband BeamSee different mixture of solar/interference CP term,matter effects at different oscillation maximaThis shows E. Recall argument of vacuum oscillation term is ~L/E

FNAL-DUSELL=1500kmn4 February 2009K. McFarland, Neutrinos at Accelerators34Beam Design OptionsAll experiments will want to see first oscillation maximum, L/E ~ 400 km/GeVThen one has a choiceNarrow Band Beam at First Oscillation PeakBroad Band Beam Covering Multiple Oscillation PeaksBecause there are many parameters, need neutrino and anti-neutrino measurements (minimally)Perhaps multiple baselines

In principle, can measure everything with one experiment!However require much larger L/E and LAlso need good energy resolution at low neutrino energies

En4 February 2009K. McFarland, Neutrinos at Accelerators35First Suggested by BNL-889 proposalTake advantage of Lorentz Boost and 2-body kinematicsConcentrate nm fluxat one energyBackgrounds lower:NC or other feed-downfrom highlow energy ne (3-body decays)Generally optimal if onlyaccessing first maximumNarrow Band Beam:Off-axis Techinque

figure courtesy D. Harrisn35one ideal for the next generation of experiments can control backgrounds with off-axis beam4 February 2009K. McFarland, Neutrinos at Accelerators36Narrow: T2KTunable off-axis beam from J-PARC to Super-K detectorbeam and nm backgrounds are kept below 1% for ne signal~2200 nm events/yr (w/o osc.)

d=0, no matter effectsfigures courtesy T. Kobayashi

n36send that beam to Super-K. off-axis and tunable to vary energy depending on MINOS dm2.electron neutrino appearance beam power -> high statistics4 February 2009K. McFarland, Neutrinos at Accelerators37

Narrow: NOnAUse Existing NuMI beamlineBuild new 15kTon Scintillator Detector 820km baseline--compromise between reach in q13 and matter effects

Assuming Dm2=2.5x10-3eV2

ne+Ap p+ p- e-figure courtesy M. Messierfigures courtesy J. CooperGoal:ne appearanceIn nm beamn37NOvA.. build a near detector. same techniques as T2K. more from Gary Feldman later, so now Ill pick on it for a bit. this, like J-PARC is a big projectsBroad(er): LBNE16 May 2012K. McFarland, Needs for Neutrinos38

33 kTon (fiducial) Liquid Argon TPC

figures courtesy M. Diwan

n16 May 2012K. McFarland, Needs for Neutrinos39Needs for ModelingnIllustration: T2KBackgrounds are significantPrimarily from neutral current neutral pion productionNeutrino energy is a powerful background discriminant, but has little other information about oscillationsNo official plot yet, but I can guarantee you that the backgrounds in neutrino and anti-neutrino beams are different. 16 May 2012K. McFarland, Needs for Neutrinos40

nIllustration: LBNEMaximum CP effect is range of red-blue curveBackgrounds are significant, vary with energy and are different between neutrino and anti-neutrino beamsPileup of backgrounds at lower energy makes 2nd maximum only marginally useful in optimized designSpectral information plays a roleCP effect may show up primarily as a rate decrease in one beam and a spectral shift in the other

16 May 2012K. McFarland, Needs for Neutrinos41

nGeneric FeaturesPhysics goals require comparing neutrino and anti-neutrino transition probabilitiesBackgrounds are significant and differentReconstructing the neutrino energy is keyFor T2K, this is quasi-elastic statesFor NOvA, LBNE, need to reconstruct neutrino energy for inelastic final states16 May 2012K. McFarland, Needs for Neutrinos42n16 May 2012K. McFarland, Needs for Neutrinos43ChallengesnEnergy Reconstruction: Quasi-ElasticSam and Juan covered this extensively in the context of MiniBooNE data.Inferred neutrino energy changes if target is multinucleon.16 May 2012K. McFarland, Needs for Neutrinos44ex: Mosel/Lalakulich 1204.2269, Martini et al. 1202.4745, Lalakulich et al. 1203.2935, Leitner/Mosel PRC81, 064614 (2010)

Lalakulich, Gallmeister, Mosel,1203.2935nEnergy Reconstruction: InelasticHere the problem is actually worseDetector energy response varies Neutrons often exit without interactingProton and alpha ionization saturates- capture on nuclei at rest, + decay, 0 decay to photons and leave their rest mass in detectorAny detector, even liquid argon, will only correctly identify a fraction of the final stateNeed to know details of final state in four vector and particle content to correct for response16 May 2012K. McFarland, Needs for Neutrinos45nModeling Backgroundse appearance is very sensitivesignal rate is low so even rare backgrounds contribute!Current approach is to measurethe process elsewhere and scale to the oscillation detectorBut data constraints on neutral current from neutrino scattering cant tell us the cross-section as a function of energy (missing final state neutrino)So there is always an unknown correction that comes from a model, of course. 16 May 2012K. McFarland, Needs for Neutrinos46

p0 backgroundfrom En>peaksignaln16 May 2012K. McFarland, Needs for Neutrinos47Current PracticesnThe Essential TensionUlrich Mosels brilliant observation at NuINT11:Theorists paradigm: A good generator does not have to fit the data, provided [its model] is rightExperimentalists paradigm: A good generator does not have to be right, provided it fits the data Most of the generators currently used by oscillation experiments (NUANCE, GENIE, NEUT) are written and tuned by experimentalistsSee above! Our generators are wrong. WRONG!Models do not fit (all) the data, although they provide insight into features of this data16 May 2012K. McFarland, Needs for Neutrinos48nNeutrino GeneratorsGENIE, NUANCE, NEUT are the generators currently used in neutrino oscillation and cross-section experimentsShare same approach, with minor variationsRelativistic Fermi Gas in Initial StateFree nucleon cross-sectionsLlewllyn Smith formalism for quasi-elastic scatteringRein-Sehgal calcluation/fit for resonance productionDuality based models for deep inelastic scatteringCascade models for final state interactionsRoughly, propagate final state particles through nucleus and allow them to interact. Constrained by N, NN measurements. 16 May 2012K. McFarland, Needs for Neutrinos49nWhat is Useful about Generators?This approach gives a set of four vectors for every particle leaving the nucleusEssential for oscillation experiments where limited detectors have responses that vary wildly depending on final state particleMany tunable parameters, and it is always easy to add moreWhy? Initial model isnt self-consistent anyway, so experimenters just tune knobs to make data agreeWhich of course only applies to data we have and may or may not be predictive for the future.16 May 2012K. McFarland, Needs for Neutrinos50nWhat is Deadly About Generators?No way to know a priori if range of tunable parameters that external data seems to allow is really spans difference between generator and truthDifficult or impossible to put in a complete calculation for a single exclusive or semi-inclusive final state. Even if that calculation is better, it may not be clear how to factorize from the ensemble of reactions and effects in the generator.16 May 2012K. McFarland, Needs for Neutrinos51nWhat to do when models and data dont agree?Most of these models give absolute predictions. So how to make them agree with data?MiniBooNE oscillationanalysis approach:Modify the dipole axialmass and Pauli blockinguntil model fits data.But there is nothingfundamental behind this approach. Its a mechanical convenience. Dipole form factor is unlikely to be right, and changes in Pauli blocking are masking deficiencies in models!16 May 2012K. McFarland, Needs for Neutrinos52

nWhat to do when models and data dont agree? (contd)Heres another example from T2KWant to tune multiple data sets that should have similar physics, e.g., CC10 and NC10, using similar methodsE.g., should be able to modify parameter X or Y and fit both16 May 2012K. McFarland, Needs for Neutrinos53

Good fit to all kinematic distributions for CC by increasing dipole mass and normalizationBut the same tune in the NC makes a large enhancement, not seen in data, at high pion momentum!nMulti-Nucleon CorrelationsOne solution to the high MiniBooNE CCQE cross-section is enhancement of scattering due to correlations among nucleons in nucleusCould alter kinematics and rate in a way that would make a better fit to the dataHow to implement?Microphysical modelsdont (yet) give completefinal state descriptionThen what is advantageover ad hoc scaling from electron scattering? (Bodek, Budd, Christy)16 May 2012K. McFarland, Needs for Neutrinos54

n

What to do if Experiments Dont Agree?As Omar conjectured, perhaps we can describe this with a single (multinucleon) model. But this it is not evident.16 May 2012K. McFarland, Needs for Neutrinos55* NOMADFermi Gas (MA=1.35 GeV)Fermi Gas (MA=1.03 GeV)Fermi Gas (MA=1.35 GeV)Fermi Gas (MA=1.03 GeV)30% MiniBooNE data is well above standard QE prediction (increasing MA can reproduce s) NOMAD data consistent with standard QE prediction (with MA=1.0 GeV) MiniBooNE

* NOMAD

G.P. ZellernExclusive Resonance Models and Duality ModelsDuality models, as arguedbefore, fit data by constructionHowever, in a generator context, have to add details of final stateTypical approach (GENIE, NEUT and NUANCE) is to use a resonance model (Rein & Sehgal) below W2 GeVAlmost the worst possible solution! Discrete resonance model (probably) disagrees with total cross-section data below W scanning in W2can see resonance behavior modulating around a prediction from continuous DIS PDFsFACTORIZATION (that defines PDFs) is not operative here. But on average it works.Bodek-Yang: take electron scattering data to tell you about wiggles in W2; take DIS limit to tell you about continuum that the wiggles modulateDualitys Promise and TrapIn principle, a duality based approach can be applied over the entire kinematic regionThe problem is that duality gives averaged differential cross-sections, and not details of a final state

Microphysical models may lack important physics, but duality models may not predict all we need to knowHow to scale the mountain between the two?16 May 2012K. McFarland, Needs for Neutrinos62

Microphysical models of exclusive processesDuality models based on data of inclusive ratesnConclusionsBig picture goals in neutrinos require improved knowledge of neutrino interactions.We are working with a very primitive set of tools, and we need a modern machine shop.There are many barriers to improving the tools, and it is not obvious (to me) which approaches will be the most productive.New neutrino data (e.g., MINERvA, BooNE, T2K, NOvA) will help us. But only if we also improve modeling.16 May 2012K. McFarland, Needs for Neutrinos63n