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David R. Sherman, PhD The Union 21 st Conference North American Region February 25, 2017 What is persistence?

What is persistence? - lung - Sherman... · Assumptions about TB persistence • Reactivation is a major driver of the TB pandemic. • TB bacilli (latent) = TB bacilli (active)

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Page 1: What is persistence? - lung - Sherman... · Assumptions about TB persistence • Reactivation is a major driver of the TB pandemic. • TB bacilli (latent) = TB bacilli (active)

David R. Sherman, PhD The Union

21st Conference North American Region

February 25, 2017

What is persistence?

Page 2: What is persistence? - lung - Sherman... · Assumptions about TB persistence • Reactivation is a major driver of the TB pandemic. • TB bacilli (latent) = TB bacilli (active)

What is persistence?

• firm or obstinate continuance in a course of action in spite of difficulty or opposition.

• the continued or prolonged existence of something.

Page 3: What is persistence? - lung - Sherman... · Assumptions about TB persistence • Reactivation is a major driver of the TB pandemic. • TB bacilli (latent) = TB bacilli (active)

What is persistence?

Congressman John Lewis

Page 4: What is persistence? - lung - Sherman... · Assumptions about TB persistence • Reactivation is a major driver of the TB pandemic. • TB bacilli (latent) = TB bacilli (active)

What is persistence?

Congressman John Lewis, civil rights hero.

Page 5: What is persistence? - lung - Sherman... · Assumptions about TB persistence • Reactivation is a major driver of the TB pandemic. • TB bacilli (latent) = TB bacilli (active)

1.4 million TB deaths

5 billion PPD(-)

1.8 billion PPD(+)

16 million active

TB infections

Tuberculosis globally

Latent TB

Page 6: What is persistence? - lung - Sherman... · Assumptions about TB persistence • Reactivation is a major driver of the TB pandemic. • TB bacilli (latent) = TB bacilli (active)

TB disease progression

Transmission ACTIVE infection

10 M / Yr

5%

95%

LATENT infection

1.8 B globally

DEATH

1.4 M / Yr

CURE

5%

Page 7: What is persistence? - lung - Sherman... · Assumptions about TB persistence • Reactivation is a major driver of the TB pandemic. • TB bacilli (latent) = TB bacilli (active)

TB persistence:

The ability of MTB to survive

in vivo despite immunity

or chemotherapy.

Page 8: What is persistence? - lung - Sherman... · Assumptions about TB persistence • Reactivation is a major driver of the TB pandemic. • TB bacilli (latent) = TB bacilli (active)

TB persistence:

The ability of MTB to survive

in vivo despite immunity

or chemotherapy.

TB latency: infection in the

absence of disease.

Page 9: What is persistence? - lung - Sherman... · Assumptions about TB persistence • Reactivation is a major driver of the TB pandemic. • TB bacilli (latent) = TB bacilli (active)

TB persistence:

The ability of MTB to survive

in vivo despite immunity or

chemotherapy.

TB latency: infection in the

absence of disease.

1.4 million TB deaths

5 billion PPD(-)

1.8 billion PPD(+)

16 million active

TB infections

Latent TB

Page 10: What is persistence? - lung - Sherman... · Assumptions about TB persistence • Reactivation is a major driver of the TB pandemic. • TB bacilli (latent) = TB bacilli (active)

Assumptions about TB persistence

• Reactivation is a major driver of the TB pandemic.

Page 11: What is persistence? - lung - Sherman... · Assumptions about TB persistence • Reactivation is a major driver of the TB pandemic. • TB bacilli (latent) = TB bacilli (active)

Assumptions about TB persistence

• Reactivation is a major driver of the TB pandemic.

• TB bacilli (latent) = TB bacilli (active).

Page 12: What is persistence? - lung - Sherman... · Assumptions about TB persistence • Reactivation is a major driver of the TB pandemic. • TB bacilli (latent) = TB bacilli (active)

Assumptions about TB persistence

• Reactivation is a major driver of the TB pandemic.

• TB bacilli (latent) = TB bacilli (active).

• During latency, the bacteria are dormant:

Page 13: What is persistence? - lung - Sherman... · Assumptions about TB persistence • Reactivation is a major driver of the TB pandemic. • TB bacilli (latent) = TB bacilli (active)

Assumptions about TB persistence

• Reactivation is a major driver of the TB pandemic.

• TB bacilli (latent) = TB bacilli (active).

• During latency, the bacteria are dormant:

Metabolically inactive?

Page 14: What is persistence? - lung - Sherman... · Assumptions about TB persistence • Reactivation is a major driver of the TB pandemic. • TB bacilli (latent) = TB bacilli (active)

Assumptions about TB persistence

• Reactivation is a major driver of the TB pandemic.

• TB bacilli (latent) = TB bacilli (active).

• During latency, the bacteria are dormant:

Metabolically inactive?

Non-replicating

Page 15: What is persistence? - lung - Sherman... · Assumptions about TB persistence • Reactivation is a major driver of the TB pandemic. • TB bacilli (latent) = TB bacilli (active)

Assumptions about TB persistence

• Reactivation is a major driver of the TB pandemic.

• TB bacilli (latent) = TB bacilli (active).

• During latency, the bacteria are dormant:

Metabolically inactive?

Non-replicating

Conditions: hypoxia, starvation, acid pH.

Page 16: What is persistence? - lung - Sherman... · Assumptions about TB persistence • Reactivation is a major driver of the TB pandemic. • TB bacilli (latent) = TB bacilli (active)

Risk of TB disease following infection

Emilia Vynnycky and

Paul E. M. Fine

Depends on:

Age at infection

Current age

Geography (host factors?)

Strain?

Progressive

?

Reactivation

Avg. time to symptoms = 1.4 yrs

“Reactivation is a major driver of the TB pandemic.”

Page 17: What is persistence? - lung - Sherman... · Assumptions about TB persistence • Reactivation is a major driver of the TB pandemic. • TB bacilli (latent) = TB bacilli (active)

How important is reactivation TB?

“Reactivation is a major driver of the TB pandemic.”

Page 18: What is persistence? - lung - Sherman... · Assumptions about TB persistence • Reactivation is a major driver of the TB pandemic. • TB bacilli (latent) = TB bacilli (active)

How important is reactivation TB?

“Reactivation is a major driver of the TB pandemic.”

Page 19: What is persistence? - lung - Sherman... · Assumptions about TB persistence • Reactivation is a major driver of the TB pandemic. • TB bacilli (latent) = TB bacilli (active)

How important is reactivation TB?

“Reactivation is a major driver of the TB pandemic.”

~30,000 S. African gold miners.

Very high TB rate (~2%).

Widespread INH prophylaxis (IPT) for 6+ months.

Page 20: What is persistence? - lung - Sherman... · Assumptions about TB persistence • Reactivation is a major driver of the TB pandemic. • TB bacilli (latent) = TB bacilli (active)

How important is reactivation TB?

“Reactivation is a major driver of the TB pandemic.”

~30,000 S. African gold miners.

Very high TB rate (~2%).

Widespread INH prophylaxis (IPT) for 6+ months.

Conclusions “Mass screening and treatment for latent tuberculosis had no significant effect on tuberculosis control….”

Page 21: What is persistence? - lung - Sherman... · Assumptions about TB persistence • Reactivation is a major driver of the TB pandemic. • TB bacilli (latent) = TB bacilli (active)

“During latency, the bacteria are dormant.”

Page 22: What is persistence? - lung - Sherman... · Assumptions about TB persistence • Reactivation is a major driver of the TB pandemic. • TB bacilli (latent) = TB bacilli (active)

What’s the evidence?

“During latency, the bacteria are dormant.”

Page 23: What is persistence? - lung - Sherman... · Assumptions about TB persistence • Reactivation is a major driver of the TB pandemic. • TB bacilli (latent) = TB bacilli (active)

“During latency, the bacteria are dormant.”

Conditions associated with latency:

Condition MTB response

Hypoxa DosR; Enduring hypoxic response

(EHR)

Low pH Acid response genes

Carbon shift (lipids) KstR; cholesterol uptake and

metabolism

All these conditions promote bacteriostasis in vitro,

and all occur in vivo.

Page 24: What is persistence? - lung - Sherman... · Assumptions about TB persistence • Reactivation is a major driver of the TB pandemic. • TB bacilli (latent) = TB bacilli (active)

“During latency, the bacteria are dormant.”

Conditions associated with latency:

Condition MTB response

Hypoxia DosR; Enduring hypoxic response

(EHR)

Low pH Acid response genes

Carbon shift (lipids) KstR; cholesterol uptake and

metabolism

All these conditions promote bacteriostasis in vitro,

and all occur in vivo.

However, they also occur during active disease!

Page 25: What is persistence? - lung - Sherman... · Assumptions about TB persistence • Reactivation is a major driver of the TB pandemic. • TB bacilli (latent) = TB bacilli (active)

“During latency, the bacteria are dormant.”

Are bacteria non-replicating in latency?

• TB never stops replicating in mice (Nat Med. 2009;15:211).

Page 26: What is persistence? - lung - Sherman... · Assumptions about TB persistence • Reactivation is a major driver of the TB pandemic. • TB bacilli (latent) = TB bacilli (active)

“During latency, the bacteria are dormant.”

Are bacteria non-replicating in latency?

• TB never stops replicating in mice (Nat Med. 2009;15:211).

• In primates, TB acquires as many mutations in latency as in active disease (Nat Genet. 2011;43:482).

Page 27: What is persistence? - lung - Sherman... · Assumptions about TB persistence • Reactivation is a major driver of the TB pandemic. • TB bacilli (latent) = TB bacilli (active)

“During latency, the bacteria are dormant.”

Are bacteria non-replicating in latency?

• TB never stops replicating in mice (Nat Med. 2009;15:211).

• In primates, TB acquires as many mutations in latency as in active disease (Nat Genet. 2011;43:482).

• INH prophylaxis in humans.

Page 28: What is persistence? - lung - Sherman... · Assumptions about TB persistence • Reactivation is a major driver of the TB pandemic. • TB bacilli (latent) = TB bacilli (active)

“During latency, the bacteria are dormant.”

Now what?

Page 29: What is persistence? - lung - Sherman... · Assumptions about TB persistence • Reactivation is a major driver of the TB pandemic. • TB bacilli (latent) = TB bacilli (active)

New tools provide new ideas about persistence:

Systems biology: sequencing transcriptomics modeling PET/CT imaging.

Page 30: What is persistence? - lung - Sherman... · Assumptions about TB persistence • Reactivation is a major driver of the TB pandemic. • TB bacilli (latent) = TB bacilli (active)

PET/CT imaging of TB in primates

Lin et al, Nature Medicine, 20, 75–79 (2014)

Seen in active and latent TB; also in humans.

Probe: 18FDG

Page 31: What is persistence? - lung - Sherman... · Assumptions about TB persistence • Reactivation is a major driver of the TB pandemic. • TB bacilli (latent) = TB bacilli (active)

Active and latent TB overlap

Lin et al, Nature Medicine, 20, 75–79 (2014)

Primate lesions

Page 32: What is persistence? - lung - Sherman... · Assumptions about TB persistence • Reactivation is a major driver of the TB pandemic. • TB bacilli (latent) = TB bacilli (active)

Active and latent TB overlap

Lin et al, Nature Medicine, 20, 75–79 (2014)

Primate lesions

Page 33: What is persistence? - lung - Sherman... · Assumptions about TB persistence • Reactivation is a major driver of the TB pandemic. • TB bacilli (latent) = TB bacilli (active)

Active and latent TB overlap

Lin et al, Nature Medicine, 20, 75–79 (2014)

Primate lesions

Page 34: What is persistence? - lung - Sherman... · Assumptions about TB persistence • Reactivation is a major driver of the TB pandemic. • TB bacilli (latent) = TB bacilli (active)

The spectrum of TB disease

Page 35: What is persistence? - lung - Sherman... · Assumptions about TB persistence • Reactivation is a major driver of the TB pandemic. • TB bacilli (latent) = TB bacilli (active)

Persistence and TB chemotherapy

Std Rx: 4 drugs, 6 months, ~95% cure rate. But………

Page 36: What is persistence? - lung - Sherman... · Assumptions about TB persistence • Reactivation is a major driver of the TB pandemic. • TB bacilli (latent) = TB bacilli (active)

Persistence and TB chemotherapy

Std Rx: 4 drugs, 6 months, ~95% cure rate. But………

Am Rev Respir Dis 130: 23-28., 1984

Relapse

Page 37: What is persistence? - lung - Sherman... · Assumptions about TB persistence • Reactivation is a major driver of the TB pandemic. • TB bacilli (latent) = TB bacilli (active)

Persistence and TB chemotherapy

Std Rx: 4 drugs, 6 months, ~95% cure rate. But………

70% were cured in 2 months!

Am Rev Respir Dis 130: 23-28., 1984

Page 39: What is persistence? - lung - Sherman... · Assumptions about TB persistence • Reactivation is a major driver of the TB pandemic. • TB bacilli (latent) = TB bacilli (active)

Dhar and McKinney, Current Opinion in Microbiology Volume 10, Issue 1, 2007, 30–38

Bi-phasic kill kinetics in vivo.

INH treatment of TB-infected mice Drug tolerance: the ability to survive in the face of otherwise inhibitory or lethal drug concentrations. Bacilli remain drug-sensitive!

Page 40: What is persistence? - lung - Sherman... · Assumptions about TB persistence • Reactivation is a major driver of the TB pandemic. • TB bacilli (latent) = TB bacilli (active)

Condition-specific MTB drug tolerance Slow/no-growth: environment (hypoxia, acid, starvation, immunity) toxin/anti-toxin modules biofilms Growing cells: efflux pumps differential enzyme activation detoxification

Page 41: What is persistence? - lung - Sherman... · Assumptions about TB persistence • Reactivation is a major driver of the TB pandemic. • TB bacilli (latent) = TB bacilli (active)

Condition-specific MTB drug tolerance Slow/no-growth: environment (hypoxia, acid, starvation, immunity) toxin/anti-toxin modules biofilms Growing cells: efflux pumps differential enzyme activation detoxification Heterogeneity…….stochastic…….bet-hedging

Page 43: What is persistence? - lung - Sherman... · Assumptions about TB persistence • Reactivation is a major driver of the TB pandemic. • TB bacilli (latent) = TB bacilli (active)

Quantifying replication & cell death in response to antibiotic insult

Rifampin Isoniazid Untreated

Analysis at single-cell resolution

Page 44: What is persistence? - lung - Sherman... · Assumptions about TB persistence • Reactivation is a major driver of the TB pandemic. • TB bacilli (latent) = TB bacilli (active)

Can we deal with MTB heterogeneity?

Prediction: BDQ hyper-sensitivity

Systems biology: genetics gene expression metabolism modeling

Page 45: What is persistence? - lung - Sherman... · Assumptions about TB persistence • Reactivation is a major driver of the TB pandemic. • TB bacilli (latent) = TB bacilli (active)

Can we deal with MTB heterogeneity?

Prediction: BDQ hyper-sensitivity

Systems biology: genetics gene expression metabolism modeling Select drug synergies…..

Prediction validated!

Page 46: What is persistence? - lung - Sherman... · Assumptions about TB persistence • Reactivation is a major driver of the TB pandemic. • TB bacilli (latent) = TB bacilli (active)

Conclusions

Little evidence supports older ideas of TB dormancy. Recent evidence suggests a TB disease spectrum. Heterogeneity underlies TB persistence New hope for tackling TB!

ID those most at risk of active disease.

latency treatments should also shorten therapy. drug synergies.

Page 47: What is persistence? - lung - Sherman... · Assumptions about TB persistence • Reactivation is a major driver of the TB pandemic. • TB bacilli (latent) = TB bacilli (active)

Thank you!

Page 48: What is persistence? - lung - Sherman... · Assumptions about TB persistence • Reactivation is a major driver of the TB pandemic. • TB bacilli (latent) = TB bacilli (active)

REMEMBER

Thank you!

Page 49: What is persistence? - lung - Sherman... · Assumptions about TB persistence • Reactivation is a major driver of the TB pandemic. • TB bacilli (latent) = TB bacilli (active)

The spectrum of tuberculosis

Nat Rev Microbiol. 2009; 7:845

Page 50: What is persistence? - lung - Sherman... · Assumptions about TB persistence • Reactivation is a major driver of the TB pandemic. • TB bacilli (latent) = TB bacilli (active)

Time (months to years)

Latent TB…..sub-clinical TB……active disease

Phil. Trans. R. Soc. B 369: 20130437.

Page 51: What is persistence? - lung - Sherman... · Assumptions about TB persistence • Reactivation is a major driver of the TB pandemic. • TB bacilli (latent) = TB bacilli (active)

Implications of the TB spectrum model

Not everyone is equally at risk for active disease.

Sub-clinical disease should leave a different molecular signature.

TB bacilli (latent) is similar to TB bacilli (active). Similar treatments may work!