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Suhasini Haidar What drives India’s Foreign Policy ?

What drives India’s Foreign Policy...• Willingness to flex muscle: Nepal, Sri Lanka, Pakistan isolate. • Finding resources: West Asia , Africa • Unshielded ambition for the

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Page 1: What drives India’s Foreign Policy...• Willingness to flex muscle: Nepal, Sri Lanka, Pakistan isolate. • Finding resources: West Asia , Africa • Unshielded ambition for the

Suhasini Haidar

What drives India’s Foreign Policy ?

Page 2: What drives India’s Foreign Policy...• Willingness to flex muscle: Nepal, Sri Lanka, Pakistan isolate. • Finding resources: West Asia , Africa • Unshielded ambition for the

GEOPOLITICS AS A DRIVER

Page 3: What drives India’s Foreign Policy...• Willingness to flex muscle: Nepal, Sri Lanka, Pakistan isolate. • Finding resources: West Asia , Africa • Unshielded ambition for the

The Rise of China

Page 4: What drives India’s Foreign Policy...• Willingness to flex muscle: Nepal, Sri Lanka, Pakistan isolate. • Finding resources: West Asia , Africa • Unshielded ambition for the

The Retreat of Pax Americana

Page 5: What drives India’s Foreign Policy...• Willingness to flex muscle: Nepal, Sri Lanka, Pakistan isolate. • Finding resources: West Asia , Africa • Unshielded ambition for the

Growing success of Populists& Populism

Page 6: What drives India’s Foreign Policy...• Willingness to flex muscle: Nepal, Sri Lanka, Pakistan isolate. • Finding resources: West Asia , Africa • Unshielded ambition for the

GEOGRAPHY AS A DRIVER

Page 7: What drives India’s Foreign Policy...• Willingness to flex muscle: Nepal, Sri Lanka, Pakistan isolate. • Finding resources: West Asia , Africa • Unshielded ambition for the

SUCCESS OF POPULISM

INDO PACIFIC

PARTNERSHIPS

INDIA-US

STRATEGIC

PARTNERSHIP

ARCTIC

COUNCIL

RCEP

WALKOUT

DIASPORA

LEVERAGE

WEST

RUSSIA

CHINA

Page 8: What drives India’s Foreign Policy...• Willingness to flex muscle: Nepal, Sri Lanka, Pakistan isolate. • Finding resources: West Asia , Africa • Unshielded ambition for the

TRADE POLICY/PROTECTIONISM AS DRIVER

Page 9: What drives India’s Foreign Policy...• Willingness to flex muscle: Nepal, Sri Lanka, Pakistan isolate. • Finding resources: West Asia , Africa • Unshielded ambition for the

NAFTA

MERCOSUR

AFRICA

FREE

TRADE

AREA

EU

SAARC RCEP

EURASIAN

ECONOMIC

UNION

TRENDS:

REGIONAL FTAS

WTO WEAKENS

SERVICES

UNWELCOME

GCC

Page 10: What drives India’s Foreign Policy...• Willingness to flex muscle: Nepal, Sri Lanka, Pakistan isolate. • Finding resources: West Asia , Africa • Unshielded ambition for the

DOMESTIC IDEOLOGY AS DRIVER

Page 11: What drives India’s Foreign Policy...• Willingness to flex muscle: Nepal, Sri Lanka, Pakistan isolate. • Finding resources: West Asia , Africa • Unshielded ambition for the

AGE OF REALPOLITIK • US Major Defence Partner, short of being an ally. NAM discarded

• China as an adversary

• Willingness to flex muscle: Nepal, Sri Lanka, Pakistan isolate. • Finding resources: West Asia , Africa

• Unshielded ambition for the high table. UNSC & NSG

• Soft power is hard power: use of diaspora

• Modi 2.0. Article 370, CAA, NRC….Impact being assessed

Page 12: What drives India’s Foreign Policy...• Willingness to flex muscle: Nepal, Sri Lanka, Pakistan isolate. • Finding resources: West Asia , Africa • Unshielded ambition for the

IDEALISM REALISM REALPOLITIK 1. Should India make this leap to the high table without bringing up its economic bottom-line?

2. Can India be a world power without taking its neighbours on board? 3. Is the world too intertwined for bilateral alliances or enmities to define our relationships ? 4. If connectivity is the new currency, should India pursue connectivity at all costs? 5. What will India do if it makes it to the world leadership position it so desires?