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Year 2014‐15
Delhi Distribution BusinessDelhi Distribution Business
What Determines Electricity TariffWhat Determines Electricity Tariff A perspective…
Contents
Electricity Value Chain
What determines tariff
Power Purchase & Transmission CostPower Purchase & Transmission Cost
Distribution Cost
T iff C iTariff Comparisons
Services / Fuel
With Neighbouring Towns / Metros
Summing Upg p
2
Electricity: Value chain (G T D)
Generation CostGeneration Cost• Fixed Cost• Fuel Cost G+T+D COSTS
GO INTO
GG
Transmission Cost• Charges
GO INTO BUILDING TARIFF• Losses TARIFFAS SEEN BY ENDDD
TT
Distribution Cost• O&M Cost • Financing CostT h i l
SEEN BY END CONSUMER
DD
• Technical •Commercial LossesDomestic Use
33
What determines Typical Tariff (80:10:10)
1) Power Purchase (80% of total cost)
Consumer tariff has three main components
Financial & other Cost 1) Power Purchase (80% of total cost)• Generation cost• Transmission costO&M Cost
2) O&M Cost • Repairs & Maintenance cost• Employees cost• Administrative cost
3) Financial Cost • Depreciationp• Interest• TaxPower Cost
As per National Tariff policy (5.3(h)4) “Uncontrollable costs should be recovered speedily to
ensure that future consumers are not burdened with past costs ”
4
costs.
4
Who Supplies Bulk Power to Delhi Discoms
Most/all PPAs are inherited from DVB era
100% power is sourced from Govt plants100% power is sourced from Govt plants
All are under long term Power Purchase Agreements (PPA)
Power purchase rates are fixed by the Regulatory Commissions (CERC/ DERC)
Gencos serve month to month increase in theGencos serve month to month increase in the Fuel cost on actual basis
Discoms have “Absolutely No control” over Power Purchase Cost
5
Generation Cost: Significant Increase in recent years
Owing to coal issues, imported coal used
• Extensive Coal blending by NTPC plants • Imported coal is much costly than domestic coal
i hHigher transport cost
• Coal sourced from longer distance• Continuous Increase in transportation cost• Continuous Increase in transportation cost
Higher fixed cost from new plants
• More than 60% power from new plants • Fixed cost of new plants is much higher than old plants
− Delhi Discoms power purchase cost is ~32%** higher than national average− Some genco’s per unit cost work as high as ~Rs 9 p.u. (for FY 15)
6
* Source : PFC report on Utilities Performance for FY11 to FY136
Bulk Power Cost (G+T): Sharp Increase in recent years
Generation Component
Cost in Rs / UnitGeneration Component
Transmission Component
77
Delhi Electricity Tariff Hike
Overall Retail Tariff increase ~ 90% No hike for 5 years between FY5%
12%
21% + 8%
20%Overall Retail Tariff increase 90%Rs / Unit
No hike for 5 years between FY
06 to FY11
L d h d
No Hike
− Led to huge unrecovered cost
Only ~90% Tariff hike in last ~12
years against 300% increase in
the power purchase cost
RST net of E-Tax; * Provisional
Artificially suppressed tariff hike of eight years has made the discoms financially weak
8
y
8
Ever increasing revenue gap (upto FY14)
~Rs 21,700 Cr Regulatory Assets for BSES Discoms alone
* Source : DERC Staff paper (http://www.derc.gov.in)
Absence of cost reflective tariff led to huge Unrecovered Cost
Over 27,000 of accumulated Regulatory Assets upto FY 14 (Rs Crs.)
Absence of cost reflective tariff led to huge Unrecovered Cost
9
9
Discoms PerformanceDiscoms Performance
10
Loss Reduction achieved
TPDDL BSES57%
51%51%
40%40%
17%11%
FY 02‐03 FY 13‐14*FY 02‐03 FY 13‐14*
*FY 13-14 numbers are provisional & yet to be approved by DERC
Massive loss reduction achieved by all discom by multi pronged approach
Benefits of loss reduction completely passes on to customersBenefits of loss reduction completely passes on to customers
Delhi’s spectacular loss reduction of 40% is Unprecedented
11
p p
Huge Savings to Government
• Huge Savings to Delhi GovernmentHuge Savings to Delhi Government
• Rs.54,000 crores till date
• Rs.7,000 Cr annually hereafter which isRs.7,000 Cr annually hereafter which is ~20% of Delhi govt. budget
• Hence, more money available for
• Roads & Infrastructure
• Streetlights
• Schools & Hospitals
• Metro & Buses
Huge savings to GoNCTD to continue
Above figures are estimated basis for all three private Discoms
12
Huge savings to GoNCTD to continue E Tax : Electricity Tax
12
Stakeholder Benefitted
13
Tariff ComparisonsServices / Fuel/
With Neighbouring Towns / Metros
14 14
Power Tariff Vs Essential Services / FuelPower Tariff Vs Essential Services / Fuel
15 15
How Services’ prices have moved ???
DTC DJB DMRC
Increased by 100%Gone up by 150 % Gone up by 590%
Prices of Services’ has Increased minimum 100%
16
Prices of Services has Increased minimum 100%
How Fuel prices have moved ???
Petrol Diesel LPG Coal
UP b 218 % UP by 277% UP by 333 %UP by 147% UP by 218 % UP by 277% UP by 333 %* Thermal Coal CAPP Price
Prices of Fuel have Increased by avg. 240%
17
Prices of Fuel have Increased by avg. 240%
Power Tariff Vs Neighbours / Other MetrosPower Tariff Vs Neighbours / Other Metros
18 18
DELHI power tariff compared to other Neighboring towns
Tariff Cost of alternate Power Delhi power tariff is substantially lower
3.71 3.663.876
789 than its neighboring towns
Delhi has better power quality• 24X7 supply
8.56 8.46 8.15
4.75 4.90 4.2923456 • 24X7 supply
• Reliability Index of over 99.8%• Stable voltage
P i h i 200% h2.804.29
012
Delhi Noida G'gaon / F'bad
Jaipur
Power cost in other towns is 200% than what is in Delhi,
• To compare same quality of 24x7 power
3.00
Note: *08 hrs Load shedding/day impact is taken for NCR townsAlternate power during shed hours taken at Rs 16/unitAll calculations are for 200 units of monthly residential consumption
DELHI customer pays substantially lower (1/2) compared to other towns
1919
DELHI power tariff compared to Other Metro Cities
Delhi power rates are substantially cheaper than other Metros
Note: Tariff comparison for monthly Domestic usage @ 200 units /2KW load with FC included.
20 20
Summing upSumming up
21
Summing up: Economics of Delhi Electricity Tariff
80% of total cost is Power cost Increased by >300%
Uncontrollable cost
Retail tariff should have gone up by > 300%As ~300% escalation in
power cost
Savings due to Huge efficiency gains 205%40% reduction in AT&C loss
& O ti t
Reduced tariff hike required due to
Savings due to Huge efficiency gains
95%
205%
Entire gains passed on to
& Operating cost
Reduced tariff hike required due to huge efficiency gains
95%g p
Customers & Govt .
Leading to huge underUn recovered Gap in Tariff hike
Leading to huge under recovery of ~ Rs. 22,000 Crs.
22
Summing up: Price Increase across the board
Compared to very Bulk Power Cost >300%
steep hike in prices of other items
Dearness Allowance 250%
Fuel 240 %
Delhi Power Tariff
Fuel 240 %
Services 150%
has gone up by 90%Consumer Price Index 120%
2323
Sustainability Roadmap
Time bound recovery of accumulated Regulatory Assets (RA)
Ti b d & t fl ti t iff i f tTime bound & cost reflective tariff in future
Power Procurement Cost reduction by reallocation of high cost power y g p
by low cost power
Link liquidation of power suppliers to amortization of RA
Dedicated Police & CISF for theft reduction in sensitive pockets
24
Thank You
25