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1
What are the Costs of Legal Risks
on Corporate Investment?
Benjamin Bennett, Todd Milbourn‡, and Zexi Wang₤
March 15, 2018
Abstract
We study the effect of legal risk on firms’ investment. Using legal risk
measures based on the number of litigious words in SEC 10-K filings, we find
legal risk has a negative effect on investment. Underlying mechanisms
include both a i) financing channel, whereby legal risk reduces credit ratings,
increases bank loan costs, and decreases borrowing, and an ii) attention
channel, whereby legal risk consumes top management’s attention.
Accordingly, we find that legal risk has negative effects on firms’ accounting
and stock performance. We address endogeneity concerns through an IV
approach, DiD analysis on staggered adoptions of universal law across states,
and with firm fixed effects.
Fisher School of Business, Ohio State University, 840 Fisher Hall, 2100 Neil Ave, Columbus OH 43210, USA,
[email protected] ‡ Olin Business School, Washington University in St. Louis, Campus Box 1133, 1 Brookings Dr, St. Louis, MO
63130, USA, [email protected] ₤ University of Bern, Institute for Financial Management, Engehaldenstrasse 4, CH-3012 Bern, Switzerland,
We would like to thank Todd Gormley for his valuable comments on an early draft.
2
“The range of reasonably possible potential litigation losses in excess of the
Company’s liability for probable and estimable losses is approximately $1.8 billion as
of December 31, 2016. It is also inherently difficult to estimate the amount of any
[litigation] loss. Accordingly, actual losses may be in excess of the established liability.”
--Wells Fargo 2016 Annual Report
1. Introduction
Firms in every line of business are exposed to legal risk, which can result in lawsuits causing
both financial and reputational losses. In 2015 alone, there were over 160,000 firm-related
lawsuits1 filed in US District Courts. Since 2000, legal settlements paid by US firms total more
than $1T dollars, with the amount of these settlements rising at approximately 5% per year. As
evidence that these settlements can be significant, Bank of America paid $4 billion in legal
expenses in 2014,2 while Wells Fargo paid $1 billion in the third quarter of 2017 alone.3 In
addition to these financial costs, lawsuits also impose other costs on firms. For example, top
management must spend a significant amount of their time dealing with legal issues (Ocasio,
1997, and Shepherd, Mcmullen, and Ocasio, 2017). For example, since the Wells Fargo credit
card scandal, the firm has been named as the defendant in 383 new lawsuits in the two years
since the scandal, which certainly consumed a significant amount of top management’s time.
In the case of Wells Fargo, there were further legal-related time demands; their CEO, Jon
Stumpf was called to testify before Congress about the scandal.
Legal risk can affect a multitude of corporate policies, such as M&A decisions, IPO pricing,
and executive compensation (see Lowry and Shu, 2002, Gormley and Matsa, 2011, Hanley and
Hoberg, 2012, Laux and Stocken, 2012, and Gormley, Matsa, and Milbourn, 2013). In this
paper, we focus on how legal risk affects corporate investment. This is one of the most
1 US Federal District Court cases from 2015 can be found here:
http://www.uscourts.gov/sites/default/files/data_tables/fjcs_c2_0331.2016.pdf. Firm-related cases include the
following types: Bankruptcy, Antitrust, Labor Laws, Contract, Personal Injury, Forfeiture and Penalty,
Intellectual Property Rights, SEC, Social Security, Tax, and Cable/Satellite TV, Civil Rights – Employment,
Banks and Banking, Consumer Credit. 2 https://www.ft.com/content/86c905ec-2ae3-11e5-acfb-cbd2e1c81cca 3 https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-01-12/wells-fargo-s-earnings-take-yet-another-big-hit-from-
litigation
3
important firm policies; it is crucial for firms’ survival and growth. Firms exist to allocate their
resources into positive-NPV projects and create value for shareholders. As legal risk consumes
a significant amount of firm resources, we expect that it has a negative effect on firm investment.
Further, we study the potential mechanisms through which legal risk can affect investment. We
propose two channels: the financing channel whereby legal risk increases financing costs, and
the attention channel related to the time demands placed on top management as a result of legal
issues facing the firm. We find supportive evidence for both channels.
While legal risk is very important, it is challenging to construct an appropriate measure for
firm-level legal risk. One might think researchers could use lawsuits actually involving the firm
as a measure of legal risk. However, firms may benefit from lawsuits and use them as protection.
For example, Coach – which makes high end handbags and accessories for women – is involved
in many lawsuits. But, they are the plaintiff in almost all of these suits and stand to gain
significant proceeds and/or face lower product market competition as a result. Therefore, the
number of lawsuits would not be a good measure of legal risk. Some existing research use event
studies around law changes. However, these effects on firm policies are driven by single,
specific law changes rather than general firm-level legal risks, which we tackle in this paper.
As there is no appropriate firm-level measure of legal risk, herein we aim to fill that gap and
propose such a measure. Our measure is constructed using textual analysis from firms’ SEC 10-
K filings. In annual reports, firms have an obligation to disclose information regarding their
existing or ongoing material legal issues to shareholders. These disclosures are not restricted to
any specific type of legal issue. Thus, these SEC filings include valuable information on general
legal risk.
We extract this information by parsing 10-K filings for a large sample of US public firms.
Specifically, we follow the Loughran-McDonald Master Dictionary4 (Loughran and McDonald,
4 We thank Loughran and McDonald for sharing the word lists at
https://www3.nd.edu/~mcdonald/Word_Lists.html
4
2011) and identify an initial list of litigious words. As we are trying to measure risk, we want
words that reflect firms’ concerns about legal-related losses and costs. Therefore, within the
initial list we further identify our final list of litigious words by focusing on the litigious words
that have a negative connotation. We then count the number of words in our final list of litigious
words in firms’ 10-K annual reports.5 A larger number of litigious words in 10-K filings should
reflect a larger concern about legal risk.
Using our firm-level legal risk measure, we find that legal risk is negatively associated with
investment after controlling for Tobin’s q, cash flows, size, other firm characteristics, and both
firm and year fixed effects. The economic magnitude of the association is also significant.
Specifically, a one-standard-deviation increase in legal risk is associated with a 7% decrease in
investment.
Interpreting these associations, however, is naturally difficult because of numerous
identification concerns. Reverse causality could be one important concern. For example, when
a firm has many investment opportunities, it may have more options to avoid legal issues. If
this would be the case, we could observe a negative association between investments and legal
risk. Another concern is the issue of omitted variables. There might also be a third, unobservable
factor that actually drives legal risk and investment in opposite directions. For example, severe
competition makes it more difficult for firms to have profitable projects, but leads to more
conflicts among rivals which could result in legal issues. If this was the case, we could also
observe a negative association between legal risk and investment.
We address potential endogeneity concerns in multiple ways. First, we use an instrumental
variable (IV) approach. We construct IVs that are related to state-level legal environments or
firm settlements paid in previous years. These IVs are related to firms’ legal risk, but unlikely
5 One might think to use a measure like “legal word count scaled by total words in a 10 K filing”. However, legal
words only account for 0.3% of the total words on average. Including total words in the denominator can heavily
contaminate the legal risk measure because variation in this scaled measure is more likely to be driven by words
unrelated to legal risk. We do not propose the scaled version as our legal risk measure, but our results are robust
to using such a scaled measure, as shown in Table IA8.
5
to affect investment through channels other than legal risk. Our first IV is based on the severity
and complexity of business-related lawsuits in a state. When a lawsuit is severe and complex
enough, it can go to the US Supreme Court. Our first IV is a dummy variable, US Supreme
Court, which equals one if any business-related lawsuit originated in a firm’s HQ state in the
previous three years and is tried in the US Supreme Court, and zero otherwise. The IV US
Supreme Court is positively related to the severity and complexity of legal issues in firms’ HQ
state. Evidence shows that this IV is positively associated with firms’ legal risk.
Our second IV is based on firms’ settlement payment in a year. We define a dummy variable,
Small Settlement, which equals one if a firm has paid a settlement of less than 5% of its cash
holdings in the previous three years, and zero otherwise. We only consider small settlement in
our IV construction in order to exclude a pure financial constraint effect. Firms would only pay
settlement when they are involved in legal issues. So settlement is unlikely to affect investment
through channels other than legal risk. The result of our IV test supports a causal effect of legal
risk on investment.
Second, we use a difference-in-differences (DiD) approach based on the staggered adoption
of universal demand (UD) laws across different states in the US. These UD laws make it more
difficult for shareholders to sue their directors or officers for breach of fiduciary duty, and in
turn decrease firms’ legal risk. These state-level shocks to legal risk are exogenous to firm-
related factors, and we use them as treatments in our DiD analysis. The result shows that
passages of UD laws have positive effect on investment. As passages of UD laws reduce legal
risk, this result supports the causal effect of legal risk on investment.
We further study the underlying mechanisms by which legal risk affects investment.
Generally speaking, concerns about legal risk can consume firms’ resources which could be
used for investment activity. In particular, these resources include both capital and labor.
Financial and reputational costs can directly consume capital or increase borrowing costs.
Regarding labor, top management’s time may be the firm’s most valuable labor resource and
6
legal risk can occupy a significant fraction of top management’s attention. We investigate two
channels through which legal risk influences investment: the financing channel and the
attention channel. The financing channel refers to the effect legal risk has on costs of financing
(capital), which exacerbates financial constraints and reduces the firm’s capacity for positive
NPV projects. The attention channel refers to the fact that legal risk and related issues (lawsuits,
etc) occupy much of top management’s attention, which adversely influences firms’
investments.
Consistent with the financing channel, we find that the effect of legal risk on investment is
stronger in financially constrained firms. When focusing on external financing conditions, we
find that the legal risk has negative effects on firms’ credit ratings and bank loan costs.
Accordingly, firms with higher legal risk obtain less debt financing. The evidence shows that
legal risk increases costs of external financing, which reduces firms’ financial flexibility and
investment opportunities (positive-NPV projects).
Consistent with the attention channel, our findings show that concerns about legal risk
consume the attention of top management. Specifically, we find that firms with higher legal
risk have larger number of lawsuits, more special calls, more special shareholder meetings, and
more changes in firms’ bylaws. The time-related costs on top management leave them with less
time and energy for investment. In addition to increases firms’ non-periodical events (e.g.
special calls, special shareholder meetings, and changes in firms’ bylaws6), we find that legal
risk increases investors’ concerns as measured by the number of views and downloads of firms’
SEC 10-K filings. When investors show more concerns, managers have to pay more attention
to the underlying legal issues.
Both the financing and the attention channel predict that legal risk creates significant frictions
in investment. These frictions can distort firms’ investment strategy and have negative effects
6 Please see examples for these special events in Table IA 11, 12, and 13.
7
on firm performance. Accordingly, we find that legal risk increases firms’ operating costs and
decreases firms’ accounting and stock performance.
Our paper makes the following contributions. First, we propose a new type of a firm-level,
legal risk measure, based on textual analysis of firms’ 10-K filings. Second, it contributes to
the literature on the effect of litigation risk on corporate behaviors, such as IPO underpricing
(Hughes and Thakor, 1992, Lowry and Shu, 2002, Hanley and Hoberg, 2012), misreporting
(Laux and Stocken, 2012), and governance (Appel, 2016).
Third, our paper contributes to the literature on investment. Relevant studies show that
frictions such as financial constraints have significant effects on investment (Fazzari, Hubbard,
Petersen, Blinder, and Poterba, 1988, Almeida and Campello, 2007, Duchin, Ozbas, and Sensoy,
2010, Campello, Graham, and Harvey, 2010, and Kahle and Stulz, 2013). We provide evidence
that legal risk is another important friction that reduces both the level and the efficiency of
investment.
Fourth, our paper is related to the literature on law and finance (e.g. Laporta, Lopez, Shleifer,
and Vishny, 1997, 1998, Mclean, Zhang, and Zhao, 2012, and Brown, Martinsson, and Petersen,
2013). Studies in this literature generally investigate the impact of cross-country variation in
legal environments and the effect they have on external financing, investment, and firm value.
We provide firm-level support for the effect of legal environment on finance. Our evidence
shows that there are significant efficiency costs when firms are involved in legal issues, and
that these issues have negative effects on managers’ performance and reputations.
The rest of the paper is organized as follows. Section 2 describes data and variables. Section
3 reports results of baseline regressions. Section 4 addresses potential endogeneity issues.
Section 5 studies potential mechanisms for the effect of legal risk on investment. Section 6
reports the effects of legal risk on firm performance and robustness checks. Section 7 concludes.
2. Data and variables
2.1 Data and sample
8
Our firm-level accounting and credit rating data are from Compustat. Stock-related data
are from CRSP. Loan data are from DealScan. Firms’ 10-K filings and SEC filings views and
downloads are from the SEC.gov website. List of litigious words are from Loughran and
McDonald’s website. Data of lawsuits, special calls and meetings, and firms’ bylaw changes
are from Capital IQ. We only include firms with 10-K filing available. Our sample includes
77,000 firm-year observations for 10,663 unique firms between 1996 and 2015 inclusive. We
start from 1996 when electronic filing of 10-K’s became mandatory.
2.2 Legal risk measures
2.2.1 Measure construction
Our legal risk measures are constructed using word counts from firm 10-K filings at the
SEC.gov website. Firms’ 10-K filings are their annual report to shareholders. All firms must
file these forms on an annual basis and must do so within 90 days of their fiscal year end. These
forms disclose firm-related and legal information to shareholders. Two areas of potential legal
disclosures in the standardized 10-K form are: Item 1A which is “Risk Factors” and Item 3
which is “Legal Proceedings”. Additionally, many firms disclose additional legal information
in the appendix.7
To construct our legal risk measures, we parse all electronic 10-K’s filings available and
count the number of words in a list of litigious words. Specifically, following the Loughran-
McDonald Master Dictionary we first identify an initial list of litigious words for financial text.
Our initial list of litigious words include 731 words. To reflect firms’ concerns about losses in
legal issues, within the initial list we further identify our final list of litigious words by focusing
on the litigious words that have a negative connotation (Loughran and McDonald, 2011).
There are important differences between legal words and legal words with negative
connotation. Examples of the most common litigious words are shall, herein and amended.
7 For example, see Note 15 on pages 213 – 215 of Wells Fargo’s 2016 Annual Report here:
https://www08.wellsfargomedia.com/assets/pdf/about/investor-relations/annual-reports/2016-annual-report.pdf
9
Examples of words that are both litigious and negative words are litigation, defendant and
breach. Whereas shall has to do with future tense or an instruction and does not affect the firm’s
legal risk, litigation, which means legal action, does affect the firm’s legal risk. Table IA 1
shows a list of the 30 most common words which are both litigious and negative (these are
words we use in our counts). Our final list includes 154 litigious words. We then count the
number of words in our final list of litigious words for each 10-K filing.
Figure 1 presents the time series of the mean of the number of legal words in firm 10-Ks.
Over our sample period the average number of legal words has doubled. The firms with the
highest legal risk mention legal words over 600 times. For some firms, legal words are more
than 1% of the total words. Bank of America is one such firm.
Figure 2 shows the time series of two variables. The blue dash line is for the time series of
the number of firms with lawsuits in a year, corresponding to the left-hand axis. The read solid
line is for the average legal word counts in a year. The figure shows that these two time series
are highly correlated. In fact, the correlation between them is 0.8. When more firms are involved
in lawsuits, firms have more legal words in their 10-K filings on average.
Based on our legal word counts, we create two measures of legal risk for our regression
analysis. The first measure, Log(Legal), is constructed by taking the natural logarithm of the
average of the previous three years of legal words. This measure reflects firms’ average legal
concerns in previous years, which servers well as a legal risk measure in the current year. The
second measure, High Legal Risk, also utilizes the same idea of information aggregation across
previous three years. Specifically, we define a dummy variable for each firm-year, which equals
one if a firm’s legal word count is in the top quartile and zero otherwise. The High Legal Risk
is defined as the sum of the dummy variable across the previous three years. This variable is a
count variable between zero and three.
2.2.2 Lawsuit and lawsuit damages predictability
10
As evidence that our legal risk measures are valid and related to actual firm-level legal risk,
we consider their ability to predict future firm lawsuits and lawsuit damages. First, we obtain
firm lawsuit data from Capital IQ and create a lawsuit dummy variable. This variable is equal
to one for a firm that has a lawsuit in a given year and zero otherwise. Second, we construct
two measures using US Federal District Court Case damage amounts. The first is the natural
logarithm of the annual damages, Log(Damage) and the second is a dummy variable, Damage
Dummy, which equals one if the firm pays any damages in a given year and zero otherwise.8
We then run the following regression:
𝑌𝑖𝑡 = 𝛽0 + 𝛽1 ⋅ 𝐿𝑒𝑔𝑎𝑙𝑅𝑖𝑠𝑘𝑖𝑡 + 𝑋𝑖𝑡 ⋅ Γ + 𝛿𝑗 + 𝜗𝑡 + 휀𝑖𝑡
where i is the firm index, j is the industry index, t is the year index, 𝑌 is 𝐿𝑎𝑤𝑠𝑢𝑖𝑡 𝐷𝑢𝑚𝑚𝑦,
𝐷𝑎𝑚𝑎𝑔𝑒 𝐷𝑢𝑚𝑚𝑦, or Log(Damage), 𝐿𝑒𝑔𝑎𝑙𝑅𝑖𝑠𝑘𝑖𝑡 is a legal risk measure, X is the vector of
control variables, Γ is the coefficient vector for the control variables, 𝛿𝑗 is the industry fixed
effect,9 𝜗𝑡 is the year fixed effect, and 휀𝑖𝑡 is the error term.
The results are presented in Table 2. Columns 1 to 4 are logit regressions.10 Both legal risk
measures are positive and highly statistically significant predictors of firm lawsuits and
damages. In Columns 1 to 5, the coefficients of legal risk measures are statistically significant
at the 1% level. In Column 6, that coefficient is statistically significant at the 5% level. These
results are strong evidence that our legal risk measures are closely related to future lawsuits and
lawsuit-related damages. For example, the result in Column 1 shows that a one-standard-
deviation increase in Log(Legal) increases the odds of lawsuits by 1.5 times. The results support
the validity of our legal risk measures.
2.3 Other variables
8 Our lawsuit dummy does not differentiate between different courts or venues, while our damage variables are
solely related to damages in US Federal District Court. 9 Our results are robust to industry fixed effects. Relevant results are reported in the internet appendix Table IA 2. 10 We also run these tests using a linear probability model and the results are robust. These results are in the Internet
Appendix Table IA 10.
11
Our main dependent variable, Investment, is defined as capital expenditures scaled by total
assets. Following the literature on investment, we control Tobin’s q, cash flow, book value of
total assets, leverage, and cash holdings. Leverage is expected to be negatively associated with
investment (Myers, 1977, and Lang, Ofek, and Stulz, 1996). Definition of all variables can be
found in Appendix. Table 1 presents summary statistics. An average firm in our sample has 146
negative legal words in its 10-K.
3. Baseline results
Higher legal risk can impose a strain on the firm’s access to external financing, consume a
large amount of the firm leadership’s time, and consume funds that could be spent on positive
NPV projects. Intuitively, we expect that legal risk has a negative association with investment.
Our baseline specification regresses investment on legal risk and controls for firm-
characteristics, firm fixed effects and year fixed effects:
𝐼𝑛𝑣𝑒𝑠𝑡𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑖𝑡 = 𝛽0 + 𝛽1 ⋅ 𝐿𝑒𝑔𝑎𝑙𝑅𝑖𝑠𝑘𝑖𝑡 + 𝑋𝑖𝑡 ⋅ Γ + 𝜇𝑖 + 𝜗𝑡 + 휀𝑖𝑡
where i is the firm index, t is the year index, 𝐿𝑒𝑔𝑎𝑙𝑅𝑖𝑠𝑘𝑖𝑡 is a legal risk measure, X is the vector
of control variables, Γ is the coefficient vector for the control variables, 𝜇𝑖 is the firm fixed
effect, 𝜗𝑡 is the year fixed effect, and 휀𝑖𝑡 is the error term.
Results of these tests are reported in Table 3. The first 4 columns use Log(Legal) as the
measure of legal risk, while Columns 5 and 6 use the High Legal Risk. All columns control for
firm and year fixed effects. Columns 1 controls for Tobin’s q. Column 2 adds cash flow, and
Column 3 further adds firm size in the control list. Column 4 shows our full list of controls,
further controlling for leverage and cash holdings. Columns 5 and 6 replicate Columns 3 and 4
except using High Legal Risk as the legal risk measure. This effect is robust to different
specifications and very stable when adding more control variables. All coefficients of our legal
risk measures are negative and statistically significant at the 1% level. The results show that
legal risk has a negative correlation with investment. Specifically, a one-standard-deviation
increase in legal risk is associated with a 7% reduction in investment.
12
4. Endogeneity
In this section, we address potential concerns about endogeneity through an instrumental
variable (IV) approach and a difference-in-differences (DiD) approach. In our baseline
regressions, we include firm fixed effects to control for firm level time-invariant omitted
variables, and use lagged legal risk measures to reduce concerns about simultaneity or reverse
causality. We are aware that there might be some time-variant omitted variables and lagged
legal risk can mitigate but not eliminate the concerns about simultaneity or reverse causality.
We now address these endogeneity concerns.
4.1 The IV approach
In this section, we utilize an IV approach to address potential endogenity concerns. The key
is to find valid instrumental variables for our legal risk measure. A valid instrumental variable
(IV) needs to satisfy the following two conditions: i) the relevance condition, i.e. the IV should
be correlated with legal risk; and ii) the exclusion condition, i.e. the IV should only affect
investment through legal risk. We utilize two IVs in our tests. The basic idea is to use
information on state-level legal risk to construct our IVs. The state-level legal risk should be
related to the firm-level legal risk but unlikely to affect investment through a channel other than
legal risk.
Our first IV is based on the severity and complexity of business-related lawsuits in a state.
Specifically, we consider business-related lawsuits which originated in firms’ headquarter (HQ)
states.11 Business-related lawsuits refer to those related to economic activity, unions, federal
taxation, privacy, or interstate relations. When a lawsuit is severe and complex enough, it can
go to the US Supreme Court. Our first IV is a dummy variable, US Supreme Court, equals one
if any business-related lawsuit originated in a firm’s HQ state in the previous three years and is
tried in the US Supreme Court, and zero otherwise. The IV US Supreme Court is positively
11 We obtain the information on firms’ HQ states from SEC 10-K filings.
13
related to the severity and complexity of legal risk in firms’ HQ state. This IV is unlikely to
affect firms’ investment through channels other than legal risk. There might be concerns on the
relevance condition because the link between firm-level legal risk and the instrument may not
be completely unambiguous. To address this concern, we regress the legal risk measure on the
IV US Supreme Court and other controls. Results are reported in Panel A of Table 4. The results
show that this IV is positively associated with firms’ legal risk, as the support for the relevance
condition.
Our second IV is based on firms’ settlement payment in a year. One way that firms stay
away from lawsuits is to have settlements and pay plaintiffs. We define a dummy variable,
Small Settlement, which equals one if a firm has paid a settlement of less than 5% of its cash
holdings in the previous three years, and zero otherwise. We only consider small settlement in
our IV construction in order to exclude a pure financial constraint effect. For example, if a legal
issue is just a one-time issue but requires a large settlement payment, a firm may have to cut
investment in the following year because of financial constraints rather than legal risk. Focusing
on small settlement makes our tests less likely to be significant.12 This IV is closely related to
firms’ legal risk and settlement payment is related to larger legal risk. Importantly, firms would
only pay settlement when they are involved in legal issues. So settlement is unlikely to affect
investment through channels other than legal risk.
We run two-stage least squares (2SLS) regressions in our IV tests. Results are reported in
Panel B of Table 4. The first (second) stage regressions are shown in the first (second) column.
The result in Column 2 confirms the causal effect of legal risk on investment. The coefficient
of Log(Legal) is negative and statistically significant at the 1% level. The p-value of Hansen-J
tests is 0.93, which provide strong evidence for the exclusion condition of IVs. The first-stage
12 A large settlement payment is unusual but can have a mechanical and negative effect on investment because it
consumes large amount of corporate liquidity. When defining the IV only based on small settlement payment, our
IV has value 0 for large settlement payment which makes firms with IV value 1 less likely to have fewer
investments than firms with IV value 0. Our results are robust when the IV is defined based on settlement payment
instead of small settlement payment. The results are reported in the online appendix (Table IA 4).
14
result show that our IVs are closely related to our legal risk variable Log(Legal). The F-statistics
are highly significant (p-value 20.69), which provide strong support for the relevance condition.
As expected, the state-level legal risk is positively related to firm-level legal risk. The
coefficients of IVs in the first stage are all positive and significant at the 1% or 5% level. Results
of IV tests strongly support the causal effect of legal risk on investment.
4.2 The DiD approach and universal demand laws
In this section, we carry out a DiD analysis based on exogenous shocks to firms’ legal risk.
Specifically, we use the staggered adoption of universal demand (UD) laws across different
states. On behalf of firm, shareholders have the right to sue top management for breach of
fiduciary duty. This type of lawsuit is called shareholder derivative lawsuit. UD laws impose
obstacle to such derivative lawsuits. Specifically, UD laws require shareholders to seek board
approval before filing a derivative lawsuit against the firm. In practice, boards rarely approve
such a request because senior leadership and directors are often defendants in the proposed
lawsuit. Accordingly, we find that the adoption of UD laws reduces derivative lawsuits
significantly.13 The adoption of UD laws is a state-level event which brings exogenous shock
to firms’ legal risk.
There are existing studies use the same events for research on other firm policies, such as
governance (Appel, 2016). There might be concerns that investment is not directly affected by
UD laws adoptions, but through changes in other firm policies, such as governance, caused by
UD laws adoption. However, we use UD laws adoptions to address endogeneity concerns,
rather than potential mechanisms. As long as the UD laws adoptions are exogenous events and
have a significant effect on investment, it is not the concern here whether such an effect is a
direct or an indirect effect through other firm policies. The key is that UD law is the fundamental
driver of the changes in investment. In fact, most firm policies are endogenous and
13 See results in Section 6.4.5 and in the Internet Appendix, Table IA 8.
15
interdependent among each other, therefore, it is very unlikely to find a shock that only affects
a single firm policy. Finding new effects on some firm policies does not violate the existing
findings, and equivalently, the existing findings do not restrain us from using the same shock
for other firm policies. Again, the key is legal risk is the exogenous driver.
4.2.1 Relationship between UD Laws adoptions, lawsuits, and legal risk measures
Before we carry out DiD analysis on UD laws adoptions, we investigate the relationship
among the adoption of UD Laws, actual lawsuits, and our legal word counts. Results are
reported in Table 5. Panel A presents a correlation matrix for legal word counts, actual lawsuits,
and the adoption of UD Laws. The legal word counts are negatively and significantly related to
the passage of UD Laws and positively and significantly related to actual firm lawsuits.
In Table 5, Panel B, we present results on the effect of UD Laws adoption on changes of
legal number counts. UD Laws are negative and statistically significant at the 5% or 1% level
in all specifications. This is evidence that the passage of UD Laws reduces firm-level legal risk.
4.2.2 DiD analysis
To carry out the DiD analysis based on UD laws, we define a dummy variable, UD law,
which equals one if a firm’s incorporation state has passed a UD law and zero otherwise. We
drop firms that reincorporated during our sample period as they may have done so for a reason
related to the passage of UD laws. The specification of our DiD analysis is as follows.
𝐼𝑛𝑣𝑒𝑠𝑡𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑖𝑡 = 𝛽0 + 𝛽1 ⋅ 𝑈𝐷𝐿𝑎𝑤𝑖𝑡 + 𝑋𝑖𝑡 ⋅ Γ + 𝜇𝑖 + 𝜗𝑡 + 휀𝑖𝑡,
where i is the firm index, t is the year index, X is the vector of control variables, Γ is the
coefficient vector for the control variables, 𝜇𝑖 is the firm fixed effect, 𝜗𝑡 is the year fixed effect,
and 휀𝑖𝑡 is the error term. Standard errors for these tests are clustered at the state of incorporation
level. Results are reported in Table 6.
All tests show that the coefficient of 𝑈𝐷𝐿𝑎𝑤 is positive and statistically significant at the 1%
level. This indicates that exogenous shocks which reduce a firm’s legal risk have a positive
impact on those firms’ investment. In economic terms, the passage of a universal demand law
16
results in a 12% increase in an average firm’s investment level. These results are consistent
with the argument that legal risk has a causal impact on firms’ investment.
5. Mechanism
In this section, we further study potential mechanisms through which legal risk affects
investment. We investigate two channels: the financing channel and the attention channel. The
financing channel refers to the effect legal risk on external financing. Legal risk can increase
costs of external financing, aggravate financial constraints, cause reputational loss, and reduce
the firm’s capacity for positive NPV projects. The attention channel refers to the mechanism
related to legal risk occupying a significant amount of top management’s attention, which
adversely influences firms’ investments.
5.1 Financing channel
We study the financing channel in the following two ways. First, if legal risk adversely
affects external financing, the effect of legal risk on investment is expected to be stronger for
financially constrained firms. Second, we search for direct evidence that legal risk increases
borrowing costs and has a negative effect on firms’ borrowing activity.
5.1.1 Financial Constraints
Financial constraints exacerbate concerns about legal risk. We expect financial constraints to
amplify the negative effect of legal risk on investment. To test for this amplification effect, we
run the following regression.
𝐼𝑛𝑣𝑒𝑠𝑡𝑚𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑖𝑡 = 𝛽0 + 𝛽1 ⋅ 𝐿𝑒𝑔𝑎𝑙𝑅𝑖𝑠𝑘𝑖𝑡 ∗ 𝐹𝐶𝑖𝑡 + 𝛽2 ⋅ 𝐿𝑒𝑔𝑎𝑙𝑅𝑖𝑠𝑘𝑖𝑡 + 𝛽3 ⋅ 𝐹𝐶𝑖𝑡 + 𝑋𝑖𝑡 ⋅ Γ + 𝜇𝑖
+ 𝜗𝑡 + 휀𝑖𝑡
where i is the firm index, t is the year index, 𝐿𝑒𝑔𝑎𝑙𝑅𝑖𝑠𝑘𝑖𝑡 is the legal risk measure, 𝐹𝐶𝑖𝑡 is a
financial constraint measure, X is the vector of control variables, Γ is the coefficient vector for
the control variables, 𝜇𝑖 is the firm fixed effect, 𝜗𝑡 is the year fixed effect, and 휀𝑖𝑡 is the error
17
term. We focus on the coefficient of the interaction term, 𝛽1. We expect 𝛽1 to be negative,
which indicates that financial constraint amplifies the negative effect of legal risk on investment.
We utilize three commonly-used financial constraint measures: the Size and Age index from
Hadlock and Pierce (2010), a no-bond-rating dummy, and a no-dividend dummy. Results of
these tests are presented in Table 7. Column 1 uses the SAI index as its financial constraint,
while Column 2 uses the no-bond-rating dummy and Column 3 uses the no-dividend dummy.
The main variable of interest, 𝛽1, is negative and statistically significant at the 1% or 5% level
in all three columns. These results provide strong and consistent evidence that financially-
constrained firms suffer more from legal risk.
5.1.2 Borrowing costs
Legal risk can have an adverse effect on external financing through exacerbating firms’
borrowing conditions. Specifically, we study the effects of legal risk on firms’ long-term credit
ratings and costs of bank loans. Intuitively, firms with higher legal risk are more likely to suffer
from financial and reputational loss, which can be reflected by lower credit ratings. Credit
ratings can have large effects on firms’ external financing. We use the S&P long-term credit
rating from Compustat.14 To use the ratings in our regression analysis, we follow Butler, Fauver
and Mortal (2009) and define a numeric rating variable, Rating, which is a rank from 1 to 22,
with 22 being the highest rating and 1 being the lowest rating. The specification for our tests is
as follows.
𝑅𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑛𝑔𝑖𝑡 = 𝛽0 + 𝛽1 ⋅ 𝐿𝑒𝑔𝑎𝑙𝑅𝑖𝑠𝑘𝑖𝑡 + 𝑋𝑖𝑡 ⋅ Γ + 𝜇𝑖 + 𝜗𝑡 + 휀𝑖𝑡
where i is the firm index, t is the year index, 𝐿𝑒𝑔𝑎𝑙𝑅𝑖𝑠𝑘𝑖𝑡 is a legal risk measure, X is the vector
of control variables, Γ is the coefficient vector for the control variables, 𝜇𝑖 is the firm fixed
effect, 𝜗𝑡 is the year fixed effect, and 휀𝑖𝑡 is the error term. Our focus of the tests is on 𝛽1, which
14 S&P Domestic Long Term Issuer Credit Rating.
18
is expected to be negative because legal risk is expected to have a negative effect on credit
ratings.
Results are shown in Columns 1 and 2 in Table 8 for Log(Legal) and High Legal Risk,
respectively. The results show that coefficients of both legal risk measures are negative and
statistically significant at the 1% level. This evidence shows that legal risk has a negative effect
on firms’ credit ratings. Lower credit ratings can have large and comprehensive effects on firms’
external financing.
Bank loans are one of the most important sources of external financing. To study the effect
of legal risk on bank loan costs, we extract loan data from Loan Pricing Corporation’s Dealscan
(LPC) database. We define a variable for firms’ loan costs, Log(Loan Spread), as the natural
logarithm of the all-in-spread drawn15 in the Dealscan database. We study the effects of legal
risk on borrowing costs through the following specification.
𝐿𝑜𝑔(𝐿𝑜𝑎𝑛 𝑆𝑝𝑟𝑒𝑎𝑑)𝑖𝑘𝑡 = 𝛽0 + 𝛽1 ⋅ 𝐿𝑒𝑔𝑎𝑙𝑅𝑖𝑠𝑘𝑖𝑡 + 𝑋𝑖𝑘𝑡 ⋅ Γ + 𝜇𝑖 + 𝛾𝑘 + 𝜗𝑡 + 휀𝑖𝑘𝑡
where i is the firm index, k is for the loan type index, t is the year index, 𝐿𝑒𝑔𝑎𝑙𝑅𝑖𝑠𝑘𝑖𝑡 is a legal
risk measure, X is the vector of control variables that follows Valta (2012), Γ is the coefficient
vector for the control variables, 𝜇𝑖 is the firm fixed effect, 𝛾𝑘 is the loan type fixed effect, 𝜗𝑡 is
the year fixed effect, and 휀𝑖𝑘𝑡 is the error term. We focus on the coefficient 𝛽1 , which is
expected to be positive because larger legal risk is expected to increase bank loan costs.
Results are shown in Columns 3 and 4 in Table 8 for Log(Legal) and High Legal Risk,
respectively. The results show that coefficients of both legal risk measures are positive and
statistically significant at the 1% or 10% level. Economically speaking, a one-standard-
deviation in legal risk results in a 5.34% higher loan spread or an increase of 10 basis points.
This evidence shows that legal risk increases costs of bank loan, which exacerbates financial
constraints and may decrease positive-NPV projects due to higher cost of capital.
15 Name of the variable in Dealscan is ALLINDRAWN, which is the amount the borrower pays (in basis points)
over LIBOR or LIBOR equivalent for each dollar drawn down. The borrowing spread of the loan over LIBOR
with any annual fee paid to the bank group is included.
19
As legal risk increases borrowing costs, we expect firms with higher legal risk to issue less
debt. To test this idea, we consider net debt issuance that is defined as long-term debt issuance
minus long-term debt reduction and scaled by total assets. The specification for our tests is as
follows.
𝑁𝑒𝑡 𝐷𝑒𝑏𝑡 𝐼𝑠𝑠𝑢𝑎𝑛𝑐𝑒𝑖𝑡 = 𝛽0 + 𝛽1 ⋅ 𝐿𝑒𝑔𝑎𝑙𝑅𝑖𝑠𝑘𝑖𝑡 + 𝑋𝑖𝑡 ⋅ Γ + 𝜇𝑖 + 𝜗𝑡 + 휀𝑖𝑡
where i is the firm index, t is the year index, 𝐿𝑒𝑔𝑎𝑙𝑅𝑖𝑠𝑘𝑖𝑡 is a legal risk measure, X is the vector
of control variables, Γ is the coefficient vector for the control variables, 𝜇𝑖 is the firm fixed
effect, 𝜗𝑡 is the year fixed effect, and 휀𝑖𝑡 is the error term.
Results are presented in Table 9. Columns 1 and 2 show results when using Log(Legal) and
High Legal Risk, respectively. The results show that the coefficients of both legal risk measures
are negative and statistically significant at the 1% level. This evidence confirms that higher
legal risk reduces firms’ borrowing activity and aggravates financial constraints, which is
consistent with the financing channel.
5.2 Attention channel
Legal issues can consume a large amount of top management’s attention. In this section, we
study the attention channel through the effects of legal risk on special firm events that consume
a lot of top management’s attention. Specifically, these special firm events include class action
lawsuits, earnings restatements, special shareholder calls, special shareholder meetings, and
firm bylaw changes. We also investigate the effect of legal risk on investors’ attention. If
investors have large concerns about legal risk, they can take real actions to interact with top
management, which occupies additional attention of top management. The specification of our
tests is as follows.
𝐴𝑡𝑡𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛𝑖𝑡 = 𝛽0 + 𝛽1 ⋅ 𝐿𝑒𝑔𝑎𝑙𝑅𝑖𝑠𝑘𝑖𝑡 + 𝑋𝑖𝑡 ⋅ Γ + 𝜇𝑗 + 𝜗𝑡 + 휀𝑖𝑡
where i is the firm index, j is the industry index, t is the year index, 𝐿𝑒𝑔𝑎𝑙𝑅𝑖𝑠𝑘𝑖𝑡is a legal risk
measure, X is the vector of control variables, Γ is the coefficient vector for the control variables,
𝜇𝑗 is the industry fixed effect, 𝜗𝑡 is the year fixed effect, and 휀𝑖𝑡 is the error term. We focus on
20
the coefficient 𝛽1, which is expected to be positive because legal risk is supposed to increase
the frequencies of special firm events.
𝐴𝑡𝑡𝑒𝑛𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛𝑖𝑡 is the class action lawsuits dummy, earnings restatements dummy, special call
dummy, special shareholder meeting dummy, firm bylaw change dummy, or log(10K views).
These dummy variables equal one if the corresponding events happen to a firm in a year and
equal zero otherwise. Class action lawsuits are lawsuits where one of the parties is a group of
people who are represented collectively by a member of that group. These cases where the
plaintiffs are aggregated are thus significantly larger cases, than a case against one other party
and thus the related costs, in terms of both time and money, are likely larger. Earnings
restatements occur when the firm revises a previous earnings restatement because of a financial
inaccuracy. These are significant and negative events for firms and require special attention
from management to justify restatements and communicate with investors. Special calls and
meetings are non-regularly arranged firm events dealing with shareholders. Top management
has to pay additional attention. Firm bylaw changes can have significant impact on top
management, which can absorb much attention of top management. Examples of these special
events are presented in the internet appendix (Tables IA 9 through Table IA 11).
Class action lawsuit data is from the Securities Class Action Lawsuit database at Stanford
University. Earnings restatement data is from Audit Analytics. The data on special calls, special
meetings, and firm bylaw changes are from Capital IQ. The variable Log(10K views) is the
natural logarithm of 10-K views or downloads on the SEC official website.
Results of these tests are reported in Table 10. Column 1 shows that legal risk is positively
associated with the likelihood of class action lawsuits and the effect is statistically significant
at the 1% level. Column 2 shows that higher legal risk is positively and significantly associated
with the likelihood of earnings restatements. Columns 3 to 5 show the results on firm special
events. The results confirm that legal risk increases the likelihood of firms’ special events, such
as special calls, special meetings, and firm bylaw changes. These effects are all statistically
21
significant at the 1% level. Column 6 shows the results about investors’ attention. The
coefficient of legal risk is positive and statistically significant at the 1% level. Larger concerns
of investors can drive them to initiate more special events or exert downward pressure on stock
price by selling their holdings. All these real actions can consume large amount of attention of
top management. All columns in Table 10 control firm performance (ROA). Results show that
the coefficients of ROA in all columns are negative and statistically significant at the 1% level.
This evidence shows that the events in Table 9 are more likely to happen when firms have bad
performance and top management has to pay attention to deal with them. These findings are
consistent with the attention channel through which legal risk affects corporate investments.
6. Firm performance
In this section, we study the effect of legal risk on firms’ investment efficiency and
performance. Our findings in previous sections show that legal risk can distort firms’
investment activity. Limited financial resources and top management’s attention make firms
unable to choose the optimal investment strategy. Intuitively, this distortion of investment can
have negative effects on firms’ efficiency and performance.
6.1 Operating costs and accounting performance
Legal risk can increase firm’s operating costs, which may include direct legal costs and other
indirect costs related to legal issues. Less efficient investment and operations can ruin firms’
performance. In this section, we study the effect of legal risk on firms’ general costs of
operations and accounting performance. Specifically, we measure general operating costs by
SG&A (Sellings, General, and Administration expenses scaled by total assets), and measure
accounting performance by Cash flow and return on assets (ROA). The specification of our
tests is as follows.
𝑌𝑖𝑡 = 𝛽0 + 𝛽1 ⋅ 𝐿𝑒𝑔𝑎𝑙𝑅𝑖𝑠𝑘𝑖𝑡 + 𝑋𝑖𝑡 ⋅ Γ + 𝜇𝑖 + 𝜗𝑡 + 휀𝑖𝑡
where i is the firm index, t is the year index, 𝑌𝑖𝑡 is SG&A, Cash flow, or ROA, 𝐿𝑒𝑔𝑎𝑙𝑅𝑖𝑠𝑘𝑖𝑡 is
a legal risk measure, X is the vector of control variables, Γ is the coefficient vector for the
22
control variables, 𝜇𝑖 is the firm fixed effect, 𝜗𝑡 is the year fixed effect, and 휀𝑖𝑡 is the error term.
We focus on the coefficient of Legal risk, 𝛽1, which is expected to be positive for SG&A and
negative for Cash flow and ROA.
Results of these tests are reported in Table 11. Column 1 shows that the coefficient of legal
risk is positive and statistically significant at the 5% level. This evidence shows that legal risk
increases firms’ operating costs. Columns 2 (Cash flow) and 3 (ROA) show that the coefficients
of legal risk are both negative and statistically significant at the 5% and 1% level, respectively.
These results confirm that legal risk makes firms’ operations more expensive and have worse
accounting performance.
6.2 Stock performance
In this section, we study the effect of legal risk on stock performance. We measure stock
performance by one-year cumulative abnormal returns (CAR) or buy-and-hold returns (BHAR)
from the fiscal year end. CARs are calculated based on the four-factor model (Fama-French
three factors plus the momentum). We expect legal risk has a negative effect on these abnormal
returns. The specification of our tests is as follows.
𝐴𝑅𝑖𝑡 = 𝛽0 + 𝛽1 ⋅ 𝐿𝑒𝑔𝑎𝑙𝑅𝑖𝑠𝑘𝑖𝑡 + 𝑋𝑖𝑡 ⋅ Γ + 𝜇𝑖 + 𝜗𝑡 + 휀𝑖𝑡
where i is the firm index, t is the year index, 𝐴𝑅𝑖𝑡 is CAR or BHAR, 𝐿𝑒𝑔𝑎𝑙𝑅𝑖𝑠𝑘𝑖𝑡 is a legal
risk measure, X is the vector of control variables, Γ is the coefficient vector for the control
variables, 𝜇𝑖 is the firm fixed effect, 𝜗𝑡 is the year fixed effect, and 휀𝑖𝑡 is the error term.
Results of these tests are presented in Table 12. Odd (even) columns are for CARs (BHARs).
In all four columns, the coefficients of legal risk are all negative and statistically significant at
the 1% or 5% level. Specifically, a one-standard-deviation increase in legal risk reduces the
annual CARs by 1.6% and reduces annual BHARs by 3.4%. These findings confirm that legal
risk has a negative effect on firms’ future stock performance.
6.4 Robustness tests (Internet Appendix)
23
In this section, we will briefly cover relevant robustness tests included in the Internet
Appendix (IA).
6.4.1. Industry-Year fixed effects
The first robustness check replicates our main results from Table 3 but includes industry-
year fixed effects in addition to firm fixed effects to control for any time-varying heterogeneity
at the industry level. Results of these tests are presented in Table IA 3. Column 1 uses the
introduction of a UD law as a shock of legal risk. Column 2 uses Log(Legal), and Column 3
uses High Legal Risk as the measures of legal risk. In Column 1, the UD Law coefficient is
positive and highly significant at the 5% level. In both Specification 2 and 3, the legal risk
measure coefficients are negative and significant at the 1% level. These results are consistent
with our findings throughout the paper that legal risk has a negative and causal effect on
investments.
6.4.2. Dangerous and highly regulated industries
Next, we investigate industries which we expect to have high levels of legal risk. Specifically,
the firearm, alcohol and tobacco industries. We select these three for intuitive reasons, but also
because there is a special organization at the Justice Department aimed at regulating these
industries.
The Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives (ATF) is a federal law
enforcement organization within the United States Department of Justice. Its responsibilities
include the investigation and prevention of federal offenses involving the unlawful use,
manufacture, and possession of firearms and explosives; acts of arson and bombings; and illegal
trafficking of alcohol and tobacco products.
For these tests we generate a dummy variable equal to one if a firm is in an industry regulated
by ATF and zero otherwise. In Table IA 6, we present the results of these logit regressions. The
coefficients on both of our legal measures are positive and significant at the 1% level. This is
evidence that firms within these highly regulated, dangerous, litigious industries do in fact have
24
a high degree of legal risk. It is also evidence that our measures of legal risk are accurate as
firms in these three industries very likely face significant legal risk.
6.4.3. Defendants versus plaintiffs
Next, we use hand collected data on S&P 500 firm lawsuits from 2000-2015 in US Federal
District Courts to identify which side of the lawsuit the firm is on (plaintiff versus defendant).
This is an important part of our story. Firms which are plaintiffs likely have relatively low legal
risk, while firms which are defendants likely have a high legal risk. An example of a firm that
is often a plaintiff is Coach, which makes high-end handbags. Coach’s lawsuits likely result
from other firms stealing/copying their purses and thus Coach files a lawsuit against them as
the plaintiff. In the worst outcomes, Coach will lose lawyer fees, while in the best outcomes,
they will win their court cases and likely receive damages/awards and thus be better off than if
they had not gone to court at all. On the other hand, defendants are the firms that will have to
pay Coach the damages in addition to the legal fees. Defendant firms have a high legal risk and
high associated costs, while plaintiff firms do not.
Examples of firms which are defendants a large number of times in our sample include
technology (Apple, Microsoft) and pharmaceutical (Pfizer, Abbott Labs) firms. These firms
likely have lots of patents lawsuits.
In Table IA 7, we run regressions with the number of times firms are plaintiffs or defendants
in a given year as our dependent variable and our measures of legal risk as our relevant
independent variable. Our results show that our high legal risk measures are positively and
significantly related to firms being defendants and insignificantly with firms being plaintiffs.
This is consistent with our legal risk measures picking up firms which face costly value-
destroying litigation (defendants) and not potentially value-creating litigation (plaintiffs).
6.4.4 UD Laws and derivative lawsuits
Last, we consider UD Laws and their effect on derivative lawsuits. To determine whether
UD Laws affect the likelihood of derivative lawsuits we run OLS regressions of derivative
25
lawsuits in US Federal District Courts for a firm in a given year on our UD Law dummy variable
and other firm-level controls. For these tests, we cluster our standard errors at the state-level.
The results of these regressions are presented in Table IA 8. We find that UD Laws significantly
reduce firm-level derivative lawsuits.
7. Conclusion
In this paper, we study the effect of legal risk on corporate investment. To study firms’
general legal risk, not legal risk based on a specific type of legal issue or law, we use textual
analysis on firms’ SEC 10-K filings to count a list of litigious words for a large sample of US
public firms. Using legal risk measures based on the number of litigious words in 10-K filings,
we find that legal risk has a negative effect on investment. We address potential endogeneity
concerns through both the IV and the DiD approaches. These endogeneity tests confirm the
causal effect of legal risk on investment.
Our findings show that the effect of legal risk is stronger for financially constrained firms.
Legal risk exacerbate firms long-term credit ratings, increases bank loan costs, and reduces
firms borrowing. These findings strongly support the financing channel through which legal
risk affects investment. We also find that legal risk consumes top management’ attention by
increasing lawsuits, earnings restatements, investors’ concerns, and firm special events such as
special calls, special meetings, and bylaw changes. These findings are consistent with the
attention channel through which legal risk influences investment.
The negative effect of legal risk on investment has adverse consequences on firms’ efficiency
and performance. We find that legal risk reduces investment-q sensitivity and has negative
effects on firms’ accounting and stock performance.
26
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Management Journal 38, no. 3 (2017): 626-644.
Tobin, James. "A general equilibrium approach to monetary theory." Journal of Money, Credit
and Banking 1, no. 1 (1969): 15-29.
Valta, Philip. "Competition and the cost of debt." Journal of Financial Economics 105, no. 3
(2012): 661-682.
28
Appendix A: Variable definitions
BHAR the annual buy and hold abnormal return (BHAR)
of the firm measured from the firm’s fiscal year
end date to 252 days later using the Fama-French
3 factors plus the momentum factor
Cash flow the sum of income before extraordinary items and
depreciation/amortization scaled by the book value
of total assets
CF Volatility the ratio of the standard deviation of the past eight
earnings changes to the average book asset size
over the past eight quarters
Cash/Assets cash and short term assets scaled by the book value
of total assets
CAR the annual cumulative abnormal return (CAR) of
the firm measured from the firm’s fiscal year end
date to 252 days later using the Fama-French 3
factors plus the momentum factor
Credit Spread the difference between AAA corporate bond yield
and the BAA corporate bond yield
Damage Dummy a dummy variable equal to one if a firm paid legal
damages in US Federal District Court in a given
year and zero otherwise
Debt/Assets the sum of long-term and short-term debt scaled by
the book value of total assets
Firm ByLaw Changes a dummy variable equal to one if a firm changes
its bylaws in a given year and zero otherwise
Investment capital expenditures scaled by the book value of
total assets
Lawsuit a dummy variable equal to one if a firm has a
lawsuit in a given year and zero otherwise
Legal Top 10 a dummy variable equal to one if the number of
lawsuits in the firm’s state was in the top 10 states
in terms of lawsuits/state and zero otherwise
Loan/Assets the loan facility amount (Dealscan) scaled by the
book value of total assets
29
Log(Loan Spread) the natural logarithm of the all in spread drawn
from the Dealscan. The measure is the sum of the
borrowing spread of the loan and any annual fee
paid to the bank.
Log(Assets) the natural log of (total) book assets
Log(Damage) the natural logarithm of the total damages paid by
a firm in US Federal District Court cases in a given
year
Log(Legal) the natural log of the average number of legal
words in a firm’s 10-K over the previous three
years
Log(Maturity) the natural logarithm of the loan maturity
(measured in months)
Log(10K views) the natural logarithm of the number of pageviews
and downloads of the firm’s 10-K filing at the
SEC.gov website in a given year
High Legal Risk count variable (range: 0-3) equal to the number of
times a firm’s legal word count was in the top
quartile of legal words in the previous three years
Net Debt Issuance long term debt issuance less long term debt
reduction all scaled by the book value of total
assets
No Bond Rating a dummy variable equal to one if a firm has debt
outstanding but does not have S&P long-term
senior debt rating in or before that year, or has
default debt rating in that year and zero otherwise
No Dividend a dummy variable equal to one if the firm does not
pay a dividend and zero otherwise
Number of Lawsuits the number of lawsuits a firm has in a given year
PP&E/Assets plant, property & equipment (PP&E) scaled by the
book value of total assets
Profitability earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and
amortization (EBITDA) scaled by the book value
of total assets
30
Rating a numerical categorization of the bond's credit
rating assigned by a rating agency. The lowest
quality bonds are assigned the value 1, and we add
1 for each increment in credit rating for a
maximum value of 22. When the bond is not rated,
we code this variable with a value of - 1 and
include a dummy variable to capture the fact that
the bond is not rated.
R&D/Assets research and development expenditures scaled by
the book value of total assets
ROA net income scaled by the book value of total assets
Settlement a dummy variable equal to one if the firm paid a
settlement in the previous three years and zero
otherwise
Size Age Index the size and age financial constraint index as
calculated in Hadlock and Pierce (2010)
SG&A/Assets selling, general, and administrative (SG&A)
expenses scaled by the book value of total assets
Small Settlement a dummy variable equal to one if the firm paid a
settlement of less than 5% of its cash holdings in
the previous three years and zero otherwise
Special Calls a dummy variable equal to one if a firm has a
special shareholder call in a given year and zero
otherwise
Special Meetings a dummy variable equal to one if a firm has a
special shareholder meeting in a given year and
zero otherwise
Tobin’s q the sum of total assets plus market value of equity
minus book value of equity divided by the book
value of total assets
UD Law a dummy variable equal to one if the firm is in a
state that has passed a universal demand law and
zero otherwise
US Supreme Court a dummy variable equal to one if a business case
that originated in the firm’s state was tried in the
US Supreme Court in the previous three years and
zero otherwise. We define business cases as cases
related to: privacy, unions, economic activity,
interstate relations, and taxation
31
Z-Score 1.2 x (current assets-current liabilites)/total assets
+ 1.4 x (retained earnings/total assets) + 3.3 x
(pretax income/total assets) + 0.6 x (market
capitalization/total liabilities) + 0.9 x (sales/total
assets)
32
Figure 1: Legal words
This figure plots the mean of legal words in firms 10-K filings in a given year from 1996 – 2015.
50
100
150
200
250
300
33
Figure 2: Lawsuits and legal words
This figure plots the mean number of legal words in a firm’s 10-K filing (right hand y-axis) in a given year and
the number of firms with a lawsuit in a given year (left hand y-axis) from 2002 – 2015. The correlation of these
two time series is 0.80.
100
120
140
160
180
200
220
240
260
280
300
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Firms w/ Lawsuits Legal Words
34
Table 1: Summary statistics
This table presents summary statistics for selected variables. The sample consists of all firms in Compustat for
which our legal risk measures are available for the years 1996 – 2015 inclusive. All variables are winsorized at
the 1st and 99th percentile values. Variable definitions are in Appendix A.
Variable Mean StDev P25 P50 P75 N
Log(Legal) 4.982 0.843 4.500 5.033 5.521 77538
High Legal Risk 0.850 1.077 0 0 1 77538
Investment 0.050 0.072 0.009 0.028 0.062 76822
Tobin's q 2.174 1.801 1.082 1.479 2.420 77538
Cash flow 0.007 0.237 -0.011 0.062 0.125 76754
Log(Assets) 6.110 2.649 4.249 6.087 7.883 77538
Cash/Assets 0.195 0.228 0.030 0.102 0.276 77538
Debt/Assets 0.295 0.523 0.027 0.186 0.366 77538
35
Table 2: Lawsuits and damages predictability
This table presents our legal measures’ predictability about firms’ lawsuits and legal damages. Log(Legal) is the natural logarithm of the average number of legal words in 10-K
filings across previous three years. High Legal Risk is the sum of the top-quartile dummy for 10-K legal words counts across previous three years. Lawsuit Dummy is equal to one
if a firm has a lawsuit in a given year and zero otherwise. Damage Dummy is equal to one if a firm paid any damages in a given year and zero otherwise. Log(Damage) is the natural
logarithm of legal damages that result from cases tried in US Federal District Court for a given firm in a given year. Lawsuit Dummy in Columns 1 and 2 is for a lawsuit in any
level court, while the damage data in Columns 3 to 6 are from US Federal District Court only. The data is from 1996 – 2015. All specifications include industry fixed effects and
year fixed effects. Robust standard errors are clustered at the firm level. Variable definitions are in Appendix A. ***, **, * denote significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels,
respectively.
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6)
VARIABLES Lawsuit Dummy Lawsuit Dummy Damage Dummy Damage Dummy Log(Damage) Log(Damage)
Log(Legal) 0.487*** 0.523*** 0.240***
[9.94] [8.42] [3.39]
High Legal Risk 0.254*** 0.244*** 0.183**
[8.82] [6.13] [2.50]
Log(Assets) 0.539*** 0.547*** 0.464*** 0.479*** 0.398*** 0.399***
[21.10] [20.80] [15.77] [15.58] [5.88] [5.68]
Market-to-Book 0.030*** 0.028*** 0.025*** 0.022*** 0.026*** 0.025***
[9.00] [8.30] [3.15] [2.82] [4.43] [4.25]
Leverage -0.318*** -0.268*** -0.202 -0.111 0.011 0.021
[-3.11] [-2.71] [-1.39] [-0.76] [0.27] [0.47]
Cash Ratio 1.242*** 1.304*** 1.012*** 1.101*** 0.803** 0.808**
[8.07] [8.37] [4.62] [4.93] [2.06] [2.02]
Observations 62,602 62,602 77,260 77,260 77,538 77,538
R-squared 0.276 0.275 0.225 0.221 0.100 0.100
Industry FE Y Y Y Y Y Y
Year FE Y Y Y Y Y Y
36
Table 3: Investment and legal risk
This table presents the effect of legal risk on investments. Log(Legal) is the natural logarithm of the average number of legal words in 10-K filings across previous three years.
High Legal Risk is the sum of the top-quartile dummy for 10-K legal words counts across previous three years. The sample is from 1996 – 2015. All specifications include firm and
year fixed effects. Robust standard errors are clustered at the firm level. Variable definitions are in Appendix A. ***, **, * denote significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels,
respectively.
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6)
VARIABLES Investment Investment Investment Investment Investment Investment
Log(Legal) -0.004*** -0.004*** -0.004*** -0.004***
[-6.12] [-6.08] [-6.46] [-6.24] High Legal Risk -0.002*** -0.002***
[-4.72] [-4.45]
Tobin's q 0.004*** 0.004*** 0.006*** 0.006*** 0.006*** 0.006***
[9.01] [8.91] [10.44] [10.76] [10.43] [10.76]
Cash flow 0.033*** 0.028*** 0.026*** 0.028*** 0.026***
[11.46] [9.37] [8.56] [9.50] [8.68]
Log(Assets) 0.009*** 0.008*** 0.009*** 0.008***
[6.68] [6.09] [6.62] [6.03]
Cash Ratio -0.017*** -0.017***
[-4.32] [-4.34]
Leverage -0.010*** -0.010***
[-7.26] [-7.28]
Observations 76,822 76,754 76,754 76,754 76,754 76,754
R-squared 0.635 0.638 0.641 0.642 0.640 0.642
Firm FE Y Y Y Y Y Y
Year FE Y Y Y Y Y Y
37
Table 4 Endogeneity tests: the IV approach
This table presents endogeneity tests using the IV method. The IVs are defined in Appendix A and are related to
the state-level legal environment or past firm settlements. Panel A presents the relationship between US Supreme
Court cases and firm lawsuits and legal words used in 10-K filings. Panel B presents the 2SLS regressions for the
IV tests. Columns 1 (2) show the results of the first (second) stage regressions. The dependent variable in these
(2nd stage) tests is firm investment and the main independent variable is firm-level legal risk measure. Log(Legal)
is the natural logarithm of the average number of legal words in 10-K filings across previous three years. The data
is from 1996 – 2015. All specifications include firm and year fixed effects. Robust standard errors are clustered at
the firm level. Variable definitions are in Appendix A. ***, **, * denote significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10%
levels, respectively.
Panel A Supreme Court Cases and Legal Risk
(1) (2)
VARIABLES Log(Legal) Log(Legal)
US Supreme Court 0.029*** 0.029***
[2.77] [2.75]
Log(Assets) 0.038*** 0.043***
[4.19] [4.52]
Tobin's Q -0.016*** -0.017***
[-4.44] [-4.52]
Cash Ratio 0.040 0.045
[0.91] [1.01]
Leverage 0.043*** 0.037***
[4.30] [3.76]
R&D/Assets 0.057
[1.38]
ROA -0.042***
[-2.61]
Observations 77,538 77,459
R-squared 0.745 0.745
Firm FE Y Y
Year FE Y Y
38
Panel B 2SLS for IV tests
(1) (2)
VARIABLES Log(Legal) Investment
Stage 1st 2nd
Log(Legal) -0.049***
[-3.25]
US Supreme Court 0.024***
[2.59] Small Settlement 0.078***
[5.93] Tobin's Q -0.016*** 0.006***
[-4.62] [9.33]
Log(Assets) 0.038*** 0.010***
[4.63] [9.38]
Leverage 0.044*** -0.010***
[4.84] [-6.29]
Cash Ratio 0.038 -0.015***
[0.93] [-3.54]
F-stat 20.69 Hansen J (p-value) 0.93
Observations 75,089 75,089
Firm FE Y Y
Year FE Y Y
39
Table 5: Relationship between UD Laws and legal word counts
Panel A presents a correlation matrix between all combinations of: UD Law, Lawsuits, and Log(Legal) along with
the significance of the correlation. Panel B presents the effect of UD Laws on the change of firm-level legal risk.
Change(Log(Legal(t)) is the year-over-year change of the natural logarithm of the number of legal words in 10-K
filings. UD Law equals one if a firm’s incorporation state has passed a UD law and zero otherwise. Lawsuit Dummy
is equal to one if a firm has a lawsuit in a given year and zero otherwise. The sample is from 1996 to 2015. All
specifications include firm and industry-year fixed effects. Robust standard errors are clustered at the firm level.
Variable definitions are in Appendix A. ***, **, * denote significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels, respectively.
Panel A: Correlation Matrix
UD Law Lawsuit Log(Legal(t))
UD Law 1.000*** Lawsuit -0.035*** 1.000*** Log(Legal(t)) -0.037*** 0.197*** 1.000***
Panel B: Regression
(1) (2) (3)
VARIABLES Change(Log(Legal)(t)) Change(Log(Legal)(t)) Change(Log(Legal)(t))
UD Law -0.132* -0.134** -0.134**
[-1.98] [-2.01] [-2.02]
Log(Assets) 0.030*** 0.037*** 0.039***
[8.49] [10.06] [9.34]
Tobin's Q 0.005** 0.006*** 0.006***
[2.33] [3.22] [2.80]
Leverage 0.012 0.004 0.001
[1.50] [0.38] [0.13]
Cash Ratio -0.056** -0.055* -0.049*
[-2.09] [-1.96] [-1.86]
Cashflow -0.185*** -0.117***
[-11.06] [-3.77]
ROA -0.065**
[-2.57]
Observations 57,219 56,668 56,668
R-squared 0.132 0.133 0.133
Firm FE Y Y Y
Year FE Y Y Y
40
Table 6: Endogeneity tests: DiD analysis and universal demand (UD) laws
This table shows the DiD analysis based on the staggered adoption of UD Laws in different states. Over the past
three decades, twenty-three states have passed UD Laws that reduce firms’ legal risk to shareholder derivative
laws. The dummy variable UD Law equals one if a firm’s incorporation state has passed a UD law and zero
otherwise. The data is from 1996 – 2015. All specifications include firm and year fixed effects. Robust standard
errors are clustered at the state level. Variable definitions are in Appendix A. ***, **, * denote significance at the
1%, 5%, and 10% levels, respectively.
(1) (2) (3)
VARIABLES Investment Investment Investment
UD Law 0.006*** 0.006*** 0.006***
[2.70] [2.86] [2.75]
Tobin's Q 0.000*** 0.000*** 0.001***
[4.45] [5.55] [7.74]
Cash flow 0.044*** 0.040***
[19.34] [18.20]
Log(Assets) 0.004***
[8.66]
Cash Ratio -0.013***
[-4.46]
Leverage -0.010***
[-15.28]
Observations 73,183 73,116 73,116
R-squared 0.645 0.657 0.660
Firm FE Y Y Y
Year FE Y Y Y
41
Table 7: Financial constraints and the amplification effect
This table presents the evidence that financial constraints amplify the effect of legal risk on investment. Three
financial constraint measures are used: Hadlock and Pierce (2010) size and age index, no dividend dummy, and
no bond rating dummy. Log(Legal) is the natural logarithm of the average number of legal words in 10-K filings
across previous three years. High Legal Risk is the sum of the top-quartile dummy for 10-K legal words counts
across previous three years. The data is from 1996 – 2015. All specifications include firm and year fixed effects.
Robust standard errors are clustered at the firm level. Variable definitions are in Appendix A. ***, **, * denote
significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels, respectively.
(1) (2) (3)
VARIABLES Investment Investment Investment
Size-Age Index x Log(Legal) -0.002***
[-3.27] No Bond Rating x Log(Legal) -0.003**
[-2.07] No Dividend x Log(Legal) -0.004***
[-4.29]
Size-Age Index -0.007
[-1.61] No Bond Rating 0.010
[1.40] No Dividend 0.018***
[3.43]
Log(Legal) -0.011*** -0.003*** -0.001
[-4.28] [-2.62] [-1.33]
Tobin's Q 0.006*** 0.006*** 0.005***
[9.35] [7.45] [10.06]
Cash flow 0.032*** 0.036*** 0.030***
[9.09] [10.40] [10.21]
Leverage -0.010*** -0.014*** -0.012***
[-3.98] [-8.48] [-8.09]
Cash Ratio -0.023*** -0.016*** -0.020***
[-4.64] [-3.00] [-4.85]
Observations 60,860 65,424 76,477
R-squared 0.682 0.657 0.641
Firm FE Y Y Y
Year FE Y Y Y
42
Table 8: Financing channel: legal risk, credit ratings, and cost of bank loans
This table presents the effects of legal risk on firms’ credit ratings and bank loan costs. Rating is the S&P long
term issuer ratings in Compustat. Log(Loan Spread) is the logarithm of the variable “all in spread” in Dealscan.
Log(Legal) is the natural logarithm of the average number of legal words in 10-K filings across previous three
years. High Legal Risk is the sum of the top-quartile dummy for 10-K legal words counts across previous three
years. The data is from 1996 – 2015. All specifications include firm and year fixed effects. Specifications 3 and 4
include loan type fixed effects. Robust standard errors are clustered at the firm level. Variable definitions are in
Appendix A. ***, **, * denote significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels, respectively.
(1) (2) (3) (4)
VARIABLES Rating Rating Log(Loan Spread) Log(Loan Spread)
Log(Legal) -0.262*** 0.052***
[-4.53] [4.02] High Legal Risk -0.102*** 0.015*
[-2.75] [1.74]
Log(Assets) 1.389*** 1.383*** -0.144*** -0.166***
[9.87] [9.80] [-7.41] [-9.48]
Market-to-Book 0.412*** 0.413*** -0.041*** -0.037***
[5.37] [5.48] [-2.84] [-2.87]
Profitability 1.548*** 1.532*** -1.415*** -1.326***
[2.78] [2.75] [-9.04] [-9.11]
CF Volatility -0.251** -0.278*** 7.623** 0.143***
[-2.10] [-3.28] [2.30] [13.67]
Z-Score -0.172*** -0.172*** 0.010 0.009*
[-3.01] [-3.01] [1.64] [1.92]
Credit Spread 0.022 0.017 0.000 -0.003
[0.73] [0.59] [0.01] [-0.16]
PP&E/Assets 1.433*** 1.507*** -0.360*** -0.418***
[2.79] [2.91] [-2.91] [-3.57]
Debt/Assets -1.692*** -1.716*** 0.712*** 0.716***
[-4.99] [-5.07] [9.70] [10.64]
Cash/Assets -1.609** -1.617** 0.175 0.156
[-1.97] [-1.99] [1.56] [1.50]
Loan/Assets 0.000*** 0.000*
[3.18] [1.84]
Log(Maturity) -0.024 -0.035**
[-1.28] [-1.99]
Rating -0.040*** -0.038***
[-7.74] [-7.82]
No Rating 0.461*** 0.417***
[5.95] [5.78]
Observations 22,229 22,229 10,013 11,060
R-squared 0.927 0.927 0.832 0.830
Firm FE Y Y Y Y
Loan Type FE N N Y Y
Year FE Y Y Y Y
43
Table 9: Financing channel: debt issuance and legal risk
This table shows the negative effect of legal risk on Net debt issuance. Net Debt Issuance is long-term debt issuance
minus long-term debt reduction and scaled by total assets. Log(Legal) is the natural logarithm of the average
number of legal words in 10-K filings across previous three years. High Legal Risk is the sum of the top-quartile
dummy for 10-K legal words counts across previous three years. The data is from 1996 – 2015. All specifications
include firm and year fixed effects. Robust standard errors are clustered at the firm level. Variable definitions are
in Appendix A. ***, **, * denote significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels, respectively.
(1) (2)
VARIABLES Net Debt Issuance Net Debt Issuance
Log(Legal) -0.008***
[-6.80] High Legal Risk -0.006***
[-7.88]
Log(Assets) 0.020*** 0.020***
[13.67] [13.67]
Market-to-Book -0.001*** -0.001***
[-3.19] [-3.18]
Leverage 0.075*** 0.075***
[15.74] [15.74]
Cash Ratio 0.007 0.006
[0.97] [0.96]
Observations 72,144 72,144
R-squared 0.347 0.348
Firm FE Y Y
Year FE Y Y
44
Table 10: Attention channel: top management’s attention and legal risk
This table presents the effect of legal risk on events that consume top management’s attention. The dependent variables are class action lawsuit dummy, earnings restatement
dummy, special calls dummy, special shareholder meeting dummy, firm bylaw change dummy, and the natural logarithm of SEC 10-K filing views. Log(Legal) is the natural
logarithm of the average number of legal words in 10-K filings across previous three years. High Legal Risk is the sum of the top-quartile dummy for 10-K legal words counts
across previous three years. Columns 1 to 5 run logit regressions. Column 6 runs a panel regression. The data is from 1996 – 2015. All specifications include industry and year
fixed effects. Robust standard errors are clustered at the firm level. Variable definitions are in Appendix A. ***, **, * denote significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels, respectively.
(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6)
VARIABLES Class Action Restatement Special Call Special Meeting ByLaw Change Log(SEC Views)
Log(Legal) 0.157** 0.089*** 0.389*** 0.253*** 0.136*** 0.105***
[2.38] [3.13] [8.47] [4.22] [5.37] [10.35]
Log(Assets) 0.436*** -0.027** 0.332*** 0.018 0.131*** 0.321***
[16.12] [-2.20] [17.23] [0.91] [13.75] [73.19]
Market-to-Book 0.017*** -0.001 -0.003 -0.012*** -0.002 0.001
[2.81] [-0.22] [-0.93] [-2.77] [-1.44] [1.33]
Leverage -0.747*** 0.039 -0.092* -0.117* -0.082*** -0.030***
[-3.47] [0.91] [-1.68] [-1.82] [-2.82] [-2.70]
Cash Ratio 0.773*** -0.688*** 1.852*** -0.180 0.013 0.268***
[3.50] [-6.47] [14.95] [-1.08] [0.18] [10.06]
ROA -1.044*** -0.435*** -1.230*** -1.047*** -0.816*** -0.214***
[-5.60] [-5.70] [-12.01] [-8.44] [-14.01] [-9.56]
Observations 64,033 62,130 44,255 36,299 44,390 36,571
R-squared 0.213 0.0370 0.159 0.0325 0.0464 0.768
Industry FE Y Y Y Y Y Y
Year FE Y Y Y Y Y Y
45
Table 11: Operation costs, accounting performance, and legal risk
This table presents the effects of legal risk on SG&A, Cash flow and ROA. Log(Legal) is the natural logarithm of
the average number of legal words in 10-K filings across previous three years. High Legal Risk is the sum of the
top-quartile dummy for 10-K legal words counts across previous three years. The data is from 1996 – 2015. All
specifications include firm and year fixed effects. Robust standard errors are clustered at the firm level. Variable
definitions are in Appendix A. ***, **, * denote significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels, respectively.
(1) (2) (3)
VARIABLES SG&A Cash flow ROA
Log(Legal) 0.009** -0.003** -0.006***
[2.49] [-2.22] [-3.11]
Log(Assets) -0.170*** 0.037*** 0.075***
[-22.11] [15.06] [22.15]
Market-to-Book 0.030*** 0.001* -0.000
[16.05] [1.84] [-0.75]
Leverage 0.260*** -0.054*** -0.078***
[10.58] [-11.23] [-13.14]
Cash Ratio -0.242*** 0.016 0.107***
[-6.58] [1.39] [8.07]
Observations 77,538 76,754 77,459
R-squared 0.829 0.752 0.753
Firm FE Y Y Y
Year FE Y Y Y
46
Table 12: Stock performance and legal risk
This table shows the effect of legal risk on stock performance, which is measured by cumulative abnormal returns
(CARs) or buy and hold abnormal returns (BHARs). The CAR is based on the four-factor model (the Fama-French
3 factor model plus the momentum factor) and use a one-year window that begins at the firm’s fiscal year end date.
Log(Legal) is the natural logarithm of the average number of legal words in 10-K filings across previous three
years. High Legal Risk is the sum of the top-quartile dummy for 10-K legal words counts across previous three
years. The data is from 1996 – 2015. All specifications include firm and year fixed effects. Robust standard errors
are clustered at the firm level. Variable definitions are in Appendix A. ***, **, * denote significance at the 1%,
5%, and 10% levels, respectively.
(1) (2) (3) (4)
VARIABLES CAR BHAR CAR BHAR
Log(Legal) -0.020** -0.041*** -0.023** -0.041***
[-2.22] [-3.52] [-2.45] [-3.25]
Log(Assets) -0.154*** -0.087*** -0.119*** -0.049***
[-14.04] [-6.37] [-10.02] [-3.29]
Market-to-Book -0.087*** -0.105*** -0.101*** -0.122***
[-8.86] [-8.99] [-9.35] [-9.81]
Leverage 0.191*** 0.147*** 0.183*** 0.148***
[4.65] [2.99] [4.30] [2.88]
Cash Ratio -0.388*** -0.454*** -0.374*** -0.423***
[-7.08] [-6.61] [-6.54] [-5.81]
R&D/Assets 1.045*** 1.243***
[8.54] [8.75]
Acquisitions/Assets -0.394*** -0.319***
[-4.50] [-2.93]
Dividend Dummy 0.010 0.040
[0.29] [0.93]
Observations 47,635 47,635 44,511 44,511
R-squared 0.214 0.238 0.227 0.248
Firm FE Y Y Y Y
Year FE Y Y Y Y
47
Internet Appendix
48
Table IA 1: Legal words, legal risk, and SEC 10-K filings
Panel A: Thirty most common litigious words with negative connotation in 10 K filings
This table presents a list of the thirty most often mentioned legal and negative words in firm 10-K filings at the
SEC. The word list is from Loughran and McDonald Master Dictionary.
LITIGATION
BREACH
CLAIMS
DEFENDANTS
PLAINTIFFS
ALLEGED
PLAINTIFF
CRIMINAL
ALLEGING
DEFENDANT
INJUNCTION
ALLEGATIONS
ALLEGES
ENCUMBRANCES
BREACHES
PREJUDICE
ENCUMBRANCE
REVOCATION
BREACHED
UNLAWFUL
ALLEGEDLY
ANTITRUST
ALLEGE
PROSECUTION
REDACTED
INCAPACITY
SUE
PROSECUTE
FELONY
CONVICTION
49
Table IA 2: Lawsuits predictability
This table presents our legal measures’ predictability about firms’ lawsuits and legal damages. Log(Legal) is the
natural logarithm of the average number of legal words in 10-K filings across previous three years. High Legal
Risk is the sum of the top-quartile dummy for 10-K legal words counts across previous three years. The dummy
variable Lawsuit is equal to one if a firm has a lawsuit in a given year and zero otherwise. The data is from 2002
to 2015. All specifications include firm fixed effects and year fixed effects. Robust standard errors are clustered at
the firm level. Variable definitions are in Appendix A. ***, **, * denote significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10%
levels, respectively.
(1) (2) (3) (4)
VARIABLES Lawsuit Lawsuit Lawsuit Lawsuit
Log(Legal) 0.184*** 0.182***
[4.92] [4.86] High Legal Risk 0.048** 0.050**
[2.38] [2.47]
Log(Assets) 0.406*** 0.408*** 0.457*** 0.459***
[11.16] [11.20] [11.88] [11.93]
Market-to-Book -0.002 -0.003 -0.012** -0.013**
[-0.44] [-0.54] [-2.04] [-2.16]
Leverage 0.089 0.095 -0.007 -0.003
[1.21] [1.30] [-0.10] [-0.04]
Cash Ratio -0.204 -0.196 -0.129 -0.121
[-1.33] [-1.29] [-0.84] [-0.79]
R&D/Assets 0.452 0.455
[1.62] [1.63]
ROA -0.173*** -0.175***
[-4.39] [-4.45]
Observations 28,053 28,053 28,023 28,023
R-squared 0.02 0.02 0.02 0.02
Firm FE Y Y Y Y
Year FE Y Y Y Y
50
Table IA 3: Robustness – Industry*Year Fixed Effects
This table presents the effect of legal risk on investments. Log(Legal) is the natural logarithm of the average
number of legal words in 10-K filings across previous three years. High Legal Risk is the sum of the top-quartile
dummy for 10-K legal words counts across previous three years. UD Law equals one if a firm’s incorporation state
has passed a UD law and zero otherwise. The sample is from 1996 – 2015. All specifications include firm and
industry-year fixed effects. Robust standard errors are clustered at the firm level. Variable definitions are in
Appendix A. ***, **, * denote significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels, respectively.
(1) (2) (3)
VARIABLES Investment Investment Investment
UD Law 0.005**
[2.67] Log(Legal) -0.003***
[-7.64] High Legal Risk -0.002***
[-6.09]
Tobin's q 0.004*** 0.004*** 0.004***
[12.18] [10.25] [10.33]
Cash flow 0.025*** 0.027*** 0.027***
[14.40] [17.72] [18.15]
Observations 73,568 65,191 65,191
R-squared 0.666 0.681 0.680
Firm FE Y Y Y
Ind x Year FE Y Y Y
51
Table IA 4: Instrumental variables with settlement (rather than small settlement)
This table presents endogeneity tests using the IV method. The IVs are defined in Appendix A and are related to
the state-level legal environment or past firm settlements. Columns 1 (2) show the results of the first (second) stage
regressions. The dependent variable in these (2nd stage) tests is firm investment and the main independent variable
is firm-level legal risk measure. Log(Legal) is the natural logarithm of the average number of legal words in 10-K
filings across previous three years. The data is from 1996 – 2015. All specifications include firm and year fixed
effects. Robust standard errors are clustered at the firm level. Variable definitions are in Appendix A. ***, **, *
denote significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels, respectively.
(1) (2)
VARIABLES Log(Legal) Investment
Stage 1st 2nd
Log(Legal) -0.027***
[-3.43]
US Supreme Court 0.024***
[2.59] Settlement 0.117***
[10.38] Tobin's Q -0.015*** 0.006***
[-4.49] [10.71]
Log(Assets) 0.039*** 0.009***
[4.72] [9.02]
Leverage 0.044*** -0.011***
[4.77] [-7.76]
Cash Ratio 0.039 -0.016***
[0.94] [-4.10]
F-stat 56.72 Hansen J (p-value) 0.60
Observations 75,089 75,089
Firm FE Y Y
Year FE Y Y
52
Table IA 5: Firms Regulated by ATF
This table presents logit regressions of legal risk on dangerous, regulated industry dummies. Dangerous industries
are tobacco, alcohol, and guns. The dependent variable is equal to one for firms with the following SIC codes:
2100, 2111, 5180, 3480, and 2082. Log(Legal) is the natural logarithm of the average number of legal words in
10-K filings across previous three years. High Legal Risk is the sum of the top-quartile dummy for 10-K legal
words counts across previous three years. The sample is from 1996 to 2015. All specifications include industry
and year fixed effects. Robust standard errors are clustered at the firm level. Variable definitions are in Appendix
A. ***, **, * denote significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels, respectively.
(1) (2)
VARIABLES Tobacco/Alcohol/Guns Tobacco/Alcohol/Guns
Log(Legal) 0.942***
[9.39] High Legal Risk 0.326***
[5.09]
Log(Assets) 0.122*** 0.172***
[3.52] [4.94]
Market-to-Book 0.023** 0.021**
[2.32] [2.10]
Leverage -0.438** -0.281
[-2.05] [-1.37]
Cash Ratio -1.866*** -1.594***
[-4.72] [-4.03]
Observations 35,013 35,013
R-squared 0.105 0.0802
Industry FE Y Y
Year FE Y Y
53
Table IA 6: Defendants vs Plaintiffs
This table presents the effect of legal risk on the likelihood of being a plaintiff or a defendant Log(Legal) is the
natural logarithm of the average number of legal words in 10-K filings across previous three years. High Legal
Risk is the sum of the top-quartile dummy for 10-K legal words counts across previous three years. Number
defendant (plaintiff) is equal to the number of times a firm was a defendant (plaintiff) in US Federal District Court
cases in a given year. The sample consists of S&P 500 firms from 2000 – 2015. All specifications include firm
and industry-year fixed effects. Robust standard errors are clustered at the firm level. Variable definitions are in
Appendix A. ***, **, * denote significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels, respectively.
(1) (2) (3) (4)
VARIABLES Num(Defendant) Num(Defendant) Num(Plaintiff) Num(Plaintiff)
Log(Legal) 0.337** -0.023
[2.43] [-0.24] High Legal Risk 0.160* -0.003
[1.76] [-0.04]
Log(Assets) 1.132*** 1.143*** 0.599*** 0.597***
[6.18] [6.13] [4.21] [4.13]
Market-to-Book 0.326*** 0.326*** 0.219*** 0.219***
[3.60] [3.59] [2.92] [2.93]
Observations 5,984 5,984 5,984 5,984
R-squared 0.240 0.239 0.206 0.206
Ind FE Y Y Y Y
Year FE Y Y Y Y
54
Table IA 7: Derivative Lawsuits
This table presents the effect of UD Laws on the number of derivative lawsuits. UD Law equals one if a firm’s
incorporation state has passed a UD law and zero otherwise. Num(derivative lawsuits) is the number of lawsuits
in US Federal District Court classified as “stockholder suits.” The sample is from 1996 to 2015. All specifications
include industry and year fixed effects. Robust standard errors are clustered at the firm level. Variable definitions
are in Appendix A. ***, **, * denote significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels, respectively.
(1) (2)
VARIABLES Num(Derivative Lawsuits) Num(Derivative Lawsuits)
UD Law -0.002** -0.002*
[-2.21] [-1.90]
Log(Assets) 0.004*** 0.004***
[12.12] [12.54]
Market-to-Book 0.000*** 0.000
[3.19] [0.07]
Leverage 0.002***
[3.39]
Cash Ratio 0.007***
[4.09]
Observations 81,988 81,988
R-squared 0.010 0.010
Ind FE Y Y
Year FE Y Y
55
Table IA 8: Percent of Legal Words
This table presents the effect of legal risk on investments. Legal Pct is the number of legal words in 10-K filings
scaled by the total number of words in 10-K filings, averaged across the previous three years. The sample is from
1996 – 2015. All specifications include firm and year fixed effects. Robust standard errors are clustered at the firm
level. Variable definitions are in Appendix A. ***, **, * denote significance at the 1%, 5%, and 10% levels,
respectively.
(1) (2) (3)
VARIABLES Investment Investment Investment
Legal Pct -0.538** -0.547** -0.451**
[-2.30] [-2.36] [-1.97]
Tobin's Q 0.000*** 0.000*** 0.000***
[4.26] [4.26] [4.90]
Cashflow 0.006*** 0.005**
[3.15] [2.57]
Log(Assets) 0.000 -0.001
[0.02] [-0.60]
Cash Ratio -0.029***
[-8.54]
Leverage -0.009***
[-4.07]
Observations 77,364 76,593 76,593
R-squared 0.681 0.688 0.690
Firm FE Y Y Y
Year FE Y Y Y
56
Table IA 10: Lawsuit Predictability – Linear Probability Model
This table presents our legal measures’ predictability about firms’ lawsuits using a linear probability model.
Log(Legal) is the natural logarithm of the average number of legal words in 10-K filings across previous three
years. Lawsuit Dummy is equal to one if a firm has a lawsuit in a given year and zero otherwise. The data is from
1996 – 2015. All specifications include industry fixed effects and year fixed effects. Robust standard errors are
clustered at the firm level. Variable definitions are in Appendix A. ***, **, * denote significance at the 1%, 5%,
and 10% levels, respectively.
(1) (2) (3) (4)
VARIABLES Lawsuit Lawsuit Lawsuit Lawsuit
Log(Legal) 0.049*** 0.041***
[7.20] [5.99] High Legal Risk 0.037*** 0.034***
[7.18] [6.49]
Log(Assets) 0.068*** 0.067*** 0.073*** 0.073***
[14.92] [14.57] [15.53] [15.20]
Market-to-Book 0.004*** 0.004*** 0.003*** 0.003***
[10.90] [10.38] [9.82] [9.40]
Leverage -0.004 -0.003 -0.016*** -0.016***
[-0.96] [-0.70] [-3.55] [-3.49]
Cash Ratio 0.124*** 0.124*** 0.114*** 0.112***
[5.35] [5.20] [5.06] [4.89]
R&D/Assets 0.004 0.003
[0.17] [0.16]
ROA -0.101*** -0.103***
[-9.31] [-9.58]
Observations 62,647 62,647 62,596 62,596
R-squared 0.252 0.254 0.255 0.258
Ind FE Y Y Y Y
Year FE Y Y Y Y
57
Table IA 11: Special Call Examples
This table presents examples of Special Shareholder Calls from the Capital IQ database. These observations are
used in Table 9.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
12/16/10: Orthofix International – To discuss the reorganization and legal settlement
10/05/10: Cobalis Corp – To provide investors and shareholders with further details and the latest
updates about financial status and private funding; details of current legal and corporate issues; update
on the recent SEC complaint and resolution; resumption of trading; launch update; current legal
settlements and how the company is meeting the terms of its agreements; overview of additional revenue
opportunities; and what happened with previously planned product release dates
06/24/11: Iron Road Limited – To discuss the recently completed Central Eyre Iron Project feasibility
study and subsequent capital raising to advance the project towards production
08/10/11: International Stem Cell Corp – To provide an update on the business, including plans for
the future development of the skin care line; animal and potential clinical trials for Parkinson's and liver
diseases; and the company's business strategy for 2011 and longer term
11/22/11: Cybex International Inc – To provide business update on Appellate Decision in Product
Liability Suit
03/14/12: Cleveland BioLabs, Inc – To provide updates and address investor questions regarding the
company's progress with the FDA and government funding agencies, ongoing and pending clinical trials
and general business developments
__________________________________________________________________________________________
58
Table IA 12: Special Shareholder Meeting Examples
This table presents examples of Special Shareholder Meetings from the Capital IQ database. These observations
are used in Table 9.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
11/03/16: Arowana Inc., Special/Extraordinary Shareholders Meeting, Nov 03, 2016, at 11:00 US
Eastern Standard Time. Location: offices of Arowana’s counsel Graubard Miller 405 Lexington Avenue
New York, NY 10174 United States Agenda: To approve a proposal to amend its amended and restated
memorandum and articles of association to extend the date by which Arowana has to consummate a
business combination to January 9, 2017; and to approve a proposal to amend its charter to allow the
holders of ordinary shares issued in its initial public offering to elect to convert their public shares into
$10.20 per share, representing the pro rata portion of the funds held in the trust account established at
the time of the IPO, if the Extension is implemented (the “Conversion”), such conversion of shares to
be accomplished by means of a repurchase under Cayman Islands law.
10/13/16: Suffolk Bancorp, Special/Extraordinary Shareholders Meeting, Oct 13, 2016, at 10:00 US
Eastern Standard Time. Location: The Suffolk County National Bank, Administrative Center Lower
Level, 4 West Second Street Riverhead New York United States Agenda: To discuss merger agreement.
07/15/16: Carmike Cinemas Inc., Special/Extraordinary Shareholders Meeting, Jul 15, 2016, at 11:00
US Eastern Standard Time. Location: King & Spalding LLP 1180 Peachtree Street, N.E. Atlanta, GA
30309 United States Agenda: To consider the merger agreement with AMC Entertainment Holdings,
Inc.
06/23/16: Superconductor Technologies Inc., Special/Extraordinary Shareholders Meeting, Jun 23,
2016, at 10:00 US Mountain Standard Time. Location: 9101 Wall Street Suite 1300 Austin, TX 78754
United States Agenda: To approve amendment of restated certificate of incorporation, as amended, to
effect a reverse stock split of common stock at a ratio determined by board of directors within a specified
range, without reducing the authorized number of shares of common stock; to approve any adjournments
of Special Meeting to another time or place, if necessary, for the purpose of soliciting additional proxies
in favor of the foregoing proposal; and to transact such other business as may be properly brought before
the Special Meeting and any adjournments or postponements thereof.
05/10/16: HF Financial Corp., Special/Extraordinary Shareholders Meeting, May 10, 2016, at 14:00
Central Standard Time. Location: Hilton Garden Inn 201 East 8th Street, Sioux Falls South Dakota
57103 United States Agenda: To consider approval of the merger agreement.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
59
Table IA 13: Company Bylaw Change Examples
This table presents examples of Company ByLaw Changes from the Capital IQ database. These observations are
used in Table 9.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
05/16/13: Hess Corporation Announces Board Changes; Approves Amendment of Restated Certificate
of Incorporation and Bylaws; "Hess Corporation held its annual meeting of stockholders on May 16,
2013. The company announced in accordance with the company's commitment to separate the positions
of Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, the Board elected Dr. Mark Williams as non-executive
Chairman of the Board. The Board of Directors also appointed three Elliott nominees to the Board:
Rodney Chase, Harvey Golub, and David McManus. The Hess Board will continue to consist of 14
persons as a result of the retirements of Samuel W. Bodman, Craig G. Matthews, and Ernst H. von
Metzsch. Stockholders of the company approved the amendment of company's restated certificate of
incorporation and bylaws to declassify the board of directors, at the AGM held on May 16, 2013."
05/10/13: Valeant Pharmaceuticals International, Inc. to Amend Articles and By-Laws Valeant
Pharmaceuticals International, Inc. announced that it has provided additional information related to the
proposal to continue Valeant into British Columbia under the British Columbia Business Corporations
Act (the BCBCA). The Continuance is being presented for shareholder approval at Valeant's 2013
Annual Meeting of Shareholders to be held on Tuesday, May 21, 2013. If the Continuance is approved
by shareholders, Valeant's current Articles and By-laws under the Canada Business Corporations Act
will be replaced with a Notice of Articles and Articles under the BCBCA. The New Articles provide
that shareholders seeking to nominate candidates for election as directors must provide timely written
notice to Valeant in accordance with the terms of the New Articles (the Advance Notice Provision).
Valeant has modified the Advance Notice Provision to provide that, in the case of an annual general
meeting, a shareholder's notice must be received by Valeant no later than the close of business on the
50th day before the meeting date; provided, however, that if the date (the Notice Date) on which first
public announcement of the date of the annual general meeting was made is less than 60 days prior to
the date of the annual general meeting, a shareholder's notice must be received by Valeant no later than
the close of business on the 10th day following the Notice Date.
09/25/12: CSS Industries Inc. Names Robert E. Chappell as Member Board of Directors and as
Member of the Audit Committee; Announces Amendments to Bylaws "The board of directors of CSS
Industries Inc. increased the number of directors of the company from six to seven and filled the resulting
vacancy by electing Robert E. Chappell as a member of the company's board of directors. A former
director of the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, he currently serves as Chairman of The Penn
Mutual Life Insurance Company and as a director of the Quaker Chemical Corporation and of the South
Chester Tube Company. Mr. Chappell was elected as a member of the audit committee of the board of
directors of the company.
The board of directors of the company amended the last sentence of Section 4.03 of the company's
bylaws to change the age limitation for service on the company's board of directors by a director serving
as chairman of the board from eighty years of age to eighty-two years of age. As amended, the last
sentence if Section 4.03 of the bylaws reads as follows: A director serving as chairman of the board shall
not be qualified to stand for re-election or otherwise continue to serve as a member of the board of
directors past the date of the Annual Meeting of Stockholders of the corporation occurring in the
calendar year in which such director reaches or has reached his or her eighty-second birthday."
07/26/12: Brown-Forman Corporation Approves Amendment to its Charter; Brown-Forman
Corporation announced at the company's regular annual meeting of stockholders that its shareholders
approved an amendment to the corporation's charter to increase the number of authorized shares of Class
A common stock to 85 million and Class B common stock to 400 million.
60
08/19/11: J. M. Smucker Company Timothy P. Smucker Leaves The J. M. Smucker Company as Co-
Chief Executive Officer; Amends its Bylaws "The J. M. Smucker Company announced that effective
August 16, 2011, Timothy P. Smucker, Chairman of the Board and Co-Chief Executive Officer of the
Company, will no longer serve as a Co-Chief Executive Officer but will continue to serve as Chairman
of the Board of Directors of the company.
The Board of Directors approved and adopted amendments to the company’s Amended Regulations.
The Amendments modify existing provisions of the Regulations relating to (i) advance notice
procedures for shareholders to propose business or nominations for election of Directors to be
considered at annual or special meetings of the Company, and (ii) indemnification of the Company’s
directors and officers. The Amendments also fix the number of Directors of the Company at 13. The
Amendments became effective on August 17, 2011. The Amendments expand and modify the existing
advance notice provisions contained in Article I, Section 7 of the Regulations. The Amendments require
shareholders to provide notice of nominations of persons for election to the Board of Directors or other
business no earlier than 120 days, nor later than 90 days, prior to the anniversary date of the prior year’s
annual meeting (unless the annual meeting date is more than 30 days before or 60 days after the prior
year’s annual meeting date, in which case the Amendments provide for alternative notice deadlines).
The Amendments also amend Article II, Section 1 of the Regulations to fix the number of Directors of
the Company at 13."
__________________________________________________________________________________________