WESRAC USC Viterbi School of Engineering Connectivity Levels the Playing Field Urban and Rural Strategies CALED Conference Ken Dozier Executive Director

WESRAC USC Viterbi School of Engineering

Connectivity Levels the Playing Field Urban and Rural Strategies

CALED ConferenceKen Dozier

Executive Director WESRAC4/23/2006


WESRAC’S Job is to create jobs KEN DOZIER’S WESRAC TEAM AT USC IS PART OF THE NATIONAL TRADE ADJUSTMENT ASSISTANCE (TAA) PROGRAM THAT HAS RETAINED OR CREATED 48,000 JOBS IN COMMUNITIES ACROSS THE NATION SINCE 2000

THE TAA PROGRAM PROVIDES 75% OF THE COST OF TECHINICAL ASSISTANCE TO IMPORT IMPACTED MANUFACTURERS TO BECOME GLOBALLY COMPETITIVE

KEN IS LOOKING FOR MORE OF THESE MANUFACTURERS WHO ARE MAKING THE COMMITMENT TO FIGHT COMPETITION, IMPROVE PROCESSES, AND GROW AND FLOURISH

TAA EQUALS JOBS FOR YOUR COMMUNITY!

WANT TO KNOW MORE?


Help Ken reach more Manufacturers fighting Import Competition

Visit our WTAAC website: http://wesrac.usc.edu

The “LITMUS TEST” is the first step a firm takes to provide us qualifying information:http://wesrac.usc.edu/wtaac/litmus.html

Still have some questions?CONTACT: Mary Rhedin (213) 743-4443 EMAIL: [email protected]


WIRED Project Department of Labor Workforce Innovation in Regional Economic Development initiative

"Innovation, education and entrepreneurship: those are the keys that will open the door to challenging and rewarding jobs."Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger, February 2, 2006

• Interface with industry/economic development academia to support/develop education/training resources

• Create sustainable innovation economic development model

• Identify candidate companies for projects

WESRAC is a funded-partner of WIRED


Jack Welch, Former Chairmen General Electric

The Future

“When the Rate of Change Outside is Greater Than the Rate of Change Inside, The End Is In Sight”


Lon Hatamiya, Secretary - California Trade and Commerce Agency

Velocity

“ According to Silicon Valley CEO’s, 60 % of the high-tech items they manufacture today did not exist 10 months ago”


Truth Knowledge Belief

Universal

No Debate

Effect

Social

Converge on debate

Cause

Personal

Diverge on debate

Cause

10 Philosophical Mistakes (Adler 85)

What is Knowledge ?


“where ... The ENIAC is equipped with 18,000 vacuum tubes and weighs 30 tons, computer in the the future may have only 1,000 vacuum tubes and weigh only 1.5 tons” - Popular Mechanics, 1949

“I predict the internet... Will go spectacularly supernova and in 1996 catastrophically collapse ” - Bob Metcalfe, 3COM founder and inventor, 1995

“This ‘Telephone’ has too many shortcomings to be seriously considered as a means of communication. The device is inherently of no value to us”

- Western Union, Internal memo, 1876

“The problem with television is that the people must sit and keep their eyes glued on a screen; The average American family hasn’t time for it” - New York Times, 1949

“There is no reason anyone would want a computer in their home”- Ken Olson, president and founder, Digital Equipment Corp., 1977

The Future

Source: “The Future is Ours”Communication of the ACM, March 2001


Source: The world Competitiveness Yearbook IMD International

3. Finland

4. Luxembourg

5. Netherlands

6. Hong Kong

7. Ireland

8. Sweden

9. Canada

10.Switzerland

Global Competition1.

2.


6-D Dimensions of Global Commerce

Demassification

Denationalization

Despacialization

Disintermediation

Disaggregation

Decentralization

Source: The Social Life of information, Brown & Duguild


Chart Source: Corporate Information Systems, Applegate

Make & Sell vs. Sense & Respond


Info-Tech

Nano-Tech

Bio-Tech

Technologies Change Fast

Copyright SRI International 2002



Exponential EconomyAn increasing attribute of our knowledge age


0 2

9 28

Computing SynergyPossibility for creating N(2(N-1)-1) value



Media Bandwidth

DSL/ Cable

IEEE 1394 / Firewire

Gigabit Ethernet

LASER / Fast Ethernet

10BaseT/CAT 5 Ethernet

Microwave

G2 Wireless

G3 / Wireless LAN

Async. Trans. Mode (ATM)

G1 Wireless

10Gig Ethernet

Vo

ice In

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Fil

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Dig

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Mu

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SC

Vid

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S V

ideo M

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ideo

DV

Vid

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HD

TV

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10^11

10^10

10^9

10^8

10^7

10^6

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Ban

dw

idth

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What up?

• The United States gave birth to the Internet in the 1990s• It initially was the world leader in broadband deployment• By 2001 it had fallen to 4th place among nations in the

world in per capita broadband deployment.• Now it has plunged to 19th place.

http://www.websiteoptimization.com/bw/0601• Furthermore, the United States has also fallen far behind

the leading nations in access to high-capacity broadband connectivity, cost per unit of bandwidth, and growth of broadband subscribers.

• While the United States is still first in absolute number of broadband lines, its lead will soon be overtaken by China. http://www.websiteoptimization.com/bw/0601


How important is Broadband?

• The Brookings Institution estimated that America’s broadband decline could lead to a potential loss of $1 trillion in economic productivity over the next decade, as well as more than 1.2 million jobs that could be created by better broadband.9


Cities are getting it

• City of Amsterdam announced a project to deploy FTTU throughout the city. http://www.lightreading.com/document.asp?doc_id=86384

• Paris, France, announced the goal of deploying FTTU throughout “all of Paris.” http://www.lightreading.com/document.asp?doc_id=86547

• The City of Vienna, Austria, announced plans for a citywide FTTU network that will provide residents 1 Gbps of symmetrical broadband capacity. http://www.heise.de/english/newsticker/news/68912


The Studies are In

• Applied Economic Studies (AES) performed a rigorous econometric comparison of the economic development of Lake County, Florida, and the economic development of several comparable counties in Florida, in the period after Lake County began to offer municipal broadband service widely throughout the County. http://www.aestudies.com/library/econdev.pdf

• AES corrected for population growth and other variables that could distort the data. AES concluded: – Our findings are consistent with other analyses postulating that broadband

infrastructure can be a significant contributor to economic growth. The Bureau of Economic Advisors (along with others) has stated that broadband infrastructure confers positive, public benefits on the economy, and our results provide support for presence of large external benefits from communications networks.


THE BALLER HERBST LAW GROUP A PROFESSIONAL CORPORATION www.Baller.com

March 4, 2006 Re: The Case For Public Fiber-to-the-User Systems

• To stay competitive in the emerging global economy, America greatly needs a prompt and widespread upgrade of its advanced telecommunications infrastructure. The major incumbent telephone and cable companies cannot do this alone. In similar circumstances a century ago, when electric power was the must-have technology of the day and the private electric companies could not electrify America quickly enough, thousands of municipalities stepped forward to meet their communities’ own needs. Now, hundreds of progressive municipalities are ready to help themselves in the broadband area.


Case for WiFi


The Numbers Looks Good


Americas Most Wired Town

In 2000,

Blacksburg, VATotal population: 43,849

Total Households: 15,319

Source: Demographic Profile BEV, Andrea Kavanaugh


Blacksburg’s Telecommunication Philosophy

• Public has funded parks, roads, libraries, safety and sanitation for over 50 years.

• Every service was once provided by the private sector

• Public took over to protect common good

• Public Investment in telecommunications is necessary for viability in the Information economy.

Source: Andrew Cohill, “Telco. For neighborhood and communities”


Blacksburg's Level Playing Field

• Regulated monopoly service providers invested infrastructure in a risk free environment with a guaranteed rate of return.

• In many communities this is a source of income

• Local and regional entrepreneurial start-ups must compete against established monopolies.



Blacksburg’s Edge

• Modestly Invest in four low risk telecommunications areas.

• Allows startups access to the infrastructure needed to remain viable in the Information Economy.

• This has:– Spurred further private sector investment– Created jobs– Expanded the tax base– Provided greater choice in services



Community Investments

Source: Micheal Cohill, “Telco. For neighborhood and communities”

Community investment in duct allows small and regional entrepreneurial telcom companies to compete with “old” monopoly

services providers

may be provided by either the community or the

service provider. All present and future voice, video, and data services can be

delivered to the homes on a single fiber pair

Multimedia Service Access points, keep local

video, voice, and Internet data traffic within the community which reduce costs for all in

the community

Co-location facilities provide a place for service

equipment. Shared facilities reduce cost for all.

Duct

Dark Fiber

Co-location facilities

Date exchange Points


Source: Broadband Communication Systems, Conrad

HighBurst

Low Burst

64 K 1.5M 45M 150M 600M

bps

X.25

ISDN

FrameRelay

SwitchedT-Carriers

Dedicated Private lineand Ethernet

SMDS

1.6G

ATM/BISDN

Myrinet

DSL

Dialup

High Speed Services


Smart Building Project

• The 6 packs• 4 Category 7 cable• 1 Fiber Optic• 1 Coax Cable

• Energy and Efficiency

Image courtesy of Johnson Controls

The connection point in each cubicle / office

• ATM to the desktop.• A coaxial and fiber optic connection for next

generation high-speed bandwidth requirements like streaming video and distributive computing.

• Additional Ethernet ports for multiple connection.


Broadband over Powerlines (BPL)

Source: The Christian Science Monitor, “Web access may be as lose as an electrical outlet”

• A third alternative to cable company or from the local telephone company for broadband.

• Millions of miles of powerlines already in place. Reach people left out by cable and telephone companies.

• BPL improves efficiency to power companies with interactivity.

• Utilities can quickly identify where outages have taken place, read meters remotely, and conduct preventive maintenance.


High Performance Grid Computing


Blacksburg Supercomputer• Virginia Tech created cluster of 1,100

regular desktop Power Mac G5s.• Performance of 10 teraflops and peak of 17

teraflops

• January 2004, rank its as the 3rd fastest supercomputer in the world.

• Built with a budget of less than 5 million dollars

• Only needed 3,000 square feet with the use of small efficient rack-mounted cooling systems with outdoor chillers.

Source: VirginiaTech Research Division


Assessing Your Technology

Ind

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ry A

do

ptio

n o

f Te

chn

olo

gy

Executive’s Approach to Technology

CEO Not Involved CEO Involved

Bef

ore

Tec

hn

olo

gy

(No

n-C

ust

om

er F

aci

ng

)A

fter

-Te

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(Cu

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CIO Magazine June 2002


[email protected]

For more information, please write:

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WESRAC USC Viterbi School of Engineering Connectivity Levels the Playing Field Urban and Rural Strategies CALED Conference Ken Dozier Executive Director