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Veidekke - Property Scandinavia ABG Sundal Collier’s Nordic Property Tour Oslo, May 23., 2012 Terje R. Venold Arne Giske

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Page 1: Welcome to Veidekkemb.cision.com/Main/17348/2563518/870244.pdfNon-residential 35% 15% Asphalt, Road maintenance, Aggregates. 20% Housing. 4. Building/Construction is a Business in

Veidekke - Property ScandinaviaABG Sundal Collier’s Nordic Property TourOslo, May 23., 2012Terje R. Venold Arne Giske

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Welcome to Veidekke

2

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Today’s Veidekke

■ Scandinavian player

■ BNOK 350 total market

■ 5-6% market share

■ 6,100 employees

■ BNOK 18 in turnover

3

Norway72% of turnover

Sweden20% of turnover

Denmark8% of turnover

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Heavy construction 30%

Non-residential 35%

15% Asphalt, Road maintenance, Aggregates

20% Housing

4

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Building/Construction is a Business in Growth

DemographicsUrbanisationInfrastructureEnvironment & energy

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Order Backlog

6

■ Increased by 6% in quarter

■ Record high in Norway

■ Increasing level in heavy construction

■ Stable level in building

Order BacklogMNOK

0

2 000

4 000

6 000

8 000

10 000

12 000

14 000

16 000

18 000

Q1

07

Q3

07

Q1

08

Q3

08

Q1

09

Q3

09

Q1

10

Q3

10

Q1

11

Q3

11

Q1

12

Norway Sweden Denmark

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Property Scandinavia

7

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BackgroundUtilises the Group's resources■ Independent business area

■ Utilises Group’s resources Competence Capital

■ Work closely with our construction operations -results in high value creation

8

VEIDEKKE ASA

Construction Property Industry

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Veidekke Property Scandinavia focuses primarily on housing development in - and around - larger cities

■ Operations consist of 7 regions Sweden; Stockholm/Mälardalen, Skåne and Gothenburgh Norway; Oslo, East (Greater Oslo), North (Trondheim, Tromsø) and

South West (Kristiansand, Stavanger, Bergen)

■ Resources 100 employees

Business developers, project leaders and support staff Total capital invested of 3 BNOK

BackgroundVeidekke – Property Scandinavia

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45 102

225

300 32

4

19 -74

14

28050

90

220

-200

-100

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Project sales Housing sales

BackgroundFinancial performance

Profits before tax (EBT) Return on capital invested

9 % 10 %

19 % 21

%

25 %

8 %

1 %

12 %

0 %

5 %

10 %

15 %

20 %

25 %

30 %

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Return on capital invested (%)

Goal

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BackgroundCurrent performance - Q1 2012■ Good results in Norway

High number of pre-sales in ongoing and new projects

Strong market in and around major cities

■ Weak results in Sweden Weak sales in second half of

2011 resulted in postponement of construction starts

Increasing sales towards end of quarter

11

Figures in MNOK Q1 2012 Q1 2011 2011

Operating revenues 394.4 377.1 1,525.7

Operating profit (EBIT) 26.4 25.7 108.3

Profit, associated companies 3.2 21.1 181.2

Net financial items 8.3 -1.9 -8.5

Profit before tax (EBT) 37.9 44.9 281.0

Investert kapital 2,894 2,220 2,641

Result per Q1 2012 NO SE DK

Operating revenues 281 108 5

Profit before tax (EBT) 45 -5 -2

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BackgroundResidential Units under Production

12

■ 1,245 residential units under production 78% sales ratio

■ 192 units started, all in Norway

■ 51 units handed over

■ Expected production level at year-end of approx. 1,300 units

Units under production, Veidekke’s shareHousing units

0

500

1000

1500

2000

2500

Q4

05

Q4

06

Q4

07

Q4

08

Q4

09

Q4

10

Q4

11

Norway Sweden Denmark

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Background Residential Sales – Quarterly Trend

13

Kvillebäcken, the Cyklisten housing cooperation

Housing sales, Veidekke’s shareNumber of units

*Average during quarter

0

50

100

150

200

250

2008* 2009* 2010* Q1 11 Q2 11 Q3 11 Q4 11 Q1 12

Norway Sweden

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14

Konfektfabrikken ,stage 3■ The former production facilities of

Freia at Rodeløkka in Oslo■ 63 residential units■ 2,500 m2 outdoor premises■ Total of 201 residential units over

4 construction stages

Marienfryd, stage 3■ Situated between Lille Tøyen

Hageby and the Tiedemann Park in Oslo

■ 60 residential units■ A courtyard of 3,000 m2

■ Total of 381 residential units over 6 construction stages

Hagebyen, 1■ Situated at Fornebu in Bærum■ Ownership share 50%, along with

Fornebu Utvikling ASA■ 109 residential units■ Total of 347 residential units over

3 construction stages

Background Projects started this year

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Our business model Strategy and marketVeidekke has strong presence in housing development

Where?

■ Main focus is on capital cities and growth areas

What?

■ Prospect sales (”dream house” based on drawings)

Product?

■ Priority 1: Residential developmento Blocks - prefer larger projectso Row/small - take a larger share of market

■ Priority 2: Commercial developmento Selective projects mainly in combination with residential

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Our business model Demographic trends■ Population growth in Scandinavia

■ Urbanisation – relocation to larger cities

■ Aging population with resources

■ Underpins large housing need ahead

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Our business modelRisk assessmentProperty risk connected to:■ Market risk

■ Cost risk (secured through turnkey contracts)

■ Price risk - land and unsold apartments

Means■ Only engage in robust properties

■ Avoid extreme positions

■ Have optimal sales ratio in portfolio (min 50% pre-sales before building starts)

Measurement■ Covenants in bank agreement and internal risk assessments

We performed ok during thefinancial crisis –model is reasonably robust

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Our business modelRisk assessment and economic downturns

■ We must see ”through” recessionary periods

■ Take into account long regulation periods

Norway. Index1980=100

Produksjon Bygg and anlegg

Acquired CompletedÅrvollbrinken, Oslo (1987-2011)

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Our business modelGrowth is challenging■ Main limitations

Good sites Good developmental resources Long regulation periods

■ Our model – mix of Wholly-owned projects Joint ventures 50/50 Options on land bank

Persaunet, Trondheim

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Our business modelLand Bank■ Totalling 13,000 residential

units Veidekke’s share:10,500

■ In Norway: 6,500 residential units Including 2,500 jointly-owned

projects

■ In Sweden 6,500 residential units Approx. 70 per cent are

options

20

2,450

1,750

500

800

7501,350

950

4,200

250

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Our business model50/50-Joint VentureHagebyen, Fornebu (Bærum)

■ 50/50 with Fornebu Utvikling

■ 350 apartments and townhouses

■ Building start Q1 - Pre-sales 60%

” Young family dwellings”

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Our business modelOptions and 50/50-Joint Venture

Sädesärlan,Stockholm

■ High-standard project Upper Östermalm

■ Options with Stockholm municipality 2006

■ 50/50 joint venture with Selvaag Pluss

■ 74 apartments

■ Building start Q2

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Our business modelFinancial capacity■ Veidekke is virtually debt-free and has good financial capacity

■ Renewed loan agreement with new credit framework with DNB for 3.1 BNOK

■ 2.2 BNOK in available credit facilities according to 31 January 2012 agreement

Veidekke has the financial muscle to consider most possibilities

within residential development in Norway and Sweden

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Our business modelFinancial capacity

24

■ One of Oslo’s best location

■ Purchase price 700 MNOK

■ 50/50 with OBOS

■ Takeover March 2012

■ Tenants cover costs until 2016

■ Parallel assignment with 2-3 architects in March-April 2012

■ Regulation begins Q2 2012

Middelthunsgate 17, Oslo

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Our business modelValue-Creating Partnership

Value creation Land acquisition

Idea/ Consept Regulation Sale Building Hand-over

Property development X X X X (X) (X)

LocationPrice

OpportunitiesRisks

WhatFor Whom

Design

Utilisation Pricing QualityCosts

0-defect delivery

Construction (X) (X) X X

Time axis

Acquisition Building start3-5 years 1-2 years

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Our business modelValue-Creating Partnership

Calculation basis

Margin pressureRegulatory requirements:standard, environment,universal design, etc..

Volume studySQM 6250SQM salable 5000No. Apartments 63Average size 80No. parking/unit 1Veidekke Property Total Per Unit Per SQM

TurnoverSales revenue 275 000 000 4 400 000 55 000 Sales parking spaces 18 750 000 300 000 3 750 Total turnover 293 750 000 4 700 000 58 750

CostsLand costs 55 000 000 880 000 11 000 Planning 15 000 000 240 000 3 000 Building costs 150 000 000 2 400 000 30 000 Unexpected 7 500 000 120 000 1 500 Financial costs 22 000 000 352 000 4 400

Total costs 249 500 000 3 992 000 49 900

Client margin in NOK 44 250 000 708 000 8 850 Client margin in % 15 % 15 % 15 %

Veidekke Construction

Turnkey projects 150 000 000 Costs 132 000 000 Margin in NOK 18 000 000 Margin in % 12 %

Veidekke GroupRevenues 293 750 000

Margin Veidekke Property 44 250 000 Margin Veidekke Construction 18 000 000 Veidekke Group in NOK 62 250 000 Veidekke Group in % 21,2 %

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The road ahead B/C Markets in Scandinavia■ 4% growth in 2012

■ 2-3% growth in 2013-2015

■ Norway: Slower growth from a high level

■ Sweden: Steady, high activity

■ Denmark: Improving from a low level

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013E 2015E

B/C MarketFixed prices (BNOK)

27

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■ Good residential market in Norway and Sweden in 2012 28 000 dwellings in Norway 24 000 dwellings in Sweden

■ Large and growing residential needs around large cities 20 000 dwellings for greater Stockholm 10 000 dwellings yearly in Oslo/Akershus

■ Good financial outlook 2,5% GDP growth in Norway 1,5% GDP growth in Sweden 2-3% real wage growth in both countries Lower unemployment in Norway Unchanged unemployment in Sweden

The road ahead Residential markets in Norway and Sweden

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The road aheadResidential prices in Norway and Sweden

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The road aheadMarket outlookPrognosis: 27 000 - 30 000 new-starts in both countries

Sweden (Per capita 0.3%)

Source: SSB, own estimates

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

35000

40000

2000200120022003200420052006200720082009201020112012201320142015

Single houses Flats

Norway (Per capita 0.6%)

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

35000

40000

45000

50000

2000200120022003200420052006200720082009201020112012201320142015

Single houses Flats

Source: SSB, own estimates

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Towards 2,000-2,500 Units per Year in 2015

31

Housing units under production, Veidekke’s shareAnnual rate

■ Important profitability driver for Veidekke

■ Cooperation with construction units Project development Risk assessment Utilisation of capacity

and competence

0

500

1 000

1 500

2 000

2 500

3 000

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Norway Sweden Denmark

2 500

2 000

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Growth Targets

■ We will continue to deliver an annual growth rate of 10-15% in the run-up to 2015

■ Main drivers will be Property and Construction in Norway and Sweden

32

0

5 000

10 000

15 000

20 000

25 000

30 000

35 000

1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013E 2015E

Turnover development 1995-2015EMNOK

10-15%

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Earnings Targets

33

Targets 2011 Last 5 years Parameter

Construction 5% 2.1% 4.0% Profit margin

Property 15% 12.2% 8.6% Return on invested capital

Industry 6,5% 7.1% 3.4% Profit margin

Group 7% 4.2% 4.3% Profit margin

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We Shall Create …

Value for our shareholders

Profitable projects for our customers

Through our engaged and enthusiastic employees

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We Continue to Build on the Veidekke-House

35

Value-creating partnershipC

UST

OM

ERS

EMPL

OYE

ES

MAN

AG

EMEN

T

SUPP

LIER

S

Professional – Honest – Enthusiastic – Ground breaking

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