Weekly Market Outlook 11.02.12

8/3/2019 Weekly Market Outlook 11.02.12

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Mansukh Securities and Finance LtdOffice: 306, Pratap Bhavan, 5, Bahadur Shah Zafar Marg, New Delhi-110002Phone: 011-30123450/1/3/5 Fax: 011-30117710 Email: [email protected]: www.moneysukh.com

SEBI Regn No. BSE: INB010985834 / NSE: INB23078143

PMS Regn No. INP00000238

Sensex 17,749 0.82%

Nifty 5,382 1.05%

Gold(US$/oz) 1,724.2 -0.28%

Re/US$ 49.35 1.54%

Dow 12,801 -0.47%

Nasdaq 2,904 -0.07%

FX Res (US$ Bn) 293.753 -0.06%

Upto 10.02.12 FIIs DIIs

Total Feb 2012 8089.7 -4149.9

Total 2012 17,559 -10,880

Sectors Close %

Auto 9,713 1.99

Bankex 11,987 2.95

CD 6,169 5.78

CG 10,293 0.32

FMCG 4,131 0.24

Healthcare 6,347 -1.01

IT 6,050 2.33

Metal 12,365 4.13

Oil & Gas 8,771 0.94

PSU 7,673 2.50

Realty 1,887 5.77

Weekly Sector Movement

DATA MATRIX FOR THE WEEK

6th Feb 2012 - 10th Feb 2012

Net FII /DII Equity Activity (Rs Cr)

Weekly Markets

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SNAPSHOT

Winning momentum for the stocks markets in India got extended for yet another week on Friday asbenchmark indices managed to amass over a percent gains in the passing week and stretched the gainstreak for sixth straight week of 2012. The lead indices have vivaciously rallied close to 19% points sthe lows hit in Dec 2011 and have even outperformed most major markets across the globe thanks to

relentless buying by foreign funds who have poured in $3.6 billion in local equities so far this year.week started on a positive note as benchmarks carried forward the gaining momentum even after the two percent rally in the previous week, as sentiments were bolstered by unexpectedly encouraging

jobs data, signaling that worries over deep recession are making way for economic recovery. Howethe local markets slipped lower in the subsequent session after government data showed India's Ggrowth for FY12 would be 6.9%, which is a tad less than the widely expected figure of around 7%. bourses regained its gaining momentum in next two sessions as investors grew increasingly hopefulfurther external aid will soon be transferred to Greece helping to avoid a more disorderly default innear term.

WEEK AHEAD

In the coming week, investors are likely to keep a close eye on India's January wholesale price index (WPI) data which will give further directioto the markets. Also there will be some important result announcements in the next week, Suzlon Energy, Oil India, Cipla, Coal India, State Banof India, Sun Pharmaceuticals, Reliance Power, Steel Authority of India, Indian Oil Corp, Shree Renuka Sugar, Alstom Projects, Areva T&DLanco Infra etc. will be among the majors to announce their numbers in the coming week. From the global front, the traders will be eyeing the URetail Sales data on Feb 14, French and German GDP data along with European GDP numbers on Feb 15. US Industrial Production and FOMMeeting Minutes on Feb 15, followed by German Ifo Business Climate Index on Feb 17 and European Manufacturing and Services PMI on Fe17. Overall we are expecting a slightly range bound scenario between 5200-5480 though momentum still favoring the bulls. HAPPTRADING...

make more, for suWeekly Market Outlook 11 Feb 2012

India's indus trial out put grew at a sl ow pace of 1.8% in December 2011 as compared to 8.1% in December

year. Moreover, India's gross domest ic product (GDP) likely to grow by 6.9% in the fiscal year 2011-

according to advance estimat es released by the Central Statist ics Office (CSO), Ministry of Stat istics

Programme Implementat ion.

Volume* & Volatility Index (Nifty - Jan & Feb 2012)

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500

1000

1500

30-Jan 31-Jan 1-Feb 2-Feb 3-Feb 6-Feb 7-Feb 8-Feb 9-Feb 10-Feb

*NSE

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Cash Volume (Rs bn) F & O Volume (Rs bn) Volatility Index %

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3rd 2nd 1st 1st 2nd 3rd

Bajaj Auto Ltd 1586 1654 1695 1736.55 1763 1790 1858 PositiveBharat Heavy Electricals Ltd. 249 255 257 260.10 264 267 273 Neutral

Bharti Airtel Ltd. 333 342 346 349.90 356 361 370 Neutral

Cipla Ltd. 335 342 346 349.00 353 357 365 Negative

Coal India Ltd. 317 324 328 331.60 335 338 345 Neutral

DLF Ltd. 208 219 225 230.70 236 242 253 Neutral

GAIL (India) Ltd. 366 376 381 385.75 391 396 406 Neutral

HDFC Bank Ltd. 495 507 511 516.20 523 530 542 Positive

Hero MotoCorp Ltd. 1850 1917 1943 1969.70 2010 2051 2118 Positive

Hindalco Industries Ltd. 140 147 150 153.00 158 162 170 Neutral

Hindustan Unile ver Ltd. 371 380 384 387.75 393 399 408 Neutral

Housing Development Finance Corporation Ltd. 669 681 687 693.25 700 706 718 Neutral

ICICI Bank Ltd. 882 905 917 928.20 939 950 973 Neutral

Infosys Ltd. 2688 2733 2758 2782.70 2803 2823 2869 Neutral

ITC Ltd. 198 201 202 203.20 205 206 209 Neutral

Jindal Ste el & Power Ltd. 561 582 593 603.30 614 624 645 Positive

Larsen & Toubro Ltd. 1278 1316 1333 1350.40 1371 1392 1430 Neutral

Mahindra & Mahi ndra Ltd. 643 669 680 691.05 707 723 749 Neutral

Maruti Suzuki India Ltd. 1160 1207 1226 1245.25 1272 1299 1346 Negative

NTPC Ltd. 174 177 178 179.85 181 183 186 Positive

Oil & Natural Gas Corpn. Ltd. 265 274 278 281.45 287 292 301 Positive

Reliance Industries Ltd. 805 825 834 842.15 855 867 888 Neutral

State Bank Of India 2064 2121 2147 2172.50 2203 2233 2290 Positive

Sterlite Industries (India) Ltd. 117 123 126 129.05 132 135 140 Positive

Sun Pharmaceutical Inds. Ltd. 515 529 535 541.30 550 559 573 Neutral

Tata Consultancy Services Ltd. 1188 1207 1219 1230.55 1238 1246 1266 Positive

Tata Motors Ltd. 245 252 254 257.10 261 265 271 Positive

Tata Power Company Ltd. 102 107 109 110.85 114 117 122 Positive

Tata Steel Ltd. 370 416 445 475.00 491 508 554 Neutral

Wipro Ltd. 431 439 443 448.10 451 454 462 Positive

SUPPORT CLOSE PRICE

10.02.12

RESISTANCE

SENSEX 30-TECHNICAL LEVELS FOR THE UPCOMING WEEK ENDED 17th Feb 2012

INCLINATIOSCRIP




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Weekly Market Outlook






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3rd 2nd 1st 1st 2nd 3rd

Adani Power Ltd. 66 69 71 72.20 74 75 78 15740

Allahabad Bank 165 172 175 178.70 183 187 194 8510

Alstom Projects India Ltd. 339 357 364 371.00 382 393 411 2487

Andhra Bank 110 113 115 117.15 119 120 123 6555

Ashok Leyland Ltd. 25 26 26 26.65 27 28 29 7091

Aurobindo Pharma Ltd. 92 102 106 110.65 117 123 133 3221

Bajaj Hindusthan Ltd. 30 32 33 34.35 36 37 40 2196

BEML Ltd. 554 566 572 577.55 583 589 600 2405

Bharat Forge Ltd. 279 294 299 304.65 313 322 336 7092

CESC Ltd. 258 269 274 278.95 285 291 302 3485

Cummins India Ltd. 372 418 439 458.95 485 510 556 12722

DiviS Laboratories Ltd. 709 735 745 754.50 771 788 814 10012

Educomp S olutions Ltd. 212 232 241 249.65 261 271 291 2397

Great Eastern Shipping Company Ltd. 236 244 248 252.25 257 261 269 3842

GVK Power & Infrastructure Ltd. 15 16 17 16.85 17 18 19 2661

Hindustan Construction Company Ltd. 23 25 26 27.05 28 29 31 1641

Hotel Leela Venture Ltd. 31 34 36 36.95 39 41 44 1433Housing Development & Infrastr ucture Ltd. 87 91 94 96.45 99 101 106 4041

IDBI Bank Ltd 97 102 103 105.25 108 110 114 10363

India Cements Ltd. 86 90 92 94.00 96 99 103 2887

Indian Bank 226 234 238 240.95 246 250 259 10355

Indian Hotels Company Ltd. 68 71 72 73.50 75 76 79 5582

IVRCL Ltd. 47 52 54 56.65 60 63 68 1513

Jain Irrigation Systems Ltd. 87 93 95 96.55 100 104 109 3912

SW Steel Ltd. 737 778 797 816.65 837 858 898 18221

Lanco Infratech Ltd. 14 15 16 16.25 17 18 19 3913

Mahanagar Telephone Nigam Ltd. 27 28 29 29.25 30 31 33 1843

Mphasis Ltd. 352 362 367 371.50 377 383 394 7801

NCC Ltd. 48 51 52 53.10 55 57 60 1362

Oracle Financial Services Software Ltd 2080 2119 2137 2154.80 2176 2198 2237 18089Patel Engineering Ltd. 100 107 111 114.55 118 122 129 800

Petronet LNG Ltd. 151 160 163 166.70 172 178 187 12503

Piramal Healthcare Ltd. 412 422 426 430.30 436 441 451 7425

Praj Industries Ltd. 78 82 83 84.90 87 89 93 1545

Punj Lloyd Ltd. 50 55 57 58.65 61 63 67 1948

Rolta India Ltd. 75 83 87 91.95 95 98 105 1483

Shipping Corpn. Of India Ltd. 65 68 70 71.20 73 75 78 3316

Sintex Industries Ltd. 79 86 90 92.60 97 101 108 2528

Syndicate Bank 102 107 109 111.75 114 117 121 6406

Tata Chemicals Ltd. 318 336 347 356.75 364 372 390 9088

Tata Global Be verages Ltd 107 114 116 119.05 123 128 135 7362

Tata Teleservices (Maharashtra) Ltd. 15 16 16 16.10 16 17 17 3054

Tech Mahindra Ltd. 610 632 641 650.30 663 675 697 8284

Titan Industries Ltd. 189 199 203 206.85 213 219 228 18364

Ultratech Cement Ltd. 1295 1342 1361 1378.75 1408 1436 1483 37786

Unitech Ltd. 27 28 29 29.35 30 31 32 7679

United Phosphorus Ltd. 141 146 149 151.10 154 156 161 6978

Vij aya Bank Ltd 57 59 60 61.60 63 64 66 2912

Voltas Ltd. 90 95 98 99.90 103 106 112 3306

Welspun Corp Ltd. 124 128 131 133.45 135 137 142 3040

SUPPORT CLOSE PRICE

10.02.12

RESISTANCE

NSE MI DCAP 50-TECHNICAL LEVELS FOR T HE UPCOM ING WEEK END ED 17th Feb 2012Marke t Ca

(Rs CroreSCRIP

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FORTHCOMING CORPORATE ACTIONS

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Ex-Date Company Name NSE- Symbol Purpose

13-Feb-12 Ambuja Cements Limited AMBUJACEM FINAL DIVIDEND RS.1.80 PER SHARE

13-Feb-12 Manappuram Finance Limited MANAPPURAM INTERIM DIVIDEND RE.0.50 PER SHARE13-Feb-12 Global Offshore Services Limited GLOBOFFS 2ND INTERIM DIVIDEND RE.0.50 PER SHARE

13-Feb-12 Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone ADANIPORTS INTERIM DIVIDEND RE.0.30 PER SHARE

13-Feb-12 Power Grid Corporation of India Limited POWERGRID INTERIM DIVIDEND RE.0.80 PER SHARE

13-Feb-12 Cholamandalam Investment and Finance CHOLAFIN INTERIM DIVIDEND RS.1.50 PER SHARE

14-Feb-12 India Nippon Electricals Limited INDNIPPON INTERIM DIVIDEND RS.4/- PER SHARE

14-Feb-12 MPS Limited MPSLTD INTERIM DIVIDEND RS.2/- PER SHARE

15-Feb-12 Page Industries Limited PAGEIND 3RD INTERIM DIVIDEND RS.10/- PER SHARE

15-Feb-12 Gravita India Limited GRAVITA INTERIM DIVIDEND RE.1/- PER SHARE

15-Feb-12 Gujarat Ambuja Exports Limited GAEL INTERIM DIVIDEND RE.0.60 PER SHARE

15-Feb-12 Carborundum Universal Limited CARBORUNIV INTERIM DIVIDEND RE.1/- PER SHARE

16-Feb-12 Dynamatic Technologies Limited DYNAMATECH 2ND INTERIM DIVIDEND16-Feb-12 Sun TV Network Limited SUNTV INTERIM DIVIDEND

16-Feb-12 R. S. Software (India) Limited RSSOFTWARE INTERIM DIVIDEND RE.1/- PER SHARE

16-Feb-12 Sundram Fasteners Limited SUNDRMFAST 1ST INTERIM DIVIDEND

16-Feb-12 Bajaj Corp Limited BAJAJCORP INTERIM DIVIDEND RS.4/- PER SHARE

16-Feb-12 Rane Holdings Limited RANEHOLDIN INTERIM DIVIDEND RS.6/- PER SHARE

16-Feb-12 Engineers India Limited ENGINERSIN INTERIM DIVIDEND

16-Feb-12 MphasiS Limited MPHASIS DIVIDEND-RS.6.50 PER SHARE

16-Feb-12 Container Corporation of India Limited CONCOR INTERIM DIVIDEND RS.7.50 PER SHARE

16-Feb -12 M MT C Limi ted MMTC INTERIM DIVIDEND

16-Feb -12 M OIL Limi ted MOIL INTERIM DIVIDEND RS.2/- PER SHARE

16-Feb-12 MBL Infrastructures Limited MBLINFRA INTERIM DIVIDEND16-Feb-12 Steel Authority of India Limited SAIL INTERIM DIVIDEND

16-Feb-12 Symphony Limited SYMPHONY FACE VALUE SPLIT RS.10/- TO RS.2/-

17-Feb-12 Goldiam International Limited GOLDIAM INTERIM DIVIDEND RS.1.10 PER SHARE

21-Feb-12 Snowcem India Limited SNOWCEMIND ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING

23-Feb -12 PSL Limi ted PSL INTERIM DIVIDEND





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pertaining to this report, including without limitation the implied warranties of merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose, and non-infringemeThe recipients of this report should rely on their own investigations.MSFL and/or its affiliates and/or employees may have interests/positions, financial or otherwise in the securities mentioned in this report. Tnformation is subject to change without any prior notice. MSFL reserves the right to make modifications and alterations to this statement as mayequired from time to time. Nevertheless, MSFL is committed to providing independent and transparent recommendations to its clients, and would

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NAME DESIGNATION E-MAIL

Varun Gupta Head - Research [email protected]

Pashupati Nath Jha Research Analyst [email protected]

Vikram Singh Research Analyst [email protected]

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Total No. of Calls Profitable Calls Positional/Hold Exit/Stop Loss Success Rate

26 18 1 7 72.00%

EQUITY CALLS PERFORMANCE FOR THE WEEK ENDED 10 th Feb 2012

Documents

Weekly Market Outlook 11.02.12