Week 9 Subscription

8/14/2019 Week 9 Subscription

1/14

Catch Lance Zierlein from 6 to 10 am daily,alongside John Granato. Listen to John Harris on

the Sean and John show, with Sean Pendergastshow 3 to 7 PM daily. www.1560thegame.com

AViewfomteSideline

Brett Favre returnsThe great people of Green Bay are a forgiving lot. Trust me, I knowthem very well. But, cross them with a move to a rival and watch the

green and gold faithful turn on Favre quicker than you can say can Ihave the red sauce with my brat?. With Favre and the Vikings inLambeau for the first time since #4 started wearing purple and gold,expect the, well, expect the unexpected.

Hey Brett, suck my icicles!
http://www.1560thegame.com/http://www.1560thegame.com/


2/14

NFL SECTION BY LANCE ZIERLEIN WEEK 8

Houston (4-3) vs. Buffalo (2-4)

Texans - 23 vs. Bills - 20

November 1, 2009 - CBS 12 PM CST

t 2009 Ranking

79.1 ypg - 30th Run Offense 111.9 ypg - 15th

285.6 ypg - 3rd Pass Offense 161.6 ypg - 28th

23.9 ppg - 13th Scoring Offense 16.1 ppg - 24th

115.6 ypg - 21st Run Defense 172.4 ypg - 32nd

228.4 ypg - 18th Pass Defense 190.4 ypg - 10th

22.6 ppg - 20th Scoring Defense 19.7 ppg - 13th

+3 -9th TO Margin +2 - 12th

When the Texans have the ball... The Texans had great success against the 49'ers when they went with their play-action game on first down as they connected on 4 of 5 passes for 130 yards and a TD.The problem against the Billsis that they are likely to see a much tougher pass defense that is geared towards taking away the big play. The Billshad a stretch of four straight games where they allowed 156 or less total passing yards. Then again, I probably shouldmention that during that same four game stretch, they allowed 222, 250, 171 and 318 yards rushing. If the Texans can'trun it against the Bills who are giving up 171 yards per game and 5.3 ypc, then they simply aren't going to be able to runit this year. Look for more ground attack and a little less air attack this week.

When the Texans have the ball...The Bills offense hasbeen one of the most disappointing sides of the ball for anyteam in the NFL. With Trent Edwards expected to show

growth and with Terrell Owens added to Lee Evans and acrop of talented, youngWRs, everyone thought the Bills

would pound Marshawn Lynch and light it up over the topwith Owens and Evans but thathasn't happened. The Billpassing game is an abomination and they are unlikely to get it

going against the Texans. What the Texans will see is a Billsoffense that plans on running the football, but that is mucheasier said than done these days with the Texans limiting thelast three teams they've faced to less than 60 yards rushing.

QB Edwards is back at practice (concussion) and might goagainst the Texans.

Conclusion: This feels like a trap game so look out. The Bills passing game has been so bad that it is borderlineunbelievable based on the talent that they have at the skill positions. If the Texans make the Bills dink and dumptheir way down the field, it is unlikely that the Bills will be able to sustain many drives but the Texans cannot let theBills hit the big plays on them. Look for the Texans to win a close one and look for the running game to get better.

Vegas Line: HOU -3.5 / 41.5

2009 ATS Record4-2-1

2009 Over/Under2-4-0

Last 5 Games10/25 W, San Fran. 24-21

10/18 W, @ Cincinnati 28-1710/11 L, @ Arizona 21-28

10/4 W, Oakland 29-69/27 L, Jacksonville 24-31



Last 5 Games10/25 W, @ Carolina 20-910/18 W, @ NY Jets 16-13

10/11 L, Cleveland 3-610/4 L, @ Miami 10-38

9/27 L, New Orleans 7-27

Last Meeting: Buffalo- 24 vs. Houston - 21 (11/19/2006)

Fantasy ReportSteve Slaton, Texans RB-Despite the fumblelast week, the Texans had to be excited toseeSlaton get in the endzone twice and this is a goodmatchup for him.

Marshawn Lynch, Bills RB - The Texans havedone a very good job against the run recentlyand Lynch can't be considered anything morethan an average RB2 here.


3/14

Minnesota (6-1) vs. Green Bay (4-2)

Packers - 28 vs. Vikings - 21

November 1, 2009 - FOX 3:15 PM CST

t 2009 Ranking

119.9 ypg - 12th Run Offense 118.0 ypg - 13th

233.7 ypg - 13th Pass Offense 258.3 ypg - 10th

29.4 ppg - 3rd Scoring Offense 26.8 ppg - 8th

95.4 ypg - 10th Run Defense 97.5 ypg - 12th

234.6 ypg - 20th Pass Defense 174.0 ypg - 4th

21.1 ppg - 17th Scoring Defense 16.0 ppg - 5th

+7 -Tied 5th TO Margin +10 - 2nd

When the Vikings have the ball... In their last matchup, Brett Favre played about as well as I've seen him play allyear and as well as I've seen him play in the last couple of years. The Vikings are still going to be a run first team butit isn't like they have completely dominated teams with their rushing attack. Instead, HC Childress has done a verynice job of getting rookie WR Harvin involved in the offense and getting him his fair share of touches while Favre hasstarted to look the way of WR Rice more and more. Last time out the Packers stacked the line of scrimmage anddared Favre to beat them and he did. My guess is that they are going to do more of the same this time but with abrand new set of blitz packages and maybe a few that they saw from the Steelers last weekend.

When the Packers have the ball... The offensive linehasn't been up to par for the Packers this year but theyshowed signs of turning it around last. Before anyone just

writes off Ryan Grant and the running game this week sincethey are playing the Vikings, keep in mind that the Steelersaveraged over 5 ypc and I think the Packers have a chance torun the ball with some success if they do it out of 3 and 4WR sets that forces the Vikings into nickel situations. QBRodgers will attack the Packers with much more confidencethan he showed in week 1 and I'm guessing the Packers arebetter prepared to handle the onslaught of Jared Allen thistime around. With Vikings CB Winfield out, Rodgers shouldbe able to put significant pressure on the Vikings secondary.

Conclusion: The last meeting was all about the terrific play of Brett Favre and Jared Allen. I'm looking for apotential revenge game for the ages here. Favre back in Lambeau is going to cause a stir with the fans, but the Packerplayers have probably been chomping at the bit to to get back at the Vikings and play with more confidence on bothsides of the ball than they showed in the first meeting.

Vegas Line: GB -3 / 47



Last 5 Games10/25 L, @ Pittsburgh 17-27

10/18 W, Baltimore 33-3110/11 W, @ St. Louis 38-1010/5 W, Green Bay 30-239/27 W, San Fran. 27-24



Last 5 Games10/25 W, @ Cleveland 31-3

10/18 W, Detroit 26-010/05 L, @ Minnesota 23-309/27 W, @ St. Louis 36-179/20 L, Cincinnati 24-31

Last Meeting: Minnesota - 30 vs. Green Bay - 23 (10/5/2009)

Fantasy Report

Percy Harvin, Vikings WR -Harvinhasn't been ahuge fantasy steal, but he has been fairly steadyand should be considered in a flex role this week.Greg Jennings,Packers WR- With CB Winfieldout, Jennings should finally find an opportunity tocut it loose and produce the results that ownershave been looking for.


4/14

I started to point this out last week when the Falconsplayed the Cowboys, but when youlook at the body of work from theFalcons, it isn't nearly as impressive as

their record would indicated.

For example, Falcons opponents haverushed for more yards andpassed formore yards than the Falcons this year.

That isbad news when you considerwho their opponent is this week.

The Saints looked like they wereburied last week when the Dolphinshad them down 24-3 but that offense

got going and their defense started towhat they've been able to do for muchof this year - make plays. While Pierre

Thomas doesn't look like he's all the way back yet, Mike

Bell is running with a great deal of confidence and thereturn of WR Lance Moore has addedyet another weapon in the arsenal ofQB Drew Brees who proved he could

not only come from behind, but windespite having a below average game.

Atlanta has got to get Michael Turnerchurning up defenses once again.Maybe the Falcons need to workbackwards and set up the run withtheir passing game on first downs.

Whatever the case, the Falcons have tofind a way to control the tempo of this

game with their own ground game orthey will find themselves trying to getinto the 30s just to stay in this one.

ATLANTA (4-2)VS. NEW ORLEANS (6-0) VEGAS SAYS: NO -10 / 54

Me picking against the Broncos is kind

of becoming a joke since that is all I doand all they do is win and make me looklike a fool.

The Broncos don't have an impressiveQB and their running game is pretty

good but hardly exceptional. What isimpressive about this team is that theyhave only one game where they havehad more turnovers than theiropponents and the re-tooling of theBroncos defense has been nothingshort of miraculous.

The Ravens offense has scored 30 ormore points in four of their six gamesthis year and RB Rice has the potential to be the nextMichael Turner if the Ravens will trust him with more of

a workload. While the Ravens don't

have a true #1 WR, they are diverseenough to move the ball withoutcounting on any one player.Theirbiggest issue right now is their defenseand primarily their pass defense. Totighten up the back end of theirdefense, the Ravens must get pressureon QB Orton.

Both teams are coming off of bye weeksso I'm not sure if preparation was anydifferent for this game for either side.

The Broncos have to continue to play

smart football and great defense whilethe Ravens have to impose their will on

the Broncos early on. Look for oldschool Ravens football in the first quarter to set the tone.

Fantasy Report

This is a division game and theSaints are not going to let offthe gas at all. I have torecommend emptying yourbench if you have Falcons orSaints here because I'mexpecting a pretty high scoringaffair that fantasy owners willlove.

PREDICTION: BALTIMORE - 20 VS. DENVER- 12

PREDICTION: NEW ORLEANS - 35 VS. ATLANTA - 24

DENVER(6-0)VS. BALTIMORE (3-3) VEGAS SAYS: BAL -3.5 / 41.5

Fantasy Report

Ray Rice will find the going alittle tougher against theBroncos, but I still look for himto finish with around 70yardson the ground and 25 to30 through the air. BrandonMarshall could go either wayhere. If the Ravens don't getpressure on Kyle Orton,Marshall could come up big, butI think the pressure will be

there.

November 2, 2009 ESPN 7:30 PM CST

November 1, 2009 CBS 12 PM CST


5/14

PREDICTIONS ON ALL NFL GAMES THIS WEEKEND

Denver at Baltimore -The Broncos are coming off of a bye week which is nice because I'm sure Josh McDanielsspent the entire time preparing for Baltimore's blitz packages.The Broncos defense has been terrific this year, butthe Ravens will give them a test on Sunday.Broncos - 14 vs. Ravens - 23

Cleveland at Chicago - Chicago had a disastrous game against the Bengals while the Browns entire season has been adisaster.The Bears running game just can't get going, but they have more than enough offense here.The Brownsdon't have enough firepower to win this one.Browns - 17 vs. Bears - 28

San Francisco at Indianapolis -The Colts are playing as steady as anyone in football right now and they are doing itwithout a steady threat at RB.The Colts defense has shown much more consistency and the Niners are about to behumbled once again after losses to the Falcons and Texans in 2 of the last 3 weeks.Niners - 13 vs. Colts - 24

Miami at NY Jets -The Jets hammered the Raiders thanks to a monstrous rushing attack and that is the formula forthem for the rest of the year. Play good defense and run the ball. Unfortunately, they have to face a Dolphinsdefense that is strong against he run and will give QB Sanchez trouble.This game figures to be a fist-fight with themost efficient QB making the difference.Dolphins - 17 vs. Jets - 16

Seattle at Dallas - Dallas has to be thrilled with the emergence of Miles Austin because it finally looks like QB Romohas a WR he can count on down the field.The Cowboys are one of the tops in the league when it comes to explosivepassing plays and their defense might be coming around as well. Seattle has to have a big game from Hasselbeck andthe secondary in this spot.Seahawks - 21 vs. Cowboys - 27

St.Louis at Detroit -The Rams running game has been steadily improving and that will help them in this one.The real question is how the Lions come out after a bye week.The Lions have shown signs of improvement and theRams defense will have a tough time stopping the Lions deep passing game.Rams - 21 vs. Lions - 24

Oakland at San Diego -The Raiders opened eyes with their upset over the Eagles, but it was back to reality lastweek while the Chargers gained some confidence back with a lopsided win over the Chiefs.The Chargers defense isinconsistent but against the Raiders it doesn't matter.The Raiders rush defense was terrible last week vs. the Jets solet's see if the Chargers take advantage of it.Raiders - 13 vs. Chargers - 28

Jacksonville at Tennessee -The Jaguars are hanging in there this year thanks to improved play by the defense andQB Garrard. MJD is maybe the most consistent back in all of football but running it on the Titans won't be easy.

The Titans are done, but they have pros on that team who will want to battle back after their embarrassment to thePatriots.Jags - 16 vs. Titans - 21

Carolina at Arizona- So what do we make of the Cardinals?At times they look very average but they slapped theSeahawks with QB Hasselbeck back and they took it to the Giants in the Meadowlands.The Panthers are such amess at QB that I've given up on them.Panthers - 17 vs. Cardinals - 27


6/14

HANDICAPPING INFORMATION

Against The Spread Trends (ATS)

Category Record PercentAway Teams 53-48-2 52.48%Home Teams 48-53-2 47.52%Favorites 56-45-2 55.45%Dogs 45-56-2 44.55%Away Favorites 22-14-0 61.11%Away Dogs 31-34-2 47.69%Home Favorites 34-31-2 52.31%Home Dogs 14-22-0 38.89%

Over vs. Under Trends

Category Overs % Unders %

Overtime Games 3 50.00% 3 50.00%Non-Overtime Games 50 52.63% 45 47.37%All Games 53 52.48% 48 47.52%

Top Ten Trends for Week 8

DENVERis 6-0ATS(+6.0 Units) in all games this season

4 of 5 games in VIKINGS/PACKERS have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

ST LOUIS is 11-24ATS(-15.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons

SAN DIEGO is 4-1 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons

ARIZONA is 7-0ATS(+7.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 2 seasons

PHILADELPHIA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons

4 of 5 games inEAGLES/GIANTS have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

NEW ORLEANS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons

BILLSare 1-7 (-6.7 Units) ATS in their last 8 home games

JETS are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite


7/14

-The Arizona Cardinals have been right there with theHouston Texans in terms of ineffective rushing games,but keep an eye on Beanie Wells who had 14 carriesfor 67 yards and a TD last week.

- Ricky Williams' performances this year simply can'tbe ignored by fantasy owners who are keeping him onthe bench. Over the last 4 weeks, Williams has scored 5

TDs and his fantasy points have been 13, 15, 13 and 27(+/- a point or two depending on your scoring). It's timeto start Ricky if you're not.

- For some odd reason there were questions galoreabout whether or not to start Laurence Maroneylast

week. Let me do everyone a favor just to save us bothtime. I don't care what any Patriots RB does in theprior week. I can never give a recommendation to a

Pats RB because they are revolving door backs who aregiven carries seemingly randomly by Belichick and thePats. Don't try to time the market on this one becauseit probably won't happen.

- So is it Shonn Greene time on the waiver wire?Probably so. With Leon Washington out, the Jets are

going to be leaning on both Thomas Jones and Greeneto pound that rock and protect Mark Sanchez from

having to air it out too often. Greene looked veryimpressive against the Raiders with 144 yards and 2 TDsand he's a legit goal line back if needed.

- I remember doing some research this summer to seewhich RB might have the toughest schedule this year asit pertains to his fantasy value and wouldn't you knowthat the answer was clearly-Michael Turner. Sureenough, Turner is struggling. The good news is that

Turner has scored a TD in every game but the first butthe bad news is that he doesn't get any passes thrown tohim and he's rushed for more than 65 yards just twicethis year.

- Don't just dismissJamaal Charles as a viable fantasyoption with Chiefs RB Larry Johnson suspended.Charles has more explosion to the hole and he is abigger potential factor in the short passing and screen

game as well.

FANTASY NOTES

- Scouts were impressed with Oregon CB JairusByrd before this year's draft but most of them felt likehis lack of top-end speed would necessitate a move to

safety. Sure enough, the Bills drafted Byrd, moved himto safety and he's come up with 4 INTs over the lasttwo weeks. I think we'll start seeing more CBs turnedsafeties and guards turned centers in the coming years.

- I noticed in the Saints and Dolphins game thatthe Saints were able to slow down the Wildcat byblitzing CB Jabari Greer off the edge almost everytime they saw that formation. With his speed, Greer

was able to help contain the perimeter on his side and itwas one of the first times I've seen a defense try andtake it to the Dolphins' Wildcat rather than sit backand play it passively.

-There is no reason for Jake Delhomme to be thestarter this weekbut as I write this, Delhomme hasbeen named the starter once again. Delhomme hasthrown 13 INTs for a team who is 2-4 and he hasn't evenbeen close on his INTs. He is single-handedly losing

games and costing the Panthers a chance to win. I'mnot saying that Matt Moore or AJ Feeleyis theanswer, but at what point do Panther players just quit

on Delhomme? My guess is that it has alreadyhappened.

- I'm not sure why so many RBs continue to thinkitwill be beneficial for them to gain weightsothat they can "take the pounding" better when timeand time again we've seen this strategy backfire.Mike Bell, Ced Benson and Willis McGahee haveall benefited from losing weight and adding quicknessjust as Ricky Williams benefited when he left NewOrleans and came to Miami. For a RB in the NFL,quickness is much more important than bulk as itpertains to performance.

- Dallas Cowboys offensive coordinator JasonGarrett isn't the hot prospect he was a couple of

years ago, but his offense has quietly put together animpressive string of big plays this year. QB Romo isn'tafraid to take shots down the field and his WRs areresponding with quite a few big plays. Sam Hurd has a53 yard catch, Roy Williams has a 66 yard TD catch,Patrick Craytonhas an 80 yard TD catch and Miles

Austin has TD catches of 42, 59, 59 and 60!

NFL NEWS AND NOTES


8/14

CFB SECTION BYJOHN HARRIS WEEK 9

Texas (7-0) vs. Oklahoma State (6-1)

2009 ScheduleW, ULM 59-20

W, @ Wyoming 41-10W, Texas Tech 34-24

W, UTEP 64-7W, Colorado 38-14

W, Oklahoma(Dallas) 16-13W, @ Missouri 41-7

10/31 @ OSU

Projected Starting LineupsOffense

QB #12 Colt McCoyRB #28 Fozzy Whittaker

WR #84 Marquise GoodwinWR #8 Jordan ShipleyTE #83 Greg Smith

T #64 Kyle HixG #63 Michael Huey

C #71 Chris HallG #52 Charlie TannerT #74 Adam Ulatoski

DefenseDE #2 Sergio Kindle

DE #81 Sam AchoDT #33 Lamarr HoustonDT #92 Ben Alexander

LB #1 Keenan RobinsonLB #38 Roddrick Muckelroy

LB #18 Emmanuel AchoS #21 Blake GideonS #12 Earl Thomas

CB #4 Aaron WilliamsCB #3 Curtis Brown

Texas - 24 vs. Oklahoma State - 21

2009 ScheduleW, Georgia 24-10L, Houston 45-35

W, Rice 41-24W, Grambling State 56-6W, @ Texas A&M 36-31

W, Missouri 33-17W, @ Baylor 34-7

10/31 Texas


QB #11 Zac RobinsonRB #5 Keith TostonFB #37 Bryant Ward

TE #86 Wilson YoumanWR #84 Hubert AnyiamWR #81 Justin Blackmon

T #76 Russell OkungG #77 Noah FranklinC #54 Andrew LewisG #68 Lane Taylor

T #60 Brady Bond

DefenseDE #50 Jamie BlatnickDE #91 Ugo Chinasa

DT #98 Derek BurtonNT #90 Swanson Miller

LB #20 Andre SextonLB #44 Donald BookerLB #4 Patrick LevineS #31 Lucien Antoine

S #10 Markelle MartinCB #16 Perrish Cox

CB #23 Terrance Anderson

R 2009 Ranking

164.0 ypg- 46th Run Offense 185.6 ypg - 27th

274.1 ypg- 21st Pass Offense 232.0 ypg - 44th

438.1 ypg- 16th Total Offense 417.6 ypg - 30th

41.9 ppg- 1st Scoring Offense 37.0 ppg - 6th

41.2 ypg- 1st Run Defense 99.0 ypg - 18th

194.3 ypg- 33rd Pass Defense 253.1 ypg - 106th

235.6 ypg- 2nd Total Defense 352.1 ypg - 56th

13.6 ppg- 9th Scoring Defense 20.0 ppg - 36th

Keys to the GameThe Real McCoy- In some sense this is the Colt McCoythat we expected to see at the outset of the season. AgainstMissouri, McCoy was 26 of 31 for 269 with three touchdowns,hitting eight different receivers with a pass. Why was he notthe real McCoy the first portion of the season? Who reallyknows? Pressure to live up to the hype. Dealing with a newcrop of receivers, outside of buddy, pal and roommate JordanShipley. Lack of a running game. Again. Any and all of theabove could be reasons, but that looks to be behind him.What I like about what Texas OC Greg Davis has done isspeed the game up for Colt. When the Longhorns have gone

up tempo the past few weeks, McCoy has been brilliant. Thespeed of the game forces defenses into mistakes and hes ableto open up the whole playbook. Oklahoma State, though, wasthe most physical team with McCoy last year and the OL mustprotect #12 or all of this improvement is moot.

Finding Kindle - The most important matchup of thenight though is going to be Oklahoma State tackle RussellOkung against the Longhorns Sergio Kindle. Or, will it? Itsnot clear whether Kindle will be lining up on Okung or againstBrady Bond on the other side. Texas DC Will Muschamp willmove him around as he has with other great defensive ends inhis stead. The difference is that Kindle is perhaps as difficult amatchup as Okung can have. The Cowboy tackle doesnthandle speed rushers up field well, but he can handle everyother Longhorn pass rusher. QB Zac Robinson is starting to

get into his groove, but if hes wearing Kindle, forget it.

Conclusion- The Cowboys physically beat up Texas last year, but turned the ball one key time early in the game and had tochase the rest of the way. They didnt get chase far enough as they lost 28-24 in Austin. Now, with a shot at revenge, itd be easy(as

with BYU last week against TCU) to say that OSU will get its revenge, but the Longhorns are nearly 100% and are a better teamthan the Cowboys. Now, with Dez Bryant? Different story. But, Oklahoma State doesnt have him due to year-long suspensionand thatll be the difference. The Cowboys dont have a go-to guy offensively to truly challenge Texas. UT does - hes #12.

October 31, 2009 - ABC 7:00 PM CST

Vegas Says: Texas -9 / 52


9/14

Florida (7-0) vs. Georgia (4-3)

2009 ScheduleW, Charleston Southern 62-3

W, Troy 56-6W, Tennessee 23-13

W, @ Kentucky 41-7W, @ LSU 13-3

W, Arkansas 23-20W, @ Mississippi State 29-19

10/31 Georgia(Jax)


QB #15 Tim TebowRB #2 Jeff Demps

WR #11 Riley CooperWR #6 Deonte Thompson

WR #25 Brandon JamesTE #81 Aaron Hernandez

T #76 Marcus GilbertG #55 Mike Pouncey

C #56 Maurkice PounceyG #66 James Wilson

T #57 Carl Johnson

DefenseDE #8 Carlos Dunlap

DT #92 Terron SandersDT #99 Omar Hunter

DE #49 Jermaine CunninghamLB #51 Brandon Spikes

LB #16 A.J. JonesLB #41 Ryan Stamper

S 35 Ahmad BlackS #21 Major WrightCB #5 Joe Haden

CB #1 Janoris Jenkins

Florida - 31 vs. Georgia - 20

2009 ScheduleL, @ Ok. State 24-10

W, South Carolina 41-37W, @ Arkansas 52-41

W, Arizona State 20-17L, LSU 20-13

L, @ Tennessee 45-19W, @ Vanderbilt 34-1010/31 Florida(Jax)


QB #14 Joe CoxRB #22 Richard SamuelFB #49 Shaun ChapasTE #81 Aron White

WR #12 Tavarres KingWR #8 A.J. Green

T #71 Cordy GlennG #63 Chris DavisC #61 Ben Jones

G #60 Clint Boling

T #78 Josh Davis

DefenseDE #42 Justin Houston

DT #95 Jeff OwensDT #91 Kade Weston

DE #58 Demarcus DobbsLB #52 Darius NewberryLB #50 Darryl GambleLB #35 Rennie CurranCB #2 Brandon BoykinCB #23 Prince Miller

S #3 Bryan EvansS #9 Reshad Jones

R 2009 Ranking

258.3 ypg- 6th Run Offense 108.0 ypg - 103rd

198.7 ypg- 80th Pass Offense 226.7 ypg - 49th


35.3 ppg- 9th Scoring Offense 27.0 ppg - 60th

94.6 ypg- 12th Run Defense 127.3 ypg - 54th

135.0 ypg- 2nd Pass Defense 238.3 ypg - 90th

229.6 ypg- 1st Total Defense 365.6 ypg - 70th

10.1 ppg- 2nd Scoring Defense 27.7 ppg - 84th

Keys to the Game Eight Ball, Side Pocket - When the 12 RotaryLombardi Award Semi-finalists were announced last week, I

was a little bit shocked by the inclusion of Gators defensiveend Carlos Dunlap. Now, from an athleti cally giftedstandpoint and NFL potential standpoint, Im in, hook, lineand sinker. But, from a 2009 production standpoint, I hadntreally seen him do a whole lot on the field. But, last week atMississippi State, it was as if he had gotten the memo to turnit up a notch or three. He ended the game with three sacks ofMSU quarterbacks and was, in general, a menace for theBulldogs offensive line. What Georgia hasnt done a great job

of this year is making QB Joe Cox feel comfortable in thepocket and thats made worse by having to face Dunlap thisSaturday. With size to play in the 3-4, but with the athleticismto play a 4-3 end, Dunlap is a major problem for the UGA OL.I would normally expect him to be doubled or chipped on aregular basis, but Jermaine Cunningham on the other side isjust as talented as Dunlap. The only real counter to Dunlap, etal is the quick passing game, so expect Cox to being throwingquickly early in the game.

Eyes on 35-Georgia LB Rennie Curran has been a superstarfor the past two years, but his biggest test comes Saturday

with having to stop the Gators running game. The Gators aresixth in the nation in rushing, averaging nearly 260 yards per

game, but if Curran and company have a solid run blitzpackage to disrupt the Gators OL schemes...UGA couldsurprisingly put a halt to the Gators offense.

Conclusion- Theres a part of me that wants outright chaos at this time of year. OSU to beat Texas. Oregon to beat USC.Boise State and TCU keep winning. And, Georgia to beat Florida. But, then reality hits home - no chaos in this one. Florida getsback four defensive starters for this one - a game in which Georgia cant truly find any balance offensively. Cox has started to turninto a liability for the Bulldogs and the defense is still swiss cheese, i.e. lots of holes. QB Tebow needs to throw the ball downfieldand riddle the Dawgs average secondary. He will in his best passing performance of the year in a convincing, yet boring UF win.

October 31, 2009 - CBS 2:30 PM CST

Vegas Says: Florida -15 / 48


10/14

USC (6-1) vs. Oregon (6-1)

2009 ScheduleW, SJSU 56-3

W, @ Ohio State 18-15L, @ Washington 13-16

W, Washington State 27-6W, @ Cal 30-3

W, @ Notre Dame 34-27W, Oregon State 42-36

10/31 @ Oregon


QB #7 Matt BarkleyRB #21 Allen BradfordFB #31 Stanley Havili

WR #18 Damian WilliamsWR #8 Ronald Johnson

TE #86 Anthony McCoyT #71 Charles Brown

G #53 Jeff ByersC #61 Kris ODowdG #56 Alex ParsonsT #70 Tyron Smith

DefenseDE #93 Everson Griffen

DT #94 Armond ArmsteadDT #91 Jurrell CaseyDE #96 Wes Horton

LB #54 Chris GalippoLB #6 Malcolm Smith

LB #17 Michael MorganS #2 Taylor MaysS #26 Will Harris

CB #36 Josh PinkardCB #15 Kevin Thomas

USC - 27 vs. Oregon - 23

2009 ScheduleL @ Boise State 8-19

W, Purdue 38-36W, Utah 31-24

W, Cal 42-3W, Washington State 52-6

W, @ UCLA 24-10W, @ Washington 43-19

10/31 USC


QB #8 Jeremiah MasoliRB #21 LaMichael JamesWR #80 Lavasier Tuinei

WR #23 Jeff MaehlWR #10 D.J. Davis

TE #83 Ed DicksonT #69 Bo Thran

G #77 Carson YorkC #54 Jordan Holmes

G #79 Mark AsperT #68 C.E. Kaiser

DefenseDE #39 Will TukuafuDT #88 Brandon BairDT #90 Blake FerrasDE #58 Kenny Rowe

LB #11 Eddie PleasantLB #55 Casey Matthews

LB #35 Spencer PaysingerS #2 T.J Ward

S # 14 Javes LewisCB #37 Talmadge Jackson III

CB #18 Anthony Gildon

R 2009 Ranking

198.3 ypg- 19th Run Offense 210.7 ypg - 14th

242.1 ypg- 40th Pass Offense 157.4 ypg - 108th


31.4 ppg- 29th Scoring Offense 34.0 ppg - 16th

79.9 ypg- 5th Run Defense 118.9 ypg - 41st

211.9 ypg- 53rd Pass Defense 178.3 ypg - 23rd

291.7 ypg- 16th Total Defense 297.1 ypg - 19th

15.1 ppg- 16th Scoring Defense 16.7 ppg - 19th

Keys to the GameThe New Guy in the Stable - Gluttony is one of theseven deadly sins, or so were told. But, apparently PeteCarroll and running backs coach Todd McNair dont believe insuch sins. For the past few years, the Trojans have hordedrunning backs, such that the 7th team back was a Parade All -

American who couldnt get on the field. Its to a point that therunning backs at USC have taken to calling themselves theStable. But, after Stafon Johnson was hurt lifting weights andJoe McKnight having nagging issues, the Trojans needed all ofthe depth in the Stable - finding power back Allen Bradford.

The senior is being used more than at any point in his career.

He had an impressive power run for a touchdown at NotreDame and he was rewarded with 15 carries last week againstOregon State. He piled up 147 yards and two touchdowns in a42-36 win over the Beavers. Oregon is quick and aggressive ondefense, but having to tackle Bradford for 15 to 20 carriescould make a huge difference in the fourth quarter. Plus, asBradford goes, so goes the play action with QB Matt Barkley.

Its a tight ends world-I was once a tight end when Iplayed in high school, so without prejudice, I can say that Ioften watch that position closer than any other on the field.

This weeks matchup of tight ends is the best one weve hadsince, well, the USC-ND game. Since Oregon rememberedthat Ed Dickson is one of the nations best pass catchers, theoffense has been consistent through the air and on the ground.But, USCs Anthony McCoy may be even better. Both willhave the spotlight glaring white hot this Saturday in Eugene.

Conclusion- No team has bounced back from adversity with as much resolve as the Ducks. Since that night in Boise, theDucks have been undefeated. And, each week, theyve gotten better and better. Jeremiah Masoli is as healthy as hes been this

year and S TJ Ward is back to wreck some skulls. But, USCs offense is taking the same leap into that lofty, unstoppableatmosphere. I worry that the Ducks havent seen a Bradford type power back and that could mean the difference in the fourthquarter. The Duck defense has been stellar, but the USC offensive balance, now with Bradford toting the mail, is too much.

October 31, 2009 - ABC 7:00 PM CSTVegas Says: USC -3 / 47


11/14

PREDICTIONS ON ALL D1A GAMES -TV GAMES IN RED

Thursday, October 29th

North Carolina at Virginia Tech 6:30 PM ESPN-Virginia Tech - 34 vs. UNC - 14

Friday, October 30th

West Virginia at South Florida 7 PM ESPN2-West Virginia - 31 vs. USF- 24

Saturday, October 31st

Akron at Northern Illinois -NIU- 31 vs. Akron - 17

Michigan at Illinois 2:30 PM ESPN2/ABC-Michigan - 38 vs. Illinois - 21

Temple at Navy 2:30 PM CBS CSTV-Navy - 34 vs. Temple - 31

Air Force at Colorado State 3 PM The Mtn. -Air Force - 30 vs. CSU- 20

UNLV at TCU 3:00 PM Vs.-TCU- 38 vs. UNLV- 10

Penn State at Northwestern 3:30 PM ESPN-Penn State - 27 vs. Northwestern - 14

Louisiana Tech at Idaho 4 PM ESPN GP-Idaho - 31 vs. La. Tech - 30

Utah State at Fresno State -Fresno State - 35 vs. Utah State - 31

Western Kentucky at North Texas -North Texas - 49 vs. WKU- 45

Western Michigan at Kent State -Kent State - 28 vs. WMU- 24

Notre Dame vs. Washington State (San Antonio) 6:30 PM NBC-ND - 49 vs. WSU- 21

New Mexico at San Diego State 6:30 PM CBS CSTV-SDSU- 24 vs. New Mexico - 14

Michigan State at Minnesota 7 PM Big Ten Network-Michigan State - 28 vs. Minnesota - 14

Wyoming at Utah 7 PM The Mtn. -Utah - 31 vs. Wyoming- 17

Missouri at Colorado 12:30 PM FSN-Missouri- 28 vs. CU- 24

Nebraska at Baylor 11:30 am Vs.-Nebraska

-38 vs. Baylor

-14

New Mexico State at Ohio State 11 am Big Ten Network-Ohio State - 81 vs. NMSU- 2North Carolina State at Florida State 11 am ESPN GP/Raycom-FSU- 34 vs. NC State - 31UCLA at Oregon State 5:30 PM FSN West/FCS Pacific -Oregon State - 24 vs. UCLA - 14


12/14


Saturday October 31st(CONTD)

Arkansas State at Louisville -Arkansas State - 27 vs. Louisville - 24

California at Arizona State 2:30 PM ESPN GP/ABC-Cal- 31 vs. ASU- 28

Central Michigan at Boston College 2:30 PM ESPNU- BC - 24 vs. CMU- 23

Cincinnati at Syracuse 11 am ESPNU-Cincinnati- 35 vs. Syracuse - 14

Coastal Carolina at Clemson-Clemson - 54 vs. Coastal Carolina - 10

Duke at Virginia-UVa - 27 vs. Duke - 24Eastern Michigan at Arkansas -Arkansas - 51 vs. EMU- 17

Georgia Tech at Vanderbilt 6:30 PM ESPN GP -Georgia Tech - 28 vs. Vandy - 14

Hawaii at Nevada-Nevada - 49 vs. Hawaii- 21

Indiana at Iowa 11 am ESPN-Iowa - 34 vs. Indiana - 14

Iowa State at Texas A&M -Texas A&M- 45 vs. Iowa State - 28Kansas at Texas Tech 2:30 PM ABC/ESPN GP-Texas Tech - 49 vs. Kansas - 42Kansas State at Oklahoma 6 PM FSN-OU- 42 vs. Kansas State - 17

Louisiana-Lafayette at Florida International-ULL - 34 vs. FIU- 17

Louisiana-Monroe at Troy-Troy - 31 vs. ULM- 28

Miami at Wake Forest 2:30 PM ABC/ESPN2/ESPN GP-Miami- 34 vs. Wake Forest- 21

Middle Tennessee at Florida Atlantic -FAU- 27 vs. MTSU- 26

Mississippi State at Kentucky 6 PM ESPN GP-Kentucky - 21 vs. MSU- 17Ohio at Ball State -Ohio - 28 vs. Ball State - 14

Ole Miss at Auburn 11:21 am ESPN GP/SEC Network-Auburn - 27 vs. Ole Miss - 23

Purdue at Wisconsin 11 am ESPN2-Wisconsin - 28 vs. Purdue - 21Rutgers at Connecticut -Connecticut- 27 vs. Rutgers - 21

San Jose State at Boise State 2 PM ESPN GP-Boise State - 51 vs. SJSU- 14

SMU at Tulsa-Tulsa - 31 vs. SMU- 17


13/14


Saturday October 31st(CONTD)

South Carolina at Tennessee 6:45 PM ESPN-Tennessee 21 vs. South Carolina - 13

Southern Miss at Houston 12 PM CSS-Houston - 34 vs. USM- 21

Toledo at Miami Ohio 2:30 PM ESPN GP-Toledo - 35 vs. Miami Ohio - 21

Tulane at LSU 7 PM ESPN GP-LSU- 54 vs. Tulane - 13

UAB at UTEP -UTEP - 42 vs. UAB - 29

Sunday November 1st

Marshall at Central Florida 7:15 PM ESPN-Marshall- 28 vs. UCF- 21


14/14

1560 The Game is aproud sponsor of boththe Rotary Lombardi

Award, given annually

to the mostoutstanding interior lineman in thenation, and the Paul Bear Bryant Award

given for the Coach of the Year. Here ismy unofficial leaderboard for eachaward. For more info. on each award -

www.rotarylombardiaward.org andwww.americanheart.org/bryantawards

On Monday, the Bear Bryant Award Voting Committee was proud to announce its 20 member Watch List forthe 2009 season. That list was as follows:

The 12 semi-finalists are turning it up right about voting time, so its time to narrow the scope and followthese finalists this week. Here are some thoughts about key matchups to watch this weekend.

1. Carlos Dunlap, Florida DE, has the national stage at 2:30 on CBS to himself, well, and other semi-finalist Brandon Spikes. However, Spikes has been hurt, but should be back for the Georgia game. Dunlap,though, played perhaps his most disruptive game of the season against Mississippi State in Starkville. Heknocked down a pass and had three sacks to ready himself for the Bulldogs this weekend.

2. The spotlight will be white hot on Oklahoma State LT Russell Okung, the only offensive linemanamongst the semi-finalists. This will be his most difficult test, facing Sergio Kindle and the Texas defensiveends. Kindle is Okungs Kryptonite - speed rushers who can redirect are the guys that give Okung the mostproblem. But, if he stones Kindle, the Cowboy offense could have a big day and earn a huge win.

1. Robb Akey, Idaho2. Mack Brown, Texas3. Pete Carroll, USC4. Kirk Ferentz, Iowa5. Al Golden, Temple6. Mike Gundy, Oklahoma State7. Paul Johnson, Georgia Tech8. Brian Kelly, Cincinnati9. Chip Kelly, Oregon10. Bronco Mendenhall, BYU

11. Urban Meyer, Florida12. Les Miles, LSU13. Joe Paterno, Penn State14. Gary Patterson, TCU15. Chris Petersen, Boise State16. Nick Saban, Alabama17. Randy Shannon, Miami18. Bill Stewart, West Virginia19. Kevin Sumlin, Houston20. Dave Wannstedt, Pitt
http://www.americanheart.org/bryantawardshttp://www.americanheart.org/bryantawardshttp://www.rotarylombardiaward.org/http://www.rotarylombardiaward.org/

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