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MICROECONOMICS AND MARKETS A QUICK (RE)VIEW AT THE WORKINGS OF MARKET MECHANISMS

Week 01 - Part A

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  • MICROECONOMICS AND MARKETS

    A QUICK (RE)VIEW AT THE WORKINGS OF MARKET MECHANISMS

  • The Theory of Economics does not

    furnish a body of settled conclusions immediately applicable to policy. It is

    a method rather than a doctrine, an apparatus of the mind, a technique of thinking which helps its possessor to

    draw correct conclusions.

    --- John Maynard Keynes

  • If you can say so many interesting things just by watching the world, then you must really have a fantastic set of prescription spectacles, even if no one ever gets to see you wearing them.

    --- referring to the sociologist Howard Becker

  • THE RISE OF FAST-CASUAL Shake Shack was opened in 2004 in Manhattan

    today it has locations across the US, Europe and the Middle East it brings around a hundred million dollars a year in revenue

    Guzman y Gomez was opened in 2006 in Newtown today it has 58 locations around Australia and Singapore

    Both businesses managed to capitalized on a revolution in the fast-food business: the rise of fast-casual dining

    fresh ingredients, more waiting time and higher prices Factors that contribute to their success

    changes in income distribution (more affluent middle class) changes in taste (increasing demand for quality)

  • ROAD MAP Buying cheap and selling dear

    demand and supply Reaching consensus through competition

    equilibrium in competitive markets Rocking the status quo

    exogenous variables and comparative statics Is there any other way?

    alternative allocation mechanisms Nothing to waste in this life

    Pareto efficiency and market outcomes

  • ECONOMIC MODELING What constitutes an economic system

    agents with (competing) motivations and (finite) resources complex interaction among agents: it is not immediate to

    understand causes and consequences

    Economics uses (mathematical) models at what level of detail shall we model an economic

    phenomenon which variables are determined outside the model

    (exogenous) which are to be determined by the model (endogenous)

  • MODELING THE APARTMENT MARKET

    Market for apartments around UNSW apartments are close or distant, but otherwise identical distant apartments rents are fixed (exogenous) many potential renters and landlords of close apartments

    We want to understand

    who will rent close apartments and at what price in what sense, if any, is the allocation desirable

  • ECONOMIC MODELING ASSUMPTIONS The two most basic postulates in Microeconomics are the

    following optimization: each person tries to choose the best

    alternative available to him or her equilibrium: the economic system (market) remains in

    active change until it reaches an equilibrium position Everything else (almost) depends on these two postulates In a competitive market

    firms want to sell dear and consumers want to buy cheap there will be adjustments until the amount people demand

    is the same as the amount firms supply

  • MODELING APARTMENT DEMAND

    Demand: suppose the most any one person is willing to pay to rent a close apartment is $500/month

    p = $500 QD = 1

    Incremental effects: suppose the price has to drop to $490 before a 2nd person would rent

    p = $490 QD = 2

  • MARKET DEMAND CURVE FOR APARTMENTS

    p

    QD

    Market Demand

  • MODELING APARTMENT SUPPLY Supply: it takes time to build more close apartments so in

    this short-run the quantity available is fixed (at say 100) we are using the measure of time (short-run) very loosely

    here, but it will do for now because in the short run the supply is fixed, it is price

    insensitive

  • MARKET SUPPLY CURVE FOR APARTMENTS

    p

    QS 100

    Market Supply

  • COMPETITIVE MARKET EQUILIBRIUM

    Low rental price quantity demanded of close apartments exceeds quantity available price will rise

    High rental price quantity demanded is less than

    quantity available price will fall When quantity demanded = quantity available

    price will neither rise nor fall The market is at a competitive equilibrium

  • COMPETITIVE MARKET EQUILIBRIUM

    p

    QD,QS 100

  • COMPETITIVE MARKET EQUILIBRIUM

    p

    QD,QS

    pe

    100

  • COMPETITIVE MARKET EQUILIBRIUM

    p

    QD,QS

    pe

    100

    People willing to pay pe for close apartments get close apartments

  • COMPETITIVE MARKET EQUILIBRIUM

    p

    QD,QS

    pe

    100

    People willing to pay pe for close apartments get close apartments

    People not willing to pay pe for close apartments get distant apartments

  • COMPETITIVE MARKET EQUILIBRIUM

    Q: who rents the close apartments those most willing to pay

    Q: who rents the distant apartments

    those least willing to pay

    The competitive market allocation is by willingness-to-pay

    the underlying principle of competitive markets is to allocate goods to those who value them the most

    notice most people pay a price that is less than their willingness to pay (the obtain a surplus)

  • COMPARATIVE STATICS What is exogenous in the model?

    price of distant apartments quantity of close apartments incomes of potential renters

    What happens if these exogenous variables change?

  • COMPARATIVE STATICS Suppose the price of distant apartment rises Demand for close apartments increases (rightward shift)

    wait, what? This causes a higher price for close apartments

    short-run adjustment via prices only

  • MARKET EQUILIBRIUM p

    QD,QS

    pe

    100

  • MARKET EQUILIBRIUM p

    QD,QS

    pe

    100

    Higher demand

  • MARKET EQUILIBRIUM p

    QD,QS

    pe

    100

    Higher demand causes higher market price; same quantity traded

  • COMPARATIVE STATICS Suppose there were more close apartments

    either magically or we allow some time to pass and new apartments to be built

    Supply is greater (right shift), so the price for close apartments falls

  • MARKET EQUILIBRIUM p

    QD,QS

    pe

    100

  • MARKET EQUILIBRIUM p

    QD,QS 100

    Higher supply

    pe

  • MARKET EQUILIBRIUM p

    QD,QS

    pe

    100

    Higher supply causes a lower market price and a larger quantity traded

  • COMPARATIVE STATICS Suppose potential renters incomes rise, increasing their

    willingness-to-pay for close apartments Demand rises (upward shift)

    wait, what? This causes higher price for close apartments

    here we are back assuming a short-run, fixed supply scenario

  • MARKET EQUILIBRIUM p

    QD,QS

    pe

    100

  • MARKET EQUILIBRIUM p

    QD,QS

    pe

    100

    Higher incomes cause higher willingness-to-pay

  • MARKET EQUILIBRIUM p

    QD,QS

    pe

    100

    Higher incomes cause higher willingness-to-pay, higher market price, and the same quantity traded

  • ALTERNATIVE WAYS TO ALLOCATE GOODS Amongst many possibilities are

    a lottery system a monopolistic landlord that posts a single price a perfectly discriminatory monopolistic landlord a competitive market subject to rent controls

    The first system does not take the willingness to pay into account at all pure random allocation why is this not desirable?

    The others do take willingness to pay into account but the resulting allocation is not necessarily the same

  • A MONOPOLISTIC LANDLORD

    When the landlord sets a rental price p he rents D(p) apartments where D(p) represents the value of the inverse demand

    function at price p Total revenue for the monopolist is R = p x D(p) Revenue is low if the price is very close to zero, but

    revenue is also low if the price is so high that D(p) 0 trade-off between selling lots of goods cheaply and selling

    dear just a few items An intermediate value for p maximizes revenue

    we will study the way a monopolist solves this trade-off

  • MONOPOLISTIC MARKET EQUILIBRIUM

    p

    QD

    Low price

    Low price, high quantity demanded, low revenue

  • MONOPOLISTIC MARKET EQUILIBRIUM

    p

    QD

    High price

    High price, low quantity demanded, low revenue

  • MONOPOLISTIC MARKET EQUILIBRIUM

    p

    QD

    Middle price

    Middle price, medium quantity demanded, larger revenue

  • MONOPOLISTIC MARKET EQUILIBRIUM

    p

    QD,QS

    Middle price

    Middle price, medium quantity demanded, larger revenue Monopolist does not rent all the close apartments

    100

  • MONOPOLISTIC MARKET EQUILIBRIUM

    p

    QD,QS

    Middle price

    Middle price, medium quantity demanded, larger revenue Monopolist does not rent all the close apartments

    100

    vacant close apartments

  • PERFECTLY DISCRIMINATORY MONOPOLISTIC LANDLORD

    Now imagine the monopolist knew everyones willingness-to-pay (this is a monopolists dream) charge $500 to the most willing-to-pay charge $490 to the 2nd most willing-to-pay, etc

    The monopolist can go down the demand curve and charge each agent exactly her willingness to pay this process captures all surplus from consumers

  • DISCRIMINATORY MONOPOLISTIC MARKET EQUILIBRIUM

    p

    QD,QS 100

    p1 =$500

    1

  • DISCRIMINATORY MONOPOLISTIC MARKET EQUILIBRIUM

    p

    QD,QS 100

    p1 =$500

    p2 =$490

    1 2

  • DISCRIMINATORY MONOPOLISTIC MARKET EQUILIBRIUM

    p

    QD,QS 100

    p1 =$500

    p2 =$490

    1 2

    p3 =$475

    3

  • DISCRIMINATORY MONOPOLISTIC MARKET EQUILIBRIUM

    p

    QD,QS 100

    p1 =$500

    p2 =$490

    1 2

    p3 =$475

    3

  • DISCRIMINATORY MONOPOLISTIC MARKET EQUILIBRIUM

    p

    QD,QS 100

    p1 =$500

    p2 =$490

    1 2

    p3 =$475

    3

    pe

    Discriminatory monopolist charges the competitive market price to the last renter Quantity of close apartments rented is the same as in the competitive market

  • RENT CONTROL Local government imposes a maximum legal price pmax

    if this maximum legal price is above pe, it has no effect on market allocation

    to be effective, lets assume that pmax < pe

  • MARKET EQUILIBRIUM p

    QD,QS

    pe

    100

  • MARKET EQUILIBRIUM p

    QD,QS

    pe

    100

    pmax

  • MARKET EQUILIBRIUM p

    QD,QS

    pe

    100

    pmax Excess demand

  • MARKET EQUILIBRIUM p

    QD,QS

    pe

    100

    pmax Excess demand

    The 100 close apartments are no longer allocated by willingness-to-pay (lottery, lines, large families first, friends of JC first)

  • WHICH MARKET OUTCOMES ARE DESIRABLE? Which allocation mechanism is better?

    Competitive market Monopoly with posted price Discriminatory monopoly Rent control

    Most of economics focuses on one social desideratum: Pareto efficiency

    named after Vilfredo Pareto (1848-1923) An outcome is Pareto efficient if it allows no wasted welfare

    the only way one persons welfare can be improved is to lower another persons welfare

  • PARETO EFFICIENCY An example of an inefficient situation is the following

    there is just one apartment and it was (randomly) allocated to Jill, who values it at $200

    Jack was out of town when the allocation took place, but he would pay $400 for the apartment

    Possible gains from trade Jill could sublet the apartment to Jack for $300 both gain, so it was Pareto inefficient for Jill to have the apartment

    A Pareto inefficient outcome means there remain unrealized mutual gains-to-trade

    Any market outcome that achieves all possible gains-to-trade must be Pareto efficient

  • PARETO EFFICIENCY

    Competitive equilibrium all close apartment renters value them at the market price pe

    or more all others value close apartments at less than pe there are no mutually beneficial trades remain the outcome is Pareto efficient

  • PARETO EFFICIENCY Monopoly

    at the monopolist posted price pm all people renting close apartments have a willingness to pay equal to or higher than pm

    but not all apartments are occupied there are unrealized gains from trade

    someone renting a distant apartment could be assigned a close apartment for a very small transfer (not available to the general public)

    he/she is better off, the monopolist is better off, and nobodys welfare was affected

    the monopoly outcome is not Pareto inefficient

  • PARETO EFFICIENCY

    Discriminatory Monopoly the assignment of apartments is the same as with the

    perfectly competitive market as there are no remaining gains from trade, the

    discriminatory monopoly outcome is also Pareto efficient this is despite the fact that the monopolist captures all

    consumer surplus

    Efficiency is not a measure of equity (or social justice, or fairness, or equality)

  • PARETO EFFICIENCY Rent Control

    there are say 110 people that want to rent close apartments at the controlled price pmax < pe

    most likely, some close apartments are assigned to renters valuing them at below the competitive price pe

    some renters valuing a close apartment above pe dont get close apartments

    this is a Pareto inefficient outcome (as in Jack and Jill)

  • WHAT IS LEFT OUT In all our previous discussion, we have considered a stable

    institutional framework in the background property rights equal treatment and the rule of law few transaction costs existence of a well-functioning market

    But this is NOT a minor issue

  • BUZZKILL

    From the New Yorker (Nov 18th, 2013) Washingtons law gave state officials only a year to answer difficult questions: Who could grow legal pot? Who could sell it? How much would an ounce of the drug cost? Photograph by Maureen Drennan