Water Without a Pinch of Salt_Desalination Market in India_post Editing (1)

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    Assessment Of IndianDesalination Market

    Water Without A Pinch Of Salt

    July 2009

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    Disclaimer

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    We hereby certify that the views expressed in this research service accurately reflect ourviews based on primary and secondary research within industry participants, industryexperts, end users, regulatory organizations, financial and investment community, and otherrelated sources.

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    Table Of Contents

    Introduction

    Business Avenues

    Technology

    Competitive Landscape

    State-wise Desalination plants

    Market Destined

    Future Capacity Additions

    Market Drivers, Restraints and Industry Challenges

    Conclusion

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    Introduction- India Water Needs

    India with 16 percent of world population has only 4 percent of water resources. The major

    source of water is monsoon, which occurs for only a few weeks in a year.

    There is great disparity in states for water availability. States like Rajasthan, which are large, in

    terms of area and population, share only 1 percent of the water resources.

    About less than 15 percent of the water, which India get through monsoon, is preserved by the

    government in dams. Besides, lack of sufficient funding for maintenance of the infrastructure is

    increasing problems of water availability.

    Drought, floods, and water contamination add salt to this growing problem. In order to meet the growing food demand , the Indian Government is targeting to double its

    growth rate in irrigated areas over the next five years.

    Rapid industrialization, growth in urbanization, and increase in food production will demand

    more water resources.

    With such a planned growth the World Bank report states that Indias demand of water will

    exceed supply by 2020.

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    Introduction- Industrial and Municipal Water Demand

    5815

    21903

    0

    5000

    10000

    15000

    20000

    25000

    2008 2026

    M i l l i o n

    L i t e r s

    p e r

    D a y

    ( M L D )

    50

    72

    0

    10

    2030

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    2008 2020

    B i l l i o n

    C u b i c M e

    t e r s

    ( b c u c m

    )

    CAGR 8%

    CAGR 3%

    The widening gap between growing water needs of urban population and scarcity in supply in majorcoastal cities in India is a major concern.

    For instance, Mumbais water requirement currently at3,500 MLD is projected to reach 13,000 MLD by 2026,posing a challenge to the state and nationalgovernments in striking a balance to satisfy waterneeds among various entities such as industries,agriculture, and domestic.

    The Indian industries consumed about 50 billion cubicmeters of water, out of which thermal power plantsresponsible for generating about 60 percent of electricity demand, consumed 77 percent of totalindustrial consumption.

    The establishment of ultra mega power plants (UMPP)to fulfill the growing electricity demand and the growthof other industrial sectors such as pharmaceuticals,chemicals, and refineries will strain the thin waterresources.

    Desalination Water Services Market: Water Requirement inFive Big Coastal Cities Mumbai, Kolkatta, Chennai, Surat,

    and Vizag (India), 2008

    Desalination Water Services Market: Water Consumption byIndian Industries (India), 2008

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    Increase in WaterDisputes among

    States

    States are looking for alternative sources toaddress water scarcity issues.

    Introduction- Seeking Alternative Water Sources

    Population :Water

    ResourcesRatio

    Growth inIndustrializationand Urbanization

    Increase inFood

    Production

    Flaws in MonsoonWater Storage

    IndustrialWater

    Contaminati-on

    Seawater and Brackish water desalination can play an importantrole in countering the problem of water scarcity in India

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    Introduction- Desalination

    Desalination of sea water and brackish water is one the feasible and identified solutions to

    counter the problem of water scarcity.

    Water scarcity is higher in coastal areas in comparison to other parts of the country.

    Desalination water technology is widely used in water scarce states such as Gujarat, Tamil Nadu,and Rajasthan.

    Tamilnadu has maximum number of state government-owned desalination plants inNochikuppam, Kasimedu, and Velachery (area around Chennai), Ayodhyakuppam, Narippaiyur,

    Ramanathapuram (45 plants), Rameshwaram, and Kalpakkam. New plants are coming at

    Karaikal, Tuticorin, Nemili, and Minjur. Doshion has proposed for municipal and industrial desalination plants at Barmer, Jaisalmer,

    Bharatpur, Jaipur, Jalore, and Sirohi in Rajasthan.

    Water produced from desalination plants are used not only for human consumption, but also forindustrial production. Water desalination technology is also found to be useful for treating water

    from water streams.

    The high cost of producing water per liter by using current technologies is the main deterrent for

    adopting desalination as a solution.

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    Business Avenues

    Desalination Service

    Providers/EquipmentManufacturers

    Desalination service providers/ manufacturers can look for twotypes of business avenues

    Industrial DesalinationPlants : Large companies

    inclination to havecaptive desalinationplants to meet their

    process water demands .

    State Government-OwnedDesalination Plants:

    Government comes outwith desalination plants

    to fulfill stateshousehold and municipal

    water needs

    The model used in tenders/projectsby government is BOOT (build,

    own, operate and transfer). Usual timespread is of 10 to 20 years

    The model used in tenders/projectsby industrial institutions is custom

    build and transfer. In some projects, O& M is also taken care for 3 to 5 years.

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    Technology

    Thermal Membrane

    Multi-stage flash(Most Commonly used)

    Generally built in units of about4,000 cum/d to 30,000 cum/d

    Feed temperature : 90C -120C

    Multiple Effect Distillation

    Takes place in a series of vessels Generally built in units of about

    2,000 cum/d to 10,000 cum/d Feed temperature : 70C

    Vapour Compression Distillation

    Done through vapor generatedby a compressor or a steam jet

    Generally built in units of about20 cum/d to 2,000 cum/d

    Electro dialysis

    Effectively neutralizing theindividual charges

    Membranes are arrangedalternatively

    Electro dialysis Reversal Process

    Capability of high recoveryof water

    Less chemical usage

    Reverse Osmosis

    Efficiency: 20-70 % of thefeed flow

    Successful commercializationsince 1970

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    RO

    63%

    MED

    26%

    MSF

    11%

    MED71%

    MSF7%

    RO22%

    Technology Usage

    Desalination Water Services Market:Technology used in current capacity

    (India), 2008-2009Total Capacity : 291,820 Cum/day

    There are around 1,000 desalination plants functional inIndia. The current total capacity stands at about 291,820cubic meters per day. Major Research institutes such asBARC focus on hybrid technology that is a combination of thermal and membrane desalination. Most of the municipal

    plants due to this reason use both the technologies.

    Currently, most of the plants in India are using ROtechnology. IDE technologies, Israel implemented MEDtechnology for Reliance India. MED is mostly being used forbig capacity plants in India.

    MSF includes the use of thermal and nuclear power fordesalination. With India becoming more strong in terms of commercial nuclear power (In-progress of Indo-US nucleardeal), more investments can be seen in this technology.

    BARC has started working on desalination technology usingatomic energy.

    Growing concerns about environment is forcing attentiontoward another developing technology, namely solardesalination. Source : Frost & Sullivan

    Desalination Water Services Market:Technology By Number of Plants,

    Total Plants : 1,000 (India), 2008-2009

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    Competitive Landscape

    Desalination market in India is highly fragmented. There are around 1,000 desalination plants

    functional in India, in which Tier 1 companies take a very small share.

    Tier 1 consists of companies such as VA Tech Wabag, IDE Technologies, BGR Energy Systems,

    Doshion, Ion Exchange, GE Water & Process Technologies, Befesa Agua, Degremont, IVRCL

    Infrastructures, and Aquatech International.

    Most of the projects running in India are on PPP and BOOT Model.

    The foreign companies are performing well in the market. Israel's IDE is working on 20 projects

    in India, in which 13 are functional and seven are in manufacturing and assembling stage.

    Successful joint ventures similar to the one between Hyderabad-based IVRCL and Befesa, Spain

    for Chennai-based Minjur desalination project are also gauging attention, as more multinational

    players are eyeing to enter this market.

    Saudi Arabia's Bushnak Group has formed joint ventures with Pallava water services Pvt. Ltd. tohelp set-up desalination units in southern India. The first plant is coming at Karaikal,

    Pondichery .

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    Gujarat47%

    Tamilnadu37%

    Others16%

    State-Wise Desalination Plants

    Source : Frost & Sullivan

    Indian Desalination Services market : CurrentDesalination Plants State Wise

    Capacity: 291,820 Cum/day , (India), 2008-09

    Gujarat and Tamil Nadu have been more

    active in setting up desalination plants incomparison to other coastal states in India.

    Others include states such as Maharastra,Andhra Pradesh, Rajasthan, Orissa, andWest Bengal. Large projects such as

    Krishnapatnam port, Kasnau-MatasukhLignite Mines, Visakhapatnam, and so on

    are scheduled to be functional in the comingyears.

    Drinking water scarcity is one of the major

    reason for coastal regions to go fordesalination.

    Increasing awareness for excess ground water contamination has forced industrial and

    institutional setups to look for desalination plants for water needs. State governments strictlyworking for the norms of industrial usage of ground water. The market in non-coastal regions

    mostly consists of large industrial and institutional corporate houses.

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    Market Drivers and Restraints

    Rank Pushing Forces/DriverOrder of Impact

    1-2 Years 3-4 Years 5-7 Years

    1 Government and political support High High High

    2 Industrial ground water use restriction High Medium Low

    3 Reduced plant prices Low Medium Medium toHigh

    4 Population growth and water shortage Low Low Medium

    Rank Pulling Forces/RestraintOrder of Impact

    1-2 Years 3-4 Years 5-7 Years

    1 Cost of production High Medium tohigh Medium

    2 Restructuring High Medium toLow Low

    3 Waste water recycling and improvedproduction process Low Medium to

    High High

    4 Global economic slowdown Low Very Low Very Low

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    Market Drivers

    Government And Political Support

    Urban infrastructure development support under JNNURM and INR 536.60 billion has been allocatedfor urban water supply under 11th five year plan that will support more desalination plants in India.

    Political leaders agree to the argument of using desalination to rectify water problems in theirrespective states. Ms.Jayalalitha and Mr.Karunanidhi in Tamilnadu are strongly supportingdesalination. Gujarats Chief Minister, Mr. Narendra Modi, has taken inputs from companies likeHyflux and GE Water for using desalination plants in Gujarat.

    Industrial Water Use Restriction

    Increase in ground water contamination by industries is pushing state governments to imposerestriction on ground water use. Such restrictions will give boost to desalination plant usage byindustrial setups.

    Reduced Plant Prices

    An RO plant costs approximately 60 percent of its cost 10 years ago. This reduced price gives

    incentives to build new plants.

    Population Growth and Water Shortage

    Water scarcity and decreased per capita water availably push the use of desalination plants .

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    Market Restraints

    Cost of Production

    Cost of production of water from desalination plants is as low as 15 paisa per liter, but it is still high

    in comparison to water from other sources. Increase in cost of water will inflate overall production

    costs for any industrial unit. This factor impedes the adoption of desalination plants.

    Restructuring

    Infrastructure maintained by industries , which started a decade ago will have to go for restructuring

    to accommodate desalination plant. Such restructuring is not supported by most of the industrial

    setups.

    Wastewater Recycling and Improved Production process

    Many industrial units are installing plants for water recycling and reducing water usage. This , in turn ,

    will reduce the opportunities for desalination plants.

    Global Economic Recession

    Although India is not much effected by global recession, still a few projects have been put on hold

    by industries to keep their energies focused on the core work.

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    Industry Challenges

    Industry Fragmentation: Desalination market in India is highly

    fragmented with so many Tier-2 and regional players. Creation of industry wise standards is a major challenge.

    Protests: Recent

    fishermens protestagainst Adani groups

    SEZ and its desalinationplant in Bhuj, Gujarat

    has raised questions onthe growth of

    desalination plants nearthe coastal lines.

    Bureaucratic Hurdles :

    There are manydesalination projects ,

    which were announcedin 2005 in Orissa,

    Andhra Pradesh, andPondicherry. However,

    due to slow executionand bureaucratic

    hurdles, they have not

    started yet.

    Challenges

    Improper Training and Skill sets : As the desalination market

    in India is new, there is a scarcity of proper human resources.Improper training of the staff handling the plants is a major

    challenge for this growing industry.

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    2015,1,449,942

    2008,291,820

    200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017

    Future Capacity Additions

    Capacity in cubic m/day

    Total installed capacity of desalination plants in India was 291,820 cubic m/day in 2008. With

    growing demand and more focus on desalination by states, the capacity is expected to reach1,449,942 cubic m/day by 2015. There are many projects, which are approved by respective

    government bodies and are in initial phases of development. Government projects have invited

    tenders for desalination plants on BOOT model. The construction of Minjur desalination plant in TamilNadu is expected to get completed by the end of 2009. Major Projects like Krishnapatnam Port,Kutch Desalination Plant, Tata Mundra, Adani SEZ, Nagpur Municipal Water Reuse Project, Tata Power,

    Vrishabhavathi Valley, NTPC Tamilnadu Energy, and so on are in their development phase andexpected to be operational from early 2011.

    CAGR : 25.31 %

    Source: Frost & Sullivan

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    AndraPradesh

    29%

    Others

    22%

    Gujarat30%

    Tamilnadu19%

    Market Destined

    Life Cycle of Indian Desalination Market

    Water Desalination

    Development Growth Maturity

    Other Water TreatmentProcess

    STP

    The Indian desalination market is very nascent and in the development stage of its life cycle.

    Other water treatment processes market and sewerage treatment process market have grown

    respectively faster and are in the growth phase.

    With an expected compounded annual growth rate of 25.31 percent in the coming 5 to 7 years,

    desalination market is expected to outperform the other water treatment markets. Government

    support, private sector participation, and awareness will help in the growth of this market. With

    foreign players eyeing this market, it will witness some best practices , in terms of technologies

    and processes, being adopted in near future.

    Source : Frost & Sullivan

    Indian Desalination Services market : ExpectedDesalination Plants State Wise

    Capacity: 1,449,942 Cum/day , (India), 2008-09

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