Upload
others
View
1
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
Michael L. Stevens, CEIC
Senior Executive Vice President
Conference of State Bank Supervisors
WASHINGTON VIEWS
AND COMMUNITY BANKING
The Federal Policy Landscape
Congress
The Agencies
• Federal Reserve
• FDIC
• OCC
• CFPB
What regulatory relief?
0.9
4
0.2
4
-0.1
0
0.2
6
0.5
5
0.7
9 0.9
0
0.9
4
-0.3
0
-0.3
6
0.1
8
0.7
8
1.1
1
1.1
5
0.8
3
-0.2
3
0.2
0
0.7
6
1.0
2
1.2
9
1.2
1
0.4
5
-0.8
3
-0.3
0
0.8
8
0.9
8 1.1
1
0.9
0
1.0
0
0.2
2
-0.4
1
0.7
7
1.1
2
0.9
7
1.0
4
0.6
8
0.2
4
0.2
5
0.7
3
0.8
1 0.9
4 1
.08
-1
-0.5
0
0.5
1
1.5
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
<1B 1B to 10B 10B to 50B 50B to 100B 100B to 1T >1T
Citibank posted a net income loss of 6.2B in 2008 followed by another loss of 2.7B in 2009
Large losses in Net Income at SunTrust, BNYM, Regions, FIA Card Services, and RBS
23 of the 74 banks in this asset group took a loss in net income. IndyMac Federal posted a 4.5B net income loss and failed in July 2008.
Wachovia Mortgage sustained a 2.1B loss of net income. Sovereign took a 1.2B loss and E-Trade Bank reported a 1.4B loss.
--Institutions with 10 to 50B in assets have reported the highest ROAA over the past three years. --Lower provisions have been key to earnings growth. --Community Banks are healing but lag in recovery of ROAA compared to larger banks.
ING, Sovereign, Wachovia, Merrill Lynch, Fifth Third all report large losses in net income.
As the Industry Heals
ROA by Asset Category
Driving a Better Policy Outcome
Community Banking
in the 21st Century
Opportunities, Challenges and Perspectives
Conference Objectives
• Improved understanding about how financial policy and
regulation shapes and impacts all aspects of the financial
system.
• Appreciation for the important role community banks in
serving small business and the financial and service needs of
local communities.
• Public policy that better reflects how the various components
of our financial system contribute to the economic life and
financial well-being of market participants.
• Public policy that accommodates a community banking
system and, in turn, further empowers local communities.
Public policy must accommodate the
community banking business model
To achieve this objective:
• Industry engagement on its issues, opportunities, and
challenges is key
• High quality, independent research focused on
community banking
– Contribution to the economy
– Role in local economic development
– Support of small business & individuals, especially customized
credit
– Consistent venues to present and publish
• Clear policy objectives and initiatives for advocacy -
CSBS and others
Current state of the initiative and its
influence on policy
Politics
International Issues
Accommodative Public Policy
Domestic Issues
The dominant
activity in the
process is
currently
industry
engagement.
However, the
research
conference
demonstrated
that research
does exist…
The proportions in the outer band are illustrative and not specific measurements.
Areas of Inquiry
• Challenges
• Opportunities
• Size and Scale
• Characteristics of Management and Directors
• Financial services in declining areas
• Areas of Future Research
What we should take-away
1. The challenges of the industry are real and will likely
lead to significant changes in how community banks
operate.
2. This industry has changed and survived through
multiple transitions.
3. This phase is in the early stages with an uncertain
outcome, but considered to be significant.
4. There are scores of bankers who are thinking and
planning for the future. They see opportunities. They
know what they do is important.
What fun would it be without a challenge?
• One size fits all approach to regulation, removes one of
the strongest advantages of community banks: tailoring
products to fit specific needs
• Competitors
– “too big to fail” banks
– Farm Credit Banks
– Credit Unions
– Non bank providers of payment services
What fun would it be without a challenge?
• Rapidly changing technology and related consumer
demand
• Access to capital
• Attracting and retaining qualified employees
Opportunities Abound
• Differentiating from larger banks
– Customer service
– Customization
– Fees
• Lending opportunities
– Improving economy
– Serving void left by mortgage companies
– SBA loans
• Wealth management
• Return to a “normal” banking market
Must be bigger unless
it is better to be smaller
• Compliance cost is more challenging for smaller banks
• Compliance cost and burden increases with size
• Smaller banks can be profitable
The size must be related to the community the bank serves
and give it the capacity to serve that community.
Serving Areas in Decline
• Larger banks are not interested in these areas
• It takes a connection and interest in these areas to want
to serve them
• Community banks need to collaborate to serve these
areas
• Need better cooperation, less competition, from state
agencies designed to promote economic development
• Regulation needs to allow tailoring of products and
services to serve these areas
2014 Industry Engagement Plan
National survey sponsored by each state regulator
Topics:
1. Mortgage Lending
2. Changing competition
3. Cost of compliance & technology
4. Buy & Sell
Roundtable / Town Hall meetings to supplement with
qualitative information
Research Demonstrates Value of
Community Banks…
• Community bank failure leads to measurable economic
underperformance in local markets. High competition
markets are even more affected by bank failures. (Kandrac)
• Community banks enhance the chances for the survival
of start-up companies. The closer a customer is to a
community bank, the more likely the start-up borrower is to
receive a loan. (Williams & Lee)
• Community banks have a key advantage through “social
capital,” which supports well-informed financial
transactions. This is especially true in rural areas, where
community banks have lower default rates on SBA loans than
their urban counterparts. (DeYoung, et. al.)
Improved proportion is needed to
achieve the objectives
Politics
Domestic Issues
International Issues
The optimal outcome,
achieved over time,
maintains the level of
engagement while
increasing the
volume and quality of
research and leading
to more
accommodative
public policy.
There have been public policy successes
• Significant changes to Basel III
• Significant changes to the Volcker Rule plus expedited
changes to address the issue with TruPS CDO issue
• Small creditor QM included in CFPB rule
• House and Senate bills to provide a petition process for
rural designation under the CFPB qualified mortgage
rule