Waiting Time Management_2016

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    Waiting TimeManagement

     A Key Service Marketing-Operations Interface Question

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    Queues: Everywhere!!

    Examples

    System Queue Service

    Bank Account holders Transactions

    Telephone Callers Tech support

    Fast food Customers Food

     Airport Airplanes Runways

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    Waiting Time Management

    Importance of waiting time management

    Operations- based initiatives to manage customers’ waiting time

    Perceptions-based initiatives to manage waiting experiences

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    The Operations Approach

    Objective:

    Capacity planning, capacity utilization, scheduling, minimizing

    waiting time

     Actions:

    Facilities design, designing queues

    Selected Performance Criteria: Average utilization, average queue

    length, average waiting time

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    The Perceptions Approach

    Objective:

    Control perception of time, anxiety, boredom, and anger 

     Actions:

     Activity planning, information sharing

    Performance Criterion: Customer satisfaction

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    The Base Case

    If you have customers arriving at your facility a uniform rate of 2 per

    hour, and one server takes exactly 30 minutes to serve one

    customer, how many servers will you employ?

    What will be the utilization of your facility?

    What will be the average waiting time for your customers?

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    A simple waiting line model: single server, Poisson arrival, exponentialservice time

     Assumptions

    Customer population is infinite

    Waiting line has a single server 

    The arrival rate of customers is well approximated by a Poisson distributionService times follow an exponential distribution

    Customers are served on a first-come-first-serve basis

    Characteristics

    = mean arrival rate, i.e., average number of arrivals per unit time

    = mean service rate, i.e., average number of customers served per unit time

    > 1; service rate > arrival rate.

    Real Systems

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    TradeoffsNumber of serversWaiting time

    Components of a waiting line system

     Arrival process

    Distribution of service times

    Queue discipline: priority ruleNumber of servers

    Operating characteristics of a Waiting Line Model

     Average number of customers in the system

     Average time a customer spends in the system

    Service facility utilization

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    Utilization factor 

    =

    Idle time = 1-

    Average number of customers in the system

    L =

     Average time a customer spends in the

    system

    W = 1  

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    Mean

    number

    in queue

    Utilization factor 0 1

    0

    2

    0

    Relationship between queue length

    and utilization

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    A Waiting Time Model with multiple servers

     Assumptions

    Waiting line has two or more servers (s servers)

     Arrival rate follows a Poisson process

     Arrivals wait in a single queue and move to the first available server 

    Service times are exponentialMean service rate is for each server 

    Characteristics

    Utilization factor 

       

     

     s

     Average number of customers in the system

    L = W

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    Increasing service levels at a facility

    If we want customers’ waiting times to reduce we can do one of three things:

    increase the speed of the server,

    adding another server at the same location that draws on the same waiting line

    adding another server at a different physical location

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    Would these three actions result in similar gains?

    Consider, for example, a case when = 8, = 10, i.e., / = 0.8.

    Now let us double capacity using each of the three strategies mentioned above.

     A summary of what happens to the system performance is given below.

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    Doubling Capacity

    Parameter Base Double Add Add

    Case Speed Server Facility

    Queue

    length 3.2 0.267 0.153 0.267

    Waiting

    time (hr) 0.40 0.033 0.019 0.067

    Total

    time (hr) 0.50 0.083 0.119 0.167

    (min) 30 5.0 7.15 10.0

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    Maister’s eight propositions*

    1)Unoccupied time feels longer than occupied time

    2)Preprocess waits feel longer than in-process waits

    3)Anxiety makes waits seem longer 

    4)Uncertain waits seem longer than known waits5)Unexplained waits are longer than explained waits

    6)Unfair waits are longer than equitable waits

    7)The more valuable the service, the longer people will

    wait

    8)Solo wait feels longer than group waits

    David H. Maister, “The Psychology of Waiting in Lines,” HBS note 9-684-064

    The Psychology of Waiting

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    Multiple channel, single phase

    Single channel, multiple phase

    Multiple channel, multiple phase

    Single Channel, Single

    phase

    Service Lines

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    Selecting Service Line

    Formats

    Sojourn time is minimized with single-line-single-stage format. When sojourn times are short, customers prefer single lines. When

    sojourn times are longer, customers prefer multiple parallel lines.

    Customers are averse to multi-staging. If multi-staging is essential, its adverse effect can be reduced by

    using open layouts or stage integrators.

    Piyush Kumar and Maqbool Dada (2005), “Incorporating the service perspective in service line

    design.”

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    Customer Satisfaction Model

    Sat (T | T0) = -A(T0)exp[c(T0 - T) + c2(S2)],

    T = Customer’s estimate of the waiting time

    T0 = Customer’s prior expectation of the waiting time

    S2= Variance in customer’s estimate of the waiting time

    c = customer’s risk aversion parameter 

    *Piyush Kumar, Manohar U. Kalwani, and Maqbool Dada, “The Impact of Waiting Time

    Guarantees on Customers’ Waiting Experiences

    Waiting Time Guarantees

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    Waiting Time Guarantees

    Guarantees enhance satisfaction at the beginning of a wait

    During a wait, satisfaction is generally higher in guaranteed waiting

    environments

     At the end of a wait guarantees have a favorable impact on

    satisfaction if they are met and an unfavorable impact if they areviolated.

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    Managing Waiting Experiences

    Never overlook the impact of managing customers’ perceptions

    Determine what is an acceptable waiting time for your customers

    Install distractions to entertain and physically involve your customers

    Get customers out of line

    Make people conscious of time only if they grossly overestimate it

    Modify customer arrival behavior 

    Keep resources not serving customers out of sight

    Segment customers by personality type

    Karen L. Katz, Blaire M. Larson, and Richard C. Larson, “Prescription for waiting in Line Blues:Entertain, Enlighten, and Engage,” Sloan Management Review,Winter, 1991.

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    Waiting Time Management

    Decision Domains

    Capacity: Overall and variability

    Visibility: Observable or unobservable queues

    Service Line Format: Default and flexibility

    Threshold Enhancing Tools: Psychological

     Assurance: Guarantees