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01 Vanadium … Not So “Minor” for Titanium

Vanadium … Not So “Minor” for Titanium€¦ · 2010 by Country China – 44% North America– 14% Other Asia – 15% Russia, Others – 16% Western Europe – 11%. Vanadium

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Page 1: Vanadium … Not So “Minor” for Titanium€¦ · 2010 by Country China – 44% North America– 14% Other Asia – 15% Russia, Others – 16% Western Europe – 11%. Vanadium

01

Vanadium … Not So “Minor”

for Titanium

Page 2: Vanadium … Not So “Minor” for Titanium€¦ · 2010 by Country China – 44% North America– 14% Other Asia – 15% Russia, Others – 16% Western Europe – 11%. Vanadium

Vanadium

• Gray, Ductile Metal when Pure

Naturally Occurring as Oxide

22nd Most Abundant Metal

on the Earth

Category: Transition Metal

Page 3: Vanadium … Not So “Minor” for Titanium€¦ · 2010 by Country China – 44% North America– 14% Other Asia – 15% Russia, Others – 16% Western Europe – 11%. Vanadium

Vanadium

• Sources

Production

Consumption

Processes

The Future

Page 4: Vanadium … Not So “Minor” for Titanium€¦ · 2010 by Country China – 44% North America– 14% Other Asia – 15% Russia, Others – 16% Western Europe – 11%. Vanadium

Vanadium Sources 2010 Capacity

Primary (Ore) –

23%

Secondary – 77%

Page 5: Vanadium … Not So “Minor” for Titanium€¦ · 2010 by Country China – 44% North America– 14% Other Asia – 15% Russia, Others – 16% Western Europe – 11%. Vanadium

Vanadium Sources 2010 Capacity

Primary (Ore) –

23%

Steelmaking Slag – 45%

Page 6: Vanadium … Not So “Minor” for Titanium€¦ · 2010 by Country China – 44% North America– 14% Other Asia – 15% Russia, Others – 16% Western Europe – 11%. Vanadium

Vanadium Sources 2010 Capacity

Ore – 23% Oil & Coal

Residues –

15%

Page 7: Vanadium … Not So “Minor” for Titanium€¦ · 2010 by Country China – 44% North America– 14% Other Asia – 15% Russia, Others – 16% Western Europe – 11%. Vanadium

Vanadium Sources 2010 Capacity

Ore – 23% Spent Catalysts – 13%

Page 8: Vanadium … Not So “Minor” for Titanium€¦ · 2010 by Country China – 44% North America– 14% Other Asia – 15% Russia, Others – 16% Western Europe – 11%. Vanadium

Vanadium Sources 2010 Capacity

Ore – 23% Uranium

By-Product – 4%

Page 9: Vanadium … Not So “Minor” for Titanium€¦ · 2010 by Country China – 44% North America– 14% Other Asia – 15% Russia, Others – 16% Western Europe – 11%. Vanadium

0

40

80

120

160

Vanadium Capacity Utilization 2010

Steel Vanadium Oil &Coal Spent Uranium Slag Ore Residues Catalysts By-Products

Millio

ns

of

Lb

s. o

f V

2O

5

Capacity Utilization

87%

83%

83% 85%

19%

Capacity (342 mm)

Production 284 mm)

Page 10: Vanadium … Not So “Minor” for Titanium€¦ · 2010 by Country China – 44% North America– 14% Other Asia – 15% Russia, Others – 16% Western Europe – 11%. Vanadium

Vanadium Production 2010 by Country

China – 52%

Page 11: Vanadium … Not So “Minor” for Titanium€¦ · 2010 by Country China – 44% North America– 14% Other Asia – 15% Russia, Others – 16% Western Europe – 11%. Vanadium

Vanadium Production 2010 by Country

China – 52%

South Africa– 24%

Page 12: Vanadium … Not So “Minor” for Titanium€¦ · 2010 by Country China – 44% North America– 14% Other Asia – 15% Russia, Others – 16% Western Europe – 11%. Vanadium

Vanadium Production 2010 by Country

China – 52%

South Africa– 24%

Russia – 10%

U.S.A. – 9%

Others – 5%

Page 13: Vanadium … Not So “Minor” for Titanium€¦ · 2010 by Country China – 44% North America– 14% Other Asia – 15% Russia, Others – 16% Western Europe – 11%. Vanadium

Vanadium Consumption 2010 by Country

China – 44%

North America– 14%

Other Asia – 15%

Russia, Others – 16%

Western Europe – 11%

Page 14: Vanadium … Not So “Minor” for Titanium€¦ · 2010 by Country China – 44% North America– 14% Other Asia – 15% Russia, Others – 16% Western Europe – 11%. Vanadium

Vanadium Production vs. Consumption M

illio

ns

of

Lb

s. o

f V

2O

5

130

150

170

190

210

230

250

270

290

310

1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010

Vanadium Production

Vanadium Consumption

Global 12-Month Moving Average

Annual Rates Through August 2011

Source: Evraz Stratcor, Inc.

Page 15: Vanadium … Not So “Minor” for Titanium€¦ · 2010 by Country China – 44% North America– 14% Other Asia – 15% Russia, Others – 16% Western Europe – 11%. Vanadium

Vanadium Consumers

• Steelmaking: 93%

Improves Strength

Improves Wear Resistance

2010 by Industry

Page 16: Vanadium … Not So “Minor” for Titanium€¦ · 2010 by Country China – 44% North America– 14% Other Asia – 15% Russia, Others – 16% Western Europe – 11%. Vanadium

Vanadium Consumers

• Steelmaking: 93%

Ferrovanadium

2010 by Industry

Page 17: Vanadium … Not So “Minor” for Titanium€¦ · 2010 by Country China – 44% North America– 14% Other Asia – 15% Russia, Others – 16% Western Europe – 11%. Vanadium

125

150

175

200

225

250

275

300

700

800

900

1,000

1,100

1,200

1,300

1,400

1,500

Worldwide Steel Production vs. Worldwide Vanadium Consumption

1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010

Steel Production

Vanadium Consumption

Global 12-Month Moving Average

Annual Rates Through August 2011

Millio

ns o

f Lb

s. o

f V2 O

5 per Y

ear

Mil

lio

ns o

f M

etr

ic T

on

s o

f S

teel p

er

Year

Source: Evraz Stratcor, Inc.

Page 18: Vanadium … Not So “Minor” for Titanium€¦ · 2010 by Country China – 44% North America– 14% Other Asia – 15% Russia, Others – 16% Western Europe – 11%. Vanadium

Vanadium Consumers

• Chemical: 4%

2010 by Industry

Catalysts, Rubber, Batteries, Pollution Control

Page 19: Vanadium … Not So “Minor” for Titanium€¦ · 2010 by Country China – 44% North America– 14% Other Asia – 15% Russia, Others – 16% Western Europe – 11%. Vanadium

Vanadium Consumers

• Chemical: 4%

2010 by Industry

Vanadium Chemicals

Page 20: Vanadium … Not So “Minor” for Titanium€¦ · 2010 by Country China – 44% North America– 14% Other Asia – 15% Russia, Others – 16% Western Europe – 11%. Vanadium

Vanadium Consumers

• Titanium: 3%

2010 by Industry

Increases Strength in Aerospace Applications

Page 21: Vanadium … Not So “Minor” for Titanium€¦ · 2010 by Country China – 44% North America– 14% Other Asia – 15% Russia, Others – 16% Western Europe – 11%. Vanadium

Vanadium Consumers

• Titanium: 3%

2010 by Industry

Vanadium- Aluminum

Page 22: Vanadium … Not So “Minor” for Titanium€¦ · 2010 by Country China – 44% North America– 14% Other Asia – 15% Russia, Others – 16% Western Europe – 11%. Vanadium

Worldwide Steel vs. Titanium Production

0

300

600

900

1,200

1,500

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Steel

Titanium

2001 2003 2005 2007 2009

Millio

ns

of

Me

tric

To

ns

pe

r Y

ea

r

Source: Evraz Stratcor, Inc.

Page 23: Vanadium … Not So “Minor” for Titanium€¦ · 2010 by Country China – 44% North America– 14% Other Asia – 15% Russia, Others – 16% Western Europe – 11%. Vanadium

50

75

100

125

0

300

600

900

1,200

1,500

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Worldwide Steel vs. Titanium Production

Steel

Titanium

2001 2003 2005 2007 2009

Millio

ns

of

Me

tric

To

ns

of

Ste

el p

er

Ye

ar

Source: Evraz Stratcor, Inc.

Millio

ns o

f Metric

To

ns o

f Tita

niu

m p

er Y

ear

Page 24: Vanadium … Not So “Minor” for Titanium€¦ · 2010 by Country China – 44% North America– 14% Other Asia – 15% Russia, Others – 16% Western Europe – 11%. Vanadium

• Audited for Quality

• No W, Mo, Cb

Strict Quality Standards

Vanadium in Titanium

• >99% Pure Vanadium Oxide

Page 25: Vanadium … Not So “Minor” for Titanium€¦ · 2010 by Country China – 44% North America– 14% Other Asia – 15% Russia, Others – 16% Western Europe – 11%. Vanadium

• Capacity

• Producer Limitations:

Limitations of Titanium Market

Half Dozen Qualified Producers Globally

• Feedstocks

Page 26: Vanadium … Not So “Minor” for Titanium€¦ · 2010 by Country China – 44% North America– 14% Other Asia – 15% Russia, Others – 16% Western Europe – 11%. Vanadium

Limitations of Titanium Market

Tightly Controlled Process

Stringent Quality Standards

Dedicated Production Required

Frequent, Vigorous Audits

Page 27: Vanadium … Not So “Minor” for Titanium€¦ · 2010 by Country China – 44% North America– 14% Other Asia – 15% Russia, Others – 16% Western Europe – 11%. Vanadium

Vanadium-Aluminum Production

Page 28: Vanadium … Not So “Minor” for Titanium€¦ · 2010 by Country China – 44% North America– 14% Other Asia – 15% Russia, Others – 16% Western Europe – 11%. Vanadium

Vanadium

• The Future?

Page 29: Vanadium … Not So “Minor” for Titanium€¦ · 2010 by Country China – 44% North America– 14% Other Asia – 15% Russia, Others – 16% Western Europe – 11%. Vanadium

Vanadium Outlook

Highly Dependent on Steel Industry

Steel Demand Driven by China

New Construction Code Mandates

High-Vanadium Grade 3 and 4

Rebar

Page 30: Vanadium … Not So “Minor” for Titanium€¦ · 2010 by Country China – 44% North America– 14% Other Asia – 15% Russia, Others – 16% Western Europe – 11%. Vanadium

Vanadium Outlook

Growing Use in Titanium Applications

Long Term: Balanced Supply / Demand

Page 31: Vanadium … Not So “Minor” for Titanium€¦ · 2010 by Country China – 44% North America– 14% Other Asia – 15% Russia, Others – 16% Western Europe – 11%. Vanadium

50

70

90

110

130

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Projected Growth in Vanadium Demand

2007 2009 2011 2013 2015

Th

ou

san

ds o

f M

etr

ic T

on

s o

f V

an

ad

ium

per

Year

Source: TTP Squared

Page 32: Vanadium … Not So “Minor” for Titanium€¦ · 2010 by Country China – 44% North America– 14% Other Asia – 15% Russia, Others – 16% Western Europe – 11%. Vanadium

Batteries – Future Wild Card

Two Promising Technologies:

Vanadium Flow Redox Battery (VRB) -- For Power Grid Load Leveling

Lithium Vanadium Phosphate Battery -- For Automotive Applications

Could Require as Much as 15% of Total Vanadium Demand by 2015

Page 33: Vanadium … Not So “Minor” for Titanium€¦ · 2010 by Country China – 44% North America– 14% Other Asia – 15% Russia, Others – 16% Western Europe – 11%. Vanadium

0

3,000

6,000

9,000

12,000

15,000

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Vanadium Consumption in Batteries

Grid

Mobile

2007 2009 2011 2013

Me

tric

To

ns

of

Va

na

diu

m p

er

Ye

ar

Source: Byron Capital Markets

Page 34: Vanadium … Not So “Minor” for Titanium€¦ · 2010 by Country China – 44% North America– 14% Other Asia – 15% Russia, Others – 16% Western Europe – 11%. Vanadium

New Vanadium Projects

Panzizhua, China

• Capacity: 10,000 Tons V per Year

• Due: Late 2011 / Early 2012

• All for Ferrovanadium

• Source: Steelmaking Slag

Page 35: Vanadium … Not So “Minor” for Titanium€¦ · 2010 by Country China – 44% North America– 14% Other Asia – 15% Russia, Others – 16% Western Europe – 11%. Vanadium

New Vanadium Projects

Windimurra, Australia

• Capacity: 6,300 Tons V per Year

• Due: Late 2011 / Early 2012

• Mainly for Ferrovanadium

• Some for Titanium

• Source: Vanadium Ore

Page 36: Vanadium … Not So “Minor” for Titanium€¦ · 2010 by Country China – 44% North America– 14% Other Asia – 15% Russia, Others – 16% Western Europe – 11%. Vanadium

New Vanadium Projects

Marcas Project, Brazil

• Capacity: 3,000 Tons V per Year

• Due: 2013

• Mainly for Ferrovanadium

• Source: Vanadium Ore

Page 37: Vanadium … Not So “Minor” for Titanium€¦ · 2010 by Country China – 44% North America– 14% Other Asia – 15% Russia, Others – 16% Western Europe – 11%. Vanadium

New Vanadium Projects

Evraz Stratcor, United States

• Expansion: 3,000 Tons V per Year

• Due: Early 2013

• Mainly for Titanium, Chemicals

• Further Expansion in 2014

• Source: Steelmaking Slag

Page 38: Vanadium … Not So “Minor” for Titanium€¦ · 2010 by Country China – 44% North America– 14% Other Asia – 15% Russia, Others – 16% Western Europe – 11%. Vanadium

Summary

Plentiful Vanadium Availability but

Most Will Be Used in Ferrovanadium

Additional Vanadium for Titanium Limited

Due to Purity and Quality Requirements

Only Small Amount of Vanadium from

New Projects Will Be Suitable for

Titanium

Page 39: Vanadium … Not So “Minor” for Titanium€¦ · 2010 by Country China – 44% North America– 14% Other Asia – 15% Russia, Others – 16% Western Europe – 11%. Vanadium

Summary

Vanadium Supply / Consumption

Should Be Balanced;

Possible Price Volatility

Wild Card: Vanadium Storage Batteries

Could Significantly Impact Market

Page 40: Vanadium … Not So “Minor” for Titanium€¦ · 2010 by Country China – 44% North America– 14% Other Asia – 15% Russia, Others – 16% Western Europe – 11%. Vanadium

Thank you!