ValuEngine Weekly:Verizon,Hewlett Packard,Staples, and Suttmeier

8/13/2019 ValuEngine Weekly:Verizon,Hewlett Packard,Staples, and Suttmeier

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November 22, 2013

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VALUATION WARNING: Our models find that o er aluation is at le elst!"icall! seen #hen mar$et "ull%ac$s occur. O er alued stoc$s no# ma$eu" almost &'( of our stoc$s assigned a aluation and )* ( of thosee+uities are calculated to %e o er alued %! ,-( or more. ALL sectors arecalculated to %e o er alued /) of them %! dou%le digits.

MARKET OVERVIEW

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2/10

SECTOR OVERVIEW 7ector 1hange =T3 2T3 Valuation Last /,9

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RatioAeros"ace %")+/ ,"&)/ ,*" / ,)",%/ overvalued .." ./ %*"&.

Auto9Tires9Truc$s +"( / %")%/ .&" ,/ )("(&/ overvalued &."),/ )%"*.

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?usiness 7er ices +"*&/ %" */ ,&",*/ ) ") / overvalued , "*(/ )(")&

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1onstruction %"%(/ )"&*/ , "* / )%". / overvalued ,(". / )&" (

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@inance +" +/ +" */ )*"+(/ ),"../ overvalued % ".+/ %*" .

Industrial


3/10

Se$"or Tal%&Con!umer S"a'le!

Below, we present the latest data on leading Consumer Staples Sector stocksfrom our Institutional software package (VEI . These results were filtered by marketprice and volume--no results below 3 !share or less than "##k shares!day volume.

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RAI 7E@24:05 1?E7 &+"( ,",% % " (7I0E %("% )*". %&+" &

7A@= 5120E7542 317?5 ( " %+"%, .)"**
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To 7ign U" for a@REE TRIALC


5/10

W a"-! .o"&T ing! are #oo%ing /'

7ey indices are up /#-3#8 for /#"3. rom our perspective, we see little on the

hori&on that can impede the market and e5pect the 9traditional: year-end upswingas managers who have missed the boat try to dress up their record for the year. ;eare increasingly confident that the S has weathered the worst of the recession and isnow in full-on recovery phase. Since the end of the most-recent shut down fiasco,;ashington shenanigans have focused on the *ffordable Care *ct and that hasprovided some much-needed This week$s ?ob report was another good sign for the labor market. The S

government shut down seems to have less of an effect than e5pected. The 6nternational 4onetary und '64 ) pro?ects S +@1 to increase /.A8 in /#" .

This is not a huge ?ump, but it$s a good number especially when compared toother economic &ones.

4onetarily, the new ed Chair Danet ellen is an e5perienced leader ratherthan a well-connected political player with Euestionable ?udgment and history.=er attention to both of the ed$s mandates inflation control and fullemployment bodes well for the future of the recovery. ;e believe it is prudentto continue the &ero-interest rate policy '(621) and Euantitative easing 'F ) witha slow taper. ellen$s testimony vis-a-vis her policy preferences once againdemonstrate that eEuities will most likely be the only game in town for Euitesome time.

iscally, seEuestration is paying real benefits despite the 9meat cleaver:approach to budgeting. ;hen you combine the spending cuts with theincreased ta5 revenues from the recovery, you get a double bonus and wenow see deficits falling at record rates. The Congressional Budget 0ffice 'CB0)pro?ects a budget deficit of only /8 in /#"G and a debt level which willdecrease to AH8 of +@1 by /#"H.

The banking sector is in a much stronger position than at any time since the

credit crisis began. Capital ratios have increased while 9non-performing: loanshave decreased. ;hile they remain an anathema on ;all Street, the @odd-rank reforms should help to fend off some of the worst practices in place priorto the /##H crash.


6/10

=ousing is in full recovery finally. The Case-Shiller home price inde5demonstrates this, and we now see real ?umps in home eEuity--which will helpunderwater homeowners.

;e also see reduced household and business debt levels. 0f course, one baddata point for debt levels remains student debt. oung people in the S arefacing a crisis in employment combined with debt levels which may retardgrowth in the future as mandatory student debt payments inescapable evenwith bankruptcy take money away from home and other potential big ticket-item purchasing.

So, there are many positives out there for the S. *nd, many of these positivedata points provide additional succor for the market rally. =owever, all good thingsdo come to an end eventually. Complacency is always the enemy. =owever, in ourview this rally still has room to run. The greatest short-term threat we see is the

imposition of self-inflicted wounds from ;ashington @C. Starting up yet another roundof default talk in Danuary /#" would be foolhardy. 6mplementing additional austeritymeasures such as the so-called 92yan 1lan:-- would also hamper the recovery.

Su""meier Sa !""2ommentary and (nalysis from 2hief Market Strategist .ichardSuttmeier

If you have any co!!ents or "uestions, sen# the! toRsutt!eier$%!ail&co!

'reasury iel#s"#- ear--'/.AIA) @aily, monthly and semiannual value levels are/.J H, /.H/I and 3.//J with annual, weekly, Euarterly and annualrisky levels at /. JA, /. /A, /./G/ and ".IH".

Co!!o#ities an# )ore*

Come5 +old K' "/ ".3) 4y monthly value level is ""J".H with daily and weekly pivots

at "/ H.J and "/HH.I, and Euarterly and annual risky levels at " 3G.A, "GII.I and"HG/.".

Lyme5 Crude 0il K ' IG."A) daily and weekly value levels are I/.AG and I". " withmonthly, semiannual, Euarterly and annual risky levels at "#G.# , "#I.H , "" .3Aand ""G./3.
http://www.valuengine.com/nl/mainnl?nl=C


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The uro K '".3 J#) 4onthly, annual, Euarterly and semiannual value levels are ".3 /H,".3/GJ, "./H#G, "./JGA and "./ JJ with daily, weekly and annual risky levels at ".3G3G,".3GH" and ". /IG.

+a or In#ices

@aily @ow> '"A,#"#) ;eekly, semiannual and annual value levels are "G,A/ ," ,J/ and "/,AIA with the Lov. "H all-time intra-day high at "A,#3#./H, anddaily, monthly, semiannual and Euarterly risky levels at "A,#GA, "A,"A/, "A, I#and "A,JJG.

SM1 G## K '"JIA.") Semiannual and annual value levels are "J 3.G, "A#A.I," ##.J and "3 H.3 with a weekly and monthly pivots at "JH/.A and "H#/.#,the Lov. "H all-time intra-day high at "H#/.33, and daily and Euarterly riskylevels at "H# .J, JIA. and "HG3.H.

L*S@*F K '3IAI) Semiannual and annual value levels are 3JGI, 3AAH and/H#A with a daily risky level at 3IHH, the Lov. "H multi-year intra-day high at3II .IJ, and weekly, monthly and Euarterly risky levels at #"G, #" , #/G.

L*S@*F "## 'L@N) K '3 #3) Semiannual and annual value levels are 33#and / A3 with a daily risky level at 3 /A, the Lov. "I multi-year intra-dayhigh at 3 /I./#, and monthly, weekly and Euarterly risky levels at 3 /G, 3 G#and 3 JJ.

@ow Transports K 'J"J3) 4onthly and annual value levels are AI/J, GI/G andG AI with semiannual, weekly and Euarterly pivots at J"# , J"/A andJ/#G,the Lov. "H all-time intra-day high at J/ G. 3, and daily risky level atJ/G/.

2ussell /### K '"""H."I) Semiannual and annual value levels are "#HI. /,HA#./G and H#I.G with a daily pivot at """G.HI, the 0ct. 3# all time multi-year intra-day high at ""/3./A, and weekly, monthly and Euarterly riskylevels at ""/A.G/, ""33." and ""A3./".

The S0N K 'G# ./3) 4y annual value level is 33H.#3 with daily and weekly risky

levels at G#A.J and G#I.J/, the 0ct. 3" multi-year intra-day high at G"#."J,and monthly, Euarterly and semiannual risky levels at G"I.J/, G" .HJ andG33.GA.

@ow tilities> ' IG.HJ) 4y semiannual value level is H".I/ with daily, weekly,monthly, Euarterly, semiannual and annual risky levels at II.#A, G#I.AG,G" .A/, G/#.GG, G/3.33 and G #.3J.


8/10

-tock of the .ay

=ere is today$s stock of the day from 2ichard Suttmeier$s 4orning Briefing Lewsletter.

=ewlett-1ackard '=1F) K ' /G.#") =ewlett 1ackard is one of the leading globalproviders of computing and imaging solutions and services for business and home.The company is focused on capitali&ing on the opportunities of the 6nternet and theproliferation of electronic services. 6ts ma?or businesses include 6maging and 1rintingSystems, Computing Systems and 6nformation Technology Services.

*nalysis K =ewlett 1ackard has a hold rating according to %alu ngine with fair valueat //.3" which makes the stock "".H#8 overvalued. The %alu ngine one-year pricetarget is /G.H/. The daily chart shows overbought declining momentum with thestock below its /"-day simple moving average at /G."3 and above its G#-day and

/##-day simple moving averages at /3.33 and //.IJ. 4y Euarterly value level is/#."3 with a semiannual pivot at / ./ and monthly risky level at /A.H .


9/10

2ichard Suttmeier has been a professional in the S Capital 4arkets since "IJ/transferring his engineering skills to the trading and investment world. =e earned aBachelor of 6ndustrial ngineering degree from +eorgia 6nstitute of Technology in"IAA, and a 4aster of Science, 0perations 2esearch, Systems *nalysis degree fromBrooklyn 1olytechnic niversity in "IJ#. 0ver the years 2ichard appeared many timesin the financial media, on networks such as CLBC, CLL, CLLfn, Lew ork ",Bloomberg T% and radio, o5 Business, Business Lews Letwork in Canada, ;all Street;eek with ortune, ahoo inance Breakout, and the Bill 4a&er 2adio Show. 6n /##/,he anchored his own show on ahoo inance %ision called,


10/10

ValuEngine $om Tool! an* Servi$e!

;e provide a variety of means for accessing %alu ngine market analysis andother content. ou can find us on some of the leading financial media websites aswell as the more popular social media services. ;hile our own websiteValuEngine&co! provides access to lots of analysis--and you can always sign up toreceive email daily and weekly bulletins HERE, some users prefer to download 1@reports of content while others prefer to garner info while browsing the web.

0ur Chief 4arket Strategist 2ichard Suttmeier is a prolific market observer andyou can find his content in a variety of places. =is weekly column on orbes providesinsights into his

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ValuEngine Weekly:Verizon,Hewlett Packard,Staples, and Suttmeier