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Accepted Manuscript Using MODIS data for understanding changes in seagrass meadow health: a case study in the Great Barrier Reef (Australia) Caroline Petus, Catherine Collier, Michelle Devlin PII: S0141-1136(14)00048-8 DOI: 10.1016/j.marenvres.2014.03.006 Reference: MERE 3866 To appear in: Marine Environmental Research Received Date: 11 December 2013 Revised Date: 3 March 2014 Accepted Date: 7 March 2014 Please cite this article as: Petus, C., Collier, C., Devlin, M., Using MODIS data for understanding changes in seagrass meadow health: a case study in the Great Barrier Reef (Australia), Marine Environmental Research (2014), doi: 10.1016/j.marenvres.2014.03.006. This is a PDF file of an unedited manuscript that has been accepted for publication. As a service to our customers we are providing this early version of the manuscript. The manuscript will undergo copyediting, typesetting, and review of the resulting proof before it is published in its final form. Please note that during the production process errors may be discovered which could affect the content, and all legal disclaimers that apply to the journal pertain.

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Page 1: Using MODIS data for understanding changes in seagrass meadow health: A case study in the Great Barrier Reef (Australia)

Accepted Manuscript

Using MODIS data for understanding changes in seagrass meadow health: a casestudy in the Great Barrier Reef (Australia)

Caroline Petus, Catherine Collier, Michelle Devlin

PII: S0141-1136(14)00048-8

DOI: 10.1016/j.marenvres.2014.03.006

Reference: MERE 3866

To appear in: Marine Environmental Research

Received Date: 11 December 2013

Revised Date: 3 March 2014

Accepted Date: 7 March 2014

Please cite this article as: Petus, C., Collier, C., Devlin, M., Using MODIS data for understandingchanges in seagrass meadow health: a case study in the Great Barrier Reef (Australia), MarineEnvironmental Research (2014), doi: 10.1016/j.marenvres.2014.03.006.

This is a PDF file of an unedited manuscript that has been accepted for publication. As a service toour customers we are providing this early version of the manuscript. The manuscript will undergocopyediting, typesetting, and review of the resulting proof before it is published in its final form. Pleasenote that during the production process errors may be discovered which could affect the content, and alllegal disclaimers that apply to the journal pertain.

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• We use MODIS data to map turbid plume waters in the Great Barrier Reef.

• We use these data to understand changes in seagrass meadow areas and abundance.

• Correlations are found between seagrass changes and exposure to turbid plume waters.

• Potential of remote sensing data to predict GBR seagrasses health changes is proved.

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Using MODIS data for understanding changes in seagrass meadow health: a case study 1

in the Great Barrier Reef (Australia) 2

Petus, Caroline a*, Collier, Catherine b, Devlin, Michelle a 3

a Centre for Tropical Water and Aquatic Ecosystem Research, Catchment to Reef Research Group, 4

James Cook University, Townsville, QLD 4811, Australia 5

b School of Marine and Tropical Biology, James Cook University, Townsville, QLD 4811, Australia 6

* Corresponding author: [email protected], Phone: +61 7 4701 4680, Fax: +61 7 4781 7

5589 8

9

Abstract 10

Stretching more than 2,000 km along the Queensland coast, the Great Barrier Reef Marine 11

Park (GBR) shelters over 43,000 square km of seagrass meadows. Despite the status of 12

marine protected area and World Heritage listing of the GBR, local seagrass meadows are 13

under stress from reduced water quality levels; with reduction in the amount of light available 14

for seagrass photosynthesis defined as the primary cause of seagrass loss throughout the 15

GBR. Methods have been developed to map GBR plume water types by using MODIS quasi-16

true colour (hereafter true colour) images reclassified in function of their dominant colour. 17

These data can be used as an interpretative tool for understanding changes in seagrass 18

meadow health (as defined in this study by the seagrass area and abundance) at different 19

spatial and temporal scales. We tested this method in Cleveland Bay, in the northern GBR, 20

where substantial loss in seagrass area and biomass was detected by annual monitoring from 21

2007 to 2011. A strong correlation was found between bay-wide seagrass meadow area and 22

biomass and exposure to turbid Primary (sediment-dominated) water type. There was also a 23

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strong correlation between the changes of biomass and area of individual meadows and 24

exposure of seagrass ecosystems to Primary water type over the 5-year period. Seagrass 25

meadows were also grouped according to the dominant species within each meadow, 26

irrespective of location within Cleveland Bay. These consolidated community types did not 27

correlate well with the exposure to Primary water type, and this is likely to be due to local 28

environmental conditions with the individual meadows that comprise these groupings. This 29

study proved that remote sensing data provide the synoptic window and repetitivity required 30

to investigate changes in water quality conditions over time. Remote sensing data provide an 31

opportunity to investigate the risk of marine-coastal ecosystems to light limitation due to 32

increased water turbidity when in situ water quality data is not available or is insufficient. 33

Key words: seagrass health, MODIS, water clarity, ecological consequences. 34

35

1. Introduction 36

River plumes are the major transport mechanism for sediments, nutrients, and other land-37

based pollutants and are a major threat to coastal and marine ecosystems worldwide (e.g. 38

Halpern et al., 2008). Identifying the movement, duration, frequency of occurrence and 39

composition of river plumes and associated water quality, is critical to measure the risk of 40

marine ecosystems to reduced water quality such as reduced light availability due to 41

increased water turbidity (e.g., Warrick et al., 2004; Novoa et al., 2012a, b; Petus et al., in 42

press). Satellite sensors provide an effective means for frequent and synoptic water quality 43

observations over large areas. The input of Total Suspended Sediments (TSS), Coloured 44

Dissolved Organic Matters (CDOM) and phytoplankton (measured through the 45

concentrations of chlorophyll-a (chl-a)) by river discharges alter the turbidity, colour and 46

optical properties of the water and Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer 47

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(MODIS) satellite images have been used to monitor river plumes worldwide (e.g., Devlin et 48

al., 2011, 2012a; Petus et al., 2009, 2014; Saldías et al., 2012). 49

In the Great Barrier Reef Marine Park (hereafter GBR) and World Heritage Area, recent 50

studies have focused on developing innovative MODIS methods to map the spatial extent and 51

frequency of occurrence of the different river plume water types existing within the GBR 52

river plume gradient; as well as the exposure of local ecosystems to land-based pollutants 53

discharged through river plumes (e.g., Álvarez-Romero et al., 2013; Devlin et al., 2013a; 54

Petus et al., in press). Three main river plume water types (Primary, Secondary and Tertiary 55

plume water types) were described from the inshore to the offshore boundary of GBR river 56

plumes (e.g., Devlin et al., 2011b, 2012b; Petus et al., in press). Each plume water type 57

(hereafter water type) is associated with different levels of pollutants and optically active 58

components (OACs), including TSS, chl-a and CDOM levels (Devlin et al., 2012b, Petus et 59

al., in press and Appendix A). TSS, aCDOM and Kd(PAR) levels in river plume waters 60

decrease from the inshore/Primary to the offshore/Tertiary plume water types (Devlin and 61

Schaffelke., 2009, Devlin et al., 2012a, 2013a, b; Petus et al., in press) and the relative 62

concentrations of these OACs affect the light attenuation properties of the water types 63

(Devlin et al., 2008, 2009). 64

Comparisons between GBR water types mapped through MODIS images and in situ TSS (in 65

mg L-1), chl-a (in µg L-1), and diffuse attenuation coefficient of photosynthetically active 66

radiation (Kd(PAR), in m-1) measurements have validated the use of MODIS true color 67

images to classify GBR plume water types (Devlin et al., 2013b). TSS and Kd(PAR) in the 68

Primary water type are typically around (mean ± 1SD) 36.8±5.5 mg L-1 and 0.73 ± 0.54 m-1, 69

respectively; in the Primary water type (Devlin et al., 2013b and Appendix A). Devlin et al. 70

(2013b) also described higher in-situ TSS measurements (and thus light limiting conditions 71

due to increase of water turbidity) related to areas that were more frequently (greater than 50 72

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% of the wet season) exposed to the Primary waters type. Primary waters are thus 73

characterized by high turbidity levels and light attenuation properties (Devlin et al., 2008, 74

2009), and light reduction is the most likely driver of seagrass loss in the region (Collier et 75

al., 2012a, b). 76

Seagrasses are marine flowering plants that occur in shallow waters (<50m) across the globe 77

except in the Polar Regions. There are approximately 70 species arising from three separate 78

lineages, which have convergent biological traits and similar ecological roles (Short et al., 79

2011; Les et al., 1997; Waycott et al., 2006). Their ecological roles also have high economic 80

value, including nutrient cycling, nursery habitat for commercial fish species, sediment 81

stabilisation, carbon storage and they are a direct source of food for numerous herbivores and 82

their high rates of productivity subsidize adjacent ecosystems such as coral reefs (Costanza et 83

al., 1997; Heck et al., 2008; Cullen-Unsworth et al., 2013; Fourqurean et al., 2012). In 84

tropical regions, such as the GBR, seagrass meadows support turtles, manatees and dugongs, 85

which are seagrass specialists (Marsh et al., 2011). Seagrass meadows have relatively high 86

light requirements compared to other marine plants such as macroalagae and phytoplankton 87

(Dennison, 1993), and so they are often restricted to the shallow waters fringing islands and 88

coasts. This places them at high risk of exposure to plume waters from adjacent watersheds 89

and this is contributing to accelerating loss of seagrass across the globe. This loss has placed 90

them amongst the worlds most threatened ecosystems (Waycott et al., 2009; Hughes et al., 91

2009). 92

In the GBR, dugong foraging grounds and dugong protection areas largely occur in coastal 93

seagrass meadows. These meadows have a distinct senescent season, which is initiated in the 94

wet season (McKenzie et al., 2013). During the wet season, seagrasses are exposed to water 95

types that are detrimental to seagrass productivity because water clarity is reduced in turbid 96

and nutrient-rich waters (Collier et al., 2012b). The close association between runoff and 97

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seagrass senescence in the GBR makes seagrasses a good habitat for exploring the 98

relationship between ecological health and plume water types. 99

Multi-scale studies of seagrass species distributions is often the starting point for examining 100

environmental drivers and interpreting responses of seagrass meadows to climate change and 101

decreased water quality (Kendrick et al., 2008). The main objective of this study was to test if 102

relationships can be established between the frequency of exposure to Primary water type 103

(used to monitor waters with reduced light levels caused by turbidity) and changes in seagrass 104

health (as defined in this study by the seagrass area and abundance) in the GBR at different 105

spatial and temporal scales. We focused on Cleveland Bay, bordering the city of Townsville 106

(North Queensland, Figure 1), as a case study. Two local rivers drain the study area: the Ross 107

River and Alligator Creek. Both river catchments are impacted by anthropogenic 108

developments and sediment and nutrient exports have increased since European settlement in 109

the region (Furnas, 2003, Kroon et al., 2012). Substantial seagrass loss has occurred in 110

Cleveland Bay over the period 2007 to 2011 and changes in seagrass area and above-ground 111

biomass (hereafter biomass) have been regularly monitored for selected meadows (see 112

references in Rasheed and Taylor, 2008 and McKenna and Rasheed 2012). 113

The seagrass data were coupled with exposure to Primary water type , which was derived 114

from MODIS true color images and the classification method developed by Álvarez-Romero 115

et al. (2013), in order to test the response of these sensitive ecosystems to Primary water, 116

characterised by reduced light levels. 117

118

2. Study area 119

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Cleveland Bay is located on the eastern coast of north Queensland, Australia, 1,359 120

kilometres north of Brisbane. Cleveland Bay is located in the dry tropics and experiences a 121

summer wet season (December to April) and a winter dry season (May to November). The 122

average rainfall is about 1120 mm an-1, the majority of which falls during the wet season 123

(Furnas, 2003). 124

The Bay is bordered to the west by the city of Townsville (Figure 1) and to the east by 125

Magnetic Island; an inshore continental island of the GBR located about 8 km offshore from 126

Townsville. The Port of Townsville is Queensland’s third largest commercial port and has 127

undergone large extensions over the past few years. Cleveland Bay reaches a maximum depth 128

of 15 m at its seaward edge and the bay is protected from the south-easterly trade winds that 129

dominate the dry season by Cape Cleveland. The Ross River and Alligator Creek with 130

catchment areas of 998 km2 and 265 km2, respectively, discharge into the Bay and the 131

average fine sediment discharge in Cleveland Bay has been estimated around 25900 t y-1 132

(Lambrechts et al., 2010). The bay can also receive fine sediments from the Burdekin River 133

located 100 km to the South (Bainbridge et al., 2012; Lambrechts et al., 2010). 134

135

INSERT FIGURE 1 136

Figure 1: Bathymetry of Cleveland Bay (Bathymetry: © www.deepreef.org) and location of 137

meadows monitored during the 2007 wet season baseline survey. Meadow areas selected for 138

the seagrass health long term monitoring (meadows 3, 4, 5, 6, 10, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18) 139

are indicated with a bright green color and the location of monitoring survey boundaries with 140

black dashed lines. Red star of the inset map indicate the location of Cleveland Bay within 141

Queensland (in light grey). See Table 1 for description of selected meadows. 142

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Numerous intertidal and shallow subtidal seagrass meadows, comprised of six seagrass 143

species, are located along Cape Cleveland, from the Bohle River to Ross River, and around 144

Magnetic Island (Figure 1 and Table 1). The combination of seasonal terrestrial run-off, 145

regular cyclones, strong south-easterly trade winds and large tidal runs creates significant 146

coastal turbidity and reduces light levels available for primary production. To survive this 147

regime seagrasses need to exhibit high vegetative growth rates and prolific seed banks 148

(Waycott et al., 2005). This has led to the predominance of opportunistic species, such as 149

Halodule uninervis and Halophila spinulosa in Cleveland Bay. Other main seagrass species 150

in shallow waters near Townsville are, Zostera muelleri (also known as Zostera capricorni), 151

and Cymodocea serrulata, while the other two species – Halophila ovalis and Halophila 152

decipiens were less dominant at the time of this study, though H. ovalis in particular, is 153

widespread throughout the region. 154

Cleveland Bay is typical of anthropogenically-modified shallow turbid environments 155

impacted by seasonal terrestrial run-off and it has widespread seagrass meadows. Cleveland 156

Bay was thus selected in this study for testing the response of seagrasses to reduced light 157

levels, as measured by the frequency of exposure to Primary water type. 158

159

3. Methods 160

3.1. Seagrass surveys in Cleveland Bay 161

The sampling approach for the seagrass surveys in Cleveland Bay is described in detail in 162

e.g., Rasheed and Taylor (2008), Unsworth et al. (2009) and McKenna and Rasheed (2012, 163

2013). Two baseline surveys of seagrass distribution and abundance were conducted within 164

port limits of Townsville in the 2007/2008 wet season (November 2007 – February 2008) 165

(Figure 1) and 2008 dry season (June 2008). The surveyed area included intertidal and 166

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subtidal areas extending from the Bohle River through to Cape Cleveland, including the 167

southern side of Magnetic Island. A total of 634 and 761 sites were surveyed in the wet 168

season baseline 2007 and dry season baseline 2008. Twelve mixed species meadow types of 169

varying density and eight meadow types were identified and were categorised according to 170

each meadow’s dominant species (Rasheed and Taylor, 2008). 171

172

Table 1: Description of meadows selected for long term monitoring (Rasheed and Taylor, 173

2008), including unique meadow ID, and species composition. Hu: Halodule uninervis; Cs: 174

Cymodocea serrulata, Ho: Halophila ovalis, Zm: Zostera muelleri, Hd: Halophila decipiens, 175

Hs: Halophila spinulosa. Meadows are regrouped into four consolidated communities 176

according to the dominant species within each meadow at the start of the monitoring 177

program: Hu*: Halodule uninervis (thin)-dominated communities, Cs*: Cymodocea 178

serrulata-dominated communities, Zm*: Zostera muelleri-dominated communities, and Hs*: 179

Halophila spinulosa-dominated communities. Int: Intertidal, Sub: subtidal. mix sp.: mixed 180

species. 181

INSERT TABLE 1 182

183

This baseline information was used to select a subset of 12 meadows and design a long-term 184

monitoring program to assess seagrass health from 2007 to 2011 (Table 1 and Figure 1). 185

These selected meadows represented the range of meadow types found in the area suitable for 186

monitoring and also captured areas of interest and likely water quality impact (including 187

resuspension of sediments and reduction in light levels) related to Townsville port 188

development. Monitoring meadows included both intertidal and subtidal seagrasses as well as 189

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meadows preferred as food by dugong and those likely to support high fisheries productivity 190

(Rasheed and Taylor, 2008). In this study, we reclassified the 12 selected meadows into four 191

consolidated communities (Hu*, Cs*, Zm*and Hs*; Table 1) according to the dominant 192

species within each meadow at the start of the monitoring program. 193

The monitoring program surveyed seagrass biomass, area, distribution and species 194

composition each spring/summer (October/November) from 2007 to 2011 using methods 195

developed by the James Cook University Marine Ecology Group for their network of 196

established seagrass monitoring programs, including Cairns, Mourilyan Harbour, Gladstone, 197

Karumba, and Weipa (McKenna and Rasheed, 2013). The boundary of the seagrass meadow 198

was mapped from aerial (helicopter) surveys conducted at low tide when the seagrass 199

meadows were exposed, or by free diving and underwater camera techniques. Waypoints 200

were recorded around the edge of the meadow using a global positioning system (GPS) and 201

were digitised on to a Geographic Information System (GIS) base map. The GIS base map 202

was constructed from a 1:25,000 vertical aerial photograph rectified and projected to 203

Geodetic Datum of Australia (GDA 94) coordinates. Each seagrass meadow was assigned a 204

mapping precision estimate based on the mapping methodology utilised for that meadow 205

(McKenzie et al., 2001). Mapping precision estimates ranged from 10 m for isolated intertidal 206

seagrass meadows to 500 m for larger subtidal meadows (see Table 3 in Unsworth et al., 207

2009). The mapping precision estimate was used to calculate a range of meadow area for 208

each meadow and was expressed as a meadow reliability estimate in hectares. Additional 209

sources of mapping error associated with digitising aerial photographs onto basemaps and 210

with GPS fixes for survey sites were embedded within the meadow reliability estimates. 211

Biomasses were estimated using a modified “visual estimates of biomass” technique 212

described by (Mellors, 1991). This method has been utilised in surveys throughout 213

Queensland and peer reviewed on several occasions (Rasheed et al. 2008; Rasheed and 214

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Unsworth 2011). The method involves an observer ranking above-ground seagrass biomass 215

within three randomly placed 0.25m2 quadrats at each site. Measurements for each observer 216

are later calibrated to previously obtained biomass values from seagrass harvested from 217

quadrats and dried in the lab to determine mean above-ground biomass in grams dry weight 218

per square metre at each site. 219

220

3.2. Mapping MODIS Primary water type, representing turbid water 221

Flood plumes were mapped in this work using the method presented in Álvarez-Romero et al. 222

(2013) and described in Appendix B. In this method, daily MODIS Level-0 data acquired 223

from the NASA Ocean Colour website (http://oceancolour.gsfc.nasa.gov) are converted into 224

true colour images with a spatial resolution of about 500×500 m using SeaWiFS Data 225

Analysis System (SeaDAS; Baith et al., 2001). True colour images are then spectrally 226

enhanced (from RGB to HSI colour system) and classified into six colour classes through a 227

supervised classification using spectral signature from river plume waters in the GBR. 228

The six colour classes are further reclassified into 3 plume water types corresponding to the 229

three GBR water types (Primary, Secondary, Tertiary) defined by e.g., Devlin and Schaffelke 230

(2009) and Devlin et al. (2012a). The turbid sediment-dominated waters or Primary water 231

type is defined as corresponding to colour classes 1 to 4 of Álvarez-Romero et al. (2013), the 232

chl-a dominated waters or Secondary water type is defined as corresponding to the colour 233

class 5 and the Tertiary water type is defined as corresponding to the colour class 6 (Álvarez-234

Romero et al., 2013, Devlin et al., 2013b) (Appendix A). Satellite/in-situ match-ups analyses 235

were performed by Devlin et al. (2013a, b) and validated plume water type maps produced at 236

the multiannual time scale and GBR spatial scale from the re-classification of the colour 237

classes of Álvarez-Romero et al. (2013). 238

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The supervised classification of Álvarez-Romero et al. (2013) was used to classify 5 years of 239

MODIS images (from 2007 to 2011, focused on the summer wet season i.e., December to 240

April inclusive), and to produce daily Primary water type maps over the 2007 (i.e., December 241

2006 to April 2007) to 2011(i.e., December 2010 to April 2011) wet seasons. Secondary and 242

Tertiary water type maps were not included in this study as we wanted to focus our study on 243

the potential ecological effects of highly turbid waters on seagrass meadows. Weekly Primary 244

water type composites were created to minimize the amount of area without data per image 245

due to masking of dense cloud cover, common during the wet season (Brodie et al., 2010), 246

and intense sun glint (Álvarez-Romero et al., 2013). 247

Weekly composites were resampled at the minimum MODIS spatial resolution (250×250 m) 248

using the resampling function of ARCGIS 10.1 and a nearest interpolation resampling 249

technique to allow comparison between the MODIS images and the smallest seagrass beds of 250

Cleveland Bay. This technique uses the value of the closest cell to assign a value to the output 251

cell when resampling. Weekly composites were thus overlaid (i.e., presence/absence of 252

Primary water type) and normalized, to compute annual normalised frequency maps of 253

occurrence of Primary water type (hereafter annual Primary water frequency maps). Finally, 254

annual Primary water frequency maps were overlayed in ArcGIS to create multi-annual 255

(2007-2011) normalised frequency composites of occurrence of Primary water types 256

(hereafter multi-annual Primary water frequency composites). Three composites were created 257

by calculating the median, maximum and standard deviation frequency values of each 258

cell/year. The annual/multi-annual frequency of occurrence of Primary water type represent 259

the number of week the Primary plume water type was present in each MODIS pixel during 260

one/several (2007 to 2011) consecutive wet season(s), respectively. 261

3.3. Using MODIS annual turbid water maps for understanding changes in seagrass 262

meadow health 263

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Relationships in Cleveland Bay were investigated between annual Primary water type maps 264

and seagrass at three different spatial scales, including: (i) the individual meadow scale (i.e., 265

for every respective 12 individual meadows (Table 1); (ii) the consolidated community scale 266

(i.e., for the four consolidated communities: Hu*, Cs*, Zm*and Hs* ; Table 1), and; (iii) the 267

bay-wide scale (i.e., for the Cleveland combined 12 monitored meadows; Table 1), 268

respectively. Relationships were investigated by correlating seagrass health measurements 269

with the exposure of seagrasses to Primary water type at these three different scales (Figure 270

2). The 12 meadows were consolidated into four communities because we aimed to test if 271

correlation between the turbid waters and the seagrass changes could be explained by the 272

dominant seagrass species (and its specific growth requirements) in each of the seagrass 273

meadows. Methods are further described in sections 3.3.1 and 3.3.2. Appendix C presents the 274

ranges of scales (in pixel, km2 and Ha) for the individual, the consolidated community and 275

the bay-wide seagrass meadow scales. 276

277

INSERT FIGURE 2 278

Figure 2: methods used to investigate relationships between seagrass meadow health 279

measurements and the exposure of seagrass beds to Primary water type: a: annual, ma: 280

multiannual; dArea and dBiomass: total changes over the 5-year monitoring in the individual 281

meadow area and biomass and; Freq(P): exposure of seagrasses to Primary water type. Areaa 282

and Biomassa of the consolidated communities and bay-wide seagrasses are calculated by 283

summing the corresponding individual meadow Areaa and Biomassa measured from 2007 to 284

2011 and Freq(P)a are calculated following methods of Figure 3. dArea and dBiomass are 285

calculated following Eq. 1 and Freq(P)ma extracted from the multi-annual Primary water 286

frequency composites (median, maximum and standard deviation composites). 287

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3.3.1. Measurements of seagrass health 288

Areas and biomasses were computed annually (Areaa and Biomassa) for the three seagrass 289

scales. Areas of the consolidated communities and bay-wide seagrasses were calculated by 290

summing the corresponding individual meadow areas measured every year from 2007 to 291

2011. To fully quantify changes in seagrass area and abundance, the biomass recorded for 292

each meadow was multiplied by its respective area to derive an individual meadow estimate. 293

Consolidated community and bay-wide biomasses were calculated by summing the 294

corresponding meadow biomass. Finally, in order to better assess individual meadow area 295

and biomass total changes over the 5-year monitoring period, the difference (d) of seagrass 296

areas and biomasses were estimated following Eq. 1. 297

100//)//(/ 200720072011 ×−= BiomassAreaBiomassAreaBiomassAreadBiomassdArea Eq. 1 298

With the difference (d) in %, the Area in hectares (Ha) and the biomass in mgDW (DW: Dry 299

Weight). 300

301

3.3.2. Exposure to Primary water type 302

The annual and multi-annual Primary water frequency maps and composites were used to 303

inform turbidity changes and exposure of seagrasses to reduced light levels caused by 304

turbidity. Exposure of seagrasses to Primary water type (i.e., to reduced light levels) was 305

estimated by calculating the mean annual Primary water frequency (Freq(P)a) measured over 306

the seagrass, considering the three different seagrass spatial scales. Every pixel (i.e., annual 307

frequency value) located over (i) each individual seagrass meadow (individual meadow scale; 308

Figure 3.4a); (ii) each of the consolidated communities (consolidated community scale; 309

Figure 3.4b); and, (iii) the combined 12 monitored meadows (bay-wide scale; Figure 3.4c) as 310

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measured during the 2007 wet season baseline survey, were selected and frequency values 311

were averaged, per year. The objective was to describe how changes in the frequency of high 312

turbidity waters related to changes in seagrass area and biomass. Multi-annual Primary water 313

frequency composites (median, maximum and standard deviation composites) were then used 314

to calculate the multi-annual exposure of every individual meadow to Primary water type 315

(Freq(P)ma). Every pixel (i.e., multi-annual median, maximum and standard deviation 316

frequency value) located over each individual seagrass meadow was selected and averaged. 317

All these exposure measurements to Primary water type were used for correlation analysis 318

with the seagrass health measurements defined in the previous section. 319

320

INSERT FIGURE 3 321

Figure 3: method used to report the mean annual Primary water frequency (Freq(P)a) over the 322

individual (4a), consolidated community (4b) and bay-wide (4c) seagrass meadow areas. 323

324

3.4. Relationship between reduced light levels caused by turbidity and frequency of 325

occurrence of Primary water type 326

Finally, the mean discharge recorded over each monitoring wet seasons at the gauging station 327

of the Bohle River (http://watermonitoring.derm.qld.gov.au/) was compared to the 328

corresponding Freq(P)a in order to illustrate the relationship between reduced light levels 329

caused by turbidity and frequency of occurrence of Primary water type, as described in 330

Devlin et al., 2013b. This comparison is justified as runoff is assumed to be the main 331

parameter influencing the sediment supply and turbidity levels in the coastal waters during 332

the wet season (Fabricius et al., 2012; Logan et al., 2013) and maximum frequency of 333

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occurrence to Primary water type over the monitoring period should be correlated to the 334

maximum river discharge recorded. 335

336

4. Results 337

4.1. Changes in seagrass areas and biomasses 338

339

INSERT FIGURE 4 340

Figure 4: Monitored seagrass meadows: location and spatial extent from October 2007 to 341

October 2011. 342

343

Substantial seagrass loss occurred from 2007 to 2011 with total bay-wide seagrass meadow 344

extent decreasing from 8161 Ha to 1268 Ha (84 % loss) (Figure 4, Figure 5b and Table 2). 345

Biomass loss also occurred, declining from a bay-wide estimate of 2.13 x 109 to 7.10 x 106 346

gDW (>99 % loss; Figure 5a and Table 2). This estimated loss in seagrass biomass is due to 347

the loss of extent, as well as large reductions in biomass within the meadows that remain. In 348

the 2010-2011 wet season the largest relative change in seagrass area occurred, with an 86 % 349

loss in area compared to 2010. Earlier losses in area ranged from 7 % to 30 % per year. In 350

contrast biomass reductions were large in each year, ranging from 70 % to 85 % per year. 351

All communities declined in meadow area over the five monitored years; however, the annual 352

change varied among the community groupings (Figure 4, Figure 5d and Table 2). H. 353

uninervis–dominated communities declined in area by 99 % overall with the greatest declines 354

in 2011 (98 %) and 2008 (43 %) relative to the area in the previous year. Only 6 Ha of H. 355

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uninervis-dominated meadows remained in 2011. Cymodocea serrulata-dominated 356

communities declined relative to the previous year by 65 % and 43 % in 2009 and 2010, but 357

then increased slightly in 2011, when all other communities declined. In total, C. serrulata-358

dominated communities declined in area by 73 % over the entire monitoring period from 359

2007 to 2011. Zostera muelleri-dominated meadows were all very shallow, intertidal 360

communities, with the largest area in southern Cleveland Bay. These meadows had the 361

smallest overall decline (46 %), with 14 % and 40 % decline in 2010 and 2011, relative to the 362

previous year. Halophila spinulosa-dominated meadows, which also contained significant 363

amounts of H. uninervis (Table 1), incrementally declined in meadow extent throughout the 364

monitoring period, with a total loss in area of 99 %. Only 7 Ha remained in 2011. 365

366

INSERT FIGURE 5 367

Figure 5: Bay-wide and consolidated community seagrass a) biomass and b) area at the long-368

term (2007 and 2011, inclusive) monitoring sites in Cleveland Bay. Changes of seagrass 369

community re-grouped following: Hu*: Halodule uninervis (thin)-dominated communities, 370

Cs*: Cymodocea serrulata-dominated communities, Zm*: Zostera muelleri-dominated 371

communities, and Hs*: Halophila spinulosa-dominated communities. 372

373

Table 2: Bay-wide and consolidated community (Com.) seagrass biomasses and areas 374

measured at the long-term (2007 and 2011, inclusive) monitoring sites in Cleveland Bay. 375

INSERT TABLE 2 376

377

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378

4.2. Mapping of turbid areas through MODIS Primary water type 379

Annual and multi-annual Primary water frequency maps and composites are presented in 380

Figure 6a and b. 381

382

INSERT FIGURE 6 383

Figure 6: (a) Annual Primary water frequency maps. Frequency values are normalized with a 384

pixel value of 1 indicating that Primary water type was measured, for this pixel, 22 weeks 385

over the 22 weeks of this wet season. (b) Multi-Annual Primary water frequency composites 386

(2007-2011): median, maximum and standard deviation. Frequency values are normalized 387

with a pixel value of 1 indicating that Primary water type was measured, for this pixel, 110 388

weeks over the 110 weeks of the 5 combined wet seasons. 389

390

Highest frequency of occurrence of Primary water type is located along the Townsville coast, 391

with Primary frequency values reaching close to 100 % of the time (Figure 6a and b (Median, 392

Maximum)). Low variability in the annual frequency of Primary water type (Figure 6b(iii)) is 393

observed in these inshore waters; i.e., all years during the study period had a relatively high 394

level of exposure to Primary water. More offshore, coastal waters of Magnetic Island are 395

classified 10 to 40 % of the time as Primary water type. Along the south western coast of 396

Magnetic Island, lowest and relatively homogeneous frequency values recorded around 397

meadows 5 and 6 are related to the presence of clear water in Cockle Bay. This shallow bay, 398

south west of Magnetic Island, is protected from the prevailing SE winds by the island, and 399

from the ocean swells by the Great Barrier Reef (Birch and Birch, 1984) and is thus a low-400

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energy bay where sediment resuspension is limited. At the individual meadow scale, Freq(P)a 401

couldn’t be calculated for individual meadows 4 and 15 as scales of these seagrass beds were 402

under the minimum detection limit of the MODIS images (i.e., < 1 pixel, see Appendix C). 403

404

The mean wet season discharge measured at the Bohle River gauging station and the mean 405

Freq(P)a at the bay-wide scale follow the same increasing trend with the exception of the 406

relationship measured in 2009 (Figure 7). This positive relationship proved that frequency of 407

occurrence to Primary water type recorded in Cleveland Bay over the monitoring period is 408

correlated to the maximum river discharge recorded and validated the method used to classify 409

the plume water types in Cleveland Bay. 410

411

INSERT FIGURE 7 412

Figure 7: Comparison between the mean wet season (WS) discharges (calculated as the 413

average of the mean monthly discharge values recorded every respective monitored year 414

between December and April inclusive) at the gauging station of the Bohle River and the 415

mean annual frequency of Primary water type (Freq(P)a). (Freq(P)a) values are indicated in 416

italic. 417

418

4.3. Using MODIS Primary water type for understanding changes in seagrass 419

meadow health 420

4.3.1. Bay-wide scale 421

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At the Bay-wide scale, negative relationships between annual seagrass health measurements 422

and Freq(P)a (Figure 8) are observed with lowest biomass and area measurements associated 423

with the highest exposure to Primary water type. 424

Annual biomasses and areas of seagrass are generally well predicted by the annual frequency 425

of primary water type, with again the exception of data collected in 2009. Excluding 2009, 98 426

% of variance in total biomass can be explained by changes in mean Primary water type 427

frequency (Figure 8a, R2 =0.98, p<0.05) and 92 % of variance in total seagrass area can be 428

explained by changes in mean Primary water type frequency (Figure 8b, R2 =0.92, p<0.05). 429

430

INSERT FIGURE 8 431

Figure 8: Correlation between annual total seagrass a) biomasses and b) areas and the mean 432

annual frequencies of Primary water type. Trendlines and determination coefficient are 433

computed without considering the year 2009 (cross symbol). 434

435

4.3.2. Consolidated community scale 436

At the community scale, data plotted for each community demonstrated non-significant 437

responses within the community assemblages (Appendix D). The annual biomass and area of 438

each consolidated seagrass communities (Hu*, Cs*, Zm*and Hs; Table 1) could not be 439

predicted by Freq(P)a. Negative relationships between annual seagrass health measurements 440

and Freq(P)a were nevertheless observed, similarly to the Bay-wide scale, for the Hu* and 441

Cs* consolidated communities, respectively. 442

443

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4.3.3. Individual meadow scale 444

At the individual meadow scale, the loss of seagrass biomass over the 5-year period 445

correlated well with the median and maximum multi-annual exposure values to Primary 446

water (Figure 9b). Loss of seagrass area also correlated with the median and maximum 447

exposure to Primary water (Figure 9a), with exceptions of meadows 10 and 16, which are 448

both Z. muelleri –dominated meadows in intertidal habitats. 449

450

INSERT FIGURE 9 451

Figure 9: Correlation between total (5-year: 2007-2011) loss in seagrass calculated following 452

Eq. 1a) area and b) biomass and the multi-annual mean frequency of Primary waters type 453

extracted from the mean median, maximum and standard deviation combined maps (Figure 454

6b). Color scale used is the same as Figure 5 i.e., blue: Hu*; violet: Cs*; Brown: Zm* and 455

green Hs* communities. Int: Intertidal, Sub: subtidal (see Table 1). 456

457

5. Discussion 458

Changes in areas and biomasses of seagrass in Cleveland Bay have been documented in 459

McKenna and Rasheed (2012). However, this study did not include collection of water 460

quality or other environmental data, making interpretation of seagrass changes speculative 461

and based largely on climate information. Repeated and extended above average wet seasons 462

were monitored in the GBR between 2007 and 2011. Nearly all of the GBR rivers 463

experienced a high degree of flooding during the 2010-2011 wet season due to the very 464

strong ‘La Nina’ beginning early in the season in mid-2010 and three cyclones (Tasha in 465

December 2010, Anthony in January 2011 and the most damaging: Yasi in February 2011) 466

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that crossed the North Queensland coast over a period of three months (Devlin et al., 2012b, 467

Logan et al., 2013). The present study, which combines MODIS measurements and 468

ecological information across years, provided further information about interactions between 469

seagrass health (as measured by the area and biomass of seagrasses) and reduced light levels 470

caused by turbidity (as measured by the frequency of exposure to Primary water type); as 471

well as recovery and resilience of these inshore ecosystems in a context of extreme weather 472

conditions. 473

5.1. Changes in seagrass abundance and area 474

The decline in meadow area in Cleveland Bay from 2007 to 2011 was unprecedented and 475

striking (Figure 4), as meadow loss indicates an advanced state of exposure to stressful 476

conditions. The loss in meadow area in Cleveland Bay from 2007 to 2011 was far in excess 477

of global seagrass losses (Waycott et al., 2009) and of that reported, for example, for 478

Cockburn Sound in Western Australia (Cambridge and McComb, 1984), and suggests that 479

earlier estimates of seagrass decline may have underestimated their losses at a global scale. 480

Biomass loss also occurred and was quantitatively higher than reductions in area (>99 % 481

biomass loss). Biomass loss can be attributed to plant death, thinning of shoots (fewer shoots 482

per plant), reductions in the number of leaves per shoot and even changes to morphology 483

(Collier et al., 2012a; Ralph et al., 2007); however, these meadow and plant attributes were 484

not documented as part of the long-term monitoring program (McKenna and Rasheed, 2012). 485

In addition, loss of seagrass biomass occurred faster than loss in area (Figure 5). This result is 486

consistent with our current understanding of meadow-scale responses to reductions in light 487

availability, whereby, for example, seagrass meadows which occur in reduced light 488

conditions, have lower biomass and as light reduces further meadows disappear i.e., biomass 489

loss followed by loss in area (Collier et al., 2007; Ralph et al., 2007). 490

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The substantial impacts to seagrass meadow area and abundance were not restricted to 491

Cleveland Bay, but occurred throughout the GBR from 2007 to 2011 (McKenzie et al., 492

2012a, b; Collier et al., 2012b; Pollard and Greenway 2013). These widespread impacts can 493

be attributed largely to the extreme weather conditions occurring during the monitoring years 494

in which above-average rainfall exposed meadows to turbid plume waters that reduce light 495

penetration: an impact that occurred throughout the central and southern Great Barrier Reef. 496

Seagrass meadows of the GBR typically undergo a period of senescence in the wet season 497

when meadow abundance and productivity is reduced (Collier et al., 2012b, McKenzie et al., 498

2012a). The meadows then recover during the dry season as water warms and light increases. 499

However, during the study period, the repeated and extended above average wet seasons were 500

followed by shortened dry season recovery periods (McKenzie et al., 2012a). 501

502

5.2. Using MODIS Primary water type for understanding changes in seagrass 503

meadow health. 504

Declines in seagrass meadow area and biomass from 2007 to 2011 in Cleveland Bay were 505

compared with the frequency of exposure of the Cleveland bay seagrass meadows to Primary 506

water type, at different spatial scales (bay-wide, community and individual meadow scales). 507

Relationships were found between bay-wide seagrass meadow area and biomass and 508

exposure to Primary water type (Figure 8) as well as changes of biomass and area of 509

individual meadows and exposure of seagrass ecosystems to Primary water type over the 5-510

year studied period (Figure 9). These results confirmed that MODIS data can be used to 511

explain changes in seagrass health at different spatial scales and indicated that declines in 512

seagrass areas and biomasses over the 2007-2011 period were linked to increased exposure to 513

Primary water type, i.e., reduced light levels caused by increase in water turbidity. These 514

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results are in agreement with an increase in sediment loads reported in the region (Kroon et 515

al., 2012; Waterhouse et al., 2012). The relationships confirmed correlations previously 516

observed in-situ between light availability and seagrass abundance at the site level (Collier et 517

al., 2012b; McKenzie et al., 2012a) and indicate that these correlations are also relevant at a 518

bay-wide scale. 519

Although bay-wide and individual meadow-scales analysis did show a strong correlation with 520

water type, no significant relationship was found between the biomass and area of 521

consolidated communities and the exposure of Primary water (Appendix D). Trends in both 522

area and biomass reduction differed amongst the four main seagrass community types (Figure 523

5). Z. muelleri and H. spinulosa are the most vulnerable to reductions in light availability 524

most likely due to their low overall storage capacity (Collier et al., 2012a). However, Z. 525

muelleri occurs in very shallow intertidal meadows (Figure 4 and Table 1) which receive 526

light before, during, and immediately after low tide (Petrou et al., 2013) which meant that 527

losses in area of this species were actually lower than the other species (overall decline of 46 528

%, see Figure 5a). This is also well illustrated by Figure 9a, where the Z. muelleri-dominated 529

meadows 16 and 10 are outliers in the meadow area vs. exposure analysis. In contrast, H. 530

spinulosa, which only occurs in subtidal meadows and therefore does not get reprieve from 531

low light conditions at low tide, were highly sensitive and had lowest survival rates (total loss 532

in area of 99 %, see Figures 5a and 9a.). These observations, indicating that subtidal 533

seagrasses are more sensitive to light depletion, are consistent with other cases of seagrass 534

responses to short-term light reduction, typically associated with changes in water quality 535

(Collier et al., 2012a). Other studies worldwide nevertheless reported impact from reduced 536

water clarity for both subtidal and intertidal seagrasses species; with loss in seagrass areas 537

affecting first subtidal then intertidal species (Plus et al., 2010). 538

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C. serrulata-dominated communities were impacted strongly in 2008 and 2009 and lost 539

quantitatively less area and biomass in later years when exposure was even greater due to the 540

consecutive lowering of annual measurements of area and biomass in 2008 and 2009. Of the 541

subtidal meadows, C. serrulata has relatively high light requirements (summarised in Collier 542

and Waycott, 2009) and it also has more above ground biomass (i.e., leaves) to support, 543

relative to the below-ground storage of reserves. The largest of the C. serrulata meadows 544

(17) was subtidal (Table 1 and Figure 4), and therefore light penetration to the meadow was 545

reduced under turbid conditions making it more vulnerable to Primary waters compared to 546

the adjacent, shallow, intertidal meadows (McKenzie et al., 2012). Cs* meadows showed the 547

strongest (though not significant) relationship between changes in area and biomass and the 548

frequency of exposure to primary water 549

In addition to specific resilience characteristics of the four main seagrass community types, 550

the consolidated communities considered in this study were also spread out amongst different 551

meadows (Figure 4) and, most certainly, amongst different physical (e.g., temperature, 552

salinity, bathymetry and sediment type), chemical (e.g., nutrients and specific pollutant 553

concentrations like PSII) and hydrological (e.g., local tidal currents and wave exposure) 554

conditions. Seagrass require light, nutrients, and tolerable salinity, temperature and pH to 555

survive. Photosystem II inhibiting herbicide (PSII) diuron commonly found in inshore GBR 556

waters also adversely affects seagrass productivity and physical factors, such as tidal 557

variation, sediment type and wave exposure also influence seagrass distribution (see 558

references in Schaffelke et al., 2013). The environmental conditions within seagrass meadows 559

influence the response of meadows within the community groupings and further explain the 560

non-significant relationships obtained between the biomass and area of consolidated 561

communities and the exposure of Primary water. Finally, meadows were defined according to 562

the dominant species present at the start of the monitoring, but generally they were comprised 563

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of multiple species (Table 1), which may respond differently to exposure to reduced light 564

levels and local environmental conditions. 565

These observations underline the complexity of coastal ecosystems such as seagrass 566

meadows, where changes in health are linked to a combination of human-induced and 567

environmental stressors as well as to the natural resilience of species to these combined 568

stressors. Environmental and biological components can also interact and Ganthy et al. 569

(2013) showed that presence of meadows modifies the balance between particle trapping and 570

protection against erosion processes, depending upon the seasonal growth stage of seagrass. 571

Decline of seagrass meadows facilitates the resuspension of sediment, leading to reduction in 572

the amount of light available for seagrass photosynthesis and thus to further impact on 573

seagrass ecosystem health. Remote sensing models are in development to try to incorporate 574

the cumulative effects of pollutants using MODIS data (Petus et al., in press). In the 575

meantime, this study focused on light as reduction in the amount of light available for 576

seagrass photosynthesis was defined as the primary cause of seagrass loss throughout the 577

GBR. 578

Loss and recovery are a natural part of the seagrass dynamics in the Great Barrier Reef (Birch 579

and Birch, 1984; Waycott, 2005), but whether Cleveland Bay can fully recover from this 580

series of extreme events that led to loss of more than 99 % of seagrass biomass will depend 581

on availability of recruits (e.g. seed bank) (Waycott et al., 2005), and the occurrence of 582

additional stressors such as further runoff events or cyclones, during the recovery period. 583

Underground parts (roots, rhizomes) were not considered in the monitoring and we thus have 584

no information about the possibility for a rapid recolonisation of Cleveland Bay seagrass 585

meadows; however the extreme level of loss indicates a high likelihood of rhizome mortality. 586

A number of these species, such as H. uninervis form persistent seed banks and these are 587

likely to be important in during recovery (Inglis, 2000). 588

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5.3. Technical limitations 589

The size of seagrass meadows presented a challenge in this study as some of the seagrass 590

mapping units are under or just in the satellite detection limit. For example, Freq(P)a couldn’t 591

be calculated for meadows 4 and 15 as scales of these meadows were less than one MODIS 592

pixel (Appendix C); and these seagrass beds were thus not included in the individual meadow 593

analyses (Figure 9). Nevertheless, results obtained in this study were coherent with 594

correlations previously observed in-situ between light availability and seagrass health 595

measurements and support the use of the MODIS data for monitoring of relative changes in 596

water clarity over multi-annual time frame. MODIS data provides an effective means for 597

frequent and synoptic water clarity observations over Cleveland Bay; information not 598

available in this study area through more classical in-situ measurements. 599

Primary water type is characterised through the mapping of river plumes by MODIS true 600

colour images recorded during the wet season (December to April inclusive; Álvarez-Romero 601

et al., 2013), as it is typically during these periods of high flow when water quality conditions 602

can be across a gradient of high turbidity waters (Devlin et al., 2012a; Petus et al., in press). 603

At the whole GBR scale, restricting the analysis to wet season months also minimizes the 604

occurrence of “false” river plume areas associated with wind-driven re-suspension of 605

sediments during the strong trade winds typical of the dry season (Álvarez-Romero et al., 606

2013). However in the shallow coastal areas of Cleveland Bay and Magnetic Island (Figure 607

1), muddy sediments can be resuspended (Lambrechts et al., 2010 ), and it is likely that 608

resuspension of sediment by wind, waves and tidal currents also affect the turbidity levels in 609

the coastal waters classified as Primary water type. 610

The mapping of exposure to water types depends on the frequency and availability of the 611

MODIS imagery. Cloud contamination preventing ocean colour observations and the 612

description of the water types through optical satellites images influence the number of 613

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images available to compute the annual frequency maps, and alter some of the existing water 614

quality/seagrass correlations. Significant breaks in relationships between the Bohle river 615

discharge, the bay-wide biomass, the bay-wide area and Freq(P)a measured in 2009, 616

respectively (Figure 7 and Figure 8), seems to underline a problem in the frequency maps of 617

Primary water produced for 2009. 618

Number of MODIS cloud free images available for a specific study area is inversely 619

proportional to the local River discharge conditions (Petus et al., 2014). More frequent cloud 620

cover over Cleveland Bay associated with stormy condition and high Boyle River discharge 621

could be a possible explanation for underestimated Freq(P)a values in 2009 (Figure 7 and 622

Figure 8). These observations underline the climatic limitations of our satellite-based 623

methodology. Similar limitations nevertheless apply when using in-situ measurements as 624

shipboard surveys and sampling data quality are highly dependent of the wind and sea 625

conditions. Satellite images offer the most extensive spatial and temporal coverage available 626

to monitor reduced light levels caused by turbidity over large scale and temporal periods. 627

Mapping seagrass cover using remote sensing is impossible in turbid waters (Lyons et al 628

2012) and in situ seagrass health measurements are still essential in shallow turbid 629

environments such as Cleveland Bay. Furthermore, the degree of variability (Inter- and multi-630

annual) and the timing issues between satellite water quality measurements and 631

corresponding seagrass impacts can make it difficult to align the water quality pressure with 632

the seagrass response. The correlative measures explored in this report require more 633

investigation. However, these are encouraging preliminary results, and further work on other 634

statistical measures and models may provide better explanation of the water quality-seagrass 635

relationship. 636

5.4. Future direction 637

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MODIS satellite data are available since 2000, offering potentially more than a decade of 638

synoptic water turbidity information; and expansion of the temporal scale would be useful. 639

Indeed, the seagrass exposure history possibly affects their vulnerability (Kendrick et al., 640

2008); and a critical component in seagrass changes might be previous year exposures e.g., 641

how was the community exposed to Primary water type pre-2007. Information on the number 642

of continuous days or weeks seagrass beds were in contact with water types, and the 643

maximum TSS concentrations or turbidity levels associated with each event could be 644

extracted from the MODIS true color images and through the processing of MODIS Level 2 645

data (Petus et al., in press). This study tested sensitivity of seagrasses to turbid water 646

exposure over an entire wet season but recovery intervals in between periods of acute light 647

limitation can enhance seagrass survival, and furthermore the duration of the recovery is a 648

key predictor of survival (Biber et al., 2009). Work on persistence of Primary water would 649

thus help to clarify drivers of change in seagrass meadow health. Furthermore, documenting 650

maximum concentrations of TSS or maximum turbidity levels associated with the exposure 651

would help describing thresholds of acceptable changes for the seagrass ecosystems. 652

This study was focussed on an anthropogenically-modified shallow turbid region impacted by 653

seasonal terrestrial run-off and with high frequency of exposure to Primary water type. The 654

relationship between water type and seagrass meadow health needs to be validated for a 655

greater range of physical, chemical and hydrological environmental conditions, water types 656

(including Secondary and Tertiary water types), and frequency of occurrence levels. This 657

could be explored in the GBR using long-term monitoring data (seagrass health, as well as 658

MODIS water type data) that ranges from relatively low impact through to heavily impacted 659

such as Cleveland Bay (Collier et al., in prep.). Repeating this work at the whole GBR scale 660

or through the comparison of this data with reference areas (non/low impacted by 661

anthropogenic developments) would more clearly show the links between satellite water 662

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quality outputs and seagrass community measures. A similar methodology could also be 663

applied for regions outside of the GBR marine park, including the Torres Strait region where 664

extensive seagrass beds (Coles et al., 2003) shelter a large population of endangered dugongs 665

(Marsh and Kwan, 2008); if long-term seagrass health data were available for this region. 666

Nevertheless, spectral signatures used to classify the MODIS true color data into 6-color (and 667

resulting 3 water types), should be adjusted as they were created using specific 668

spectral/colour characteristics of the GBR region (see Appendix B and Alvarez-Romero et 669

al., 2013). 670

Finally, and more particularly at the community scale, satellite data should be associated with 671

physico-chemical and hydrological measurements (temperature, salinity, nutrient and specific 672

pollutants concentrations) for a better understanding of seagrass community changes. MODIS 673

data used in this study could be combined with other satellite synoptic products, such as the 674

MODIS sea surface temperature and load of nutrients from GBR rivers derived from MODIS 675

true color images (Álvarez-Romero et al., 2013), as well as with numerical hydrodynamic 676

outputs into more complex seagrass productivity models to encompass combined stressors 677

affecting the seagrass health. In the near future, these productivity models should help predict 678

seagrasses health changes. 679

Conclusions 680

This study looked at innovative remote sensing methods to test if relationships can be 681

established between the frequency of exposure to Primary water type (used to monitor waters 682

with reduced light levels caused by turbidity) and changes in seagrass health (defined in this 683

study by the seagrass biomasses and areas). This study demonstrated that exposure to Primary 684

water is strongly linked to seagrass area and biomass changes in Cleveland Bay at the bay-685

wide and individual meadow scale and reaffirmed that turbidity is a priority concern for 686

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seagrass meadow health in the northern GBR (e.g., Collier et al., 2012b). Despite limitations, 687

this case study has demonstrated that water quality information derived from remote sensing 688

data can be used to interpret ecological change. This study opened a suite of possibilities for 689

exploring historical ecological data where environmental in-situ data are not available. 690

691

Acknowledgement 692

The authors of this report would like to thank the Queensland Department of Environment 693

and Heritage Protection for providing funding for this project under the Reef Water Quality 694

Program and the Department of Heritage and the Great Barrier Reef Marine Park Authority 695

for funding support under the Reef Plan Marine Monitoring Program. We would also like to 696

acknowledge the Reef Plan Marine Monitoring Program which was the main source of in-situ 697

data for this study. We thank the Townsville Port Authority for release of the long-term 698

seagrass monitoring data for Cleveland Bay. We also thank L. McKenzie and M. Rasheed for 699

assistance in obtaining and interpreting the seagrass monitoring data. A number of people 700

have also contributed to the development of remote sensing tools for detecting flood plume 701

impacts on seagrasses and we thank Eduardo Da Silva and Jorge Alvarez Romero. 702

703

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Colour

classesWater type Description

1 to 4 Primary

Sediment-dominated waters: characterised by high

values of coloured dissolved organic matters (CDOM)

and total suspended sediment (TSS), with TSS

concentrations dropping out rapidly as the heavier

particulate material flocculates and settles to the sea

floor (Devlin and Brodie, 2005; Brodie and Waterhouse,

2009). Turbidity levels limit the light (KdPAR) in these

lower salinity waters, inhibiting production by primary

producers and limiting chl-a concentrations.

5 Secondary

Chlorophyll-a-dominated waters: characterised by a

region where CDOM is elevated with reduced TSS

concentrations due to sedimentation. In this region, the

increased light in comparison to primary water type

condition (but still under marine ambient conditions)

and nutrient availability prompt phytoplankton growth

measured by elevated chl-a concentrations.

6 Tertiary

CDOM-dominated waters: offshore region of the plume

that exhibits no or low TSS that has originated from the

flood plume and above ambient concentrations of chl-a

and CDOM. This region can be described as being the

transition between secondary water type and marine

ambient conditions.

Plume water types as described in Devlin et al. (2012a) and Álvarez-Romero et al. (2013), detailing the water quality and optical properties (e.g., Clarke et al.,1970;

Morel and Prieur,1977; Froidefond et al., 2002; McClain, 2009), and the mean TSS, chl-a and Kd(PAR) which define the plume characteristics within each plume type

concentrations (modified from Devlin et al., 2013b).

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Colour properties

Mean concentrations

(Devlin et al., 2013b; see

Figure 10)

Greenish-brown to beige waters: Sediment particles are

highly reflective in the red to infra-red wavelengths of

the light spectrum. Sediment-dominated waters have a

distinctive brown/beige colour, depending upon the

concentration and mineral composition of the

sediments.

TSS: 36.8±5.5 mg L-1

chl-a: 0.98 ± 0.2 μg L-1

Kd(PAR): 0.73 ± 0.54 m-1

Bluish-green waters: Due to this green pigment,

chlorophyll/phytoplankton preferentially absorb the red

and blue portions of the light spectrum (for

photosynthesis) and reflect green light. Chl-a-dominated

waters will appear as certain shades, from blue-green to

green, depending upon the type and density of the

phytoplankton population.

TSS:8.9 ± 18.1 mg l-1

chl-a: 1.3 ± 0.6 μg L-1

Kd(PAR): 0.39 ± 0.20 m-1

Dark yellow waters: CDOM are highly absorbing in the

blue spectral domain. CDOM-dominated waters have a

distinctive dark yellow colour.

TSS:2.9 ± 3.2 mg l-1

chl-a: 0.7 ± 0.3 μg L-1

Kd(PAR): 0.24 ± 0.02 m-1

Plume water types as described in Devlin et al. (2012a) and Álvarez-Romero et al. (2013), detailing the water quality and optical properties (e.g., Clarke et al.,1970;

Morel and Prieur,1977; Froidefond et al., 2002; McClain, 2009), and the mean TSS, chl-a and Kd(PAR) which define the plume characteristics within each plume type

concentrations (modified from Devlin et al., 2013b).

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Appendix B: method and techniques used to classify the true color images (modified from

Alvarez-Romero et al., 2013 and Devlin et al., 2013) into 6 color classes and Primary,

Secondary, Tertiary water types.

The method used to classify the MODIS true color images into 6 color classes and is detailed in Alvarez-Romero et al., 2013, section 2.1.1 and summarize on Figure 1-step 1 (Classify daily true color satellite images) below. This methods involve converting true colour images from Red-Green-Blue (RGB) to Intensity-Hue-Saturation (HIS) colour schemes, the definition of 6 colour classes corresponding to plume areas and that describe a gradient in the river borne pollutants as well as 2 classes corresponding to non-plume areas (cloud and sun glint signatures), the creation of spectral signatures for these respective areas, and the utilization of the created spectral signature to map the full extent of the plume. Color classes (and their respective spectral signature) corresponding to plume and dense clouds and sun glint, were created using a MODIS true color image with large plumes occurring along the whole GBR coast to ensure that color variations within plumes along the latitudinal gradient were incorporated into the spectral signature. The selected image included large areas with no plumes, varied atmospheric conditions (light to dense clouds, haze and sun glint), and sections with no data (not covered by satellite swath). To create the spectral signatures, we used the ArcMap Spatial Analyst (ESRI, 2010) isodata clustering tool to perform an unsupervised classification of the selected image. The resulting structure allowed characterization of the natural groupings of cells (i.e., pixels within an image) in multidimensional attribute space, i.e. IHS and RGB spaces for plumes and clouds/sun glint, respectively. Plume maps produced were assessed using different number of classes based on two criteria: how well the mapped classes identified the river plume boundary (we assessed the classified images against visually interpreted true-color imagery); and whether the variation of selected L2 parameters among the color classes showed the expected gradient (as described by Devlin et al., 2012a; see Section 3.1.1). For each classification the mean value of the two L2 parameters for each color class was plotted. Due to reflectance similarities between land and very turbid plumes occurring in the mouth of the rivers, the full image, was classified without masking out land. This allowed tomap very turbid/high TSS plume areas commonly found near river mouths, which are frequently flagged incorrectly as land or very dense clouds. The classification was selected based on 6 color classes as the most appropriate for plume mapping. These classes represent a gradient in exposure to pollutants, from highest in class 1 to lowest in class 6. Finally, a supervised classification was used to map the full extent of plumes and to create a

mask representing dense clouds and intense sun glint. Supervised classification uses labeled

training data (i.e., the color classes defined in the previous step) to create a spectral

signature for each class, which is then used to classify all of the daily input imagery into 6-

color classes. The ArcMap Spatial Analyst maximum-likelihood classification tool (ESRI, 2010)

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was used to produce: (1) daily 6-class plume maps representing variations in L2 parameters

(also used to identify the plume boundary) and (2) masks representing dense clouds and

intense sun glint, used to eliminate areas with insufficient information to map plumes. A

number of images covering different years, regions and months was selected to confirm the

plume extent and overall congruence of our classified plume maps against plume maps

produced using the method proposed by Devlin et al. (2012b), and to visually validate the

clouds/sun glint masks.

Weekly 6-classes composites were thus created to minimize the amount of area without

data per image due to masking of dense cloud cover, common during the wet season

(Brodie et al., 2010), and intense sun glint (Álvarez-Romero et al., 2013). The six colour

classes were further reclassified into 3 plume water types corresponding to the three GBR

water types (Primary, Secondary, Tertiary) defined by e.g., Devlin and Schaffelke (2009) and

Devlin et al. (2012a) (see Figure 1 below; step 2: Create weekly 3-class plume maps). The

turbid sediment-dominated waters or Primary water type is defined as corresponding to

colour classes 1 to 4 of Álvarez-Romero et al. (2013), the chl-a dominated waters or

Secondary water type is defined as corresponding to the colour class 5 and the Tertiary

water type is defined as corresponding to the colour class 6 (Álvarez-Romero et al., 2013,

Devlin et al., 2013b). Land is thus removed using a shapefile of the Great Barrier Reef (GBR)

marine National Resource Management (NRM) boundaries (source: GBRMPA, GBR: Features)

and by assigning ‘No Data’ values to any pixels outside of the shapefile boundaries

(including land and offshore areas outside of the GBR marine park). Satellite/in-situ match-

ups analyses were performed by Devlin et al. (2013a, b) and validated plume water type

maps produced from the re-classification of the colour classes of Álvarez-Romero et al.

(2013).

Weekly composites were thus resampled at the minimum MODIS spatial resolution

(250×250 m) using the resampling function of ARCGIS 10.1 and a nearest interpolation

resampling technique. This technique uses the value of the closest cell to assign a value to

the output cell when resampling ArcGIS., Weekly composites were thus overlaid (i.e.,

presence/absence of Primary water type) and normalized, to compute annual normalised

frequency maps of occurrence of Primary water type (hereafter annual Primary water

frequency maps) (see Figure 1 below, step 3: Create annual 3-class plume maps). Multi-

annual (2007-2011) normalised frequency composites of occurrence of Primary water types

(hereafter multi-annual Primary water frequency composites) are created by overlaying the

weekly composites in Arcgis and calculating the median, maximum and standard deviation

frequency values of each cell/year

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Figure B-1 (from Devlin et al., 2012a, Modified from Álvarez-Romero et al. 2013 and Devin et al., 2013) :

Summary of the process followed to build plume water maps with examples of inputs and outputs: (a)

Plume mapping process: different shadings represent steps (light gray), analyses within steps (white),

intermediate outputs (dark gray), and final outputs (black); (b) A: MODIS-Aqua true colour image used to

create the spectral signature defining 6 color classes for GBR plumes (25/01/2011), B and C: daily 6-color

class map (25/01/2011) and weekly composite (19 to 25/01/2011) of 6-class map. D: reclassified map

into weekly P, S, T composite (19 to 25/01/2011); E: Frequency of occurrence of the secondary water

type in 2011; Figure C to E are zoomed in the Tully-Burdekin area (see red box on panel B).

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Individual Community Bay-wide

3 3

4 <1

12 7

13 10

15 <1

18 754

5 127

17 547

6 29

10 20

16 222

14 Hs* 411 411

0.1 -100 km2

10 - 100 km2

≈ 100 km2

10 - 10000 Ha 1000 - 10000 Ha ≈ 10000 Ha

Ranges of scale (in pixel, km2 and Ha) for the individual, the consolidated community and

the bay-wide seagrass meadows

Corresponding scales (km2

and Ha)

Number of pixels

Hu*

Bay-wide

774

2130

Cs* 674

Zm* 271

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ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPTMeadow ID

Consolidated

communitiesLocation

3 Hu*

4 Hu*

5p Cs*

6 Zm*

10 Zm*

12 Hu*

13 Hu*

14p Hs*

15 Hu*

16p Zm*

17p Cs*

18p Hu*

p Only part of total meadow area monitored

Magnetic Island

Bohle River to Ross River

Ross River to Cape

Cleveland

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ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPTHabitat type Community type Species present

Int / Sub Dense Hu (thin) Hu (thin)

Int / Sub Moderate Hu (thin) Hu (thin), Hu (wide), Ho

Int / Sub Moderate Cs with mix spCs, Hu (wide), Hu (thin),

Ho, Zm, Hs

Int Light Zm with mix spZm, Ho, Hu (wide), Hu

(thin), Cs

Intl Light Zm with Hu (thin) Zm, Hu (thin), Cs, Ho

Int / Sub Moderate Hu (thin) Hu (thin)

Int / Sub Dense Hu (thin) Hu (thin), Hu (wide), Ho

Sub Light Hs with Hu (thin)Hs, Hu (wide), Hu (thin),

Ho, Hd

Int / Sub Light Hu (thin) Hu (thin)

Int Moderate ZmZm, Cs, Hu (thin), Hu

(wide), Ho

Sub Dense CsCs, Hu (wide), Zm, Hs, Hu

(thin), Ho

Sub Light Hu (thin) with mix spHs, Hu (wide), Hu (thin),

Cs, Ho, Hd

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ACCEPTED MANUSCRIPT2126 ± 201 800 ± 80 137 ± 35 46 ± 9 7

Hu* 306 ± 54 39 ± 7 18 ± 5 34 ± 5 0

Cs* 1020 ±77 343 ± 34 32 ± 5 2 ± 1 3

Zm* 647 ± 50 383 ± 36 78 ± 22 8 ± 2 4

Hs* 152 ± 21 35 ± 4 9 ± 3 2 ± 1 0

8161 ± 581 5858 ± 776 5443 ± 464 3786 ± 446 1268

Hu* 3605 ± 223 1721 ± 320 2503 ± 254 2234 ± 341 25

Cs* 1882 ± 198 1854 ± 138 635 ± 121 178 ± 25 513

Zm* 1352 ± 78 1417 ± 73 1405 ± 50 800 ± 48 723

Hs* 1321 ± 82 866 ± 245 900 ± 39 573 ± 32 7

±

Biomass

and error

(mgDW )

Bay-wide

Com.

Area and

error

(Ha)

Bay-wide

Com.

2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

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± 0

± 1

± 1

± 0

± 246

± 4

± 195

± 41

± 5

2011

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Figure 1: Bathymetry of Cleveland Bay (Bathymetry: © www.deepreef.org) and location of meadows monitored during the 2007 wet season baseline survey. Meadow areas selected for the seagrass health long term monitoring (meadows 3, 4, 5, 6, 10, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18) are indicated with a bright green color and the location of monitoring survey boundaries with black dashed lines. Red star of the inset map indicate the location of Cleveland Bay within Queensland (in light grey). See Table 1 for description of selected meadows.

Table 1: Description of meadows selected for long term monitoring (Rasheed and Taylor, 2008), including unique meadow ID, and species composition. Hu: Halodule uninervis; Cs: Cymodocea serrulata, Ho: Halophila ovalis, Zm: Zostera muelleri, Hd: Halophila decipiens, Hs: Halophila spinulosa. Meadows are regrouped into four consolidated communities according to the dominant species within each meadow at the start of the monitoring program: Hu*: Halodule uninervis (thin)-dominated communities, Cs*: Cymodocea serrulata-dominated communities, Zm*: Zostera muelleri-dominated communities, and Hs*: Halophila spinulosa-dominated communities. Int: Intertidal, Sub: subtidal. mix sp.: mixed species.

Figure 2: methods used to investigate relationships between seagrass meadow health measurements and the exposure of seagrass beds to Primary water type: a: annual, ma: multiannual; dArea and dBiomass: total changes over the 5-year monitoring in the individual meadow area and biomass and; Freq(P): exposure of seagrasses to Primary water type. Areaa and Biomassa of the consolidated communities and bay-wide seagrasses are calculated by summing the corresponding individual meadow Areaa and Biomassa measured from 2007 to 2011 and Freq(P)a are calculated following methods of Figure 3. dArea and dBiomass are calculated following Eq. 1 and Freq(P)ma extracted from the multi-annual Primary water frequency composites (median, maximum and standard deviation composites).

Figure 3: method used to report the mean annual Primary water frequency (Freq(P)a) over the individual (4a), consolidated community (4b) and bay-wide (4c) seagrass meadow areas.

Figure 4: Monitored seagrass meadows: location and spatial extent from October 2007 to October 2011.

Figure 5: Bay-wide and consolidated community seagrass a) biomass and b) area at the long-term (2007 and 2011, inclusive) monitoring sites in Cleveland Bay. Changes of seagrass community re-grouped following: Hu*: Halodule uninervis (thin)-dominated communities,

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Cs*: Cymodocea serrulata-dominated communities, Zm*: Zostera muelleri-dominated communities, and Hs*: Halophila spinulosa-dominated communities.

Table 2: Bay-wide and consolidated community (Com.) seagrass biomasses and areas measured at the long-term (2007 and 2011, inclusive) monitoring sites in Cleveland Bay.

Figure 6: (a) Annual Primary water frequency maps. Frequency values are normalized with a pixel value of 1 indicating that Primary water type was measured, for this pixel, 22 weeks over the 22 weeks of this wet season. (b) Multi-Annual Primary water frequency composites (2007-2011): median, maximum and standard deviation. Frequency values are normalized with a pixel value of 1 indicating that Primary water type was measured, for this pixel, 110 weeks over the 110 weeks of the 5 combined wet seasons.

Figure 7: Comparison between the mean wet season (WS) discharges (calculated as the average of the mean monthly discharge values recorded every respective monitored year between December and April inclusive) at the gauging station of the Bohle River and the mean annual frequency of Primary water type (Freq(P)a). (Freq(P)a) values are indicated in italic.

Figure 8: Correlation between annual total seagrass a) biomasses and b) areas and the mean annual frequencies of Primary water type. Trendlines and determination coefficient are computed without considering the year 2009 (cross symbol).

Figure 9: Correlation between total (5-year: 2007-2011) loss in seagrass calculated following Eq. 1a) area and b) biomass and the multi-annual mean frequency of Primary waters type extracted from the mean median, maximum and standard deviation combined maps (Figure 6b). Color scale used is the same as Figure 5 i.e., blue: Hu*; violet: Cs*; Brown: Zm* and green Hs* communities. Int: Intertidal, Sub: subtidal (see Table 1).

Appendix A: Plume water types as described in Devlin et al. (2012a) and Álvarez-Romero et al. (2013), detailing the water quality and optical properties (e.g., Clarke et al.,1970; Morel and Prieur,1977; Froidefond et al., 2002; McClain, 2009), and the mean TSS, chl-a and Kd(PAR) which define the plume characteristics within each plume type concentrations (modified from Devlin et al., 2013b).

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Appendix B: : method and techniques used to classify the true color images (modified from Alvarez-Romero et al., 2013 and Devlin et al., 2013) into 6 color classes and Primary, Secondary, Tertiary water types.

Appendix C: Ranges of scale (in pixel, km2 and Ha) for the individual, the consolidated community and the bay-wide seagrass meadows.

Appendix D: Correlation between annual seagrass a) biomasses and b) areas of the four consolidated community and the mean annual frequencies of Primary water type. Trendlines and determination coefficient are computed without considering the year 2009 (cross symbol).

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