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Using Process Capability to Enhance Product Quality
Daniel Y. Peng, Ph.D. Senior Product Quality Reviewer
Office of Process and Facility (OPF) OPQ/CDER/FDA
IFPAC 2015 Annual Meeting Arlington, Virginia January 27, 2015
Vision for 21st Century Manufacturing
“A maximally efficient, agile, flexible pharmaceutical manufacturing sector that reliably produces high quality drug products without extensive regulatory oversight.”
- J. Woodcock, M.D. CDER/FDA - 2005 and 2012
3
3
Are We There Yet?
3
CM
C S
uppl
emen
ts
Tota
l Pro
duct
Rec
all
Lawrence Yu, NIPTE meeting, 2013 June 4
Lagging and Leading Indicator Lagging indicator
– An indicator that follows an event. – “Output” oriented, easy to measure, but
hard to influence – Reactive in nature
Leading indicator – An indicator that predicts future events
and tends to change ahead of that event. – Typically input oriented, measuring
“activity or behavior” – Proactive in nature, focusing on continual
improvement and failure prevention
4
1. Calories taken in 2. Calories burned
It is recommended to use a combination of Lagging and Leading Indicators.
5
Concept of Process Capability First introduced in Statistical Quality Control
Handbook by the Western Electric Company (1956). – “process capability” is defined as “the natural or
undisturbed performance after extraneous influences are eliminated. This is determined by plotting data on a control chart.”
ISO, AIAG, ASQ, ASTM ….. published their guideline or manual on process capability index calculation.
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Four indices: – Cp: process capability index – Cpk: minimum process capability index – Pp: process performance index – Ppk: minimum process performance index
Nomenclature
ASTM E2281: Standard Practice for Process and Measurement Capability Indices
7
Calculation Formula
Cpk= min (Cpkl, Cpku) Ppk= min (Ppkl, Ppku)
∧
−=
σ6
)( LSLUSLCp
SDLSLUSLPp 6
)( −=
∧
−=
σ3
LSLMeanCpkl
∧
−=
σ3
MeanUSLCpku
SDLSLMeanPpkl
3−
=
SDMeanUSLPpku
3−
=
USL: upper specification limit; LSL: lower specification limit; Mean: grand average of all the data Sigma hat: estimated inherent variability (noise) of a stable process SD: overall variability
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A Perfectly Centered Process… USL
LSL
-5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5
LSLUSL
For this case: USL= +4σ LSL = -4σ USL-LSL= 8σ Cp= 1.333 Cpku=1.333 Cpkl=1.333 Cpk=1.333
Mean (μ ), Sigma (σ)
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Process Mean is not Centered…
When the process is not centered, or deliberately run off-center for economic reasons, or only a single specification limit is involved, Cpk should be used.
For this case: USL= +4σ LSL = -4σ USL-LSL= 8σ Cp= 1.333 Cpkl = 1.667 Cpku = 1.0 Cpk= 1.0
10
Cpk, Sigma Value, and PPM
Cpk Value
Sigma Value
Area under normal
distribution curve (%)*
Non conforming parts per million (ppm) Capability Rating** Unilateral specification Bilateral specification*
0.333 1 68.27 158650 317300 Terrible
0.667 2 95.45 22750 45500 Poor
1.0 3 99.73 1350 2700 Marginally capable
1.333 4 99.993636 32 64 Capable
1.667 5 99.999942 0.29 0.58 Good
2.0 6 99.9999998 0.001 0.002 Excellent
**Bothe, D. R., Measuring Process Capability, Cedarburg, W.I., Landmark Publishing Inc., 2001
*Process mean is centered at middle of the specification limits and has normal distribution
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Denominator Difference between Cpk and Ppk
Inherent variability Overall variability
∑= −
−=
N
i
i
NXXSD
1
2
1)(
422 cSor
dMRor
dR
=∧
σ
SD: standard deviation of all individual (observed) values, which accounts for both common cause variability (noise) and special cause variability. It is often referred to as overall variability.
: the inherent variability (noise) due to common cause of a stable process. It is often estimated by using within subgroup variability which is linked to the use of control charts.
∧
σ
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Difference between Cpk and Ppk Cpk represents the potential process capability (i.e.
how well a given process could perform when all special causes have been eliminated).
Ppk addresses how the process has performed without the demonstration of the process to be stable.
Predict future batch failure rate – Cpk (Yes) – Ppk (No)
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Control Chart
To evaluate if a process is in a state of statistical control – Western Electric Rules
Two Types of Control Chart – Variable control chart: continuous numeric measurements (e.g. Xbar-
Range chart, Moving Range chart, Std. deviation chart) – Attribute control chart: discrete data (pass or fail, or counts of defects)
(e.g. p chart, np chart, c chart, u chart)
Central line (CL): the grand average Statistical process control limits
(UCL and LCL): • Typically: ±3 sigma from CL
Should not be confused with upper and lower specification limits (USL and LSL)
ASTM E2587- Standard Practice for Use of Control Charts in Statistical Process Control
14
Product level: CQA Monitoring and Trending
252321191715131197531
102
100
98
Batch No.
Subg
roup
Mea
n
__X=100.287
UCL=102.108
LCL=98.466
252321191715131197531
4
2
0
Batch No.
Subg
roup
Ran
ge
_R=1.78
UCL=4.582
LCL=0
252015105
104
102
100
98
96
Batch No.
Assa
y (%
)
1041021009896
LSL USL
LSL 96USL 104
Specifications
1051029996
Within
Overall
Specs
StDev 1.051Cp 1.27Cpk 1.18PPM 229.14
WithinStDev 1.079Pp 1.24Ppk 1.15Cpm *PPM 323.15
Overall
Process Capability Analysis of Tablet Assay (first 25 batches, subgroup size =3)Xbar Chart
R Chart
Run Chart
Capability Histogram
Normal Prob PlotA D: 0.636, P: 0.094
Capability Plot
Data source: Chopra, V., Bairagi, M., Trivedi, P., et al., “A case study: application of statistical process control tool for determining process capability and sigma level,” PDA J Pharm Sci and Tech, 66 (2), 2012, pp. 98-115
Cpk: 1.18
USP: 90-110
Cpk: 2.95
15
Understand the Science and Risk Product and process understanding
– Identification of the critical aspects of drug substance, excipients, formulation variables, process variables, container closure systems, in process control…
Establish appropriate control strategy & risk mitigation Product and process monitoring and trending
– Listen to the voice of the process – Learn what’s normal and observe if different
Continual improvement – Detect early and take actions
Transform from reactive trouble shooting to proactive failure reduction or prevention
16
Site Level: Performance Monitoring
252321191715131197531
0.15
0.10
0.05
0.00
Month
Pro
po
rtio
n
_P=0.0437
UC L=0.1809
LC L=0
252015105
6
5
4
3
2
Month
Cu
mu
lati
ve
Un
succ
ess
Ra
te
Upper C I: 1.9123
%Defectiv e: 4.37Lower C I: 2.79Upper C I: 6.49Target: 0.00PPM Def: 43726Lower C I: 27917Upper C I: 64891Process Z: 1.7090Lower C I: 1.5150
(95.0% confidence)
Summary Stats
302520
20
10
0
T otal Batch Manufactured/Month
% U
nsu
cce
ss R
ate
129630
10.0
7.5
5.0
2.5
0.0
% Unsuccess Rate
Fre
qu
en
cy
Tar
Binomial Process Capability Analysis of Unsuccess BatchP Chart
Tests performed w ith unequal sample sizes
Cumulative Unsuccess Rate
Unsuccess Rate
Histogram
% rejected batch: 4.37%
Binomial process capability index:
0.569 (Cpk <<1)
% of “rejected batch”/month at Site A (# of lots rejected/# of lots attempted ×100%)
17 Katy George, McKinsey & Company, Brookings Institute, Washington DC (May 1, 2014)
Correlation coefficients based on data samples from 14 production sites
Paradigm Shift – “Culture of Quality” Pharmaceutical Quality System (PQS) obviously important,
measurement of PQS maturity/effectiveness not easy Manufacturers take full responsibility for quality of their
products – Focus on meeting patients’ expectations – Regulators’ expectations considered minimal approach
Strive for continual improvement Management and organizational commitment to prioritizing
quality Each person in organization understands and embraces their
role in quality
18
19
Summary: Process Capability Indices Patient first: clinical relevant specification based on safety and
efficacy Consider not only process mean & variability but also in relation
to the specification Process capability index (Cpk): in control and capable Quantitative and action enabling Applicable for cross sectors (brand, generic, OTC and biotech) No additional testing is required since batch release data is
available per current regulation A valuable tool to transform from the reactive trouble shooting
paradigm to a proactive failure reduction or prevention paradigm