U.S. Resilience Initiativesmddb.apec.org/Documents/2015/EWG/ERTF/15_ewg50_ertf_004.pdf · Completed the feasibility study of a microgrid to fortify the public transportation network

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2015/EWG50/ERTF/004

U.S. Resilience Initiatives

Purpose: Information Submitted by: United States

First Energy Resilience Task Force Meeting Hawaii, United States

17 December 2015

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Office of Electricity Delivery & Energy Reliability

U.S. Resilience Initiatives

Dan T. TonEnergy Resiliency Task Force MeetingDecember 17, 2015

Office of Electricity Delivery and Energy Reliability

Every $1 on protection measurements can

prevent $4 in repairs after a storm.

Climate Change and Extreme Weather Resilience

Trends indicate the situation will get worse, not better.

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OE Analysis of Climate Impacts and Electrical Infrastructure Resiliency

Studying Sea-Level Rise (SLR) Effects on Energy Infrastructure Developed a proof of concept approach

through 2100. Tested concept on four metropolitan

statistical areas (MSAs) – New York City, Miami, Houston, and Los Angeles, and published report.

Expanding work to assess four communities (Boston, Philadelphia, Hampton Roads ,VA, Mobile, AL).

OE-EPSA Future Study on Cost and Benefit Estimates of U.S. Coastal Energy Exposure, Impacts, and Resilience Measures Developing a methodology to assess

costs and benefits of climate impacts and resiliency for electricity infrastructure

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Resilient Distribution Grid Design Tool

Enable distribution grid designers to prioritize cost-effective system upgrades and expansions to minimize future damage to their grid and outages to customers

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Leverage modules developed under DHS National Infrastructure Simulation and Analysis Center (NISAC):• Developed a prototype resilience design tool for multiple hazards

(ice and flooding) in FY15• Begin developing “recovery” modules in FY16

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Energy Surety Design Methodology

NJ TransitGrid Project Microgrid to enhance grid-rail resiliency to

serve over 900,000 riders/day Key evacuation service for Manhattan &

N. New Jersey MOU between DOE and State of NJ Completed the feasibility study of a microgrid

to fortify the public transportation network

Hoboken Project• Provide electrical power to support critical

functions up to 7 days for 52,000 residents in 1.2 sq. mi.

• Key evacuation route for Manhattan• DOE-Hoboken-BPU-Sandia-PSEG Partnership• Completed a microgrid conceptual design for

Hoboken, NJ, to enhance system resilience post-Sandy

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Courtesy of EPB of Chattanooga

July 5, 2012 Storm Response in Chattanooga

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Actual Response

Projected Response withoutSmart Grid

Time (hours)

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Automated feeder switching technology:• Equipment cost $51 million• In this storm, avoided $23 million in damages to

customers, eliminated 500 truck rolls, and reduced restoration costs to the utility by $1.4 million by restoring 1.5 days early

Avoided customer outage minutes are translated into

avoided customer costs by the Interruption Cost Estimation

(ICE) Calculator(www.icecalculator.com)

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Framework for Developing Resilience Metrics

Define Resilie

nceGoals

Define System

& Resilience

MetricsCharact

erizeThreats

Determine Level of

DisruptionDefine &

Apply System Models

Calculate Consequenc

e

Evaluate Resilience Improvements

Define Resilience

Goals

Define System & Resilience

Metrics

CharacterizeThreats

Determine Level of

Disruption

Define & Apply System Models

Calculate Consequence

Evaluate Resilience

Improvements

Resilience Analysis Process: How metrics should be defined and used

Resilience Metric:Used to compare performanceof improved system vs. baseline

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Framework for Developing Resilience Metrics

Performance Indicators

Alternative units:Safety,Economics,Population affected,etc…

Prob

abili

ty o

f Con

sequ

ence

Consequence

Distribution of Consequence, Hurricanes

Base System

An exemplar consequence distribution is created to account for uncertainty (Threat intensity, Available resources, System response, Interdependencies, Disruption impacts, etc.)

This distribution is the RESILIENCE METRIC.

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Energy Storage Methodology and Evaluation Tool:

BPA / DOE / Puget Sound Grid ProjectPNNL Analysis Program selects cost-effectivesite and scale to optimize Value Stream

Primus Power, to install 500kW / 2MWh ZnBrFlow Battery, developed with ARRA funding

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Quadrennial Energy Review (QER): Background and Process

• Presidential Memorandum stated the Administration will conduct a QER to be led by the White House Domestic Policy Council and Office of Science and Technology Policy

• Supported by a Secretariat established at the Department of Energy

• Process involves the robust engagement of federal agencies and outside stakeholders

• Enables the federal government to translate policy goals into a set of analytically based, integrated actions for proposed investments over a four-year planning horizon

Scope of QER 1.1

Scope of QER 1.2

Fuels

Waste

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• Decreased N. American energy imports

• Climate change impacts• Vulnerabilities more evident,

including aging infrastructures, physical and cyber threats

• Increased interdependencies • Increased energy support required

by allies

Context for QER: Changing US Energy Landscape

INCREASING ENERGY PRODUCTION• Natural gas production growth• Oil production growth• Intermittent renewables• Distributed generation/energy

resources• Increased

generation/production/demand efficiency

TECHNOLOGY ADVANCES• Solar (central and rooftop)• Wind• Demand-side • Hydraulic fracturing

POLICY DEVELOPMENTS• CAFÉ• Clean Air Act -111 (d), other• Clean Water Act/other• RFS• RPS (state)• RGGI (regional)

ENERGY SECURITY CHANGES

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QER Process

ANALYSIS• Baselines• Scenarios and

modeling• Analysis of

disruptive events• Synthesis of

available work

STAKEHOLDER ENGAGEMENT• Stakeholder meetings• Stakeholder comments• Technical workshops• Regular briefings

INTERAGENCY COLLABORATION• Technical expertise • Data, studies, analysis• Interim and final product reviews

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Output of QER Process

• Integrated view of the short-, intermediate-, and long-term objectives for Federal energy policy (economic, environmental, and security priorities);

• Outline of legislative proposals to Congress;• Executive actions (programmatic, regulatory, fiscal,

etc.) coordinated across multiple agencies;• Resource requirements for RD&D and incentive

programs; and• Strong analytical base for decision-making, insights

on industry trends and economic impacts

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Complementary to QER: Partnership for Energy Sector Climate Resilience

Partnership announced on April 21, 2015 by Vice President Biden and Energy Secretary Moniz - Approximately 20 companies have joined representing a geographically dispersed array of investor-owned, federal, state, municipal and cooperatives, serving approximately 25% of U.S. customers.

*For more info: http://www.energy.gov/epsa/partnership-energy-sector-climate-resilience

Provides a mechanism for sustained engagement between DOE and electricity companies to:

Exchange information: user-friendly climate data, decision tools and best practices

Develop methodologies and assess cost and benefits of climate resilience solutions

Identify opportunities for deployment of climate-resilient energy technologies, practices and policies

Partners commit to: Identify priority vulnerabilities to electricity infrastructure Identify and pursue priority climate resilience strategies Report on climate resilience activities implemented, milestones

accomplished, and progress in enhanced energy climate resilience

Creates a forum where companies pursuing action on climate resilience can receive recognition for their achievements

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Climate Change Vulnerability Report

Report: “Climate Change and the U.S. Energy Sector: Regional Vulnerabilities and Resilience Solutions”

• Higher temperatures, droughts, extreme heat waves, wildfires, sea level rise and intense storms are causing power and fuel disruptions for millions of people in all regions

• Resilience opportunities include:– development and deployment of innovative climate-resilient

energy technologies

– improved data and models to better inform stakeholders of vulnerabilities and response opportunities

– “hardening” of existing facilities and structures to better withstand impacts of future climate change and extreme weather.

http://www.energy.gov/epsa/initiatives/us-energy-sector-vulnerability-report

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Water-Energy Nexus: Why Now?

• Energy and water are interdependent.

• Water scarcity, variability, and uncertainty are becoming more prominent.o This is leading to vulnerabilities of the

U.S. energy system.

• We cannot assume the future is like the past in terms of climate, technology, and the evolving decision landscape.

• Aging infrastructure brings an opportunity to make some changes.

• DOE has strong expertise in technology, modeling, analysis, and data and can contribute to understanding the issues and pursuing solutions across the entire nexus.

Download the full report at energy.gov

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Temperature Change in the U.S. (1901-2012)

The future of the water-energy nexus will bring changes and variation in the availability of water resources due to:

• increasing temperatures• changes in precipitation

patterns• increasing climate

variability• more frequent extreme

weather events (e.g., floods and droughts)

Source: EPA (2013)

Implications of Climate Change

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2012 2011 2010

Annual Average Precipitation (2010 -2012)

Variability in available water resources will pose challenges for:• Optimizing operations (especially for hydroelectric plants)• Developing effective water management strategies• Choosing sites for energy production activities

Variability in Water Resources

Source: PRISM Climate Group, OSU

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Water-Energy Decision-Making Landscape is Complex

Market Drivers• Water prices and costs• Relative fuel prices and

costs• Financial incentives

Non-Market Drivers• Water rights and

permitting• Aging infrastructure• O&G: regulatory

response to rapid growth

• Power & Transportation: renewable energy mandates

The water-energy decision-making landscape is characterized by market and non-market drivers varying by region and sector.

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Strategic Pillars

• Optimize the freshwater efficiency of energy production, electricity generation, and end use systems

• Optimize the energy efficiency of water management, treatment, distribution, and end use systems

• Enhance the reliability and resilience of energy and water systems

• Increase safe and productive use of nontraditional water sources

• Promote responsible energy operations with respect to water quality, ecosystem, and seismic impacts

• Exploit productive synergies among water and energy systems

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A Coordinated and Integrated Approach

Technology RDD&D

Data, Modeling, and Analysis

Deployment Barriers and Opportunities

Performanceand Cost Specifications

Analytic Tools,Forecasts,

Data

Data Needs

Technology Opportunities

Performanceand Cost Specifications

Policy Analysis

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Resilience Going Forward

Resilient Electricity Delivery Infrastructure (REDI) Funding Opportunity Announcement to improve climate preparedness and resiliency of electricity delivery infrastructure for local/tribal governments

(open until May 4, 2015).

For more information see:http://www.netl.doe.gov/business/solicitations/details?title=9ffc4b38-2b18-4ce6-94a6-2da82c09126d

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Invitation to pair up/ contact your nearest Climate Action Champion to share experiences, capabilities, etc..

White House Fact Sheet: http://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2014/12/03/fact-sheet-16-us-communities-recognized-climate-action-champions-leaders

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Electric Resilience Assessment Program-Distribution (ERAP-D) Tool for Distribution Utilities to Assess Resilience

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Notional dashboard for an electric utility

Self-assessment tool in development in close cooperation with industry

Builds on concepts generated for DHS to capture and display Critical Infrastructure protection and resilience information

• Utilizes methodology developed for the Infrastructure Survey Tool (IST) in support of the DHS Enhanced Critical Infrastructure Protection Program (ECIP)

• Developing the proof-of-concept tool in FY15• Transitioning the tool for use by distribution utilities in FY16


Interconnected Energy and Water Systems

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