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ICRA LIMITED P a g e | 1
Corporate Ratings
ICRA RESEARCH SERVICES
US Generic Injectables Market: an Opportunity for Indian Generic Majors
Healthy growth prospects driven by upcoming patent expiries; quality manufacturing and development resources hold key
July 2016
ICRA LIMITED P a g e | 2
I. Executive Summary
II. US Generic Injectable Market: Opportunity & Challenges
a. Large number of drugs expected to go off-patent
b. Drug shortages will continue to support growth for US generic injectable players
c. Sizeable upfront investments and complex manufacturing process
d. Challenging market to make inroads by virtue of established incumbents
e. Quality manufacturing and development capabilities holds key
f. Focus on complex injectables used as an entry strategy by Indian players
III. Annexure
a. US generic injectable market M&A trends
b. Key financial aggregates of US generic injectable players
WHAT’S INSIDE?
ICRA LIMITED P a g e | 3
Injectables offer steady growth opportunities for generic players; quality manufacturing is the key
US Generic Injectable Market – an Opportunity for Indian Generic Majors
Executive Summary July 2016
US Generic Injectable
Size: USD 8.4 billion (estimated)
Patent expiries 2015-19e: USD 16 billion
CAGR2015-2020e: ~10%
Therapy wise Break-up
Player Concentration
2015: Top 5 Players
Value Share: 52%
Volume Share: 73%
73% 8%
17%
2%
Generic Injectables Beta-Lactam antibiotics Oncology Others
US Generic Injectable market expected to grow at 10% CAGR 2015-2020: As per ICRA research, during the
2015-19 period injectables drugs worth ~US$16 billion are expected to go off-patent in the US alone. Key patent
expiries for the US market would include Alimta (Oncology) in 2016 with CY2015 revenues of above US$1 billion
and Levemir (Anti-diabetic) in 2019 with CY2015 revenues of above US$2 billion. While significant price erosion
is normal once the drugs go off-patent, the injectable segment still holds a sizeable opportunity to gain
meaningful revenue growth for Indian generic companies on account of the upcoming patent expiries. In
addition, increase in manufacturing costs, required as part of complying with USFDA cGMP norms and drug
shortages, have led to price increases in the past and the trend is expected to continue forward - contributing to
the overall market growth. Supported by the patent expiries and favourable pricing environment, ICRA expects
the US generic injectable market to grow at a CAGR of 10% over the next five years.
Challenging market by virtue of high entry barriers and established incumbents: The generic injectable
market is characterised by high capital investments and operational costs coupled with relatively higher
compliance requirement owing to the sterile nature of the products. These factors have resulted in high
barriers to entry and, as a result, a limited number of competitors relative to other segments. These have
further reduced due to M&A activities within the sector over the last few years. For the US Generic Injectable
market 70% of the market by value has three or less than three companies compared to five or more players
for the oral solids generics corroborating high level of entry barriers owing to high upfront capex, compliance
issues and economies of scale requirements. In 2015, the top five generic companies controlled ~52% of the
market share by value and ~73% of the market by volume (source: Industry). Any new entrant needed to have a
relatively large basket of products and cost advantage to gain traction with customers.
Maintaining quality manufacturing facilities remains critical to build sustainable franchise: Over the past few
years, manufacturing units of several large players operating in the US generic injectable space have faced
regulatory interruptions on account of non-compliance to cGMP guidelines. Injectables being sterile products,
require stringent manufacturing processes across development, formulation, packaging, storage and
transportation phases and attract greater scrutiny from regulatory agencies. Approximately 65% of the drug
shortages in the US are on account of quality manufacturing/ delays or capacity constraints – thereby making it
one of the critical success factors to build sustainable franchise.
ICRA LIMITED P a g e | 4
Injectables offer steady growth opportunities for generic players; quality manufacturing is the key
Indian companies are increasingly focusing on complex generics: Some of the leading Indian companies have
carved a niche for themselves through the launch of differentiated and complex filings. Complex injectables
include lyophilised products, high potent drugs, long-acting suspensions, liposomes which require complex
manufacturing capabilities or use of new drug delivery systems (NDDS). For injectables, NDDS includes drug
delivery systems such as self-injection device like auto and pen injectors, which improve patient compliance and
enable differentiation. Among Indian companies, Dr. Reddy’s has scaled up its complex injectables business over
the last five years to US$280 million in FY2015, equivalent to 25% of its revenues from North American. In order to
support its foray into the injectables business, the company also acquired Netherland-based injectable player in
2013, to gain access to development capabilities for long-acting injectables and liposomal formulations. Lupin
Limited, by virtue of acquisition of Naomi BV in 2014, has a development pipeline of ~38 products targeting market
size of US$12.8 billion of branded and generic injectables.
Trend of M&A in generic injectable space expected to continue: There has been a sizeable number of acquisitions
in the US generic injectable space over the last few years. The acquisitions were driven by the need to acquire
product portfolio, development pipeline and manufacturing capabilities of existing injectable players to
consolidate market share or accelerate entry into the promising US sterile injectable market. Among the key ones
include the acquisition of Hospira Inc. – the world’s largest generic injectable player by Pfizer Inc. for US$17 billion,
acquisition of Agila Specialties Private Limited by Mylan Inc. for US$1.85 billion in 2013. Apart from these there
have been acquisitions done by Hikma Pharmaceuticals Inc. of the US generic injectable assets of Boehringer
Ingelheim in 2014, acquisition of Par Pharma Group by Endo International PLC in 2015. With the upcoming patent
expiries, ICRA expects continuing trend in M&A to acquire development and manufacturing capabilities for
complex injectables / novel drug delivery systems.
Financial performance of US generic injectable players, a proxy for the opportunity in the space, shows healthy
trend: The financial profile of ICRA sample of generic injectable players in the US is characterised by healthy
operating margins, RoCE, working capital intensity and moderate debt-protection metrics. The growth rate in
CY2015 and CY2014 improved to 15.7% and 13.3% respectively, compared to approximately ~7% in CY2012 and
CY2013 each. The EBITDA Margins for our sample companies have improved significantly over the last five years
from 19.8% in CY2011 to 22.4% in CY2014 and 32.3% in CY2015 led by price increase, changes in product mix to
focus on high margin products and cost efficiencies through consolidation of manufacturing facilities. The RoCE
improved from low of 3.9% to 12.6% in CY2014 and 15.1% in CY2015.
Opportunities
US$16 billion worth of drugs going
off-patent 2015-19
Drug shortages: Maximum number
of drug shortages reported for
injectables in the US
Improved pricing trend led by
increased investments in
manufacturing facilities to maintain
cGMP (USFDA) norms
Challenges
Maintaining USFDA-compliant
manufacturing facilities
High barriers to entry led by complex
manufacturing process, high
operational & capital cost and
compliance requirements
ICRA LIMITED P a g e | 5
US Generic Injectable Market: an Opportunity for Indian Generic Majors
ICRA LIMITED P a g e | 6
Large number of drugs expected to go off-patent
US generic injectable market expected to grow at CAGR 10%
As per ICRA research, during the 2015-19 period, injectables drugs worth ~USD 16 billion are expected to go-off patent in US.
While significant price erosion is an industry trend once the drugs go off-patent, the injectable segment still represents a
sizeable opportunity. Also, continued drug shortages have created a supportive price environment, though part of the
benefits are offset by increasing manufacturing costs to meet USFDA cGMP norms. ICRA expects the US Generic Injectable
market to grow at a CAGR of 10% over the next five years led by significant number of drugs going off-patent as well as
supportive price environment in the USA.
Exhibit 1: Selective Injectable Drugs Going Off-Patent for USA
Brand Name Innovator Therapeutic Area Earliest US Patent Expiry
CY 2015 US Revenues, US$ Million
Zyvox Pfizer Antibiotic 2015 564 Tygacil Pfizer Antibiotic 2016 110 Norditropin Novo-Nordisk Hormonal 2017 550* Levemir Novo-Nordisk Diabetes 2019 2,016* Alpidra Sanofi Diabetes 2018 163 Zaltrap Sanofi Oncology 2020 24 Alimta Eli Lilly Oncology 2016 1,162 Forteo Eli Lilly Osteoporosis 2018 612 Source: ICRA research. *Represents revenues from North America
Continued injectable drug shortages in US to support pricing environment and growth; albeit at lower pace
Among various factors, the drug shortages for injectables in the US have been fuelled by shifting of old molecules production
to low cost countries such as India and China making high cost US facilities cost-inefficient, reduction in the number of players
owing to M&A and subsequent closure/consolidation among such facilities in addition to phasing out of low value low margin
products. Another key reason for drug shortages has been stringent action by USFDA regarding compliance to GMP led to
several warning letters and supply disruptions for injectable drugs. Further, ongoing investment in maintaining quality
standards not justified by margins offered by various Government-run programmes such as Medicare, also led to
rationalisation of product portfolio for several players. Drug shortages led to improved pricing power for the industry and
reflected in the contrasting volume and value growth during the 2008-2013 period.
US generic injectable market
expected to grow at CAGR of
10% driven by patent expiries of
US$16 billion over 2015-2019
period
Stringent USFDA cGMP
regulations have led to supply
issues for various injectable
players. Maintaining quality
focus remains critical
ICRA LIMITED P a g e | 7
Drug shortages will continue to support growth for US generic injectable players
The injectable generic market value growth during 2008-13 period has been a CAGR of 19.6%, against volume growth during
the same period of only 1.6% - implying a healthy pricing environment. As can be seen from Exhibit 2, the number of drugs in
shortages in the US swelled to 251 in CY2011, of which 73% were for injectable products. In October 2011, the US President,
through the Executive order, asked the USFDA to address the issue of drug shortages and take steps that will help prevent
and reduce the current and future disruptions in the supply of life-saving medicine. There has been a declining trend in drug
shortages since 2012, led by action taken by the USFDA to proactively work with suppliers, regulatory oversight for short
supply drugs, coupled with the increase in production capacity, taken by various players to meet drug shortages. For the
nine-month period ending September 2015, 22 new drugs (all forms) were reported to be in shortage, excluding 48 drugs,
which continued to be in shortage, taking the total tally to 70. Overall, the injectable space is expected to continue enjoying a
supportive pricing environment; albeit at a lower pace, due to the moderating trends in shortages.
Exhibit 2: US Drug Shortages – New Drugs Reported
Source: USFDA, ICRA research, Year represent Calendar Year
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014
All Forms (New), LHS % Injectables, RHS
Drug shortages led by supply
disruptions on account of USFDA
cGMP violations as well as
consolidation of in-house
manufacturing facilities
ICRA LIMITED P a g e | 8
Quality manufacturing and development capabilities hold key
Maintaining adequate quality manufacturing remains critical to build sustainable franchise
Over the past few years, manufacturing units of several large players operating in the US generic injectable space have faced
regulatory interruptions on account of non-compliance to cGMP guidelines. Injectables being sterile products, require greater
attention and detail from development, formulation, packaging, storage and transportation and has attracted greater scrutiny
from the regulator in the past. The biggest player in the US generic injectable Industry i.e. Hospira (now part of Pfizer)
received USFDA warning letters for its six different facilities during 2013-15 period. Likewise, Hikma also faced warning letters
for its two key injectable facilities at Portugal and New Jersey, USA, over the 2012-2014 period. Similarly, Agila Specialties
Private Limited (Part of Mylan Inc.) faced warning letters for its facilities at Bangalore India. While a large part of these
warning letters have been resolved, coupled with fresh investments on the part of the industry to maintain quality
manufacturing facilities, such incidents have led to disruptions in supply and adversely impacted revenues. Further,
technology/site transfer between sterile manufacturing facilities (post warning letter) can pose a number of process-related
challenges and can be time consuming. There are several considerations that manufacturers take into account such as sterility
(bacterial and fungal contamination), stability issues (crystallisation), extractables and leachables from packaging material,
particulate in vials, time lag between site transfer agreement and USFDA approval. Issues with USFDA cGMP norms have led
to demand for good quality facilities and called for contract manufacturers based out of low cost countries such as India,
China to support large volumes at low cost. Approximately 65% of the 117 drug shortages in 2012 were on account of quality
manufacturing/delays or capacity constraints – thereby making it one of the critical success factors.
Exhibit 3: Selective US Generic Injectable Players: USFDA Warning Letters for cGMP violations
Hospira Inc. Facility Location Issue Date Closeout Date
Hospira Inc.
Victoria, Australia 26-Sep-14 8-Feb-16
Costa Rica 22-Aug-14 7-Jan-16
Sriperumburdur, India 28-May-13 Open
Illinois, USA 9-May-13 Open
Liscate, Italy 31-Mar-15 Open
Rocky Mount, USA 7-Mar-14 Open
Hikma Pharmaceuticals PLC.
Portugal 21-Oct-14 16-Nov-15
New Jersey, USA 3-Feb-12 26-Mar-14
Agila Specialties Private Limited Bangalore, India 9-Sep-13 Open
Mylan Laboratories Limited
Bangalore, India 6-Aug-15 Open
Claris LifeSciences Limited Ahmedabad, India 1-Nov-10 14-Aug-12
Several warning letters issued
by USFDA in the past to generic
injectable players, though
sorted out over period of time.
ICRA LIMITED P a g e | 9
Sizeable upfront investments and complex manufacturing processes High entry barriers
The generic sterile injectable market is characterised by low volumes, complex manufacturing process with specialised
technical capabilities, high capital costs and the requirement for dedicated operational facilities, which must meet the strict
quality standards imposed by regulatory authorities. Complying with these stringent regulatory requirements, as well as
capital-intensive manufacturing processes, demands significant continuous investment in training and development to
ensure the highest levels of precision implemented throughout the manufacturing process. These factors have created a
market with high barriers to entry.
The entry barriers are manifested from the fact that - 32% of the market by value is catered by a single company while 70% of
the US generic injectable market by value has three or less than three companies compared to five or more than five
generally for the oral solids generics. On the other hand, it also represents opportunities for players with low cost injectable
manufacturing set-up, as it has less competition compared to other generic segments.
US generic injectable market dominated by few players
The complex development and manufacturing process of sterile injectables along with high capital and operational costs
involved coupled with high compliance cost has led to relatively consolidated market. The market has seen further
consolidation due to M&A activities within the sector over the last few years (Exhibit 9). Among the key players which have
been operating in the Generic Sterile Injectables US market include Pfizer, APP (Unit of Fresenius Kabi), Sandoz (Unit of
Novartis), Hikma Pharmaceuticals PLC., Dr. Reddy’s Limited, Grifols, Baxter, Sagent Pharmaceuticals Inc. and Teva. In 2015,
the top five players control 50% of the market share by value and approximately 73% of the market by volume (source:
Industry). In 2012, the top five players controlled approximately 54% by value and 75% by volume – the dominance of the top
players have remained broadly same, despite a shift in top players led by various mergers and acquisitions. Players such as
Pfizer, Hikma and Mylan have grown their US injectable business through acquisitions, which have led to an increase in their
market share.
New entrants such as Dr. Reddy’s Limited carved a niche through launch of differentiated and complex filings. Overall, the
complexities involved in manufacturing of injectables have led to smaller number of players when compared to Oral Solids
Generics Industry. Any new player looking to gain entry into the US generic injectable market needs to have a relatively large
basket of products and low cost advantage to gain traction with customers.
Entry barriers due to complex
manufacturing, high capital &
operational cost and strict
compliance requirements.
Nearly 70% of the generic
market revenues have three or
less companies as suppliers
Top 5 players contribute 50% by
value and 73% by volume in
2015
ICRA LIMITED P a g e | 10
Challenging market to make inroads by virtue of established incumbents Exhibit 4: Player Market Share Concentration %, US$ Million
Exhibit 5: Player Market Share Concentration %, Million Units
Source: ICRA research
Exhibit 6: US Generic Injectable Market Share %, US$ Million
Exhibit 7: US Generic Injectable Market Share %, Million Units
Source: ICRA research
59 71
52 71
0
20
40
60
80
Top 5 Players Top 10 Players
2012 2015
77
84
73
83
65
70
75
80
85
90
Top 5 Players Top 10 Players
2012 2015
0 5 10 15 20 25
Pfizer (Hospira)
APP
Sandoz
Mylan
Hikma
Dr. Reddys
Grifols
Baxter
Sagent
Teva
2015 2012 0 10 20 30 40
Pfizer (Hospira)
APP
Hikma
Sagent
Henry Schein
Auromedics
Sandoz
Mylan
Teva
Becton Dickinson
2015 2012
The dominance of top players
have remained broadly same
despite shift in top players led by
various mergers and acquisitions
Post acquisition of Hospira in
Sep-2015, Pfizer has emerged as
the leading injectable player in
the US and worldwide
ICRA LIMITED P a g e | 11
Focus on complex injectables used as an entry strategy by Indian players
Focus on complex injectables by leading Indian players
Complex injectables include lyophilised products, high potent drugs, long-acting suspensions, liposomes, which require
complex manufacturing capabilities or use of new drug delivery systems (NDDS). For injectable, NDDS include drug delivery
systems such as self-injection device such as auto and pen injectors for existing products, which improve patient compliance
and enable differentiation. Dr. Reddy’s Limited (DRL) scaled up its complex injectable business from scratch over the last five
years to US$280 million in FY2015 equivalent to 25% of their North American Generics revenues. In order to support its
foray into injectables, DRL acquired Netherland-based injectable player in 2013, leading player in the development of, long-
acting injectables and liposomal formulations. Similarly, Lupin Limited (Lupin) has acquired Netherland-based Nanomi, a
drug delivery firm with patented technology platforms to develop complex injectable products. Currently, Lupin Limited,
through its acquisition of Naomi BV, has a development pipeline of ~38 products targeting market size of US$12.8 billion of
branded and generic injectables. In July 2014, Sun Pharmaceuticals Industries Limited (Sun Pharma) acquired US-based
Pharmlucence Inc. with sterile injectable manufacturing supported by R&D capabilities to further enhance its presence in
the US injectable business.
Exhibit 8: Selective Large Indian players: Exposure to US Injectables market
Indian Player US Strategy - Generic Injectable Acquisitions/Rationale Revenues/M. Share
DRL Complex products along with new drug delivery systems such as Automatic Injectables. Development pipeline of 17 complex/sterile injectables as on Mar-16
OctoPlus NV (2013) - Proprietary drug delivery technologies and focus on medicine ingredients that are difficult to formulate
US$280 Mio (FY2015). Ranked 6th in US generic injectable market
Lupin Plans to foray into complex injectable products. Development pipeline of 38 sterile injectable as on Mar-16
Naomi BV (2014) - Technology to manufacture complex injectables
NA
Sun Pharma Present in generic injectable market, plans to scale up the business
Pharmalucence Inc. (2014) - Sterile injectable capacity supported by R&D capabilities
NA
Source: ICRA research
Indian players such as Dr.
Reddy’s has focused on complex
and differentiated filings to gain
entry into US generic injectable
markets. It is currently ranked
6th in the generic injectable
space
Indian players have done
several small acquisitions to
acquire technology or
manufacturing facilities
ICRA LIMITED P a g e | 12
Annexure: US Generic Injectable Market M&A Trends
Sizeable number of acquisition in the US Generic injectable industry
Exhibit 9: Selective Large Size US Generic Injectables Acquisition, 2013-15 period
Year Acquirer Target Location Consideration
(USD, Mio)#
Rationale
2015 Pfizer Inc. Hospira Inc. Global 17,000 Largest player in generic injectables with strong
pipeline for injectable and biosimilars
2014 Pfizer Inc. InnoPharma USA 360 Hard-to-make products such as involving
complex manufacturing capabilities or delivery
forms, such as pens and depot injections
2014 Hikma Pharma.
PLC
Bedford
Laboratories
(Assets)
USA 375 Acquire assets - including 82 products,
manufacturing facilities, R&D pipeline for the US
generic market
2014 Hikma
Pharma. PLC
Ben Venue
Labs.(Assets)
USA NA Acquired four manufacturing facilities, R&D
centre
2014 Par
Pharmaceuticals
Inc.
JHP Group
Holdings
USA 490 Portfolio of 14 specialty injectable products and
pipeline of 34 products; gain foothold in rapidly
growing injectable market
2013 Mylan Inc. Agila Specialties
Private Limited
Global 1,850 1,200 approved injectable products globally and
more than 900 injectable products pending
global approvals
# At the time of deal announcement, includes deferred payouts. Source: ICRA research
Over the last three years, the acquisitions were driven by the need to acquire product portfolio, development pipeline and
manufacturing capabilities of existing injectable players to consolidate market position or accelerate entry into the
promising US sterile injectable market. Among the key ones, Pfizer announced the acquisition of the largest player in the
Generic Injectable space – Hospira for US$17 billion.
The world’s largest generic
injectable player Hospira was
acquired by Pfizer in 2015.
Hikma Pharmaceuticals have
done a series of acquisitions to
build its US Generic Injectable
business
These acquisitions have led to
consolidation of manufacturing
sites as well as number of
players for individual products
on account of overlap of generic
injectable products for acquired
and target entity
ICRA LIMITED P a g e | 13
Annexure: Key financials aggregate of US generic injectable players
Healthy financial profile of US generic injectable players (ICRA sample)
We have aggregated the financial profile of four pharma companies with significant exposure to generic injectable (50% or
more revenues derived from generic injectables) market in the US. Our Sample Universe includes - Hospira Inc. (till CY 2014),
Hikma Pharmaceuticals PLC, Sagent Inc. and Akorn Inc.
Exhibit 10: ICRA Sample Universe
Company CY2015 Revenues (USD Million)
Injectables % to overall Revenues
US Share - % to overall Revenues
Hospira Inc. 4,463 (CY 2014) 68% 81% Hikma Pharma PLC 1,440 ~50% 48% Sagent Inc. 318 90%+ 90% Akorn Inc. 985 >50% >70%
The financial profile of the ICRA sample of generic injectable players in US is characterised by healthy operating margins,
RoCE, working capital intensity and moderate debt protection metrics. The growth rate in CY2015 and CY2014 improved to
15.7% and 13.3% respectively, compared to approximately ~7% in CY2012 and CY2013 each. On the profitability front, there
has been an improvement in gross margins to compensate for the decline in asset turnover. The EBITDA margins for our
sample companies have improved significantly over the last five years from 19.8% in CY2011 to 22.4% in CY2014 and 32.3%
in CY2015 led by price increases, changes in product mix to focus on high margin products and cost efficiencies through
consolidation of manufacturing facilities. The RoCE improved from low of 3.9% to 12.6% in CY2014 and 15.1% in CY2015.
ICRA sample companies have
recorded improvement in
margins and return Indicators
ICRA LIMITED P a g e | 14
Financial profile – Key trends
Improvement in growth rates over the last five years
Exhibit 11: Trend in Growth Rate – Sample Companies
Source: ICRA research, CY2015# excludes Hospira Inc. as it was acquired by Pfizer in Sep-2015.
Decline in asset turnover accompanied by improvement in gross margins
Exhibit 12: Trend in Asset Utilisation – Sample Companies
Source: ICRA research, CY2015# excludes Hospira Inc. as it was acquired by Pfizer in Sep-2015.
5264 5641 6035 6835 2743
9.5% 7.1% 7.0%
13.3% 15.7%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
CY 2011 CY 2012 CY 2013 CY 2014 CY 2015#
LHS - Revenues (USD Million) RHS - YoY Growth (%)
137% 148% 154% 141% 105%
37.6% 36.4% 40.8% 43.5%
54.7%
0%
50%
100%
150%
200%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
50.0%
60.0%
CY 2010 CY 2011 CY 2013 CY 2014 CY 2015#
LHS - OI/Net Block RHS - Gross Margins
ICRA sample companies have
recorded improvement in
growth rates over the last few
years contributed by organic as
well as inorganic initiatives
The Gross Margins have
increased over the years
justifying high upfront capital
investments as well as ongoing
maintenance capex to maintain
USFDA cGMP compliant sterile
injectable plants. Several
players have increased
investments in view of warning
letters from USFDA
ICRA LIMITED P a g e | 15
Financial profile – Key trends
R&D expenses remain moderate for injectables generic players
Exhibit 13: Trend in R&D expenses – Sample Companies
Source: ICRA research, CY2015# excludes Hospira Inc. as it was acquired by Pfizer in Sep-2015.
Return indicators reflect drastic improvement over the last few years
Exhibit 14: Trend in Profitability Indicators – Sample Companies
Source: ICRA research, CY2015# excludes Hospira Inc. as it was acquired by Pfizer in Sep-2015.
314 371 373
455
106
6.0% 6.6%
6.2% 6.7%
3.9%
0.0%
2.0%
4.0%
6.0%
8.0%
0
100
200
300
400
500
CY 2010 CY 2011 CY 2013 CY 2014 CY 2015#
LHS - R&D Expense, USD Million RHS - R&D as % to OI
19.8% 16.9%
21.0% 22.4%
32.3%
1.7% 3.0% 4.8%
10.1%
14.0% 3.9% 4.4%
6.2%
12.6% 15.1%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
35.0%
CY 2011 CY 2012 CY 2013 CY 2014 CY 2015#
OPBDITA (%) PAT (%) RoCE (%)
In CY 2015, the % has dropped
as Hospira had higher spend on
R&D
ICRA sample players have
experienced improvement in
return indicators. RoCE has
improved to 15.1% in CY2015
compared to 3.9% in CY2011.
Players like Sagent Inc. had
operating losses in earlier years
which led to overall low ROCE
for sample companies
ICRA LIMITED P a g e | 16
Financial profile – Key trends
Working capital intensity remains healthy with positive FFO
Exhibit 15: Trend in Working Capital and Operational Liquidity
Source: ICRA research, CY2015# excludes Hospira Inc. as it was acquired by Pfizer in Sep-2015.
Capital structure and coverage indicators remain moderate
Exhibit 16: Trend in Debt Protection Metrics
Source: ICRA research, CY2015# excludes Hospira Inc. as it was acquired by Pfizer in Sep-2015.
652 1,051 1,194 1,243 745
19.7%
24.3%
19.7% 17.0%
22.6%
0.0%
5.0%
10.0%
15.0%
20.0%
25.0%
30.0%
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
CY 2010 CY 2011 CY 2013 CY 2014 CY 2015#
LHS - FFO, USD Million RHS - NWC/OI (%)
0.6 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.8
2.3 2.6
1.9 2.2
2.0
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
CY 2011 CY 2012 CY 2013 CY 2014 CY 2015#
Gross Gearing (Total debt/Networth) TD/OPBDITA
Our sample Universe has
displayed consistent positive
funds from operations (FFO)
over the last few years with low
working capital intensity. The
working capital requirements
are primarily driven by higher
inventory days of approximately
four months, necessitated by
business operations
Acquisitions and on-going Capex
has led to the deployment of
internal accruals as well as
incurring additional debt. This
has led to moderate capital
structure over the years, despite
rise in profitability
ICRA LIMITED P a g e | 17
ICRA Limited
An Associate of Moody's Investors Service CORPORATE OFFICE
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