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Urban Containment Increasing in Urban Containment Increasing in PopularityPopularity
Most common in fast-growth regionsMost common in fast-growth regions Intent to contain sprawl, minimize costsIntent to contain sprawl, minimize costs Too much land, urban sprawlToo much land, urban sprawl Too little land, land price inflationToo little land, land price inflation Impacts depend on implementationImpacts depend on implementation
Steps in Identifying Steps in Identifying Development CapacityDevelopment Capacity
Gross Vacant AcresGross Vacant Acres
-environmentally constrained land-environmentally constrained land
-publicly owned land-publicly owned land
-platted lots-platted lots
-streets, parks, schools, churches…-streets, parks, schools, churches…
=Vacant Buildable Acres=Vacant Buildable Acres
Steps in Identifying Development Capacity, continuedSteps in Identifying Development Capacity, continued
Vacant Buildable Acres
- Unserviced land
= Serviced Buildable Acres * Permitted Density
= Vacant Land Capacity
+ Infill and plat Capacity
+ Redevelopment Capacity
= Total Development Capacity
Identifying Vacant LandIdentifying Vacant Land
One half acre ruleOne half acre rule
Identifying Environmental Identifying Environmental ConstraintsConstraints
Methods of Estimating InfillMethods of Estimating Infill
Remaining Capacity Remaining Capacity Historical TrendsHistorical Trends Assessed Land ValuesAssessed Land Values Land/housing value ratiosLand/housing value ratios Professional judgementProfessional judgement
METRO UGB HISTORICAL LAND USE: METRO UGB HISTORICAL LAND USE: CONSUMPTION: 1979 - 2001CONSUMPTION: 1979 - 2001
Major Land Uses 1979 1992 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 2000 2001
Developed Land
146,719
173,537
179,501
182,173
184,757
186,777
188,763
191,795
193,260
Vacant Land
85,856
61,788
55,826
53,155
50,569
48,549
46,563
43,531
42,068
Total:
232,575
235,325
235,327
235,328
235,326
235,326
235,326
235,326
235,328
Vacant Land Detail 1979 1992 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 2000 2001
Residential Vacant
55,268
35,015
32,016
29,903
28,348
27,150
26,097
23,954
22,549
Nonresidential Vacant
14,788
17,045
15,503
15,014
14,289
13,934
13,133
12,646
12,496
Open Space, Agriculture,Rural Residential
7,982
715
626
633
682
375
242
263
349
Total Gross Buildable Acres
78,037
52,775
48,145
45,550
43,319
41,458
39,472
36,863
35,394
Constrained Acres:
7,819
9,013
7,681
7,605
7,250
7,091
7,091
6,668
6,668
Total Vacant Land
85,856
61,788
55,826
53,155
50,569
48,549
46,563
43,531
42,062
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