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CAPITAL BUDGETING TECHNIQUE

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  • CAPITAL BUDGETING TECHNIQUE

  • CAPITAL BUDGETING TECHNIQUE

    Capital budgeting is the process of evaluating and selecting long-term

    investments that are consistent with the firms goal of maximizing owners

    wealth.

    Capital expenditure is an outlay of funds by the firm that is expected to

    produce benefits over a period of time greater than 1 year.

    Operating expenditure is an outlay of funds by the firm resulting in benefits

    received within 1 year.

    The capital budgeting process :

    1. Proposal generation.

    Proposals for new investment projects are made at all levels within a

    business organization and are reviewed by finance personnel.

    2. Review and analysis.

    Financial managers perform formal review and analysis to assess the

    merits of investment proposals.

    3. Decision making.

    Firms typically delegate capital expenditure decision making on the basis of

    dollar limits. Generally, the board of directors must authorize expenditures

    beyond a certain amount. Often plant managers are given authority to

    make decisions necessary to keep the production line moving.

  • 4. Implementation.

    Following approval, expenditures are made and projects implemented.

    Expenditures for a large project often occur in phases.

    5. Follow-up.

    Results are monitored, and actual costs and benefits are compared with

    those that were expected. Action may be required if actual outcomes differ

    from projected ones.

    TERMINOLOGY

    Types of Project :

    Independent Projects are those whose cash flows are unrelated to (or

    independent of) one another; the acceptance of one project does not

    eliminate the others from further consideration.

    Mutually Exclusive Projects are those that have the same function and

    therefore compete with one another. The acceptance of one BASIC

    Teliminates from further consideration all other projects that serve a

    similar function.

    The availability of funds for capital expenditures

    Unlimited Funds The financial situation in which a firm is able to accept all

    independent projects that provide an acceptable return.

    Capital Rationing The financial situation in which a firm has only a fixed

    number of dollars available for capital expenditures, and numerous

    projects compete for these dollars.

  • Basic approaches to capital budgeting decisions

    AcceptReject Approach The evaluation of capital expenditure proposals

    to determine whether they meet the firms minimum acceptance criterion.

    (Mutually exclusive projects)

    Ranking Approach The ranking of capital expenditure projects on the basis

    of some predetermined measure, such as the rate of return.

    CAPITAL BUDGETING TECHNIQUES

    1. Payback Period (PP)

    The amount of time required for the firm to recover its initial

    investment in a project, as calculated from cash inflows.

    The payback period can be found by dividing the initial investment by

    the annual cash inflow. For a mixed stream of cash inflows, the yearly

    cash inflows must be accumulated until the initial investment is

    recovered.

    1

    Payback Period

    2

    Net Present Value

    3

    Profitability Index

    4

    Internal Rate of Return

  • Decision Criteria :

    If the payback period is less than the maximum acceptable payback

    period, accept the project.

    If the payback period is greater than the maximum acceptable payback

    period, reject the project.

    (the maximum acceptable payback period is determined by

    management)

    2. Net Present Value (NPV)

    Found by subtracting a projects initial investment (CF0) from the

    present value of its cash inflows (CFt) discounted at a rate equal to the

    firms cost of capital (r).

    NPV = Present value of cash inflows - Initial investment

    Decision Criteria :

    If the NPV is greater than $0, accept the project. (Positive)

    If the NPV is less than $0, reject the project. (Negative)

  • 3. Profitability Index (PI)

    Simply equal to the present value of cash inflows divided by the initial

    cash outflow.

    Decision Criteria :

    If the index is greater than 1, accept the project.

    If the index is less than 1, reject the project.

    4. Internal Rate of Return (IRR)

    The discount rate that equates the NPV of an investment opportunity

    with $0 (because the present value of cash inflows equals the initial

    investment). It is the rate of return that the firm will earn if it invests in

    the project and receives the given cash inflows.

    *before calculate, find out I2 > I1 and NPV must be negative.

  • Decision Criteria

    If the IRR is greater than the cost of capital, accept the project.

    If the IRR is less than the cost of capital, reject the project.

    PROBLEMS

    1. Fennicia Inc. is considering two mutually exclusive projects. Each requires

    an initial investment of $100,000. The company has set a maximum

    payback period of 4 years. The after tax cash inflows associated with each

    project are:

    Initial Investment $100,000 $100,000

    Cash Inflows (CF)

    Year

    1 $10,000 $24,000

    2 $20,000 $24,000

    3 $30,000 $24,000

    4 $40,000 $24,000

    5 $20,000 $24,000

    Determine the payback period of each projects. Which project should the

    company invest in?

    Project A

    Year Cash Inflows Investment

    Balance

    0 ($100,000)

    1 $10,000 -90,000

    2 20,000 -70,000

    3 30,000 -40,000

    4 40,000 0

    5 20,000

  • Payback Period of Project A is 4 years -> acceptable project

    Project B

    Year Cash Inflows Investment

    Balance

    0 ($100,000)

    1 $24,000 -76,000

    2 $24,000 -52,000

    3 $24,000 -28,000

    4 $24,000 -4000

    5 $24,000

    Payback period = 4 + = 4, 167 or 4 years 2 months ->

    reject project

    Based on the minimum payback acceptance criteria of 4 years set by

    Fennica Inc, project A should be accepted. Company should invest in

    Project A.

    2. Aulia Dewi company can purchase a fixed asset for a $15,000 initial

    investment. The asset generates an annual after tax cash inflows of $4,000

    for 4 years.

    a. Calculate the net present value (NPV) of the asset, assuming that the

    company has a 10% cost of capital. Is the project acceptable?

    b. Determine the maximum required rate of return that the firm can

    have and still can have accept the asset.

  • Year Proceeds df : 10% PV

    1 $5,000 0.909 $4,545

    2 $5,000 0.826 $4,130

    3 $5,000 0.751 $3,755

    4 $5,000 0.683 $3,415

    Total PV $15,845

    Io $16,250

    NPV ($405)

    a. NPV < 1 -> Reject Project

    b. $16,250 = $4,000 x (PVIFAk%,n)

    PVIFAk%,4 = $16,250 $5,000 PVIFAk%,4 = 3,25 k = 9%

    9% is the maximum required return that the firm could have for the

    project to be acceptable. Since the firms required return is 10% the

    cost of capital is greater than the expected return and the project is

    rejected.

    3. Heni manufacturing is attempting to choose the better of two mutually

    exclusive projects for expanding the firm. The relevant cash flows for the

    projects are shown in the following table.

    Project X Project Y

    Initial Investment $500,000 $335,000

    Year

    1 $100,000 $140,000

    2 $120,000 $120,000

    3 $150,000 $95,000

  • 4 $190,000 $70,000

    5 $250,000 $50,000

    Calculate the IRR if the firms cost of capital is 15%. Which project, on the

    basis, is preferred?

    Project X

    Initial Investment $500,000

    Year df : 15% PV df : 16% PV

    1 $100,000 0.870 $87,000 0.862 $86,200

    2 $120,000 0.756 $90,720 0.743 $89,160

    3 $150,000 0.658 $98,700 0.641 $96,150

    4 $190,000 0.572 $108,680 0.552 $104,880

    5 $250,000 0.497 $124,250 0.476 $119,000

    Total PV $509,350 Total PV $495,390

    Io $500,000 Io $500,000

    NPV $9,350 NPV -$4,610

    IRR > Cost of Capital or 15,67% > 15% -> acceptable project

    Project Y

    Initial Investment $335,000

    Year df : 15% PV df : 16% PV

    1 $140,000 0.870 $121,800 0.862 $120,680

    2 $120,000 0.756 $90,720 0.743 $89,160

    3 $95,000 0.658 $62,510 0.641 $60,895

    4 $70,000 0.572 $40,040 0.552 $38,640

  • 5 $50,000 0.497 $24,850 0.476 $23,800

    Total PV $339,920 Total PV $333,175

    Io $335,000 Io $335,000

    NPV $4,920 NPV -$1,825

    IRR > Cost of Capital or 15,73% > 15% -> acceptable project

    Project Y, with the higher IRR, is preferred, although both are acceptable.

    4. Using 14% cost of capital, calculate the net present value for each of the

    independent projects shown in the following table, and indicate whether

    each is acceptable.

    Project A Project B Project C Project D Project E

    Initial Investment (CFo)

    $ 25,000

    $ 550,000

    $ 180,000

    $ 1,000,000

    $ 85,000

    Year (t) Cash Inflows (CFt)

    1 $

    4,500 $

    100,000 $

    20,000 $

    240,000 $ -

    2 $

    4,500 $

    120,000 $

    19,000 $

    240,000 $ -

    3 $

    4,500 $

    140,000 $

    18,000 $

    240,000 $ -

    4 $

    4,500 $

    160,000 $

    17,000 $

    240,000 $

    30,000

    5 $

    4,500 $

    180,000 $

    16,000 $

    240,000 $

    40,000

    6 $

    4,500 $

    200,000 $

    15,000 $

    240,000 $ -

    7 $

    4,500 $

    14,000 $

    240,000 $

    50,000

    8 $

    $ $ $

  • 4,500 13,000 240,000 60,000

    9 $

    4,500 $

    12,000 $

    70,000

    10 $

    4,500 $

    11,000

    Project A :

    NPV = {PMT x (PVIFA14%,10 yrs.)} Io

    = {($4,500 x 5,216) - $25,000)

    = $ (1,528)

    NPV < 0 Reject Project

    Project B :

    Project B

    CFt df 14% PV

    $ 100,000 0.877 $ 87,700

    $ 120,000 0.769 $ 92,280

    $ 140,000 0.675 $ 94,500

    $ 160,000 0.592 $ 94,720

    $ 180,000 0.519 $ 93,420

    $ 200,000 0.456 $ 91,200

    PV $ 553,820

    Io $ 550,000

    NPV $ 3,820

    NPV > 0 Accept Project

  • Project C

    Project C

    CFt df 14% PV

    $ 20,000 0.877 $ 17,540

    $ 19,000 0.769 $ 14,611

    $ 18,000 0.675 $ 12,150

    $ 17,000 0.592 $ 10,064

    $ 16,000 0.519 $ 8,304

    $ 15,000 0.456 $ 6,840

    $ 14,000 0.4 $ 5,600

    $ 13,000 0.351 $ 4,563

    $ 12,000 0.308 $ 3,696

    $ 11,000 0.27 $ 2,970

    PV $ 86,338

    Io $ 180,000

    NPV $ (93,662)

    NPV < 0 Reject Project

    Project D

    NPV = {PMT x (PVIFA14%,8 yrs.)} - Io

    = ($240,000 x 4,369) - $1,000,000

    = $ 113,360

    NPV > 0 Accept Project

  • Project E

    Project E

    CFt df : 14% PV

    $ - 0.877 0

    $ - 0.769 0

    $ - 0.675 0

    $ 30,000 0.592 $ 17,760

    $ 40,000 0.519 $ 20,760

    $ - 0.456 0

    $ 50,000 0.4 $ 20,000

    $ 60,000 0.351 $ 21,060

    $ 70,000 0.308 $ 21,560

    PV $ 101,140

    Io $ 85,000

    NPV $ 16,140

    5. Payback Period, Net Present Value, Profitability Index, Internal Rate of

    Return - Independent Projects. Clarivtika Inc. has prepared the following

    estimates for a long-term project it is considering. Using a 15% cost of

    capital, Which of these projects would be acceptable under those cost of

    capital under those cost circumstances? all projects is independent with

    total budget $250,000.

    Project A Project B Project C

    Initial investment (Io) $85,000 $60,000 $130,000

    Year Net Operating After Tax (NOPAT)

    1 $45,000 $30,000 $30,000

    2 $45,000 $40,000 $40,000

    3 $45,000 $50,000 $50,000

    Deprectiation using MACRS 3 years recovery year (33%, 45%, 15%, 7%)

  • a. Calculate payback period of each project

    b. Calculate NPV of each project, using cost of capital of 14% and Rank

    acceptable projects

    c. Calculate Profitability Index of each project

    d. Calculate the IRR of each project

    e. Evaluate the accepability of each project using Payback periode, NPV,

    IRR, and PI.

    f. What recommendation would you make relative to implementation of

    the project? Why?

    *remember this exercise is independent projects

    PROJECT A

    Io $ 85,000

    Year NOPAT Depretiation Cash Flow

    1 $ 45,000 $ 28,050 $ 73,050

    2 $ 45,000 $ 38,250 $ 83,250

    3 $ 45,000 $ 12,750 $ 57,750

    4 $ 5,950 $ 5,950

    PROJECT B

    Io $ 60,000

    Year NOPAT Depretiation Cash Flow

    1 $ 30,000 $ 19,800 $ 49,800

    2 $ 40,000 $ 27,000 $ 67,000

    3 $ 50,000 $ 9,000 $ 59,000

    4 $ 4,200 $ 4,200

  • PROJECT C

    Io $ 130,000

    Year NOPAT Depretiation Cash Flow

    1 $ 50,000 $ 42,900 $ 92,900

    2 $ 50,000 $ 58,500 $ 108,500

    3 $ 60,000 $ 19,500 $ 79,500

    4 $ 9,100 $ 9,100

    PROJECT Y

    Year CF PVIF (14%,4)

    Year CF PVIF (79%,4)

    0 ($60,000)

    ($60,000.00) 0 ($60,000)

    ($60,000)

    1 $49,800 0.877 $43,674.60 1 $49,800 0.559 $27,821.23

    2 $67,000 0.769 $51,523.00 2 $67,000 0.312 $20,910.71

    3 $59,000 0.675 $39,825.00 3 $59,000 0.174 $10,287.10

    4 $4,200 0.592 $2,486.40 4 $4,200 0.097 $409.11

    Total PV $137,509.00

    PV $59,428.14

    NPV $77,509.00

    Io ($60,000)

    PI 1.15

    NPV ($571.86)

    PP 1.75

    IRR 78.52%

    PROJECT X

    Year CF PVIF (14%,4)

    Year CF PVIF (70%,4)

    0 ($85,000)

    ($85,000.00) 0 ($85,000)

    ($85,000)

    1 $73,050 0.877 $64,064.85 1 $73,050 0.588 $42,970.59

    2 $83,250 0.769 $64,019.25 2 $83,250 0.346 $28,806.23

    3 $57,750 0.675 $38,981.25 3 $57,750 0.204 $11,754.53

    4 $5,950 0.592 $3,522.40 4 $5,950 0.12 $712.40

    Total PV $170,587.75

    PV $84,243.74

    NPV $85,587.75

    Io ($85,000))

    PI 2.01

    NPV ($756.26)

    PP 1.14

    IRR 69.51%

  • RANKING

    Ranking Project Payback Period

    1 Y 1.14

    2 X 1.15

    3 Z 1.34

    Ranking Project NPV

    1 Z $ 93,959.50

    2 X $ 85,587.75

    3 Y $ 77,509.00

    Ranking Project IRR

    1 Y 78.52%

    2 X 69.51%

    3 Z 54.15%

  • Ranking Project PI

    1 Y 2.29

    2 X 2.01

    3 Z 1.72

    Kesimpulan : karena project bersifat independen dengan budget $250,000

    maka project yangdapat diterima adalah project Y dan project X dengan

    total budget $180,000 ($60,000 +$130,000). Karena project X dan Y

    menghasilkan IRR dan PI paling besar.

    6. Payback Period, Net Present Value, Profitability Index, Internal Rate of

    Return - Mutually Exclusive Projects. Mediyanti is considering two

    mutually exclusive projects, each with an initial investment of $ 400,000.

    The company has set a maximum 5-year payback requirement and has set

    its cost of capital at 12%. The cash inflows associated with the two projects

    are shown below.

    Year Project X Project Y

    1 $120,000 $118,000

    2 $120,000 $120,000

    3 $120,000 $122,000

    4 $120,000 $124,000

    5 $120,000 $126,000

    a. Calculate each projects payback period

    b. Calculate NPV of each project at 12%

    c. Calculate PI of each project

  • d. Calculate the IRR of each project and use it to determine the highest

    cost of capital at

    which all of the projects would be acceptable

    e. Rank the projects by each of the techniques used. Make and justify a

    recommendation

    a. Payback Period

    Project X

    Year 0

    $ (400,000.00)

    1 $120,000 $ (280,000.00)

    2 $120,000 $ (160,000.00)

    3 $120,000 $ (40,000.00)

    4 $120,000 5 $120,000

    Project Y

    Year 0

    $ (400,000.00)

    1 $120,000 $ (280,000.00)

    2 $124,000 $ (156,000.00)

    3 $118,000 $ (38,000.00)

    4 $126,000 5 $122,000

  • b. NPV

    PROJECT X

    Project X

    Initial Investment $400,000 Year

    df : 12% PV

    1 $120,000 0.893 $107,160

    2 $120,000 0.797 $95,640

    3 $120,000 0.712 $85,440

    4 $120,000 0.636 $76,320

    5 $120,000 0.567 $68,040

    Total PV $432,600

    Io $400,000

    NPV $32,600

    PROJECT Y

    Project Y

    Initial Investment $400,000 Year

    df : 12% PV

    1 $120,000 0.893 $107,160

    2 $124,000 0.797 $98,828

    3 $118,000 0.712 $84,016

    4 $126,000 0.636 $80,136

    5 $122,000 0.567 $69,174

    Total PV $439,314

    Io $400,000

    NPV $39,314

  • c. . Profitability Index

    d. IRR

    Project X

    Initial Investment $400,000 Year

    df : 16% PV

    1 $120,000 0.862 $103,440

    2 $120,000 0.743 $89,160

    3 $120,000 0.641 $76,920

    4 $120,000 0.552 $66,240

    5 $120,000 0.476 $57,120

    Total PV $392,880

    Io $400,000

    NPV -$7,120

    Project Y

    Initial Investment $400,000 Year

    df : 16% PV

    1 $120,000 0.862 $103,440

    2 $124,000 0.743 $92,132

    3 $118,000 0.641 $75,638

    4 $126,000 0.552 $69,552

    5 $122,000 0.476 $58,072

    Total PV $398,834

  • Io $400,000

    NPV -$1,166

    e. Rank and Recommendation

    RANKING PROJECT PP NPV PI IRR

    1 X 3 tahun 10 bulan $32,600 1,0815 15,28%

    2 Y 3 tahun 6 bulan $39,314 1,0983 15,88%

    Dikarenakan project bersifat mutually exclusive maka Project Y sebagai

    project yang diterima. Hal ini dikarenakan, Project Y memiliki PP yang

    lebih kecil dan NPV, IRR, dan PI lebih besar daripada project X.