Upload
alec-terrell
View
25
Download
0
Tags:
Embed Size (px)
DESCRIPTION
United Breweries Limited ICICI Investors Conference Singapore. March 2007. India and the Beer Industry. Indian Economy. The current year growth rate is 9% The growth is largely propelled by local consumption hence lesser prone to global changes. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
Citation preview
United Breweries LimitedICICI Investors Conference
SingaporeMarch 2007
India and the Beer Industry
Indian Economy
• The current year growth rate is 9%
• The growth is largely propelled by local consumption hence lesser prone to global changes.
• Inflation currently at 6% giving impetus to growth
• Substantial increase in the disposable income in the age group of 20 to 30 years
Indian Demographics – favorable to growth in beer consumption
• Current population 1.1 billion• Over 50% of the population is below the age of 25 years• The demographics to remain almost unchanged till the year 2020•Core target market is 18-30 year olds• As initiation to alcohol consumption is through low alcohol beverages like beer – excellent opportunity for growth in beer consumption over the next decade and half.
Beer Industry in India
• Policies & Regulations are driven by State Government
• Highly regulated with restriction in movement between states
• 65% of the Indian market is state controlled – Distribution by Govt. Corporations, implications upon pricing
• Advertising strictly prohibited, advantage for existing players, major barrier to entry
Beer Industry in India contd.
• State governments like Punjab, Rajasthan, Haryana & Chandigarh have in recent past made substantial changes in the previous distribution methods making beer more affordable as well as profitable.
• Government corporations are now approachable and not averse to make changes
• There have been recent recommendations by some governing bodies to de link beer from spirit and have a common national duty structure much lower than the current duty levels
Beer Industry in India contd
AFFORDABILITY• Duty not set
according to alcohol content
• Highest duty in the world
• Expensive alcoholic beverage
AVAILABILITY• 55,000 licensed
outlets across the country
• 1 per 20,000 people• In UK 1 per 350
people
Beer is not the alcoholic beverage of the common man
Alcohol Consumption
India EmergingMarkets
21.5% 87%Beer
Spirits/Liquor
Wine 5%
8%
<0.5%
78%
Consumption Per Capita
India China USA
0.7 litres
23 litres
83 litres
24 litres
World Average
12 litres
Indonesia
Industry Growth
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
5 YearCAGR 2005
2006 2007
Beer Segmentation
Dec 05 Dec 06 Dec 05
MILD STRONG
Dec 06
+23.1% +35.4%
Market Consolidation
SAB Miller
UBLCirca 83%of market
Mohan Meakins
MSIL
OthersRecent new Entrants:
APBA – BCarslberg
UBL performance in the Indian Beer Story
Volume Growth – Combined Business
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
2003-04
2004-05
2005-06
Est2006-
07
Volumes inMio cases
Quarterly - EBITDA trend
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
June Sept Dec March
2004
2005
2006
Key Brands
Kingfisher Sandpiper Kingfisher
Mild Strong
ZingaroUB Export Bullet
Kingfisher Mild = No 1 top selling mild beer
Kingfisher Strong = No 1 top selling strong beer
Kingfisher Strong = No 1 top selling beer in India
20m22m
1.5m 1.8m3m
1.8m
Market Share
Mild Beer
Strong Beer 38%
66%
Market position by state: UBL is No.1 in 8 out of the top 10 state markets
Maharashtra
Tamil Nadu
Andra Pradesh
Karnataka
Mumbai
Rajasthan
Uttar Pradesh
Delhi
Madhya Pradesh
Kerala
16
13
13
10
8
7
6
5
3
2
% India Val.
No.1
No.1
No.2
No.1
No.1
No.1
No.2
No.1
No.1
No.1
UBL Position
Shareholder Return
Share price Rs.149.5 to Rs.268.5
Share price Rs.323 to Rs.1495 462%
76%
05/06
06/07*
* TSR to date, March 07
Legal Structure
S&N
UBL
37.5%
UBHL Public
37.5% 25.0%
Millennium Alcobev Ltd
50% 50%
UBL & MAL Separate Legal entitiesUBL subsidiaries – KBDL and its 2 subsidiaries
which would merge into UBL effective 1st Apr’06
MAL has 3 Subsidiaries namely – MBIL, Empee and UMBL
UBL & MAL Separate Legal entitiesUBL subsidiaries – KBDL and its 2 subsidiaries
which would merge into UBL effective 1st Apr’06
Board Of Directors
• 2 x UB Group (VJM Chairman)
• 2 x S & N
• 2 x Executive Directors (CEO & CFO)
• 3 x Independent Directors
Latest financialsDecember 2006
# Dec 06 results include ABDL + MBDL
Comparative results for Dec 05 Income Rs. 453.8Cr EBITDA Rs. 88.57 Cr.
Results Dec 06United Breweries Limited 31.12.2006 31.12.2005In rupees crore
Net Sales/Income from operations 601.10 392.88 Other Income 9.59 10.92 Total Income 610.70 403.80 51%
ExpenditureCost of production 283.05 182.76 Advertisement & Sales Promotion 115.48 82.22 Other operating Costs 93.69 53.24
PBIDT 118.48 85.57 38%Margin on sales 19.40% 21.19%
PBIDT 118.48 85.57
Finance charges 17.48 14.88
Depreciation 16.00 8.55
Profit Before Non recurring items &Taxation 85.01 62.14 37%
Non Recurring items - (13.18)
Taxation (31.58) (21.81) Net Profit 53.43 27.14 97%
COMBINED BUSINESSPBIDT 141.02 89.69 57%
Finance charges 40.89 36.37Depreciation 31.22 19.81 Profit Before Non recurring items &Taxation 68.91 33.51 106%
Nine months ended
Unaudited #
EBITDA Dec 05 Vs Dec 06
Revenue effect in Rs. Crore
Vol. driven
increase, 52.17 Increase
on realisation
, 80.88
Decrease in Interest Income, (1.33)
Cost effect in Rs. Crore
Increase other Selling Costs, (21.82)
Higher price of Inputs, (14.92)
Higher Ad
spends, (40.43)
Higher operating
costs, (11.46)
Higher staff costs, (10.18)
Rs. crore Rs. crore
Vol. driven increase 52.17 (14.92) Higher price of InputsIncrease on realisation 80.88 (21.82) Increase other Selling CostsDecrease in Interest Income (1.33) (10.18) Higher staff costs
(11.46) Higher operating costs(40.43) Higher brand spends
131.72 (98.81)
85.57 131.72 (98.81) 118.48
Revevue Effect Cost Effect
Summary Balance Sheet
UBL As at As at As at COMBINED BUSINESSRupees Million 31.12.06 31.12.05 31.3.06 31.12.06 31.3.06SourcesShare Holders Funds 5,590 3,892 5,072 3,516 3,159 Loan Funds 3,988 2,035 2,534 6,613 5,586 Total Sources 9,578 5,927 7,606 10,129 8,746 ApplicationFixed Assets 2,823 1,382 2,104 4,341 3,376 Investments 2,196 1,820 591 1,605 17 Net Current Assets 4,559 2,725 4,911 4,182 5,352 Total Application 9,578 5,927 7,606 10,129 8,746
Current Debt Profile
UNITED BREWERIES LIMITED Unaudited Audited Unaudited
Debt Profile 31.12.06 31.3.06 31.12.05
Amounts in rupees million
Long Term Debt 3,113 1,762 1,808
Working Capital funding 875 772 227
Total 3,988 2,534 2,035
Debt in Subsidiary 188 288
Debt in Joint Venture - UBL guarantee 1,866 2,500 2,500
Grand Total 6,043 5,322 4,535
Key Ratios
UBL As at As at As at COMBINED BUSINESSRupees Million 31.12.06 31.12.05 31.3.06 31.12.06 31.3.06
Debt 3,988 2,035 2,534 6,613 5,586
Net Worth 5,590 3,892 5,072 3,516 3,159
GEARING 0.71 0.52 0.50 1.88
PBIDT 1,185 856 1,371 1,410 1,487
Interest 175 149 239 409 529
INTEREST COVER 6.78 5.75 5.74 3.45 2.81
Capital Employed * 9,578 5,927 7,606 10,129 8,746
ROCE 12% 14% 18% 14% 17%for 3 qtrs for 3 qtrs for the year for 3 qtrs for the year
EPS 2.47 12.10 4.67 EPS for 3 qtrs ended 31.12.06 is on a face value of Re 1.
Average Realization and Cost of sales
Sales Realization Cost Index
100 105 106 105 105
61 57 59 59 59
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
31/03/2005 31/03/2006 June qtr 31-03-2007
Sept qtr31-03-2007
Dec qtr 31-03-2007
NSR
COS
Outlook
• GDP growing at healthier rate• Continued growth in disposable income• Encouraging demographics for over a decade• Anticipated liberalization of policies & duty
structures• Industry consolidated with high entry barrier• UBL is in advantageous position to capitalize on
opportunities