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DEVELOPMENT EXPERIENCES OF INDIA: A COMPARISON WITH NEIGHBOURS UNIT III UNIT IV 2019-20 https://ncertpdf.in

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DEVELOPMENT EXPERIENCES OF INDIA: A COMPARISON

WITH NEIGHBOURS

UNIT

IIIUNIT

IV

2019-20

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In today’s globalised world, where geographical

boundaries are slowly becoming meaningless, it

is important for neighbouring countries in the

developing world to understand the development

strategies being pursued by their neighbours. This

is more so because they share the relatively limited

economic space in world markets. In this unit, we

will compare India’s developmental experiences

with two of its important and strategic neighbours

— Pakistan and China.

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After studying this chapter, the learners will

• figure out comparative trends in various economic and humandevelopment indicators of India and its neighbours, China and Pakistan

• assess the strategies that these countries have adopted to reach theirpresent state of development.

COMPARATIVE

DEVELOPMENT EXPERIENCES OF INDIA

AND ITS NEIGHBOURS

10

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182 INDIAN ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT

10.1 INTRODUCTION

In the preceding units we studied thedevelopmental experience of India indetail. We also studied the kind ofpolicies India adopted, which hadvarying impacts in different sectors.Over the last two decades or so, theeconomic transformation that is takingplace in different countries across theworld, partly because of the processof globalisation, has both short aswell as long-term implications foreach country, including India. Nationshave been primarily trying to adoptvarious means which will strengthentheir own domestic economies. To thiseffect, they are forming regional andglobal economic groupings such asthe SAARC, European Union,ASEAN, G-8, G-20, BRICS etc. Inaddition, there is also an increasingeagerness on the parts of variousnations to try and understand thedevelopmental processes pursued bytheir neighbouring nations as itallows them to better comprehendtheir own strengths and weaknessesvis-à-vis their neighbours. In theunfolding process of globalisation,this is particularly consideredessential by developing countries asthey face competition not only fromdeveloped nations but also amongstthemselves in the relatively limitedeconomic space enjoyed by thedeveloping world. Besides, an

understanding of the other economiesin our neighbourhood is also requiredas all major common economicactivities in the region impinge onoverall human development in ashared environment.

In this chapter we will compare thedevelopmental strategies pursued byIndia and the largest two of itsneighbouring economies—Pakistanand China. It has to be rememberedthat despite being endowed with vastnatural resources, there is littlesimilarity between the political powersetup of India - the largest democracyof the world which is wedded to asecular and deeply liberal Constitutionfor more than half a century, and themilitarist political power structure ofPakistan or the command economyof China that has only recentlystarted moving towards a democraticsystem and more liberal economicrestructuring respectively.

10.2 DEVELOPMENTAL PATH—ASNAPSHOT VIEW

Do you know that India, Pakistan andChina have many similarities in theirdevelopmental strategies? All the threenations have started towards theirdevelopmental path at the same time.While India and Pakistan becameindependent nations in 1947, People’sRepublic of China was established in1949. In a speech at that time,

Geography has made us neighbours. History has made us friends. Economicshas made us partners, and necessity has made us allies. Those whom God hasso joined together, let no man put asunder.

John F. Kennedy

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183COMPARATIVE DEVELOPMENT EXPERIENCES OF INDIA AND ITS NEIGHBOURS

Jawaharlal Nehru had said, “Thesenew and revolutionary changes inChina and India, even though theydiffer in content, symbolise the newspirit of Asia and new vitality which isfinding expression in the countries inAsia.”

All three countries had startedplanning their development strategiesin similar ways. While Indiaannounced its first Five Year Plan for1951–56, Pakistan announced its firstfive year plan, now called the MediumTerm Development Plan, in 1956.China announced its First Five YearPlan in 1953. Since 2013, Pakistan isworking on the basis of 11th Five YearDevelopment Plan (2013–18), whereas,China is now working on 13th Five YearPlan (2016–20). Until March 2017,India has been following Five YearPlan- based development model. Indiaand Pakistan adopted similarstrategies, such as creating a largepublic sector and raising publicexpenditure on social development.Till the 1980s, all the three countrieshad similar growth rates and per capitaincomes. Where do they stand todayin comparison to one another? Beforewe answer this question, let us tracethe historical path of developmentalpolicies in China and Pakistan. Afterstudying the last three units, wealready know what policies India hasbeen adopting since its Independence.

China: After the establishment ofPeople’s Republic of China under one-party rule, all critical sectors of theeconomy, enterprises and lands ownedand operated by individuals werebrought under government control.

The Great Leap Forward (GLF)campaign initiated in 1958 aimed atindustrialising the country on amassive scale. People were encouragedto set up industries in their backyards.In rural areas, communes werestarted. Under the Commune system,people collectively cultivated lands. In1958, there were 26,000 communescovering almost all the farmpopulation.

GLF campaign met with manyproblems. A severe drought causedhavoc in China killing about 30 millionpeople. When Russia had conflicts withChina, it withdrew its professionalswho had earlier been sent to China tohelp in the industrialisation process.In 1965, Mao introduced the GreatProletarian Cultural Revolution(1966–76) under which students andprofessionals were sent to work andlearn from the countryside.

The present day fast industrialgrowth in China can be traced back tothe reforms introduced in 1978. Chinaintroduced reforms in phases. In theinitial phase, reforms were initiated inagriculture, foreign trade andinvestment sectors. In agriculture, forinstance, commune lands were dividedinto small plots, which were allocated(for use not ownership) to individualhouseholds. They were allowed to keepall income from the land after payingstipulated taxes. In the later phase,reforms were initiated in the industrialsector. Private sector firms, in general,and township and village enterprises,i.e., those enterprises which wereowned and operated by local collectives,in particular, were allowed to produce

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184 INDIAN ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT

goods. At this stage, enterprises ownedby government (known as State OwnedEnterprises—SOEs), which we, inIndia, call public sector enterprises,were made to face competition. Thereform process also involved dualpricing. This means fixing the prices intwo ways; farmers and industrial unitswere required to buy and sell fixedquantities of inputs and outputs on thebasis of prices fixed by the governmentand the rest were purchased and soldat market prices. Over the years, asproduction increased, the proportion ofgoods or inputs transacted in themarket also increased. In order toattract foreign investors, specialeconomic zones were set up.

Pakistan: While looking at variouseconomic policies that Pakistanadopted, you will notice manysimilarities with India. Pakistan alsofollows the mixed economy model with

co-existence of public and privatesectors. In the late 1950s and 1960s,Pakistan introduced a variety ofregulated policy framework (for importsubstitution-based industrialisation).The policy combined tariff protection formanufacturing of consumer goodstogether with direct import controls oncompeting imports. The introduction ofGreen Revolution led to mechanisationand increase in public investment ininfrastructure in select areas, whichfinally led to a rise in the production offoodgrains. This changed the agrarianstructure dramatically. In the 1970s,nationalisation of capital goodsindustries took place. Pakistan thenshifted its policy orientation in the late1970s and 1980s when the majorthrust areas were denationalisationand encouragement of private sector.During this period, Pakistan alsoreceived financial support from westernnations and remittances from

Fig. 10.1 Wagah Border is not only a tourist place but also used fortrade between India and Pakistan

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185COMPARATIVE DEVELOPMENT EXPERIENCES OF INDIA AND ITS NEIGHBOURS

continuously increasing outflow ofemigrants to the Middle-east. Thishelped the country in stimulatingeconomic growth. The then governmentalso offered incentives to the privatesector. All this created a conduciveclimate for new investments. In 1988,reforms were initiated in the country.

Having studied a brief outline ofthe developmental strategies of Chinaand Pakistan, let us now comparesome of the developmental indicatorsof India, China and Pakistan.

10.3 DEMOGRAPHIC INDICATORS

If we look at the global population, outof every six persons living in thisworld, one is an Indian and another aChinese. We shall compare somedemographic indicators of India,China and Pakistan. The populationof Pakistan is very small and accountsfor roughly about one-tenth of Chinaor India.

Though China is the largest nationand geographically occupies the largestarea among the three nations, itsdensity is the lowest. Table 10.1 shows

the population growth as being thehighest in Pakistan, followed by Indiaand China. Scholars point out the one-child norm introduced in China in thelate 1970s as the major reason for lowpopulation growth. They also state thatthis measure led to a decline in the sexratio, the proportion of females per1000 males. However, from the table,you will notice that the sex ratio is lowand biased against females in all threecountries. Scholars cite son preferenceprevailing in all these countries as thereason. In recent times, all threecountries are adopting variousmeasures to improve the situation. One-child norm and the resultant arrest inthe growth of population also have otherimplications. For instance, after a fewdecades, in China, there will be moreelderly people in proportion to youngpeople. This led China to allow couplesto have two children.

The fertility rate is also low inChina and very high in Pakistan.Urbanisation is high in China withIndia having 33 per cent of its peopleliving in urban areas.

TABLE 10.1

Select Demographic Indicators

Country Estimated Annual Density Sex Fertility Urbanisation

Population Growth of (per sq. km) Ratio Rate (2015)(in million) Population (2015) (2015)

(2015) (2015)

India 1311 1.2 441 929 2.3 33

China 1371 0.5 146 941 1.6 56

Pakistan 188 2.1 245 947 3.7 39

Source: World Development Indicators 2017, www.worldbank.org

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186 INDIAN ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT

10.4 GROSS DOMESTIC

PRODUCT AND

SECTORS

One of the much-talkedissues around the worldabout China is its growthof Gross DomesticProduct. China has thesecond largest GDP (PPP)of $19.8 trillion, whereas,India’s GDP (PPP) is$8.07 trillion andPakistan’s GDP is $ 0.94trillion, roughly about12 per cent of India’sGDP. India’s GDP isabout 40 per cent ofChina’s GDP.

When many developed countrieswere finding it difficult to maintain agrowth rate of even 5 per cent, Chinawas able to maintain near double-digitgrowth for one decade as can be seenfrom Table 10.2. Also, notice that in the1980s, Pakistan was ahead of India;China was having double-digit growthand India was at the bottom. In 2015–17,there has been a decline in Pakistan

Work These Out

Ø Does India follow any population stabilisation measures? If so, collect the

details and discuss in the classroom. You may refer to the latest EconomicSurvey, annual reports or website of the Ministry of Health and FamilyWelfare (http://mohfw.nic.in).

Ø Scholars find son preference as a common phenomenon in many developing

countries, including India, China and Pakistan. Do you find this phenomenonin your family or neighbourhood? Why do people practise discriminationbetween male and female children? What do you think about it? Discuss itin the classroom.

Fig. 10.2 Land use and agriculture in India, China and Pakistan

(Not to scale)

Source: Key Indicators for Asia and Pacific 2016,Asian Development Bank, Philippines; WorldDevelopment Indicators 2018

TABLE 10.2

Annual Growth of Gross DomesticProduct (%), 1980–2017

Country 1980–90 2015–2017

India 5.7 7.3

China 10.3 6.8

Pakistan 6.3 5.3

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187COMPARATIVE DEVELOPMENT EXPERIENCES OF INDIA AND ITS NEIGHBOURS

and China’s growth rates, whereas,India met with moderate increase ingrowth rates. Some scholars hold thereform processes introduced inPakistan and political instability overa long period as reasons behind thedeclining growth rate in Pakistan. Wewill study in a later section whichsector contributed to different growthrates in these countries.

First, look at how people engaged indifferent sectors contribute to the GrossDomestic Product. It was pointed out inthe previous section that China andPakistan have more proportion of

urban population thanIndia. In China, due totopographic and climaticconditions, the areasuitable for cultivation isrelatively small — onlyabout 10 per cent of itstotal land area. The totalcultivable area in Chinaaccounts for 40 per centof the cultivable area inIndia. Until the 1980s,more than 80 per cent ofthe people in China weredependent on farmingas their sole sourceof livelihood. Sincethen, the governmentencouraged peopleto leave their fieldsand pursue otheractivities such ashandicrafts, commerceand transport. In 2015–17,with 18 per cent ofits workforce engaged in

agriculture, its contribution to the GDPin China is 9 per cent (see Table 10.3).

In both India and Pakistan, thecontribution of agriculture to GDP were17 and 25 per cent, respectively, butthe proportion of workforce that worksin this sector is more in India. InPakistan, about 42 per cent of peoplework in agriculture, whereas, in India,it is 43 per cent. The sectoral share ofoutput and employment also showsthat in all three economies, theindustry and service sectors have lessproportion of workforce but contributemore in terms of output. In China,

Fig. 10.3 Industry in India, China and Pakistan

(Not to scale)

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188 INDIAN ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT

manufacturing and service sectorscontribute the highest to GDP at 43and 48 per cent, respectively whereasin India and Pakistan, it is the servicesector which contributes the highestby more than 50 per cent of GDP.

In the normal course ofdevelopment, countries first shift theiremployment and output fromagriculture to manufacturing and thento services. This is what is happeningin China as can be seen from Table10.4. The proportion of workforceengaged in manufacturing in Indiaand Pakistan were low at 24 and 27per cent respectively. The contributionof industries to GDP is at 30 per centin India and 21 per cent in Pakistan.In these countries, the shift is takingplace directly to the service sector.

Thus, in both India and Pakistan,the service sector is emerging as amajor player of development. Itcontributes more to GDP and, at thesame time, emerges as a prospectiveemployer. If we look at the proportionof workforce in the1980s, Pakistanwas faster in shifting its workforce toservice sector than India and China.In the 1980s, India, China and

Pakistan employed 17, 12 and 27 percent of its workforce in the servicesector respectively. In 2014, it hasreached the level of 34, 56 and 54 percent, respectively.

In the last four decades, thegrowth of agriculture sector, whichemploys the largest proportion ofworkforce in all the three countries, hasdeclined. In the industrial sector, Chinahas maintained a near double-digitgrowth rate whereas for India and

TABLE 10.3

Sectoral Share of Employment and GDP (%) in 2015–2017

Sector Contribution to GDP Distribution of Workforce

India China Pakistan India China Pakistan

Agriculture 17 9 25 42.7 17.5 42

Industry 30 43 21 23.8 26.5 3.7

Services 53 48 54 33.5 56 54.3

Total 100 100 100 100 100 100

Source: Human Development Report 2018 ; Key Indicators of Asia and Pacific 2016.

Work These Out

Ø Do you think it is necessary

for India and Pakistan toconcentrate on the manu-facturing sector as Chinadoes? Why?

Ø Scholars argue that the

service sector should not beconsidered as an engine ofgrowth whereas India andPakistan have raised theirshare of output mainly inthis sector only. What doyou think?

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189COMPARATIVE DEVELOPMENT EXPERIENCES OF INDIA AND ITS NEIGHBOURS

Pakistan growth rate has declined. Incase of service sector, China was ableto raise its rate of growth during1980–2015, while India and Pakistan

stagnated with its service sectorgrowth. Thus, China’s growth is mainlycontributed by the manufacturing andservice sectors and India’s growth by

the service sector. During this period,Pakistan has shown decelerationin all three sectors.

10.5 INDICATORS OF HUMAN DEVELOPMENT

You might have studied about the

importance of human development

indicators in the lower classes and the

position of many developed and

developing countries. Let us look how

India, China and Pakistan have

performed in some of the select

indicators of human development.

Look at Table 10.5.

TABLE 10.4

Trends in Output Growth in Different Sectors, 1980–2015

Country 1980–90 2011–15

Agriculture Industry Service Agriculture Industry Service

India 3.1 7.4 6.9 2.3 5 8.4

China 5.9 10.8 13.5 4.1 8.1 8.4

Pakistan 4 7.7 6.8 2.7 3.4 4.4

TABLE 10.5

Some Selected Indicators of Human Development, 2016–2017

Item India China Pakistan

Human Development Index (Value) 0.640 0.752 0.562

Rank (based on HDI) 130 86 150

Life Expectancy at Birth (years) 68.8 76.4 66.6

Mean years of Schooling (% aged 15 and above) 6.4 7.8 8.6

GDP per capita (PPP US$) 6,427 15,309 5,035

People Below Poverty Line (at $3.20 a day ppp) (%) (2011) 60.4 23.5 46.4

Infant Mortality Rate (per 1000 live births) 34.6 8.5 64.2

Maternal Mortality Rate (per 1 lakh births) 174 27 178

Population using Improved Sanitation (%) 44.2 75 58.3

Population with Sustainable Access to improved 94 96 91Water Source (%)

Percentage of Undernourished Children 37.9 8.1 46.4

Source: Human Development Report 2018 and World Development Indicators (www.worldbank.org).

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190 INDIAN ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT

Table 10.5 shows that China ismoving ahead of India and Pakistan.This is true for many indicators —income indicator such as GDP percapita, or proportion of populationbelow poverty l ine or healthindicators such as mortality rates,access to sanitation, literacy, lifeexpectancy or malnourishment.Pakistan is ahead of India inreducing proportion of people belowthe poverty l ine and also itsperformance in sanitation. Butneither of these two countries havebeen able to save women from maternalmortality. In China, for one lakh births,only 27 women die whereas in Indiaand Pakistan, about 178 and 174women die respectively. Surprisingly allthe three countries report providingimproved drinking water sources formost of its population. You will noticethat for the proportion of people belowthe international poverty rate of $ 3.20a day, India has the largest share ofpoor among the three countries. Findout for yourself how these differencesoccur.

In dealing with or makingjudgements on such questions,however, we should also note a problemwhile using the human developmentindicators given above with conviction.This occurs because these are allextremely important indicators; butthese are not sufficient. Along withthese, we also need what may be called‘liberty indicators’. One such indicatorhas actually been added as a measureof ‘the extent of democraticparticipation in social and political

decision-making’ but it has not beengiven any extra weight. Some obvious‘liberty indicators’ like measures of ‘theextent of Constitutional protectiongiven to rights of citizens’ or ‘the extentof constitutional protection ofthe Independence of the Judiciary andthe Rule of Law’ have not evenbeen introduced so far. Withoutincluding these (and perhaps somemore) and giving them overridingimportance in the list, the constructionof a human development index maybe said to be incomplete and itsusefulness limited.

10.6 DEVELOPMENT STRATEGIES — AN

APPRAISAL

It is common to find developmentalstrategies of a country as a model toothers for lessons and guidance fortheir own development. It is particularlyevident after the introduction of thereform process in different parts of theworld. In order to learn from economicperformance of our neighbouringcountries, it is necessary to have anunderstanding of the roots of theirsuccesses and failures. It is alsonecessary to distinguish between, andcontrast, the different phases of theirstrategies. Though countries gothrough their development phasesdifferently, let us take the initiation ofreforms as a point of reference. Weknow that reforms were initiated inChina in 1978, Pakistan in 1988 andIndia in 1991. Let us briefly assess theirachievements and failures in pre- andpost-reform periods.

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191COMPARATIVE DEVELOPMENT EXPERIENCES OF INDIA AND ITS NEIGHBOURS

Why did China introducestructural reforms in 1978? China didnot have any compulsion to introducereforms as dictated by the World Bankand International Monetary Fund toIndia and Pakistan. The newleadership at that time in China wasnot happy with the slow pace of growthand lack of modernisation in theChinese economy under the Maoistrule. They felt that Maoist vision ofeconomic development based ondecentralisation, self sufficiency andshunning of foreign technology, goodsand capital had failed. Despiteextensive land reforms, collectivisation,the Great Leap Forward and otherinitiatives, the per capita grain outputin 1978 was the same as it was in themid-1950s.

It was found that establishment ofinfrastructure in the areas ofeducation and health, land reforms,long existence of decentralisedplanning and existence of smallenterprises had helped positively inimproving the social and incomeindicators in the post reform period.Before the introduction of reforms,there had already been massiveextension of basic health services inrural areas. Through the communesystem, there was more equitabledistribution of food grains. Expertsalso point out that each reformmeasure was first implemented at asmaller level and then extended on amassive scale. The experimentationunder decentralised governmentenabled to assess the economic, socialand political costs of success or failure.For instance, when reforms were made

in agriculture, as pointed out earlierby handing over plots of land toindividuals for cultivation, it broughtprosperity to a vast number of poorpeople. It created conditions for thesubsequent phenomenal growth inrural industries and built up a strongsupport base for more reforms.Scholars quote many such exampleson how reform measures led to rapidgrowth in China.

Scholars argue that in Pakistanthe reform process led to worsening ofall the economic indicators. We haveseen in an earlier section thatcompared to 1980s, the growth rateof GDP and its sectoral constituentshave fallen in the 1990s.

Though the data on internationalpoverty line for Pakistan is quitehealthy, scholars using the officialdata of Pakistan indicate risingpoverty there. The proportion of poorin 1960s was more than 40 per centwhich declined to 25 per cent in 1980sand started rising again in 1990s. Thereasons for the slow-down of growthand re-emergence of poverty inPakistan’s economy, as scholars putit, are agricultural growth and foodsupply situation were based not onan institutionalised process oftechnical change but on good harvest.When there was a good harvest, theeconomy was in good condition, whenit was not, the economic indicatorsshowed stagnation or negative trends.You will recall that India had to borrowfrom the IMF and World Bank toset right its balance of paymentscrisis; foreign exchange is an essentialcomponent for any country and it is

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192 INDIAN ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT

Country Exports from India ( Rs in crore) Imports to India (Rs in crore)

2004-2005 2015-2016 Annual 2004-2005 2015-2016 AnnualRate of Rate of

Growth (%) Growth (%)

Pakistan 2,341 14,286 46 427 2884 52

China 25,232 58,932 12 31,892 4,04,043 107

Work These Out

Ø While India has performed relatively well vis-à-vis other developing

countries (including its Asian neighbours) in terms of economic growth,

India’s human development indicators are among the worst in the world.

Where India went wrong ? Why did we not take care of our human

resources? Discuss in the classroom.

Ø There is a general perception going around in India that there is sudden

increase in dumping of Chinese goods into India which will have

implications for manufacturing sector in India and also that we do not

engage ourselves in trading with our neighbouring nations. Look at the

following table, which shows exports from India to, and imports from,

Pakistan and China. Interpret the results and discuss in the classroom.

From newspapers and websites and listening to news, collect the details

of goods and services transacted in trading with our neighbours. In order

to get detailed information relating to international trade, you can log on

to the website: http://dgft.gov.in.

Ø Calculate exports as a % of imports for both the years and discuss the

probable reasons for the trend in the class.

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193COMPARATIVE DEVELOPMENT EXPERIENCES OF INDIA AND ITS NEIGHBOURS

important to know how it can be earned.If a country is able to build up its foreignexchange earnings by sustainable exportof manufactured goods, it need notworry. In Pakistan most foreign exchangeearnings came from remittances fromPakistani workers in the Middle-east andthe exports of highly volatile agriculturalproducts; there was also growingdependence on foreign loans on the onehand and increasing difficulty in payingback the loans on the other.

However, during the last few years,Pakistan has recovered its economicgrowth and has been sustaining. In2015-16, the Annual Plan 2016-17reports that, the GDP registered agrowth of 4.7 per cent, highest whencompared to the previous eight years.while agriculture recorded growthrate far from satisfactory level, industrialand service sectors grew at 6.8and 5.7 per cent respectively. Manymacroeconomic indicators also beganto show stable and positive trends.

10.7 CONCLUSION

What are we learning from thedevelopmental experiences of ourneighbours? India, China and Pakistanhave travelled more than five decades ofdevelopmental path with varied results.Till the late 1970s, all of them weremaintaining the same level of lowdevelopment. The last three decades havetaken these countries to different levels.

India, with democratic institutions,performed moderately, but a majority ofits people still depend on agriculture.Infrastructure is lacking in many partsof the country. It is yet to raise the level ofliving of more than one-fourth of itspopulation that lives below the povertyline. Scholars are of the opinion thatpolitical instability, over-dependence onremittances and foreign aid along withvolatile performance of agriculture sectorare the reasons for the slowdown of thePakistan economy. Yet, last three years,many macroeconomic indicators beganshowing positive and higher growthrates reflecting the economic recovery. InChina, the lack of political freedom andits implications for human rights aremajor concerns; yet, in the last threedecades, it used the ‘market systemwithout losing political commitment’ andsucceeded in raising the level of growthalongwith alleviation of poverty. You willalso notice that unlike India andPakistan, which are attempting toprivatise their public sector enterprises,China has used the market mechanismto ‘create additional social and economicopportunities’. By retaining collectiveownership of land and allowingindividuals to cultivate lands, China hasensured social security in rural areas.Public intervention in providing socialinfrastructure even prior to reforms hasbrought about positive results in humandevelopment indicators in China.

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194 INDIAN ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT

Recap

Ø With the unfolding of the globalisation process, developing countries

are keen to understand the developmental processes pursued by theirneighbours as they face competition from developed nations as alsoamongst themselves.

Ø India, Pakistan and China have similar physical endowments but

totally different political systems.

Ø All the three countries follow the five-year plan pattern of development.

However, the structures established to implement developmentalpolicies are quite different.

Ø Till the early 1980s, the developmental indicators of all the three

countries, such as growth rates and sectoral contribution towardsnational income, were similar.

Ø Reforms were introduced in 1978 in China, in 1988 in Pakistan and in1991 in India.

Ø China introduced structural reforms on its own initiative while theywere forced upon India and Pakistan by international agencies.

Ø The impact of policy measures were different in these countries — for

instance, one-child norm has arrested the population growth in Chinawhereas in India and Pakistan, a major change is yet to take place.

Ø Even after fifty years of planned development, majority of the workforcein all the countries depends on agriculture. The dependency is greaterin India.

Ø Though China has followed the classical development pattern of

gradual shift from agriculture to manufacturing and then to services,India and Pakistan’s shift has been directly from agriculture to servicesector.

Ø China’s industrial sector has maintained a high growth rate while it

is not so in both India and Pakistan.

Ø China is ahead of India and Pakistan on many human developmentindicators. However these improvements were attributed not to thereform process but the strategies that China adopted in the pre-reformperiod.

Ø While assessing the developmental indicators, one also has to considerthe liberty indicators.

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195COMPARATIVE DEVELOPMENT EXPERIENCES OF INDIA AND ITS NEIGHBOURS

1. Why are regional and economic groupings formed?

2. What are the various means by which countries are trying tostrengthen their own domestic economies?

3. What similar developmental strategies have India and Pakistanfollowed for their respective developmental paths?

4. Explain the Great Leap Forward campaign of China as initiated in1958.

5. China’s rapid industrial growth can be traced back to its reforms in1978. Do you agree? Elucidate.

6. Describe the path of developmental initiatives taken by Pakistanfor its economic development.

7. What is the important implication of the ‘one child norm’ in China?

8. Mention the salient demographic indicators of China, Pakistan andIndia.

9. Compare and contrast India and China’s sectoral contributiontowards GDP in 2003. What does it indicate?

10. Mention the various indicators of human development.

11. Define the liberty indicator. Give some examples of liberty indicators.

12. Evaluate the various factors that led to the rapid growth in economicdevelopment in China.

13. Group the following features pertaining to the economies of India,China and Pakistan under three heads

• One-child norm

• Low fertility rate

• High degree of urbanisation

• Mixed economy

• Very high fertility rate

• Large population

• High density of population

• Growth due to manufacturing sector

• Growth due to service sector.

EXERCISES

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196 INDIAN ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT

14. Give reasons for the slow growth and re-emergence of poverty inPakistan.

15. Compare and contrast the development of India, China and Pakistanwith respect to some salient human development indicators.

16. Comment on the growth rate trends witnessed in China and Indiain the last two decades.

17. Fill in the blanks

(a) First Five Year Plan of ________________ commenced in theyear 1956. (Pakistan/China)

(b) Maternal mortality rate is high in _____________. (China/Pakistan)

(c) Proportion of people below poverty line is more in __________.(India/Pakistan)

(d) Reforms in ______________ were introduced in 1978. (China/Pakistan)

1. Organise a class debate on the issue of free trade between Indiaand China and India and Pakistan.

2. You are aware that cheap Chinese goods are available in the market,for example, toys, electronic goods, clothes, batteries etc. Do youthink that these products are comparable in quality and price withtheir Indian counterparts? Do they create a threat to our domesticproducers? Discuss.

3. Do you think India can introduce the one-child norm like China toreduce population growth? Organise a debate on the policies thatIndia can follow to reduce population growth.

4. China’s growth is mainly contributed by the manufacturing sectorand India’s growth by the service sector —prepare a chart showingthe relevance of this statement with respect to the structuralchanges in the last decade in the respective countries.

5. How is China able to lead in all the Human Development Indicators?Discuss in the classroom. Use Human Development Report of thelatest year.

SUGGESTED ADDITIONAL ACTIVITIES

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197COMPARATIVE DEVELOPMENT EXPERIENCES OF INDIA AND ITS NEIGHBOURS

Books

DREZE, JEAN AND AMARTYA SEN. 1996. India: Economic Development and Social

Opportunity. Oxford University Press, New Delhi.

Articles

RAY, ALOK. 2002. ‘The Chinese Economic Miracle: Lessons to be Learnt.’Economic and Political Weekly, September 14, pp. 3835-3848.

ZAIDI, S. AKBAR. 1999. ‘Is Poverty now a Permanent Phenomenon in Pakistan?’Economic and Political Weekly, October 9, pp. 2943-2951.

Government Reports

Annual Plan 2016-17, Ministry of Planning, Development & Reform, Government ofPakistan accessed from http://pc.gov.pk on 02 January 2017.

Economic Survey, Ministry of Finance, Government of India (for various years).

Human Development Report 2005, United Nations Development Programme,Oxford University Press, Oxford.

Labour Market Indicators, 3rd Edition, International Labour Organisation,Geneva.

Pakistan: National Human Development Report 2003, United NationsDevelopment Programme, Second Impression 2004.

World Development Report 2005, The World Bank, Oxford University Press,New York.

World Development Indicators (for various years), Washington; Human Develop-ment Report 2015, United Nations World Bank Development ProgrammeGeneva; Key Indicators of Asia and Pacific 2016, Asian Development Bank,Philippines.

Websites

www.stats.gov.cnwww.statpak.gov.pkwww.un.orgwww.ilo.orgwww.planningcommission.nic.inwww.dgft.delhi.nic.in

REFERENCES

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