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UNIPOL GROUP2006-2009 STRATEGIC PLAN
Carlo Salvatori, CEOMilan, September 14, 2006
1
Contents
2 Strategic guidelines and 2006-2009 targets
3 Key economics of the plan
11 Group’s positioning
2
Unipol is an integrated group offering insurance and banking services
Insurance Area Banking Area
Premiums above 10 billion Euro~4,500 points of sales; distribution agreements with ~1,500 branchesGroup technical results better than the marketBalanced mix of premiums
(~40% Non-Life and ~60% Life)
More than 250 branches nationwideMore than 50% of the branches are co-located with insurance agencies~50 financial counters1st half 2006 deposits above 33,5 billion Euro
Composite companies
Specialisedcompanies
Bancas-surance
3
The Group is the third insurance player in the market
Italian Insurance market
* Proforma, Toro Group includedSource: ANIA
27.8Generali*
14.6Allianz
10.7Unipol
10.2FonSAI
5.3Cattolica
GroupPremiums€ billion
Life
19.7Generali*
9.0Allianz
6.8Unipol
5.8Poste Vita
4.6Eurizon
Non-Life
8.0Generali*
7.1FondSAI
5.6Allianz
3.9Unipol
1.8Reale Mutua
2005, Gross Direct Written Premiums, Italian GAAP
GroupPremiums€ billion
GroupPremiums€ billion
25.325.3
13.313.3
9.89.8
9.39.3
4.84.8
Market share
26.926.9
12.212.2
9.29.2
7.97.9
6.36.3
22.022.0
19.719.7
15.415.4
10.910.9
5.05.0
4
Both business areas grew at very fast pace
Insurance growthGross Domestic Written Premiums€ billion
1.10.8
1.9
1999
2.0
1.2
3.2
2000
2.1
2.8
4.9
2001
2.3
3.7
6.0
2002
3.8
5.1
8.9
2003
3.9
5.7
9.6
2004
3.9
6.8
10.7
2005
P&C
Life
Banking growthCustomer deposits + Customer funds€ billion
0.4
2.2
2.6
1999
0.5
3.4
3.9
2000
1.1
6.3
7.4
2001
2.2
7.0
9.2
2002
2.6
11.5
14.1
2003
4.3
15.9
20.2
2004
4.9
23.6
28.5
2005
Customer deposits
Customer funds
656
389
88
1,108
Acquisition of 60 branches from Capitalia
Acquisition of 22 branches from Antonveneta
Acquisition of 51 branches from BancaIntesa
1,929
Acquisition
Premiums
Acquisition
Premiums
140
CAGR 1999-2005
49%49%
33.5%33.5%
Acquisition
Premiums
1999-2005, Italian GAAP
5
Business growth and profitability
Unipol Ass. business overperformed market growth (since 1999: Unipol Ass. +15.4% vsMarket + 10.0%)Combined ratio constantly below market averageProfitable business development with Affinity Group (33% of Unipol Ass. Non-Life business)
Steady growth of insurance original business
Merger competencies
Acquisition and integration of 6 companies since 2000Strengthen Aurora up to the 3° composite Italian companyFast integration of key shared functions (IT, claims)
Fast integration
after acquisitions
Innovation and growth options
Development of Unipol Banca based on an integrated model (banking branch + insurance agency) innovative in the Italian marketDevelopment of channel/product specialized companies (e.g., Linear, Unisalute)
Development of new
businesses
Three core skills enabled the Group to grow considerably in the last years
6
Half-yearly results confirm growth trend and excellent technical performance in insurance business
Gross Domestic Written Premiums € million, percent
+5.5%+5.5%
Combined ratio** Percent
Exp
S/P
751712
1,245
3,144*
5,101
1H ’05
1,256
3,350*
5,357
1H ’06
+5.0%+5.0% 22.3
74.1
96.4
1H ’05
21.9
74.4
96.3
1H ’06
Non Motor
Motor
Life
+0.9%+0.9%
+6.6%+6.6%
New Business Value € million
97.3
FY ’05
98.8***
1H ’06
* IFRS Proforma including 100% BNL Vita and 50% of Quadrifoglio. Investment products included (410 million in 1H’05 and 15 million in 1H’06)
** Net of reinsurance effect*** Annualized
7
In banking business, the ‘integrated model’ is proving its effectiveness…
Banking clientsThousands of clients, percent As of 31/12
42%
58%
170
2002
35%
65%
242
2005
Gross operating income per client Euro
56%
44%
938
2004
62%
38%
969
2005
Clients are growing and cross selling is increasing
Income per client is steadily growing
Single product
Multi product +3.3%+3.3%Non-interestincomeNet InterestincomeCurrently
over 250Currently over 250
Italian GAAP
8
Evolution of customer needs makes the difference more and more artificial
Need Offer required
Mortgage loans
Home insurance
Payment protection coverage
Buy a house
Car financing
Motor coverage
Road assistance
…
Own a car
Mutual funds
Life assurance
Saving plan
Pension Funds
Save for retirement
Death coverage
Health coverage
LTC
Protect the family
Reverse mortgage
Annuity
…
De-cumulate assets
A large customer base in insurance makes the opportunity real and feasible to boost the banking client portfolio
Unipol has 6 million customers
Top 40% of agencies have average portfolio of 4,000 customers
20% of client of Unipol Banca comes from insurance (35% on average in the branches co-located with insurance agencies)
Break even level for Unipol Bancabranch is low (around 500 current accounts)
Develop integrated
insurance and banking offer
… based on increasing convergence of households’financial needs
9
Half-yearly results confirm the bank’s ongoing growth
Net profit € million
6.1
1H ’05
16.0
1H ’06
Gross operating incomeincreased by 27.6%
Customer deposits from ‘non group’ clients grew by 24.7%
Customer loans rose by 27.9%
6 new branches opened in the first half of 2006 (current total branches: 256)
Unipol Banca, June ’06 vs. June ’05
10
Contents
22 Strategic guidelines and 2006-2009 targets
3 Key economics of the plan
1 Group’s positioning
11
Strategic guidelines and key targets
Insurance
Reinforce current market position and improve profitability
Banking
Scale up and improve profitability
Corporate Center
Reinforce ‘holding functions’ to increase integration and to strengthen commercial coordination
Capital Management
Enhance value and identify external growth opportunities in line with the Group’s strategy and profitability targets
+50% Insurance technical result
Banking net profit above 90 millions
x2 EPS
Expected ROE at 14%
2009
12
Improve offering and sales performanceCut operating costs by exploiting unrealized synergiesMaintain technical excellence mainly focusing on claimsIncrease Life New Business Value with a more profitable mix
Strategic guidelines and key targets
Insurance
Reinforce current market position and improve profitability
Banking
Scale up and improve profitability
Corporate Center
Reinforce ‘holding functions’ to increase integration and to strengthen commercial coordination
Capital Management
Enhance value and identify external growth opportunities in line with the group’s strategy and profitability targets
13
Improve offering and sales performance
Gross Domestic Written Premiums€ million, percent
1,492
2,456
3,948
2005
1,950
2,850
4,800
2009
Non motor
Motor
+5.0%+5.0%
+6.9%+6.9%
+3.8%+3.8%
Increase Aurora sales performance after the impact of integrationMaintain growth in Motor through:
Further TPL personalizationNew products in land vehicles own damage or loss
Boost commercial skills in non motor and redesign the offer by distribution channel:
Sophisticated, high service products for medium-large agenciesStandard products for small agenciesSimple and low cost products for direct channel
Group, Non-Life CAGR 2005-2009
Key Initiatives
14
Cut operating costs by exploiting unrealized synergies
Expense ratio Percent
22.7
2005
21.5
2009
Further integration of shared services
Capturing of increased efficiency minimizing new hires and converting existing resources in new initiatives (e.g., Unipol Banca)
Improve IT support
–1.2 pp–1.2 pp
Group, Non-Life on Gross Domestic Written Premiums
Key Initiatives
15
Maintain technical excellence mainly focusing on claims
Loss ratioPercent
71.0
2005
70.5
2009
Cap on average claims cost due to claims performance improvement and direct indemnity procedure impact
Better pricing segmentation based on a Group-wide shared database
Re-design parameters and mutual structure of tariffs
Further improvement in portfolio quality as regards non motor lines and specialized companies (up pricing and cancellations)
Product innovation (e.g., Unibox, Aurobox)
–0.5 pp–0.5 pp
Group, Non-Life on Gross Domestic Written Premiums
Key Initiatives
16
Improve Life new business value with a more profitable mix
Key Initiatives
Group, Life€ million, percent
CAGR 2005-2009
Annual Premium Equivalent
470
2005
580
2009
+5.3%+5.3%
New Business Value
+9.0%+9.0%
97
2005
137
2009
Life traditional product innovation also leveraging Unipol Banca services Increased monitoring of expiring policiesOngoing training program of the network on new developed marketing tools and ‘counseling’ approachRigorous performance management approach linked to incentive systemDevelopment plan of insurance advisor networkProduct range extension (Pension funds and FIP) to cater the needs for the third pillar
17
Strategic guidelines and key target
Improve cost/income ratio leveraging on strong revenue growth increasing:
Align recently opened branches to the average performanceIncrease network sales productivity
Expand branch network
Insurance
Reinforce current market position and improve profitability
Banking
Scale up and improve profitability
Corporate Center
Reinforce ‘holding functions’ to increase integration and to strengthen commercial coordination
Capital Management
Enhance value and identify external growth opportunities in line with the group’s strategy and profitability targets
18
Improve cost income leveraging on strong increase in income …
84.3
2005
56.4
2009
126
2005
206
2009
106
2005
116
2009
Gross Operating Income per employee€ thousand
Operating costs per employee€ thousand
–27.9 p.p.–27.9 p.p.
+13.1%+13.1%
+2.3%+2.3%
CAGR 2005-2009Unipol Banca, IFRS compliant
Cost/IncomePercent
19
Asset under custody
65
122
187
2005
173
273
446
2009
Non-interestincome
Net interestincome
Unipol Banca, IFRS compliant, Stock as of 31/12€ million, percent
Gross operating income
* Including securitized mortgage (∼3.2 net securitization)
Asset under management
21,590
2005
27,300
2009
6.0%6.0%
2,055
2005
4,900
2009
24.3%24.3%
Customer deposits Customer loans
7,021
2005
9,000
2009
6.4%6.4%
5,261*
2005
8,600
2009
13.1%13.1%
CAGR 2005-2009
…thanks to stock growth
+24.3%+24.3%
20
Align newly-opened branches to the Group average performance
Branches opened in 2003-2005
Revenues
Unipol Banca has an high number of recently opened branches still in their start up phase
On average, branches break-even within their second year of activity
15% revenue increase is expected just by the alignment of new branches to the average performance (~28.2 million € at current revenues level)
~25%
~10%
Recent branchesPercent on total
21
Increase network commercial productivity
Gross operating income per branch€ thousand, 31/12
748
2005
1,120
2009
10.6%10.6% Variance reduction in branch performances
Network specialization:
Integrated branches focus on retail customers
Development of SME dedicated branches
Further increase in cross selling
Increasing conversion of insurance clients in banking clients
Key initiatives
Unipol Banca
22
Expand branch network
250
2005
398
2009
Involvement of agencies with high commercial opportunitiesLaunch of integration program within Aurora network (already 3 co-located new branches)
Number of branches Penetration of insurance portfolio
Integration of banking and insurance business can still be largely exploited:
– Insurance client coverage still limited (15% of total insurance client base potentially served by a branch)
Only 20% of the Unipol Ass. agencies have a co-located banking branch Aurora still open field
– Conversion rate up and growing (co-located average already ∼12%)
– Successful experiences are increasingly attracting agents on both networks
23
ROE is expected to reach almost 10%
3.5*
1H2006
9.5
2009
ROEPercent
* Annualized data
Unipol Banca
Net profit€ million
16.0
1H2006
>90
2009
24
Strategic guidelines and key targets
Rationalize Group structurePromote coordination among business areas
Insurance
Reinforce current market position and improve profitability
Banking
Scale up and improve profitability
Corporate Center
Reinforce ‘holding functions’ to increase integration and to strengthen commercial coordination
Capital Management
Enhance value and identify external growth opportunities in line with the group’s strategy and profitability targets
25
Centralization of holding functions to effectively ensure:
Direction and controlImproved relation with markets and stakeholdersStronger risk and capital managementBetter and unified operating costs controlStronger business areas coordination and integration
HoldingHolding
Rationalize Group structure
Insurance AreaInsurance Area
Banking AreaBanking Area
Clarify roles and objectives between Group and operating companiesEnsure effective managerial governance of the GroupDevelop a shared Group cultureReap distribution synergies Increase overall Group efficiency
Initiative/Goal Rationale
26
Strategic guidelines and key targets
Minorities buy-outSeize external growth opportunitiesConfirm pay-out policy
Insurance
Reinforce current market position and improve profitability
Banking
Scale up and improve profitability
Corporate Center
Reinforce ‘holding functions’ to increase integration and to strengthen commercial coordination
Capital Management
Enhance value and identify external growth opportunities in line with the group’s strategy and profitability targets
27
Excess capital provides resources to tackle market opportunities
2,700
800
∼300 ∼400∼2,000
Excess capital YE ‘05
Capital required to finance growth, net of retained earnings
Excess of regulatory capital available across the plan
Minorities buy-out
€ million
Issuing of subordinated notes
Potential add-on of 1 bln € of hybrid capital to be issued in case of acquisition
28
EPS will double across the three-year plan and ROE is expected to match 14%
9.2
2005
∼14
2009
Group ROE*Percent
* Net of excess capital
Group Net Profit€ million
254
2005
570
2009
EPS€ Cent.
1111 2424
29
Contents
2
33 Key economics of the plan
1 Group’s positioning
Strategic guidelines and 2006-2009 targets
30
Key economicsInsurance business, Gross Domestic Written Premiums€ million, percent
20092005
3,948 4,800Non-Life Premiums
CAGR 05-09
5.0%
93.7% 92.0% –1.7 p.p.Combined Ratio
Life Premiums* 5,188 7,150 8.3%
Life New Business Margin
20.6% 23.6% +3.0 p.p.
Non-Life Technical Result
245 350 9.3%
* IFRS Proforma including 100% of BNL Vita and 50% of Quadrifoglio.
31
Key economicsUnipol Banca€ million, percent
20092005 CAGR 05-09
7,021 9,000Customer Deposits 6.4%
Customer Funds 23,645 32,200 8.0%
Gross operating income 187 446 24.3%
5,261 8,600 13.1%Customer Loans
Cost Income 84.3% 56.4% –27.9 p.p.
94–4* -Net profit
9.5%n.s. -ROE
* +20.4 Italian GAAP
32
Key performance indicatorsGroup€ million, percent
* IFRS Proforma including 100% BNL Vita and 50% of Quadrifoglio** Net of excess capital
*** Across the 3-years plan
20092005
9,136 11,950Total Gross Domestic Written Premiums*
6.9%
CAGR ‘05-’09
Group Net profit 254 22.3%570
ROE** 9.2 ∼5 p.p.∼14
EPS (€ Cent.) 11 22.3%24
Excess regulatory capital
2,700 ∼2,000*** -
33
Glossary
Domestic premiums relating to insurance direct contracts pertaining to the operating fiscal year
Gross Domestic Written Premiums
Loss ratio + Expense ratioCombined ratio
Operating expenses/Premiums written, gross of reinsurance
Expense ratio
Claims occurred/Premiums earned, gross of reinsuranceLoss ratio
Annual Premium Equivalent: 100% of annual premiums written + 10% of single premiums written
APE
Net Profit/average net equity not including same year net profits
ROE
UNIPOL GROUP: FIRST HALF RESULTS
ANNEXES
Milan, September 14, 2006
35
Unipol Group 1H06 Key Consolidated Figures
Insurance businessGross Domestic Written Premiums – Local GAAP
Unipol GroupTotal Investments
Banking businessIncome and loans to customers (IFRS figures)
Net profit (gross of minorities)
Life Premium€ million
709Unipol
1,061Aurora
237Spec.
Var %
+2.3%+2.3%
+2.4%+2.4%
+3.8%+3.8%
Non-Life Premium€ million
1,098Unipol
595Aurora
1,414BNL-Vita
483Quadrifoglio
+7.0%+7.0%
-10.0%-10.0%
+13.6%+13.6%
+14.9%+14.9%
+1.5%+1.5%
€ billion (IFRS figures)
35.9
F.Y. 2005
36.5
1H 2006
2.7%2.7%
€ million (IFRS figures)
224
1H 2005
230
1H 2006
€ million
6,951*
23,645
5,5058,618*
25,030
6,360
F.Y. 2005 1H 2006
+24%+24%
+6%+6%
+16%+16%
Customer depositsCustomer fundsLoans to customers
Var % Var %
Var % Var %
* 7,021 (FY2005) and 8,747 (1H2006) including financial liabilities held for trading
36
1H2006 Key figures€ million euro, percent
1H 2005
Insurance sector gross profit
Net profit
1H 2006
Banking sector gross profit
323.8
223.8
12.9
322.7
230.0
25.4
Of which pertaining to minorities 32.818.3
∆%
-0.4
2.7
97.0
79.2
37
Consolidated P&L – IAS/IFRS data
1H 2005 1H 2006 ∆%
Net Direct Written Premiums
Net commissions
Income/charges from financial instrumentNet claims charges
Operating expenses
Other income/charges
Profit (loss) before taxation
Taxation
Consolidated profit (loss)
Minorities profit (loss)
Group profit (loss)
4,104 4,452 8.5
40 42 6.5
563 532 -5.5
(3,809) (4,082) 7.1
(557) (577) 3.6
(14) (39)
327 329 0.9
(103) (99) -3.2
224 230 2.7
18 33 78.6
205 197 -4.0
€ million, percent
38
DISCLAIMER
This presentation contains information relating to
forecasts of figures, results and events which reflect
the current management outlook, but these could
differ from what actually happens owing to events,
risks and market factors that it is presently impossible
either to know or to predict.
39
Contacts
Adriano Donati
Francesco Fronzoni
Investor Relations
Unipol Assicurazioni - Via Stalingrado 45, Bologna
Tel. +39 051.507.6166
Tel. +39 051.507.6563