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UnionCollegeandIEEESchenectadySectionpresent
TheSteinmetzMemorialLecturefor2015
OurTravelsThroughTime:EnvisioningHistoricalWavesofTechnologicalInnovation
LynnConwayProfessorofEECS,Emerita
UniversityofMichigan,AnnArbor
AlectureinmemoryofCharlesProteusSteinmetzApr9,1865– Oct26,1923
WikiCommons
Legendarypioneerofelectricalengineering,
Onthe150th anniversaryofhisbirth
I’mespeciallyhonoredtohavebeeninvitedtogivethislectureforSteinmetzhasbeenapowerfulrolemodelforme,becauseofhis:
(i) Pivotalroleinthe“ACrevolution”,(ii) Creativelylivingawonderfullyfulllife,(iii) Anddoingallthisinthefaceofhardships
thatcouldhavecrushedalessersoul.
Backin1978atMIT,asIstruggledtolaunchalaterrevolution,Ikeptahisphotoonmyofficewall(seeatright,justabovethechair)...
Lynn’sofficeatMIT,1978
Keepthesewordsinmind... “Thefartherbackwardyoucanlook,thefartherforwardyoucansee.”– WinstonChurchill
Link
Aswetravelthroughtime...
We’llfirststepbackandreflectonsomeearlywavesofinnovation
Thenwe’llzoom-inontheACelectricityrevolutioninvolvingSteinmetz
AndonthelaterVLSImicrochipdesignrevolutionthatIparticipatedin
We’llthenenvisioningthehugeincomingwaveofinnovationasever-smaller,ever-more-empoweringmicrosystemsbecomeembeddedintoalmosteverything.
Note:Thisslide-show(withlinks)willbepostedonline,forlaterreference.
Link
Tosetthestage,let’svisualizesomepastwavesofdisruptiveinnovation...
We’llbegininthe1400sduringtheRenaissance,atimeoftransformationalculturaladvances...
PragueAstronomicalClock,c.1410:
ThemechanizationofastronomicalcalculationsduringtheRenaissance:
PhotobyHectorZenil (www.hectorzenil.net)
AstunningconfluenceoftheMathematics,Science,EngineeringArchitectureandArtofthetime...
Towardstheendofthe1400’sacomminglingclusterofadvancesinshipbuilding,navigationandmap-makingreacheda‘tippingpoint’,triggeringtheonsetoftheAgeofDiscovery ...
PortugueseCarrack
Mariner’sAstrolabe
GimbalCompass
Cantino planisphere (1502)
ChartingtheEarlyVoyagesduringtheAgeofDiscovery,c.1492-1522...
WikiCommons
Thusitbegins:
Explorationratesescalatedasmass-communicationbyprinting alsospreadinthelate-1400s,enablingadventurerstoevermorequicklypropagatenewsofwhatthey’dfoundandhowthey’dfoundit...
Link;Attribution:Aodhdubh atEnglishWikipedia
ReplicaGutenbergPressattheFeatherbedAlleyPrintshop Museum:
Theescalationisevidenced,agenerationlater,inDiogo Ribeiro’s much-more-detailedWorldMapasof1527...
WikiCommons
Andtwogenerationslater,inMercator’sprojection-mapof1569...
WikiCommons
Source
Bytheearly1700’s,exponentiation hadgeneratedamassiveglobaltradingsystem...
Now,what’happeninghere?JustexponentiationofTHINGS?Isthatallitis?
OrexponentiationofkeyclustersofinnovativeIDEASinthemindsofevermorepeople?IDEASonhowtoMAKEandUSEthings...
Mariner’sAstrolabe
GimbalCompass
PortugueseCarrack
Cantino planisphere (1502)Attribution:AodhdubhatEnglishWikipedia
Link
Bythemid-1700’s,thestagewassetforatremendousdisruptivewaveoftechnologicalinnovation,
Link
andsobegantheindustrialrevolution (~1760-1850)...
DuringtheIndustrialRevolutiontheminingofcoalandiron-orewasgreatlyamplifiedbysteam-power...
SnipfromGoogleImages
Someoftheresultingironwasusedtomakemoresteamengines,andthepositivefeedbackgeneratedaniterativeexpansion-process...
Initially,heavyindustrialrawmaterialsandproductsweretransportedusingtheexpandingcanalsystem:
WikiCommonsLoadingcoalontheLehighCanal WikiCommons
Bythe1830’s,steam-poweredrailroadsbeganinterconnectingminestoiron-worksandrail-makers,enablingmore-rapidexpansionofrailroads...
SnipfromGoogleImages
ThesechartsrevealtherapidearlyspreadofrailroadingintheUS...
http://www.cprr.org/Museum/RR_Development.html#2
Theexpansionwasacceleratedbyrapidspreadoftelegraphyinthe1850s,theeffectanalogoustothatofprintingintheageofdiscovery...
(SnipfromGoogleImages)
http://www.telegraph-history.org/http://www.telegraph-history.org/map2.htm
MapoftelegraphstationsintheUnitedStates,CanadaandNovaScotia,1853
Zoomingintothemapoftelegraphstationsin1853...
http://www.telegraph-history.org/map2.htm
Themuchexpandedrailroadsystem,asof1860...
source
Allthatsetthestageforanotherdisruptivewaveofinnovation,andtheSecondIndustrialRevolution beganinthe1860s/70s...
The Second Industrial Revolution* was characterized by
(1) the build out of railroads
(2) large scale iron and steel production
(3) widespread use of machinery in manufacturing
(4) greatly increased use of steam power
(5) use of oil
(6) beginning of electricity
(7) electrical communications – Wikipedia
Let’sfirstzoom-inandfollowtheprogress ofthe“buildoutoftherailroads”from1860– 1890...
1860
source
1870
source
1880
source
1890
source
Likecompoundinterest,theearlysocial-diffusionrateofsuchclustersoftechnologicalideasisapproximatelyproportionaltowhat’salreadythereatanygivenpointintime...
source
y(t)=y(0)e^rt
(i.e.,exponentialfunction):
y(t)=ymax/(1+((ymax/y(0))–1))e^-rt)
Butastheopportunity-spacefills,thediffusionrateoftechnologicalideasslowsastheclusternearsitsexpansionlimits...
sourceearlyexponentiation
latersaturation
(i.e.,logisticfunction):
Let’svisualizetheharnessing“electricity”bythe1890’s:
Electricgenerators,motorsandlightswerebeingembeddedinarapidly-expandingelectrically-empoweredindustrial,commercialandtransportationinfrastructure.
NamessuchasEdison,Westinghouse,Tesla,Steinmetz andSprague werebecomingfamousforrolesincreatingthenewly-spreadingtechnologies.
Andthealternatingvsdirect(ACvsDC)“warofthecurrents”wason...
Thedramaticstoryofthateraisrevealedindetailinthewebsite,displaysandresourcesoftheEdisonTechCenterhereinSchenectady.
Visualizingthespreadofelectrification,andit’sco-evolution withthespreadofelectrictractionsubwaysandinterurbanlight-railsystems...
Motors
SubwaysInterurbanrail
PlanningtheIRT,1891
Generators
Nowlet’szoom-inandlookat thespecialroleofSteinmetz intheACrevolution...
1892:
“Steinmetz’experiments...ledtohisfirstimportantwork,thelawofhysteresis.
...Untilthattimethepowerlossesinmotors,generators,transformers,andotherelectricallypoweredmachinescouldbeknownonlyafter theywerebuilt.
OnceSteinmetzhadfoundthelaw...engineerscouldcalculateandminimizelossesofelectricpower...before startingtheconstructionofsuchmachines ...
Hisworkwasimmediatelyrecognizedasaclassic...Steinmetz’reputationwasassuredattheageof27.”
EncyclopediaBrittanica:
1893:
“Hissecondcontributionwas...asymbolicmethodofcalculatingalternating-currentphenomenaandinsodoingsimplifiedanextremelycomplicatedandbarelyunderstoodfieldsothattheaverageengineercouldworkwithalternatingcurrent.
Thisaccomplishmentwaslargelyresponsiblefortherapidprogressmadeinthecommercialintroductionofalternating-currentapparatus ...
TheproblemthatSteinmetzfacedwasthatelectricalengineerswerenottaughtenoughmathematicstounderstandhisnewmathematicaltreatmentofproblemsusingcomplexnumbers.
1897-1911:
Toeducatetheelectricalengineeringprofession,hepublishedseveraltextbooks...throughhiswriting,lecturing,andteaching*,hismethodofcalculationwithcomplexnumberswasuniversallyadoptedinworkwithalternatingcurrents.”
*atUnionCollege EncyclopediaBrittanica
Steinmetz’ssymbolicmathematicalmethodsthatenabledlargenumbersofengineerstoeasily“navigate”theworldofACelectricity:
Indoingthiswork,Steinmetzalsopioneeredintheemergenceof20thcenturymethodsinengineeringscienceandengineeringeducation...
Healsomasterfullyunfoldedtheabstractmathematicsbehindhissymbolicmethods...
Link
Withtheresultthatnewly-educatedelectricalengineerscouldmechanizetheresultingmathematicalcalculationsusinginstrumentssuchasthis
K&E4053-3SlideRule,c.1910...
Source
Leadingtoarapidbuild-outofACgenerationandtransmissioninfrastructurefrom1900’sonwards...
SmithsonianSmithsonian
Expandingintothevastinfrastructure nowusedforefficientlygeneratingandtransmittingACelectricpowerfromenergy-sourcestoend-users...
SnipfromGoggleimages
VisualizingtheU.S.high-voltageACtransmissiongrid(asof2008)
WikiCommons
Logisticfunction
Toenvisionitsdramaticscale,lookattheUSatnight,asseenfromspace...
NASA
ThinkhowmanymindsSteinmetz’sideas passedthrutomakethishappen...
Link
1929
Link
1992
1924
Link
ReadingswhereyoucanlearnmoreaboutSteinmetz’samazinglife...
SteinmetzDigitalCollectionofSchenectady
Workinginhishomelaboratories.. andatCampMohawk..enjoyinglifewithhisadoptedfamily
Let’sgo‘BacktotheFuture’again,andzoom-inonalaterdisruptivewaveofinnovation inelectronicsandcomputing...
OneIparticipatedin:therevolutioninVeryLargeScaleIntegrated(VLSI)microchipdesign,beginningin1976...
Thestagewassetbyemergenceofintegratedcircuit technology inthe1960’s,enablingnumbersoftransistorsandtheirwiringtobe‘printed’ontochipsofsilicon...
Someearlyintegratedcircuits:
SnipfromGoggleimages
Andbytheearly70srevolutionincomputerdesign(usingMSIintegratedcircuits):
Innovationoftheinteractive-display,mouse-controlled“personalcomputer”,the“Ethernet”local-areanetwork,andthe“laserprinter”(atXeroxPARC) ...
Wikicommons
XeroxAlto,1973 Metcalfe’s originalEthernet sketch,1973
AndtheDept.ofDefense’s“Arpanet”(theearlyinternet,atDARPA)...
Arpanet map,1971
Laserprinter,1971
SourceSource
Ongoingadvancesinlithographyenabledever-finerfeaturestobeprinted,rapidlyincreasingthenumberoftransistorsprintableonsinglechips.
Andby1971,awatershedwascrossedwiththeintroductionoftheIntel4004,thefirstsingle-chip“microprocessor”:a“computerprocessoronachip”...
Itcontained2300transistors...
Source
Source
Here’sa4004’smaskset(overlainlikeastackofphotonegatives),showingpatterns“printed”ineachlayerofthechipthattogetherwillcreatethe2300transistorsandtheirinterconnections.
This“at-the-time”complexdesignhadtobemanuallydrafted,withoutaidofcomputers.
Eachmasklayerwascraftedbyhand-cuttingitsdraftedpatternintoalargesheetof‘rubylith’.
Sheetswerethenoverlaintocheckforinterlayerdesign-ruleviolations.
Theneachphoto-reducedtomakethe4004’smaskset.
GordonMooreatIntelobservedthatthenumberoftransistorsreliablyprintedonchipswasroughlydoublingeverytwoyears...
N(t)/N(0)=2^(t/2)
Moore’sLaw (asof1976)
Afterall,lookingaheaditappearedconceivableby~1990anentiresuperscalar“supercomputer”couldbeprintedonasinglechip...
Anexponentialfunction,graphedonavertical logscale
.
CarverMead namedthis“Moore’sLaw”anddeterminedthattherewerenophysicallimitstoincreasingthedensityupto~1milliontransistors.
In1976thisset-offapushatXeroxPARCandCaltechtofigureouthowtoenablesuchcomplexthingstobedesigned.
Formoreinsightintothat,youcanbrowsemy“ReminiscencesoftheVLSIRevolution”intheFall2012IEEESolidStateCircuitsMagazine.
Tonightwe’lljusthitthehighlights,includinghowSteinmetz’sstoryinfluencedtheoutcome...
Thestoryofwhatunfoldedoverthefollowingthree/fouryearsisquiteasaga...
ThatwasthefirsttimeI’dcomeforwardtotellthewholestory ...
ThebreakoutwastriggeredbyaclusterofabstractinnovationsatXeroxPARCandCaltech...
Link
IncludedwereasetofscalableVLSIchip-layoutdesignrules,intheformofratioed (dimensionless)inequalityequations(Conway,XeroxPARC)...
Theseenabledabstractchipdesignstobedigitallyshrunkdown(andreused)asMoore’slawrapidlyadvanced...
Theyalsoenabledaccruingchipsubsystemdesignstobewidelyshared...
Thedrivingidea:
Assumingthatchiplithographyscales-downyearbyyear accordingtoMoore’sLaw,Andever-moreever-fastertransistorscanbeprintedonsinglechipsastimegoesby,do:
Step(i):Useacomputerandthenewmethodstodesignthelayoutpatternsforaprocessorofmoreapowerfulcomputer,tobe“printed”inthenextdenserprocess.
Step(i+1):Usethenewchipsandnewsoftwarechip-designtoolstocreatemorepowerful“computer-design”computers,thenrepeatstep(i).
Ifevermoreengineersandprogrammerscoulddothis,andonanexpandingnumberofincreasinglypowerfulcomputers,thentheiterativeexpanding-process couldexplosivelygenerateever-moreandever-more-powerfuldigitalsystems...(i.e.,exponentiate!).
Thebigproblem:
Wherearealltheengineersandprogrammersgoingtocomefrom,andhowaretheygoingtolearnhowtodothis?Aha!RecallhowSteinmetzcopedwiththisproblem ...
So,wefirstdocumentedthe‘Mead-Conway’systemofsimplified,restructured,design-levelabstractionsandchipdesignmethodsinanevolvingcomputer-editedbook ...
LinkThusweusedourAltocomputerstomechanizenotonlyourcomputations,andourgenerationofchip-designlayouts,butalsotheevolutionofthebookitself...
Thatcomputer-editedevolvingbook,printedusingthelaserprintersatPARC,becamethedraftofthefamoustextbook:
IntroductiontoVLSISystems
byMeadandConway,publishedin1980...
WealsousedourAltostogenerate (atXeroxPARC) manyopen-sourcecell-layout-designsforkeydigital-subsystems,easilydisseminatedtostudentsandcolleaguesviatheArpanet…
CIF2.0Cell-Librarycode
PLAcells Clockdrivers
I/OPads Celllocations
URL
And,followingthe“script”SteinmetzusedtopropagatehisrevolutionaryACmethodsatUnionCollege,IintroducedthenewmethodsinaspecialVLSIdesigncourseatMITin1978.
LinkLinkLink
Thestudentslearnedtodesignchipsinthe1sthalfofthecourse,thendidproject-chipdesignsinthe2nd half.TheywerefabricatedinPatCastro’slabatHP shortlyafterthecourse.
ThereweremanyamazingresultsincludingacompleteLispmicroprocessordesignbyGuySteele...
Mapandphotomicrographofthe19studentprojectsontheMIT’78‘MultiProject’Chip
FormoreabouttheMIT’78course,seeLynn’s“MITReminiscences”
TheMIT’78coursestunnedtopfolksinSiliconValley...Chipdesigntillthenhadbeenamystery,onlygraspedbyafewcomputerarchitectsworkingforchipmanufacturers..whothushadaccesstothe“printingplants”...
Manyothertopresearchuniversitieswantedtooffersuchacourse.Buthow?
Afterintensivepondering,Icameupwiththeanswer:ReruntheMIT’78courseatadozenresearchuniversities,usingmyMITlecturenotestokeepeverythinginsync.
Buthowto“print”thestudentprojectchips?
Isuddenlyenvisionedanewformof“E-commerce”system,enablingstudentdesignfilestoberemotelysubmittedviatheArpanettoa“server”atPARC...
Theserverwouldrunlogistics-softwaretopackthedesignsintomulti-projectchipfiles(likecomposingtheprint-filesforamagazine,usingremotely-submittedarticles)...
We’dthenmakemasks,“print”MPC’satHPLabs(wheremycollaboratorPatCastrohadprototypedthefirst“siliconfoundry”),andquicklyreturnthechipstostudents.
Inthefallof1979,weorchestratedahuge“happening”(MPC79*) ...Itinvolved129buddingVLSIdesignerstakingMead-Conwaycoursesat12researchuniversities…
*TheMPCAdventures,L.Conway,XeroxPARC,1981
MPC79ArpanetE-commercesystem:
MPC79 notonlyprovidedalarge-scale“demonstration-operation-validation”ofthedesignmethods,designcourses,designtoolsande-commercedigital-prototypingtechnology…italsotriggered‘cyclicgain’in,andexponentiationof,thebuddingVLSI-design-ecosystem…
TheMPCAdventures,L.ynn Conway,XeroxPARC1981.
Thusbreakingthe“VLSIcomplexitybarrier”,spawningtheMOSIS*nationalchip-prototypingservice,andbootstrapping the“fabless-design+siliconfoundry”paradigmofchip-making…
*BytransferofMPC79technologyfromXeroxPARCtoUSC-ISI
Lynnandherteampreparepackagedchipstosendtodesigners,Jan4,1980
MPC79:
Wafer.....
Chip.......
PackagedChip ..
Example:
JimClark’s“GeometryEngine”
Visualizinghowtechno-socialdynamicstriggeredanexponentiationinthespreadoftheinnovativeVLSIdesignideasviatheemerginginternetcommunicationtechnology...
TheMPCAdventures (p.16)
By1982-83,Mead-ConwayVLSIdesigncourseswerebeingofferedat113universitiesallaroundtheworld
Startingwithseveralthousandin1971,by2011thenumberoftransistorsonachiphadpassedseveralbillion!
Inparallelwithallthat,overthepast40yearsorso,we’veseeMoore’sLawstayontrackalltheway!
N(t)/N(0)=2^(t/2)
N
N(0),t(0)
(exponentialfunctionwithtinyears)
(exponentialfunctiongraphedonlogscale)
Here’sapartialmapoftheInternet... ZoomingintoseeIPAddresses...
WikiCommons
VisualizingtheInternet’sexpansionby2010...
GlobalFoundries VLSIsilicon-chipfabricationplant,Malta,NY...
Panoramio,GoogleMapsAgiant“printingplant”forpatterningcomplexmicrosystemsontovastnumbersofsiliconchips...
AndUnderConstruction,June26,2014!
Andherearethetop“SiliconFoundries,”asof2013:
Thesearewheremanyoftheworld’sVLSIsiliconmicrochipsare“printed”...
Wikipedia
TakingaglimpseinsidethehugeTSMCfoundryinTaiwan...
GoogleImages
Themicrochipdesignsarebeingcreatedbyengineersincompaniesallaroundtheworld,thensentviatheinternettosuch“foundries”for“printing”...
Ineffect,turning“Sand”(whichismostlySiO2)into“Gold”...!
TheresultingVLSIchipsarethenusedbydesignengineerstofunctionallyempowerandcontrolallsortsofthings...thingsthatthey’redeeplyembeddedinto...
Smartphones Wearables
Autos Drones
SnipsfromGoogleImages
Zoominginononeexample,hereweseeaniPhone5chipwithDualARMCoresandmultipleGPUs
Link
InteractiveZoom-inInternetMap,2015
Thisalsoincludeschipsthatempowertheinternet...
exponentialfunction
whichcontinuestoexpandexponentially...
NASA:Earthfromspaceatnight
Withtheinternetconnectingever-more-peopleandchip-empowered-things,justimaginewhat’sgoingonoutthere,rightnow,allaroundtheworld!
Thussettingthestageforwhat’scomingnext...!
Tolearnmoreaboutthesocial,technologicalandhumandrama surroundingtheremarkablebirthofpersonalcomputingandtheinternet,seethesebooks:
LinkLinkLink
201019991999
Link
"What'spastisprologue"– WilliamShakespeare
It’snowtimetolookforward,intothefuture...!
waveofinnovationoutthere,nowjustbeyondthesocial-time-horizon...Asweturn180⁰andlookahead... wecanvisualizeahugeincoming
Onethingforsure:
Link
Thisoneisthe“BigOne”!...
Upuntilnowmicrosystemshavebeendeeplyembeddedout-of-sightandout-of-mindinsideof“things”like...Smartphones Wearables
Autos Drones
Butwhyisitstartingnow?...Let’ssetthestage:
Thusfewfolksvisualize the“manyideasinmotion”thatgeneratetheastonishing‘out-of-body’experiences whenflyingaParrotBebopwithanOculusRift...
www.youtube.com/watch?v=6ZdSMAG90Rs www.youtube.com/watch?v=Io6V0NR7DN0
That’sallabouttochangeduetotechnologicalmilestonessuchasMotorola's"ProjectAra" tocreatemodularsmartphones...
Ara’s ‘Phonebloks’willpopularizetheconceptofmicro‘HardwareApps’
Manyfar-tinierthancurrent-day‘bigthings”likecameras,GPSunits,servos,bluetooth links,microphones...
Suchmicrosystemsnowinoursmartphones(butoutofsightandoutofmind)willsuddenlybecomemorevisible.
Andthey’renotjustprocessorchips,they’realsoMicroElectroMechanical(MEMS)Chips,tinymicro-mechanismsalsoprintedlithographicallyin“foundries”...
MEMS,suchasinertialmeasurementunits(IMUs),microsensors,microcamsandmicro-transducers ...andtheirmicrocontrollers andmicro-interconnects ...
IMUs Microcameras
Sensors Interconnects
Andthey’reallgettingaLOTtinier!Seeforexample:TheMichiganMicroMote:
“...researchersattheUniversityofMichiganunderthedirectionofProfessorsDavidBlaauw,DennisSylvester,DavidWentzlof andPrabalDuttahaverecentlyannouncedthe...“MichiganMicroMote.”
...amulti-layeredintegratedcircuitwithbuilt-insolarcells,battery,microprocessor,sensors,radioandmemory...come(s)inthreetypes,measuringtemperature,pressureorimages“
ComputerHistoryMuseum
Toglimpsewherethisisheading,checkouttheZano drone,arecentlylaunched“animatedsystem”…
Extremelytiny,itincludesanHDcam,IMU,GPS,MCU,IRobstacleavoidance,gesturecontrol,autofollowing,swarming andmore…
Therearesomanydimensionstoitscapabilities,it’shardtoevensaywherethe“system”beginsandwhereitends...checkoutthisamazingVIDEO!
Source
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hgkbhjXTbOE
Thesearen’tjustfrivolousrecreationalplay-things,butinsteadhavevastpotentialforhumanempowerment...
Considerthestoryofaheart-patientconfinedbyanlengthyhospitalstay
Hecannowenjoyexploringthebeautifulworldoutsidehiswindow,alaptopcontrollinghisdrone,providingstunningviewsofwhat’soutthere
Itwon’tbelongbeforewecanjoinfriendsongroup“drone-tours”ofremoteplacesaroundtheworld,rightfromownindividualhomes...
Witheachourdrones“carryingoureyes”remotelyintheformoffisheyelensesandmicrocams (asintheBebop)
WhichweseethroughbyusingourOculusRiftsovertheinternet!
Imaginetheimpactastoday’skidsstartpeekingattheinsidesofZanonanodrones!
URL
Thinkofthepossibilitiesofwhattheymightdonext!
Someideas/thingsinthecomingwaveofinnovationsarehinted-atbythenewMyo gesturecontrolarmbands fromthemechatronicsengineersatThalmic Labs:
https://www.thalmic.com/en/myo/
VIDEO VIDEO VIDEO VIDEO!
So,what’shappeninghere?
Insteadofjustprintingabilliontransistorsontosingle“large”smartphonechips.
Wecanalsoprintamilliontransistorsonto1000verytinybutverypowerfulchips.
I.e.,youcanactuallydoalotwithamilliontransistors!
Sowecannowembedlotsandlotsoftinymicro-processorsandMEMSmicro-mechanismsintoalmosteverything.
Placingthemweretheycangetlocalphysicaldatasuchasposition,acceleration,temperature,pressure,etc.
Thusenablingsmart-distributed-clustersoftinychipstoanimateandinteractivelycontrolmanymacro-scalesystemssuchasrobots,drones,autos...
Suchchipscanbeselectedandembeddedinmacro-scalesystemsByexploitinginnovationsinselectionmethods,andinnovationsinwoven,printed,near-fieldandwirelessinterconnections...MicroChiplets (XeroxPARC) Low-energyBluetoothbeacons
Smarttextiles(PASTA)
Near-fieldcommunications
Video
Thisembedded-microsystemsrevolutionisgettingupabigheadofsteaminemerging“SiliconValleys”,“Cambridges”and“MakerValley’s”allaroundtheworld…
Source
Wecanzoom-inandwatchitunfoldinmappingsofmanyspecificareasofmicro-systemtechnology,suchastheimagesensorsfor“microcameras” ...
Andinthemovementof“application-idea-clusters”alongGartner’s“HypeCycle”
2014URL
Onekeyclusterofinnovationsonthatwaveis“3DPrinting”...Enablingmacro-scale3D“things”tobequicklymadefromdigital-specscreatedbydesignersusingpersonalcomputers...
3Dprintersenablemakingprototypemacrostructuressuchasrobots,drones,medicaldevices,andmore...intowhichmicrosystemscanbeembedded...
Onceprototypesareperfected,design-filescanbesharedormarketedtoother3Dprinterusersanywhere...
Whenthose“things”becomeobsolete,theirpolymermacro-structurescanbe‘melted-down’andreusedtomakenew“things”...
Innovativenewmicro-hardwareappscanalsobeinsertedintosuchadditivemanufacturingsystems...enablinga3Dprinterthatprint3Dprinters*toprototypeayetmorepowerful3-Dprinter!
*“PrintersforPearce:AnInterviewwith3DPrintersforPeace’sDr.JoshuaPearce”,MichaelMolitch-Hou,3DPrintingIndustry,10/18/13 Seealso:http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C8Wv3LCJcUE andhttp://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yiJDx9dCfEQ
Justaswhensomeoftheironwasfed-backtomakemoresteamenginestofurtherempowertheindustrialrevolution...
Innovatingsuchiterativefeedbackloops yields“gain”inthetechnologicalexplorationsystem...
‘BlendedLearning’bygiulia.forsythe,Flickr‘WhatisaMOOC?’bygiulia.forsythe,Flickr
But(recallingSteinmetz’sdilemma)howwillalltheyounginnovatorslearntograspthenewwaveofconceptspropellingthisrevolution?
Fortunately,awaveofexploratorychangeissweepingengineeringeducation,justintime...
Andmore...
Source
Manyyoungincomingengineeringstudentshavealsogaineddeep-experiencesat...
LEGOCamps MakerFaires
FABLabs RobotCompetitions
Plus,theycannowgainongoingknowledgeasneeded,usinginternet-basedlifelong-learningresources...
Some(the“microsystemsdesigners”)willgoontoexploitrapidly-evolvingelectronicdesignautomation(EDA) and“multi-physics”designtoolstocreatenewmicro-hardwareapps...
SnipfromGoogleImages
Exploitinginnovationssuchas3Dchip-stackingandthrough-siliconvias (TSVs)tocomposeever-tiner chip-modulesand“hardwareApps”(likethe‘MicroMote’)...
Manyothers(the“mechatronicsdesigners”)willusecollaborativemacro-scaledesigntoolssuchasDessault Systems’‘3DExperiencePlatform’
toinnovativelyembedsmartmodularhardware-appstodramaticallyanimateanewwaveofhuman-scalesystems...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IPu28vUcZzI
Startingwithincars
World-wideautomotivetechnologywillbeahugedriveroftherapidembeddingofmicro-hardwareAppsintohuman-scalesystems...
andonintoMobilitytechnology
andintoSmart Roadways
Nowwe’veallheardaboutSelf-drivingcars...LATimesInfographic:
Forexample,justthisweekattheShanghaiMotorShow (April20-29,2015)Mini isshowcasingtheirnewaugmented-realityglassesconcept...
Tovisualizethemanypossibilitiesofthisconcept,watchthisremarkableVIDEO
Butwhataboutexploiting“AugmentedReality”(asin“ParrotBebop+OculusRift”)inconjunctionwithmobilitytechnology...
http://traffictechnologytoday.com/news.php?NewsID=68125
VIDEO:ApproachingtheMini... Seeingthroughtheside-doors...Decidingwheretogonext...Seeingrealwheelwhenparking...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QARt89_6Jrs#t=19
http://blogs.jabil.com/2014/08/13/internet-of-things-infographic/
Theinnovativeembeddingofever-tiner micro-hardwareappswillquicklyspread...
http://blogs.jabil.com/2014/08/13/internet-of-things-infographic/
Andbegintofunctionallyenhancejustabouteverything...
Alongtheway,themicrosystemsupply-chains intotheelectronics,automotive,medical,clothing,home-applianceandbuildingindustrieswillcross-coupleandcommingle
Source
andenhancementsgainedineachwillquicklycross-fertilizeothers...
Therewillbemanydisruptivechangesincurrentbusinessmodelssuchas...
Reshorings willreduceclusteredturnaroundtimes...
Order-to-Deliverytimes paceratesofexploration...
Logisticssystemswilltakecenterstage...
SourceSource
From:TheAgeofOpportunity:HarnessingComplexityToSolveBigWorldProblemsbyFrankSpencer,kedgefutures.com
Buthowwillwecopewiththe‘complexity’oftheemergingtechno-socialecosystem?
Byexploitingthingslikecollaborativelearning,crowdsourcing,crowdfunding,IPbrokering,agilemethods,rapid-digital-prototyping,andmore ...
Everyone,fromengaged-users tomakers,willbeabletoscaleuptheirparticipationandimpact.
NASA
Onlynow,insteadofjustexploringhowtomakeeverbiggerthingsthatgoeverfurtherandeverfaster,suchaswhenreachingfor“outerspace”...
We’veinvertedourperspective180⁰,reachingdownintothe“deepinnerspaces”ofthemicro/nano/pico world...
Andareexploringhowtomakeandexploitvast-quantitiesofever-tinier,ever-more-empowering“micro/nano things”...
GoogleImages
Forexample,usingScanningElectronMicroscopy(SEM)tostudythedetailsofthetinymicro-machineryprintedonMEMS chips...
AtomicForceMicroscopy(AFM)
ScanningTunnelingMicroscopy(STM)
Andzooming-inevenfurthertomeasureandmapsthingsdownatthemolecularandatomiclevels...
Soastoguideadventurersonexplorationsatplacesandinfieldssuchas...
MITNano
HarvardWyssInstitute
DARPAMicrosystems
SyntheticBiology
BiologicallyInspiredEngineeringModel-BasedDesign
STEM+ARTS=STEAM
DraperLab CollaborationTechnology
AugmentedRealitySocialMedia
GeneticAlgorithmsSelfAssemblingSystems
GoogleATAP
MicrosoftResearch
ResearchUniversities
MachineVisionMachineHearing
AugmentedKinesthetics
SocialPhysics
SocialDynamics
SocialMachines
SocialLearning
Multiengineering
Meta^2Mathematics
MetaArchitecture UPS
AmazonExplorationInfrastructure
Thusitbegins,allaroundtheworld...
Link
Andit’sonitsway...!
Beforelong,adventurersaroundtheworldwillbe“surfing”somewhereonthiswave...!
Ah,buttheescalatingratesoftechno-social-changewillchallenge existingculturalpatterns,becauseofmassivesocialaccumulationsofpasthabits:
What’sthenewgamethistime?
Whogetstoplay?
Whatrulesdoweplayby?
Wherecanweturnforguidance?
Andhowdowedropoldhabits?...URL
Forinsightintowhat'sabouttohappen,reflectonthisnews:'AppleWatchdesignersoneasingthesmartphonetyrannytheycreated'
http://www.wired.com/2015/04/the-apple-watch/
Itwillhelpyouto"Remember,thisboldstepintothefutureisNOTabout"thethings",
it'saboutthecreative"IDEASandVISIONembodiedinthethings“.– LynnConway
Butyousay,“howcanweeverkeepup?”Hasn’tthetrainalreadyleftthestation,formanyofus?
Somewordstoremember:"Inaworldofchange,thelearnersshallinherittheearth,whilethelearnedshallfindthemselvesperfectlysuitedforaworldthatnolongerexists" – EricHoffer
Andit’sever-easiertoengageinfun-filled,lifelonglearning...
Besides,
“Astherateoftechno-socialchangeincreases,we’llalllivefarfurtherintotheunfoldingfuturethanweeverdareddream“– LynnConway
TheMPCAdventures (p.16)XeroxPARC1981.URL
Whenvisualizingtheseswirlingmassesofideasinmotionreflectbackontherapid-evolutionary-process-diagram fromtheVLSIrevolution...Onlynow,vastlymoresuchprocessesruninparallelandcross-fertilize...Whileanewscienceexplores,mapsanddescribeswhat’shappening...
1976
19781979
’79:LaunchingtheVLSIcoursesviaMPC79!!
1977
’76:HowtocopewithVLSIcomplexity?
’77:InventingscalableVLSIdesignrules.
’78:LaunchingtheVLSImethodsatMIT!
VisualizingtheexponentiatingwaveofVLSIinnovation...
Somequestionstoponderaswebeginsurfingsuchwaves:Howdowegear-upandlearnthebasicmoves?
Whodoweteam-upwithandwheredowegoexploring?
Whereisthisthingheadedandwhat’sourmission?
unfoldingexponentiation
nearingsaturation
Ofcoursesuch2Dviewsmisslotsofwhat’shappening...Let’splaywithvisualizingwavesin4Dtogainabetterperspective...
IsthisaTravelingWave?A StandingWave?OrWhat?
Thisstunningvideo*hintsatwaystothinkaboutit...
Letsplayfullyvisualizetheincomingwaveofinnovationasatimeseriesof“GHCprofiles”(2Dslicesthruthe3Dwaveatincrementsintime)...
*"Water,"byMorganMaasenhttp://vimeo.com/90429499
GartnerHypeCycle2014http://www.gartner.com/newsroom/id/2819918
Finally,someconjecturesaboutpossiblefutures:
Bycooperativelylearningandsharingideasonhowtodomore-and-morewithless-and-less,theincomingwaveofinnovationshasthestunningpotentialof:
(1) Sustainablyprovidingever-increasing infrastructuralfunctionalityandlifeempowermentperperson,
(2) Whileconsumingever-decreasing energyandmaterialresourcesperperson
(3) Thusbeginningthereigning-in ofourunsustainableover-useofplanetearth
(4) Whilesimultaneously opening anunprecedentedcollaborative/competitiveexplorationofthegreatestoffrontiers,thefrontierof“Whatit’spossibletodo”!
...andapersonalperspectiveon“OurTravelsThroughTime”...
“Ifyouwanttochangethefuture,startlivingasifyou’realreadythere!”– LynnConway
Source
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LinktoEpilogue,References,Notes& Afterwords