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DAFTARISI

ABS1RAK ...................................... ~:: .................................................... . ABSTRACT . ........................................................................................... ii KA TA PENGANT AR .............................................................................. iii DAFf AR lSI ........................................................................................... v DAFfAR TABEL .................................................................................... vii DAFfAR GAMBAR ................................................................................ viii DAFf AR LAMP IRAN ............................................................................. ix

BAB I. PENDAHULUAN ..................................................................... 1 1.1. Latar Belakang Masalah ...... ................................................ 1 1.2.Perumusan Masalah .............................................................. 7 1.3.Tujuan Penelitian .................................................................. 7 1.4. Manfaat Penelitian ............................................................... 7

BAB II. KAJIAN PUST AKA ................................................................. 9 2.1. Kerangka Teoritis ................................................................ 9

2.1.1. Investasi ...... .............................................. ................ 9 2.1.2. Penanaman Modal Dalam Negeri (PMDN) ................ 25 2.1.3. Penanaman Modal Asing (PMA) ............................... 26 2.1.4. Product Domestik Bruto (PDB) ................................. 28 2.1.5. Nilai Tukar atau Kurs ................................................ 30 2.1.6.Suku Bunga .............. .................... .................. ............ 34

2.2. Penelitian Terdahulu ............................................................ 38 2.3. Kerangka Pemikiran dan Hipotesis ...................................... 43

2.3.1. Kerangka Pemikiran .................................................. 43 2.3.2. Hipotesis ................................................................... 44

BAB III METODE PENELITIAN ............................................................ 45 3.1. Ruang Lingkup Penelitian ................................................... 45 3.2. Jenis dan Sumber Data......................................................... 45 3.3. Metode Pengumpulan Data.................................................. 45 3.4. Pengolahan Data.................................................................. 45 3.5. Model Analisis Data ............................................................ 46 3.6.Uji Kriteria Ekonometrika/Uji Asumsi Klasik ....................... 46

3.6.1. Uji Multikolinearitas ................................................. 46 3.6.2. Uji Normalitas ........................................................... 48 3.6.3. Uji Autokorelasi ........................................................ 48

3.7. Uji Kesesuaian (Goodness of Fit) ........................................ 48 3.8. Uji Hipotesis ....................................................................... 49

3.8.1. Uji T -Statistik (Uji Parsial) ........................................ 49 3.8.2. Uji F-Statistik (Uji Keseluruhan) .............................. 50

3.9. Definisi Operasional ............................................................ 50

BAB IV HASIL DAN PEMBAHASAN PENELITIAN .......................... . 4.1. Hasil Penelitian .................................................................. . 4.2. Pengujian Hasil Estimasi Model Penelitian ........................ ..

52 52 69

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4.3. Uji Ketepatan Letak Taksiran Garis Regresi (Goodness of Fit) 72 4.4. Uji Kriteria "a priori" Ekonomi ........................................... 75

BAB V SIMPULAN DAN SARAN........................................................ 77 5.1. Simpulan ................................................................. 77 5 .2. Saran 77

DAFTAR PUSTAKA ............................................................................... 79 I,AMPIRAN-LAMPIRAN ..................................................................... 82

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