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UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs
Universal Benefits: Delivering rights and reducing poverty
8 February 2007, 1.15 – 3.00 pm
United Nations Building, Conference Room D
Michael [email protected]
Policy
Research
Institute
The social and economic impact of benefits
to children
and older people
in Southern Africa
Overview
THE PROBLEM: Poverty in Southern Africa disproportionately affects children and older people
THE INSTRUMENT: Social transfers provide regular cash payments to poor households
THE OUTCOMES:
– MDGs: poverty, hunger, education, health, equality
– Decent work: jobs and empowerment
– break the inter-generational cycle of disadvantage
– Macroeconomic benefits
Households with older people and children are on average poorer than other household types in most African countries
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
AVERAGE
Zambia
Uganda
Nigeria
Mozambique
Malaw i
Madagascar
Kenya
Guinea
Ghana
Gambia
Ethiopia
Cote d'voire
Cameroon
Burundi
Burkina Faso
depth of poverty (poverty gap %)
Elderly and children
Elderly persons
No elderly persons
SOURCE: Kakwani and Subbarao (2005)
Older people & children
Only older people
No older people
South Africa’s cash transfers produce remarkable social outcomes while supporting economic growth and broad developmental impacts
Sub-Saharan Africa’s oldest social transfer program
Costs 3% of GDP Substantial impact on
poverty reduction Extensive studies of
growth outcomes– Human capital– Labor markets– Development
South Africa
South Africa’s social grants reduce poverty and destitution substantially
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
Poverty gap
Destitution gap
48% reduction
67% reduction
The universal social pension in Lesotho mainly protects children and promotes human capital accumulation
The world’s newest universal social pension, started in 2004
Costs 1.4% of GDP 65% of the cash is
spent on children cared for by older people
Supports human capital investment, particularly for OVCs
Lesotho
Impact of South Africa’s Social Pension on adult labor force participation
SOURCE: Statistics South Africa Labor Force Surveys and EPRI calculations
Household does not receive social
pension in 2004
Household receives
social pension in 2004
Improvement associated with social pension
Probability that a poor adult of working age in 2005 will:
Find employment 7% 9% 2%
Actively look for work 13% 15% 2%
NOTE: Sample includes working age adults (older than 16) in households in the lowest income quintile but with no working individuals in September 2004.
Impact of South Africa’s Social Pension on adult labor force participation
SOURCE: Statistics South Africa Labor Force Surveys and EPRI calculations
Household does not receive social
pension in 2004
Household receives
social pension in 2004
Improvement associated with social pension
Probability that a poor adult of working age in 2005 will:
Find employment 7% 9% 2%
Actively look for work 13% 15% 2%
NOTE: Sample includes working age adults (older than 16) in households in the lowest income quintile but with no working individuals in September 2004.
Impact of South Africa’s Child Support Grant on adult labor force participation
SOURCE: Statistics South Africa Labor Force Surveys and EPRI calculations
Household does not receive
child grant in 2004
Household receives
child grant in 2004
Improvement associated with child
grant
Probability that a poor adult of working age in 2005 will:
Find employment 13% 15% 2%
Actively look for work 17% 20% 3%
NOTE: Sample includes working age adults (older than 16) in households in the lowest income quintile but with no working individuals in September 2004.
Impact of South Africa’s Child Support Grant on adult labor force participation
SOURCE: Statistics South Africa Labor Force Surveys and EPRI calculations
Household does not receive
child grant in 2004
Household receives
child grant in 2004
Improvement associated with child
grant
Probability that a poor adult of working age in 2005 will:
Find employment 13% 15% 2%
Actively look for work 17% 20% 3%
NOTE: Sample includes working age adults (older than 16) in households in the lowest income quintile but with no working individuals in September 2004.
Impact of South Africa’s Child Support Grant on women’s labor force participation
SOURCE: Statistics South Africa Labor Force Surveys and EPRI calculations
Household does not receive
child grant in 2004
Household receives
child grant in 2004
Improvement associated with child
grant
Probability that a poor woman of working age in 2005 will:
Find employment 12% 15% 3%
Actively look for work 14% 20% 6%
NOTE: Sample includes women (older than 16) in households in the lowest income quintile with older people but with no working individuals.
Impact of South Africa’s Child Support Grant on women’s labor force participation
SOURCE: Statistics South Africa Labor Force Surveys and EPRI calculations
Household does not receive
child grant in 2004
Household receives
child grant in 2004
Improvement associated with child
grant
Probability that a poor woman of working age in 2005 will:
Find employment 12% 15% 3%
Actively look for work 14% 20% 6%
NOTE: Sample includes women (older than 16) in households in the lowest income quintile with older people but with no working individuals.
Social transfers in Namibia protect children and older people, support labour market participation and promote local economic activity
A transformed pension system since democracy in 1990
Near-universal take-up (85%)
Costs 0.7% of GDP Supports labour
market participation, particularly for women
Stimulates local markets
Namibia
Spending shares vary by income group—and social transfers redistribute income and restructure the composition of spending
Food
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Income Decile
Ex
pe
nd
itu
re S
ha
re
Transport
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Income Decile
Ex
pe
nd
itu
re S
ha
re
Source: Statistics South Africa Income and Expenditure Survey 2000
An illustration from South Africa
Conclusions
For countries in Africa, social transfers have demonstrated considerable success in helping to achieve MDGs in areas of poverty reduction, nutrition, education, health, equality.
In many countries they are the most effective government program for reducing poverty.
They help to break the cycle of inter-generational transmission of disadvantage.
Social transfers do not create dependency—they often break dependency traps, particularly by nurturing productive high-return risk-taking and promoting decent work.
Social transfers are developmental.