Upload
eelaine197323
View
223
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
8/14/2019 UMNO Elections Perceptions Survey - Overall
1/28
1
Main FindingsFebruary 2009
VOTERS' OPINION SURVEYPENINSULAR
PERCEPTIONS OF UMNOPARTY ELECTIONS 2009
MEDIA RELEASE
8/14/2019 UMNO Elections Perceptions Survey - Overall
2/28
MERDEKA CENTER 2
National Opinion Poll: Perceptions on UMNO Party Elections 20094 16 February 2009, n = 1031
All rights reserved. This report is published by proprietary subscription. No parts of this publication may be distributed,reproduced, copied or transmitted in any form or by any means including photocopying without the permission of thecopyright owner, application for which should be addressed to the same. The distribution, reproduction, copying or
transmission including the quotation of a part of the whole thereof by a non-customer is strictly prohibited
8/14/2019 UMNO Elections Perceptions Survey - Overall
3/28
MERDEKA CENTER 3
National Opinion Poll: Perceptions on UMNO Party Elections 20094 16 February 2009, n = 1031
3
Study Method
Survey based on interviews of 1031 respondents comprising registered voters
aged 21+ via telephone across Peninsular Malaysia
Respondents comprised 57% Malays, 31% Chinese and 12% Indians voters
Respondent selection based on random stratified samplingaccording to state,
ethnicity and gender
Poll was carried out between 4 to 16th February 2009
Margin of errorfor this survey is estimated at 3.10% for the overall sample
8/14/2019 UMNO Elections Perceptions Survey - Overall
4/28
8/14/2019 UMNO Elections Perceptions Survey - Overall
5/28
MERDEKA CENTER 5
National Opinion Poll: Perceptions on UMNO Party Elections 20094 16 February 2009, n = 1031
Respondent Profile Total [ n = 1031 ]
Occupation Voting Status
DependentsLeval of Education
20%9% 5%
17%
2% 2%
29%
15%
0%10%
20%30%40%50%60%
Employed
Private
Employed
Govt
Own business
operates a
business that
hires other
people
Self
employed/small
business or
trader
Unemployed,
looking for work
Student Homemaker Retired
88%
8%
4%
Every election Every other election
Never voted before
3%
23%
50%
13% 10%
0%
10%
20%30%
40%
50%
Noformal
education
Primaryschool
Secon
daryschool
Diplom
a/Polytechni
cs/T
eachers
Colleg
e/Vocational
In
stitutes
Degree
71%
29%
Yes No
8/14/2019 UMNO Elections Perceptions Survey - Overall
6/28
MERDEKA CENTER 6
National Opinion Poll: Perceptions on UMNO Party Elections 20094 16 February 2009, n = 1031
6
Perceptions on UMNO/BN
8/14/2019 UMNO Elections Perceptions Survey - Overall
7/28
MERDEKA CENTER 7
National Opinion Poll: Perceptions on UMNO Party Elections 20094 16 February 2009, n = 1031
7
In the last general election in March 2008, non-Malays voters were more likely tovote for Opposition parties. How should UMNO work with other component partiesin Barisan Nasional?
28%
62%
44%54%
11%
81%
17% 24%
3%3% 2% 3% 5%
11%
37%
17%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%90%
100%
Total (n=1031) Malay (n=592) Chinese (n=319) Indian (n=120)
No responseDont know
Strengthen UMNO by giving in / compromise the demands of non-Malay component parties.
Strengthen BN by featuring non-Malay component parties.
Perception on UMNO/BN, Total [ n = 1031 ]
8/14/2019 UMNO Elections Perceptions Survey - Overall
8/28
MERDEKA CENTER 8
National Opinion Poll: Perceptions on UMNO Party Elections 20094 16 February 2009, n = 1031
8
How strongly are you confident or not confident in Barisan Nasional in fulfilling thefollowing aspects :
35%
20%32%
19%
28%
29%35%
28%
31%
19%
30%25% 18% 28% 27%
8% 18%13%
9%15% 16%
9%3% 4%
12%6% 4%1% 1%
19%22%
33%
1%1% 2%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Taking care of
Malay rights
Taking care of
the interest of
all races
Bringing
economic
development
Protecting the
position of
Islam
Ensuring
political
stability
Ensuring racial
unity
Very confident Somewhat confident
Somewhat not confident Not confident at allDont know No response
Perceptions on BN, Total [ n = 1031 ]
8/14/2019 UMNO Elections Perceptions Survey - Overall
9/28
MERDEKA CENTER 9
National Opinion Poll: Perceptions on UMNO Party Elections 20094 16 February 2009, n = 1031
9
Among the problems mentioned by people about UMNO, please choose TWO thatyou feel are most serious. You may include any other problems .
4%7%2%No response
1%1%1%Dont know
0%0%1%None
0%0%All
0%1%Favoritism
10%14%6%Racist
11%18%3%Arrogance
11%16%6%Weak manager of the economy
12%17%6%Weak leaders
15%17%13%Out of touch
35%9%61%Corruption
AverageSecondProblemFirstProblemWithin UMNO Problem
Perceptions on UMNO, Total [ n = 1031 ]
8/14/2019 UMNO Elections Perceptions Survey - Overall
10/28
MERDEKA CENTER 10
National Opinion Poll: Perceptions on UMNO Party Elections 20094 16 February 2009, n = 1031
10
Among the following problems faced by UMNO, please choose TWO that you feelare most serious. You may include any other problems
10%
0.4%
0.2%
0.5%
1%
4%
35%
15%
12%
11%
11%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%
Corruption
Out of touch
Weak leaders
Weak manager of the economy
Arrogance
Racist
Important oneself / Favouritism
All
None
Dont know
No response
Perceptions on UMNO, Total [ n = 1031 ]
8/14/2019 UMNO Elections Perceptions Survey - Overall
11/28
MERDEKA CENTER 11
National Opinion Poll: Perceptions on UMNO Party Elections 20094 16 February 2009, n = 1031
11
Now, I am going to read to you two statements. After you hear each one, please tellme which one is closer to your opinion:
35%
4% 1%
59%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
UMNOs internal problemsare jeopardising the future
of the Malays/ people.
Although UMNO facesinternal problems, UMNO
is still able to fight for the
interest of the
Malays/people.
Dont know No response
Perception on UMNO and the People, Total [ n = 1031 ]
8/14/2019 UMNO Elections Perceptions Survey - Overall
12/28
MERDEKA CENTER 12
National Opinion Poll: Perceptions on UMNO Party Elections 20094 16 February 2009, n = 1031
12
How strongly do you think that establishing the Malaysian Anti-CorruptionCommission (MACC) is effective or not effective in improving the image of UMNOand BN?
13%1%
24%
31%
12%
18%
34%
39%
33%
27%18%
40% 34%
6% 5% 6% 8%1% 1%
9% 7%
32%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Total (n=1031) Malay (n=592) Chinese (n=319) Indian (n=120)
Very effective Somewhat effectiveSomewhat not effective Not effective at allDont know No response
Perceptions on Reform Measures, Total [ n = 1031 ]
8/14/2019 UMNO Elections Perceptions Survey - Overall
13/28
MERDEKA CENTER 13
National Opinion Poll: Perceptions on UMNO Party Elections 20094 16 February 2009, n = 1031
13
How strongly do you think that establishing the Judiciary AppointmentCommission (JAC) is effective or not effective in improving the image of UMNOand BN?
12%1%
26%
33%
15%
22%
29%
32%
33%
22%16%
32%
23%
15% 12%20%
16%
1%
7%8%
26%
0%
10%
20%30%
40%
50%
60%70%
80%
90%
100%
Total (n=1031) Malay (n=592) Chinese (n=319) Indian (n=120)
Very effective Somewhat effectiveSomewhat not effective Not effective at allDont know No response
Perceptions on Reform Measures, Total [ n = 1031 ]
8/14/2019 UMNO Elections Perceptions Survey - Overall
14/28
MERDEKA CENTER 14
National Opinion Poll: Perceptions on UMNO Party Elections 20094 16 February 2009, n = 1031
14
In your view, how strongly do you think the efforts to curb money politics in UMNOnow is sufficient or insufficient?
3% 1%
12% 15%
4%
20%28% 44%
8%
51% 52%47%
53%
5% 6% 4% 6%
3%13%
23%
0%
10%
20%30%
40%
50%
60%70%
80%
90%
100%
Total (n=1031) Malay (n=592) Chinese (n=319) Indian (n=120)
Very sufficient Somewhat sufficientSomewhat insufficient Not sufficient at all
Dont know
Perceptions on UMNO, Total [ n = 1031 ]
8/14/2019 UMNO Elections Perceptions Survey - Overall
15/28
MERDEKA CENTER 15
National Opinion Poll: Perceptions on UMNO Party Elections 20094 16 February 2009, n = 1031
15
As a Malaysian, what is your hope for UMNO?
Expectations on UMNO, Total [ n = 1031 ]
12%24%4%11%Hopeless
1%1%Pull back people confident
2%1%Unite Malay people
1%1%1%1%Political stability
1%2%1%1%Reform UMNO
2%1%1%Distrust UMNO
3%2%Reassure UMNO glorious
3%1%3%2%Develop the country/ establish country
0%4%2%Perform well and keep the promises
4%2%Islamic governance
1%5%3%Fight for Malay rights1%4%4%4%Fight for corruption
3%7%3%4%Economic raise and stabilization
3%2%6%4%Concern of country peaceful
12%6%9%8%Takes care of peoples welfare
1%5%15%10%Improve administration system to better way
3%1%19%11%Continue lead the country
54%31%6%19%Treat all races equally
IndianChineseMalayTotalHope for UMNO
8/14/2019 UMNO Elections Perceptions Survey - Overall
16/28
MERDEKA CENTER 16
National Opinion Poll: Perceptions on UMNO Party Elections 20094 16 February 2009, n = 1031
16
In your view, what are the criteria of an UMNO leader that can fulfill your hope?
Preferred Leadership Criteria, Total [ n = 1031 ]
2%1%Dedicated and dexterity1%1%2%1%Able to fulfill promise
7%1%1%1%Tolerant
3%1%2%1%Discipline and Unselfish
3%0%2%2%Smart/ Capable
5%0%2%Do not place hopes on any UMNO leader
3%1%2%2%Open minded and look forward
3%1%2%2%High leadership
1%3%2%Transparent and sincere
3%2%2%2%Educated
6%1%4%3%Kind
1%0%6%3%Strict
2%4%6%5%Free from corruption
2%3%7%5%Responsible
14%8%Religion knowledge
2%0%15%9%Honest and trusted
11%8%13%11%Concerned about the people
49%36%6%21%Be fair to all
IndianChineseMalayTotalCriteria
8/14/2019 UMNO Elections Perceptions Survey - Overall
17/28
MERDEKA CENTER 17
National Opinion Poll: Perceptions on UMNO Party Elections 20094 16 February 2009, n = 1031
17
How strongly are you confident or not confident that the following UMNO leaderscan fulfill your hopes for UMNO?
Confidence in UMNO leadership, Total [ n = 1031 ]
12%6%
33%
19%16%
20%
24%24%
13%
18%31%
19%
12%
5%
13%13% 10%
1%1% 1%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Muhyiddin Yassin Mohd. Ali Rustam Muhammad Muhd Taib
Very confident Somewhat confidentSomewhat not confident Not confident at all
Dont know the person Unable to accessNo response
8/14/2019 UMNO Elections Perceptions Survey - Overall
18/28
MERDEKA CENTER 18
National Opinion Poll: Perceptions on UMNO Party Elections 20094 16 February 2009, n = 1031
18
Perceptions on UMNO PartyElections
8/14/2019 UMNO Elections Perceptions Survey - Overall
19/28
MERDEKA CENTER 19
National Opinion Poll: Perceptions on UMNO Party Elections 20094 16 February 2009, n = 1031
19
Of the three candidates vying for UMNO deputy presidency, who do you think isbest suited for the post?
61%
37%
11%
14%
6%
13%
7%
4%
13%
27%
15%
49%
25%
3% 2% 4% 5%
44%52%
8%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Total (n=1031) Malay (n=592) Chinese (n=319) Indian (n=120)
Muhyiddin Yassin Mohd. Ali Rustam
Muhammad Muhd Taib Dont knowNo response
Views on UMNO Party Elections, Total [ n = 1031 ]
8/14/2019 UMNO Elections Perceptions Survey - Overall
20/28
MERDEKA CENTER 20
National Opinion Poll: Perceptions on UMNO Party Elections 20094 16 February 2009, n = 1031
20
Of the candidates vying for UMNO vice presidency, who do you think is best suitedfor the post [choose 3 names]?
42%63%58%5%No response
11%0%0%32%Dont know
3%0%0%9%None of the above
1%2%1%1%MohdIsaSamad1%3%1%1%RahimTambyChik
2%2%3%2%Mohd. KhaledNordin
3%6%1%1%Jamaluddin Jarjis
5%7%5%2%ShafieApdal
5%5%8%2%SyedHamid Albar
6%8%5%4%Rais Yatim
9%3%13%9%Ahmad Zahid Hamidi
13%1%4%32%Hishamuddin Hussein
Average3
rd
Choice2
nd
Choice1
st
ChoiceCandidate
Views on UMNO Party Elections, Total [ n = 696 ]
8/14/2019 UMNO Elections Perceptions Survey - Overall
21/28
MERDEKA CENTER 21
National Opinion Poll: Perceptions on UMNO Party Elections 20094 16 February 2009, n = 1031
21
Of the candidates vying for UMNO youth chief, who do you think is best suited tolead UMNO Youth?
15%5%
52%
58%
37%
58%
11%
7%
8%
23%
12%
47%
18%
3% 2% 5% 6%
10%11%
13%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Total (n=1031) Malay (n=592) Chinese (n=319) Indian (n=120)
Khairy Jamaluddin Mukhriz Mahathir Mohd. Khir Toyo
Dont know No response
Views on UMNO Party Elections, Total [ n = 1031 ]
8/14/2019 UMNO Elections Perceptions Survey - Overall
22/28
MERDEKA CENTER 22
National Opinion Poll: Perceptions on UMNO Party Elections 20094 16 February 2009, n = 1031
22
Of the candidates vying for UMNO Wanita chief, who do you think is best suited tolead Wanita UMNO?
27%20%
51%60%
37%
41%
20%
38%
18%
4% 3% 5% 8%
33%26%
10%
0%
10%
20%30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Total (n=1031) Malay (n=592) Chinese (n=319) Indian (n=120)
Rafidah Aziz Shahrizat Jalil Dont know No response
Views on UMNO Party Elections, Total [ n = 1031 ]
8/14/2019 UMNO Elections Perceptions Survey - Overall
23/28
MERDEKA CENTER 23
National Opinion Poll: Perceptions on UMNO Party Elections 20094 16 February 2009, n = 1031
23
Of the candidates vying for Puteri UMNO chief, who do you think is best suited tolead Puteri UMNO?
21%
8%
26%
33%
12%
32%
54%
74%
49%
4% 2% 7% 7%
13%16%
44%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Total (n=1031) Malay (n=592) Chinese (n=319) Indian (n=120)
Rosnah Abdul Rashid Sirlin Shahniza Shamsuddin
Dont know No response
Views on UMNO Party Elections, Total [ n = 1031 ]
8/14/2019 UMNO Elections Perceptions Survey - Overall
24/28
MERDEKA CENTER 24
National Opinion Poll: Perceptions on UMNO Party Elections 20094 16 February 2009, n = 1031
24
Between these two following statements about Umno party elections in 2009 whichone is closest to your view?
50%
11%5%
34%
0%
20%
40%
60%
A compromise among the
Deputy President
candidates is the best way
to elect the most suitableleader without a split in the
party.
The Deputy President
candidates should not
compromise because the
contest will not split theparty.
Dont know No response
Perception on Current Situation, Total [ n = 306 ]
8/14/2019 UMNO Elections Perceptions Survey - Overall
25/28
MERDEKA CENTER 25
National Opinion Poll: Perceptions on UMNO Party Elections 20094 16 February 2009, n = 1031
25
If the candidates for the Deputy President post decide to compromise, who do youthink is most suitable to hold the post of Deputy President?
60%
39%
9%
13%
3%
15%5%
3%
6%11%
11%
15%
6%
23%
8%
36%
15%
4% 1% 4%
51%48%
7%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Total (n=306) Malay (n=90) Chinese (n=144) Indian (n=72)
Muhyiddin Yassin Mohd. Ali Rustam
Muhammad Muhd Taib Nobody suitableDont know No response
Views on UMNO Party Elections, Total [ n = 1031 ]
8/14/2019 UMNO Elections Perceptions Survey - Overall
26/28
MERDEKA CENTER 26
National Opinion Poll: Perceptions on UMNO Party Elections 20094 16 February 2009, n = 1031
26
Now, I am going to read to you two statements concerning UMNO party election.After you hear each one, please tell me which one is closer to your opinion:
16%
2%4%
79%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
Party delegates shoulddetermine UMNO leadership
line-up without being influenced
by anyone at all because it is
an internal affair of the party.
Party delegates should listen tothe views of people like you in
determining UMNO leadership
line-up because it will
determine the leadership of the
country
Dont know No response
Views on UMNO Party Elections, Total [ n = 1031 ]
8/14/2019 UMNO Elections Perceptions Survey - Overall
27/28
MERDEKA CENTER 27
National Opinion Poll: Perceptions on UMNO Party Elections 20094 16 February 2009, n = 1031
27
How strongly do you agree or disagree to.....?
28% 23%34%
41%
22%20%
25%23%7%
6%
11% 1%9%10%
7%8%
18% 26%3% 15%
15% 14% 18% 9%
2% 2% 2% 4%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Total (n=1031) Malay (n=592) Chinese (n=319) Indian (n=120)
Abolishing the nomination quota system in UMNO party election
(a candidate has to receive a certain amount of nomination before he is
eligible to contest)
Strongly agree Somewhat agree Maybe
Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree Dont know
No response
Views on UMNO Party Elections, Total [ n = 1031 ]
8/14/2019 UMNO Elections Perceptions Survey - Overall
28/28
MERDEKA CENTER 28
National Opinion Poll: Perceptions on UMNO Party Elections 20094 16 February 2009, n = 1031
28
How strongly do you agree or disagree to.....?
32% 27% 29%
67%
25%26%
29%
9%
10% 10%
15%
3%11%
14%
9% 2%13% 17% 5% 11%
7% 5% 11% 4%2% 1% 2% 5%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Total (n=1031) Malay (n=592) Chinese (n=319) Indian (n=120)
Ordinary members to be given the right to vote for UMNO top posts
Strongly agree Somewhat agree Maybe
Somewhat disagree Strongly disagree Dont know
No response
Perception on Current Situation, Total [ n = 1031 ]