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TWO TYPES OF POPULATION GROWTH IN ECOSYSTEMS: EXPONENTIAL GROWTH LOGISTICAL GROWTH Which represents the human population??

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TWO TYPES OF POPULATION GROWTH IN ECOSYSTEMS:

EXPONENTIAL GROWTH LOGISTICAL GROWTH

Which represents the human population??

Malthusian Growth (Irruptive Growth) - Population explosions followed by population crashes.

Malthus concluded human populations tend to grow until they exhaust their resources and then crash.

POPULATION CHANGE:

N = (birth + immigration) – (death + emigration)

When these factors balance out it is known as ZERO POPULATION GROWTH (ZPG)

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Population Growth

• 1. Ability to expand into diverse habitats and climates

• 2.Agriculuture

• 3. sanitations systems, antibiotics, vaccines

FACTORS AFFECTING HUMAN POPULATION SIZE

Crude Birth Rate = # of live births per Crude Birth Rate = # of live births per 10001000

Crude Death Rate = # of deaths per 1000Crude Death Rate = # of deaths per 100095% of daily population growth occurs in developing

countriesGlobal Growth Rate = 1.3% (equivalent to adding another USA

every 3.6 years)

China = 1.5 billionChina = 1.5 billion

India = over 1 India = over 1 billionbillion

USA = ~300 USA = ~300 millionmillion

~40%

5%

Indonesia, Brazil, Pakistan, Russia, Bangladesh, Japan, NigeriaIndonesia, Brazil, Pakistan, Russia, Bangladesh, Japan, Nigeria

Top 10 Most Populous

Replacement Level Fertility = # a couple must bear to replace themselves

Developed = 2.1 Developing = 2.5Total Fertility Rate (TFR) – average # of children a woman

will have during her child bearing years (15-49)

Developed = 1.6 (2.5 in 1950) Developing = 3.1 Developed = 1.6 (2.5 in 1950) Developing = 3.1 (6.5 in 1950)(6.5 in 1950)

FACTORS THAT INDICATE POPULATION GROWTH:

Even if each of today’s couples

had an average of 2.1 children, the population would continue to grow

for 50+ years because of: population momentum

The growth rate for the US in the year 2000 was close to 1% (~40-50% of the growth is due to immigration into the country)CURRENT POPULATION = over 300 million

The US will double in size in the next 70 years. It is currently growing faster than any other developed nation.

The TFR (total fertility rate) as a whole for the US is at replacement level = 2 . 1

United States Population Statistics

The period following WWII saw a spike in

birth rate known as the baby

boom.

POPULATION AGE STUCTURES:

Rapidly expanding populations: Have large number of pre-reproductive individuals and thus have population momentum.

AGE STRUCTURES: examples

Pre-Industrial = high BR + high DR (low pop growth) Transition = high BR + low DR (rapid pop growth) Industrialized = low BR + low DR (low pop growth)1) Access to birth control 2) decline in infant mortality

3) Increased education & jobs for women

What Affects Birth Rate & Fertility?• Education, employment, & status of

and for women• Infant mortality rate • Availability of contraceptives• Religious & social beliefs• The importance of children as a part of

the work force.• Urbanization – tend to have fewer

children• Cost of raising and educating children.• Average age of marriage.

What Factor’s Affect Death Rates?

1) Increased Food Supply & Distribution

2) Better Nutrition

3) Medical improvements/Technology – vaccines & antibiotics

4) Safe Water Supplies (decreases spread of disease)

5) Increase in sanitation and personal hygiene

DECREASES DEATH RATE:

Indicators of overall health of a country:

Life Expectancy – average # of years a newborn infant can expect to live &

Infant Mortality - # of infants out of 1000 who will die within one year

A low infant mortality indicates good nutrition & safe drinking water (low rate of disease)

Global Life Expectancy has

increased from 48 to 66 in the last 55

years.