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TUI AG | Investor Relations | Seite 1
Aktiengesellschaft
TUI GroupInvestor Presentation
1. WestLB Mobility DayFrankfurt, 02 September 2008
TUI AG | Investor Relations | Seite 2
AktiengesellschaftAgenda
I. Strategy
II. Tourism
III. Shipping
IV. Financials 2007 & Q2 2008
V. Outlook 2008
TUI AG | Investor Relations | Seite 3
Aktiengesellschaft
Tourism Shipping
TUI - current group structure
Turnover ~ €18 bn Turnover ~ €6 bn
TUI AG | Investor Relations | Seite 4
Aktiengesellschaft
Strategy - Separation of container shipping division
All options are being examined like: spin off, merger or divestment as a single entity taking into account the interests of our shareholders, bondholders and employees
Trade sale as first option of separation progressing according to plan:- Internal project team installed ✔- External advisors mandated ✔- Information memorandum completed ✔- Approach of interested parties ✔- Indicative proposals received ✔- Due diligence in progress- Negotiations with final bidder(s)- Signing / Closing
Targeted impact of a trade sale on TUI Group financials- Significant reduction of net debt - Enhanced financial flexibility for further investments in the tourism division- Appropriate consideration of shareholders
TUI AG | Investor Relations | Seite 5
AktiengesellschaftTourism
TUI AG | Investor Relations | Seite 6
Aktiengesellschaft
TourismTUI Travel - Overview
Merger of TUI Tourism activities with First Choice Holidays businesses
Europe’s leading international leisure travel company
Over 30 million customers from over 20 source markets
Circa 160 aircraft
Circa 4,000 retail shops in Continental Europe, UK & Ireland
48,000 colleagues
Widest range of leisure travel experiences available
TUI AG | Investor Relations | Seite 7
Aktiengesellschaft
TourismTUI Travel - New structure
MainstreamSector
Classic TO business /market leadership
Online Destination
Services Sector
Online accommodation / Destination services
SpecialistsSector
Exclusive products / strong local brands
ActivitySector
Lifestyle travel products / market-leading brands
Turnover~€16,100 m
Turnover~€1.500 m
Turnover~€650 m
Turnover~€700 m
TUI AG | Investor Relations | Seite 8
Aktiengesellschaft
TourismTUI Travel - Business model
Choice of Product Flexibility for the Customer
CONTENT
CUSTOMER
Self SelectionIndividual Components
Self SelectionDynamic Packaging
Traditional Packages
Exclusive / Differentiated Holidays
Tailor Made Holidays
Online
Retail
Call Centre
Providing choice and flexibility for the customer
Flights
Bed-bank
Car hire, transfers, excursions
Differentiated
Exclusive
Added Value
Expertise
Scarce Assets
Component
Specialist
TUI AG | Investor Relations | Seite 9
Aktiengesellschaft
TourismTUI Travel - Pillars of profitable growth
Product & Content Differentiated and specialist product
Levers
Business Model & People
Synergy deliveryEfficiency improvementsCapacity managementLeadership & structure
Distribution & BrandsDirect distributionBrand positioning
Growth & Capital Allocation
Acquisition programmeOrganic growthROI focusCash management
Delivering sustainable
margin growth
Strategic Imperatives
TUI AG | Investor Relations | Seite 10
Aktiengesellschaft
Tourism TUI Travel - Value Creation Opportunities
Intensive Care
RecoveryStage
CriticalStage
Healthy Stage
ThrivingStage
Loss making < 1%Operating
Margin1% – 3% 3% – 5% > 5%
RevenueContribution1,2
UnderlyingOperating Profit1,2
-€66m(-£48m)
€1.8bn(£1.3bn)
€4.3bn(£3.1bn)
€5.6bn(£4.1bn)
€3.6bn(£2.6bn) €2.3bn
(£1.7bn)
€32m(£23m)
€85m(£62m)
€130m(£95m)
€212m(£155m)
€11bn1 (£8bn) of Under-Performing Revenue
1 based on year end 2007 GBP / € exchange rate of: 0.73 2 Proforma 12 months to 30 September 2007
TUI AG | Investor Relations | Seite 11
Aktiengesellschaft
TourismTUI Travel – Merger related synergies
32%
9%
9%
33%
17%
Airline Restructuring & IT Distribution Tour Operations Group & Global
Synergy mix
Full synergy benefit of approximately €200 m* (₤150 m) expected until 2010Cost of expected synergies at around €250 m* (₤180 m)
* based on year end 2007 GBP / € exchange rate of: 0.73
TUI AG | Investor Relations | Seite 12
Aktiengesellschaft
TourismTUI Hotels & Resorts
TUI AG | Investor Relations | Seite 13
Aktiengesellschaft
TourismTUI Hotels & Resorts - At a glance
No 1 leisure hotelier in Europe with
237 hotels and 145,000 beds
Most hotel companies with local
partners
Focus on four star category (approx.
60%)
High occupancy rates (~80%) through
access to TUI Travel customers and
direct distribution
TUI AG | Investor Relations | Seite 14
Aktiengesellschaft
TourismTUI Hotels & Resorts - Overview
Group-controlled hotel beds by regions
Eastern Mediterranean
19%
Western Mediterranean
36%
North Africa / Egypt18%
Caribbean18%
Other9%
3 Stars16%
5 Stars21%
4 Stars63%
Hotel categories
Selective organic growth through
new hotel projects with 16
scheduled openings in 2008
TUI AG | Investor Relations | Seite 15
Aktiengesellschaft
TourismCruises
TUI AG | Investor Relations | Seite 16
Aktiengesellschaft
TourismTUI Cruises
Hapag-Lloyd Cruises operates 4 ships in the German premium and luxury segment
Utilisation of all ships was 78.6% in 2007, up by +5.1p.p. y-o-y
Joint Venture (50/50) with Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd.
Permission received from European antitrust regulators in March 2008
Plan on track to start business in Summer 2009
TUI AG | Investor Relations | Seite 17
AktiengesellschaftShipping
TUI AG | Investor Relations | Seite 18
Aktiengesellschaft
Global volume development container shipping(in TEU mill )
ShippingContinuously strong market volume growth
Source: Global Insight, March 2008
CAGR 10% CAGR 7%
74
86
96
105
114121
130
140
149
158
167
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008e 2009e 2010e 2011e 2012e 2013e
TUI AG | Investor Relations | Seite 19
Aktiengesellschaft
ShippingVolume development of main trade lanes
World Container Trade 2008e (TEU m)
13.6 (+8.0%)
Latin America
North America Europe
Africa
Far East
Middle East /Indian Ocean
Australia/New Zealand
3.7 (+5.1%)
5.6 (+6.8%)2.9 (+4.2%*)
6.6 (+6.4%)
1.3 (+5.1%)
2.9 (+5.6%)
Intra Far East
Source: Global Insight, March 08
16.2 (+7.7%)
25.4 (+7.5%)
*Compound Annual Growth Rate
(CAGR) 2008-2011 forecast in%
is shown in brackets
Dominant legNon-dominant leg
TUI AG | Investor Relations | Seite 20
Aktiengesellschaft
ShippingInto the top five through expansion
Capacities20‘ standard container ('000 TEU)
CMA-CGMMSCMaersk
2,000
1,800
1,600
1,400
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
Evergreen Hapag-Lloyd
1,764
NOL/APLCSCLCOSCO NYK OOCL
1,185
840
619493
406 398 382 376 347
Source: Transmodal, January 2008; Company data
TUI AG | Investor Relations | Seite 21
Aktiengesellschaft
Shipping Hapag-Lloyd – Member of the Grand Alliance
Scope of cooperationAlliances and Global Players
Maersk15%
CHKY11%
Grand Alliance11%
MSC10%
New World7%
CMA-CGM7%
Evergreen5%
Other34%
Alliances offer joint services and share
capacities
Member’s competitive advantage:
development of new markets
cost reduction
joint investments
share of economical risks
Hapag-Lloyd is a member of the
Grand Alliance, the leading integrated
consortia with a 11% capacity share of the
global fleet
Source: Transmodal, January 2008
TUI AG | Investor Relations | Seite 22
Aktiengesellschaft
ShippingHapag-Lloyd at a glance
Top 5 global container shipping company
through acquisition of CP Ships
141 container vessels with a total capacity
of 493,000 TEU
Revenues in 2007: € 6.0 bn
Volume in 2007: 5.5 mill TEU
Share of volume for 2007 (mill TEU):
Far East26%
Australasia13%
Latin America
16%
Atlantic27%
Trans-Pacific19%
TUI AG | Investor Relations | Seite 23
Aktiengesellschaft
ShippingOverview global Hapag-Lloyd liner services
Total number of services: 79
16 Transatlantic
10 Latin America
13 Transpacific
23 Europe-Far East
17 Australasia
as of: 31.03.2008
TUI AG | Investor Relations | Seite 24
Aktiengesellschaft
Shipping transport chain Highly efficient integrated IT systems
Empty Container (Return)
Factory/ Distribution
Centre
Inland Transport to Consignee
InboundPort
Ocean LegInland Transport
to PortOutbound PortFactory
Empty Container (Delivery)
Source: Company information
Fully integrated throughout the global organisation of more than 260 locations
Covers the entire transport chain (“only one transport file per shipment”)
Infrastructure supports all services throughout the value chain to offer customers efficient and reliable solutions
Developed in-house over past years with significant investment
an industry-leading IT system...
Only one Transport File per Shipment
Provides network to facilitate decentralised, global blueprint organisation
Real-time availability of information worldwide
Provides and combines operational and financial data
Contribution-driven, cost-effective business steering model
Improves accuracy and control of transport and documentation
...with significant efficiency benefits
Hapag-Lloyd operates
TUI AG | Investor Relations | Seite 25
Aktiengesellschaft
ShippingProductivity development
693
754
856
873
751
916
471
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1.000
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007
HL Land personnel CP Ships
(82%)
(95%)(100%)
- TEU/employees -
Figures as of year end
TUI AG | Investor Relations | Seite 26
AktiengesellschaftAgenda
I. Strategy
II. Tourism
III. Shipping
IV. Financials 2007 & Q2 2008
V. Outlook 2008
TUI AG | Investor Relations | Seite 27
AktiengesellschaftFinancials
Financial Year 2007
TUI AG | Investor Relations | Seite 28
AktiengesellschaftP&L highlights 2007
21.920.5
0
4
8
12
16
20
24
Turnover ReportedEBITA
175
-890-400
-200
0
200
Group profit after minorities
in € m in € m
2006 2007
in € bn
548
419
616
201
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
+ 173.0%
+ 47.2%
2006 2007 2006 2007 2006 2007
Goodwill impairment
-1,000
+ 6.6%
UnderlyingEBITA
TUI AG | Investor Relations | Seite 29
AktiengesellschaftTurnover and Earnings 2007
€ m 2007 2006 % 2007 2006 %
Tourism 15,638.5 14,085.1 + 11.0 448.9 394.7 + 13.7
TUI Travel 15,258.7 13,676.0 + 11.6 304.4 258.6 + 17.7
TUI Hotels & Resorts 379.8 346.7 + 9.5 146.1 123.2 + 18.6
Other - 62.4 - - 1.6 12.9 -
Shipping 6,201.6 6,254.0 - 0.8 196.7 89.2 + 120.5
Container shipping 6,018.4 6,093.7 - 1.2 182.5 81.3 + 124.5
Cruises 183.2 160.3 + 14.3 14.2 7.9 + 79.7
Central operations 25.5 175.5 - 85.5 - 29.5 - 65.4 + 54.9
Continuing operations 21,865.6 20,514.6 + 6.6 616.1 418.5 + 47.2
Discontinuing operations - 401.0 - - 29.8 -
Group 21,865.6 20,915.6 + 4.5 616.1 448.3 + 37.4
Turnover Underlying EBITA
TUI AG | Investor Relations | Seite 30
AktiengesellschaftKey figures of the TUI Group (P&L)
€ m 2007 2006 %
EBITDAR 2,534.3 2,093.5 + 21.1Rental expenses 1,211.6 1,156.1 + 4.8
EBITDA 1,322.7 937.4 + 41.1Depreciation 774.5 736.6 + 5.1
EBITA 548.2 200.8 + 173.0Impairment of goodwill 53.7 712.8 - 92.5
EBIT 494.5 - 512.0 n.m.Interest result - 257.4 - 219.1 + 17.5
EBT 237.1 - 731.1 n.m.Income taxes 0.8 129.4 n.m.
Result from continuing operations 236.3 - 860.5 n.m.Result from discontinuing operations - 17.1 -
Group profit 236.3 - 843.4 n.m.Minority interests 61.2 46.9 + 30.5
Group profit after minorities 175.1 - 890.3 n.m.Number of shares (average) mill 251,0 250,7
EPS € + 0.61 - 3.65
TUI AG | Investor Relations | Seite 31
AktiengesellschaftFinancials
2nd Quarter 2008
TUI AG | Investor Relations | Seite 32
AktiengesellschaftHighlights 2nd quarter 2008
Significant increase in Group Turnover to €6.3 bn (Q2 07: €5.2 bn, +20.3%) especially due to consolidation of First Choice Holidays
Underlying Group EBITA strongly improved to €216 m (Q2 07: €35 m)
Underlying EBITA of continuing operations (Tourism: TUI Travel, TUI Hotels & Resorts, Cruises and Central operations) raises to €101 m (Q2 07: €30 m)
Underlying EBITA of discontinued operation (Container Shipping) with substantial performance improvement at €115 m (Q2 07: €5 m)
Reported Group EBITA due to one-off expenses at €-42 m (Q2 07: €3 m)
Current trading for tourism Summer 2008 strong and first encouraging indications for Winter 2008/2009 and Summer 2009 (UK only)
Shipping freight rates well above last year; further development might be influenced through the effect of the financial crisis on world trade
TUI AG | Investor Relations | Seite 33
AktiengesellschaftTurnover and Earnings Q2 / H1 2008
€ m Q2 2008 Q2 2007 % H1 2008 H1 2007 %
Tourism Turnover 4,721.6 3,680.3 + 28.3 8,344.9 6.319.7 + 32.0 Underlying EBITA 86 45 + 91.1 - 135 - 180 + 25.0Central operations Turnover 18.6 44.0 - 57.7 31.8 75.0 - 57.6 Underlying EBITA 15 - 15 n.m. 22 - 2 n.m.
Continuing operations Turnover 4,740.2 3,724.3 + 27.3 8,376.7 6,394.7 + 31.0 Underlying EBITA 101 30 n.m. - 113 - 182 + 37.9Discontinued operation Container shipping Turnover 1,510.1 1,472.5 + 2.6 2,961.3 2,896.2 + 2.2 Underlying EBITA 115 5 n.m. 133 - 31 n.m.Group Turnover 6,250.3 5,196.8 + 20.3 11.338.0 9,290.9 + 22.0 Underlying EBITA 216 35 n.m. 20 - 213 n.m.
TUI AG | Investor Relations | Seite 34
AktiengesellschaftKey figures of the TUI Group (P&L*)
€ m Q2 2008 Q2 2007 H1 2008 H1 2007
EBITA* -131.1 - 10.1 - 429.1 - 231.8Impairment of goodwill 76.1 - 76.1 -
EBIT - 207.2 - 10.1 - 505.2 - 231.8Interest result - 93.7 - 54.8 - 176.6 - 106.5
EBT - 300.9 - 64.9 - 681.8 - 338.3Income taxes - 23.9 - 139.9 - 138.2 - 205.9
Result from continuing ops. - 277.0 75.0 - 543.6 - 132.4Result from discontinued ops. 151.7 - 4.5 140.2 97.9Group profit - 125.3 70.5 - 403.4 - 34.5Minority interests - 69.7 11.6 -181.0 23.1Group profit after minorities - 55.6 58.9 -222.4 - 57.6Number of shares (average) m 251.0 250.7 251.0 250.7
EPS € - 0.24 + 0.19 - 0.93 - 0.28
*continuing operations (reported EBITA)
TUI AG | Investor Relations | Seite 35
Aktiengesellschaft
Balance sheetNet financial debt position
€ bn 06/2008 12/2007
Financial liabilities 5.0 5.5
non-current 3.9 4.7
current 1.1 0.8
Cash 2.6 1.6
Net debt 2.5 3.9
Net debt assets held for sale 0.6 -
Net debt (incl. assets held for sale) 3.1 3.9
Considerable reduction of net financial debt position to €3.1 bn particular from the seasonality of the tourism business and redemption of financial liabilities by TUI Travel
Reclassification of €0.6 bn net debt under IFRS 5 (Hapag-Lloyd, TUIfly)
TUI AG | Investor Relations | Seite 36
AktiengesellschaftAgenda
I. Strategy
II. Tourism
III. Shipping
IV. Financials 2007 & Q2 2008
V. Outlook 2008
TUI AG | Investor Relations | Seite 37
Aktiengesellschaft
TourismBooking update
y-o-y variation% ASP Sales Customers Capacity ASP Sales Customers Capacity
Short-haul + 21 - 3 - 20 - 24 + 26 - 8 - 27 - 37
Medium-haul + 14 + 15 + 1 - 4 + 15 + 9 - 5 - 15
Long-haul + 3 + 8 + 5 + 2 + 5 + 1 - 4 - 12
UK + 15 + 5 - 9 - 13 + 13 + 2 - 10 - 21
TUI Nordic + 3 + 3 flat + 3 + 5 - 3 - 8 flat
Northern Europe + 14 + 5 - 8 -11 + 11 + 2 - 8 - 15
TUI Germany + 5 + 1 - 4
TUI Austria + 4 - 17 - 20
TUI Switzerland + 1 + 9 + 8
Central Europe + 4 flat - 4 -12
TUI France + 8 - 3 - 10
TUI Belgium + 4 + 8 + 4
TUI Netherlands + 4 + 7 + 3
Western Europe + 5 + 3 - 2 + 1
Specialist + 6 + 5 - 1 + 2 + 2 flat
Activity n/a + 1 n/a n/a + 11 n/a
ODS + 2 + 23 + 21
Summer 2008 Winter 2008/09
Based on trading statistics up to 3 August 2008
TUI AG | Investor Relations | Seite 38
AktiengesellschaftOutlook Tourism 2008
European travel market expected to grow 3-4%*
Turnover to increase due to first time consolidation of First Choice
For the Tourism division underlying EBITA is expected to rise significantly
Drivers for underlying EBITA improvement of TUI Travel: - Full year consolidation of First Choice businesses- Synergy benefits in first full year - Capacity management and growth of controlled distribution & differentiated
content in the Mainstream sector - Combination of organic & acquisition led growth in specialist sectors
Drivers for underlying EBITA improvement of TUI Hotels & Resorts:- Increase in number of bednights- Slight rise in the average revenues per bed
* WTTC Report 2007
TUI AG | Investor Relations | Seite 39
Aktiengesellschaft
Container Shipping Freight rate trends by trade lanes
1,511
1,508
1,494
1,422
1,381
1.6661,645
1,266
1,459
1,562
1,234
1.622
1.5011,506
1,415
1,345
1,392 1,443
1.700
1,626
1,653
1,556
1,4661,451
1.172
1,2031,179 1,2211,1741,179
Q1 07 Q2 07 Q3 07 Q4 07 Q1 08 Q2 08
Freight rate in US$/TEU Atlantic
Trans-Pacific
Latin America
Far East
Australasia
TUI AG | Investor Relations | Seite 40
AktiengesellschaftOutlook Container Shipping 2008
Market growth of approx. 6-7%* expected
Continued strategy for controlled volume growth
Average annual freight rates are forecast to rise against last year
Turnover above last year, growth depending on the development of the US
Dollar versus the Euro
Underlying EBITA expected to increase significantly based on:
- Growth in average freight rates and rise in volumes
- Full synergies from the integration of CP Ships being available
- Further cost savings in operative business
* Global Insight March 2008
TUI AG | Investor Relations | Seite 41
AktiengesellschaftFinancial calendar
14 August 2008 Second Quarter 2008
14 November 2008 Third Quarter 2008
25 March 2009 Financial Year 2008 - Press Conference and Analysts‘ Meeting
13 May 2009 Annual General Meeting
TUI AG Investor Relations - E-mail: [email protected] - Phone: +49-511-566-1425
TUI AG | Investor Relations | Seite 42
AktiengesellschaftFuture-related statements
This presentation contains a number of statements related to the
future development of TUI. These statements are based both on
assumptions and estimates. Although we are convinced that these
future-related statements are realistic, we cannot guarantee them, for
our assumptions involve risks and uncertainties which may give rise to
situations in which the actual results differ substantially from the
expected ones. The potential reasons for such differences include
market fluctuations, the development of world market fluctuations,
the development of world market commodity prices, the
development of exchange rates or fundamental changes in the
economic environment. TUI does not intend or assume any obligation
to update any forward-looking statement to reflect events or
circumstances after the date of these materials.