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Truancy Programs Richard Dembo, Ph.D. Criminology Department University of South Florida 4202 E. Fowler Avenue Tampa, FL 33620 April 2010

Truancy Programs Richard Dembo, Ph.D. Criminology Department University of South Florida 4202 E. Fowler Avenue Tampa, FL 33620 April 2010

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Page 1: Truancy Programs Richard Dembo, Ph.D. Criminology Department University of South Florida 4202 E. Fowler Avenue Tampa, FL 33620 April 2010

Truancy ProgramsRichard Dembo, Ph.D. Criminology Department

University of South Florida4202 E. Fowler Avenue

Tampa, FL 33620

April 2010

Page 2: Truancy Programs Richard Dembo, Ph.D. Criminology Department University of South Florida 4202 E. Fowler Avenue Tampa, FL 33620 April 2010

The General State of Truancy Programs in the U.S.

• In many communities, truancy programs remain sanction and procedure oriented.

• Resources are focused on identifying, locating and transitioning truant youth back into their respective schools with appropriate sanctions and/or citations.

• Often, these efforts include formal adjudication, police involvement, and suspension or remedial programs, which have not been shown to be effective in resolving the issues fostering truancy.

Page 3: Truancy Programs Richard Dembo, Ph.D. Criminology Department University of South Florida 4202 E. Fowler Avenue Tampa, FL 33620 April 2010

The General State of Truancy Programs in the U.S. (Continued)

• Many communities lack screening/assessment and intervention services for truant youth in spite of the psychosocial problems these youth often present.

• A more effective response to truancy requires identifying and addressing the problems that these youth and their families are experiencing through effective truancy intervention programs.

• Review of the literature identified a relatively small number of studies of interventions that have been put in place to decrease truancy rates by remediating the problems causing this behavior.

~(Dembo & Gulledge, 2009).

Page 4: Truancy Programs Richard Dembo, Ph.D. Criminology Department University of South Florida 4202 E. Fowler Avenue Tampa, FL 33620 April 2010

Types of Truancy Programs

• School Based Programs

• Community Based Programs

• School & Community Based Programs

• Court System Based Programs

• Law Enforcement Based Programs

Page 5: Truancy Programs Richard Dembo, Ph.D. Criminology Department University of South Florida 4202 E. Fowler Avenue Tampa, FL 33620 April 2010

Essential Qualities of Effective Truancy Programs

• In its review of promising truancy reduction programs, the Colorado Foundation for Families and Children noted several critical elements that were necessary for effective programming:

1) parent/guardian involvement;

2) a continuum of services, to include meaningful incentives, consequences and support;

3) collaboration with community resources—including law enforcement, mental health services, mentoring and social services;

4) school administrative support and commitment to keeping youth in the educational mainstream;

5) ongoing evaluation. ~Colorado Foundation for Families and

Children(2007)

Page 6: Truancy Programs Richard Dembo, Ph.D. Criminology Department University of South Florida 4202 E. Fowler Avenue Tampa, FL 33620 April 2010

Essential Qualities of Effective Truancy Programs (Continued)

• Few of the many programs the Foundation reviewed met these criteria

Of particular concern was the general lack of detailed information on program implementation and system issues experienced by truancy reduction programs, as well as a lack of process and outcome evaluations, which could inform the field.

Page 7: Truancy Programs Richard Dembo, Ph.D. Criminology Department University of South Florida 4202 E. Fowler Avenue Tampa, FL 33620 April 2010

Essential Qualities of Effective Truancy Programs (Continued)

• Most evaluations of truancy programs are:– Based on aggregate data;

– Often lack meaningful comparison groups (Lehr, Sinclair & Christenson, 2004);

– Focus on short-term benefits (e.g., reduction in unexcused absences) which do not provide meaningful information on changes in individual’s school attendance or academic school performance (OJJDP, 2001 citing Mueller, Giacomazzi, & Stoddard, 2006).

Page 8: Truancy Programs Richard Dembo, Ph.D. Criminology Department University of South Florida 4202 E. Fowler Avenue Tampa, FL 33620 April 2010

Challenges Presented by Truancy Programs

• Each of the various types of truancy programs have experienced implementation challenges.

• As previously noted, a majority of the research published from truancy studies is predominantly descriptive in nature. – Of these, a relatively small proportion of studies describe program

evaluation efforts.

– Even smaller still is the number of studies that discuss implementation challenges or empirically validated results of project effectiveness and short or long term outcomes.

Page 9: Truancy Programs Richard Dembo, Ph.D. Criminology Department University of South Florida 4202 E. Fowler Avenue Tampa, FL 33620 April 2010

Challenges Presented by Truancy Programs (Continued)

• The general lack of methodologically sound, empirical studies conducted to determine truancy program effectiveness continues to impede our understanding of how to best serve the growing numbers of truant youth across the nation.

• Program evaluations in pilot studies conducted in the field are frequently considered threatening; whereas, unevaluated programs are perceived to be “safe.”

Page 10: Truancy Programs Richard Dembo, Ph.D. Criminology Department University of South Florida 4202 E. Fowler Avenue Tampa, FL 33620 April 2010

Challenges Presented by Truancy Programs (Continued)

• Reluctance for program evaluations may be because:

– “The facts, when made public, may set back a program and the policy under which it operates, particularly if there are some negative findings in the evaluation.” (Palumbo, 1987, p. 22).

Page 11: Truancy Programs Richard Dembo, Ph.D. Criminology Department University of South Florida 4202 E. Fowler Avenue Tampa, FL 33620 April 2010

Challenges Presented by Truancy Programs (Continued)

• Additionally:

– If project staff members are fearful of negative evaluation results, “avoiding political embarrassment rather than accomplishing program goals may become the first priority” (Faux, 1971, p. 278).

– Descriptive and predictive studies are important to our understanding events and issues preceding student truancy, chronic absenteeism, and school dropout.

Page 12: Truancy Programs Richard Dembo, Ph.D. Criminology Department University of South Florida 4202 E. Fowler Avenue Tampa, FL 33620 April 2010

Challenges Presented by Truancy Programs (Continued)

• Studies that evaluate the effectiveness of truancy interventions are needed to determine whether these programs successfully serve their intended populations and meet project goals by improving truant youth psychosocial functioning, including truant and related behavior.

Page 13: Truancy Programs Richard Dembo, Ph.D. Criminology Department University of South Florida 4202 E. Fowler Avenue Tampa, FL 33620 April 2010

Challenges Presented by Truancy Programs (Continued)

• A serious need exists to precisely document truancy interventions, as well as to empirically evaluate their effectiveness.

• Further, it is important to establish a continuum of

care for truant youth, inviting collaboration with relevant community agencies.

Page 14: Truancy Programs Richard Dembo, Ph.D. Criminology Department University of South Florida 4202 E. Fowler Avenue Tampa, FL 33620 April 2010

The Hillsborough County, Truancy Intake Center

• Intake and Processing Youths at the TIC

• Involvement in Intervention Services

Page 15: Truancy Programs Richard Dembo, Ph.D. Criminology Department University of South Florida 4202 E. Fowler Avenue Tampa, FL 33620 April 2010

Issues Relating to Truancy

• Truancy in American schools • Midpoint along a continuum (Nat'l School Safety Center, 1996)

• Truants represent an at-risk population (Dembo & Turner, 1994)• Stressful, troubled family situations

• Educational difficulties

• Emotional and other psychosocial difficulties

• Alcohol and/or other drug use

• Identification and response

Page 16: Truancy Programs Richard Dembo, Ph.D. Criminology Department University of South Florida 4202 E. Fowler Avenue Tampa, FL 33620 April 2010

• Drug involvement exists among a sizable proportion of truant youth

Truant youth are unlikely to receive drug intervention services under current procedures

Affordable and transportable interventions for drug-using truant youth are rare, yet greatly needed

Truant youth consist of a heterogeneous group of younger, mild-to-moderate drug using youth Very few low-intensive services are available to them

A Significant and Innovative Approach

Page 17: Truancy Programs Richard Dembo, Ph.D. Criminology Department University of South Florida 4202 E. Fowler Avenue Tampa, FL 33620 April 2010

A Significant and Innovative Approach (Continued)

• Current treatment technologies for juvenile drug abuse are incorporated Current treatment technologies for juvenile drug abuse are incorporated into the curriculuminto the curriculum

– Cognitive-behavioral, problem solving, and family strategiesCognitive-behavioral, problem solving, and family strategies

• Truancy centers - opportunistic settings for BITruancy centers - opportunistic settings for BI

• Inclusion criteria are targeted for non-serious justice involved, mild-to-Inclusion criteria are targeted for non-serious justice involved, mild-to-moderate drug using youths in order to test the intervention as a moderate drug using youths in order to test the intervention as a secondary prevention curriculumsecondary prevention curriculum

– A form of service that has been generally understudied and under-A form of service that has been generally understudied and under-utilized in juvenile drug treatment systemsutilized in juvenile drug treatment systems

Page 18: Truancy Programs Richard Dembo, Ph.D. Criminology Department University of South Florida 4202 E. Fowler Avenue Tampa, FL 33620 April 2010

Specific Goals

To test the efficacy of Brief Intervention-Youth (BI-Y) and To test the efficacy of Brief Intervention-Youth (BI-Y) and Brief Intervention-Parent (BI-P) on post-program drug use Brief Intervention-Parent (BI-P) on post-program drug use and related behaviors for truant youthand related behaviors for truant youth

• To test the relative effects of parental involvement in the BI To test the relative effects of parental involvement in the BI on post-treatment drug use and related behaviorson post-treatment drug use and related behaviors

• To identify youth and parent factors that are associated with To identify youth and parent factors that are associated with significant post-program improvementsignificant post-program improvement

– Reductions in drug use and delinquent behavior and Reductions in drug use and delinquent behavior and improvement in school behavior and attitudesimprovement in school behavior and attitudes

Page 19: Truancy Programs Richard Dembo, Ph.D. Criminology Department University of South Florida 4202 E. Fowler Avenue Tampa, FL 33620 April 2010

Efforts to address truant behavior are all too often sanction and procedure oriented

• Truant youth: disciplinary and management problems

Without a continuum-of-care across service areas (i.e. school, community, court, law enforcement agencies), truancy initiatives are ill-equipped to address issues directly associated with truancy

• Academic problems, troubled family situations, and other psychosocial difficulties - including drug use

Continuity of Care

Page 20: Truancy Programs Richard Dembo, Ph.D. Criminology Department University of South Florida 4202 E. Fowler Avenue Tampa, FL 33620 April 2010

Continuity of Care (continued)

• Current intervention services in Hillsborough Current intervention services in Hillsborough County are addressing truancy by crossing agency County are addressing truancy by crossing agency boundaries. The following agencies work together:boundaries. The following agencies work together:• The Hillsborough County Juvenile Assessment The Hillsborough County Juvenile Assessment

Center, Hillsborough County Sheriff’s Office, the Center, Hillsborough County Sheriff’s Office, the City of Tampa Police Department, Hillsborough City of Tampa Police Department, Hillsborough County School Board, and the University of County School Board, and the University of South Florida [with NIDA funding]South Florida [with NIDA funding]

Page 21: Truancy Programs Richard Dembo, Ph.D. Criminology Department University of South Florida 4202 E. Fowler Avenue Tampa, FL 33620 April 2010

Continuity of Care (continued)

The benefits of interagency collaboration includes:The benefits of interagency collaboration includes:• Common objective of all collaborative agencies in Common objective of all collaborative agencies in

addressing the service needs and risk factors of truant addressing the service needs and risk factors of truant youth in an effort to prevent their school failure and youth in an effort to prevent their school failure and movement into the juvenile justice systemmovement into the juvenile justice system

• Holistic, systems oriented, in-home interventionHolistic, systems oriented, in-home intervention

• Extended follow-up and community referral servicesExtended follow-up and community referral services

Page 22: Truancy Programs Richard Dembo, Ph.D. Criminology Department University of South Florida 4202 E. Fowler Avenue Tampa, FL 33620 April 2010

Selection of Study Subjects

Study Setting• Hillsborough County Truancy Intake Center (TIC)

Study Eligibility• Youth processed at the TIC are eligible for inclusion if:Youth processed at the TIC are eligible for inclusion if:

• They are between 11-15 years of age,They are between 11-15 years of age,• They indicate past year alcohol/drug use on the Personal Experience Screening Questionnaire They indicate past year alcohol/drug use on the Personal Experience Screening Questionnaire

(PESQ; Winters, 1992) or TIC Social Worker indicates youth has an alcohol/drug use issue, (PESQ; Winters, 1992) or TIC Social Worker indicates youth has an alcohol/drug use issue, • They have no official record of delinquency, or a delinquency record with no more than two They have no official record of delinquency, or a delinquency record with no more than two

misdemeanorsmisdemeanors

*Social Worker / Guidance Counselor Referral System**Social Worker / Guidance Counselor Referral System*• Students may also be referred to the BI-Project by their on-site school Social Worker or Guidance Students may also be referred to the BI-Project by their on-site school Social Worker or Guidance

CounselorCounselor• The social worker/guidance counselor may present the BI project to the youth/family and encourage them The social worker/guidance counselor may present the BI project to the youth/family and encourage them

to contact the TIC staffto contact the TIC staff• After a referred family makes contact, project staff will check the youth for eligibility (i.e., arrest history)After a referred family makes contact, project staff will check the youth for eligibility (i.e., arrest history)

*Diversion Program Referral System**Diversion Program Referral System*• We also accept referrals of youths meeting study eligibility criteria from a community diversion programWe also accept referrals of youths meeting study eligibility criteria from a community diversion program

Page 23: Truancy Programs Richard Dembo, Ph.D. Criminology Department University of South Florida 4202 E. Fowler Avenue Tampa, FL 33620 April 2010

• Invitation to ParticipateInvitation to Participate• Overview of project; Schedule first in-home assessmentOverview of project; Schedule first in-home assessment

• Research InterviewsResearch Interviews• A research staff member meets with youth & parent for A research staff member meets with youth & parent for

the consent/assent process and an initial in-home the consent/assent process and an initial in-home interviewinterview

• Follow-up in-home interviews conducted at 3, 6, 12, & Follow-up in-home interviews conducted at 3, 6, 12, & 18-months following last participation 18-months following last participation

• Youth and parents interviews conducted separately Youth and parents interviews conducted separately

Family Enrollment

Page 24: Truancy Programs Richard Dembo, Ph.D. Criminology Department University of South Florida 4202 E. Fowler Avenue Tampa, FL 33620 April 2010

• Random Assignment• 1/3 of the participants do not meet with an interventionist; receive Standard Truancy Services + project referral assistance• 1/3 of the participants have two (youth) in-home sessions with an interventionist• 1/3 of the participants have three in-home sessions with an interventionist (two youth sessions + one parent/guardian session)

• Session ONE (Youth)• Substance use and related consequences• Willingness to change• Causes and benefits of change• Goals for change the youth would like to pursue• Abstinence or reduce substance use goals

• Session TWO (Youth) • Reviews progress with the agreed upon goals• Identifies risk situations associated with the youth’s difficulty in goal attainment• Strategies to address barriers toward goal attainment• Negotiates a continuation in goals or advancement to more ambitious goals

• Session THREE (Parent/Guardian)• Integrated behavioral and family therapy approach• Topics addressed with parent/guardian:

• Child’s substance use problems• Parent attitudes/behaviors regarding their child’s substance use• Parent monitoring/supervision to promote progress toward their child’s intervention goals• Parent communication skills to enhance youth-parent connectedness

Youth and parent/guardian given $5 for each session they attend.

Intervention Groups

Page 25: Truancy Programs Richard Dembo, Ph.D. Criminology Department University of South Florida 4202 E. Fowler Avenue Tampa, FL 33620 April 2010

Strengths of Brief Intervention

• BI coordinates therapy components• Rational-Emotive Therapy (RET)

• Promotes adaptive beliefs• Problem Solving Therapy (PST)

• Promotes coping skills

• BI promotes self-efficacy

• BI is individually tailored

• BI is flexible

• BI focuses on real-life applications

• BI promotes parent monitoring and support

Page 26: Truancy Programs Richard Dembo, Ph.D. Criminology Department University of South Florida 4202 E. Fowler Avenue Tampa, FL 33620 April 2010

Gender Breakdown (n=137)

Page 27: Truancy Programs Richard Dembo, Ph.D. Criminology Department University of South Florida 4202 E. Fowler Avenue Tampa, FL 33620 April 2010

Ethnic Breakdown (n=137)

Page 28: Truancy Programs Richard Dembo, Ph.D. Criminology Department University of South Florida 4202 E. Fowler Avenue Tampa, FL 33620 April 2010

Age: Mean= 14.71, SD=1.22Lives With:

Biological mom and dad: 13.9%

Biological mom alone: 28.5%

Biological mom & stepdad/boyfriend: 22.6%

Biological mom & other relative/friend: 16.8%

Biological dad: 2.2%

Biological dad & stepmother/girlfriend: 2.9%

Biological dad & other relative/friend: 0.7%

Other living arrangement: 12.3%

Age and Living Arrangement

Page 29: Truancy Programs Richard Dembo, Ph.D. Criminology Department University of South Florida 4202 E. Fowler Avenue Tampa, FL 33620 April 2010

Alcohol/Other Drug Use (n=137)

AlcoholEver drank alcohol to point of feeling buzzed or intoxicated (64%) Ever drank alcohol 5+ times in lifetime to the point of feeling buzzed orintoxicated (36%)

MarijuanaEver used marijuana (93%) Ever used marijuana 5+ times in lifetime (66%)

Other Drugs Ever Used by 10% of YouthsBarbiturates (12%)Ever used other drug 5+ times (9%)

Page 30: Truancy Programs Richard Dembo, Ph.D. Criminology Department University of South Florida 4202 E. Fowler Avenue Tampa, FL 33620 April 2010

Alcohol/Other Drug Use

•Urine test results (n=125)

Positive for Amphetamines* 6%

Positive for Cocaine <1%

Positive for Opiates --

Positive for Marijuana 47%

* Many of these youths were on amphetamine based ADHD medication.

Page 31: Truancy Programs Richard Dembo, Ph.D. Criminology Department University of South Florida 4202 E. Fowler Avenue Tampa, FL 33620 April 2010

Alcohol/Other Drug Use/Abuse Diagnosis

• Substance Use/Abuse Diagnosis(%)

None Abuse Dependence

Alcohol 80 15 5

Marijuana 42 36 21

Other drugs (e.g., barbs) 92 7 2

Combined/Ov. Diagnosis 39 39 23

Page 32: Truancy Programs Richard Dembo, Ph.D. Criminology Department University of South Florida 4202 E. Fowler Avenue Tampa, FL 33620 April 2010

• Unemployment of parent 52.6%

• Divorce of parents 42.3%

• Death of loved one 62.8%

• Serious illness 34.3%

• Victim of violent crime 20.4%

• Eviction from house or apartment 18.2%

• Legal problem resulting in jail time or detention 27.0%

• Accidental injury requiring hospitalization 9.5%

• Other traumatic event not listed 46.7% (e.g., youth being placed in foster care, not having a relationship with father)

  Mean=3.14, SD=1.73

Parent/Guardian Report of Youth or Their Family Experiencing Stressful/Traumatic Events in Lifetime (n=137)

Page 33: Truancy Programs Richard Dembo, Ph.D. Criminology Department University of South Florida 4202 E. Fowler Avenue Tampa, FL 33620 April 2010

Self-Reported Sexual Risk Behaviors: Baseline and 3 Mos. Follow-Up

Baseline (Ever)(n=135-137)(%)

3 Mos. Follow Up(n=101)(%)

1. Have any of your close friends had sex? 81 72

2. Have you had any kind of sexual contact with another person?85 76

3.Have you had sexual intercourse? 68 66

4. Have you had sexual intercourse without using a condom?35 29

5. Do you find it difficult to use condoms every time you have sex?12 9

6. Have you thought you or your partner might be pregnant?26 15

7. Have you been or gotten someone pregnant? 4 4

8. Have you been tested for HIV? 15 20

9. Have you had sex with two or more people? 32 33

10. Have you had anal intercourse (sex in the butt)? 8 5

11. Have you had a sexually transmitted disease (STD)? 2 1

Page 34: Truancy Programs Richard Dembo, Ph.D. Criminology Department University of South Florida 4202 E. Fowler Avenue Tampa, FL 33620 April 2010

Past Year Self-Reported Delinquency (%)(N=137)

Offense Type 0 1-4 5-29 30-54 55-99 100-199 200+

Index 52 31 12 5 -- 2 --

Person crimes 23 33 30 4 5 4 2

General Theft 25 36 30 5 2 <1 2

Drug Sales 66 19 9 2 2 2 <1

Total Delinquency 7 17 42 15 7 7 5

Page 35: Truancy Programs Richard Dembo, Ph.D. Criminology Department University of South Florida 4202 E. Fowler Avenue Tampa, FL 33620 April 2010

Psychosocial Description of the Youths’ Families and the Youths (n=136 or 137) (% Ever)

Family Problems Family member ever had an alcohol/other drug abuse problem 58

Family member ever received alcohol/other drug use treatment 24

Family history of mental health problems 36

Youth Problems Ever had an alcohol/other drug abuse problem 19

Ever received treatment for alcohol/other drug abuse problem 11

Ever received services for emotional/behavioral problems 51

Page 36: Truancy Programs Richard Dembo, Ph.D. Criminology Department University of South Florida 4202 E. Fowler Avenue Tampa, FL 33620 April 2010

The Longitudinal Model

Figure 1

Page 37: Truancy Programs Richard Dembo, Ph.D. Criminology Department University of South Florida 4202 E. Fowler Avenue Tampa, FL 33620 April 2010

Conceptual/Research Foundation for the Model

• The sexual risky behavior model is based on the literature indicating:

– Relationships between youth’s psychosocial problems and drug use (Dembo & Schmeidler, 2002; Dembo, Wareham et al., 2007);

– Relationships between these constructs and youths’ engaging in sexual risky behavior (Elkington, Teplin et al., 2008; Rowe, Wang et al., 2008; Cook, Comer et al., 2006; Tolou-Shams, Brown et al., 2008; Dembo, Belenko et al., 2009);

– Continuity of sexual risky behavior over time (Romero, Teplin et al., 2007; DiClemente, Wingood et al., 2002).

Page 38: Truancy Programs Richard Dembo, Ph.D. Criminology Department University of South Florida 4202 E. Fowler Avenue Tampa, FL 33620 April 2010

Key Measures

1. Self-Reported Delinquency (Elliott et al., 1976), log transformed

2. Stressful/traumatic events of youth/family member (Parent reports) (from parent/guardian (Adolescent Diagnostic Interview [ADI] [Winters & Henly, 1993])

3. Reported family alcohol/drug problems & mental health problems(ADI)

4. Youth reported emotional/psychological problems (ADI)

5. Lifetime alcohol, marijuana other drug use (baseline ADI)

6. UA marijuana (baseline)

7. Sexual Risky Behavior (POSIT HIV/STD Risk Behavior Questions baseline and 3 month follow-up). Good psychometric properties (e.g., internal consistency = 0.80, one-week test-retest reliability = 0.90; concurrent validity with the Sexual Risk Questionnaire scores: r = 0.80)

• Variable Measurement Level: – Continuous: SRD total score, caretaker report of stressful/traumatic events

(measures 1 & 2)– Categorical: All other variables in the model were binary or ordinal

Page 39: Truancy Programs Richard Dembo, Ph.D. Criminology Department University of South Florida 4202 E. Fowler Avenue Tampa, FL 33620 April 2010

Preliminary Analyses

Confirmatory factor analysis of the psychosocial and drug use variables found them to be significantly related to separate, but correlated, latent variables (Mplus; Muthen & Muthen [version 5], 2007) (chi-square=14.64[15], p=.48) (CFI=1.000, TLI=1.000, RMSEA=0.000, WRMR=0.591).

Exploratory factor analysis (SPSS, Version 17) at each time point,

found the sex risk behavior items 2 (sexual contact), 3 (intercourse), 4 (sex w/o condom) & 9 (2+ sex partners) to form a separate factor. Hence, these items were used as our measures of sex risk.

Page 40: Truancy Programs Richard Dembo, Ph.D. Criminology Department University of South Florida 4202 E. Fowler Avenue Tampa, FL 33620 April 2010

Preliminary Analyses (Continued)

• At each time point, confirmatory factor analysis found the sex risk behavior items to measure one latent variable reflecting sexual risk (baseline: chi-square=0.14[1], p=0.71) )(CFI=1.000, TLI=1.014, RMSEA=0.000, WRMR=0.142); 3 mos. follow-up: chi-square=1.79[2], p=0.41) (CFI=1.000, TLI=1.002, RMSEA=0.000, WRMR=0.348)

For the baseline and 3 month follow-up sexual risk items/factors, measurement invariance (equal factor loadings and thresholds) was supported by additional analyses (Nested chi-square test=7.48[5],p=0.19) (Widaman & Reise, 1997).

Page 41: Truancy Programs Richard Dembo, Ph.D. Criminology Department University of South Florida 4202 E. Fowler Avenue Tampa, FL 33620 April 2010

Results of Model Test

Figure 2

Page 42: Truancy Programs Richard Dembo, Ph.D. Criminology Department University of South Florida 4202 E. Fowler Avenue Tampa, FL 33620 April 2010

Covariate Effects on Latent Variables in the Sexual Risky Behavioral Model

Psychosocial Factors

Drug Use

Baseline Sex Risk

3 mos. Sex Risk

Estimate S.E. Estimate S.E. Estimate S.E. Estimate S.E.

Age -0.045 0.042 0.150* 0.055 0.267* 0.080 -0.120 0.133

Gender (Female)

0.131 0.108 -0.014 0.113 0.307 0.214 -0.043 0.269

AAmer -0.352* 0.145 -0.147 0.143 0.459 0.246 -0.587 0.487

Hispanic -0.262 0.126 0.098 0.120 0.237 0.237 -0.183 0.345

Page 43: Truancy Programs Richard Dembo, Ph.D. Criminology Department University of South Florida 4202 E. Fowler Avenue Tampa, FL 33620 April 2010

Future Directions

• Repeat analyses with a larger number of cases

• Examine for intervention effects

• Pursue latent growth modeling analyses involving more time points

• Pursue mediation analyses