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1 TRENDS THAT ARE SHAPING TRENDS THAT ARE SHAPING EDUCATION AND TRAINING IN EDUCATION AND TRAINING IN EUROPE EUROPE Claudio Dondi President of SCIENTER, Vice-President of EDEN Athens, 20 December 2005

TRENDS THAT ARE SHAPING EDUCATION AND TRAINING IN EUROPE

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TRENDS THAT ARE SHAPING EDUCATION AND TRAINING IN EUROPE. Claudio Dondi President of SCIENTER, Vice-President of EDEN. Athens, 20 December 2005. Delphi survey addressed to European experts of E&T Weak signal survey Validation and enrichment of results through national seminars. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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TRENDS THAT ARE TRENDS THAT ARE SHAPING EDUCATION AND SHAPING EDUCATION AND

TRAINING IN EUROPETRAINING IN EUROPE

Claudio DondiPresident of SCIENTER, Vice-President of

EDEN

Athens, 20 December 2005

2

The Leonie research on The Leonie research on future learning in future learning in

EuropeEurope Delphi survey

addressed to European experts of E&T

Weak signal survey Validation and

enrichment of results through national seminars

3

Some results of the Some results of the LEONIE researchLEONIE research

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Most influential exogenous trends for E&TRise of knowledge economy

Internationalisation: growth of international exchanges

IT infrastructure: broadband interoperable networks

Diffusion of new media

Flexibility

Polarisation of incomes

Reduced security of citizens and workers

Digital divide

Reduction in welfare provisions

Organisational change inside companies

Slowdown of economic growth

Networking through the web becoming a community power

Deregulation

New technological perspectives: ubiquitous computing…

Outsourcing

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Most influential trends into E&T

Increased integration of formal and informal learning

Growing concern for cost-effectiveness of learningprovisionsIncrease of Internet-based materials and products for E&T

Diffusions of new learning materials

Increasing importance of value added services in E&T

Learning systems guaranteeing a match between E&Tprovision Increasing commodification (marketisation) of education

Shortening educational products/services lifecycles

Increasing number and variety of actors in E&T

Increasing Local/national/international networkinginitiativesLifelong learning/continuing E&T diffusion

Increasing competitiveness among educationalinstitutions within/outside the EUStructural changes in education institutions

Increasing allocation of resources for ICT in learning

Quality of learning provisions increasingly important

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Strong SignalsStrong Signals

Learner driven education

Personalized, just-in-time

Learning to Learn

Privatization Emphasis on

Quality

ICT in Education and Training 35

Personalization 30

Lifelong Learning becomes mainstream

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Internationalization/globalization of Education and Training

12

Access is important 10

Gap between well-educated and poorly-educated increases

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Financial Issues 5

Edutainment (games) will partially substitute education and training

3

Other 3

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Likelihood of policies

Stimulating the use of ICT for learning purpose

Increasing quality and evaluation practices

Stimulate the participation to scientif ic and technical studies

Making lifelong learning more attractive

Improving training for teachers, tutors, trainers, stakeholders

consolidating the European dimension of education

Broadening access to learning provisions for all

Promote employment and employees upskilling

Encouraging private E&T providers

Developing entrepreneurship through E&T

Integration of systems: education-training-labour market…

Encouraging not for profit E&T providers

Promoting investment in Research and Development

Policies aimed at increasing productivity of education

Policies to provide learning on an on-demand basis

2nd chance programmes linking formal-non formal education

Shifting f inancial support from supply to demand

Shifting resources from youngster education to adult learning

"know ledge asset management"

Making the teaching profession more attractive

Extremely unlikely unlikely likely extremely likely

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Results of the LEONIE Results of the LEONIE researchresearch

Learning systems are becoming: more and more plural more attentive to individual needs, and

therefore reflecting the diversification of learning and living patterns in Europe

evolving in accordance with economic macro-trends such as the rise of the knowledge economy, the internationalisation of exchanges and flexibility of companies and individuals

more open cross-cultural/national initiatives

Based on just in time, but also just enough learning

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Results of the LEONIE Results of the LEONIE research research

Learning systems are becoming: virtual and worldwide. ICT will enable

people to learn in collaborative communities worldwide

Complemented, but not subsituted by edutainment

More accessible, despite the risk of skills gaps

More integrated (education, training, labour market)

Lifelong and Lifewide

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Tensions in future Tensions in future learning systemslearning systems

Alternative/complementary visions of the future can be represented as “tensions”

Tensions involve institutions in seemingly mutually-exclusive choices-

Tensions are not necessarily antithetical. Future learning could advance in both directions, in one or in none of them…

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Tensions in future Tensions in future learning systemslearning systems

The identification of tensions or “critical uncertainties”: reduces the complexity provides a platform for debates encourages individuals and

organizations to positions themselves

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Core tensions for Core tensions for future learningfuture learning

Convergence Context

Access Excellence

Market dynamics Public good values

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Core tensions for Core tensions for future learningfuture learning

Support traditional Bring new actorsE&T providers

Generalisation Specialisation

Information Knowledge

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Core tensions for Core tensions for future learningfuture learning

Individualisation Socialisation

More investment More efficiency

Focus on young people Re-direct resources to adult learners

Continuity Experimentalism

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Shift in perspectiveShift in perspective

“YOU must be the change you wish to see in the world”

Mahatma Gandhi

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1. Understanding

Change

2.Adapting to

Change

3.Shaping the

future

Approaches to changeApproaches to change

0.….?

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Reasonable concernsReasonable concerns Isolation of learners Lack of teacher’s feed-back Uncertainty of cost Uncertainty about eLearning quality Risk of “diminishing” the teacher’s role Loss of learning context Shortage of competences required Lack of competence about IPR issues Domination of technology and market

forces

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New Vision (1/2)New Vision (1/2)

Dialogue and communication

“Extended learning context”

“Ownership” of learning

International virtual mobility

International partnership

Investment logics

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New Vision (2/2)New Vision (2/2)

Integration of formal, non-formal and informal learning

Combination of eLearning, classroom sessions and work-based learning

Social and communication skills

Employability of students

Quality standards and procedures

Problem of access

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Recommendations Recommendations regarding policy re-regarding policy re-

orientationorientation Re-establish the policy momentum

eLearning aligned to societal and

economic needs

The Lifelong Learning agenda

Role of ICT, eLearning and Virtual

Mobility in the Bologna Process

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Recommendations for Recommendations for actionaction

Extend quality assurance enhancement to eLearning

To support and enhance virtual mobility

Undertaking more research Involve the professional

environment Co-ordinate actions and resources

in the eLearning field

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Conceptual FrameworkConceptual Framework

SR V

Perception

Stakeholder

Object

RLE

L S L P

L C

Quality of Learning experience

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Visions of the WorldVisions of the World(adapted from Boltanski and Thévenot)(adapted from Boltanski and Thévenot)

1/21/2

VALUE FEATURES The World of Inspiration

Singularity, difference, innovation, originality, irrationality, imaginary, spirituality, unconscious, chance

The Domestic World

Confidence, responsibility, merit, respectability, convention, dignity, tradition, hierarchy, rank; parents, children, generation; rules and confidence, principles; harmony; the "natural"; the duty

The World of Opinion

Image, reputation, fame, success, honour, acknowledgement, visibility, audience, credibility, identification

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Visions of the WorldVisions of the World(adapted from Boltanski and Thévenot)(adapted from Boltanski and Thévenot)

2/22/2VALUE FEATURES

The Civic World The general will, the common interest, generosity, self-abnegation, sacrifice, pride, the group, collective action, collective entities (ideas, values, symbols and institutions).

The Merchant World

Wealth, money, business, fair deals, good deals, bargain; interest, attention to clients; contract; competition, opportunities, freedom.

The Industrial World

Progress, future, functionality, efficiency, optimality, performance, productivity, professionality, reliability, far-sightedness, system

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The World of InspirationThe World of Inspiration

e-Learning is …

A huge opportunity to open up

curriculum boundaries and to

generate new knowledge and

content through grass-roots energy

mobilisation.

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The Domestic WorldThe Domestic World

e-Learning is …

A potentially dangerous development that needs appropriate legislation, quality control, protection of young

learners and a high level of structuring of learning paths and activities before being considered as a serious complement to

traditionalteaching methods.

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The World of Opinion and The World of Opinion and ImageImage

e-Learning is …

A recent development in the education and training area, that should be trusted

only when proposed by a well-established organisation which could

provide prestigious titles.

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The Civic WorldThe Civic World

e-Learning is …

An interesting opportunity to develop community-based learning, to give access

to learning opportunities to people who would be excluded.

BUT ALSOA risk of de-contextualising the learning experiences through the dominance of

global providers.

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The Merchant WorldThe Merchant World

The way to maximise the access to learning opportunities and to minimise the costs of both producing and purchasing learning.

An opportunity to challenge conservative education and training systems.

A new opportunity to develop new services and contents for a potentially huge market.

e-Learning is …

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The Industrial WorldThe Industrial World

A modern and efficient way to rationalise provision of education and training, guaranteeing standard quality and seamless access.

A way of facing huge training needs in a short time and without depending on variable quality teachers/trainers and organisational constraints.

e-Learning is …

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The Industrial WorldThe Industrial World

A modern and efficient way to rationalise provision of education and training, guaranteeing standard quality and seamless access.

A way of facing huge training needs in a short time and without depending on variable quality teachers/trainers and organisational constraints.

e-Learning is …

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E-learning territoriesE-learning territories

ICT for learning purpose into schools

Corporate and public administration e-learning

ICT for learning purpose into universities

Sectoral

ICT for learning purpose into VET institutions

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E-learning territoriesE-learning territories

Non professional learning communities

Inter-organisational development through e-learning

Individual development through e-learning

Evolved distance education

ICT for virtual mobility of learners

Professional networks

Training of teachers and trainers through e-learning

Transversal

Communities generating learning as a side effect

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Shift in perspectiveShift in perspective

Once a predictive capacity has been established…

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GLOBAL

DRIVERS OF

CHANGE

ICT

DEMO

VALUES

EXO.

TRENDS

Main trends(sector)

FORESEEN EVOLUTION

Expected policies

Visions and values(sector)

ENDO.

TRENDS

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Developing a Developing a transformative strategytransformative strategy

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FORESEENEVOLUTION

ADAPTIVE STRATEGY

Research

Policy

Practice

Learning patrimony

Policy context

Objectives organisation

INFLUENCE

Own vision/values

TRANSFORMATIVE STRATEGY

Values organisation

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AND VALUES

EVOLUTION FORESEEN

ADAPTIVE STRATEGY

Influence on reserch

Influence on policy

Influence on practice

Learning patrimony

Political context

Objectives of the organisation

Visions and values of the organisation

INFLUENCE ON EVOLUTION

STRATEGY

Own vision and values

TRASFORMATIVE

DR

IVER

S O

F C

HA

NG

E

GLO

BA

LIS

ATIO

NIC

TR

EV

OLU

TIO

ND

EM

OG

RA

PH

IC

CH

AN

GE

VA

LU

ES

SH

IFT

EN

DO

GEN

OU

S T

REN

DS

EX

OG

EN

OU

S T

REN

DS

MAIN TRENDS (Sector)

EXPECTED POLICIES

VISIONS

IN THE SECTOR

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Shaping together the Shaping together the future of education future of education

Taking into account that… we need to consider both terms of the

polarities: access and excellence, convergence and context…

Future of learning does not take place in vacuum, but some aspects of the future can be influenced

Developing scenarios and visions of the future helps individuals and organizations to “create” their own future up to a systemic level.

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Shaping together the Shaping together the future of education...future of education...

We propose: to multiply the discussion arenas on

education and training to keep consulting policy makers,

researchers, experts, but also practitioners and other stakeholders and publicize the results of this ongoing exercise

to stimulate proactive and transformative approaches to change

to consolidate and animate a community of practice motivated to enhance the role of education in the knowledge society

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Thank you for your Thank you for your attentionattention

Claudio DondiClaudio Dondi

[email protected]

http://www.scienter.org

http://www.eden-online.org/eden.php