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Trends in Fisheries Trade and Trends in Fisheries Trade and the Role of Developing the Role of Developing
CountriesCountries
Hong KongHong Kong15 December 200515 December 2005
William EmersonWilliam Emerson FAOFAO
Fisheries productionFisheries production
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
1951 1955 1959 1963 1967 1971 1975 1979 1983 1987 1991 1995 1999 2003
Total aquacultureCapture (inland waters)Capture (marine waters)
Million tonnes
World capture and aquaculture production
World excluding China
China
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
1950 1954 1958 1962 1966 1970 1974 1978 1982 1986 1990 1994 1998 2002
Million tonnes
Aquaculture Aquaculture (1951-2003)(1951-2003)
0
15
30
45
1951 1955 1959 1963 1967 1971 1975 1979 1983 1987 1991 1995 1999 2003
Million tonnes
World excluding China
China
Ma rine a nd inland ca pture fishe rie s: top te n produce r countrie s in 2002
16.6
8.8
4.9
4.5
4.4
4.3
3.8
3.2
2.9
2.7
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18
China
Peru
United States of America
Indones ia
Japan
Chile
India
Russ ian Federation
Thailand
Norway
Million tonnes
Share of fishery production destined for exports
1982 2002
1
1982 2002
1
1992 2002
1
2002
1
1992 Imports
1
Exports
0
30
60
90
120
150
1976 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 2000 02
ProductionExports
Million tonnes (live weight)
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
1976 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 2000 02
Domestic markets
0 5 1 0 1 5 2 0 2 5
1
0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1 .2
1
#REF! #REF! #REF!0
1 0
2 0
3 0
4 0
1
U S $ b illio n
0
20
1
#REF! #REF!
0
1
2
1
U S $ b illio n
0
10
1
#REF! #REF!
0
5
1
0
5
10
15
20
1
#REF! #REF!
0
1
1
2
1
US$ billion#REF!#REF!#REF!
Fish exportsFish exports
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
1976197719781979198019811982198319841985198619871988198919901991199219931994199519961997199819992000200120022003
billi
on o
f US$
Developed Developing
Fish Exports Fish Exports (1976-2003)(1976-2003)
0
10
20
30
40
1976 79 82 85 88 91 94 97 2000 2003
US$ billion
Developed countries or areas Developing countries or areas
Fish Imports Fish Imports (1976-2003)(1976-2003)US$ billionUS$ billion
0
20
40
60
1976 1979 1982 1985 1988 1991 1994 1997 2000 2003
Developed countries or areas Developing countries or areas
TOP EXPORTERS – 2003TOP EXPORTERS – 2003$ billion$ billion
China China $4.2$4.2 ThailandThailand $3.9$3.9 NorwayNorway $3.6$3.6 USAUSA $3.4$3.4 CanadaCanada $3.3$3.3 DenmarkDenmark $3.2$3.2 SpainSpain $2.2$2.2 VietnamVietnam $2.2$2.2
TOP IMPORTERSTOP IMPORTERS$ BILLION$ BILLION
JapanJapan $12.4$12.4 USAUSA $11.7$11.7 SpainSpain $4.9 $4.9 FranceFrance $3.8 $3.8 ItalyItaly $3.6 $3.6 GermanyGermany $2.6 $2.6 UKUK $2.5 $2.5 ChinaChina $2.4 $2.4
2003 fish trade2003 fish trade
EU (25)25%
J apan1%
USA5%
Others20%
Developing countries
49%
EU (25)40%
J apan18%
USA17%
Others7%
Developing countries
18%
Exports Imports
World Fish TradeWorld Fish Tradeby main groupsby main groups
1976 1984 1995 1976 1984 1995 20032003
Total fish trade (US$ billion)Total fish trade (US$ billion) 8 16 52 63 8 16 52 63
Share of developed countries (%) 63 56 50 52 Share of developed countries (%) 63 56 50 52
Share of developing countries (%) 37 44 50 48Share of developing countries (%) 37 44 50 48
Share of LIFDCs (%) 12 13 19 20Share of LIFDCs (%) 12 13 19 20
Share or trade between developed 43 40 37 37Share or trade between developed 43 40 37 37countries in total trade (%) countries in total trade (%)
Share or trade between developing 9 15 8 13Share or trade between developing 9 15 8 13countries in total trade (%)countries in total trade (%)
Fish trade balanceFish trade balance
-10
-8
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
1976
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2003
Billion US $Latin America and theCaribbeanChina
Africa
Oceania
Canada and UnitedStatesEurope
Asia excluding China
Surp
lus
Def
icit
Import and exports values of fish products for different regions, indicating the net deficit or surplus
Africa
0
1
2
3
4
5
1976 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02
Asia excluding China
0
10
20
30
1976 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02
Deficit
China
0
1
2
3
4
5
1976 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02
Europe
0
10
20
30
1976 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02
Deficit
Canada and United States
0
3
6
9
12
1976 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02
Deficit
Latin America and the Caribbean
0
3
6
9
12
1976 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02
Surplus
US$ billion
Africa
0
1
2
3
4
5
1976 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02
Surplus
China
0
1
2
3
4
5
1976 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02
Surplus
Canada and United States
0
3
6
9
12
1976 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02
Latin America and the Caribbean
0
3
6
9
12
1976 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02
Oceania
0
1
2
3
4
5
1976 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02
Export value (f.o.b.)Import value (c.i.f.)
Surplus
Continued…….
Impact of Fish Trade on Food Security: Impact of Fish Trade on Food Security: 11 countries 2002-200411 countries 2002-2004
Main Findings were Main Findings were • international trade in fishery products has had a international trade in fishery products has had a
positive effect on food security through increased positive effect on food security through increased export earnings, better incomes, more export earnings, better incomes, more employment opportunitiesemployment opportunities
• international trade has not had a detrimental international trade has not had a detrimental effect on food security in the form of fish as food. effect on food security in the form of fish as food.
• sustainable resource management practices are sustainable resource management practices are a necessary condition for sustainable a necessary condition for sustainable international trade. international trade.
Developing cDeveloping countries net exports from ountries net exports from
commoditiescommodities
-5.0
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0 1000 million US$
198319932003
Trade Flows 2003 Trade Flows 2003 (in billion US$)(in billion US$)
Developed Developing
Developed Developing
Exports
Imports
23.8 8.3
4.1
32
Calculations based onCOMEXT 2004
State of stocks: 2004State of stocks: 2004
1%
7%
17%
52%
21%
3%
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%
Recovering
Underexploited
Fully exploited
Overexploited
Depleted
RISK
Moderately exploited
Stocks trends: 1974-2003Stocks trends: 1974-2003
Overexploited
Fully exploited
“Under” exploited
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005
CHALLENGESCHALLENGES Erosion of preferencesErosion of preferences Meeting safety and quality Meeting safety and quality
requirementsrequirements Fisheries subsidies negotiationsFisheries subsidies negotiations South South tradeSouth South trade Resource sustainabilityResource sustainability
Thank youThank you