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Transportation Research, Economics and Policy Series Editors David Gillen Werner Rothengatter For other titles published in this series, go to www.springer.com/series/6647

Transportation Research, Economics and Policy - Springer978-1-4419-7643-7/1.pdf · Werner Rothengatter • Yoshitsugu Hayashi Wolfgang Schade Editors Transport Moving to Climate Intelligence

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Page 1: Transportation Research, Economics and Policy - Springer978-1-4419-7643-7/1.pdf · Werner Rothengatter • Yoshitsugu Hayashi Wolfgang Schade Editors Transport Moving to Climate Intelligence

Transportation Research, Economics and Policy

Series EditorsDavid GillenWerner Rothengatter

For other titles published in this series, go to www.springer.com/series/6647

Page 2: Transportation Research, Economics and Policy - Springer978-1-4419-7643-7/1.pdf · Werner Rothengatter • Yoshitsugu Hayashi Wolfgang Schade Editors Transport Moving to Climate Intelligence

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Page 3: Transportation Research, Economics and Policy - Springer978-1-4419-7643-7/1.pdf · Werner Rothengatter • Yoshitsugu Hayashi Wolfgang Schade Editors Transport Moving to Climate Intelligence

Werner Rothengatter • Yoshitsugu Hayashi Wolfgang SchadeEditors

Transport Moving to Climate Intelligence

New Chances for Controlling Climate Impacts of Transport after the Economic Crisis

Page 4: Transportation Research, Economics and Policy - Springer978-1-4419-7643-7/1.pdf · Werner Rothengatter • Yoshitsugu Hayashi Wolfgang Schade Editors Transport Moving to Climate Intelligence

ISSN 1572-4387ISBN 978-1-4419-7642-0 e-ISBN 978-1-4419-7643-7DOI 10.1007/978-1-4419-7643-7Springer New York Dordrecht Heidelberg London

Library of Congress Control Number: 2011924680

© Springer Science+Business Media, LLC 2011All rights reserved. This work may not be translated or copied in whole or in part without the written permission of the publisher (Springer Science+Business Media, LLC, 233 Spring Street, New York, NY 10013, USA), except for brief excerpts in connection with reviews or scholarly analysis. Use in connection with any form of information storage and retrieval, electronic adaptation, computer software, or by similar or dissimilar methodology now known or hereafter developed is forbidden.The use in this publication of trade names, trademarks, service marks, and similar terms, even if they are not identified as such, is not to be taken as an expression of opinion as to whether or not they are subject to proprietary rights.

Printed on acid-free paper

Springer is part of Springer Science+Business Media (www.springer.com)

EditorsWerner RothengatterInstitute for Economic Policy Research Karlsruhe Institute of Technology Waldhornstrasse 27, 76131 Karlsruhe, Germany [email protected]

Yoshitsugu Hayashi International Research Center for Sustainable Transport and CitiesGraduate School of Environmental Studies, Nagoya University Nagoya 464-8603 C1-2(651) Japan [email protected]

Wolfgang SchadeFraunhofer Institute for Systems and Innovation Research (ISI) Sustainability and Infrastructure Systems Business Area Transportation SystemsBreslauer Strasse 48, 76139 Karlsruhe, [email protected]

Page 5: Transportation Research, Economics and Policy - Springer978-1-4419-7643-7/1.pdf · Werner Rothengatter • Yoshitsugu Hayashi Wolfgang Schade Editors Transport Moving to Climate Intelligence

v

Part I Climate Control: The Long-Term Challenge

1 Climate Control: The Long-Term Challenge ......................................... 3Werner Rothengatter, Yoshitsugu Hayashi, and Wolfgang Schade

Part II Economic Crisis: A Chance for Climate Friendly Innovations in the Transport Sector

2 Economic Crisis and Consequences for the Transport Sector .............. 9Werner Rothengatter

3 Transport in the Past and Current Climate Policy Regime .................. 29Wolfgang Schade

Part III Industrialized Countries: Experimental Protoyping

4 Low-Carbon Transport in a Developed Megalopolis: The Case of London .................................................................................. 41David Banister and Robin Hickman

5 Getting into the Right Lane for Low-Carbon Transport in the EU ..... 53Karst Geurs, Hans Nijland, and Bas van Ruijven

6 Japanese Efforts to Solve Environmental Problems with a Focus on the Transport Sector ..................................................... 73Motoyuki Suzuki, Yoshitsugu Hayashi, and Hirokazu Kato

Part IV Developing and Transition Countries: Changing from Followers to Leaders

7 Urban Transport and the Environment in Developing Countries: Complexities and Simplifications ......................................... 95Ali Huzayyin

Contents

Page 6: Transportation Research, Economics and Policy - Springer978-1-4419-7643-7/1.pdf · Werner Rothengatter • Yoshitsugu Hayashi Wolfgang Schade Editors Transport Moving to Climate Intelligence

vi Contents

8 Carbon Dioxide Emissions from Urban Road Transport in Latin America: CO2 Reduction as a Co-Benefit of Transport Strategies ........................................................................... 111Lee Schipper, Elizabeth Deakin, and Carolyn McAndrews

9 Spatial Planning Strategy Towards Low-Carbon City in China ........ 129Haixiao Pan, Yang Tang, Jinyu Wu, Yuan Lu, and Yangfei Zhang

10 Transport and Energy: The Indian Perspective ................................... 147Sanjivi Sundar and Akshima T. Ghate

11 The Role of Rail Transport for Sustainable Urban Transport ........... 161Yoshitsugu Hayashi, Xianmin Mai, and Hirokazu Kato

12 Financing Technology Transfer ............................................................. 175Reiner Koblo

Part V Instruments for Carbon Mitigation Policy in the Transport Sector

13 Internalizing External Costs of Transport with a Focus on Climate Change .................................................................................. 187Patrick Jochem and Werner Rothengatter

14 Downstream Emissions Trading for Transport .................................... 209Charles Raux

15 Passenger Mobility and Climate Constraints: Planning for Adaptive Mitigation Strategies ........................................................ 227Hector G. Lopez-Ruiz and Yves Crozet

16 Potential of Biofuels to Reduce Greenhouse Gas Emissions of the European Transport Sector ......................................................... 243Burkhard Schade, Tobias Wiesenthal, Stephan Hubertus Gay, and Guillaume Leduc

17 Technological Potential for CO2 Emission Reductions of Passenger Cars .................................................................................... 271Michael Krail and Wolfgang Schade

Page 7: Transportation Research, Economics and Policy - Springer978-1-4419-7643-7/1.pdf · Werner Rothengatter • Yoshitsugu Hayashi Wolfgang Schade Editors Transport Moving to Climate Intelligence

viiContents

Part VI Policy Conclusions

18 Transport, Environment, and Institutions: Why Good Science, Engineering, and Economics Fail?.......................................... 291Louis S. Thompson

19 Converting the Unconverted and Establishing Financial Incentives ................................................................................ 305Werner Rothengatter, Yoshitsugu Hayashi, and Wolfgang Schade

Index ................................................................................................................. 307

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Page 9: Transportation Research, Economics and Policy - Springer978-1-4419-7643-7/1.pdf · Werner Rothengatter • Yoshitsugu Hayashi Wolfgang Schade Editors Transport Moving to Climate Intelligence

ix

David Banister Transport Studies Unit, School of Geography and the Environment, University of Oxford, South Parks Road, Oxford, UK [email protected]

Yves Crozet l’Université de Lyon et Laboratoire d’économie des Transports (LET), Président de l’Observatoire Energie Environnement des Transports (OEET), LET-ISH, 14, Avenue Berthelot, 69363 Lyon, France [email protected]

Elizabeth Deakin University of California Transportation Center, 228 Wurster Hall, Berkeley, CA, USA [email protected]

Stephan Hubertus Gay European Commission, Joint Research Centre – Institute for Prospective Technological Studies, Economics of Climate Change, Energy and Transport Unit, Seville, Spain; Edificio Expo – c/Inca Garcilaso, 341092 Seville, Spain [email protected]

Karst Geurs Department of Civil Engineering, Centre for Transport Studies, University of Twente, Enschede, The Netherlands [email protected]

Akshima T. Ghate Centre for Research on Sustainable Urban Development and Transport Systems, The Energy and Resources Institute, Darbari Seth Block, IHC Complex, Lodhi Road, New Delhi 110003, India [email protected]

Contributors

Page 10: Transportation Research, Economics and Policy - Springer978-1-4419-7643-7/1.pdf · Werner Rothengatter • Yoshitsugu Hayashi Wolfgang Schade Editors Transport Moving to Climate Intelligence

x Contributors

Yoshitsugu Hayashi International Research Center for Sustainable Transport and Cities, Graduate School of Environmental Studies, Nagoya University, Nagoya, Japan [email protected]

Robin Hickman Transport Studies Unit, School of Geography and the Environment, University of Oxford, South Parks Road, Oxford, UK [email protected]

Ali Huzayyin Civil Engineering Department, Faculty of Engineering, Cairo University, Cairo, Egypt [email protected]

Patrick Jochem Institute for Industrial Production (IIP), Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Kaiserstr. 12, 76131 Karlsruhe, Germany [email protected]

Hirokazu Kato Graduate School of Environmental Studies, Nagoya University, Nagoya, Japan [email protected]

Reiner Koblo KfW Entwicklungsbank (KfW Development Bank), L3c2 Sector Division Transport and Communication Asia, Palmengarten 5-9, 60325 Frankfurt, Germany [email protected]

Michael Krail Fraunhofer Institute for Systems and Innovation Research (ISI), Sustainability and Infrastructure Systems, Breslauer Strasse 48, 76139, Karlsruhe, Germany [email protected]

Guillaume Leduc European Commission, Joint Research Centre – Institute for Prospective Technological Studies, Economics of Climate Change, Energy and Transport Unit, Seville, Spain; Edificio Expo – c/Inca Garcilaso, 341092 Seville, Spain, Guillaume [email protected]

Hector G. Lopez-Ruiz Laboratory of Transport Economics (LET), LET-ISH, 14, Avenue Berthelot, 69363 Lyon, France [email protected]

Page 11: Transportation Research, Economics and Policy - Springer978-1-4419-7643-7/1.pdf · Werner Rothengatter • Yoshitsugu Hayashi Wolfgang Schade Editors Transport Moving to Climate Intelligence

xiContributors

Yuan Lu Department of Architecture and Fine Art, Beijing Jiaotong University, 3# Shangyuan Cun, Haidian District, Beijing, China [email protected]

Xianmin Mai Graduate School of Environmental Studies, Nagoya University, Nagoya, Japan [email protected]

Carolyn McAndrews Robert Wood Johnson Foundation Health and Society Scholar, Department of Population Health Sciences, Wisconsin School of Medicine and Public Health, 707 WARF, 610 Walnut Street, Madison, WI 53726, USA [email protected]

Hans Nijland Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, Bilthoven, The Netherlands [email protected]

Haixiao Pan Department of Urban Planning, Tongji University, 1239 Siping Road, Shanghai 200092, China [email protected]

Charles Raux LET (Laboratoire d’Economie des Transports), CNRS and University of Lyon, ISH, 14 Avenue Berthelot, 69007, Lyon, France [email protected]

Werner Rothengatter Institute for Economic Policy Research, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology, Waldhornstrasse 27, 76131 Karlsruhe, Germany [email protected]

Bas van Ruijven Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, Bilthoven, The Netherlands [email protected]

Burkhard Schade European Commission, Joint Research Centre – Institute for Prospective Technological Studies, Economics of Climate Change, Energy and Transport Unit, Edificio Expo – c/Inca Garcilaso, 341092 Seville, Spain [email protected]

Page 12: Transportation Research, Economics and Policy - Springer978-1-4419-7643-7/1.pdf · Werner Rothengatter • Yoshitsugu Hayashi Wolfgang Schade Editors Transport Moving to Climate Intelligence

xii Contributors

Wolfgang Schade Fraunhofer Institute for Systems and Innovation Research (ISI), Breslauer Strasse 48, 76139, Karlsruhe, Germany [email protected]

Lee Schipper Global Metropolitan Studies, University of California, Berkeley, CA, USA [email protected]

Sanjivi Sundar The Energy and Resources Institute, Darbari Seth Block, IHC Complex, Lodi Road, New Delhi, India [email protected]

Motoyuki Suzuki Central Environmental Council of Japan, University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan [email protected]

Louis S. Thompson Thompson, Galenson and Associates, LLC, 14684 Stoneridge Drive, Saratoga, CA, USA [email protected]

Yang Tang Department of Urban Planning, Tongji University, 1239 Siping Road, Shanghai 200092, China [email protected]

Tobias Wiesenthal European Commission, Joint Research Centre – Institute for Prospective Technological Studies, Economics of Climate Change, Energy and Transport Unit, Seville, Spain; Edificio Expo – c/Inca Garcilaso, 341092 Seville, Spain [email protected]

Jinyu Wu Urban Design Section, Shanghai Fudan Urban Planning and Design Institute, Shanghai No. 220 Handan Road, Shanghai 200433, China [email protected]

Yangfei Zhang Department of Urban Planning, Tongji University, 1239 Siping Road, Shanghai 200092, China [email protected]