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Traffic Simulation & Safety Analysis Section (TSSAS) TRAFFIC SIMULATION AND SAFETY ANALYSIS PROGRAM OVERVIEW DESIGN DIVISION by Khalid Jamil, P.E. October 2020 TRANSPORTATION SHORT COURSE OCTOBER 2020

Traffic Simulation and Safety Analysis Program Overview ...Traffic Simulation & Safety Analysis Section (TSSAS) Functions 5 •Develop, interpret, and implement guidelines •Coordinate,

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Page 1: Traffic Simulation and Safety Analysis Program Overview ...Traffic Simulation & Safety Analysis Section (TSSAS) Functions 5 •Develop, interpret, and implement guidelines •Coordinate,

Traffic Simulation & Safety Analysis Section (TSSAS)

TRAFFIC SIMULATION AND SAFETY ANALYSIS PROGRAM OVERVIEWDESIGN DIVISION

by

Khalid Jamil, P.E.

October 2020

TRANSPORTATION SHORT COURSEOCTOBER 2020

Page 2: Traffic Simulation and Safety Analysis Program Overview ...Traffic Simulation & Safety Analysis Section (TSSAS) Functions 5 •Develop, interpret, and implement guidelines •Coordinate,

Traffic Simulation & Safety Analysis Section (TSSAS)

Agenda

2

• Background

• Purpose

• Team

• Traffic Simulation/ Analysis

• Safety Analysis

• Accomplishments

• Current Initiatives

Page 3: Traffic Simulation and Safety Analysis Program Overview ...Traffic Simulation & Safety Analysis Section (TSSAS) Functions 5 •Develop, interpret, and implement guidelines •Coordinate,

Traffic Simulation & Safety Analysis Section (TSSAS)

Background

3

FHWA Review• Quality of IAJR• Quality of Design Exceptions

Advancements in Traffic Analysis Procedures/Tools• Limitations of HCM• Microsimulations/MOEs

AASHTO Highway Safety Manual• Predictive Analysis• Safety Analysis Tools

Need to Develop Expertise• Traffic Simulation• Safety Analysis

Page 4: Traffic Simulation and Safety Analysis Program Overview ...Traffic Simulation & Safety Analysis Section (TSSAS) Functions 5 •Develop, interpret, and implement guidelines •Coordinate,

Traffic Simulation & Safety Analysis Section (TSSAS)

Purpose

4

Provide Guidance

Provide Support to Districts

Coordinate IAJR & Design Exceptions Process

• Traffic Simulation and Safety Analysis Guidelines• Standard Operating Procedures (SOPs)• Trainings

• Traffic Simulation Modeling & Analysis• Safety Modeling & Analysis• Subject Matter Expertise (SME)

• Coordination with District and FHWA• Technical Approach

Page 5: Traffic Simulation and Safety Analysis Program Overview ...Traffic Simulation & Safety Analysis Section (TSSAS) Functions 5 •Develop, interpret, and implement guidelines •Coordinate,

Traffic Simulation & Safety Analysis Section (TSSAS)

Functions

5

• Develop, interpret, and implement guidelines• Coordinate, develop, and conduct training• Provide technical expertise

GUIDANCE

• Planning, scope, & traffic methodology• Traffic simulation & safety analysis on select

projects• Review IAJRs & design exceptions

SUPPORT

• Meetings with FHWA• Participate in District and Division Meetings

• Consultant contracts on selected projects

COORDINATION

CONSULTANT MANAGENT

Page 6: Traffic Simulation and Safety Analysis Program Overview ...Traffic Simulation & Safety Analysis Section (TSSAS) Functions 5 •Develop, interpret, and implement guidelines •Coordinate,

Traffic Simulation & Safety Analysis Section (TSSAS)

Our Team @ Traffic Simulation and Safety Analysis Section

6

Our TeamKhalid Jamil, P.E. (Section Director)

Farhan Khan, P.E., PTOE (Team Lead)Eddie Espinoza, P.E. (Lead Engineer)Milad Kiaee, P.E. (Traffic Engineer)

Saleh, Mousa, Ph.D., EIT

Page 7: Traffic Simulation and Safety Analysis Program Overview ...Traffic Simulation & Safety Analysis Section (TSSAS) Functions 5 •Develop, interpret, and implement guidelines •Coordinate,

Traffic Simulation & Safety Analysis Section (TSSAS)

Traffic Simulation/Analysis

• Typical Objectives

• What is Traffic Analysis?

• When and How to conduct Traffic Analysis?

• What is Traffic Simulation and its role?

• What are the basic goals?

• Traffic Analysis Tools and Procedures

7

Page 8: Traffic Simulation and Safety Analysis Program Overview ...Traffic Simulation & Safety Analysis Section (TSSAS) Functions 5 •Develop, interpret, and implement guidelines •Coordinate,

Traffic Simulation & Safety Analysis Section (TSSAS)

Traffic Simulation/Analysis

8

Page 9: Traffic Simulation and Safety Analysis Program Overview ...Traffic Simulation & Safety Analysis Section (TSSAS) Functions 5 •Develop, interpret, and implement guidelines •Coordinate,

Traffic Simulation & Safety Analysis Section (TSSAS)

Traffic Simulation/Analysis

9

FHWA CAP-X Tool Overview• Screening level tool• 18 types of intersections/ interchanges• 8 intersection types, 5 interchanges, 5 roundabout

o Input - peak flow volumes, number of laneso Output - V/C ratio

Page 10: Traffic Simulation and Safety Analysis Program Overview ...Traffic Simulation & Safety Analysis Section (TSSAS) Functions 5 •Develop, interpret, and implement guidelines •Coordinate,

Traffic Simulation & Safety Analysis Section (TSSAS)

Traffic Simulation/Analysis

HCM-based Analysis Tools

• Macroscopic & deterministic

• Good for under-saturated flow

• Highway Capacity Software

o Quick & reliable

o Good for traditional analysis

o Freeway facilities

• Synchro

o Good for arterials

o Signal optimization

• Sidra

o Commonly used for roundabouts

10

Page 11: Traffic Simulation and Safety Analysis Program Overview ...Traffic Simulation & Safety Analysis Section (TSSAS) Functions 5 •Develop, interpret, and implement guidelines •Coordinate,

Traffic Simulation & Safety Analysis Section (TSSAS)

Traffic Simulation/Analysis

Microsimulation Analysis Tools• Warranted for complex scenarios

o Pros

Good for longer congestion

Good for system effect

Good for presentation

o Cons

Data requirement

Time consuming

• Common microsimulation tools

o CORSIM

o VISSIM

11

Page 12: Traffic Simulation and Safety Analysis Program Overview ...Traffic Simulation & Safety Analysis Section (TSSAS) Functions 5 •Develop, interpret, and implement guidelines •Coordinate,

Traffic Simulation & Safety Analysis Section (TSSAS)

Traffic Simulation/Analysis

SCOPE DATA COLLECTION

BASE MODEL VERIFICATION

CALIBRATION

ALTERNATIVE ANALYSIS DOCUMENTATION

12

Traffic Modeling Process

Page 13: Traffic Simulation and Safety Analysis Program Overview ...Traffic Simulation & Safety Analysis Section (TSSAS) Functions 5 •Develop, interpret, and implement guidelines •Coordinate,

Traffic Simulation & Safety Analysis Section (TSSAS)

Safety Analysis

• Purpose

• Requirements

• Traditional Approach

• Nominal vs. Substantive Safety

• Historical Crash Analysis• Crash data analysis for the latest 3 to 5 years

• Crash severity

• Crash types

• Crash rates

• Crash pattern & contributing factors

• Crash diagram

13

Page 14: Traffic Simulation and Safety Analysis Program Overview ...Traffic Simulation & Safety Analysis Section (TSSAS) Functions 5 •Develop, interpret, and implement guidelines •Coordinate,

Traffic Simulation & Safety Analysis Section (TSSAS)

Safety Analysis

14

Human FactorsPart A

Safety Management Process

Predictive Method

Crash Modification Factors (CMF)

Part B

Part C

Part D

Highway Safety Manual

• Quantitative Safety Analysis• Predict crash frequency• Similar to HCM

Page 15: Traffic Simulation and Safety Analysis Program Overview ...Traffic Simulation & Safety Analysis Section (TSSAS) Functions 5 •Develop, interpret, and implement guidelines •Coordinate,

Traffic Simulation & Safety Analysis Section (TSSAS)

Safety Analysis

Part C Predictive Method• Anticipated change in crash frequency

oFunction of traffic volume

oRoadway characteristics

oCrash Modification Factor (CMF)

• Safety Performance Functions (SPF)

• Assess or evaluate alternatives in terms of their safety effects

• Common safety tools

o Interactive Highway Safety Design Model (IHSDM)

oHighway Safety Software (HSS)

oSpreadsheet based tools

15

Page 16: Traffic Simulation and Safety Analysis Program Overview ...Traffic Simulation & Safety Analysis Section (TSSAS) Functions 5 •Develop, interpret, and implement guidelines •Coordinate,

Traffic Simulation & Safety Analysis Section (TSSAS)

Safety Analysis

16

Safety Analysis Tool Selection Matrix

Page 17: Traffic Simulation and Safety Analysis Program Overview ...Traffic Simulation & Safety Analysis Section (TSSAS) Functions 5 •Develop, interpret, and implement guidelines •Coordinate,

Traffic Simulation & Safety Analysis Section (TSSAS)

Accomplishments

• IAJR SOP

o Webinars

o Additional guidance

Roadway Design Manual (RDM)–Safety analysis

Peak hour Traffic Volumes

IAJR checklists

• HSM and ISATe/IHSDM trainings

o IAJR workshops traffic analysis

• Traffic & safety analysis SOW for DBB and DB

• Traffic and safety analysis tool selection

• Safety scoring tool

17

(Both IAJR SOP and Safety Scoring Tool are available @ https://www.txdot.gov/inside-txdot/division/design.html)

Page 18: Traffic Simulation and Safety Analysis Program Overview ...Traffic Simulation & Safety Analysis Section (TSSAS) Functions 5 •Develop, interpret, and implement guidelines •Coordinate,

Traffic Simulation & Safety Analysis Section (TSSAS)

IAJR SOP Roadmap

18

IAJR Methodology w/FHWAOct. 10, 2018

IAJR SOPTxDOT IAJR PolicyOct. 18, 2018

Draft SOP w/ FHWAJuly 2019

Presented SOP to FHWA

Aug 2019

SA & FTW Dist. Pilot

PresentationsSept. 2019

El Paso, Waco, Bryan, Corpus Christi Dist. Pilot PresentationsJan.-Feb 2020

Update SOP to FHWA HQDec, 2019

Statewide Webinar for 25 TxDOT Districts

March 3, 2020

Issuance of Final IAJR SOPApril 21, 2020

Statewide Webinar for ConsultantsMarch 18, 2020

Houston, Dallas, & Tyler Dist. Pilot PresentationsOct. 2019

Austin Dist. Pilot PresentationNov. 2019

Page 19: Traffic Simulation and Safety Analysis Program Overview ...Traffic Simulation & Safety Analysis Section (TSSAS) Functions 5 •Develop, interpret, and implement guidelines •Coordinate,

Traffic Simulation & Safety Analysis Section (TSSAS)

AMARILLO

LUBBOCK

ODESSA

EL PASO

CHILDRESS

ABILENE

SAN ANGELO

LAREDO

SAN ANTONIO

PHARR

CORPUS CHRISTI

YOAKUM

HOUSTON

BEAUMONT

LUFKIN

BRYAN

WACOBROWNWOOD

WICHITA FALLS

FORT WORTH

PARIS

ATLANTA

TYLER

AUSTIN

Design DivisionIAJR SOP

Pilot Presentations2019-2020

Pilot Presentations presented at Districts

Presentations presented through WebEx-Only

Accomplishments - IAJR SOP Pilot Presentations

19

Page 20: Traffic Simulation and Safety Analysis Program Overview ...Traffic Simulation & Safety Analysis Section (TSSAS) Functions 5 •Develop, interpret, and implement guidelines •Coordinate,

Traffic Simulation & Safety Analysis Section (TSSAS)

Accomplishments – Interchange Safety Analysis Training

20

AMARILLO

LUBBOCK

ODESSA

EL PASO

CHILDRESS

ABILENE

SAN ANGELO

LAREDO

SAN ANTONIO

PHARR

CORPUS CHRISTI

YOAKUM

HOUSTON

BEAUMONT

LUFKIN

BRYAN

WACOBROWNWOOD

WICHITA FALLS

FORT WORTH

PARIS

ATLANTA

TYLER

AUSTIN

Design DivisionTSSA

2018-2020 District Training

No Attendees

Training Location

1 to 4 Attendees

5 to 10 Attendees

11 or more Attendees

Page 21: Traffic Simulation and Safety Analysis Program Overview ...Traffic Simulation & Safety Analysis Section (TSSAS) Functions 5 •Develop, interpret, and implement guidelines •Coordinate,

Traffic Simulation & Safety Analysis Section (TSSAS)

Current Initiatives

• Traffic and safety analysis manual

• Intersection safety scoring tool

• Design Exception SOP

• Intersection framework

• Highway safety manual implementation

o Texas specific SPFs and calibration factors

o Participation in FHWA DDSA EDC5

o NCHRP panel

• FHWA pool fund

• Training

• Microsimulation toolbox (Future)

21

Page 22: Traffic Simulation and Safety Analysis Program Overview ...Traffic Simulation & Safety Analysis Section (TSSAS) Functions 5 •Develop, interpret, and implement guidelines •Coordinate,

Traffic Simulation & Safety Analysis Section (TSSAS)

AMARILLO

LUBBOCK

ODESSA

EL PASO

CHILDRESS

ABILENE

SAN ANGELO

LAREDO

SAN ANTONIO

PHARR

CORPUS CHRISTI

YOAKUM

HOUSTON

BEAUMONT

LUFKIN

BRYAN

WACOBROWNWOOD

WICHITA FALLS

FORT WORTH

PARIS

ATLANTA

TYLER

AUSTIN

Design DivisionTSSAS

2018-2020 District Projects

FY 2018-2020 Current or Completed Projects• IAJR• Design Exception• Corridor Studies• TIA

No Work Done thus far

DES - TSSAS Project Support Status

22

Page 23: Traffic Simulation and Safety Analysis Program Overview ...Traffic Simulation & Safety Analysis Section (TSSAS) Functions 5 •Develop, interpret, and implement guidelines •Coordinate,

Traffic Simulation & Safety Analysis Section (TSSAS) 23