Upload
tano-caridi
View
213
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
8/21/2019 TradingPrimer15
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/tradingprimer15 1/35
http://www.learningtotrade.comWhere learned skills develop into trading profits
© Martin Cole http://www.learningtotrade.com Ltd 2008 1
Trading
Primer
By Martin Cole
CONTAINED
IN
THIS
BOOK
ARE
SOME
REAL
TRADING
TOOLS
THAT
YOU
CAN
USE
TO
START OUT ON A PROFITABLE TRADING CAREER.
WHILST
PRIMARILY
THIS
INFORMATION
IS
FOR
THE
NEW
TRADER
THE
EXPERIENCED
TRADER
MAY
DISCOVER
A
GEM
OR
TWO,
OR
EVEN
SOMETHING
LONG
FORGOTTEN
BUT OF GREAT VALUE.
THIS
TRADING
BOOK
IS
FREE
SO
IF
YOU
FIND
IT
USEFUL
THEN
FEEL
FREE
TO
PASS
IT
ON TO ANOTHER PERSON. YOU CAN DO THIS EASILY BY SIMPLY SAVING IT INTO A
FOLDER ON YOUR COMPUTER OR TO YOUR DESKTOP AND THEN SEND THAT PERSON
AN
EMAIL. AT
THE
SAME
TIME
ATTACH
THIS
BOOK
TO
THAT
EMAIL. THAT’S
ALL
THERE
IS
TO
IT.
I
HOPE
YOU
ENJOY
WHAT
FOLLOWS
Martin Cole
8/21/2019 TradingPrimer15
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/tradingprimer15 2/35
http://www.learningtotrade.comWhere learned skills develop into trading profits
© Martin Cole http://www.learningtotrade.com Ltd 2008 2
Introduction ................................................................................................................................ 3Some key factors that can prevent your success. ..................................................................... 5
Insufficient funds w ith which to trade .......................................................................... 5Influencing other parties ................................................................................................ 6Guidelines for influencing parties ................................................................................. 7External influences. ........................................................................................................ 8Lack of a well-defined strategy. .................................................................................... 9Taking early pro fits. ...................................................................................................... 10Misunderstanding of how markets work. ................................................................... 11Failure to hold confidence in your own abilities. ...................................................... 12Fear of what the market may or may not hold fo r you. ............................................. 13 Anxieties about your success. .................................................................................... 13Inconsistent application of a profitable trading strategy. ........................................ 15Unwillingness to take a loss: ....................................................................................... 16
The decision trail of a trader caught in the losing loop ............................................................ 17The decision structure of a successful trader. ......................................................................... 18The two trade activating stages that must take place ............................................................. 19
The learning curve in the non-trading environment. ....................................................... 19The learning curve in the trading environment ............................................................... 19
How do you view trading and what is your perspective? ......................................................... 21How you view the market is of vital importance to your success as a trader. ....... 21
The worst teacher moulds your trading behaviour. ................................................................. 22The market as your teacher. ........................................................................................ 22The learned habits/ emotions of the amateur trader. ................................................ 23The Emotions of Failure: .............................................................................................. 23
How a losing trader develops and maintains the ability to consistently ................................. 26How a successful trader maintains his consistent success. .................................................... 27
Maintained success ...................................................................................................... 27The defining characteristics that separate the successful trader from theunsuccessful t rader. ..................................................................................................... 28
The real challenge is not the trading of the markets. .............................................................. 29Daily Challenges ........................................................................................................... 29
Glossary ................................................................................................................................... 30Stepping out of your s trategy. ..................................................................................... 30Trade Hunting ................................................................................................................ 31Trading Harmony .......................................................................................................... 31The Subconscious. ....................................................................................................... 31Emotive Overlay. ........................................................................................................... 32Fear & Exci tement ......................................................................................................... 32The Gambling Environment ......................................................................................... 33Disavowal ....................................................................................................................... 33Cherry Picking ............................................................................................................... 33
Inner Voice ..................................................................................................................... 34Drawdown ...................................................................................................................... 34Contract Expiry ............................................................................................................. 34Pre-defined Strategy ..................................................................................................... 34Intuitive trading ............................................................................................................. 34
8/21/2019 TradingPrimer15
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/tradingprimer15 3/35
http://www.learningtotrade.comWhere learned skills develop into trading profits
© Martin Cole http://www.learningtotrade.com Ltd 2008 3
Introduction
For you to trade successfully you must be equipped with the tools of the trade.
I can assure you that you already have the tools; you simply do not realise it
yet. My aim then, is to assist you to identify the tools and teach you how to
use them. This is what this brief starter book is all about.
If I could turn the clock back I would have started at exactly the position that I
am starting with you. The reason for this is simple; I now KNOW that the
substantial losses that I made before I achieved success could have been
avoided.
Most of what is in this book is that which I was forced to learn before I turned
the corner. It may shock you to know that during one period I entered the
market 32 times in succession with losing positions. One has to question this
on the following grounds. Could I pick 32 losing trades in a row if I tried?
Could I get 32 losing trades, if I merely flipped a coin at any point and then
chose heads for long and tails for short? The answer to this is of course no,
the odds are just too great. How then was I able to get it consistently wrong so
many times? Of course now I know the answer.
I was caught in the wrong loop (you will get to loops shortly) and on top of this
I was on a self-destruct path. The upside of this is that I can honestly say that
I am now truly grateful for the 32 losing trades, as this was the turning point.
8/21/2019 TradingPrimer15
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/tradingprimer15 4/35
http://www.learningtotrade.comWhere learned skills develop into trading profits
© Martin Cole http://www.learningtotrade.com Ltd 2008 4
My intention through this book is to start you at what was then my starting
point; if I can achieve this for you, then I will have attained my goal.Be assured that you will have to work hard, you will become frustrated and
you will sometimes even feel like quitting. All I can say to you at this stage is
hang on in there because this is the proving ground that will start you on the
road to successful trading and financial freedom.
If you are not sure about anything written here, just ask and I will do me best
to help you understand.
The fool wonders, the wise man asks.
-Benjamin Disraeli
8/21/2019 TradingPrimer15
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/tradingprimer15 5/35
http://www.learningtotrade.comWhere learned skills develop into trading profits
© Martin Cole http://www.learningtotrade.com Ltd 2008 5
Some key factors that can prevent your success.
Insufficient funds with which to trade.
Influencing parties
External influences.
Lack of a well-defined strategy.
Inconsistent application of a profitable trading strategy.
Unwillingness to take a loss.
Taking early profits.Misunderstanding of how markets work.
Failure to hold confidence in your own abilities.
Fear of what the market may or may not hold for you.
Anxieties about your success.
Insufficient funds with which to trade
This is a personal area that only you can determine.
Guidelines as follows:
Many times we hear that you should only trade with what you can afford to
lose; for me this is the wrong approach and immediately conjures up images
of loss.
Is trading your only source of income? If it is then do you need to trade to
produce a living income on a weekly/monthly basis? If the answer to both of
these questions is yes, then clearly you are placing yourself under a great
deal of pressure to perform from day one.
As a guideline to this, I suggest that if you are starting out as a full time trader
and this is your only source of income, you should set aside at least 6-12
month’s expenses in a separate account.
8/21/2019 TradingPrimer15
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/tradingprimer15 6/35
http://www.learningtotrade.comWhere learned skills develop into trading profits
© Martin Cole http://www.learningtotrade.com Ltd 2008 6
This account will maintain your current standard of living and will prevent you
from having to draw on your trading account at an early stage; it will also lift
the burden of weekly performance.
Influencing other parties
The issues of influencing parties are often overlooked and yet can be an
important factor in a trader’s success or failure. Many at this point will not
consider that another individual may have an effect, on their trading.
I of course have no way of knowing your personal circumstances. But I would
urge you to pay attention, to what is often overlooked in the successful traders
profile.
What does your spouse / partner think of your trading? Do they view it as a
quality profession or the other extreme, gambling?
Are you the type of person that is affected by the thoughts of those around
you? I freely admit that I need to be in a comfortable environment, which is
congenial, to what I am doing. I do not feel comfortable, if I am in the
presence of someone who is having a bad day.
If you are in a negative environment, then steps should be taken to separate
your trading, completely from any influencing party.
We may believe and even convince ourselves that such things do not
influence us, but this is often incorrect, better to ensure things are clear in this
area at an early stage.
8/21/2019 TradingPrimer15
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/tradingprimer15 7/35
http://www.learningtotrade.comWhere learned skills develop into trading profits
© Martin Cole http://www.learningtotrade.com Ltd 2008 7
Guidelines for influencing parties
If you are forced to involve another person then explain what you are doing
but without intricate detail. It is a fact that the other party will not have exactly
the same understanding, of what you are doing.
• If you attempt to involve another person as reinforcement, to your own
trading you are setting yourself up for a fall.
• Draw a line, at which point you will not go any further into discussion of
your trading.
• Do not involve another person in your trading decisions.
• Do not show anger, frustration, or even elation, in front of another person.
It is far better for you as a trader simply to confine it to ‘yes it was a good
day’ or if negative ‘It was a productive day in terms of learning’
8/21/2019 TradingPrimer15
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/tradingprimer15 8/35
http://www.learningtotrade.comWhere learned skills develop into trading profits
© Martin Cole http://www.learningtotrade.com Ltd 2008 8
External influences.
This area will be covered in greater detail later in the course, but a few things
to consider at this stage are:
Newspapers and how they may influence you in your trading.
E.g.
You have decided, that you are not going to take any notice of the
newspapers and you are going to trade based on the evidence that you see
before you. As you are sipping your morning coffee, you happen to notice that
the XYZ finance group is meeting today to announce some new finance
measures. Some hours later, whilst at your screen, you see a market action
that you are unsure of. This uncertainty will cause the brain to scan all
available data sources in an attempt to link this event, to some past event.
In a flash, the article about G7 pops into your mind, and now you are stuck
with it. You are now mentally influenced by this story, whether you like it or not
and you will find it difficult to trade. Worse still, you may ignore all the
evidence you have gathered up to that point.
Interrupting telephone calls that may just mention a little something that is
going on today!
Giving your opinion to others about the market:
Let me explain some of the power that this holds, a friend calls you and asks
you what you think of the market and which way you think it will go. In a flash
of pride, you proceed to explain XYZ about the market, and why certain things
are going to happen. In that one instant you have, unbeknown to yourself
planted very firm opinions about the market within your own mind. Now if the
market does indeed do what you said, you are a hero, if it does not, then you
got it wrong. But this is not the real issue; the real danger in the above is that
the moment you give your opinion, you will be practically unable to change
your mind about the market, even as it starts to move against you.
8/21/2019 TradingPrimer15
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/tradingprimer15 9/35
http://www.learningtotrade.comWhere learned skills develop into trading profits
© Martin Cole http://www.learningtotrade.com Ltd 2008 9
There is no better salesperson than the person who is selling to him or
herself; your words will be ringing in your ears and will prevent you from actingon the raw information in front of you.
I have a standard response whenever I am asked that question; I suggest that
you use something similar.
To the question, what is the market going to do?
You simply reply; “anything it likes at any given moment” the reason for this is
not to be flippant, but to simply not fix an opinion in your own mind.
Lack of a well-defined strategy.
If you do not have a defined strategy, this is similar to traveling through hostile
territory without a map. If you are simply trading from one point to another you
are going to lose over time.
A defined strategy is more importantly a strategy that you have complete faith
in and so you will act in accordance with that faith in a flawless manner.
8/21/2019 TradingPrimer15
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/tradingprimer15 10/35
http://www.learningtotrade.comWhere learned skills develop into trading profits
© Martin Cole http://www.learningtotrade.com Ltd 2008 10
Taking early profits.
This is in my opinion akin to a crime being committed against yourself; early
profits are taken for a whole host of reasons, some of which are:
• The unwillingness to take a loss.
• Under capitalization.
• Influencing other parties issues.
• Lack of a strategy.
It is no coincidence that I am listing some of the same issues that I mentioned
earlier albeit under different circumstances.
8/21/2019 TradingPrimer15
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/tradingprimer15 11/35
http://www.learningtotrade.comWhere learned skills develop into trading profits
© Martin Cole http://www.learningtotrade.com Ltd 2008 11
Misunderstanding of how markets work.
If a trader does not have an understanding of the market, then he/she is
severely disadvantaged. One simple example would be trading futures, and
not knowing about contract expiry. Traders must have an understanding of
the markets and a complete understanding of the particular aspect of the
market he/she is involved with. An example of this might be the complete
intricacies of how options are traded.
If a trader should misunderstand any aspect of the particular market that he is
involved with, then he is placing himself at a distinct disadvantage.
My expertise is the forex market, which is Foreign Exchange. This market is
the most liquid market in the world as such a traders dream.
8/21/2019 TradingPrimer15
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/tradingprimer15 12/35
http://www.learningtotrade.comWhere learned skills develop into trading profits
© Martin Cole http://www.learningtotrade.com Ltd 2008 12
Failure to hold confidence in your own abilities.
This happens as a result of not fully understanding what you are doing, if you
fully understood what you were doing and felt comfortable doing it, then your
ability to hold confidence would be strong.
Let me explain this more deeply.
You enter the market based on your pre-defined strategy, you are confident
that this is a good trade and all is well, then the trade reacts in an adverse
manner against your position. As the trade gets closer and closer to your stop,
you feel anxious and even nervous. Now how can this be? Why should you
feel these symptoms, if you are committed to your strategy, which you have
tested and KNOW that it performs correctly more times than it fails? The
answer lies in a couple of key areas.
(A)
You could be under-funded. As a result of this your confidence in what you
are doing is being attacked from another angle. (Fear of loss, even though
you know long term your strategy is a winner)
(B)
You have used a strategy that you have not fully tested. Note* You may have
tested this many times, but if your subconscious has not accepted the testing
as valid then you will not be able to maintain your confidence.
(C)
You traded outside your strategy:
This might be as a result of trading frustration; i.e. the market has not been
supplying you with the means to use your strategy, so off you go on a Huntingfor trade’s exercise.
8/21/2019 TradingPrimer15
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/tradingprimer15 13/35
http://www.learningtotrade.comWhere learned skills develop into trading profits
© Martin Cole http://www.learningtotrade.com Ltd 2008 13
On this hunting trip you find something you think is like your strategy, as a
result of this you decide to trade. A term I use for this is stepping out of your strategy and is so destructive that
you many find yourself in trouble for weeks to come.
Please pay particular attention to the above; it is a crucial component to your
success.
Fear of what the market may or may not hold for you.
This is strongly linked to the lack of understanding:
As a child you may have been a little nervous of what was under your bed at
night, of course now in the rational light of day, you are confident that there
was nothing under your bed and of course there was nothing to fear. However
even if an adult had told you at the time that there was nothing to fear you
would still have had your doubts. This is why YOU as an individual must make
the connection between your strategy and a danger free zone. Once you have
made this connection and are able to maintain it, your trading will take on new
meaning; you will experience a sense of freedom, which will elevate the whole
concept of trading to a very pleasurable activity.
Anxieties about your success.
By now you should be starting to realise that all these elements we are
looking at here are really taking us around in a circle. This is no coincidence
as trading is in fact a feedback loop, if you are in this loop as a loser, you will
remain so until you discard this loop and create a new one.
8/21/2019 TradingPrimer15
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/tradingprimer15 14/35
http://www.learningtotrade.comWhere learned skills develop into trading profits
© Martin Cole http://www.learningtotrade.com Ltd 2008 14
Already in a loop?
If you are already trading and are in a losing loop, then be assured you canescape it and there is whole lot of help at www.learningtotrade.com or if you
are new to trading we are going to make sure that you get into the success
loop and stay there.
8/21/2019 TradingPrimer15
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/tradingprimer15 15/35
http://www.learningtotrade.comWhere learned skills develop into trading profits
© Martin Cole http://www.learningtotrade.com Ltd 2008 15
Inconsistent application of a profitable trading strategy.
If a trader has developed and tested a profitable trading strategy, but then fails
to act on that strategy he will lose over time. Many traders do not understand
how this works; there are several causes that instigate this type of
inconsistent behavior.
1. The trader believes that he/she has a good strategy at a conscious level,
but on a subconscious level there is conflict.
This maybe as a result of poor testing of the strategy or disavowal of
certain elements of the strategy.
2. Lack of trading capital.
3. Trying to cherry pick trades, this type of action often relates to numbers 1
& 2 above. Trying to cherry pick, against number one is because of the
underlying conflict in the strategy. Cherry picking against number two is
related to the fear of loss.
Note*
The inconsistent application of any strategy is often the start of the slide into the
losing trader’s loop.
The list goes on in many different formats and styles, which are as varied as
the individual; these are all signs that you need to be aware of. If you detect
that they are creeping in, then STOP and work out why.
8/21/2019 TradingPrimer15
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/tradingprimer15 16/35
http://www.learningtotrade.comWhere learned skills develop into trading profits
© Martin Cole http://www.learningtotrade.com Ltd 2008 16
Unwillingness to take a loss:
If a trader is unwilling to take a loss, the trader is heading for a serious
drawdown. An example here would be the trader above who has expressed
an opinion to another person as to when, how, and what, the market is going
to do. As a result of this self-reinforcing action, the trader takes his own advice
and trades. In the event of this trade going against the trader, he will be
severely disadvantaged in his ability to close and take the loss.
Some additional factors:
Do you perceive the loss as a personal attack against yourself?
This is an important concept with several branches that lead off, into danger
areas
Under funded trading:
This will cause traders to hold positions longer than they should, in the hope
that the market will turn and give them their money back; this of course this is
a double-edged sword.
8/21/2019 TradingPrimer15
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/tradingprimer15 17/35
http://www.learningtotrade.comWhere learned skills develop into trading profits
© Martin Cole http://www.learningtotrade.com Ltd 2008 17
The decision trail of a trader caught in the losing loop
Entry StrategySignaled
Inner VoiceValidation
Confusion & Inner
Conflict
Confusion and inner conflictResults in a may or may not
trade scenario
Trade Activated Note*
If a trade is activated, as a result of thedecision trail above, this will anchor theseconditions to the trader; now each and everytime a strategy is signaled, the same processwill automatically kick in. As long as this loop is maintained, the trader isgoing to loseThere are also the added problems that thistype of decision process brings with it, stress,conflict, anger, sickness etc.
Many traders continue in this situation for anumber of years, until they either go broke orthey blame it on the market and give up.Clearly this is a loop that needs destroyingwith some haste.
If you are within this loop stop trading NOW!
Trading lossesOver t ime
8/21/2019 TradingPrimer15
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/tradingprimer15 18/35
http://www.learningtotrade.comWhere learned skills develop into trading profits
© Martin Cole http://www.learningtotrade.com Ltd 2008 18
The decision structure of a successful trader.
Entry Strategy Signaled
Automated Response
Resulting action
Entry Strategy Validation
Reinforced positive trading
action
TRADING PROFITS
Notes to above diagramWhat if the resulting action was a losing trade? How can this be then termed as apositive trading action?These are valid questions and the lack of understanding here will cause the aboveillustration to be invalidated in the mind of the amateur trader.Remember that the amateur does not have a consistent response, because he doesnot have a workable action plan; therefore he does not know what does and whatdoes not work, this generates random action.
The successful trader on the other hand, has a pre-defined and validated tradingstrategy:He/she KNOWS that this strategy produces profits over time.
He/she KNOWS that all he has to do is wait and carry out the predetermined plan.He/she KNOWS and accepts that sometimes, the trade will go wrong and produce aloss.His/her actions are therefore positive and reinforcing to trading success.
Trading really is about a feed back loop, but this loop has two starting points.One is within the trader him/herself and the other is the trading strategy. Neither canoperate efficiently without the other and both certainly must be in harmonySee Trading Harmony
8/21/2019 TradingPrimer15
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/tradingprimer15 19/35
http://www.learningtotrade.comWhere learned skills develop into trading profits
© Martin Cole http://www.learningtotrade.com Ltd 2008 19
The two trade activating stages that must take place
The first stage is the signal identification and the acceptance of it; the second
is the response to that signal.
The above is a learned response situation:
In the simple world X=X therefore action.
Let’s examine how the above is developed:
The learning curve in the non-trading environment.
1. The event or environment that we find ourselves in
2. We are stimulated to respond to the event or environment
3. We receive a response to our response
4. The loop closes with the outcome of the event now known and as a result
we have a new learned experience.
The next time this event occurs in our life we have an understanding of what
the outcome is most likely to be and we can act accordingly. We can even
adjust how we react to the event to influence the outcome to a degree.
The learning curve in the trading environment
The first problem that we encounter here is that in the market no two events
are ever the same (they may be similar, but not the same)
This is the first variable that has been thrown into the arena.
8/21/2019 TradingPrimer15
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/tradingprimer15 20/35
http://www.learningtotrade.comWhere learned skills develop into trading profits
© Martin Cole http://www.learningtotrade.com Ltd 2008 20
The second problem is that once we commit to a trade, we are unable to
influence the outcome in any way whatsoever. The trader finds him/herself ina situation that has never been experienced before; also there is no ability to
influence the outcome whatsoever.
The result of this is a feeling of helplessness and confusion, which can be
closely related to the gambling environment.
The professional trader on the other hand has turned the whole thing around
with a systematic, tested, formula; that he/she knows delivers trading profits.
The trader has indeed taken control of the environment, stacking the odds
very much in his or her favour.
To wrap this section up we can say that the successful trader’s strategy has
removed the problem of:
• Unknown variables.
• The inability to influence the outcome of the situation.
• The emotional contents of the current trade.
The professional trader maintains the position of detached observer of events;
from this detached stance he is able to observe the market in a clear
controlled state.
This state enables the execution of further strategies that may revolve around,
increasing contract size or even exiting from the position.
8/21/2019 TradingPrimer15
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/tradingprimer15 21/35
http://www.learningtotrade.comWhere learned skills develop into trading profits
© Martin Cole http://www.learningtotrade.com Ltd 2008 21
How do you view trading and what is your perspective?
How you view the market is of vital importance to your success as atrader.
These are vital areas that we are getting into now which warrant deep thought
and consideration.
For you to win means that another trader has lost, how does that make youfeel? Your first reaction (which you believe to be true) maybe is that this
simply does not matter to you. The other trader is faceless and therefore is of
no consequence. On Black Monday George Sorros made countless millions
and now spends a great deal of time in giving it away to worthwhile causes.
We all have a conscience that is pricked from time to time. This is sometimes
highlighted in trading and whilst this rarely prevents a person from trading it
often places a ceiling on the degree of success that a trader might enjoy.
How do you fit into the market? What do you want to take out of the market?
How do you actually feel as you question yourself over these issues? Do they
make you ponder a while? Perhaps you notice a shift in your seat? Is what
you want from the market in sync with what you truly believe about yourself?
Or do you completely denounce the above as not applying to you?
8/21/2019 TradingPrimer15
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/tradingprimer15 22/35
http://www.learningtotrade.comWhere learned skills develop into trading profits
© Martin Cole http://www.learningtotrade.com Ltd 2008 22
The worst teacher moulds your trading behavior.
The market as your teacher.
Golfers tell me that the worst thing a person can do when they decide that
they want to play golf is to pick up a club and take a swing. The reason for this
is that instantly you have adopted the stance that is most comfortable for you,
but most unsuitable for actually playing golf.
The market does exactly the same thing to traders; the main difference here is
that the stance in golf is annoying and will affect your game. The same stance
in trading will empty your account in a very short time and could prevent you
from ever trading again.
Human beings are very quick learners; we can observe, mimic and perform a
skill, with time we become quite adept at this new skill and add it to our
repertoire. When trying this same process on the market however, we quickly
notice that no two actions are ever exactly the same.
Imagine for a moment that you are about to learn the art of carpentry,
Your carpentry teacher, however, changes the way he holds his tools each
time he picks them up and never holds his tools in the same way more than
once. Would you ever learn the skill? In this case it would be more efficient for
you to observe and then start to develop your own technique. It is this more
efficient method that you are going to learn about during this course.
It is of ten the lack of genuine teachable trading knowledge that is at fault and not the
individual learning. There are hundreds of courses that wil l show you yesterdays
charts and where you “could have” or “ would have” made profits. This is the blind
leading the blind, but it is almost necessary to go on one of these courses to get it out
of your system and discover the meaningless drivel that is repeatedly sold to the
unsuspecting.
8/21/2019 TradingPrimer15
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/tradingprimer15 23/35
http://www.learningtotrade.comWhere learned skills develop into trading profits
© Martin Cole http://www.learningtotrade.com Ltd 2008 23
The learned habits/ emotions of the amateur trader.
Remember that the amateur is often the person who has recently decided thathe would like to trade the markets. He goes out and buys a few books, gets a
charting package and starts to draw a few trend lines and the like.
The budding trader then enters the market and quickly discovers that all that
glitters is not gold. The harsh reality is that the market often takes on the role
of an adversary. The emotions that become attached to the trader during this
reality shock are the very key to the trader’s ultimate success
or failure.
The Emotions of Failure:
1. Fear and how it develops
There is nothing wrong with fear. Its role is to protect and serve us in times
of danger. The problem is that we are the direct interpreters of what
constitutes danger. It has to be this way, of course.
You are in your teens and you are desperately fond of a particular person
of the opposite sex, you dearly want to ask him/her out, but fear holds you
back. Clearly the type of danger here is very different from that of running
in front of a speeding train, but the debilitating effects are very much the
same. Pounding heart, sweaty palms, hyperactivity, nervousness, etc.
You will, of course, overcome your fear of the opposite sex as you come to
understand more about them. (maybe☺)
8/21/2019 TradingPrimer15
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/tradingprimer15 24/35
http://www.learningtotrade.comWhere learned skills develop into trading profits
© Martin Cole http://www.learningtotrade.com Ltd 2008 24
2. Learning to parachute will serve as one more example:
As you jump from the plane, you will of course feel the very samesymptoms as described above, albeit a little more profound maybe.
As you do more and more jumps, you will start to enjoy the experience and
eventually look forward to it without any fear.
Basically the fear you once felt has over time been dissipated and
eventually turns into fun, as you gained more experience and knew exactly
what was going to happen at each new jump.
The fear that is involved in trading, however, has a twist that is very
different indeed.
Normally when you start out trading, you will feel a low level of fear or
excitement. If things go well you will feel excitement, if poorly you will
feel a little fear or nervousness. This will be very mild at first, but gradually
it will start to build to the point where you cannot easily distinguish
between the two emotions.
As this develops and gains in strength, you will start to become highly
critical of trading opportunities. Over time this will increase, to present you
with quite severe trading problems. You will note that the instigation of fear
in the trading environment is the exact opposite of the fear when
parachuting. I.e. one starts out with a high level of fear, which gradually
dissipates, whereas the other starts out with very low levels and builds to a
debilitating conclusion.
8/21/2019 TradingPrimer15
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/tradingprimer15 25/35
http://www.learningtotrade.comWhere learned skills develop into trading profits
© Martin Cole http://www.learningtotrade.com Ltd 2008 25
3. Lack of confidence.
This normally goes through three stages:First stage = Low confidence level as unsure of trading protocol etc.
Second stage = Increase in trading confidence, as one gets comfortable
with the protocols of trading and the environment.
Third stage = dissipation of confidence as losses are not accounted for in
the, nonexistent, trading strategy. This then culminates in a lack of
confidence, in one’s ability to trade effectively. (Stage two is often the most
dangerous in terms of losses)
4. Fear of the Unknown.
This is developed as the trader starts to become affected by a little fear
and a lack of confidence. Uncertainty of price, volume, the current activity,
impending announcements, etc. These all build into what can best be
described as an unknown entity. It does not exist and yet it exerts a huge
amount of energy and control over an individual.
8/21/2019 TradingPrimer15
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/tradingprimer15 26/35
http://www.learningtotrade.comWhere learned skills develop into trading profits
© Martin Cole http://www.learningtotrade.com Ltd 2008 26
How a losing trader develops and maintains the ability to lose
consistently
A trader that maintains the ability to lose consistently has merely developed a
losing strategy. He has over time grown into this strategy, which is maintained
on the hope of the next big trade.
He may have even got to the point where he is so engrossed in his strategy,
that he will actually defend it in the face of hard evidence. Now you may think
that this trader does not possess a strategy. You may also not understand theconcept of someone trading with a strategy that does not work. This is
understandable, as clearly there is no logic to this trader and what he/she is
doing.
His strategy examined:
What has happened here is that the trader has got himself into a destructive
loop, (see diagram). This loop has created its own strategy and the real
danger of this type of strategy is that it is operating at a subconscious level. If
left unchecked, this will eventually lead to the emptying of the traders account.
The way out of this type of loop is quite difficult, as it requires a lot of personal
examination. In some cases there is subconscious desire or wish to get away
from trading completely. If the subconscious picks up on this desire then it will
do all it can to “grant the wish”.
A key point to note here is that this would all be operating at a subconscious
level and the trader would have no awareness of the process whatsoever.
8/21/2019 TradingPrimer15
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/tradingprimer15 27/35
http://www.learningtotrade.comWhere learned skills develop into trading profits
© Martin Cole http://www.learningtotrade.com Ltd 2008 27
How a successful trader maintains his consistent success.
Maintained success
The successful trader is caught within the success loop; like the trader caught
in the failure loop he may or may not be aware of this. In fact many successful
traders are so unaware of just exactly what they do that they find it virtually
impossible to explain to another trader when and why they take any particular
trade. For them actually to stop and think about this may even have a
detrimental effect on their own trading.Many traders write books about their trading and how they are successful;
other traders read these books, to try to emulate the successful trader. Often
this turns out to be disastrous for the student and for the simple reason that
the book does not contain the whole story. (I might add here and now that this is
not deliberate on the part of the author)
If the trader author has traded for many years successfully, then his success
loop will be deeply rooted in the subconscious, possibly to the point where
intuitive trading has taken over. When a trader reaches this stage he may
have a complete misconception of what he is “actually” doing with regard to
his trading. The trader simply has supreme confidence in their abilities and
their growing trading account.
Supreme trading confidence is my first and foremost goal for all students of
this course. This is in essence what this course is about.
1. Defining what a success loop is.
2. Teaching you the methods by which you enter your success loop.
3. Building you a strategy that fits YOU.
4. Giving you the tools to maintain your success.
8/21/2019 TradingPrimer15
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/tradingprimer15 28/35
http://www.learningtotrade.comWhere learned skills develop into trading profits
© Martin Cole http://www.learningtotrade.com Ltd 2008 28
The defining characteristics that separate the successful trader f rom theunsuccessful trader.
The successful trader will have amongst other things:-
• A well-defined trading strategy.
• Complete faith in that strategy.
• An automatic response mechanism.
• A long-term outlook.
• Confidence in his ability.
• A strong sense of purpose.
• A developed sense of feeling the market.
The unsuccessful trader will have.
• A well-defined trading strategy or a poor trading strategy.
• Possible surface faith in his strategy, with subconscious conflict.
• A cherry picking response mechanism.
• Short term win mentality.
• Low level of confidence.
• A casual attitude.• Poor or no ability to feel the market.
*NoteThe unsuccessful trader may posses a very good strategy, but it will be theother components that will cause the failure of this individual.
8/21/2019 TradingPrimer15
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/tradingprimer15 29/35
http://www.learningtotrade.comWhere learned skills develop into trading profits
© Martin Cole http://www.learningtotrade.com Ltd 2008 29
The real challenge is not the trading of the markets.
Daily Challenges
The true challenge of the emerging trader is to be aware, consciously, at the
time of the trade of everything that is behind that particular trade. It is this
awareness that separates the successful from the unsuccessful.
The successful trader, has traded in accordance with his strategy and
KNOWS that this trade took place without any emotive overlay the traders
mind is clear, to process the continuing stream of market data that is arriving.
The challenge for the successful trader is to maintain this state, so that he
may function in a non-emotive environment.
The challenge for the unsuccessful trader is to achieve the non-emotive state
in the first instance and then maintain it.
The easiest way for me to explain this is to compare the paper trading results
of a trader who then goes live. But there never is any comparison, the reason
for this is the single factor of emotive overlay, the live trader is subject to this
whereas the paper trader is not.
The paper trader, is capable of producing often-spectacular results over
sustained periods; as soon as he enters the market for real, however, it is as if
the goal posts have suddenly been moved. This single factor tells us much of
what we need to know to become successful traders. In short we need topaper trade LIVE!
8/21/2019 TradingPrimer15
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/tradingprimer15 30/35
http://www.learningtotrade.comWhere learned skills develop into trading profits
© Martin Cole http://www.learningtotrade.com Ltd 2008 30
Glossary
Stepping out of your st rategy.
This is a very dangerous action for a trader and not because of the impending
possible loss.
When you maintain your profitable strategy, you will gain confidence as your
profits grow. This confidence will be reinforced every time that you carry out a
trade, within your strategy, win or lose. The reinforcement takes place even in
a loss situation because you and your subconscious knows that OVERALL
you strategy is a winner.
Once you step outside your known strategy, you are basically introducing an
unknown concept to your prior proven strategy. Your subconscious detects
this new variable and recomputes the whole strategy; of course this new
variable now forces a re-evaluation of your known strategy.
Now you are in trouble, for the simple reason that you’re subconscious no
longer has faith in the strategy because it does not have one.
DO NOT knowingly STEP OUTSIDE YOUR STRATEGY.
If you do, you could be throwing months of work away in a single reckless
action.
8/21/2019 TradingPrimer15
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/tradingprimer15 31/35
http://www.learningtotrade.comWhere learned skills develop into trading profits
© Martin Cole http://www.learningtotrade.com Ltd 2008 31
Trade Hunting
Hunting for trades often occurs when a trader has a developed trading
strategy, but the market action has failed for several days to produce the
conditions where the strategy can be used. In the frustration of the delay, the
trader will start to hunt his charts to see what is going on. What is happening
here is that the mind of the trader is searching for something that fits the bill.
Should the trader, now trade this self-generated opportunity and a powerful
force has just been released against future success.
Please see: Stepping outside of your strategy
Trading Harmony
This simply means that your trading strategy should be aligned with your
personal trading ambitions, resources, and understanding of the markets. An
example of trading out of harmony would be increasing your contract size
without sufficient margin; this could set up a fear reaction, should the market
start to move against your position. This would then trigger inconsistent
trading, as you search for the fail-safe entry point to protect your margin.
The Subconscious.
Your subconscious, is perhaps your most important asset when trading? Onceyour strategy is fully accepted by your subconscious, your trading will take on
a new level of ability. No longer will you be thinking about what has to be
done. You will enter into a phase that I call autonomous ability. This is a highly
desirable state for the trader and comes as a result of supreme confidence in
your personal success loop.
8/21/2019 TradingPrimer15
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/tradingprimer15 32/35
http://www.learningtotrade.comWhere learned skills develop into trading profits
© Martin Cole http://www.learningtotrade.com Ltd 2008 32
Emotive Overlay.
This term needs to be fully understood and is an area that we shall be givingsome consideration to at a later stage.For now you might like to imagine a scenario where you have made your mindup to carry out some action; then someone near to you, says something thatis not directly related to the action you are about to carry out, but causes andemotive reaction. This reaction then has an effect on your ability, to carry outthe task that you had previously decided to do.
This is highly applicable to trading when we consider price movement andhow this affects an observer. (More in later pack)
Fear & Exci tement
How far apart are these two? At first you might be tempted to believe thatthey are at opposite ends of the scale, in fact they are one and the same. As asimple exercise jot down the type of feelings that you might experience whenyou are fearful.
• Heart racing
• Sweating
• Deep breathing• Heightened awareness.
Now do the same with, excitement, begin to get the picture?
8/21/2019 TradingPrimer15
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/tradingprimer15 33/35
http://www.learningtotrade.comWhere learned skills develop into trading profits
© Martin Cole http://www.learningtotrade.com Ltd 2008 33
The Gambling Environment
Trading is often associated with gambling, especially the futures/derivatives
market. This is because the amateur trader blames the market and tells histales of woe. There is indeed a link here and one, which we need to be clear
on.
The amateur trader as we have already discussed does not have a strategy;
he is haphazard in his approach; the only consistent method of trading he has
is consistently being inconsistent.
Therefore the amateur trader is indeed gambling and the odds are stacked
heavily against them.
Disavowal
The person in disavowal is refusing to own or acknowledge something. An
example may be when another person has pointed out that there is a
fundamental flaw in what you are doing within your strategy. This results in
you completely, shutting the door, on any further discussion, or even thoughts
on the subject.This is similar to going long in a falling market and telling yourself that the
market is strong and it will turn up shortly in the face of mounting evidence to
the contrary.
Cherry Picking
This can be best described in the context of actually picking cherries. The one
just out of reach is always sweeter. Therefore I will not take this trade, I will
take another better one.
8/21/2019 TradingPrimer15
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/tradingprimer15 34/35
http://www.learningtotrade.comWhere learned skills develop into trading profits
© Martin Cole http://www.learningtotrade.com Ltd 2008 34
Inner Voice
This is the still small voice that resides in all of us. This can be a positiveattribute or a negative one, depending upon what the voice is telling you.
Drawdown
This is in my opinion, just another way of saying that you have lost money.The technically minded, however, might argue the point here.Basically your trading strategy is currently resulting in losses and your aresuffering a withdrawal of money from your account.
Contract Expiry
Example:Futures are traded on a three-month basis. As the contract comes to the endof its term it is said to expire. This does not mean that you cannot trade in thenext contract before the expiry of the most recent one. Some traders will tradeacross different contract periods as a form of hedging.
Pre-defined Strategy
A trading methodology / system that has been defined and evaluated.
The fact that it has been defined does not make it necessarily profitable.
Intuitive trading
Intuitive trading can best be defined as a sense of, knowing, understanding, adeep psychological awareness, of the condition of the market, and what isgoing to constitute a profitable trade. These types of traders are few and farbetween, but it is a skill that can be taught. We will be doing work in this areain the latter part of the course.
8/21/2019 TradingPrimer15
http://slidepdf.com/reader/full/tradingprimer15 35/35
http://www.learningtotrade.comWhere learned skills develop into trading profits
Well that brings us the end of this book. Hopefully you have been able to gaina few trading insights and also some personal insights that may reflect onyour future as a trader in a positive way.
I am currently writing a new book called Trading Truths, which is now in thefinal stages. This book takes a more in depth look at trading and will be readyfor release in a few days. You will be pleased to hear that this new book willalso be completely free of charge.
Don’t forget you can request a copy of this book athttp://www.learningtotrade.com/
I have posted this picture here of one of my live trading courses so you get tosee the type of environment you are in with all the live trading screens andactual trading taking place. OK you may not be ready to move to this level yet,
but should you decide that this may be a route for you, feel free to contact mewith any questions you may have.
Very Best Trading Success
Martin Cole